Saturday 9/18/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Marco D'Angelo

Event: (155) Colorado State at (156) Toledo
Sport/League: CFB

Date/Time: September 18, 2021 4PM EDT
Play: Colorado State +14.5 (-110)

Great spot to fade Toledo as they come off a gut wrenching loss to Notre Dame. No way I want to lay points with a team that just missed pulling a major upset as 16 point dogs. Toledo Wins but this is much closer than people think. Grab Colorado St +14.5 here.
TAKE COLORADO ST

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Adams

Event: (193) Rice at (194) Texas
Sport/League: CFB

Date/Time: September 18, 2021 8PM EDT
Play: Texas -25.0 (-110)
Great spot to come back and play Texas here after a tough loss to Arkansas over the weekend. The Longhorns are trying to prove that they’re a top tier program, and losing outright as a 6 point favorite isn’t going to convince many people. However, Texas gets to take their anger out on an inferior opponent this week when they play host to Rice. The Owls were run out of their own building in a 44-7 loss to Houston over the weekend. Quarterback Luke McCaffrey went 9 for 19 with 86 yards and 3 picks in the game. The Longhorns may not be backable against the SEC, but they won’t have any trouble blowing out Rice on Saturday. Take Texas.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Merril

Event: (191) Stanford at (192) Vanderbilt
Sport/League: CFB

Date/Time: September 18, 2021 8PM EDT
Play: Stanford -12.5 (-110)
Stanford started slowly in their first game versus Kansas State, but the Cardinal woke up last week with an impressive 42-28 win as a 17-point road underdog at USC. Look for that momentum to continue against a terrible Vanderbilt team that is still just 4-20 SU since the end of 2019, despite a road win at Colorado State last weekend. Vanderbilt lost outright 23-3 as a 21-point favorite in their only home game this season versus East Tennessee State.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dwayne Bryant

Event: (199) Arizona State at (200) BYU
Sport/League: CFB

Date/Time: September 18, 2021 10PM EDT
Play: Total Under 51.0 (-110)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kyle Anthony

Event: (24401) Ryan Spann at (24402) Anthony Smith
Sport/League: MMA

Date/Time: September 18, 2021 11PM EDT
Play: Anthony Smith -165
In the Main Event on Saturday's UFC Fight Night, Anthony Smith faces Ryan Spann…
Round 1 could be scary, but I just don't see Spann having the ability to do much after that. Anthony Smith is battled tested and has proved he can go into deep water. His toughness is off the charts as he continues to sharpen his striking. The biggest issue for Ryan is his cardio mixed with his style at which he fights. He has the power to land the bomb, but grappling is where he could find success as well. The problem is, …Spann just doesn't have the ability to push for takedowns round after round. Basically by round 2 his gas tank falls off a cliff which is where Smith can chip away. The biggest eye opener was rewatching Spann's fight against Sam Alvey. It was set up for Spann to have a highlight reel KO win against the limited movement and lack of striking volume from Alvey. It turned out Spann, the massive favorite, not only struggled to out land Sam in spots, but even with limited output Spann was tired quickly. On Saturday night Spann will be in a 5 round main event which he just isn't build for. Smith is a very very very hard guy to finish so early round 1 I believe Smith will play defense knowing he needs to weather the early storm. The slow movement and lack of footwork from Spann will also provide the perfect target for Smith to fire off heavy leg kicks. In my opinion this line should be wider as Smith is a level above Spann all around.

Play: Anthony Smith (-165)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

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Arlington - Race #4

#4 Sport Pepper	Forward player has been a bit dicey late at times, but he gets a solid turf route rider for this one and has been heading in the right direction.
#7 Wonderstruck	Think she's the most likely winner while adding blinkers and getting two turns on turf, but it doesn't really feel like the risk/reward balance is going to be there on the tote board as she drops out of stakes company.
#2 Winter's Ghost	He rallied with mild enthusiasm in the debut run going short on the main, but he's bred to be able to handle the added ground while moving to a course over which mom won. Overlooked for low-percentage connections.
Race Summary	Sport Pepper seems likely enough to handle the turf, and I like that he held decent form while getting around two turns for the first time last out. Have to think he lands a dreamy trip today.

