Saturday 10/9/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

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Keeneland - Race #8

#9 Blowout	She has some reliable pace and will make her second start of the season in this spot. She should be able to control the tempo from the start with this crew, and she may offer one of her better recent prices here.
#3 Althiqa	This filly has been so much fun to watch in two North American starts -- somehow paying $16 and $10 in a couple Grade I wins. She's the one to beat, but I'm not sure she's getting an ideal race shape today.
#10 Princess Grace	She isn't that flashy, but she has done nothing wrong in her career while rattling off six wins from seven starts. She'll get a Grade I test for the first time in her career, but you couldn't be coming into this one much hotter than she is.
Race Summary	Blowout owns legit sprint pace, and she might be able to see this one out at a trip she thrives at. Anything near the 6/1 range would feel plenty attractive here.

Keeneland - Race #10

#11 Diamond Oops	He ran second in this race a couple years ago, and it has been surprising to me that he hasn't been given a handful of chances to thrive at this trip. He has some intrigue from close range at a decent number .
#4 Space Traveller	Nearly had this guy on top, as he has chased a couple of wire-to-wire winners in his two most recent North American tries, and he might be as good as ever right now. I won't be ripping up many tickets if he wins.
#10 Order of Australia	According to Betmix Angler, this barn is just 3-for-20 here in Grade I turf route races since 2013, but the good news is that this guy was one of them when landing last year's Breeders' Cup Mile at 73/1. Big chance, but I think this race is competitive.
Race Summary	Diamond Oops and Space Traveller are the two who intrigue the most in this spot, but Diamond Oops might be a slightly better number on the board and should get a big jump on 'Traveller.

Keeneland - Race #11

#7 Giant Game	The pedigree hints that he wants to go longer than the 7f debut trip, but he ran pretty well that day while rallying a bit late. Could see him taking a nice step forward around two turns in this second start. Strong lean in the finale.
#10 Let My People Go	He should offer a price for a barn that almost always does here, and he has handled the main track before. Not impossible with this bunch, and he figures for a dreamy trip from close range while stretching out.
#8 Jolly Tommy	He'll be on backup tickets after flopping as the chalk in the second lifetime start. He gets blinkers for this run, and he'll get around two true turns for the first time. Believers will get a much better price than the 9/5 from last time.
Race Summary	This is a pretty fun maiden finale, and I do have a mile worry that Giant Game will get overbet. He makes a ton of sense in a wide-open race, and he has the kind of upside I love to see coming into this type of spot.

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Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

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Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #6

#2 MAYHEM HANOVER	Returns to winning level with McNair, can dictate his position with good post draw.
#1 BEYOND BETTER	Rallied first-over for a win and two thirds, steps up, moves inside.
#4 DESPERATE MAN	North America Cup winner has held ultra-consistent form in blockbuster season.
Race Summary	Mayhem Hanover tracked a rapid pace from the pocket the last time he raced at this level and edged clear to win while the favorite tired. He is re-united with McNair and draws a favorable post on his exit from 'preferred' company. Play a 2/1,4/ALL trifecta.

Dayton Raceway - Race #3

#2 PACK UP AND GO	Tried to validate stunning upset, should work out a good trip.
#6 CANTESCAPEMYDESIRE	Takes class hike, seeks third straight, Page's choice on a triple call.
#8 MAYOR MITTCHEESE	Perhaps can pick up live cover and rally for a share at big odds.
Race Summary	Pack Up and Go sprung a 31-1 shocker in second start off a freshening -- and he passed the 1-to-5 favorite to do it. He projects an ideal trip in a speed-laden field and can win again with a duplicate effort. Play a 2-ALL exacta.

Freehold - Race #2

#1 WAR DADDY	Bothered by breaker at key juncture at Harrah's Philadelphia, can beat these.
#5 FAST N VICTORIOUS	Winless this year but earned top speed fig when third last out.
#7 STEPPIN HURRY	Seven wins this year have to count for something in this field.
Race Summary	War Daddy tracked a fast pace and the two favorites in third, appeared poised to strike from the pocket at the top of the stretch, only to lose action when the leader broke stride in front of him. He faced better foes at Harrah's Philadelphia and gets the call in this spot. Bet on him to win and place.

