Monday 10/11/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-11-2021, 04:36 AM

Al Cimaglia: Northfield Park Late Pick 4 Analysis

October 11, 2021 | By Al Cimaglia
Northfield Park has a 15-race Monday night card set to go with the first post at 6:00 PM EST. The 0.50 Late Pick 4 has a $10,000 guaranteed pool. The sequence begins in Race 11, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 11

3-Pc's Alleyway (6-1)-Has 2 wins in 20 starts at NFLD, comes off a sick scratch and the field is full of horses that don't like to win. So, this 8-year-old should hang around and be in the mix if 100% healthy.
8-Compass Rose DC (2-1)-Took the long way around in the 1st start back at NFLD and Davis Jr will need to figure out how to put this mare into play. But versus this crew, if a sharp steer can happen it could be time for the 2nd picture in 20 starts this year.
9-Show Em All Lindy (4-1)-This 6-year-old does pass horses down the lane on occasion and thus wins more often than most of these. Has an 0-7 record at NFLD and the post will make it a challenge, but Merriman could make a difference. Willing to take a swing this top pilot will find a way to be forwardly placed turning for the wire.

Race 12

1-Bourbans Best (9/5)-This 14-year-old has moved back and forth between the Rhoades barn and the Kreiser stable since 8-9. Claimed back by Kreiser in last and should be a threat. Merriman is sticking with #5, so Davis Jr takes the lines.
5-If You Want Fire (2-1)-Makes the 1st start for Rhoades after zipping home in 56.3 to take a picture at this class. Merriman should have this 9-year-old in play when the wings fold.

Race 13

6-Rockn Motion (5/2)-Faded after being used hard versus better to get the top. Drops to a spot to shine and Stahl has options with this post draw. Finishing miles has been an issue but hasn't been in this soft in quite a while.
7-Qulaity Closer (15-1)-Faced better in 1st start back in town and raced near the back throughout. Should relish this company and Wrenn could get a close-up seat. Winner of 2 in 6 starts at NFLD could be sitting on a big try at a solid price.
8-Caviart Val (7-1)-Joins the Olivero barn for its NFLD debut and Merriman is between the pipes. Makes the 3rd start off the bench, appears to fit with this crew and could cash the top check with a smooth trip.

Race 14

2-Fly Charlie Fly (2-1)-Has been camera shy this year but did face some tough 3-year-olds. Should have enough gate speed to get an up-front seat. Usually is in the hunt at NFLD hitting the board in 6 of 10 with 1 picture. Looks like a player at a short price.
3-Wenistopdreaming (7/2)-Took a trip to DTN and that didn't work out well, but now is in a more comfortable spot. Had success here versus similar in July and has enough gate speed to race close to the lead. NFLD record is good, has hit the board in 3 of 4 with 1 picture and looks like a main player tonight.

0.50 Late Pick 4

3,8,9/1,5/6,7,8/2,3
Total Bet=$18

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-11-2021, 04:37 AM

Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Wagering Strategies - Oct. 11, 2021

October 11, 2021
Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily “Workout Report, Analysis, and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.). For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
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Grade Descriptions:
Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred or pass
Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play

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RACE 1: Post: 1:00 PT Grade: C+
Use: 1-Billy’s Bet; 2-Oubabe; 8-Vanisky; 9-Liberty Forever

Forecast: The Monday opener for state-bred maiden juveniles sprinting five furlongs on grass is a messy affair full of question marks. Best advice is to use as many as you can afford to. Oubabe showed some ability in his debut at Los Alamitos when a close third in a similar Cal-bred dash that earned an okay speed figure. If he can repeat that type of race on the sod, he can win. Billy’s Bet has trained like he has a bit of ability for his debut and has a grass pedigree, so this newcomer from the A. Barba barn may be competitive if he leaves running from the rail. Liberty Forever represents stranger danger from the San Luis Rey Downs. The work tab isn’t fancy but the P. Miller barn can be clever with these newcomers so we’ll take an educated guess (emphasis on guess) that he can run some, while Vanisky, a son of good grass sire Vronsky, shows a modest series of workouts but is another who could be considerably better on turf.

