Tuesday 10/5/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369858

    #1

    Tuesday 10/5/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

    NFL
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football

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    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football

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    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball

    College Basketball
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball

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    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey
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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369858

    #2
    Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks


    Presque Isle Downs - Race #5
    #1 Hidden Springs She made a decent little move before flattening in the debut run, but that came with stakes company and she's in with maiden friends for the first time here. The pedigree is there to get around two turns.
    #8 Way of Life She never really picked up when running long at Woodbine, but she also got zero pace help that day. The addition of blinkers might be enough to keep her in touch a bit better today.
    #5 Mirth 'n Merriment She has run evenly in all four lifetime starts, but maybe that will translate well while stretching around two turns. A more leisurely tempo allows her to show something better?
    Race Summary Hidden Springs goes for an 0-for-30 barn at the meet, but this one showed a touch of ability in the debut run and should land a great trip from the rail draw.
    Presque Isle Downs - Race #6
    #6 Grounded He has some appeal at what might be a playable enough price, and he should get a perfect spying trip from here. Something like the 4/1 ML price would feel fair.
    #4 Comedy Town He has shown some versatility in running style, and he has run well against some pretty stout groups in recent starts at Woodbine. The slight one to beat.
    #7 American Union He's another in with a chance while shedding the blinkers after a forgettable Kentucky Downs effort, and both of his local starts produced sharp, pressing scores.
    Race Summary Grounded gets the mild edge in a race where any of the top three seem capable, and he has a little bit of bounce-back potential after a slightly flat race for him.
    Presque Isle Downs - Race #7
    #2 Battle Bling Not certain we're getting anything like the 4/1 ML offering, but she's a really good fit with these and ran well in her only try over synthetic footing. Capable.
    #3 Vip Nation Her two-turn form is pretty solid, but it feels like she's probably going to be overbet with this group while making her synthetic debut. In with a chance.
    #1 Midnight Bella She has done good work here and fits well with this group, but she will probably find one or two of these a bit too tough today unless the new team moves her up several lengths.
    Race Summary Battle Bling has held form since being claimed, and she's probably going to land a perfect, first-over trip with these. She'll get bet here, but she's probably tough.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369858

      #3
      Frank Carulli's Daily Picks


      Pocono Downs - Race #1
      #5 AS ALWAYS Versatile, consistent and always in the hunt.
      #4 INTENTIONS Chased 3-to-5 winner and held second in faster division of split race.
      #6 ROSA'S REBEL Should get needed pace flow, adds value to gimmick wagers.
      Race Summary As Always rallied to win under the same conditions two starts back at the Meadowlands, then led until the stretch in a faster-paced follow-up try as the favorite. He was Buter's choice on a double call and the top pick in here. Play 5-4 and 5-6 exactas
      The Meadows - Race #5
      #6 ELLASEN Impressed two back, repeat foiled from outside post in latest.
      #7 ANURKA Took serious money, ranged up but couldn't stay with front-end winner.
      #3 SOMETHING REEL Won three straight in August, post 9 hurt chances last week.
      Race Summary Ellasen advanced first-over into solid middle fractions from post 8 and flattened out in her repeat bid. She changed tactics and led most of the way in a visually impressive score two starts ago. Stick with her one more time with a win and place wager.
      Dayton Raceway - Race #1
      #3 MEDOLAND SCARLET Early stretch mishap proved costly, can make amends.
      #8 MUSKOGEE Battled hard up front against top one but moves inside out.
      #4 FOUND MY ROCK Rallied first-over for minor share in last two starts.
      Race Summary Medoland Scarlet sat a perfect trip off cover, tipped 3-wide for the stretch drive but bumped wheels with the rival inside of her, losing all chance as the favorite. She faces similar foes today and deserves another chance. Play 3-4 and 3-8 exactas.
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      Comment

