Saturday 10/9/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 371089

    #61
    Marc Lawrence

    Oct 09 '21, 3:30 PM in 3h
    NCAA-F | Boise State vs BYU
    Play on: Boise State +6½ -110 at Mirage

    Play - Boise State (Game 341).
    Edges - Broncos: 21-1 SU in games when coming off a SU favorite loss, and 21-0 SU in Game Six of the season, and 4-0 ATS as a dog when coming off a SUATS loss … Cougars: 3-7 ATS Game Six of the season … With the Broncos in a bounce-back mode, we recommend a 1* play on Boise State. Thank you and good luck as always.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 371089

      #62
      Joseph D'Amico

      Oct 09 '21, 3:30 PM in 3h
      NCAA-F | Georgia vs Auburn
      Play on: Georgia -14½ -109 at pinnacle

      I am on a 9-3 college football run and Saturday I take it up a notch as we CRUSH YOUR BOOK. I have the strongest college football card I have released in years: SEC WEST GAME OF THE MONTH, 65-27-1 TOUCH DOWN PLAY, 27-4 (2-0 TY) ODDSMAKERS MISTAKE MOVE, 28-10 (1-0 TY) HIGH ROLLER, the OKLAHOMA/TEXAS WINNER, and my 5-1 CONSENSUS PLAY. This is the NCAAF SATURDAY CARD you and I have been dreaming about. Be on it and make our dreams a reality.
      Saturday’s FREE NCAAF WINNER: Georgia Bulldogs.
      Game 357.
      12:30 pm pst.
      Georgia knows they must not let up an inch at all as they have a true chance at the SEC Title and moreover, a CFP spot. Their ferocious defense, which ranks No.1 in total yards, passing yards, and points scored has pitched two consecutive shutouts, and has yielded a total of 23 points through five contests. Auburn has yet to face a stop-unit anywhere near this caliber. Even if quarterback, JT Daniels (check status) doesn’t go, his able backup, Stetson Bennett (70.7% completion rate, 515 yards passing, 6/2) has gained a ton of confidence at the helm. And has great talent around him. Tigers play-caller, Bo Nix hasn’t fared well in this rivalry. And this season, he does not have the luxury of a solid rushing unit. However, the Bulldogs counter any ground game with one of the stingiest run defenses in the nation (allowing just 70.6 YPG on the ground). Georgia has won and covered the last four years in this series, by a combined score of 103-37. The Bulldogs are 21-8 ATS the last 29 games played on the road and 20-7 ATS the last 27 games played as a road favorite. Auburn is 2-6 ATS the last eight games played vs. teams with a winning record and 1-5 ATS the last six games played as an underdog. Take Georgia. Thank you.
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 371089

        #63
        Matt Fargo

        Oct 09 '21, 3:30 PM in 3h
        NCAA-F | Boise State vs BYU
        Play on: Boise State +6 -105 at pinnacle

        It has been an uncharacteristically poor start for Boise St. as it is 2-3 including 1-1 in the MWC. The Broncos were picked to win the MWC Mountain Division and while that is far from done, a win here will gain some momentum heading into the remaining conference schedule. The Broncos are 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. BYU is off to a 5-0 start but they are a bit overpriced here as this number has skyrocketed since opening at -2.5. The Cougars are 1-5-1 ATS against teams with a losing record. Here, we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points averaging 125 or less rushing ypg. This situation is 58-23 ATS (71.6 percent) over the last five seasons. Play (341) Boise St. Broncos
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 371089

          #64
          Black Widow

          Oct 09 '21, 3:30 PM in 3h
          NCAA-F | San Jose State vs Colorado State
          Play on: San Jose State +3 -110 at William Hill

          1* Free Wiseguy Play on San Jose State +3 -110
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 371089

            #65
            Doc's Sports

            Oct 09 '21, 3:30 PM in 3h
            NCAA-F | Georgia vs Auburn
            Play on: Auburn +14½ +102 at linepros

            Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #358 Auburn Tigers over Georgia Bulldogs (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 9 CBS) Georgia is coming off a big and dominating win over Arkansas last week but now must face a better offensive team in Auburn on Saturday. Playing at Jordan-Hare is never an easy task and I just do not believe Georgia will run away and hide in this game. Auburn is coming off an impressive win at LSU last week and they have a solid defense that should be able to keep them in this game. The home team is 11-4 ATS in the last 15 meetings between Georgia and Auburn. The Tigers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as a home underdog.
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 371089

              #66
              Jeff Alexander

              Oct 09 '21, 4:00 PM in 4h
              NCAA-F | Oregon State vs Washington State
              Play on: Oregon State -3½ -110 at Mirage

              1* NCAAF - Oregon St/Washington St FREE PICK on Oregon State -3.5
              Saturday's Free NCAAF Pick is on the Oregon State Beavers as a 3.5-point road favorite against the Washington State Cougars. We cashed on the Beavers as a slim home favorite last week against Washington and will gladly back them laying a short number on the road against a pretty bad Washington State team. Every year there's teams who come out surprise everyone and take a massive leap forward. When these teams are historically bad programs like we have with Oregon State, I think it can take the books a long time to adjust and put proper numbers on their game. It's why I'm not concerned with this looking too obvious of a play. Oregon State is better on both sides of the ball. They win here by at least a touchdown. Bet the Beavers -3.5!
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 371089

                #67
                Bobby Conn

                Oct 09 '21, 4:00 PM in 4h
                PGA | Sungjae Im vs Chad Ramey
                Play on: Sungjae Im -155 at Mirage

                1* Free Play on Sungjae Im -155
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 371089

                  #68
                  Ben Burns

                  Oct 09 '21, 5:07 PM in 5h
                  MLB | Braves vs Brewers
                  Play on: Braves +114 at William Hill

                  While I won with the Brewers in yesterday's game, I feel that the Braves are offering excellent value as underdogs in this one. Atlanta is 5-0 in Fried's last five starts. The Braves won those games by a combined score of 27-10. Over his last three starts, Fried has allowed just two combined runs and only one of those was earned. That translates to a 0.39 ERA and 0.478 WHIP. Over that stretch, he had 15 K's against just one walk. On the other hand, Woodruff is 0-2 over his last three starts. In fact, the Brewers are 0-4 his last four starts, getting outscored by a combined 24-4 score. Consider Atlanta.
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 371089

                    #69
                    Mike Williams

                    Oct 09 '21, 6:08 PM in 6h
                    NHL | Lightning vs Panthers
                    Play on: Lightning +105 at BetVegas

                    1* on Lightning +105
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 371089

                      #70
                      Info Plays

                      Oct 09 '21, 7:00 PM in 7h
                      NCAA-F | TCU vs Texas Tech
                      Play on: OVER 59½ -110

                      1* FREE INFO PLAY on TCU vs Texas Tech over 59½ -110
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 371089

                        #71
                        Rob Vinciletti

                        Oct 09 '21, 7:00 PM in 7h
                        NCAA-F | UTSA vs Western Kentucky
                        Play on: UTSA +3½ -110 at SC Consensus

                        Huge Saturday up with BIG 10 Game of the Year + Executive Level TIER 1 Total, High Noon red river 6*, SEC Game of the Month, MLB, Soccer and Wilder vs Fury, College Comp play below.
                        The College Football Comp Play for Saturday is on Texas San Antonio plus the points at 7:00 eastern. UTSA has covered the last 7 on field turf and 8 of 9 as a road dog. They take on a Western Kentucky team that has failed to cover 25 of 33 after allowing 285+ pass yards,5 of 7 when favored and 6 of 8 off a loss. The Road runners are quietly taking points despite the 5-0 record. They fit a powerful long term system that plays on dogs of 3 or more vs a team that allowed more than 14 points in games 6. Look for UTSA to get the cover at the very least here today. On Saturday we have a tremendous card up led by the BIG 10 Game Of the Year, Executive Level TIER 1 Total, High Noon red river 6*, SEC Game of the Month, Platinum supreme Soccer, MLB Playoff System and Wilder vs Fury play. Jump on and cash out on this hige card. For the College Football Comp play. Take the points with Texas San Antonio. Rob V- Golden Contender Sports
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 371089