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Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

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Belmont Park - Race #5

#1 Jalen Journey	Comes off a second in the G3 DeFrancis at Laurel and just before that won a 6.5-furlong allowance race at Saratoga by 8.5 lengths in 1:14 3-5. Will not lose if he runs back to that. Also in his favor is that he's won over this trip, having taken a seven-furlong dash in June. Asmussen has him heading in the right direction and he's ready to beat the top sprinters currently in New York.
#4 Firenze Fire	Just doesn't run bad ones here and is 7 of 11 over the strip; looked like a winner in two of his last three but lost those in photo finishes. Most notably, he probably cost himself the Forego last out as he repeatedly savaged eventually winner Yaupon in an event that will probably go down as an all-time horse racing hit on YouTube..
#3 Baby Yoda	Tries older stakes horses for the first time, and the 3-year-old could be up to the challenge. Has won three of four and his latest was for Mott. One-upped Jalen Journey with a 1:14 1-5 for 6.5 furlong, and it would not be shocker if this former $10,000 maiden claimer was up to this task.
Race Summary	Jalen Journey has improved by leaps and bounds and has developed in a top sprinter. Will be close throughout and can bring a finishing touch to the party.

Belmont Park - Race #6

#1 Poppy Flower	On the board in all five starts and comes in off a third at Kentucky Downs; broke her maiden at Belmont and will send like there's no tomorrow. Can get on the front end and will benefit from the ground-saving journey.
#8 Chi Town Lady	From the Ward barn, like the top pick, and is perfect in two starts. Won a stakes race at Saratoga and has a good chance to show some late run.
#7 Bubble Rock	Cruised to an easy maiden score at Saratoga and takes is ready for this level.
Race Summary	Poppy Flower has excellent speed and will go for the lead, not just for her own success, but her stablemate Chi Town Lady might be a stalker and could benefit from a rapid pace.

Belmont Park - Race #7

#7 Japan	Lost to Gufo by a neck in Saratoga's G1 Sword Dancer and can make amends as he returns for Aiden O'Brien; can get first jump on deep closers and should be the one to hold off.
#3 Gufo	Has won two straight and was all out to hold off Japan in the Sword Dancer, makes up most of his ground prior to getting to the home stretch and could ride that momentum into a victory.
#6 Channel Maker	Will take his usual spot on the front end and goes for a repeat in this race; deadly if they don't engage him.
Race Summary	Japan just missed last out and has a good chance to turn the tables on Gufo; can take aim at Channel Maker and should be difficult to handle late in the game.

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JM Sports

San Jose State-Colorado State under 21.5 1st half
San Jose State-Colorado State under 9.5 (-105) 1st quarter
TCU-Texas Tech over 13.5 1st quarter

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Buster Sports

East Carolina +10

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Adam Trigger

Penn State +1.5

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1.	National Sports Service	CFB	Maryland under 71.5	2-0 (+200)	3-1 (+190)
2.	Doc's Picks	CFB	Louisville under 70	2-1 (+90)	4-3 (+75)
3.	Elite Sports Picks	CFB	Akron +14	0-2 (-235)	4-3 (+45)
4.	Insider Sports Report	CFB	Missouri under 69	1-1 (-10)	3-3 (-65)
5.	The Spot Player			0-1 (-115)	2-3 (-110)
6.	Profit On Sports	CFB	Colorado St. -2.5	1-1 (-10)	2-4 (-225)
7.	The Sports Consensus	CFB	USC -3	0-1 (-110)	2-4 (-275)
8.	Top Rank Sports Picks	CFB	Nevada under 64	0-2 (-220)	2-4 (-315)
9.	Primetime Sports Picks	CFB	Wake Forest -6	1-2 (-110)	2-5 (-350)

