Friday 9/3/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-03-2021, 05:54 AM

Al Cimaglia: Meadowlands Late Pick 4 Analysis

September 3, 2021 | By Al Cimaglia
The Meadowlands returns to action and starts its Fall Meet tonight with a first post at 6:20 EST. The 12-race card features two-year-old trotters and pacers in Reynolds Memorial Stakes action. The 0.50 Pick 4 with a $50,000 guaranteed pool begins in Race 9. The sequence has a 15% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 9

3-Hamptons Babe (7/2)-Alagna pupil has been in the mix but her only start at M1 was a head turner. Stopped the clock in 151.4 with a 26.1 last quarter in her debut. Since then, has been working on smaller ovals so best to pay attention tonight.
4-Reenactment (4-1)-Has hit the board in 4 of 5 starts and this Toscano pupil comes off a sharp win at Tioga. Rolled by the field with a 55.1 back half and now tries the Big M. Looks like a very nice filly and Zeron should work a good trip from this post.
6-Treeacherous Dragon (3-1)-Well-bred filly comes off a win at PcD. The previous race was a 2nd place finish in 152.2 and the top finisher isn't in this field. Tetrick should have her in striking range turning for the wire.

Race 10

3-Bounty Hunter (4-1)-Hasn't sealed the deal yet but has hit the board in 4 of 5 races with all but 1 start on a smaller oval. Appears to have the speed to compete with the two below and may use the inside post draw as the winning edge.
8-Pickup Man Hanover (7/2)-Has 3 wins and 3 runner up appearances in 6 starts but did lose the only time facing #9 back on 7-24. That race was at Stga, left from post 7 and came 2nd. Showed 152.3 speed in the only M1 start to finish 2nd and the winner isn't in this field. Has a good chance to even the score with #9 and take a picture.
9-Forrest Blu (3-1)-This freshmen hasn't really had a bad race. The poorest finish was at the Big M on 7-3 when he faded down the lane to finish 3rd. This will be the 8th start and only the 2nd on a larger oval. Difficult to leave off the ticket and should be in the mix but if bet down others will offer more value.

Race 11

6-Global Daytrader S (2-1)-Ships in from Mohawk after an even effort in the Champlain on an off-track. Raced well in a Kindergarten start here and looks like a player with Tetrick back in the bike tonight.
7-Simon (3-1)-Won at M1 with a sharp effort on 8-6 and hasn't raced since. Didn't show much speed in a qualifier at PHL on 8-24 and as usual Dunn steers. May try to get on the point and should be battling with the one above down the lane.

Race 12

1-Say You Do (7/2)-This is a scattered race and not easy to read. But this 6-year-old has performed well at the Big M winning 8 of 25 starts and gets the services of Dunn. Fits with this crew, likes to race near the top of the stack and that should be the plan here.
7-Finally Found Away (4-1)-Lightly raced 5-year-old made short work of the last group at Phl but most likely this won't be as easy. Showed some good speed at Wbsb back in 2019 and then was on the bench for all of last year. Engblom trainee is on the comeback trail and will respect chances for the 2nd win at M1 in 8 tries.

0.50 Pick 4

3,4,6/3,8,9/6,7/1,7
Total Bet=$18

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-03-2021, 05:56 AM

Jeff Siegel's Del Mar Analysis - Friday, September 3, 2021

September 3, 2021
Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.). For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
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Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.

RACE 1: Post: 3:30 PT Grade: B-
Use: 5-French Getaway; 7-Sea of Liberty

Forecast: The Friday opener is a $32,000 middle distance turf claimer for older horses that have not won a race this year. French Getaway, now in the K. Mulhall barn following a $25,000 claim when facing open company last month, moves up a notch on the class ladder but because of the restrictions of this race may actually be facing a softer assignment. His last outing was better than the line will show, as he closed with purpose into the teeth of creepy-crawler fractions to be a willing third while earning a solid speed figure. Today’s early splits project to be quicker than par, so his chances to produce a winning late bid are pretty reasonable at 6-1 on the morning line. M. Smith knows him well and stays aboard. Sea of Liberty, dropping out of a starter’s $50,000 allowance affair and switching to F. Prat, lacks tactical speed and needs help up front to have his best chance, but today he could find a race flow that favors his style. There’s plenty to dislike on pure form – for example, he’s yet to hit the board in five previous tries over the Del Mar turf course – but this is the cheapest he’s ever run so he could improve considerably. We’ll try to get by using just these two in rolling exotic play but feel free to spread deeper if you find the need.
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RACE 2: Post: 4:00 PT Grade: B
Use: 2-Half Past Twelve; 4-Artisan Dancer; 9-I’m a Giraffe

