Friday 10/15/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358349

    Friday 10/15/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358349

    #2
    Adam Trigger

    Event: (304631) Kiwoom Heroes at (304632) Samsung Lions
    Sport/League: KBO

    Date/Time: October 15, 2021 5AM EDT
    Play: Samsung Lions -105
    Samsung Lions (5:30AM ET Naver TV) – After a 11-1 KBO run we have come back to Earth a bit with a couple of losses to start the new week but we are still hitting over 60% in KBO this season and I’m coming right back with one that I expect puts us back in the win column when the Samsung Lions take on the Kiwoom Heroes at Daegu Samsung Lions Park in Daegu, South Korea.
    I’ve been saying for weeks now I expect Kiwoom to fall out of the playoff race, they are currently teetering right on the edge but the Heroes have been awful on the road this season and I think they lose on the road again here. We had a bet lined up against Kiwoom that got rained out last Friday, my goal was to fade starting pitcher Chan-Heon Jeong in that game and now I’ll finally get the chance to do so here. Samsung goes with a starting pitcher I’m looking to back as Chae-Heung Choi gets the ball and finally seems to be figuring things out after an injury derailed the early portion of his season. Samsung has the better offense by a mile here and the Lions are 37-24-3 at home while Kiwoom is an abysmal 23-36-2 on the road. Kiwoom was hot out of the gate and lived on timely hitting and squeaking out close wins in the first half of the season, they haven’t been a .500 team the past couple months and I don’t think the Heroes can go on the road and beat a Samsung team that still has a legitimate shot at winning the KBO regular season crown.
    Let’s start with Kiwoom as they give the ball to Chan-Heon Jeong who, overall, has been one of the better pitchers on this Heroes roster this season. Jeong was a big free agent acquisition for Kiwoom this past offseason and he’s been solid in his new crosstown home with a 4.44 ERA and 1.45 WHIP for the Heroes this season. On the surface those numbers are respectable but they were a lot better a few weeks ago as Jeong has looked fatigued and has been ineffective in his past three starts, giving up 17 runs on a whopping 34 hits in just 10.1 innings pitched. Jeong benefits huge from his last start being rained out which means 12 days will have elapsed since he’s pitched last but that type of layoff can also mess with a guy accustomed to getting the ball once every sixth day. Jeong’s numbers dipped toward the end of last season for LG (less drastic but Jeong also had a 3.51 ERA and 1.33 WHIP last season as opposed to a 4.44 ERA and 1.45 WHIP this year). Jeong is only a few innings off what he tossed all of 2021 and he’s 31 years old so it’s possible he just has less in the tank and KBO hitters have figured him out. Samsung is a top 3 team in just about every offensive category, the Lions hammered Jeong and knocked him out in the second inning last time they saw him and Samsung Lions Park is one of the most hitter friendly ballparks in the league. Jeong will be followed by a Kiwoom bullpen that has been average at best this season and Heroes relievers are much worse on the road where their bullpen ERA is over 5. This looks like an excellent spot for the Samsung offense to break out and I think the Lions bats set the tone for a Samsung win here.
    Samsung counters with Chae-Heung Choi who has finally started to look like the guy that went 11-6 with a 3.58 ERA and 1.25 WHIP for Samsung last season. Choi should be fresh here as well because he also got rained out, but Choi got his work in as he was able to make a relief appearance against the NC Dinos last week. Choi tossed 2.2 scoreless innings giving up just one hit which followed a dazzling performance a couple weeks earlier where Choi tossed 8 shutout innings and struck out seven in a start against that same Dinos team. Choi had a bad start against Doosan sandwiched in there but the prior month plus has been filled with Choi starts that have been quality (or close to quality) and have seen him work deep into the game with minimal damage. Samsung’s bullpen hasn’t been great either but they rate out similar to Kiwoom’s so, while I won’t give Samsung the clear cut bullpen advantage I can make a case for the Lions having the better relief unit based on the fact Kiwoom’s numbers are worse on the road. I think Samsung going to hit here which means Choi should have some runs to work with and I expect the Samsung bullpen to make it hold up.
    It’s a huge game for both teams because Samsung is still within striking distance of winning the KBO regular season which equals a bye to the Korean Series final. If Samsung wants to catch KT they don’t have much room for error, this is being priced as a coin flip but the Lions have the advantages here and I’ll roll with them at what is a very cheap price. Play on Samsung Lions -105 for 4% (or 4 units)
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358349

      #3
      Al Cimaglia: Hoosier Park Late Pick 4 Analysis


      October 15, 2021 | By Al Cimaglia
      Indiana bred two and three olds are the headliners on the Hoosier Park 15-race card. They will be competing in Sires Stakes Super Finals which have a $250,000 purse. The 0.50 Late Pick begins in Race 12. The sequence has a $20,000 guaranteed pool, and it will be my focus.

      Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

      Race 12

      1-Thunder Country (6-1)-Winner in 2 of the last 4 should enjoy this post draw. Has hit the board in 9 of 13 at HoP with 6 wins and De Long could keep this Rockin Image gelding in play.
      7-Fulfullnmydestiny (4/5)-Winner of 5 straight has been dominant versus this kind. Appears to be a clean trip away from another appearance in the winner's circle.

      Race 13

      1-Rockin On Venus (20-1)-Stayed inside in the 1st start on Lasix but did pace the 2nd half in .55 and lost by <3 lengths. This price shot has hit the board in 12 of 17 starts here and could be in the hunt once again.
      4-Roll Em (5/2)-Came off the bench and took advantage of a nice trip plus hot fractions to roll by down the lane. Looks like a player but probably won't offer any value.
      7-Virgo (2-1)-This is the best post draw in the last 3 starts and has managed to cash 3rd place checks starting from post 10 and post 8. Tetrick should be able to leave and land a decent seat, so it's best to not overlook chances for a picture tonight.
      9-Goldie's Legacy (7/2)-Winner of 4 straight and 5 of the last 6 has the gate speed to leave and get on the point. Gingras is in the bike and will likely follow the same plan of getting on the engine. It should be noted this is by far the worst post draw since at least the beginning of June.

      Race 14

      2-Ponda Hawk (9/2)-Comes off a sharp win from post 8 and now steps up to face a tougher task as De Long steers again. Should be forwardly placed throughout and another picture could happen with an efficient trip.
      3-Iwannabewithyou (5-1)-Slows starter needs honest fractions to close into and that's possible here. That wasn't the case in last, but Gingras might be able to coax enough speed off the gate to get a decent seat. This will be 3rd start on Lasix and best to respect chances for an improved effort.
      8-Trey's Charlie (5/2)-Morning line chalk is consistently in the hunt at the wire. Has hit the board in 10 of 11 this year with 2 wins. The Hollenback barn has been cold over the last 30 days but that could change here.

      Race 15

      3-Saddle Up (7/2)-More of a 1-move type who should be forwardly placed with this post draw and fits well with this crew. Tim Tetrick grabs the lines, so will look for this 3-year-old to be in striking range turning for the wire.
      5-Big Gulp (5-1)-Comes off an improved effort and should offer a solid price. Won from the 2nd tier with a .54 back half and will look for the upswing to continue.

      0.50 Late Pick 4

      1,7/1,4,7,9/2,3,8/3,5
      Total Bet=$24
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358349

        #4
        Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Wagering Strategies - Oct. 15, 2021


        October 15, 2021
        Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily “Workout Report, Analysis, and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
        *
        The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.). For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
        *
        *
        Grade Descriptions:
        Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
        Grade B=Solid Play.
        Grade C=Least preferred or pass
        Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play

        __________________________________________________ ____________________________
        RACE 1: Post: 1:00 PT Grade: B-
        Use: 1-Kuora; 6-Del Mar Drama

        Forecast: Kuora moves up a notch to the $40,000 claiming level after rallying with the help of the race-shape to win going away with a career-top equaling figure in a one miler turf event at Del Mar in late August. Successful in five of 12 starts but with no seconds or thirds, the Peruvian-bred mare has been all or nothing in her career so far but if she’s given the patient, waiting ride that she requires the R. Baltas-trained import should be capable of scoring right back. Her rail draw guarantees a ground-saving trip and J. Bravo, who got to know her last time out, stays aboard. Del Mar Drama is worth including somewhere on your ticket as well. The daughter of Shackleford exits tougher allowance/optional claiming company, adds blinkers, and shows a sharp recent breeze that tells us she’s doing well. She’s another that prefers to be held up early and cut loose late and may offer a bit of wagering value at 8-1 on the morning line.

