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Game: (915) Toronto Blue Jays at (916) Tampa Bay Rays
Date/Time: Sep 20 2021 7:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 1%
Play: Toronto Blue Jays -105
Robbie Ray is having a Cy Young-type of season and although his numbers are a little better at home I feel good taking him on the road here because he has a career .143 BAA vs Rays batters. Rays SP Shane Baz makes his debut and in the Olympics he got knocked around a bit by Japan. He might start strong but by the 4th and 5th innings the Jays should be able to get to him. The Jays have a better pen as well so I am taking them on the money line.
Oakland has won 83 of the last 121 games when playing as a favorite of -150 or higher and they have won 82 of the last 121 games vs. left-handed starting pitchers. Oakland has won 69 of the last 122 games after allowing two runs or less in their last game and they have won 60 of the last 112 games coming off two or more UNDER the totals.
Monday card has a Rare 6* Top NFL Totals Play from a Perfect Week 2 specific System. There is also the American League Play of the Month from an Undefeated MLB September system. MLB Totals Play below.
The MLB Totals Play is on the Under 8 runs in the Baltimore at Philadelphia game at 7:10 eastern. Solid Pitching match here as Means opposes Suarez. Baltimore has gone under the last 5 with Means on the mound and the last 5 on the road vs a Lefty. The Phillies have gone under in 4 of 5 at home vs a lefty and 9 of 13 in game 1 of a series. Suarez has allowed 2 or less runs in his last 5 starts and has a 1.50 Era on the year with 6 of 8 under of late in his starts. In the series 5 of 7 have stayed under. Look for this one to stay under 8 runs. On Monday we have a 6* Top Level Monday night Football Totals System and the American League Game of the Month with a Perfect September specific system. Top Plays on Atlanta and Dallas cashed out in the NFL on Sunday. See us on facebook/twitter to Jump on as we start the week big. For the MLB Comp Play. Play Under in the Orioles at Phillies game. Rob V- Golden Contender Sports
Both of these NFC North rivals are looking to bounce back from Week 1 losses. The Lions (0-1 SU, 1-0 ATS) fell to the 49ers 41-33 in last week's opener, although Detroit managed to cover as 9.5-point home dogs. Meanwhile, the Packers (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS) got embarrassed by the Saints 38-3, losing straight up as 3.5-point neutral site favorites. This line opened with Green Bay listed as an 11-point home favorite. The public says Aaron Rodgers and the Packers are a great team and must get back on track by rolling the lowly Lions. This lopsided action has pushed Green Bay up from -11 to -11.5. Some shops even reached 12 before some Lions buyback dropped the number back down.
The Lions match several profitable betting systems, most notably a contrarian road divisional dog in a primetime game. Double-digit road divisional dogs are 109-83 (57%) over the past decade. Primetime dogs are 4-1 ATS this season. Monday Night Football double-digit dogs are 26-10 ATS (72.2%) over the past decade. Double-digit dogs are 50-38 ATS (56.8%) in the month of September over the past decade. Also, when two winless teams face off, the dog has been a smart bet (35-25 ATS, 58.3% the past decade).
We've also seen some respected money hit this total. It opened at 49.5 and the public is rushing to the window to take the over. However, despite this lopsided betting we've seen the line fall from 49.5 to 48.5. This signals some sharp reverse line movement on the under, which is also super contrarian in a heavily bet primetime game. Historically, divisional unders that fall at least a point are roughly 54% the past decade. Another reason to look at the under: the weather. The forecast calls for 15-20 MPH winds at Lambeau Field. When the wind blows 10 MPH or more, the under is roughly 55% the past decade. Adrian Hill, the lead ref, has historically favored unders (20-13, 60.6%).
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