Thursday 10/7/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-07-2021, 05:53 AM

Gulfstream 5 Facts | October 4-10, 2021

October 5, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk
Schedule:

Thursday-Sunday (12:50 pm ET daily post)

Carryovers:

$314,171 // Rainbow 6 Jackpot ($450,000-guaranteed pool Thursday)

$3,881 // Super High 5

Feature Race(s):

No stakes scheduled.

Key 1/ST BET Factors (top pick win %, top pick profit/loss):

Avg. Speed Last 3 (26%, +$3.60)

Best Speed Today’s Distance (29%, +$2.80)

Trainer Current Year (22%, -$14.00)

Jockey/Trainer Trends from Betmix:

T: Michael Yates // last week 3: 2-0-1 (67%, $6.53 ROI) // $17 and $22 maiden sprint wins

T: Saffie Joseph Jr. // last week 6: 3-1-1 (50%, $2.25 ROI) // 10-27 over past 3 weeks

T: Jorge Delgado // last week 4: 2-0-1 (50%, $3.43 ROI)// wins at $11 and $15

J: Edwin Gonzalez // last week 15: 4-4-2 (27%, $1.15 ROI) // 5: 3-1-1 on favorites + $20 topper

J: Miguel Vasquez // last week 20: 5-3-3 (25%, $1.04 ROI) // 3-3 favorites // wins for 5 different barns

** ROI reflects return on $1 win bet**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-07-2021, 05:54 AM

Laurel Park 5 Facts | October 4-10, 2021

October 5, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk
Schedule:

Thursday-Sunday

Carryovers:

$3,057// Rainbow 6 Jackpot

Feature Race(s):

No stakes scheduled.

Key 1/ST BET Factors (top pick win %, top pick profit/loss):

Avg. Speed Last 3 (28%, -$2.40)

Last Purse (25%, +$37.00)

In The Money % (25%, -$18.20)

Jockey/Trainer Trends from Betmix:

J: Horacio Karamanos // last week 18: 6-3-0 (33%, $2.39 ROI) // wins include $24, $32 upsets // wins for 6 different trainers

J: Jorge Ruiz // last week 15: 4-03 (27%, $1.46 ROI) // wins at $5, $8, $12, $15

T: Mike Trombetta // last week 9: 3-1-1 (33%, $1.02 ROI) // 2-3 with favorites // all 3 wins maiden claiming sprinters

T: Kelly Rubley // last week 5: 2-0-2 (40%, $5.44 ROI) // $11 and $44 scores with 9-1, 11-1 thirds

T: Mike Stidham // last week 4: 2-1-0 (50%, $1.88 ROI) // wins at $6, $8 adding 6-1 runner-up // both wins maiden special weight

** ROI reflects return on $1 win bet**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-07-2021, 05:57 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Presque Isle Downs - Race #3

#6 Krug	He debuts going long for a barn that does good work with these types debuting going long, and sire Not This Time has continued to be an absolute ace with first timers. Give him a look on the track before the race, but he might be ready to bring a good enough effort to land this.
#5 Royal Court	He took a nice step forward when going long at Woodbine, but he might be just a bit overbet here while adding blinkers. Capable player, but I'd want most of that 7/2 ML price.
#1 Kiss Principal	He owns two-turn experience and turned in a pretty solid effort when going long here in his local debut. He just flattened late in that one and may sustain his spying move a bit better here.
Race Summary	Krug gets the debut call for a capable team in a race where I am not sold on 3/1 ML favorite #3 Youmustbea Weasley getting around two turns successfully. His sire has been a remarkable tear with debut winners and might add another tally here.

Presque Isle Downs - Race #5

#5 Encrypted	He might be attractive enough on the board as the likely third choice, and he has been in for about twice this price or more in every North American start so far. Drop might be enough.
#6 Worbothor	Reliable finisher has rattled off three in a row, but there are a couple of interesting new players lined up to try him today, and he's probably an underlay on the board.
#4 Blue Sky's Above	He chased Worbothor home in that last one, and I'm not sure he's going to offer the kind of price that would make it worth finding out if he can turn the tables on that guy.
Race Summary	Worbothor and Blue Sky's Above can be tough here after running one-two in a common race, but they'll meet the class dropping Encrypted who has won four of his five lifetime races on synthetic footing.