Arlington - Race #6

#6 She Can't Sing	She has turned in some pretty good turf tries for being 0-for-6 over the footing, and she should be able to track the splits from close range. Would gladly take her as the second choice.
#1 Gray Owl	She's worth a little look as the 'other' Rivelli even with a tricky trail draw, but she might be quick enough to go from the inside and have a run for it.
#3 Richies Great Girl	Not much to argue with after the sharp score here and the good try at Saratoga, but the price might get a bit short in a race where she probably doesn't have to win.
Race Summary	Sentimentally, I'd love to see #4 Oh So Terrible get one more win here late in likely the final Arlington season, but she seems in a bit tough today. She Can't Sing gets the slight edge over the two Rivellis, and I think the better price of that pair is more interesting from the fence.

Arlington - Race #7

#3 Greeleys Ice	He'll need to bounce back after a dull try on the main track, but his two-back run produced an effort that saw him finish just behind a few he'll face again today -- but his price is going to be significantly longer. Let's see if he can spring a turf sprint upset.
#8 W W Kan Do	He wired some of these last out when making his turf debut, and that was a pretty sharp first try on the new footing. He has dangerous pace and probably leads these into the lane again.
#2 Mongol Bull	He should be right up top with W W Kan Do in the early going, but he could take the worst of it while drawn closer to the fence. Easy to root for this guy.
Race Summary	Greeleys Ice might draft a perfect trip just behind the speed, and he's likely to offer a nice number on the board while not being far off the other listed pair here last month.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

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Hawthorne - Race #1

#9 GEAR UPN GO MOE	Changed tactics, gunned to clear lead, can build on third-place effort.
#6 SPORTS HERO	Beaten favorite in three-peat attempt against better.
#4 CHICK MAGNET	Rallied for second twice behind 'Hero,' needs some pace flow.
Race Summary	Gear Up Upn Go Moe accelerated into the first turn to avoid a 5-wide trip and held okay to finish third through a :56.2 back half. He starts farther outside tonight but he can rate and is an inviting 8-1 on the morning line. Play a 4-6-9 exacta box.

Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #9

#7 ABUCKABETT HANOVER	Been facing better, packs late wallop, today's Best Bet.
#9 BETTOR SUN	Early position from post 9 will be key for field's top money-earner.
#8 PIRATE HANOVER	Took serious money, paced evenly through wicked middle fractions.
Race Summary	Abuckabett Hanover rallied from last and finished willingly to get beat 4-1/2 lengths in the $1 million North America Cup. He should blow past this field for his 10th win in 25 starts. Play a 7/8,9/ALL trifecta.

Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #3

#3 JM JACK OF HEARTS	Escaped traffic congestion too late, gets class relief, strong play.
#6 PRICELESS BEACH	Failed to sustain middle move, gets driver upgrade.
#5 MAJOR CUSTARD	Finished ahead of 'Jack' from post 10 but he's 0-21 this year.
Race Summary	JM Jack Of Hearts trailed most of the way with nowhere to run on the rail. He swung widest in the stretch and finished full of run as the beaten favorite. Expect a winning rally on the class drop.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

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Gulfstream Park - Race #5

#8 C My Meister	Broke his maiden here, then shipped to Colonial and was third in the Kitten's Joy Stakes; can bring the late heat in this one.
#4 Eldon's Prince	Broke his maiden in the Proud Man Stakes in his first try at a mile on grass; faces better competition today.
#10 Credibility	Was up in time in his only start and his effort was comfortable to Eldon's Prince's run in the Proud Man.
Race Summary	C My Meister ran a good third vs. decent company at Colonial and has the closing move to be successful in this spot.

Gulfstream Park - Race #9

#5 Saturday Nite Girl	Has the benefit of having won going two turns on turf and the $650K weanling purchase and has the pedigree to perform well at this distance.
#4 Diamond Wow	Was an easy winner in her only start, and she stretches out from five furlongs to this mile; will be the one to catch.
#9 Eiswein	Closed with a rush and beat maiden claimers at Colonial in her only start; can be in the hunt throughout.
Race Summary	Saturday Nite Girl was impressive once she had the chance to stretch out and is in a perfect situation here.