        Notable Workouts:
        6-Del Mar Drama (October 4, Santa Anita, 4f, :47h TT). Grade B
        In blinkers, quick drill while mostly on her own, final three furlongs in :11.3 and :35.1, quite sharp for E. Kruljac. Seems to have perked up with hood on. Worth a close look in the proper spot.
        View Workout Video

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        RACE 2: Post: 1:31 PT Grade: B-
        Use: 1-Essential Quality; 6-Affable; 8-Disco Ball

        Forecast: Affable returns to sprinting on dirt, and a rep[eat of his solid third place performance in a similar affair at Del Mar two races back in which he earned a career top speed figure makes him the one to beat. The M. Glatt-trained son of Flatter removes blinkers (like that angle), retains A. Cedillo, and should find himself comfortably positioned on or near the lead in a race that projects to have soft early splits. He’s listed at 5-1 on the morning line and that seems like a square price. Disco Ball lands the cozy outside draw after finishing a good runner up in a hot maiden sprint at Los Alamitos last month in a race that produced a career top number. The son of Orb has been an underachiever throughout his career but may finally be figuring things out. There should be no excuses today. Essential Wager is a first-timer from the Baffert with a decent series of drills that should have him fit enough to be a legitimate contender in this seven furlong event for older maidens. He’s been working evenly with stable mate Miacomet – both are listed at 4-1 on the morning line – but we suspect ‘Wager is slightly the better of the two so he’s the one we’ll include in our rolling exotics.

        Notable Workouts:
        1-Essential Wager (October 9, Santa Anita, 5f, :59.2h). Grade: B
        Stride-for-stride with B. Baffert-trained stablemate Miacomet (same time), splits of :23.3, :47.1 and :59.1 while working from the half-mile pole to the 7/8 pole, easy to the top and then ridden some through the lane, solid work for both. Been in training a long time and should be more than fit enough by now. No champion but should be competitive with maiden special weight foes first time out. Workmate kept on nicely under light pressure and can run some, too.
        View Workout Video

        7-Thales (September 25, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:01h). Grade: B-
        Finally makes it to the post after bringing $1,250,000 in the 2020 OBS April sale and looks to have some ability following this solo five furlong drill, splits of :25 flat, :36.4 and 1:01 flat, ridden a bit through the lane after going off slowly. Would be inclined to see one first.
        View Workout Video
        __________________________________________________ ____________________________
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        RACE 3: Post: 2:05PT Grade: B-
        Use: 1-New Drama; 6-Sweet Devil; 7-Miss Tokyo

        Forecast: We’ll go three-deep in the third, a six furlong turf sprint for restricted (nw-2) $25,00 claiming fillies and mares. New Drama takes a significant class drop from the starter’s allowance $50,000 ranks into this modest affair and may have found her friends. Winless in seven starts (with three placings) over the local turf course but with a good inside draw and enough speed to wire the field with her best effort, the T. Yakteen-trained daughter of Declaration of War is reunited with “win rider” J. Pyfer and is fairly-priced on the morning line at 7/2. Sweet Devil has the route-to-spring angle that we like and is adding blinkers for the first time, so the daughter of Daredevil has a right to step forward significantly over a course and distance that produced a good win three races back. It’ll be interesting to see if the addition of the hood adds a bit more tactical speed to her repertoire. Miss Tokyo, away since June of last year, returns for new trainer L. Powell with the first-time-for-a-tag angle but at a sprint distance that may be a bit too sharp for her liking and with a somewhat uninspiring work tab. It’s possible she’s being raced into a shape, but she picks up “win rider” U. Rispoli for a trainer that has good stats with layoff runners, so we’ll toss in her on a ticket or two for protection.

        __________________________________________________ ____________________________
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        RACE 4: Post: 2:35 PT Grade: B-
        Use: 1-Sir Flatter; 4-Try to Capture; 10-Fenestra

        Forecast: Fenestra flashed good speed before fading when facing straight maiden company in his only prior outing a year ago July at Gulfstream Park and today resurfaces in a bottom-rung maiden claimer for a clever outfit with a superb record with layoff runners. The V. Cerin-trained gelding shows a reasonably decent work tab to have him fit and ready, and this first-time Lasix user will be ridden by the barn’s “go to” guy K. Desormeaux, so everything seems aligned for a major effort in a soft affair. Try to CaptureSir Flatter, in the frame in his last pair, is slow on numbers and lacks tactical speed but should be running on late and may get at least get a piece of it.

