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4:10 p.m. ET: Houston Astros (78-54) at Seattle Mariners (71-62)
These AL West rivals have split the first two games of the series. Houston won the opener 4-3 as -150 road favorites and then the Mariners bounced back with a 4-0 win on Tuesday as + 145 home dogs. In this afternoon's rubber match, Houston gives the ball to veteran righty Jake Odorizzi (6-6, 4.46 ERA) and Seattle starts young righty Logan Gilbert (5-5, 5.44 ERA). This line opened with the Astros listed as a -125 road favorite and the Mariners a + 115 home dog. Sharps like Houston to win and take the series, steaming the Astros up from -125 to -140. The Astros have dominated their division this season, going 37-17 (68.5%) against AL West opponents. Houston is 9-6 against Seattle. Houston will rely on their bats. The Astros are hitting .268, which ranks 1st in MLB. Seattle is hitting .223, which ranks dead last 30th overall. Respected money has also come in on the under, forcing oddsmakers to drop the total from 9 to 8.5.
Game: (959) Milwaukee Brewers at (960) San Francisco Giants Date/Time: Sep 1 2021 9:45 PM EDT Betting Line Provider: William Hill Play Rating: 4 units Play: San Francisco Giants -152 B Anderson (LHP), K Gausman (RHP) Must Start
4 unit San Francisco Giants (-152) over Milwaukee Brewers (Gausman/Anderson)-
Anderson on the mound for the Brewers is 2-6 in his L15 starts with a 4.50 ERA and on the road this year opponents are hitting .277 off the LHP, leading to a 5.00 ERA in 12 starts! The Brewers are 2-5 in his L7 starts @ NGT w/ a line > -145 (including 0-5 w/o his 2 DH starts), 2-7 in his L9 overall w/o DH, and they are 0-3 coming off B2B2B W’s in Anderson’s starts (3-6 overall). The Giants on the other hand have Gausman on the mound who has a 2.49 ERA with a 1.01 WHIP, including a 6-3 record @ H (where opponents are hitting .186 off him) and the Giants are 17-8 in his L25 starts (including 6-3 in the L9 @ H and 12-6 as a favorite). SF is also on a 107-58 run as a favorite & a 101-53 run as a HF (including 21-9 as a HF vs a non-divisional opponent w/ a line >-250).
Game: (959) Milwaukee Brewers at (960) San Francisco Giants Date/Time: Sep 1 2021 9:45 PM EDT Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line Play Rating: 4% Play: 1H San Francisco Giants -150 B Anderson (LHP), K Gausman (RHP) Must Start
FIRST FIVE #960 4% San Francisco -150 Milwaukee (Gausman & Anderson)
Gausman has allowed 2 earned or less in 4 of last 5 starts (3 runs in other)
Anderson with a 5.00 road ERA and 1.36 WHIP
Giants off facing Woodruff
Giants 13-3 as a Fav off a home loss
MLB(Bob Balfe)
7:10 PM EST
Rotation #971
Red Sox +105 over Rays
Sale/Rasmussen
The Rays have been on fire and their sense of urgency to win games won’t be as much as teams chasing them. This game comes down to pitching. Chris Sale is an established pitcher who has a rock solid strikeout to walk ratio. Drew Rasmussen is a good young pitcher, but just doesn’t have the big league experience that his opponent has. The Rays don’t hit left handers that well at home and I believe Boston can scratch out a low scoring road win. Take the Red Sox.
HOUSTON @ SEATTLE | 09/01 | 4:10 PM EDT
HOUSTON -125
ANALYSIS: The Astros struggled yesterday but they have their best lineup in today and should bounce back. Logan Gilbert was lit up by the Astros when he faced them and he has allowed at least 5 runs in his last 3 starts. Jake Odorizzi has been solid his past few starts and he pitched well against the Mariners in his last start against them. Take the Astros who are 46-28 against winning teams this season.
+2428 86-62 IN LAST 148 MLB ML PICKS
+879 36-24 IN LAST 60 SEA ML PICKS
2:27 PM
HOUSTON @ SEATTLE | 09/01 | 4:10 PM EDT
HOUSTON -125
ANALYSIS: Houston was blanked on Tuesday so I'd expect a major bounce-back here with essentially their best possible lineup (Michael Brantley didn't play Tuesday). Seattle pitcher Logan Gilbert is 1-3 with a 5.66 ERA at home this year and allowed nine runs in 4.2 innings at Houston less than two weeks ago. The Stros have won their past four vs. right-handers.
+2470 206-136-6 IN LAST 348 MLB PICKS
+633 10-2 IN LAST 12 HOU ML PICKS
1:43 PM
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