Gulfstream Park - Race #10

#3 My Mane Man	Lost by a nose going a mile last time and can be a forward player from the outset.
#4 Lauda Speed	Has been in some strong races and lands in a spot that should provide a big chance for improvement.
#6 Flamingo Hawk	Takes his first leap into stakes company and has performed very well in allowance optional claiming races; fits well with these.
Race Summary	My Mane Man takes a slight turnback in distance and should be able to finish full of run; lightly raced but is clearly moving in the right direction.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sal Michaels

Sep 18 '21, 1:10 PM in 1h
MLB | Orioles vs Red Sox
Play on: Orioles +240 at William Hill

Free Play on Orioles +240

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Rocky Atkinson

Sep 18 '21, 2:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | Nevada vs Kansas State
Play on: Nevada -1½ -110 at linepros

Rocketman Sports FREE CFB play Saturday 9-18-21 Nevada @ Kansas State (2:00 PM EST)
Play On: Nevada -1 1/2
The Nevada Wolfpack travel to Kansas State to take on the Wildcats on Saturday afternoon. My Rocketman line for this game is Nevada to win by over 14 points. Both teams come in with 2-0 records on the season. Nevada is averaging 376.5 passing yards per game and a whopping 479.5 total yards per game so far this year. Nevada is 6-1 ATS last 3 years against non-conference teams. Nevada is scoring 35.5 points per game while allowing only 13.5 points per game overall this season. Nevada is 6-1 ATS last 7 games after allowing 20 points or less in their previous game. Kansas State lost their starting QB, Skylar Thompson last game with a knee injury and he is out for this one. His back up Will Howard came in and didn't do well going 8 for 17 47% completion percentage for only 76 yards and had an interception. I'll recommend a small play on Nevada over Kansas State in this one. Thanks and good luck, Rocky

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Mike Williams

Sep 18 '21, 4:00 PM in 4h
NCAA-F | Colorado State vs Toledo
Play on: Toledo -14½ -105 at pinnacle

1* on Toledo -14½ -105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny Walker

Sep 18 '21, 7:10 PM in 7h
MLB | Mariners vs Royals
Play on: Royals +107 at Caesars

Free Pick on Royals

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Dustin Hawkins

Sep 18 '21, 7:15 PM in 7h
MLB | CHC vs MIL
Play on: UNDER 7½ -110

1 Dimer on Cubs vs Brewers under 7½ -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cole Faxon

Sep 18 '21, 10:00 PM in 10h
Soccer | Pachuca vs Guadalajara
Play on: Pachuca +203 at BetVegas

FREE PLAY on Pachuca +203

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Lethbridge

Lethbridge - Race 7	Exactor / Triactor / Superfecta
Allowance • 7 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 77 • Purse: $4,100 • Post: 3:45P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * AMERICAN LEAGUE: Horse is dropping in class, has an inside post position and isn't a Trailer. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/ surface. OUR DANDY'S BOY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. HOTNTHIRSTY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. A. F. INDY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
3	AMERICAN LEAGUE	2/1	9/2
5	OUR DANDY'S BOY	8/5	6/1
2	HOTNTHIRSTY	6/1	7/1
4	A. F. INDY	5/1	9/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
3	AMERICAN LEAGUE	3	2/1	Stalker	87	70	63.4	65.8	61.8
6	REMARKABLE VINTAGE	6	3/1	Stalker	73	70	0.0	63.0	54.0
4	A. F. INDY	4	5/1	Alternator/Stalker	74	73	42.9	63.6	58.1
5	OUR DANDY'S BOY	5	8/5	Alternator/Stalker	82	71	41.2	71.1	63.6
2	HOTNTHIRSTY	2	6/1	Trailer	78	77	0.0	68.6	63.6
1	DARE TO ENTER	1	8/1	Alternator/Non-contender	80	79	64.0	61.2	51.2