Notable Workouts:
1-Billy’s Bet (September 15, Santa Anita, 4f, :47.4hg). Grade: B-
Second best in a three-horse gate drill with Roses R Blue (same time) and Fluent (5f, 1:01.3hg), ridden along most of the way while a length behind ‘Blue when eased up after a half mile, splits of :23.4, :35.3 and :47.3 on our watches, not bad for maiden juvenile. Gelded son of Unusual Heatwave seems like a fair to moderate type on dirt but is bred for grass and may eventually due his best on the lawn.
View Workout Video

5-Outta Hand (October 4, Santa Anita, 4f, :48.2hg). Grade: C+
In blinkers, in a three-horse gate drill outside with Loma Vista (5f, 1:01.1hg, slightly best) and Altruist (5f, 1:01.3hg) and was under some coaxing most of the way with steady splits :36 flat and :48.1. not particularly impressive. Let’s see one first.
View Workout Video

7-Synnin and Winnin (October 3, Santa Anita, $f, :49h). Grade: B-
In blinkers, broke off two lengths behind and was urged and ridden hard through the lane to be even to the wire with Quincey (4f, :49.2h) for P. D’Amato while gearing up for debut. Mr. Big gelding acts like a fair sort at best right now but may do better when given a chance on grass.
4f, :49.2h),
View Workout Video

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RACE 2: Post: 1:30 PT Grade: C
Use: 4-Warrens Candy Man; 5-Funkenstein

Forecast: We’ll pass this race but for rolling exotic purposes include the two listed above on our ticket. Neither one is trustworthy, so tread lightly. Warrens Candy Man is a 13-race maiden but has numbers that can win this weak affair, so he’s sure to get plenty of play. Funkenstein ran well at this level earlier in his career before being raised to maiden special weight company in his last four starts. Against this bunch he’s a contender with anything close to his best race and he should be forwardly placed and have every chance.

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RACE 3: Post: 2:01 PT Grade: C+
Use: 1-Sugary; 3-Star of Africa; 8-Over Attracted

Forecast: This is another open affair requiring a spread in rolling exotic play. Star of Africa is a two-time winner over the Santa Anita turf course and drops to her proper level after facing considerably tougher foes in her last four starts. She’s most effective on the lead and if not pressured early could take this field gate-to-wire. Sugary is another with multiple wins over the Santa Anita lawn and projects to earn a good stalking, ground-saving trip. Over Attracted exits a much tougher event when overmatched and never a threat but her win two races back charts well against this group, so we’ll toss her in as well.

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RACE 4: Post: 2:32 PT Grade: B-
Use: 4-Mr. Dougie Fresh; 5-Sayin Grace

Forecast: Mr. Dougie Fresh was a voided claim for $16,000 in late August at Del Mar and today returns to the bottom $10,000 level while retaining F. Prat. We have to think that whatever was bothering him has been taken care off. The P. Miller-trained veteran stretches out to a mile, which used to be his favorite trip, so we’ll put him on top in a lackluster affair. Sayin Grace won an $8,000 seller at Los Alamitos with decent number, so if he can reproduce that form on the big track the J. Wong-trained gelding should be quite competitive right back. However, he’s always preferred to run second or third (18 times) rather than win (four times). We’ll try to survive and advance using just these two in our rolling exotics.

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RACE 5: Post: 3:04 PT Grade: B-
Use: 3-Ox Bridge; 6-Streak and Cheese

Forecast: Steak and Cheese was a voided claim for $32,000 when a good runner-up at this level on grass at Del Mar last time out, so he goes again for M. Maker barn while dropping a level and retaining U. Rispoli. If healthy, he’s the one to beat and has shown he can be effective on the front end or if held up early and allowed to run late. Given the pace projection of this turf miler, the son of Mizzen Mast probably will settle in the second flight and then launch his bid when called upon. Ox Bridge is most comfortable on the lead, so we’ll assume he’ll be sent from the bell to establish the running. His form over this grass course is quite good and he’s dropping out of tougher starter’s $50,000 allowance races to a level that should be much more agreeable to him. Preference on top goes to Steak and Cheese but we’ll include both in rolling exotic play.