Forecast: I’m a Giraffe has the route-to-sprint angle we always like plus the return to the maiden claiming ranks and a comfortable outside draw. It’s encouraging that F. Prat stays aboard the daughter of Mucho Macho Man, who flashed good speed to the top of the lane vs. straight maidens before faltering. Against this group at this trip she should be on or near the lead throughout. Half Past Twelve displayed the kind of early speed in her two previous starts to make her dangerous at this level. She’s yet to break cleanly from the gate; with a good start today the daughter of Midnight Lute projects to be prominent at least during the early stages. Artisan Dancer has worked better than her raw times might lead you to believe and is the most dangerous of the newcomers. She’s shown some quickness from the gate for a clever trainer and gets in light, so at 6-1 on the morning she’s worth including on your ticket.
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RACE 3: Post: 4:30 PT Grade: C+
Use: 3-After Midnight; 7-Lava Lane

Forecast: Four of the eight entrants in this five furlong turf dash for state-bred fillies and mares exit the same race Aug. 12. In that affair, After Midnight led until the last jump when she was nailed right on the money by Miss Carousel; she may be facing additional early heat today but with just four career starts she probably has more improvement in her that the others, so we’ll make her a solid contender. Lava Lane, the filly that finished fifth in that race, may be more enticing. The daughter of Unusual Heat was in heavy traffic and forced to steady on two occasion down the backstretch and on the turn, finally got clear entering the lane and finished with courage but without posing a threat while beating less than four lengths. With a better trip today, the P. D’Amato-trained filly will be a serious player. Both should be included in rolling exotic play; we’ll have a couple of extra tickets keying Lava Lane on top.
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RACE 4: Post: 5:00 PT Grade: C+
Single: 5-Miracle of Hope

Forecast: Miracle of Hope plummets to the bottom and switches to dirt for the first time, so there are reasons to hope that the daughter of Nyquist has found her proper level. Those in the field that have been regularly competing for this maiden $20,000 tag are thoroughly unimpressive, so let’s take a stand with this lightly-raced sophomore filly. She shows a couple of easy breezes over the main track since returning from Golden Gate Fields, where she finished a not-terrible fourth in a maiden special weight grass event last month. At 4-1 on the morning line, we’ll make her a not-very-confident win play and rolling exotic single.
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RACE 5: Post: 5:30 PT Grade: B-
Use: 4-Street Humor; 8-Fore Flag

Forecast: 4-Street Humor, a $90,000 purchase at the Santa Anita 2-year-old in training sale in June, has trained okay – not great, but okay – and seems as good as any in this below average maiden turf miler for juveniles. The son of Street Boss is a half-brother to the Bay Area grass stakes winner Visitant, and that may explain why his connections have chosen to debut him going long on the lawn. The M. Ortiz-trained colt has never worked on grass, so who really knows if he’ll like it, but since he’s listed at 12-1 on the morning line we’re willing to engage in a bit of gamble. Fore Flag didn’t show a whole lot when fifth, beaten almost 12 lengths, in an all-weather sprint in Chicago in his debut, but he’s bred for turf and distance, brought some money in the OBS March sale ($95,000), and lands F. Prat. Almost by default, he’s a contender.
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RACE 6: Post: 6:00 PT Grade: B
Use: 5-Zuboshi; 7-Eleuthera; 9-Big Novel; 12-Connie Swingle