                          #72
                          Totals Guru

                          Oct 09 '21, 7:00 PM in 7h
                          NCAA-F | TCU vs Texas Tech
                          Play on: OVER 60 -110

                          Free Total Annihilator On TCU vs Texas Tech over 60 -110
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 371089

                            #73
                            Larry Ness

                            Oct 09 '21, 7:30 PM in 7h
                            NCAA-F | Michigan vs Nebraska
                            Play on: Michigan -2½ -110 at Caesars

                            My free play is on Michigan at 7:30 ET.


                            Both Michigan head coach Jim Harbaugh and Nebraska head coach Scott Frost have endured months of ridicule, doubts and even calls from irate fans that both should be fired, as the two Big Ten teams meet Saturday evening in Lincoln, Nebraska. The series is tied two-all since Nebraska joined the Big Ten and this marks Michigan's first visit to Lincoln since 2012.


                            Michigan was unranked to start the season and with MUCH lower-than-usual expectations, has opened 5-0 and has yet to trail in any game this season (Wolverines have moved to No. 9 in the latest AP poll). Who saw that coming? In fact, Michigan is coming off its most impressive performance of the year, as the Wolverines went on the road and dominated Wisconsin last week, leaving with a 38-17 win. The Michigan running game dominated through the team's first four wins but QB Cade McNamara went 17 of 28 for 197 yards and two TDs against the Badgers, after throwing just 53 total passes in the first four games. He's thrown for a modest 731 yards in five games but an important stat is that he has yet to be intercepted in 81 attempts (he has five TD passes). However, Michigan is a run-first offense, entering No. 1 in the conference at 255.0 YPG on the ground, ranking 7th in the nation. Michigan has ridden the tandem of Blake Corum (521 yards / 6.2 YPC / 7 TDs) and Hassan Haskins (373 yards / 4.6 YPC 6 TDs). Then there is the Michigan defense, which is allowing 12.8 PPG (7th) on 284.6 YPG (12th).


                            Nebraska is right behind Michigan with 237.5 YPG on the ground (2nd in the Big Ten and 14th in the nation). Unlike the Wolverines, the Cornhuskers rely on dual-threat QB Adrian Martinez, who has rushed for 412 yards on 5.2 YPC with 9 TDs. He's also a much better passer than McNamara, completing 66.7% for 1,463 yards with six TDs and two INTs. The Nebraska defense is allowing 15.5 PPG (12th) on 322,.2 YPG (41st). Nebraska is 3-3 (1-2 in the Big 10) and appears vastly improved from its embarrassing season-opening loss at Illinois, having pushed Oklahoma and Michigan State to the limit and hammering Northwestern 56-7 last week. Still, don't get too excited just yet Nebraska fans. The team's three wins have come over Fordham (FCS) 2-3 Buffalo and 2-3 Northwestern, which is 0-2 in the Big 10.


                            This game is a "Blueblood Battle," as Michigan's 969 all-time wins are the most in college football and Nebraska's 908 rank seventh. Nebraska has five national titles (4 Associated Press, 1 coaches' poll) and Michigan has three (2 AP, 1 coaches' poll). Nebraska ranks second with 46 conference titles, Michigan is third with 42. Each school has had three Heisman Trophy winners. That said, Michigan is by FAR the better team here in 2021 and I feel are greatly undervalued here. I'm no fan of Harbaugh but his team looks pretty darn good at the moment. Meanwhile, let me note that Scott Frost is 0-9 at Nebraska against ranked opponents. Lay the short price.