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RACE 6: Post: 3:36 PT Grade: B-
Single: 9-Rattrapante

Forecast:Let’s take a shot with the sprinter-stretching-out angle and put Rattrapante on top. This will be her first try around two turns, so we expect to see her on the lead as the controlling speed and given that type of trip in a race without effective closers she could get brave and keep on going. At 4-1 on the morning line she’s as good as any, and if it’s not her, it could be anybody.

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RACE 7: Post: 4:08 PT Grade: B
Use: 2-Cucina; 3-Little Juanito

Forecast: Cucina seems interesting in this first-level allowance optional claiming turf sprint for older horses. He’s a first-off-the-claim for J. Sadler, he’s backing up from a mile, and his best form seems to be as a late-running sprinter. A prior winner sprinting on grass and picking up U. Rispoli, he’s sure to receive the patient ride he prefers, so at 3-1 on the morning line we’ll put him on top. Little Juanito shows up in a claimer for the first time after being pitched too high when unplaced in the Green Flash H.-G3 last time out. He’s won over this course in the past and should be dangerous while on or near the lead throughout.

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RACE 8: Post: 4:40 PT Grade: C+
Single: 1-Dark Prince; 10-Defense Wins

Forecast: Defense Wins, drops a notch below his claim level and is reunited with “win rider” F. Prat, so this M. Maker-trained gelding should regain his best form after failing to land a blow in a starter allowance dash at Los Alamitos last time out. He’s never been one to trust but if he can get some help up front the son of Flatter should be heard from late. Dark Prince will bust out from the rail and go and if he can shake loose early he could get brave late. The barn doesn’t win many, but this Cairo Prince gelding has numbers that fit and a win two races back at Del Mar that charts quite well with these.

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RACE 9: Post: 5:12 PT Grade: B
Use: 4-Solo Animo; 10-Rosenquist

Forecast: Solo Animo drops into a maiden claimer for the first time and seems sure to improve in his second start off a long layoff. The P. D’Amato barn is overdue for some winners and this lightly-raced son of Carpe Diem may have found his friends. He’s run well on grass in the past and earned a number in his only prior route try that is better than par for this level. Rosenquist makes his first start since June and this Midwest invader should be quite competitive on this circuit for this $50,000 maiden claiming price. He’s worked well in the a.m. for new trainer K. Mulhall and though poorly drawn this first-time gelding could be better than shown. At 6-1 on the morning line he’s worth tossing in somewhere.

Notable Workouts:
10-Rosenquist (October 3, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:03h). Grade: B
In blinkers, breezing through the lane, never really asked at any stage, final half mile in :24.3 and :50.2. Looks fine off the bench for K. Mulhall; Midwest invader is a first-time gelding and appear to be a happy sort.
View Workout Video

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RACE 10: Post: 5:42 PT Grade: B
Use: 6-Moraz; 9-Velvet Slippers

Forecast: Velvet Slippers is drawn farther out than we’d prefer but the B. Baffert-trained filly has rising numbers and switches to F. Prat, so if she can navigate a decent trip the daughter of Quality Road should be hard to beat. She’s won on the lead but can stalk and pounce if asked, so at 2-1 on the morning line she deserves top billing. Moraz returns to dirt after just missing as the favorite at this level on grass at Del Mar last month. She earned a big figure when narrowly missing in the Santa Ysabel S.-G3 over the local main track last winter and if she can repeat that performance today she’ll be major player. Preference on top goes to Velvet Slippers but both should be included on your rolling exotic ticket.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-11-2021, 04:39 AM

Santa Anita Park Stats | October 4-10, 2021

October 5, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk

Schedule:
Friday-Monday (Columbus Day holiday)

Carryovers:

$170,377 // Rainbow 6 Jackpot

$9,752 // Super High 5

Feature Race(s):

$70,000 Swingtime Stakes // Cal-bred turf milers // Saturday

Key 1/ST BET Factors (top pick win %, top pick profit/loss):

Lifetime Earnings (45%, +$14.00)

Best Speed Last 3 (42%, +$5.60)