Forecast: A full field of California-bred juvenile fillies sprint six furlongs in a fairly contentious affair that requires a spread in rolling exotic play. A couple of these fillies have been entered back on Saturday in the I’m Smokin S. to face the boys in what might be perceived as a softer spot. Both have good chances here, so we’ll just have to wait and see what their connections do. Zuboshi, one of those entered back on Saturday, was quite impressive breaking her maiden in late July, winning by more than six lengths, a significant margin in a five furlong turf sprint. There’s no reason she shouldn’t be equally effective on dirt, so we like her here and hope that she stays in the field. Eleuthera was flat out given a race in her debut going long on the turf and did well to finish a distant second in a very promising performance. Today, the daughter of Square Eddie shortens to a sprint, switches to dirt, and moves into stakes company, none of which makes a whole lot of sense. She has plenty of talent, though, and at 15-1 on the morning line she offers a reasonable gamble, assuming she stays in the race, having also been entered back in the I’m Smokin. Connie Swingle enjoyed a perfect trip outside when graduating here last month and had the good fortune of landing a similar post today that should allow for the same type of pace-stalking trip that she utilized in her victory. The daughter of Grazen will be hard to beat if the two fillies listed above opt for tomorrow. Big Novel, runner-up to Connie Swingle in her debut, was pretty much wiped out at the start and did well to finish willingly through the lane, though she failed to change leads. With a better break today, the daughter of Mr. Big could make a serious run for it.
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RACE 7: Post: 6:30 PT Grade: B+
Single: 5-England’s Rose

Forecast: England’s Rose is bred to excel in marathon races and finally gets her chance to show it in this first-level allowance event for fillies and mares over 11 furlongs on grass. The lightly-raced 5-year-old daughter of English Channel, a sharp runner-up to the talented imported filly Luck in a hot middle-distance event over the local lawn last month, always has shown a good turn of foot and her late kick should be extremely effective in long distance races such as this. V. Espinoza knows her well and should have the J. Shirreffs-trained mare along in time as a win play and rolling exotic single.
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RACE 8: Post: 7:00 PT Grade: B+
Single: 4-Scabbard

Forecast: Scabbard looks fairly solid in the Friday nightcap, a seven furlong sprint for restricted (nw-3) $20,000 claimers. Popular of late at the claim box, the son of More Than Ready has switched barns in three of his last four outings and today makes his first appearance for the J. Wong barn (a remarkable 34% with this angle). In the frame in his last four starts, most recently as a strong second while more than three lengths clear of the rest under these conditions, he’ll benefit from today’s extra furlong and should find himself in a comfortable stalking position and then have his chance to seal the deal from the quarter pole home. His 2-for-17 lifetime record notwithstanding, he’s a win play and rolling exotic single at or near his morning line of 7/2.
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**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-03-2021, 05:57 AM

Jeff Siegel's Saratoga Analysis - September 3, 2021

September 3, 2021
Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.). For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
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Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.

RACE 1: Post: 1:05 ET Grade: C+
Use: 2-Bet; 4-Coastal Chaos

Forecast: Handicapping the Friday opener pretty much is reduced to a guessing game in what appears to be a weak maiden $75,000 claiming sprint for juveniles. Bet was off slowly and always far back when unplaced in his debut at Woodbine in July, but he did receive some support (6-1) on the tote in a 12-runner field and, as a $25,000 yearling purchase, he’s still being protected at this level, so by process of elimination we’ll put him on top for the always-potent S. Asmussen/R. Santana, Jr. trainer-jockey team. Coastal Chaos is a first-timer from the T. Pletcher barn, and while he didn’t appear to be anything special when second best in a recent team gate drill the son of Goldencents should be able to act with this modest group. None of the others offer any real appeal, so in a race that probably is best left alone we’ll use the two listed above in our rolling exotics.
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RACE 2: Post: 1:41 ET Grade: B
Use: 2-Nay Say; 3-Bubble Rock; 10-Vaccine of Hope

Forecast: Maiden juvenile fillies sprint on turf in a race that features a pair of W. Ward first-timers and another filly with proven form as the main contenders. Bubble Rock, a sharp runner-up over this course and distance in her debut last month, earned a strong speed figure when chasing home the talented Lady Danae and has every right to build on that initial impression for trainer B. Cox, who has terrific stats (29%) with the second-time starter angle. The daughter of More Than Ready may not be able to handle a truly top prospect; we’ll have to wait and see if one of Ward entrants fall into that category. No Say, an Irish-bred daughter of the prolific No Nay Never, shows a bullet breezing gate drill (4f, :48 2/5, fastest of 13 for the distance) that indicates ability for a trainer that hits at as remarkable 32% with debut runners. You’d have to think she’s a live item. Stable mate Vaccine of Hope, a daughter of Pioneerof the Nile, lands J. Rosario and also shows a healthy series of workouts at Keeneland before being vanned up to make her debut. Her female family is mostly European turf, so it makes sense to start her in this spot. We’ll include all three in our rolling exotics with the proven element, Bubble Rock, getting the edge on top.
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RACE 3: Post: 2:15 ET Grade: B-
Use: 3-Risk Profile; 5-Repo Rocks; 6-Cousin Andrew

