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WASHINGTON @ ATLANTA | 09/09 | 7:20 PM EDT
ATLANTA -1.5
ANALYSIS: Erick Fedde is 0-3 with an 11.12 ERA against the Braves this season, allowing 19 hits and six walks in just 11.1 innings. Atlanta's Huascar Ynoa has given up zero earned runs in 12 innings versus the Nats this year. This is a great bounceback spot for the Braves, who are 13-5 against Washington this season. I'm playing Atlanta -1.5 runs at -115.
CHI. WHITE SOX @ OAKLAND | 09/09 | 3:37 PM EDT
CHI. WHITE SOX +135
ANALYSIS: Sean Manaea has struggled lately going 1-3 with a 6.55 ERA in his last 7 starts. Reynaldo Lopez has been solid this season with a 2.08 ERA in 15 games and 5 starts. The White Sox hit lefties well and the As are 27-44 against teams over .500 this season. This game should be closer to 50-50, take the value in the White Sox.
+2535 104-80 IN LAST 184 MLB ML PICKS
+960 19-10 IN LAST 29 CHW ML PICKS
2:06 PM
CHI. WHITE SOX @ OAKLAND | 09/09 | 3:37 PM EDT
OAKLAND -145
ANALYSIS: Again, not looking at any dang models, but what I think. That White Sox lineup is garbage today without Tim Anderson, Eloy Jimenez and Yoan Moncada. It's basically Luis Robert, Jose Abreu and a ton of question marks. Someone named Romy Gonzalez is playing third, and I'm a Sox fan! The A's are playing everyone. While Oakland lefty Sean Manaea had a bit of a rough stretch recently, he appeared to right the ship last time out against a Blue Jays lineup that is a lot better than this White Sox one is currently. Manaea typically struggles in August but is 10-3 with a 2.20 ERA in 18 career starts in September.
+1803 221-154-6 IN LAST 381 MLB PICKS
+250 5-2 IN LAST 7 CHW ML PICKS
2:05 PM
COLORADO @ PHILADELPHIA | 09/09 | 7:05 PM EDT
PHILADELPHIA -180
ANALYSIS: The Rockies just lost four in a row at home -- which is a huge deal, given that they were 45-23 at home before that -- and then had to fly across a good portion of the country to Philly. Now they play a contender on the road, where they are 18-50 this season. They hit .211/.286/.334 away from home. The Phillies start Ranger Suarez on the hill. He sports a 1.38 ERA on the season and his transition to the rotation has been beautiful. He has a 1.71 ERA in his seven starts and is stretched out enough to hit triple digits on his pitch count. Further, coming off facing Brewers pitchers, the Phillies offense will love these matchups.
+1788 35-16 IN LAST 51 MLB ML PICKS
+710 8-1 IN LAST 9 PHI ML PICKS
+650 7-1 IN LAST 8 COL ML PICKS
2:32 PM
TORONTO @ N.Y. YANKEES | 09/09 | 7:05 PM EDT
TORONTO +105
ANALYSIS: Something about the Yankees seems broken (again). Since that 13-game winning streak, they've gone 2-9 while hitting .206/.277/.312 as a team. They are averaging just 3.3 runs per game while striking out 8.7 times per game. Double plays continue to plague them, with 15 in these 11 games. The Jays start Jose Berrios, who strikes out more than 1/4 of the batters he faces and gets more grounders than flies. Yankees starter Nestor Cortes has been great, but the Blue Jays offense is relentless. They've hit .291/.379/.591 with 18 homers in this seven-game winning streak, which includes several major, late comebacks. This might happen late, but it'll happen.
+1788 35-16 IN LAST 51 MLB ML PICKS
+70 2-1 IN LAST 3 NYY ML PICKS
2:21 PM
DALLAS @ TAMPA BAY | 09/09 | 8:20 PM EDT
TAMPA BAY -8
ANALYSIS: I initially thought this line was where it should be based on my power ratings but was giving the edge to the Bucs with defending champs going 14-6 ATS in their last 20 Week 1 games. I had hoped good Dak Prescott news would move the line down to Bucs -7 and give us an even bigger edge, but it's instead ticked the other way after Zack Martin was ruled out due to a positive COVID-19 test. Consider that a preview of the unpredictable nature of the 2021 NFL season, where sudden, unexpected player absences will wreak havoc on line movement expectations. I'm still laying it with the Bucs and think they win by 10-plus here.
+703 24-15-4 IN LAST 43 TB ATS PICKS
+300 3-0 IN LAST 3 DAL ATS PICKS
TUE 9/7
Game: (957) Washington Nationals at (958) Atlanta Braves Date/Time: Sep 9 2021 7:20 PM EDT Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line Play Rating: 5 units Play: Total Over 9.0 (-120) E Fedde (RHP), H Ynoa (RHP) Must Start
5 unit OVER 9 WASH/ATL Fedde & Ynoa
Fedde with a 5.29 ERA and 1.49 WHIP
Nationals 4.9 runs/game last 7 games
Braves now .349 (29-83) against Fedde in his career
Ynoa with a 4.62 ERA and 1.43 WHIP
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