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Rk	Sports Services	Free Sports Picks	Place A Bet
1.	NSA(The Legend)	CFB – Ohio St over 71.5	Line @ Bovada
2.	Gameday Network	CFB – West Virginia +2.5	Line @ Bovada
3.	Sports Action 365	CFB – Florida St over 63.5	Line @ GT Bets
4.	Vegas Line Crushers	MLB – Braves +105	Line @ GT Bets
5.	VegasSI.com	MLB – Dodgers -115	Line @ Bovada
6.	PointSpreadReport.com(SAM CASEY)	CFB – Auburn +15.5	Line @ MyBookie
7.	Winning Big Sports	MLB – Dodgers -115	Line @ MyBookie
8.	NSA(Gerry “Big Cat” Andino)	MLB – Braves under 7	Line @ Bovada
9.	Lou Panelli	CFB – Buffalo over 65	Line @ Bovada
10.	VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club	CFB – Michigan -2.5	Line @ GT Bets
11.	William E. Stockton	MLB – Braves +105	Line @ MyBookie
12.	Vincent Pioli	MLB – Dodgers -115	Line @ Bovada
13.	Steve “Scoop” Kendall	CFB – Utah +3	Line @ Bovada
14.	SCORE	CFB – Liberty -19.5	Line @ GT Bets
15.	Tony Campone	CFB – Syracuse +6	Line @ Bovada
16.	Chicago Sports Group	CFB – Penn St +2.5	Line @ Bovada
17.	Hollywood Sportsline	MLB – Braves +105	Line @ Bovada
18.	VIP Action	MLB – Dodgers under 7.5	Line @ GT Bets
19.	South Beach Sports	CFB – Arkansas +5	Line @ Bovada
20.	Las Vegas Sports Commission	CFB – Oklahoma -3	Line @ Bovada
21.	NY Players Club	CFB – Oklahoma over 65	Line @ GT Bets
22.	Fred Callahan	MLB – Dodgers -115	Line @ Bovada
23.	Las Vegas Private CEO Club	MLB – Braves +105	Line @ MyBookie
24.	Michigan Sports	CFB – Notre Dame +1	Line @ GT Bets
25.	National Consensus Report	CFB – South Carolina +11	Line @ Bovada

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Dennis Macklin

Oct 09 '21, 12:00 PM in 26m
NCAA-F | Akron vs Bowling Green
Play on: Akron +14 -110 at BetVegas

DMack's Free Play for Saturday, October 9, 2021 is on the Akron Zips
We all know that Akron is not much but it's hard to say how bad considering that three of the Zips four losses came in money games with Auburn, Temple, and Ohio State. The Zips have always played hard and figure to be healthier here than they were in September. Bowling Green is on the improve for sure as evidenced by their 5-0 ATS mark but all five of those games came as a dog and here we're asking the Falcons to cover two touchdowns as a DD home favorite .... a role they have not played since 2016. Too many points. Take Akron.

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Teddy Davis

Oct 09 '21, 12:00 PM in 26m
NCAA-F | Maryland vs Ohio State
Play on: Maryland +21 -115 at linepros

I will gladly take all the points here with Maryland. So last Friday night in a showcase game vs Iowa Maryland was only getting 3 points. They played horrible and turnovers cost them the game as they ended up with 7. We are just seeing a way too big of adjustment here in favor of the Buckeyes with them coming off a blowout win over Rutgers. What oddsmakers are suggesting bad soles on the lines is that Ohio St is roughly 14 points better than Iowa. The line wouldn't be anywhere near that high so clearly we are getting some great value with this number and Maryland.

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Brandon Lee

Oct 09 '21, 12:00 PM in 26m
NCAA-F | Arkansas vs Ole Miss
Play on: Ole Miss -5 -110 at pinnacle

FREE PICK: Ole Miss Rebels -5
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 390
I'll lay it with Ole Miss at home in Saturday's big showdown with Arkansas. Both of these teams got a huge wake-up call last week. The Rebels went on the road and lost 42-21 in a game that wasn't as close as the final score. The Razorbacks were shutout on the road 37-0 by Georgia.
The big question now becomes, which of these teams will be able to bounce back better. My money is on Ole Miss. I thought they clearly put up the better fight in their big showdown with the SEC elite. Rebels convert a few of those 4th downs early and who knows how that game plays out.
Arkansas struggled to just get first downs. They had just 9 the entire game against Georgia and totaled just 162 yards. I just don't see them being able to go score for score with Matt Corral and this high-powered Ole Miss attack.
I'm also starting to wonder if we aren't overreacting a little bit to the Razorbacks big 40-21 win at home against Texas. I'm still not so sure the Longhorns are any good. Their best win is against a pretty mediocre Texas Tech team. Texas is also a great matchup for Arkansas, with how much the Longhorns want to run the ball with their stud back. Razorbacks haven't seen anything close to the passing game that they will be up against on Saturday.
Lastly, I believe playing at home is a huge advantage for Ole Miss in this spot. Much easier to bounce back on your home field than it is on the road and for Arkansas it will be their 3rd straight game away from home. Give me the Rebels -5!

