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Adam Trigger
Event: (251) Washington Football Team at (252) Atlanta Falcons
Sport/League: NFL
Date/Time: October 3, 2021 1PM EDT
Play: Washington Football Team -125
Football Team (1PM ET FOX) – We have already taken a giant step toward another big NFL week with the Jaguars covering the +7.5 to cash our 5% MAX BET on Thursday night. Still plenty of NFL left for Week 4 and we will start things off with a BEST BET in the first wave of games on Sunday when the Atlanta Falcons take on the Washington Football Team at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, Georgia.
It looks like I was wrong about Washington as this version of the Football Team is nowhere near as good as the squad that was a pleasant surprise in 2020. Sure, losing Ryan Fitzpatrick in the first quarter of the season is tough, but the far more glaring issue has been how pedestrian the Washington defense has been after WFT finished in the Top 3 in defensive DVOA last season. Washington hasn’t covered a spread yet and should be 0-3 as they were gifted their only win over the lowly Giants. Washington might have some issues that will keep them from being the team that wins the NFC East like I thought they would but I still have the Football Team superior to the Falcons. Atlanta is also 1-2, the Falcons were obliterated by the Eagles and Bucs and their lone win is also over the Giants in a game they easily could have lost. Matt Ryan has looked awful under center for Atlanta and it’s overly apparent his days as a capable quarterback in this league are over. Both of these teams are bad right now, I think Washington is the more likely of the two to improve and I think we start to see it in the form of a WFT victory here.
I honestly can’t believe what I’ve seen thus far out of the Washington defense and feel like there has to come a time where something clicks and Washington starts to “D Up” the way they did last weekend. Again, Washington was a top defense in all the relevant metrics last season and (on paper) this defense got better in the offseason. Chase Young has been average and the WFT pass rush hasn’t gotten home which has exposed the WFT linebacker corps as mediocre. Washington is still doing a good job stopping the run but their inability to pressure the opposing quarterback has caused the Washington defense to get absolutely torched on third down so far this season. The saving grace here is Atlanta has a terrible offensive line so this should be a far easier assignment for the Washington front four than the Bills were last week. Atlanta doesn’t have great receivers so I think we will see Washington feel like they can “sell out” more here. Ryan is horrific when he’s under pressure, I expect WFT to come up with a more creative pass rush than what we have seen out of them so far this season and if they can get to Ryan I think there’s a good chance this ends up looking like the “Football Team” we saw toward the end of last year.
If you watch my video content I said a number of times after Week 1 that I thought Taylor Heinicke was the better option at quarterback for WFT and I still believe that to be the case despite his dreadful performance last week. Heinicke was excellent in WFT’s Week 2 win over the Giants but was atrocious in Buffalo as the Bills pressured him seemingly every time he dropped back to pass last week. The Falcons have no pass rush so I like this as a spot for Heinicke to bounce back and turn in an effort similar to the one we saw against the Giants. Washington should be able to run the ball here as well as the Falcons have a terrible defensive front which should be pushed around by the WFT offensive line. I think things will come much easier for WFT as opposed to the Falcons in this game, I’m banking of the WFT defense finally stepping up and if they do this one won’t end up being close.
Atlanta wasn’t at all competitive with the Eagles or Bucs the first two games of the season and was outplayed by the Giants last weekend despite somehow finding a way to win. Washington outplayed the Chargers but a terrible turnover late in the game saw WFT choke that game away. Washington could have played better but were still the better team in their win over the Giants and I’m willing to give WFT a pass last week as they lost on the road to one of the top teams in football in the Bills. Despite their early season struggles I have WFT as a considerably better team than the Falcons and I think THAT plays out in the form of a WFT win here. Play on Washington -125 for 4% (or 4 units)
Event: (251) Washington Football Team at (252) Atlanta Falcons
Sport/League: NFL
Date/Time: October 3, 2021 1PM EDT
Play: Washington Football Team -125
Football Team (1PM ET FOX) – We have already taken a giant step toward another big NFL week with the Jaguars covering the +7.5 to cash our 5% MAX BET on Thursday night. Still plenty of NFL left for Week 4 and we will start things off with a BEST BET in the first wave of games on Sunday when the Atlanta Falcons take on the Washington Football Team at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, Georgia.
It looks like I was wrong about Washington as this version of the Football Team is nowhere near as good as the squad that was a pleasant surprise in 2020. Sure, losing Ryan Fitzpatrick in the first quarter of the season is tough, but the far more glaring issue has been how pedestrian the Washington defense has been after WFT finished in the Top 3 in defensive DVOA last season. Washington hasn’t covered a spread yet and should be 0-3 as they were gifted their only win over the lowly Giants. Washington might have some issues that will keep them from being the team that wins the NFC East like I thought they would but I still have the Football Team superior to the Falcons. Atlanta is also 1-2, the Falcons were obliterated by the Eagles and Bucs and their lone win is also over the Giants in a game they easily could have lost. Matt Ryan has looked awful under center for Atlanta and it’s overly apparent his days as a capable quarterback in this league are over. Both of these teams are bad right now, I think Washington is the more likely of the two to improve and I think we start to see it in the form of a WFT victory here.
I honestly can’t believe what I’ve seen thus far out of the Washington defense and feel like there has to come a time where something clicks and Washington starts to “D Up” the way they did last weekend. Again, Washington was a top defense in all the relevant metrics last season and (on paper) this defense got better in the offseason. Chase Young has been average and the WFT pass rush hasn’t gotten home which has exposed the WFT linebacker corps as mediocre. Washington is still doing a good job stopping the run but their inability to pressure the opposing quarterback has caused the Washington defense to get absolutely torched on third down so far this season. The saving grace here is Atlanta has a terrible offensive line so this should be a far easier assignment for the Washington front four than the Bills were last week. Atlanta doesn’t have great receivers so I think we will see Washington feel like they can “sell out” more here. Ryan is horrific when he’s under pressure, I expect WFT to come up with a more creative pass rush than what we have seen out of them so far this season and if they can get to Ryan I think there’s a good chance this ends up looking like the “Football Team” we saw toward the end of last year.
If you watch my video content I said a number of times after Week 1 that I thought Taylor Heinicke was the better option at quarterback for WFT and I still believe that to be the case despite his dreadful performance last week. Heinicke was excellent in WFT’s Week 2 win over the Giants but was atrocious in Buffalo as the Bills pressured him seemingly every time he dropped back to pass last week. The Falcons have no pass rush so I like this as a spot for Heinicke to bounce back and turn in an effort similar to the one we saw against the Giants. Washington should be able to run the ball here as well as the Falcons have a terrible defensive front which should be pushed around by the WFT offensive line. I think things will come much easier for WFT as opposed to the Falcons in this game, I’m banking of the WFT defense finally stepping up and if they do this one won’t end up being close.
Atlanta wasn’t at all competitive with the Eagles or Bucs the first two games of the season and was outplayed by the Giants last weekend despite somehow finding a way to win. Washington outplayed the Chargers but a terrible turnover late in the game saw WFT choke that game away. Washington could have played better but were still the better team in their win over the Giants and I’m willing to give WFT a pass last week as they lost on the road to one of the top teams in football in the Bills. Despite their early season struggles I have WFT as a considerably better team than the Falcons and I think THAT plays out in the form of a WFT win here. Play on Washington -125 for 4% (or 4 units)
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