Sunday 10/10/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Nick Borrman

Event: France vs (n) Spain
Sport/League: SOC

Date/Time: October 10, 2021 2PM EDT
Play: Spain +0.25 (-130)
UEFA Nations League A Final
I believe this is Spains chance to shine. They played very well in the Euro Tournament this past summer, getting knocked out by Italy in penalties in the semifinals as were really the only team to outplay Italy the entire tournament. But they got their revenge on Wednesday, beating Italy 2-1 in Italy to move onto the Finals on Sunday.
Italy were handed a red card near the end of the first half which pretty much sunk their chances, but Spain were already leading 1-0 when that happened. They then scored a 2nd goal just a few minutes after that red card, in stoppage time of the first half to pretty much put that game on ice.
France had an incredible comeback against Belgium on Thursday. They trailed 2-0 at the half before scoring three in the second half to earn their spot in the final. I worry of the emotional roller coaster for them here but ultimately just look back at their results over the last few months and am disappointed as their defense has been conceding too much.
They had draws against Hungary and Portugal in the Euros group stage, then knocked out by Switzerland on penalties. Then two more draws against Bosnia and Ukraine in the September international break.
Spain is too good to be able for France to get away with any mistakes, and in what should be a very close game, I'll pay a little bit to get the +0.25 number.
TAKE SPAIN +0.25
Line Parameter: 2% at +0.25 to -150

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Tony Finn

Event: (469) Chicago Bears at (470) Las Vegas Raiders
Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: October 10, 2021 4PM EDT
Play: Total Under 44.5 (-110)
Early season success in the National Football League doesn't just resonate with the fanbase of a specific team; in truth, Joe Public is more prone to be overly optimistic about an organization's ability than the fan who knows what and who his team is.
Despite Raider Nation taking up as much as 75 percent of the SoFi seats for the Week 4 Monday Night Football showdown with the Los Angeles Chargers, Gruden and his gang were never really a part of the Week 4 primetime event.
Quarterback Derek Carr and his offense had an opportunity to exit Orange County on Monday night as the only remaining unbeaten AFC team. Neither the home field feel nor the perception that Carr and his minions were one of the most explosive offensive units in the league could push enough points to the scoreboard to claim a victory. The offensively assisted the Raiders in capturing a MNF win. The offensively challenged Bears are in Sin City on Sunday and a second straight contest where Carr and his teammates scuffle to score. The Free Pick is a play UNDER the TOTAL in the Week 5 matchup between the Bears and Raiders.

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The Gold Sheet

Event: (469) Chicago Bears at (470) Las Vegas Raiders
Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: October 10, 2021 4PM EDT
Play: Las Vegas Raiders -5.5 (-110)
Following Monday night’s visit to SoFi Stadium, the Raiders look to benefit from some home cooking in their own new stadium as they aim to improve to 3-0 at the “Death Star,” where they’ve secured overtime wins against the Ravens and Dolphins. Despite coming off a short week after battling the Chargers in L.A., Las Vegas will look to pick up its first cover in a favorite’s role as Chicago arrives in search of its first road victory of the young season. The Bears come off a 24-14 Week 4 victory over Detroit that saw rookie QB Justin Fields settle in with his best performance, throwing for 209 yards on just 11 completions one week after he finished just 6-for-20 for 68 yards while being sacked nine times in 26-6 loss to Cleveland. Although Andy Dalton may be ready to return after missing time with a bone bruise in his knee, head coach Matt Nagy has a decision to make after previously stating that the 11-year veteran would be his starter when healthy. Las Vegas coach Jon Gruden will have to prepare for the possibility that both will play. Chicago RB David Montgomery softened up the Lions defense by running for 106 yards and two touchdowns but left early with a knee injury that the team is hoping isn’t serious. Early reports hinted at a likely hyperextension and nothing significant, but Montgomery’s status for this game against Las Vegas is up in the air. Damien Williams, who found the end zone last week and has plenty of experience facing the Raiders from his days with Kansas City, would fill in if Montgomery can’t go. The Raiders won the most recent matchup 24-21 in 2019 at London's new Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, narrowly avoiding squandering a 17-0 halftime lead. Given all of the uncertainty facing Chicago’s offense, laying the points with Las Vegas looks to be the move.

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The Prez

Event: (469) Chicago Bears at (470) Las Vegas Raiders
Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: October 10, 2021 4PM EDT
Play: Total Under 45.0 (-110)
Chicago Bears at Vegas Raiders -5.5, 45
The Chicago Bears (2-2) and the Las Vegas Raiders (3-1) meet on Sunday at Allegiant to square off in a non-conference matchup. The hometown Vegas Raiders welcome the NFC Chicago Bears to Sin City.

The Bears are riding high after last week's win over the division rival Detroit Lions. The Raiders fell on Monday Night in Los Angeles to the Chargers. The Bears are looking to earn a signature win for their rookie quarterback Justin Fields.

Head coach, Jon Gruden's offense was exposed in the MNF loss to the Boltz. Derek Carr showed some pimples that he had yet to reveal in the first four weeks of the season and the less-than-offensive line that Vegas rosters wouldn't earn a 2021 Purple Heart for bravery above and beyond the call of duty. Free Pick is a play Under the Total.