Forecast: Risk Profile, freshened since mid-June and dropping out of a starter’s allowance event to return to his claim level, can regain his winning form with a repeat of his runaway maiden score at Belmont Park two races back in a race that earned a giant speed figure. The Into Mischief gelding retains L. Saez, has the proper stalking style for this seven furlong sprint, and goes for a barn that has solid stats with layoff runners. In a field lacking early speed, the G. Weaver-trained gelding might get away with some soft early splits on the front end. Cousin Andrew, a $20,000 claim following a maiden claiming win over this track and distance last month, is raised to today’s $40,000 level while taking advantage of the non-winners of two restriction, and he could improve enough for new trainer P. Walder to rate a decent look. His speed figures are shy of where they need to be, but this barn hits at 23% with a massive ROI with the first-off-the-claim angle, so a forward move can be anticipated. Repo Rocks has been compromised by rough starts in his last two outings, and with a clean trip today against this softer group the T. Morley-trained gelding may run back to his fast, highly-rated maiden win at Belmont Park in June. If he does, he can win.
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RACE 4: Post: 2:49 ET Grade: C+
Use: 3-Austrian; 7-Grape Nuts Warrior; 8-Panster

Forecast: This state-bred first-level allowance two-turning grass event is knee deep in contenders. Big ticket players should use as many as they can afford to; we’ll recommend three major players as a starting point. Austrian was victimized by a lack of pace when third as the favorite in a similar event in mid-July and deserves another look for the powerful team of D. Gargan and L. Saez. His lack of tactical speed always seems to put him behind the eight ball, but the son of Freud will be rolling late and have his chance to wear down the speed if he’s not given too much to do from the quarter pole home. Grape Nuts Warrior, a close fourth in the same race Austrian exits, removes the blinkers he had added in his previous outing and should continue to improve in what will be just his fourth career start. The C. Brown-trained colt doesn’t have a great turn of foot, so it would behoove J. Castellano to have him close up and within range throughout. Panster handled a starter’s allowance field last month while earning a speed figure that makes him a fit with these, so we’ll toss him in as well.
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RACE 5: Post: 3:21 ET Grade: B-
Use: 1-Triple Americano; 2-Dee Bro; 5-Papa Smooth

Forecast: Dee Bro flashed speed before fading in an open $25,000 claimer here last month and today returns to his claim level ($16,000) while facing restricted (nw-2) company, a significant class drop that should allow the son of Majestic City to regain his winning form. Triple Americano doesn’t look all that hot on paper – he beat maiden claimers last time out but needed a sloppy track to do it – but must be respected due to his high percentage connections (the R. Atras/R. Santana, Jr. team hits at close to 50%). He has some back speed figures that fit, as well. Papa Smooth, claimed out of a similar race in late July by O. Noda (solid with the first-off-the-claim angle), is a fit on figures and switches to I. Ortiz, Jr. If he’s quick enough to make the lead he has a chance to get brave; otherwise, he’ll be vulnerable.
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RACE 6: Post: 3:55 ET Grade: B
Use: 2-Howdoyoumakeurmoney; 3-Doc Doc Rock

Forecast: The first-timers haven’t shown much in the morning so let’s give the edge to a couple of fillies with prior experience. Howdoyoumakeurmoney and Doc Doc Rock finished fourth and fifth, respectively, in a fast, highly-rated main track sprint last month and both should benefit considerably from that outing, the shortened trip, and the switch to grass. ‘Money displayed more early speed than ‘Rock before weakening late; she’s bred for grass on both sides of her pedigree and the barn has okay stats with the second-time starter angle. Doc Doc Rock was even money in that race and was prominent for a half before gradually weakening in a disappointing try. She’s trained extremely well since that race on grass for P. Pletcher and we suspect she’ll move up a ton on the lawn today. Both should be included in rolling exotic play, with perhaps a very slight edge on top to Howdoyoumakeurmoney.
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RACE 7: Post: 4:29 ET Grade: B
Use: 1-Chocolate Bar; 4-Voodoo Zip; 5-Principled Stand