Presque Isle Downs - Race #6

#6 Sweet Baby Raelynn	She caught a winner with inconsistent form but a high ceiling, and this one had to settle for second best last out. That was a really encouraging local and synthetic surface debut, and I don't she needs to have the lead.
#4 Every Little Bit	She brings reliable form, but she's going to have to avoid getting caught up early with a couple other potential pace players lined up.
#3 Gray Royality	Longshot player chased and faded going long in his local debut, but he has the right style to potentially tuck in just behind the pace and grind on for a piece. Better here than when sent long off the layoff?
Race Summary	Sweet Baby Raelynn has some back form with a bit of spying ability, and that may serve her well as she draws outside most of the other pace. A first-over trip might get her home at a mid-range price.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-07-2021, 05:58 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Harrah's Philadelphia - Race #3

#6 MISTER INDIANA	Sustained rally on class rise, missed in photo-finish, gets good set-up.
#3 RUNHAPPY TEN	Battling major bout with seconditis lately, has loyal following.
#5 FATHER SARDUCCI	Held off top one to prevail for his first win of the year.
Race Summary	Mister Indiana followed the move of odds-on Father Sarducci and got beat 1/4 of a length off the claim by the second-leading barn. Both runners project ideal trips off a contested pace but Mister Indiana offers much better value. Play a 6-ALL exacta.

Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #1

#6 CENTURY GIGALO	Out and moving late turn, had aim on victory but flattened out late.
#1 JOURNALISTIC	Arrives from 5/8-mile oval with speed, the rail, good form and Filion to pilot.
#2 SUNNY BO	Rallied to finish 1-2-3 in his last three starts, continuing his recovery from 0-31 season last year.
Race Summary	Century Gigalo led early, yielded to the pocket before the half, pulled out of third near the stretch, had aim on the lead and hung late as the favorite passed by. He meets many of the same rivals tonight and can win it with a well-timed move. Play 6-1 and 6-2 exactas.

Dayton Raceway - Race #3

#1 JESSE POPPER	Back with own kind, moves outside in, can join $100,000 Club.
#4 CELEBRATE WITH ME	Piled up the runner-up finishes in sire stakes company.
#2 ANOTHER BREATH	Ranged up first-over, flattened out on step up to this level.
Race Summary	Jesse Popper won two in a row before he tackled open company. He posted solid speed figures in four September starts and draws the rail on the class drop. He offers good value on a win and place wager.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-07-2021, 06:00 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Remington Park - Race #1

#7 Green Eyed Belle	Makes her first since May, when she was fifth in an allowance at Will Rogers; won two of five here as a 2-year-old and has the credentials to score at this level.
#1 Lingering Promise	Always a factor early and could benefit from the ground-saving run; needs to find a little more at the finish
#3 Sheriff Femenino	Scored once in her last three and has been favored in each; could secure a perfect trip just a stride or two off the leader.
Race Summary	Green Eyed Belle beat quality open company in her last Remington appearance and has taken two of five here; has worked well for her return. Didn't run well at Will Rogers Downs but has been battle-tested vs. quality runners here.

Remington Park - Race #2

#8 Chocolateicecream	Just missed at this level last time time, and was bumped up from third to second after being fouled in the drive to the wire; six of his seven career wins have been on turf, and he should be very tough in this spot.
#11 Ezmosh	Drops out of the Red Earth Stakes and has never been at this level; the drop could wake him up.
#1 Knowyouroptions	Moves over to the turf after a third-place finish and gets Medina in the saddle; has two thirds in two turf starts.
Race Summary	Chocolateicecream probably has found a good level after drop a bit from the price at which he was claimed; keeps Vazquez up and can run them down in this spot.