In The Money % (30%, -$1.80)

Jockey/Trainer Trends from Betmix:

J: Flavien Prat // last week 24: 7-8-3 (29%, $0.77 ROI) // 5-12 with Peter Miller & Richard Mandella // 5 wins turf

T: Richard Mandella // last week 10: 3-1-4 (30%, $1.37 ROI) // wins at $4, $4 and $18 – added 12-1 third

T: Mike Puype // last week 5: 2-0-0 (40%, $1.80 ROI) // $5, $12 scores both in maiden turf sprints

T: Bob Baffert // last week 13: 5-1-0 (38%, $0.66 ROI) // 5-6 with favorites // 3-3 with John Velazquez // 3 stakes wins

T: John Sadler // last week 7: 2-3-0 (29%, $0.77 ROI) // $4, $6 wins with maidens // 0-4 stakes all at 7-1 or less

** ROI reflects return on $1 win bet**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-11-2021, 04:41 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Presque Isle Downs - Race #4

#3 Harrow	He finished just behind the guy to his inside when they met last time out, but that was his career debut, and it's never easy to win going long at first asking. Any move forward makes him tough today.
#6 Zuri	She's starting to get short on excuses after six tries, but her best work has come over the local footing, so she has plenty of bounceback potential here while facing the boys.
#2 Mischievous Rogue	He looks plenty capable on paper, but it's worth noting that he's going to take cash and has never seriously threatened a winner. Finds another one that's too tough today? Underlay.
Race Summary	Harrow outran his 20/1 odds in the debut try, and he should be in line for a great trip near the top with these today. He has every right to step forward after the route debut.

Presque Isle Downs - Race #5

#11 Center Mid Maddie	He faded late in stakes company last time out, but he is heading in the right direction and now gets a change of scenery. The price should be better today to see if he can stay on a bit better.
#1 Champion by Design	He took a little bit of action at 7/1 when debuting in stakes company, but he made a nice first impression by landing that one. He beat some of these in the process and can be tough right back.
#9 Longshadow	Maybe he's a need the lead type, but he seems capable of something better than he showed last time out in tougher stakes company at Kentucky Downs. He might like it here.
Race Summary	Center Mid Maddie should get a good pressing trip from this draw, and the price figures to improve after being sent to post at 2/1 last time out. Any step forward for the new team keeps him in the mix

Presque Isle Downs - Race #6

#5 Serve Revenge Cold	He gets blinkers on while stepping up off the claim, and he was a winner at this level here last year. He might get the right setup with a couple of potential pace players signed on.
#2 Patriot Drive	He is another who should get a good trip while running on late, and he was a pretty easy winner at this level a couple starts back. The clear one to beat.
#6 Barnegat Light	He showed a bit of rating ability in his maiden win here, and he gets the draw that might lead to a perfect kind of first-over trip today. He should appreciate the class relief after trying stakes company last time out.
Race Summary	Serve Revenge Cold intrigues at a price while protected off the claim, and he will benefit if a couple of forward players flash a little bit of pace early.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-11-2021, 04:43 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Santa Anita - Race #3

#9 Runway Dreamer	Was claimed two back by Miller and has been effective in races similar to this; has been able to uncork a good rally and can make a run here.
#7 Miss Flawless	Makes her first off the claim by Truman and takes a slight drop; won a couple over this course early in the year.
#3 Star of Africa	Has excellent turf route speed and will take it to these early; turns back from longer races and could finish well.
Race Summary	Runway Dreamer has been in decent company and can improve in his second for Miller.

Santa Anita - Race #7

#2 Cucina	Was claimed by Sadler last time in his first West Coast run after running on the East Coast and lands in a good spot for his first for the new barn.
#3 Little Juanito	Won an optional allowance by 2.5 length two races ago and is a serious factor at this level.
#1 Love My Jimmy	Can clear off early on and will be tough if he can bring it the pace down a notch; big player.
Race Summary	Cucina has some good late pop and can benefit from turning back from a mile to six furlongs; in good hands.