      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369858

        #4
        Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks


        Indiana Grand - Race #1
        #1 Dirty Justice Can get a good stalking trip inside the speed and a ground-saving run can get him to the winner's circle.
        #5 Compass Point Was third at this distance two races back and fits well here; can be heard from late in the game.
        #7 Ferdan Dug in and actually drew clear late for a maiden win last out; has been the pacesetter in all three starts.
        Race Summary Dirty Justice can track the leaders from not far away and can slip through and finished well.
        Indiana Grand - Race #2
        #7 Sturgill Ran on for second at this level in his first since two unsuccessful starts at Arlington; has won over this strip and has been competitive vs. good company.
        #1 Who Took the Money Was close up and then lacked punch in his last two at Churchill, which were at two turns; could benefit from turning back to a sprint.
        #4 A Few too Many Was up in time in his latest and moves over from Indiana-bred company; has won four of eight here and is a threat to run into the exotics vs. open company.
        Race Summary Sturgill ran well in his return to Indiana Grand and can improve off that effort.
        Indiana Grand - Race #8
        #1 Timeless Rose Closed with a run and finished well in a stakes race for Indiana-breds; has competitive well vs. open company and can put up a fight vs. these rivals.
        #3 Mrs Claus Has only three starts and was third in the Indiana Grand Stakes last out; can made a solid run and will be a late factor.
        #8 Double Dawn Won an allowance race two back at Ellis Park and has several races on her form that would make her tough here.
        Race Summary Timeless Rose is a solid late runner and the familiarity with the course gives her an edge.
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        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369858

          #5
          Free Winners for Tuesday, October 5th 2021 from THE LEGEND!
          FREE HORSE PICKS
          FINGER LAKES
          RACE #6
          TIME: 3:35 PM EST
          PICK: BET #1 Atsui 7/2 odds to win @ Bovada
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369858

            #6
            F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Grants Pass

            Grants Pass - Race 6
            $2 WPS / $1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta .50 Superfecta .50 Jackpot Pick 5 (Races 6-7-8-9-10) $5,000 Guaranteed Pool (15% Takeout)
            Claiming $3,200 • 5 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 83 • Purse: $7,500 • Post: 7:45P
            FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD ($50 TO PASS THE ENTRY BOX, WITH ALL FEES ADDED TO FINAL). THIS RACE WILL DIVIDE. ALL HORSES MUST RUN IN EACH LEG OFFERED TO ADVANCE TO THE REMAINING SPRINT SERIES RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,200.
            Contenders
            Race Analysis
            P#
            Horse
            Morn
            Line
            Accept
            Odds

            Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * TRISTRAM SPEAKER: Horse is dropping into a race which has an Class Rating at least five p oints lower than the Class Rating of its last race. Horse racing off a layoff of 90+ days and horse has run well in the past in its first and/or second starts after a long layoff. STARBOARD LIST: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an i nside post position. Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. MORE HONOR: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
            5
            TRISTRAM SPEAKER
            2/1
            7/2
            2
            STARBOARD LIST
            4/1
            4/1
            7
            MORE HONOR
            9/2
            10/1

            P#
            Horse (In Running Style Order)
            Post
            Morn
            Line
            Running Style
            Good
            Class
            Good
            Speed
            Early Figure
            Finish Figure
            Platinum
            Figure
            2
            STARBOARD LIST
            2
            4/1
            Front-runner
            85
            78
            93.0
            74.4
            66.9
            3
            SILVER SERVICE
            3
            8/1
            Front-runner
            62
            69
            43.0
            59.2
            46.2
            5
            TRISTRAM SPEAKER
            5
            2/1
            Alternator/Stalker
            93
            91
            92.7
            82.6
            80.1
            7
            MORE HONOR
            7
            9/2
            Alternator/Stalker
            78
            74
            62.0
            72.8
            66.8
            6
            ARDENLEE STAR
            6
            3/1
            Alternator/Non-contender
            81
            81
            59.2
            70.6
            65.1
            1
            K D STREET
            1
            8/1
            Alternator/Non-contender
            72
            55
            50.3
            61.4
            50.4
            4
            TOOTHLESS WONDER
            4
            8/1
            Alternator/Non-contender
            81
            76
            0.0
            62.4
            52.4
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            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369858

              #7
              F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Indiana Downs



