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NEVADA @ CALIFORNIA | 09/04 | 10:30 PM EDT
NEVADA +3
ANALYSIS: I played Nevada at +3.5 and I will have a sprinkle on the moneyline. Carson Strong provides a significant edge at QB as the Wolf Pack have a legit passing attack with Romeo Doubs and Elijah Cook that will force Cal into man coverage. I have major concerns about Chase Garbers and that offensive line. Garbers was sacked way too frequently last season and that will likely continue this season. Take the points.
+85 2-1 IN LAST 3 CFB ATS PICKS
10:26 AM
SAN JOSE ST. @ USC | 09/04 | 5:00 PM EDT
SAN JOSE ST. +14
ANALYSIS: The Spartans are one of the most experienced teams in CFB with 20+ returning starters from last season, including sixth-year senior Nick Starkel. Yes, that's the same Nick Starkel who played at Arkansas and Texas A&M. The San Jose defense pass rush will be good enough to keep this one within striking distance for the offense. Take the points and look for +14.5 in the market as it's still available in some spots
GEORGIA @ CLEMSON | 09/04 | 7:30 PM EDT
UNDER 51
ANALYSIS: I'm a firm believer that defense doesn't win championships anymore, "just enough" defense does. Defense does, however, win games. Georgia's defense is going to be the story in this contest. Clemson has massive offensive-line issues and won't be able to get its running game going. Georgia will treat this like a heavyweight fight and hope to land a knockout punch in the fourth quarter after 45 minutes of body blows. This game will be a throwback to days of old, so take the Under.
+190 3-1-1 IN LAST 5 CFB PICKS
+300 3-0 IN LAST 3 UGA O/U PICKS
TUE 8/31
LOUISIANA @ TEXAS | 09/04 | 4:30 PM EDT
OVER 58
ANALYSIS: Let’s see … Texas is going to break in a new coaching staff, its secondary got torched last season and it’s facing a Louisiana offense that returns 93% of its offensive production from a year ago. The Ragin’ Cajuns are a chic pick to spring the Week 1 upset, and the reason is because they are fully capable of dictating the style of the game. That style will lead to a track meet and a game that tops the 70-point plateau.
+190 3-1-1 IN LAST 5 CFB PICKS
TUE 8/31
GEORGIA @ CLEMSON | 09/04 | 7:30 PM EDT
GEORGIA +3
ANALYSIS: The wrong team is favored here -- especially considering the specific strengths and weaknesses of both teams. Clemson’s offensive line is average at best, will rotate centers and running back Travis Etienne is gone. Quarterback DJ Uiagalelei is awesome, but any team has to be able to run the football to set the tone. Clemson won’t be able to do that. Georgia’s front seven is loaded, and includes 370-pound monster nose tackle Jordan Davis. Clemson’s offensive line is in flux, it is rotating centers and they’re supposed to stop Davis? Nah. He’ll be a monster in the middle, Georgia’s defense will flow around him and the Dawgs will spring the mild upset.
+190 3-1-1 IN LAST 5 CFB PICKS
+384 6-2 IN LAST 8 UGA ATS PICKS
+380 7-3 IN LAST 10 CLEM ATS PICKS
TUE 8/31
UT-SAN ANTONIO @ ILLINOIS | 09/04 | 7:30 PM EDT
UT-SAN ANTONIO +5
ANALYSIS: Illinois is coming off a big upset win despite getting outgained 392-326 last week. UTSA went 7-5 under first-year head coach Jeff Traylor last season, scoring 28.2 points per game (67th of 127) while allowing 25.7 (41st). The Roadrunners are one of the deepest teams with a plethora of returning talent. Illinois is 3-13 ATS as home chalk of 3.5 to 7 points since 1993. Take the road dog.
ATLANTA @ COLORADO | 09/04 | 8:10 PM EDT
COLORADO +100
ANALYSIS: German Marquez has been really good at home this season going 8-2 with a 3.13 ERA, and the Rockies have been very good themselves at home. Ian Anderson has struggled with walks lately and he hasn’t pitched at Coors Field yet. Each of the first games of this series were 1 run wins, I wouldn’t be surprised to see another close game. Take the Rockies at home.
+2339 92-69 IN LAST 161 MLB ML PICKS
+836 14-6 IN LAST 20 ATL ML PICKS
+275 13-7 IN LAST 20 COL ML PICKS
5:21 PM
ST. LOUIS @ MILWAUKEE | 09/04 | 7:10 PM EDT
ST. LOUIS +110
ANALYSIS: Kim has pitched well lately and he only allowed one run in 5.1 IP against the Brewers earlier this season. Adrian Houser struggled in his last outing and he has had a lot of trouble with walks lately. The Cardinals are 11-3 on the road since the trade deadline while the Brewers are 7-6 at home since the trade deadline.
+2339 92-69 IN LAST 161 MLB ML PICKS
+419 19-14 IN LAST 33 STL ML PICKS
5:20 PM
N.Y. METS @ WASHINGTON | 09/04 | 6:05 PM EDT
WASHINGTON +150
ANALYSIS: The Mets took game 1 in a close one and neither team played well, at all. The Mets were up 9-0 before the Nats scored 9 unanswered runs to tie it in the last inning. The Mets struggle against lefties and they used all their best relievers in Game 1, take the Nats to split this doubleheader at home.
+2339 92-69 IN LAST 161 MLB ML PICKS
+665 8-2 IN LAST 10 WAS ML PICKS
+614 12-6 IN LAST 18 NYM ML PICKS
5:18 PM
PHILADELPHIA @ MIAMI | 09/04 | 6:10 PM EDT
MIAMI +115
ANALYSIS: While Ranger Suarez has been solid this season, his 1.48 ERA significantly overstates how well he has pitched. On the road in particular Suarez has been average at best, with a 4.17 xFIP. That fact shines a far different light on this matchup. Philadelphia had just six hits in the 10-3 loss as road favorites yesterday yet are favored on the road again today. The Phillies are 0-6 since Sept. 22, 2020, as road favorites coming off a game as a road favorite where they had six or fewer hits.
+395 18-12 IN LAST 30 MLB ML PICKS
+189 3-1 IN LAST 4 PHI ML PICKS
10:17 AM
SYRACUSE @ OHIO | 09/04 | 7:00 PM EDT
SYRACUSE -1
ANALYSIS: This Syracuse squad really missed not having traditional non-conference play last season and will be locked in on getting this game right against a MAC school that got very little experience in 2020. Syracuse was favored a single time in 2020. FBS teams that are favored in their season opener after having been favored two or fewer times last season are 123-93-6 ATS. The times in which the Orange have been favored recently have gone quite well. Syracuse is 5-1-1 ATS since November 2018 as a favorite.
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