Saturday 9/4/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Saratoga

09/04/21, SAR, Race 7, 3.53 ET
09/04/21,SAR,7,7F [Dirt] 1:20:02 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $100,000. (UP TO $17,400 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 119 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	3	Ten Gauge	5/1	Santana. Jr. R	Asmussen Steven M.	SF	229	37.55	1.40/$1
098.2146	11	Cloud Play	20/1	Franco M	Hamm Timothy E.	C	229	37.55	1.40/$1
094.1432	4	Misbehaved	7/2	Saez L	Pletcher Todd A.	T	229	37.55	1.40/$1
093.5305	1	Trafalgar	10/1	Velazquez J R	Stall. Jr. Albert M.	W	229	37.55	1.40/$1
093.0932	8	Galt	4/1	Rosario J	Mott William I.	J	229	37.55	1.40/$1
092.4605	10	Brigadier General	5/1	Franco M	Stewart Dallas	EL	229	37.55	1.40/$1
092.0270	2	Classic Causeway	6/1	Ortiz J L	Lynch Brian A.		229	37.55	1.40/$1
091.5411	5	Olympian	6/1	Castellano J	Weaver George		229	37.55	1.40/$1
090.7097	9	Tiz Eternal	15/1	Cancel E	Tagg Barclay		229	37.55	1.40/$1
089.2001	7	Atlantic Dancer	30/1	Gaffalione T	Zito Nicholas P.		229	37.55	1.40/$1
083.9364	6	Jurkovec	20/1	Davis D	Albertrani Thomas		229	37.55	1.40/$1

Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 42.50, ROI 1.24/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.7854
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Race Age Not 3

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Ed Sehon

Saratoga

EARLY DAILY DOUBLE (Races Nos. 1-2, 12:35 p.m. ET/9:35 a.m. PT)

Race 1: 3,5,12

Race 2: 2,3,8

Wager: $2 Daily Double ($18)

$.50 PICK 4 (Races Nos. 2-5, 1:10 p.m. ET/10:10 a.m. PT)

Race 2: 2,3,8

Race 3: 1,4,6,7

Race 4: 7

Race 5: 1,2,4,5,6 ($30)

PRICE PLAY I (Race No. 5, 2:47 p.m. ET/11:47 a.m. PT)

Trainer upgrade from subpar Linda Rice to hot Brad Cox (31% wins) and cutback to 6 furlongs are the keys to victory for #5 Amendment Nineteen (4-1 morning line). Jose Ortiz stays. Mr. Ed exercises his right to vote for and Wager: $10 to Win & Place on 5 ($20)

EXACTA EXTRA (Race No. 7, 3:53 p.m. ET/12:53 p.m. PT)

Dallas Stewart 2-year-olds improve with age and experience. His #10 Brigadier General (5-1 morning line) making his third start, gets rider change to Manny Franco. Mr. Ed uses him top & under with #3 Ten Gauge (5-1), #4 Misbehaved (7-2) and #8 Gait (4-1). Wager: $4 Exacta Box 10/3,4 & 8. ($24)

PRICE PLAY II (Race No. 8, 4:27 p.m. ET/1:27 p.m. PT)

Wesley Ward ships Kentucky Derby starter #2 Like the King (6-1 morning line) up north for Grade 3, $200,000 Saranac Stakes following ultra-sharp works at Keeneland. Johnny Velasquez fit for this king. Mr. Ed crowns colt. Wager: $10 Win & Place on 2. ($20)

BEST BET (Race No. 10, 5:37 p.m. ET/2:37 p.m. PT)

Brad Cox is the trainer Mr. Ed rode in on (see Race No. 5 above). Late-blooming 3-year-old colt #3 Ducale (5-2 morning line) shows ton of upside. If he can repeat 97 Beyer Speed Figure in last, he’s a winner against this crew. Wager: $30 to Win on 3. ($30)

LATE DAILY DOUBLE (Races Nos. 11-12, 6:11 p.m. ET/3:11 p.m. PT)

In conditioner Bill Mott, Mr. Ed trusts to sweep Late DD with #3 War Like Goddess (4-1 morning line) in Race No. 11 and #1 Forza Di Oro (8-5 morning line) in Race No. 12. Wager: $10 Daily 3-1 Daily Double. ($10)

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John Lauro

Saratoga Race No. 11 (6:11 p.m. ET/3:11 p.m. PT)

#3 War Like Goddess (4-5 morning line) in the Grade 1 Flower Bowl Stakes. “War Like Goddess is a rising star in the female turf division. Best bet of the weekend.”

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Duane Colucci

Saratoga Race No. 10 (5:37 p.m. ET/2:37 p.m. PT)

#9 Crowded Trade (5-1 morning line). “Lost the Gotham by an inch in early March, then faced the top 3-year-olds in both the Wood and the Preakness. He gets significant class relief after a good comeback in the tough Amsterdam. Bet 9 to Win and key 9 over 6,8 & 10 in exactas, trifectas and reverse.”

Saratoga Race No. 12 (6:46 p.m. ET/3:46 p.m. PT)

#5 Night Ops (5-1 morning line) in the Grade 1 Jockey Club Gold Cup Stakes. “Love his last two races against top competition, including Art Collector, who came back to win the CT Classic. Should be close early. Trainer Brad Cox and jockey Manny Franco are hitting at 33# when teaming up this year. Should get a nice price. Bet 5 to Win and key 5 over 2 & 4 in exactas, trifectas and reverse.”


Del Mar Races Nos. 8-11 (8:07 p.m. ET/5:07 p.m. PT)

$0.50 Pick 4 (cost $80)

Race 8: 4,5,6,7
Race 9: 1,3,6,9
Race 10: 1,3,4,9,10
Race 11: 4,14

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A.I. Pick of the Week

Saratoga Race No. 10 (5:37 p.m. ET/2:37 p.m. PT)

#3 Ducale (5-2 ML odds)

Ducale ranks 1st in a whopping 16 of the 52 factors used by 1/ST BET A.I.

This 3-year-old colt also ranks 1st in 8 of the “Top 15 Factors” at betmix.com, including speed in last race, best average speed last 3 races, best speed at the track and best trainer winning percentage (Brad Cox).

He also ranks in the Top 5 in 5 of the other 7 categories, including best speed at the distance, best turn time and best trainer/jockey win percentage.

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Free Winners for Saturday, September 4th 2021 from THE LEGEND!
FREE HORSE PICKS
MONMOUTH PARK
RACE #12
TIME: 5:30 PM EST
PICK: BET #7 South Bend 3/1 odds to win @ Bovada

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JR O'Donnell

Georgia ML +145

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Goodfella

Stanford PK

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Sean Higgs

Alabama vs Miami-FL UNDER 62

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Doc's Sports

LSU -3

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Scott Spreitzer:

#197 Syracuse (-1.5) over Ohio

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Red Dog Sports

Soccer | Swindon Town vs Stevenage FC

Draw +206

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Jimmy Boyd

1* Free Pick on Baylor -13½

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Kevin Dolan

Wisconsin -5.5

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Las Vegas Cris

Stanford +3