              Indiana Downs - Race 4
              Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / 50 Cent Trifecta / Superfecta 10 Cent Superfecta / 50 Cent Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6) 10 Cent Grand High 5 (Pentafecta)
              Maiden Special • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 2 CR: 68 • Purse: $34,000 • Post: 3:58P
              (PLUS UP TO 40% INDIANA STATE BRED SUPPLEMENT) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 121 LBS.
              Contenders
              Race Analysis
              P#
              Horse
              Morn
              Line
              Accept
              Odds

              Race Type: Lone Stalker. SASSY SAGEY is the Lone Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * SASSY SAGEY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Fig ure at the distance/surface. SUNDAY GRACE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rati ng at the distance/surface.
              1
              SASSY SAGEY
              4/1
              5/2
              7
              SUNDAY GRACE
              3/1
              7/2

              P#
              Horse (In Running Style Order)
              Post
              Morn
              Line
              Running Style
              Good
              Class
              Good
              Speed
              Early Figure
              Finish Figure
              Platinum
              Figure
              6
              CATBRIER
              6
              5/2
              Front-runner
              0
              0
              76.8
              45.5
              37.0
              7
              SUNDAY GRACE
              7
              3/1
              Front-runner
              73
              59
              70.1
              59.1
              55.1
              4
              OPTIONALITY
              4
              5/1
              Front-runner
              61
              46
              53.8
              44.2
              36.7
              1
              SASSY SAGEY
              1
              4/1
              Stalker
              60
              63
              60.7
              59.7
              55.2
              3
              ANOTHER FLAT DRUNK
              3
              30/1
              Alternator/Non-contender
              0
              0
              53.3
              33.6
              24.6
              5
              RUBY JANE
              5
              15/1
              Alternator/Non-contender
              0
              0
              48.2
              41.6
              30.6
              2
              THISNAMEISOKAY
              2
              50/1
              Alternator/Non-contender
              0
              0
              42.7
              19.0
              7.5
              Unknown Running Style: AVENDORE (3/1) [Jockey: Achard Alex - Trainer: Amoss Thomas M].

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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369858

                #8
                Handicapped by The Walker Group at Fort Erie

                Always check program numbers.
                Odds shown are morning line odds.




                Race 6 - Claiming - 7.0f on the Turf. Purse: $15435 Class Rating: 83

                FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE IN 2021 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,500, IF FOR $4,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS. *PLUS UP TO $540 ONTARIO BRED/ONTARIO SIRED BREEDERS AWARDS). IF DEEMED INADVISABLE BY MANAGEMENT TO RUN ON THE TURF, THIS RACE WILL BE RUN AT A

                RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                # 2 FIRE FOR EFFECT 7/2
                # 6 SEATTLE TREASURE 4/1
                # 1 LUCKY STREET 9/2
                FIRE FOR EFFECT looks solid to best this field. Has very strong Equibase Speed Figs and has to be considered for a wager for this race. Could beat this group of horses given the 73 Equibase Speed Fig recorded in his last outing. Looks to have a very strong class edge based on the recent company kept. SEATTLE TREASURE - Shows reliable speed figs on average overall when compared with the rest of this group. LUCKY STREET - Strong average Equibase speed figs in turf sprint races make this animal a solid choice. This gelding is coming back almost immediately to the track.
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                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369858

                  #9
                  Tokyo Brandon

                  Event: Oslo Kongsberg Miners at Centrum Tigers

                  Sport/League: BSKT

                  Date/Time: October 6, 2021 1PM EDT

                  Play: Away -15.5 (-105)
                  The European basketball leagues have started but it is early so sample sizes are small. This play is the Norway Baseball League BLNO. The Miners have beat the Tigers by 40+ points in three straight contests. My numbers have this at 34.5. Make a small 1% play on the Miners -15.5.
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                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369858

                    #10
                    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



                    Penn National - Race #4 - Post: 7:22pm - Maiden Special - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $27,100 Class Rating: 65

                    Rating:

                    #4 ECLIPTICALS SARAH (ML=7/2)


                    ECLIPTICALS SARAH - It looks like Hernandez had to be in the know about this filly on September 17th when riding her for the first time. Back on board again today. Have to make this filly a solid contender; she comes off a good outing on September 17th. Expect better today as this filly gets Lasix for the second time.