Forecast: Second level older horses meet at a mile over the inner turf course in the first leg of the late Pick-4. Voodoo Zip took eight races to break his maiden and apparently now has figured things out. A much troubled third at this level two runs back, the City Zip colt continued his improving pattern with a sharp score in his most recent start at Belmont Park while earning a career top speed figure, one that makes him tough to beat on the one-level raise. Best when held up in the second flight and produced late, the C. Clement-trained colt retains J. Rosario and should be set for another major effort. Principled Stand is slower on numbers than our top pick but he’s undefeated in two starts with the likelihood of further improvement. The English-bred colt won both of his starts on the front end and gate-to-wire tactics surely will be employed again. There’s other speed signed on, so today we’ll see what he’s made of and how much early heat he can take. Chocolate Bar lands the rail and is guaranteed an ideal second flight, ground-saving trip. The M. Maker-trained colt is solid on numbers and won over this course and distance last year, so we’ll include him on our ticket as well.
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RACE 8: Post: 5:05 ET Grade: B
Use: 1-Gold Panda; 6-Work Out

Forecast: Gold Panda displayed promise in his debut when finishing a distant third without being knocked about and then got serious in his next outing when pulverizing state-bred maidens by more than five lengths in a strong race for the level. He won eased up so he could have gone faster, but the win was accomplished over a sloppy track that may have moved him up. Today, we’ll find out if he can be as effective on fast ground. Work Out ran off behind the gate prior to the start, then was captured and reloaded but was in no mood to run and was virtually eased in his first start of the year at Belmont Park in July. Toss the race out. The son of Outwork displayed plenty of promise during his two-year-old campaign and shows a steady recent series of drills to have him plenty fit, so if he behaves himself today the L. Gyarmati-trained colt could have a huge say in the outcome.
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RACE 9: Post: 5:39 ET Grade: B+
Single: 8-Maven

Forecast: Maven should outclass his rivals in this year’s edition of the Lucky Coin S., a restricted turf sprint for older horses. No threat when 11 of 16 in the King’s Stand S.-G1 at Royal Ascot in June, the W. Ward-trained gelding returns to face a field he’ll outrun with a repeat of his facile allowance win sprinting over the Keeneland course two runs back. The triple-digit Beyer number he earned in that race clearly sets him above the rest, and his recent work tab at Keeneland should have him plenty fit. We’ll make him a win play and rolling exotic single.
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RACE 10: Post: 6:13 ET Grade: B-
Use: 3-Gauff; 4-Lady Valentine

Forecast: The finale is inner turf nine furlong maiden affair for older fillies and mares. Lady Valentine, in the money in both of her starts, is a one-paced type that probably can’t beat a real good maiden, but there may not be one in here. The daughter of Into Mischief has numbers that are considerably lower than par for the level, but in a shallow field she’s likely to go favored by default. Gauff represents stranger danger. The first-timer from the B. Cox barn is bred to run long on the lawn (Siyouni from a Galileo mare) and appears to have put together a string of good works at her home base at Ellis Park. Drawn comfortably inside and with the stable’s “go-to” rider T. Gaffalione aboard, the Irish-bred filly has the look of live debut runner. Beware.
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**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-03-2021, 05:59 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Charles Town - Race #6

#2 Gaming Jack	It's not easy to win from way off the splits at this short trip, but the new connections get a really great race shape to work with in a spot where nearly every other runner wants to be right up near the top early.
#6 Ruling	He drops for this after a quarter-mile try at Mountaineer, and his better local races would make him tough with this group. Dangerous if he never gets headed.
#3 Cash for the Soul	He is quick enough to be close early, but he also has an ability to settle just a touch off it and finish. Mild concern that he just ran a pretty big race last time out and may not run back to it.
Race Summary	Gaming Jack should get a decent setup to finish from off the splits, and he has been really solid of late when racing outside of allowance company.

