Service Plays Sunday 9/12/21

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Tony Finn

5* Jacksonville -2.5

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HITMAN | NFL Sides - Sunday, Sep 12 2021 1:00PM
467 MIN -3.0 (-110)Circa Sports vs 468 CIN double-dime bet

Analysis: I make this game Vikings -3.25, which means I have close to neutral power rating value, but the matchup and Joe Burrow's return circumstances heavily favor Minnesota.


Joe Burrow is only 9 in a half months from not only tearing his ACL and MCL, but he also had damage to his meniscus and PCL. All reports coming out of Cincinnati from beat writers, and also quotes from players such as Tyler Boyd, are saying that Burrow is far from 100% at the moment.


Meanwhile. Minnesota has made major additions in their front 7 that should be able to take advantage of a bottom five Bengals offensive line. The Bengals defense projects to be one of the leagues worst, and defensively they will be without CB Trae Waynes, leaving journeyman corners Chidobe Awuzie and Eli Apple in charge of covering Adam Thielen and Justin Jefferson. Cincinnati has also failed to make any significant upgrades to last years 31st ranked rushing defense in YPC allowed, making this a huge mismatch in favor of Dalvin Cook and the Vikings.

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Indian Cowboy NFL Sun

7) ARI +3
6) CLE +5.5
3) PIT +6.5
3) NO +4

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Joe Gavazzi

Saint +4
Bills -6.5
Bengals Under 48

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WUnderdog

NFL

GreenBay -3.5 vs new orleans

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Jason Sharpe

6* Denver -3
4* Carolina -4

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Jeff Ma-
Patriots
Browns
Cowboys- W
Giants
Saints

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Teddy Covers Week 1:

5%: Carolina -4
4%: Denver -2.5
3% New England – Miami: FIRST HALF UNDER 22.5
3% - Baltimore -5

[dawggy]

JM SPORTS

• Game: (469) San Francisco 49ers at (470) Detroit Lions
  Date/Time: Sep 12 2021 1:00 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 3 units
  Play: San Francisco 49ers -8.5 (-110)
  
  3 unit San Fransisco 49ers (-8.5) over Detroit Lions –
  Nick Bosa is back and healthy, and this Detroit Lions team may already be thinking about next years draft. The Lions allowed over 32 points to opponents LY and after going 2-5-1 ATS @ H LY, a new QB isn’t something that is going to improve this Lions teams by leaps and bounds (if by anything), especially in a week 1 match-up vs. a DEF like SF.
  
• Game: (459) Arizona Cardinals at (460) Tennessee Titans
  Date/Time: Sep 12 2021 1:00 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 3 units
  Play: Total Over 53.5 (-110)
  
  3 unit Arizona Cardinals/Tennessee Titans OVER 53.5 –
  Both of these offenses have potential to be power house, point explosions game in and game out, and both teams have similar issues on the other side of the ball. Arizona allowed over 350 yards of offense, but with Murray throwing to weapons like Hopkins, Kirk, AJ Green, and Maxx Williams, with Edmonds & Conner running the ball they have MULTIPLE offensive weapons that can wear down a defense, as well as come up with the big plays deep. I don’t think I need to mention the weapons that the Titans have, it would be an offense like last year adding Julio Jones! Plenty of deep ball threats, and plenty of threats to run the ball, and even if they limit Henry’s carries, these offenses are both looking for a huge year to compensate for these defenses.
  
• Game: (471) Cleveland Browns at (472) Kansas City Chiefs
  Date/Time: Sep 12 2021 4:25 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 4 units
  Play: Cleveland Browns +5.5 (-110)
  
  4 unit Cleveland Browns (+5.5) over Kansas City Chiefs –
  It is hard to forget the AFC championship game that we saw last season. Both teams are back with a vengeance, and both teams are set to be competing for a top spot when the playoffs roll around. One BIG difference in this game is the new faces Mahomes will see on the other side of the offensive line, adding names like Clowney (DE/OLB), Walker (DL), Jackson (LB), Hil (DB)l, Johnson (DB), Newsome II (DB) and JOK (LB)! That’s a lot of talent, a lot of depth and a lot of speed to come after Mahomes all day! Kansas City only averaged 21.9 rush attempts at home last year, that’s a lot of time Mahomes will be mobile, and more then likely be chased down constantly. The Browns were 4-2 as an AD LY and even though KC may have a slightly superior offense, their defense doesn’t hold a flame to this team and they may struggle to keep Baker and Chubb at ease all game. KC ended the season 7-12 LY ATS, and while they may win this game by a FG, I don’t think they will be able to pull away from a drastically improved defensive unit with the Browns.
  
• Game: (475) Denver Broncos at (476) New York Giants
  Date/Time: Sep 12 2021 4:25 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 3 units
  Play: Total Under 41.5 (-110)
  
  3 unit Denver Broncos/New York Giants UNDER 41.5 –
  This game is a tale of two units, a similar tale on both sides of the ball, a pretty stout D and an extremely conservative offense, regardless of if you are looking at the home or the away team. The Broncos are going to come in hot, attacking "Danny Dimes”, which should inevitably result in a TO differential siding with the Broncos. I expect Chubb and Miller to attack quick and often, along with the other weapons of this ferocious D. Bridgewater did get the job for two big reasons, he doesn’t turn the ball over much and he is a great game manager, I expect them to slow this game down, controlling the tempo with their D and winning this game in a low-scoring affair over the Giants.
  