                            Good luck...Larry
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 371089

                              #74
                              ASA

                              Oct 09 '21, 7:30 PM in 7h
                              NCAA-F | Michigan vs Nebraska
                              Play on: Nebraska +3 -110 at William Hill

                              #382 ASA FREE PLAY ON Nebraska +3 over Michigan, Saturday at 7:30 PM ET - The Huskers are quietly flying under the radar right now but this team is playing really well. As well a they have since HC Scott Frost took over back in 2018. Since losing @ Illinois to open the season, the Huskers are 3-2 but that doesn’t tell the entire story. Those 2 losses came @ Oklahoma who is undefeated and @ Michigan State who is also undefeated. They outgained the Sooners on a YPP basis in their 23-16 loss and destroyed MSU in the stat sheet (+14 first downs / +186 total yards / +15 minute time of possession) in that 3 point overtime loss. Those games were on the road and now they get a chance to host a prime time opponent at home. They tuned up nicely last week rolling Northwestern 56-7 outgaining the Cats by 364 total yards. Michigan beat up on some weaker teams at home to start the season but the last few games, while they’ve come out on top, haven’t been nearly as impressive. Two weeks ago they were outplayed at home by Rutgers and lucky to get a tight win (Rutgers was +77 total yards and held Michigan to 2.9 yards per carry). Last week it was a close game in Madison at halftime with Michigan leading Wisconsin 13-10. The Badgers lost starting QB Mertz a few plays into the 2nd half and the wheels came off helping Michigan to a 38-17 win. The Wolverines only averaged 2.5 YPC vs Wisconsin last week. So after averaging over 7 YPC in their first 3 games, they finally faced a few very solid defenses and were held to 2.7 YPC. That’s not great for a team that rarely passes (just 59 completed passes in 5 games this season). The Huskers defense is playing at their peak right now holding their last 2 opponents to less than 300 total yards and holding opponents to just 3.5 YPC on the season. On offense Nebraska is clicking as well averaging 526 YPG since their loss to Illinois to start the season. QB Martinez brings a dual threat that Michigan has not seen yet this season. He’s also throwing the ball as well as he ever has completing 71% of his passes over the last 5 games while rushing for nearly 400 yards as well. Scott Frost has had Michigan in the back of his mind since losing his Big 10 opening game as the Huskers head coach 56-10 @ Ann Arbor. This is a huge game for Nebraska right now and our power ratings have them as a home favorite (Wisconsin was -2 at home vs Michigan last week) and they catch the Wolves on the road for the 2nd straight week. The Huskers win this one outright so we take the points.
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 371089

                                #75
                                Sean Higgs

                                Oct 09 '21, 7:30 PM in 7h
                                NCAA-F | LSU vs Kentucky
                                Play on: LSU +3½ -110 at SC Consensus

                                We will be taking the LSU TIGERS as our FREE PICK for Saturday. Kentucky in off a huge win at Florida. Now they come home as small favorites over LSU in off their own home loss. Wildcats not in a familiar spot as favorites. And honestly, there is nowhere to go but down off that Gators win. You get a block FG return for a TD and are out-gained by about 160 yards, yet still come away with the win. That is a nice steal of a win. LSU with it's own problems. The coach has looked overmatched since the Burrow Championship run. Maybe it was his OC that really was the key to that team. Either way, this is a huge game for him, and the program. Might be weird to say a 'Must Win' for a guy who won the Natty in 2019. But since that 15-0, well, 5-5 last year, 3-2 this year. One last note on Kentucky - they play close games. Vs MizzU they were -5.5, won by 7. 33 point home fave over Chattanooga, won 28-23. At South Carolina, favored by 4.5, won 16-10. And they pulled out the 7pt win at Florida as 7pt dogs. Give me the points with LSU tonight as our FREE PLAY... Higgs. Be sure to check out my CFB Best Bet and my NFL Best Bet in Monday Night Football.
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