Santa Anita - Race #8

#1 Dark Prince	Had open long leads in his last two and was second in his first off a claim by DeLeon; can take charge and should be tough to catch.
#8 Speed Pass	Showed brief speed and tired last time; has been in some good races and fits with these.
#10 Defense Wins	Was claimed by Maker two races back and ran poorly at Los Al in his first for the new barn; has run some good ones over this strip and can improve.
Race Summary	Dark Prince has enough speed to get to the lead and can dictate how this develops.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-11-2021, 12:51 PM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Fresno

Fresno - Race 2	$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta / $1 Superfecta (10-cent min.) $2 Daily Double / $1 Pick 3 (Races 2-3-4) $0.20 GOLD RUSH Pick 6 (Races 2-7)
Claiming $6,250 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 78 • Purse: $12,000 • Post: 2:17P
FOR FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD OR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,250.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Lone Trailer. NICOLE GRACE is the Lone Trailer of the race, but has been deemed a non-contender due to a low Platinum Figure or other overall low ratings. * KEY ANGLES * BORN TO REIGN: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" d esignation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. RED DAHLIA: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. PROOF OF JAZZ: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. CHEWY CHEWY GOOD: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surfa ce.
5	BORN TO REIGN	5/1	5/1
4	RED DAHLIA	2/1	5/1
3	PROOF OF JAZZ	7/2	8/1
2	CHEWY CHEWY GOOD	8/1	8/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
3	PROOF OF JAZZ	3	7/2	Front-runner	75	76	97.6	60.7	55.2
2	CHEWY CHEWY GOOD	2	8/1	Front-runner	80	69	78.8	63.6	55.6
1	SAYITALL	1	3/1	Alternator/Front-runner	71	69	78.0	63.6	54.1
4	RED DAHLIA	4	2/1	Stalker	78	77	97.7	68.4	63.4
5	BORN TO REIGN	5	5/1	Alternator/Stalker	82	79	75.4	70.4	65.4
6	NICOLE GRACE	6	6/1	Trailer	70	68	62.7	58.2	50.2

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-11-2021, 12:53 PM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Fort Erie

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Allowance - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $24108 Class Rating: 78

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE OTHER THAN CLAIMING SINCE SEPTEMBER 11 ALLOWED 2 LBS. *PLUS UP TO $4,725 ONTARIO BRED/ONTARIO SIRED BREEDERS AWARDS).

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 1 DIAMONDBACK 6/1
# 2 DR CHAPPELL 9/2
# 4 LETTING LOOSE 4/1

I think DIAMONDBACK is a quite good choice. Has very good early speed and will most likely fare solidly against this group. Put up a competitive Equibase speed fig last time out. DR CHAPPELL - He has been running quite well and the speed figures are among the strongest in this field. Always good to invest in a trainer with this kind of quite good win percentage - 18 percent - at this distance & surface. LETTING LOOSE - Has been racing admirably and has among the best speed in the race for today's distance. Investors should take a good look at this one as this gelding has one of the best win percentages at this distance in this field.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-11-2021, 12:54 PM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Lethbridge

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Claiming - 7.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $4350 Class Rating: 73

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $2,500.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 2 HERCULEAN 1/2
# 3 DOC ROSS 7/5
# 1 WITTS HURRICANE 6/1

HERCULEAN looks to be a respectable contender. Could best this group of horses in this race here, showing quite good figures of late. Win percentage one of the top in this group. Looks quite good to be up near the lead at the first call. DOC ROSS - Always good to invest in a trainer with this kind of very strong win percentage - 15 percent - at this distance & surface. Could best this group based on the Equibase Speed Fig - 66 - of his last race. WITTS HURRICANE - He has garnered very strong figs under today's conditions and will almost certainly fare well versus this field. Had one of the strongest speed figures of this group of horses in his last contest.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-11-2021, 12:55 PM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Thistledown - Race #8 - Post: 4:20pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $17,000 Class Rating: 65

Rating:

#7 POWER BANKER (ML=5/2)
#6 SHEZA FINE JUSTICE (ML=9/2)

POWER BANKER - Sub-par try last time around the track at Belterra Park was due to the off-going (she ran fifth). Expect better today on a fast track. As long as Rivera keeps this horse off the pace, I have to believe this one could be a winner. When a racer drops at least five lbs (like this one is), you must take notice. It may not seem like much, but should be helpful. SHEZA FINE JUSTICE - I like this animal. Should be familiar with this level since she ran against the same type last race out at Thistledown. This campaigner coming off a nice performance in the last month is a contender in my book. The most recent rating of 65 is the top last race speed fig in the bunch.