Charles Town - Race #7

#6 Misspotofgold	The main concern here is that she tends to give away ground late, but she might like this abbreviated two-turn trip while catching a group she can probably lead out of the gate.
#8 Conga in Paris	She's tactical enough to sit right up on the top choice, but she's going to be a short price while facing local winners for the first time.
#7 Rainbow River	She ran a nice one at 92/1 in her first start for the new barn last time out, and I'm willing to take that at face value in hopes she can repeat it to land a piece of this at a price.
Race Summary	Misspotofgold should be fast enough to find the front with this group, and she might be able to get brave if the likely chalk leaves her alone at all in the early going.

Charles Town - Race #8

#4 Earth Angel	Not too excited about much in here, so I'm willing to give this guy a chance for a Shanley barn that has gone 4:2-0-1 in these types of maiden claiming dashes this year according to Betmix Angler. Those winners were $50 and $8, so it's not like they were short chalk, either. Why not in this second start for the barn?
#6 Rare One	She's the more likely winner from the Shanley barn, but I'm not sure there is much upside at this point in her 6yo season. Still, her baseline effort might do.
#5 Grandma Schnur	She and Rare One are the pair to beat in here, but I wouldn't be too excited to sign up for anything like the even-money morning line offering. In the mix from the break.
Race Summary	Earth Angel is the 'other' Shanley in a VERY soft race, even for this level. She is relatively lightly raced with just three starts under her belt, while the three main players drawn outside of her own a combined 47 losses, so maybe there is still some potential upside here.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-03-2021, 06:00 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Meadowlands - Race #1

#7 CASHNCAM	In money in half of career starts, should go long way up front.
#8 JERRYTONE	Earned top summer speed figure at Big M with 22-percent amateur driver.
#6 THESPYWHOLOVEDME	Only win this year was in similar spot, makes third start of cycle.
Race Summary	Cashncam should take some catching as the Meadowlands opens its Fall Meet with an amateur drivers' race. He missed a week sick and chased the 3-to-5 runner-up through a :27.4 third quarter in his last start. Play a 6-7-8 exacta box.

Yonkers - Race #3

#6 TASTE OF HISTORY	Had good tune-up, good value play with Brennan.
#7 ER VEGAS	Buried lesser at Freehold after touring summer fair circuit.
#5 OFFICIAL DELIGHT	Drops off claim, can use speed well, but 1-48 since 2020.
Race Summary	Taste of History took money off a 3-1/2-month layoff but paced evenly in third behind the odds-on winner. He should benefit from that effort and most of his rivals tonight lack recent form. Play 6-5 and 6-7 exactas.

Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #11

#1 SETTN A PRECEDENT	Setting a winning precedent in 2021 and seeking a repeat at this level.
#4 MYWISHLISTFORYOU	No match for top one but can't be ignored off prior form.
#2 SWEET PINK	Tired at 2-to-5 odds after three consecutive victories.
Race Summary	Settn A Precedent rallied from far back to win at this level, now moves outside in for the start. She edged away from a pair of sub 2-1 favorites in a :27.1 final quarter to improve to 6-for-10 this year. Play a 1-ALL exacta.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-03-2021, 06:01 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Del Mar - Race #3

#5 Shylock Eddie	Has a good late move and will have a rapid pace setup; hasn't won in a couple of years but it showing positive signs with seconds in two of her last three.
#3 After Midnight	Was clear in midstretch last time but was caught late; will put on the early pressure again.
#7 Lava Lane	Had a tough trip last time and managed to run fifth; was third here last year and likely will get a much better from this time around.
Race Summary	Shylock Eddie won't be in the picture for a while many in front of her will probably feel the strain of a fast pace.

Del Mar - Race #6

#12 Connie Swingle	Romped in a maiden win here last time and a similar effort will produce another score; showed significant improvement from her first and looks like a quality runner.
#11 Bold Choice	Connections show confidence by putting this filly in a stakes race for her first start; has trained well and looks capable of running well at first asking.
#4 Stopdropandroll	Was a clear winner at Golden Gate in her only start and can probably be a factor from the start.
Race Summary	Connie Swingle has speed and talent to overcome the outside post and should be very tough to beat here.

