JM SPORTS
- Game: (923) Detroit Tigers at (924) Pittsburgh Pirates
Date/Time: Sep 6 2021 1:35 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 3 units
Play: Detroit Tigers -140 T Skubal (LHP), B Wilson (RHP) Must Start
3 unit Detroit Tigers (-140) over Pittsburgh Pirates (Skubal/Wilson) —
The immediate difference is how this pitchers have performed in day games. Skubal is 5-2 with a 3.44 ERA in 11 starts, while Wilson is 1-3 with a 5.84 ERA in 5 starts and opponents are batting over .300! On top of that Wilson is 1-3 @ H with a 5.23 ERA and PIT is 1-4 in his L5 starts. Alongside that high ERA, the Pirates have struggled offensively this season, they are last in the league in runs/game, #27 in opponent runs allowed, totaling out to #29 in run differential. While the Tigers aren’t much better, being #19 in runs, #20 in opponent runs and #12 in batting average, paired with a solid ERA in day games should be enough to outdo this struggling Pirates team. Detroit is 11-2 in the first game of a series vs a non divisional opponent when the line is under 200 (5-0 on the road), they are 8-2 on the road vs a SP w/ ERA > 4.00, 5-0 after allowing less then 2 runs when the line is ≤ 135, and in Skubal’s L9 vs. RHP with a line > -140 Detroit is 7-2. The Pirates are 13-25as a D in the opener of a series (including 0-6 vs. LHP w/ line< 170, & 6-14 as D of ≤145. They have only won 11 out of their 42 games vs. LHP (including 2-9 @ H w/ 100<line<175) and they are 0-4 @ H after 6 straight A games with a line >115.
Comment