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Rays Will Advance Game: Series: (801) RED SOX at (802) RAYS Date/Time: Oct 7 2021 8:07 PM EDT Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line Play Rating: 4 units Play: Tampa Bay to Win the Series
Over the last three seasons, Tampa Bay is 30-18 against the Red Sox while winning the season series all three years. The Rays are so good at finding the matchups that put them in a position to succeed. They've got home field advantage. They have the pitching advantage, since Nathan Eovoldi threw on Tuesday. JD Martinez is expected to miss at least a few games in this series. All of the intangibles point in Tampa Bay's favor.
I wouldn't fault anyone for splitting their bet between Tampa Bay for the series, and Tampa Bay in Thursday's Game 1. I think the Rays take Game 1 fairly comfortably. Eduardo Rodriguez has a couple pre-All State and post-All Star splits that are a little concerning for the Red Sox. He posted a 7-3 record after the All-Star break, but his innings pitched dropped, his strike-out rate dropped, his WHIP increased and his walk rate increased. Only 25-percent of Boston's starting pitcher outings resulted in a “quality start" this season. Boston's pitching rotation is not built for the postseason, and when you have Eovaldi limited because he just pitched, they're just not set up to succeed in this series.
Shop around! At the time of posting, Rays to win the series is available at FanDuel (-168) and DraftKings (-170), which is much cheaper than a lot of others in the market. Do your best to find the best number, because that will certainly make a difference over the long run.
MLB (Bob Balfe)
8:10 PM EST
Rotation #914
Rays -1.5 runs over Red Sox +130
McClanahan/Rodriguez
Tampa was the best team in the American League this year and had the Red Sox number as they dominated them down the stretch. This team is built for playoff baseball while Boston’s hitting dips away from home. This was a team that did not play that well post all-star break and I do believe that Tampa has the edge at every single position and is a better team across the board. Look for Tampa to get the early lead and for their bullpen to hold on. Moneyline too high to play so take the Rays -1.5 runs +130
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