Vulnerable Contenders: #8 YELLAH (ML=3/1), #3 UCANTKEEPUP (ML=7/2), #5 BEACH BABE (ML=6/1),

YELLAH - The finish of fourth in the last event shows me that this equine may be tailing off. UCANTKEEPUP - Hard to play a less than sharp equine that cannot even score one time in her last ten races. BEACH BABE - 6/1 is too low of a value to take on most any horse that has run poorly in back to back races. The speed fig last time out doesn't fit very well in this race when I look at the class figure of today's race. Mark this horse as a likely underpriced equine.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#7 POWER BANKER is going to be the play if we are getting 2/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [6,7]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-11-2021, 12:56 PM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Parx Racing - Race #11 - Post: 5:25pm - Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $20,000 Class Rating: 78

Rating:

#13 WILL TOO SHY (ML=4/1)
#5 HARBOR CROSSING (ML=2/1)

WILL TOO SHY - Taking a trip to a lower class rank; has the ability to make his presence felt. Lopez and Ramirez have had great success together over the last year. Ramirez enters this thoroughbred in a spot where he should fit well based on his last 2 speed ratings. I like that recent contest on September 17th at Monmouth Park where he ran third. He has the uppermost earnings per race. Take a good look at this one. HARBOR CROSSING - This rider and handler have a great winning pct when they join forces. I like the way this gelding's finish positions have gotten better with each start recently. A sign of a horse coming into top form. Gelding took a little vacation, but has been racing into shape.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 CAUSE I SAID SO (ML=5/1), #4 SAILOR AGAIN (ML=6/1), #10 RISING STORM (ML=8/1),

CAUSE I SAID SO - You always think this animal has a shot to win, but he just misses regularly. That was simply not a very good exhibition in the last affair. SAILOR AGAIN - Can't make a habit of betting on thoroughbreds that rarely win. RISING STORM - This animal doesn't have a conquering spirit. Quite often finishes in the place or show spot. Not probable that the speed figure he earned on Sep 8th will hold up in this affair.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Go with #13 WILL TOO SHY on top if we're getting at least 3/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [5,13]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	13 with 5 with [4,15,16] Total Cost: $3
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-11-2021, 12:59 PM

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Santa Anita Park

10/11/21, SA, Race 1, 1.00 PT
10/11/21,SA,1,5F [Turf] 00:54:04 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $61,000. FOR CALIFORNIA BRED OR CALIFORNIA SIRED MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 122 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In Their Last Starts Preferred). (Rail at 20 feet).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	3	Heaven's Music(b+)	12/1	Herrera D A	Alvarez Edwin G.	SFC	371	33.69	1.18/$1
099.0392	2	Oubabe	9/5	Prat F	Sadler John W.	JTE	371	33.69	1.18/$1
098.0789	6	Erebus	6/1	Baze T	Solis Walther	L	371	33.69	1.18/$1
097.1245	9	Liberty Forever	4/1	Hernandez J J	Miller Peter	W	323	32.82	1.17/$1
097.0473	7	Synnin and Winnin	6/1	Cedillo A	Koriner Brian J.		323	32.82	1.17/$1
097.0473	1	Billy's Bet	6/1	Franco G	Barba Alexis		323	32.82	1.17/$1
096.8156	5	Outta Hand	8/1	Gonzalez R	D'Amato Philip		323	32.82	1.17/$1
096.7384	8	Vanisky	10/1	Maldonado E A	Bonde Jeff		323	32.82	1.17/$1
093.0897	4	Orth(b+)	20/1	Hernandez E	Kruljac J. Eric		371	33.69	1.18/$1