• Game: (479) Chicago Bears at (480) Los Angeles Rams
  Date/Time: Sep 12 2021 8:20 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 5 units
  Play: Los Angeles Rams -8.0 (-110)
  
  5 unit LA Rams (-8.0) over Chicago Bears –
  This LA Rams defense, or should I say Aaron Donald and company (a superb company, may I add, not to take away from the multiple other playmakers). The Bears OL is simply terrible and Aaron Donald is not who you want to see staring you down from the other side of that line. Sean McVay & Donald really don’t lose in week 1. The Rams allowed under 20 PPG LY, and under 282 yards of offense to opposing teams and I see this continuing well beyond week 1.

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Tokyo Brandon

304653) Samsung Lions at (304654) Hanwha Eagles
Game: (304653) Samsung Lions at (304654) Hanwha Eagles
Date/Time: Sep 12 2021 1:00 AM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 1%
Play: Hanwha Eagles Total Over 2.5 (-105)

Brandon is the #1 capper at Wager Talk the last 3 days, 7 days and 30 days and he is winning 64% of his KBO plays this season. He has a 5% play in the KBO today for 10pm PT. This is a money line play available in every book. Get it now for $15.

Samsung SP Buchannan gets a lot of credit for his numbers but he has recently allowed 10 runs his last 4 starts and Samsung has a terrible bullpen. Hanwha has a bad lineup so make it a smaller play but my numbers say 4.32 here so bet Hanwha team total Over 2.5.

(304657) SSG Landers at (304658) KT Wiz Suwon
Game: (304657) SSG Landers at (304658) KT Wiz Suwon
Date/Time: Sep 12 2021 1:00 AM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 3%
Play: 1H KT Wiz Suwon Total Over 2.5 (-120)

Lee Tae Yang has been a disaster allowing 13 runs in his last 3 starts and has allowed 6 in his last 2 starts vs KT. KT has the best lineup in the game and should be able to get 3 in the 1st 5. My numbers have this at 3.2.

(304655) NC Dinos at (304656) KIA Tigers
Game: (304655) NC Dinos at (304656) KIA Tigers
Date/Time: Sep 12 2021 1:00 AM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 5%
Play: NC Dinos -155

Pinnacle has this at 155 and it is available at other places for 170. Take it. Rucinski is ranked 4 out of 103 pitchers and he faces a relief pitcher who has never thrown more than 1 inning all season and has been shabby even in those. Kia backs him up with the worst lineup in baseball and the worst bullpen. NC had a bad loss yesterday and should come out firing. If the juice is too high you can take -1.5 since NC gets 9 at bats on the road.

(304151) Chunichi Dragons at (304152) Yomiuri Giants
Game: (304151) Chunichi Dragons at (304152) Yomiuri Giants
Date/Time: Sep 11 2021 1:00 AM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 2%
Play: Yomiuri Giants Total Under 3.5 (-105)

Yanagi has been masterful this season allowing only 3 runs his last 4 starts and sports a 2-0 record with a 1.00 ERA vs Yomiuri this season. The Giants are struggling in a big way and rumbles from the couching staff suggest they are going to bench some under performing veterans soon. Morale is low and they are on a bad streak of non-production. IF they score 4 it will have to come in the last 4 innings and that seems like a stretch. Take the Yomiuri Under 3.5. team total.

(304149) Orix Buffaloes at (304150) Seibu Lions
Game: (304149) Orix Buffaloes at (304150) Seibu Lions
Date/Time: Sep 11 2021 1:00 AM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 1%
Play: 1H Orix Buffaloes Total Over 1.5 (-130)

Imai has allowed 14 runs his last 2 starts and has a 1.65 WHIP in 2021. Orix is missing their best hitter but 1.5 is just too low of a hurdle for this power lineup. Take the Orix 1st 5 team total Over 1.5 available at Pinnacle for -130.

(304159) Fukuoka S. Hawks at (304160) Nippon Ham Fighters
Game: (304159) Fukuoka S. Hawks at (304160) Nippon Ham Fighters
Date/Time: Sep 12 2021 1:00 AM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 2%
Play: Fukuoka S. Hawks Total Over 3.5 (-125)

The Hawks are the hottest hitting team the last two weeks and they face a pitcher with a 1.68 WHIP and who has not gone past the 4th inning in his last two starts. That opens things up for a below-average bullpen. My numbers have this at 4.74 so take the Hawks to score 4 in this one. They get 9 at bats on the road as well.

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Top Rank Sports Picks

Marquee Picks® For 09/12/21

4★ New England -3 over Miami (NFL)

3★ Carolina -4 over N.Y. Jets (NFL)

3★ Arizona/Tennessee UNDER 53.5 (NFL)

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Primetime Sports Picks

MEMBER PICKS For 09/12/21

4 Unit --> Minnesota -3 over Cincinnati (NFL)

3 Unit --> Arizona/Tennessee OVER 53.5 (NFL)

3 Unit --> San Francisco/Detroit UNDER 46 (NFL)

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National Sports Service

5* Minnesota -3 over Cincinnati (NFL)

3* Carolina -4 over N.Y. Jets (NFL)

3* San Francisco/Detroit UNDER 46 (NFL)

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Insider Sports Report

4* New England -3 over Miami (NFL)
Range: -1 to -5

3* Pittsburgh/Buffalo UNDER 48 (NFL)
Range: 50 to 46

3* Washington -1 over L.A. Chargers (NFL)
Range: +1.5 to -3

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Elite Sports Picks

Houston +3 over Jacksonville (NFL)