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Jason Sharpe
4 Unit Play Take #934 Chicago White Sox -120 over Houston (8:07pm est):
The Chicago White Sox are a much better team when playing at home this year. They return here to Chicago in a must win type spot. The White Sox hand the baseball here to starter Dylan Cease in this one. Cease has been much better at home this season with a 3.18 ERA there compared to his 4.69 ERA when on the road. Houston counters with Luis Garcia in this contest. His ERA is nearly two full runs higher on the road than in Houston this season. Garcia is a rookie and this is a tough spot and atmosphere for him in this one.
Upset in Arizona Game: (475) San Francisco 49ers at (476) Arizona Cardinals Date/Time: Oct 10 2021 4:25 PM EDT Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line Play Rating: 4 units Play: San Francisco 49ers +5.5 (-110)
The NFC West is both the least-predictable and most-predictable division in the NFL at the same time. Confusing, right? It's the least-predictable because you shouldn't be shocked if any of the four teams win the division at the end of the year. Before the season, they were all grouped together in the futures market, and not a whole lot has changed since then. Anyone can win the division. It's also the “most-known” division because there's been stability amongst all four teams for quit a while. Kliff Kingsbury and Kyler Murray have been together for three years in Arizona. Russell Wilson and Pete Carroll have been together for ten seasons in Seattle. Sean McVay and Kyle Shanahan are each in their fifth year. There hasn't been a whole lot of turnover. These coaches and teams know each other very well, and that means that 5.5 points is too much in this matchup.
Everyone remembers how beat-up San Francisco was last year, right? C.J. Beathard was the starting quarterback. Jeff Wilson Jr. and Jerick McKinnon were the leading rushers. Kendrick Bourne was a leading receiver. The 49ers were an absolute mess last season. And when they went to Arizona at the end of the season and a) Were a six-point underdog; b) Won the game outright. So last year's MASH unit of a squad was +6 at Arizona, and this year's team is +5.5. I don't buy it.
There is such a huge difference from both the play-callers and quarterback from having a full week to prepare a gameplan and inserting a guy in at halftime because of an injury. I trust Shanahan to have a good gameplan in place for Trey Lance this week. This is too many points. Take San Francisco.
Upset in the Desert Game: (475) San Francisco 49ers at (476) Arizona Cardinals Date/Time: Oct 10 2021 4:25 PM EDT Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line Play Rating: 1 units Play: San Francisco 49ers +205
The NFC West is both the least-predictable and most-predictable division in the NFL at the same time. Confusing, right? It's the least-predictable because you shouldn't be shocked if any of the four teams win the division at the end of the year. Before the season, they were all grouped together in the futures market, and not a whole lot has changed since then. Anyone can win the division. It's also the “most-known” division because there's been stability amongst all four teams for quit a while. Kliff Kingsbury and Kyler Murray have been together for three years in Arizona. Russell Wilson and Pete Carroll have been together for ten seasons in Seattle. Sean McVay and Kyle Shanahan are each in their fifth year. There hasn't been a whole lot of turnover. These coaches and teams know each other very well, and that means that 5.5 points is too much in this matchup.
Everyone remembers how beat-up San Francisco was last year, right? C.J. Beathard was the starting quarterback. Jeff Wilson Jr. and Jerick McKinnon were the leading rushers. Kendrick Bourne was a leading receiver. The 49ers were an absolute mess last season. And when they went to Arizona at the end of the season and a) Were a six-point underdog; b) Won the game outright. So last year's MASH unit of a squad was +6 at Arizona, and this year's team is +5.5. I don't buy it.
There is such a huge difference from both the play-callers and quarterback from having a full week to prepare a gameplan and inserting a guy in at halftime because of an injury. I trust Shanahan to have a good gameplan in place for Trey Lance this week. This is too many points. Take San Francisco.
Fields Getting Comfortable Game: (469) Chicago Bears at (470) Las Vegas Raiders Date/Time: Oct 10 2021 4:05 PM EDT Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line Play Rating: 3 units Play: Total Over 45.5 (-110)
It's the same story every year with the Raiders: When you look at their starting 11 on defense in Week 1, you see a lineup that looks pretty good and has potential. And then after four weeks when attrition sets in, you look at that same lineup and say “Who are these guys?” Both starting cornerbacks - Damon Arnette (groin) and Trayvon Mullen (toe) - are out. Justin Fields has finally gained the trust of Bears coach Matt Nagy. Now that he's been officially named the starter, hopefully Nagy and Co. will design plays around his strengths. This is a low total for a game being played in a dome with perfect scoring conditions. The Steelers' offense hasn't had a pulse all season, so we'll remove them from the equation. The other three teams that the Raiders have played have scored 27+ points against them. On the Bears side, defensive tackle Akiem Hicks and linebacker Joel Iyiegbuniwe are both out.
Browns and Ravens 6-Point Teaser Game: (479) Indianapolis Colts at (480) Baltimore Ravens Date/Time: Oct 11 2021 8:15 PM EDT Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line Play Rating: 4 units Play: Browns +8.5 / Ravens -1 Teaser
6-Point (-120 or better) Teaser:
Cleveland Browns +8.5 at LA Chargers
Baltimore Ravens -1 vs Indianapolis Colts on Monday Night
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