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Steve Merril

Event: (469) Chicago Bears at (470) Las Vegas Raiders
Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: October 10, 2021 4PM EDT
Play: Chicago Bears +5.5 (-110)
The public is heavy on the Raiders for the second time in the past three weeks, as they backed Las Vegas two weeks ago when the Raiders won straight-up in overtime versus Miami, but failed to cover as a -3.5 point favorite. The Raiders also overcame a 14-0 deficit in the first game for an eventual overtime win versus Baltimore, and Las Vegas trailed 21-0 in their loss this past Monday night at the Chargers. Overall, the Raiders have only won one game in regulation time this season. The Bears have struggled this season, but their offense improved last week with a change in play callers, and rookie QB Justin Fields had a much better game, averaging 12.3 yard per pass attempt.

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Marco D'Angelo

Event: (475) San Francisco 49ers at (476) Arizona Cardinals
Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: October 10, 2021 4PM EDT
Play: San Francisco 49ers +5.5 (-110)
San Francisco +5.5

This play is simple for me it’s all about fading Arizona this week just like I was all about fading the Rams last week with Arizona. The Rams were coming off their destruction of Tampa Bay and Tom Brady and suddenly the spot light was squarely on them. I just felt that after that very satisfying win that the Rams would be a classic case of being all Fat n Sassy and it would be a great spot to fade them and it was. Now it’s Arizona’s turn to be all Fat n Sassy as after all Arizona could not of looked any better in the 37-20 beat down of the Rams. Under Cliff Kingsbury this team has thrown in clunkers after big efforts just go back to Week 2 after blowing out Tennessee 38-13 in Week 1 they come back and escape 34-33 to Minnesota who missed game winning FG on final play and has just 1 win on the season. Arizona just completed a 3 road game in 4 weeks to open the season and goes back out on the road next week to Cleveland. Yes this is a division game so they should be flat but they just crushed the Top Dog in the Conference Rams so their stock can’t be any higher than it is right now. Yes I know the QB situation is unclear in SF at the momentum with Jimmy G leaving yesterday’s game but either way I’m still siding with 49ers. If Jimmy G goes we are fine if it is Trey Lance then we have 2 addition factors first and foremost the Injured Player Theory comes into play here (we always take the injured team 1st week of the injury). But you might say Trey Lance didn’t look good last week. He shouldn’t of as he’s a rookie who didn’t get a lot of snaps in practice. If he is starting he will get all the snaps and he will have a game plan tailored to his strengths not a game plan that was for Jimmy G. Lastly Arizona really won’t know what to expect if it’s Lance as there is no game film on him. Throw out what ever he did last week in relief as again that wasn’t the game plan designed for him. Note: Play Against - Home favorites (ARIZONA) - who are outgaining their opponents by 0.75 or more yards/play, after gaining 400 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games 25-4 ATS L5 YRS in the NFL. Note: ARIZONA is just 1-8 ATS as a HF L3 years.

SAN FRANCISCO 27-24

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Carmine Bianco

Event: (225697) Canada at (225698) Jamaica
Sport/League: SOC

Date/Time: October 10, 2021 6PM EDT
Play: Canada +107
World Cup Qualifying - Canada at Jamaica
Quick Synopsis: Heading into this weeks qualifying games Canada likely would have been satisfied with a split and 3 points before heading home to face Panama next week but a big point in Mexico and they now are in a position to pick up a valuable 4 of 6 points with a win against a struggling Jamaican side that sit bottom of the group. No recent history between these two with the last meeting coming in 2017 but a strong defensive game by Canada thus far in qualifying and some speed with Buchanan and Davies has them playing well offensively as well. We'll take the small plus money favorite here as they take another step towards qualifying for next years WC.
The play is Canada +107

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Andy Lang

Event: (477) Buffalo Bills at (478) Kansas City Chiefs
Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: October 10, 2021 8PM EDT
Play: Zack Moss OVER 8.5 Rush Attempts
The Bills are playing the Chiefs, and the Chiefs are one of the worst rush defenses in the league. They give up 5.4 yards a carry, and a league worst 8 rushing touchdowns surrendered. But I’m going to look at Zack Moss’s attempts here. The Bills can certainly get in a shootout with Kansas City, but they can really control the time of possession if they want to and keep Mahomes on the sideline, and they’ll do that with Singletary and Moss. Moss has flown over this rush attempts total the last two weeks getting 13 and 14 carries in those games, both of those in blowout wins, but if you’re looking for the weakness of the Chiefs, it’s their rush defense and the Bills have the weapons to exploit it. I’ll expect Moss to be a big part of the offense and get to double digits carries.

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The Gold Sheet

New York Giants +7.0 (-115)

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Underdog Sportsline

Miami Dolphins +10

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Bobby Ligs

3% Atlanta Falcons -3.5 (up to -4)

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Dr. Chuck

Bills-Chiefs over 56.5

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Chris Tudor

SPORTS TUDOR'S FREEPLAY FOR SUNDAY

NFL TAMPA BAY -10 over Miami

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Mike Wynn

Free Pick: New England/Houston Under 39½ Points

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Razor Sharp

YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR EARLY SUNDAY: DETROIT/MINNESOTA UNDER the total of 49½