Top rated horse With "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - Win% 53.85, ROI 1.71/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.9608
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Turf] Lasix No Change
If Race Is Off Turf

Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	2	Oubabe	9/5	Prat F	Sadler John W.	JTE	181	29.28	0.83/$1
096.1160	9	Liberty Forever	4/1	Hernandez J J	Miller Peter		181	29.28	0.83/$1
093.9385	7	Synnin and Winnin	6/1	Cedillo A	Koriner Brian J.		181	29.28	0.83/$1
093.4886	5	Outta Hand	8/1	Gonzalez R	D'Amato Philip		181	29.28	0.83/$1
093.4025	8	Vanisky	10/1	Maldonado E A	Bonde Jeff		181	29.28	0.83/$1
092.1089	3	Heaven's Music(b+)	12/1	Herrera D A	Alvarez Edwin G.	SFC	26	50.00	1.58/$1
092.0721	1	Billy's Bet	6/1	Franco G	Barba Alexis	W	181	29.28	0.83/$1
092.0232	6	Erebus	6/1	Baze T	Solis Walther	L	26	50.00	1.58/$1
090.6496	4	Orth(b+)	20/1	Hernandez E	Kruljac J. Eric		131	32.06	1.11/$1

Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 43.75, ROI 1.06/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -3.8840
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Default Category Stats

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-11-2021, 01:03 PM

Rk	Sports Services	Free Sports Picks	Place A Bet
1.	NSA(The Legend)	MLB – Dodgers -1.5	Line @ Bovada
2.	Gameday Network	MLB – Braves -110	Line @ Bovada
3.	Sports Action 365	MLB – Red Sox -110	Line @ GT Bets
4.	Vegas Line Crushers	NBA – Nets -6.5	Line @ GT Bets
5.	VegasSI.com	NBA – Raptors -3.5	Line @ Bovada
6.	PointSpreadReport.com(SAM CASEY)	NBA – Pistons +6.5	Line @ MyBookie
7.	Winning Big Sports	NBA – Pelicans +7.5	Line @ MyBookie
8.	NSA(Gerry “Big Cat” Andino)	MLB – Braves under 8	Line @ Bovada
9.	Lou Panelli	MLB – Red Sox over 9.5	Line @ Bovada
10.	VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club	MLB – Astros over 9	Line @ GT Bets
11.	William E. Stockton	NBA – Hornets +8.5	Line @ MyBookie
12.	Vincent Pioli	NBA – Raptors under 225	Line @ Bovada
13.	Steve “Scoop” Kendall	NBA – Clippers -1	Line @ Bovada
14.	SCORE	MLB – Dodgers -1.5	Line @ GT Bets
15.	Tony Campone	MLB – Red Sox over 9.5	Line @ Bovada
16.	Chicago Sports Group	NBA – Trailblazers over 219	Line @ Bovada
17.	Hollywood Sportsline	NBA – Pelicans +7.5	Line @ Bovada
18.	VIP Action	NBA – Hornets +8.5	Line @ GT Bets
19.	South Beach Sports	MLB – Red Sox over 9.5	Line @ Bovada
20.	Las Vegas Sports Commission	MLB – Braves under 8	Line @ Bovada
21.	NY Players Club	MLB – Astros +120	Line @ GT Bets
22.	Fred Callahan	NBA – Pistons +6.5	Line @ Bovada
23.	Las Vegas Private CEO Club	NBA – Clippers -1	Line @ MyBookie
24.	Michigan Sports	NBA – Hornets over 217.5	Line @ GT Bets
25.	National Consensus Report	MLB – Dodgers -1.5	Line @ Bovada

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-11-2021, 01:47 PM

Steve Janus

Oct 11 '21, 4:00 PM in 1h
Soccer | Chacarita Juniors vs Agropecuario
Play on: Agropecuario -143 at linepros

1* Free Sharp Play on Agropecuario -143

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-11-2021, 01:51 PM

Hunter Price

Oct 11 '21, 5:00 PM in 2h
Tennis | Denis Shapovalov vs A Karatsev
Play on: A Karatsev +125 at Caesars

1* Free Pick on A Karatsev +125