Del Mar - Race #7

#6 Lady Noguez	Was second at this distance two races back and can benefit from having been the distance; quality router.
#5 England's Rose	Was second last out and gets much more ground here; won at 1 1-8 miles early in the year and looks like she improves with distance.
#5 Reina Del Sol	Well-traveled and most recent was unplaced at Churchill; broke her maiden at Tampa and looks like she could be strong on the tail end of this event.
Race Summary	Lady Noguez loves running long and should be able to grind out the victory; looks like she's the most eligible to get the 1 3-8th miles at this level.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-03-2021, 09:41 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Penn National

Penn National - Race 4	W-P-S / Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta / Daily Double $0.50 Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6) / $1.00 Pick 5 (Races 4-8)
Allowance • 1 Mile 70 yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 72 • Purse: $31,600 • Post: 7:22P
FOR REGISTERED PA-BRED FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A PA-RESTRICTED RACE(S) OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE AUGUST 3 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE JULY 3 ALLOWED 4 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $16,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * LULA'S ROADRUNNER: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. TINDER DATE: Hors e has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. BONITA LASSIE: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse had a bullet workout w ithin the last seven days.
2	LULA'S ROADRUNNER	3/1	3/1
3	TINDER DATE	5/2	4/1
5	BONITA LASSIE	5/1	6/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
3	TINDER DATE	3	5/2	Stalker	73	67	71.4	64.2	58.7
5	BONITA LASSIE	5	5/1	Stalker	63	67	64.4	64.4	55.4
2	LULA'S ROADRUNNER	2	3/1	Alternator/Stalker	78	71	60.7	73.3	71.3
1	DISCREETLY TOUGH	1	7/2	Alternator/Non-contender	71	64	61.0	57.2	51.2
6	LUSCIOUS LOLA	6	4/1	Alternator/Non-contender	73	63	57.6	57.6	50.1
4	MIRACLES SUNSHINE	4	8/1	Alternator/Non-contender	57	44	56.9	49.3	37.8

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-03-2021, 09:42 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Remington Park

Remington Park - Race 8	WPS / Exacta / Trifecta (.50 Cent Minimum) / Superfecta (.10 Cent Minimum) Late Daily Double
Maiden Special • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3-5 • CR: 69 • Purse: $33,000 • Post: 10:23
FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE, FOUR, AND FIVE YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. (HORSES WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR $10,000 OR LESS IN THEIR LAST 3 STARTS ARE LEAST PREFERRED).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Lone Front-runner. ENDLESS ROMANCE is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * ENDLESS ROMANCE: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Clas s Rating at the distance/surface. Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs. LA MUSE: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in t he top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
8	ENDLESS ROMANCE	7/2	7/2
1	LA MUSE	5/2	4/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
8	ENDLESS ROMANCE	8	7/2	Front-runner	73	54	50.2	51.2	44.7
1	LA MUSE	1	5/2	Stalker	68	67	51.9	59.7	55.7
5	FLEW BY YOU	5	10/1	Alternator/Stalker	73	54	44.5	51.6	43.6
4	HURRICANE FLORENCE	4	4/1	Alternator/Stalker	0	0	41.7	59.7	52.2
7	ROSIE FLASHBACK	7	10/1	Trailer	61	58	62.0	47.6	39.6
6	KINGDOM'S SPIRIT	6	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	46.5	39.8	31.8

Unknown Running Style: FOUR NO MORE (6/1) [Jockey: Gutierrez Reylu - Trainer: Broberg Karl], MARITIME EMPIRE (8/1) [Jockey: Cabrera David - Trainer: Caldwell J R].

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-03-2021, 09:43 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at FanDuel Horse Racing

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - Maiden Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $7000 Class Rating: 45

FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 1 STRATUS STORM 2/1
# 4 APPLE VALLEY 5/2
# 5 FADE FROM BLACK 6/1

STRATUS STORM has a very good shot to take this race. In this field, this one is ranked high in earnings per start in dirt sprint races. APPLE VALLEY - Ought to come out strong - I have liked the way this mare has moved promptly to the lead recently. In fine fettle, and coming back almost immediately again this time around. FADE FROM BLACK - Trainers don't bring racers back this soon for no reason.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-03-2021, 09:44 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Charles Town - Race #8 - Post: 10:32pm - Maiden Claiming - 4.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $12,100 Class Rating: 50

Rating:

#6 RARE ONE (ML=7/2)
#1 BRONX PRINCESS (ML=15/1)