                    Vulnerable Contenders: #6 MISS SPRINKLES (ML=8/5), #1 ON ISLAND TIME (ML=3/1), #2 FARMAVET (ML=9/2),

                    MISS SPRINKLES - I don't normally play a morning-line choice that hasn't been to the track in the last few weeks. ON ISLAND TIME - Run-of-the-mill speed fig last time out at Penn National at 5 1/2 furlongs. Don't think this questionable contender will improve too much in today's race. FARMAVET - Once you've got at least ten races at the track and still have no triumphs, its tough to break through for a victory.

                    GUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - ECLIPTICALS SARAH - Although finishing third with low odds, this filly figures to be tough against these thoroughbreds.





                    STRAIGHT WAGERS: Play #4 ECLIPTICALS SARAH to win if you can get odds of 1/1 or more
                    EXACTA WAGERS: None

                    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                    Pass
                    SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass
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                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369858

                      #11
                      Handicapped by The Walker Group at Parx Racing

                      Always check program numbers.
                      Odds shown are morning line odds.




                      Race 2 - SO - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $25000 Class Rating: 95

                      FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR $16,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $16,000 AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 5 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000.

                      RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                      # 2 NICE OF ME 3/1
                      # 1 EXPENSIVE STYLE 2/1
                      # 5 FROSTED INDIAN 9/2
                      I've got to go with NICE OF ME. Had one of the strongest Speed Figures of this field in his last contest. Might best this group of horses here, showing quite good numbers of late. EXPENSIVE STYLE - Has run well when running a dirt sprint race. Arriagada has him trained admirably to break sharply out of the starting gate. FROSTED INDIAN - The average class figure alone makes this one a key contender. Win percentage with this jockey and handler combo - 21 percent - solid.
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                      Comment

                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369858

                        #12
                        Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



                        Mountaineer Park - Race #5 - Post: 8:40pm - Maiden Special - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $16,500 Class Rating: 61

                        Rating:

                        #5 BANNED FROM MIDWAY (ML=5/1)
                        #4 RUN KITTY (ML=4/1)


                        BANNED FROM MIDWAY - The rider and trainer combination have a favorable ROI when they join forces. RUN KITTY - Based on this filly's recent efforts, she should profit from this race's shorter trip. Don't often see a beneficial ROI like +367. This rider/handler pair has done well together over the last twelve months. Lasix can take some getting used to, especially for a filly. They usually hit stride the 2nd time using it, like we have with this horse.

                        Vulnerable Contenders: #1 SCOOP THERE IT IS (ML=3/1), #8 EVENING BIRD (ML=9/2), #3 LACE REVOLUTION (ML=5/1),

                        SCOOP THERE IT IS - This filly hasn't had any recent success in short distance affairs. Difficult to wager on her in this contest. EVENING BIRD - Doesn't look to be in a convenient situation this time around. LACE REVOLUTION - This vulnerable equine didn't go to the front and didn't make up ground down the homestretch last time she ran.



                        STRAIGHT WAGERS: Bet on #5 BANNED FROM MIDWAY to win if you can get at least 3/2 odds
                        EXACTA WAGERS: Box [4,5]

                        TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                        Skip
                        SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Skip
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                        Comment

                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369858

                          #13
                          Elite Sports Picks MLB Yankees -125
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                          Comment

                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369858

                            #14
                            Dustin Hawkins

                            Oct 05 '21, 7:08 PM in 36m
                            NHL | Panthers vs Lightning
                            Play on: Panthers +150 at Caesars

                            1 Dimer on Panthers +150
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                            Comment

                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369858

                              #15
                              Sal Michaels

                              Oct 05 '21, 7:08 PM in 36m
                              NHL | Canadiens vs Maple Leafs
                              Play on: Canadiens +150 at Caesars

                              Free Play on Canadiens +150
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