Remington Park - Race #4

#7 Howdy Pilgrim	Was second at this level two back and then was a credible fourth in a rapid race when he stepped up to $25,000; is back to $7,500 and should be able to handle this competition.
#5 Sournois	Was a winner vs. N2L company two back and was a non-threatening second at this level last out; has a good late move and should be considered a serious threat.
#2 Okie Union	Was an easy winner vs. N2L foes and was claimed out of that one; can be a factor on the front end.
Race Summary	Howdy Pilgrim has taken on better and should be able to get close to lead from the outside; has the credentials to move on from these conditions.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-07-2021, 08:33 AM

Free Winners for Thursday, October 7th 2021 from THE LEGEND!
FREE HORSE PICKS
DELAWARE PARK
RACE #6
TIME: 3:45 PM EST
PICK: BET #8 Chrisatude 4/1 odds to win @ Bovada

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-07-2021, 08:53 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Camarero

Camarero - Race 2	Pick 6 / Exacta / Daily Double 2-3
Allowance • 7 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 3 • CR: 87 • Purse: $11,000 • Post: 3:10P
FOR FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 10 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE AUGUST 25 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE JULY 25 ALLOWED 4 LBS.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * CAPTURED PRIZE: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a l ayoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. ALWAY'S COMERIO: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. HEROICA: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
5	CAPTURED PRIZE	2/1	3/1
2	ALWAY'S COMERIO	9/5	7/2
4	HEROICA	5/1	4/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
4	HEROICA	4	5/1	Front-runner	87	78	76.0	77.8	71.3
1	QUEEN LEDOUX	1	5/2	Front-runner	74	65	65.3	57.5	50.5
5	CAPTURED PRIZE	5	2/1	Stalker	85	84	86.2	70.4	65.4
3	SCARLET FLAME	3	4/1	Stalker	53	58	82.2	50.0	40.5
2	ALWAY'S COMERIO	2	9/5	Stalker	89	86	78.0	79.2	77.2

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-07-2021, 08:54 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Remington Park

Remington Park - Race 4	WPS / Exacta / Trifecta (.50 Cent Minimum) / Superfecta (.10 Cent Minimum) Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6) (.50 Cent Minimum)
Claiming $7,500 • 1 Mile 70 yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 79 • Purse: $12,100 • Post: 8:31P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE JULY 7, 2021 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE APRIL 7, 2021 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500. OKLAHOMA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Lone Front-runner. OKIE UNION is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * OKIE UNION: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. HOWDY PILGRIM: Horse has a Tra ckMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. SOURNOIS: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. FO XY ACE: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
2	OKIE UNION	5/1	4/1
7	HOWDY PILGRIM	2/1	5/1
5	SOURNOIS	3/1	8/1
1	FOXY ACE	9/2	9/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
2	OKIE UNION	2	5/1	Front-runner	75	73	54.3	61.2	52.7
7	HOWDY PILGRIM	7	2/1	Trailer	80	75	65.0	69.8	63.8
1	FOXY ACE	1	9/2	Trailer	77	67	55.4	68.8	61.3
5	SOURNOIS	5	3/1	Trailer	77	69	47.7	66.2	59.7
3	LIAM'S PRIDE	3	6/1	Alternator/Non-contender	93	82	70.2	55.9	48.4
6	MULE SKINNER	6	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	76	79	50.8	60.6	54.1
4	BEST YEAR YET	4	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	64	61	44.2	51.9	39.4

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-07-2021, 08:54 AM

Mike Wynn

Free Pick: WNBA Chicago +4½ over Connecticut

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-07-2021, 08:55 AM

Razor Sharp

YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR THURSDAY: CHICAGO WHITE SOX/HOUSTON OVER the total of 8 runs

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-07-2021, 08:56 AM

Roz Wins

ROZ Selections THURSDAY, OCTOBER 7, 2021

FREE NFL

301. Rams/Seahawks UNDER 53 (5:20 PT / 8:20 ET)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-07-2021, 08:56 AM

Atlantic Sports

Thursday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: UAB Blazers - 4 1/2

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-07-2021, 10:07 AM

Bobby Conn

Oct 07 '21, 2:40 PM in 4h
PGA | Matthew Wolff vs Maverick McNealy
Play on: Maverick McNealy -130 at Mirage

1* Free Play on Maverick McNealy -130

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-07-2021, 10:07 AM

Steve Janus

Oct 07 '21, 2:51 PM in 4h
PGA | Brice Garnett vs Hank Lebioda
Play on: Hank Lebioda -120 at William Hill

1* Free Sharp Play on Hank Lebioda -120

Thursday 10/7/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Thursday 10/7/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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