RARE ONE - When Trotman and Shanley combine forces on animals the return on investment has been terrific at +75. This mare is in good physical condition. Ended up third on Aug 12th. That 38 fig this mare recorded in her last event tells me she's a major player this time out. BRONX PRINCESS - This horse could be tough in today's race, especially since Nunez rode last time around the track and now should be familiar with this one. Starting from the inside, this mount should have a distinct advantage. Her front running style should serve her well in this short race of 4 1/2 furlongs.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 GRANDMA SCHNUR (ML=1/1), #7 TAPIZAR GIRL (ML=4/1),

GRANDMA SCHNUR - In the last race this entrant finished fourth. Doesn't look promising for her chances this time around. When checking today's class figure, she will have to earn a much better speed figure than in the last race to battle in this dirt sprint. TAPIZAR GIRL - Hard to put any dough on this mare on the win end. Likes to end up on the board though. The Equibase speed figs continue to decline, 43/34/21. Not a good omen. Doubtful that the speed figure she recorded on Aug 24th will be enough in this event.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Putting our cash on #6 RARE ONE to win. Have to have odds of at least 7/5 or better though
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [1,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-03-2021, 01:07 PM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Monmouth Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Claiming - 8.5f on the Turf. Purse: $27000 Class Rating: 83

FOR FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD OR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER ON THE TURF SINCE JULY 3 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000, FOR EACH $1,000 TO $14,000 1 LB. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $12,500 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 4 MAP EM UP 2/1
# 1 JAYDINE 3/1
# 5 STEFANIE ON FLEEK 9/2

MAP EM UP looks to be a strong contender. Must be given consideration here on the basis of the figs in the speed realm alone. This racer has a very good win percent in turf routes. With a sound 76 average Equibase Speed Fig at the distance, seems well suited for today's race. JAYDINE - Look for a much better outing with the drop. A solid 88 avg Equibase class figure may give this filly a distinct class edge versus this field. STEFANIE ON FLEEK - Has to be given a shot versus this group displaying solid numbers as of late and an average speed fig of 78 under similar conditions. Has a solid record at the distance and surface, which makes me think about this mare.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-03-2021, 01:11 PM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Del Mar - Race #4 - Post: 5:00pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $25,000 Class Rating: 74

Rating:

#4 NAUGHTY EVELYN (ML=5/1)
#8 CONSIDER ME GONE (ML=8/1)
#11 CLASS CODE (ML=4/1)

NAUGHTY EVELYN - Have to like the early speed on this one. No one else may even be close. You have to like that recent race rating, 75, which is the best latest race speed rating of this group. Have to give this filly a shot. Ran a strong race in the last race within the last 30 days. CONSIDER ME GONE - Eurton is hoping to get a little more out of this filly by adding blinkers today. CLASS CODE - I'm optimistic this filly will run well today. Last prep was 2nd fastest of the day, which tells me she's sharp right now. VanDyke was aboard this filly last time out and was impressed enough to take the horse right back.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 BIG MOON (ML=7/2), #12 PATRIOT MISSILE (ML=5/1), #1 MEDUSA'S GAZE (ML=8/1),

BIG MOON - This animal hasn't been in the money in either of her last two races around the track. Could be tough for this horse to beat this field off of that last speed rating. Improbable to improve enough to run a figure close to today's class figure, so put her on the possibly overvalued contestants list. PATRIOT MISSILE - Tough to wager on any thoroughbred to turn things around if there is no wager value to taking the risk. MEDUSA'S GAZE - Finished sixth last time out. Would have to move up to finish in the money today.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - NAUGHTY EVELYN - I'm wagering on this filly. She has the top TrackMaster Power Rating and big odds.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Put your money on #4 NAUGHTY EVELYN on the nose if you can get odds of 2/1 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	4 with [8,11]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [4,8,11] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	[4,8,11] with [4,8,11] with [1,4,6,8,11] with [1,4,6,8,11] Total Cost: $36

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-03-2021, 01:17 PM

Cappers Access

Fri (NCAAF) N. Carolina
Fri (NCAAF) Northwestern

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 09-03-2021, 01:18 PM

Mike Wynn

Free Pick: Tampa Bay w/Wacha -170 over Minnesota