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Mike Lundin

Oct 09 '21, 12:00 PM in 26m
NCAA-F | Arkansas vs Ole Miss
Play on: Ole Miss -4½ -116 at pinnacle

Mike Lundin's Arkansas vs Ole Miss Free Pick
Both teams are coming off their first loss of the season. I think Ole Miss will be the team to bounce back to avoid a two-game skid.
The Rebels' offense is one of the most dangerous in college football, averaging just under 550 yards per game. While they were clearly outmatched to Bama in Tuscaloosa last week, they still managed to put 21 points on the board while Arkansas was shut out by Georgia in its Week 5 matchup.
The Razorbacks have plenty of success running the football, but I think it will be tough to keep up with Ole Miss and QB Matt Corral who has 10 TD passes against 0 INTs while averaging 9.7 yards per attempt on the season.
Rebels are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite, and they have averaged 57.5 ppg in two games at home on the season.
Free pick on Ole Miss Rebels.

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Sean Murphy

Oct 09 '21, 12:00 PM in 26m
NCAA-F | West Virginia vs Baylor
Play on: Baylor -2½ -110 at SC Consensus

Saturday CFB Free play. My selection is on Baylor minus the points over West Virginia at 12 noon et on Saturday.
Baylor let us down last Saturday night against Oklahoma State although as poorly as it performed offensively in that game, it was still right there, actually sitting inside the number in the final minutes of the game before the Cowboys earned the cover with a fourth down touchdown run. That was a testament to the incredible defense the Bears are capable of playing. I fully expect to see Baylor bounce back as it returns home to host an up-and-down West Virginia squad on Saturday afternoon. The Mountaineers are coming off consecutive heart-breaking three-point losses against Oklahoma and Texas Tech. That leaves them in tough as their Big 12 schedule is tough with their next three games after this coming against TCU (away), Iowa State and Oklahoma State. Note that over West Virginia's last 10 quarters of action, they've managed to score just three touchdowns. I do expect the Baylor offense to look a lot better as it returns home after facing a still-underrated Oklahoma State defense in primetime last Saturday night. For as poorly as the Bears performed on the scoreboard, QB Gerry Bohanon did continue to do a good job of taking care of the football while RB Abram Smith turned in another strong performance on the ground, managing 97 yards and a touchdown on just 10 carries. This is the game where we should see the Bears offense start clicking again versus a Mountaineers defense that feels like a levee about to break after holding four straight opponents to 23 points or less. Take Baylor.

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Kyle Hunter

Oct 09 '21, 2:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | Old Dominion vs Marshall
Play on: OVER 63½ -110

*3 Star Free Pick* The Marshall Thundering Herd rank second in the nation in pace of play so far this year. New Head Coach Charles Huff clearly has made it a priority to play as quickly as possible.
Marshall ran up the score against Navy in week one by throwing it around and playing extremely fast up 5 scores in the fourth quarter. They are likely to be up late here and I think they'll try to keep scoring against a weak Old Dominion team.
Old Dominion gave up 42 points against Wake Forest. They gave up 45 against Liberty. Marshall ranks higher in yards per play than both of those teams and they play quite a bit faster as well. The Thundering Herd should be able to put up a big number here.
Old Dominion has shown the ability to score when down big. The Monarchs play much faster than the average team, and they'll likely be down big needing to play quick and throw it a lot here.
Marshall has been a good over team this year, and I'll back the over again with Marshall in this one.

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Stephen Nover

Oct 09 '21, 2:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | Old Dominion vs Marshall
Play on: Marshall -21 -109 at pinnacle

This is a get-right game for Marshall. I expect the Thundering Herd to even their record to 3-3 with an easy win against Old Dominion.
Marshall's offense has lived up to expectations. The Thundering Herd are the 18th-highest scoring team in the nation averaging 37.8 points. They rank in the top six in total yards and passing yards.
It's on defense where the Thundering Herd have disappointed. Marshall gave up just 13 points per game last season while ranking in the top-five in fewest yards allowed. This season, however, the Thundering Herd are giving up nearly 25 points per game and rank 88th in yards allowed.
Marshall is in need of a patsy after three consecutive defeats, including a one-point loss to Appalachian State.
Enter Old Dominion. The Monarchs went 1-11 two seasons ago. They didn't play last year because of the pandemic and are 1-4 this season. The Monarchs lost to Liberty and Wake Forest by an average of 30 points. They rank 95th in yards gained and are 84th in scoring. Their passing attack is dreadful.
The Monarchs are 104th in scoring defense permitting 31.4 points. They have yet to come up with a single takeaway.
Old Dominion is 7-18-1 ATS in its last 26 Conference USA games.
Marshall coach Charles Ruff showed an inclination to run up a score when the Thundering Herd never took their foot off the gas in a 49-7 opening week victory against Navy scoring their final TD with two minutes left on a 30-yard pass.