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CHI. WHITE SOX @ KANSAS CITY | 09/05 | 2:10 PM EDT
KANSAS CITY +150
ANALYSIS: My model doesn't usually see value like this. The Royals are +150, but my model says they win 56 percent of the time. White Sox starter Dylan Cease has a far worse ERA on the road (5.37) than at home (2.53), and the Royals bats are hot, churning out 14 runs and 20 hits against Chicago over the last two days.
+119 10-7 IN LAST 17 MLB PICKS
+1999 41-24 IN LAST 65 KC ML PICKS
YESTERDAY 10:57 PM
DETROIT @ CINCINNATI | 09/05 | 1:10 PM EDT
DETROIT +190
ANALYSIS: I'm not sure why the Reds are such huge favorites. The Tigers have the pitching edge with former No. 1 overall pick Casey Mize (7-7, 3.59 ERA) going against Luis Castillo (7-14, 4.30). The Reds have lost four of Castillo's last five starts. My model says Detroit wins 45 percent of the time, so you're getting strong value at this plus number.
+119 10-7 IN LAST 17 MLB PICKS
+2797 45-14 IN LAST 59 DET ML PICKS
+240 10-8 IN LAST 18 CIN ML PICKS
YESTERDAY 10:41 PM
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