        __________________________________________________ ____________________________
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        RACE 5: Post: 3:05 PT Grade: B
        Use: 1-Toeris; 7-Ballet Dancing

        Forecast: Toeris is a New York invader eligible for valuable ship-and-win money in this maiden special weight juvenile filly turf miler and the daughter of Tourist doesn’t appear to have a whole lot to beat, hence her morning line of 9/5. Drawn ideally on the fence with the rail setting 20 feet out, the M. Casse-trained daughter of Tourist figures to be outrun early while saving ground and then have every chance to produce a winning late kick when called upon. Perhaps the most dangerous of the newcomers is Ballet Dancing, a daughter of Medaglia d’Oro who brought $800,000 as a yearling. The S. Callaghan-trained filly is a full sister to Foolish Living, who only raced four times but was a smart debut winner over a mile on grass at Belmont Park a few years back. The work tab is solid if not spectacular but should have her fit enough to a produce a good effort, perhaps even a winning one.

        __________________________________________________ ____________________________
        __________________________________________________ ____________________________

        RACE 6: Post: 3:34 PT Grade: B-
        Use: 1-Lightning Fast; 6-Exalted Joy; 7-Direct Line

        Forecast: This restricted (nw-2) $32,000 claiming miler contains several big class droppers and we’re expecting the winner to be among that group. Direct Line broke his maiden two runs back at Del Mar in a $40,000 seller with an off-the-charts 91 Beyer speed figure but then was virtually eased when overmatched in a first-level allowance event three weeks later at the same track. The Liam’s Map gelding is realistically spotted today while being reunited with “win rider” T. Baze and should draft into an ideal stalking position outside then be able to kick on when given his cue. Lightning Fast, freshened since June, shows up in a seller for the first time after being able to land a blow in a series of state-bred first-level allowance events in the spring. The son of Violence sports a healthy series of recent workouts that should have him ready for an optimum performance for a barn that has strong stats with layoff runners. A prior winner over the Santa Anita main track, the W. Spawr-trained gelding projects to enjoy a forwardly-placed ground-saving trip and looks very much like a live item at 6-1 on the morning line. Exalted Joy graduated by six lengths over this track and distance last spring but found starter’s allowance company out of his reach in a pair of subsequent outings at Delk Mar. With back numbers that make him a strong fit, the son of Exaggerator should go much better in this league

        __________________________________________________ ____________________________
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        RACE 7: Post: 4:02 PT Grade: B-
        Use: 4-Barristan The Bold; 5-Via Egnatia; 9-Castle

        Forecast: Older $25,000 claiming turf sprinters collide in a tough race that offers several contenders and requires a spread in rolling exotic play. Castle, first-off-the-claim for K. Mulhall, is a three-time winner over the Santa Anita turf course, moves up a notch from the $20,000 level, retains regular rider A. Cedillo, and has the ideal pace-stalking style for this extended sprint distance. The barn has powerful stats with recent claims (24%) and a sharp, healthy recent work tab that should have the veteran Slew’s Tiznow gelding cranked up for a return to winning form. The form suggests that Via Egnatia is most effective on the lead going long but he’s sprinted well in the past and record a bullet five furlong training track drill last week to catches the eye. The R. Baltas-trained gelding projects to enjoy a comfortable stalking trip and then have dead aim and every chance with the pressure is turned on. Barristan the Bold, claimed in his last pair and back sprinting where he belongs, earned a good speed figure despite a troubled trip two runs back in a race that if repeated today puts him right there. The English-bred gelding gets a break in the weights with the switch to competent bug boy D. Herrera and also adds blinkers for the first time, so at 8-1 on the morning line he’s certainly worth including on your ticket.

        Notable Workouts:
        6-Via Egnatia (October 7, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:00.2h TT). Grade: B-
        Rank and running off down the backstretch, settled midway, and the cruised through the lane without being asked, splits of :11.4 and :36.3 for the final three furlongs. Not always the easiest of rides, can be effective sprinting or routing on his best day.
        View Workout Video

        9-Castle (September 19, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:00h). Grade: B
        Final half mile in a solid :24.1 and :48.1, easy to the top and then asked and ridden through the lane looking fine for new trainer K. Mulhall. Maintains his good form.
        View Workout Video

        __________________________________________________ ____________________________
        __________________________________________________ ____________________________

        RACE 8: Post: 4:29 PT Grade: B
        Use: 2-Breakfast Ride; 6-War At Sea; 8-Barossa

        Forecast: Here’s a fairly strong maiden dirt miler for 2-year-olds that should take a pretty good colt to win it. War at Sea and Breakfast Ride, the three-four finishers behind subsequent Grade-1 winner Corniche in the fastest maiden sprint for juveniles in North America so far this year, return on the stretch-out with credentials to improve considerably in their second career start A $525,000 son of War Front, War At Sea finished a respectable third while staying on creditably without threatening the winner and has trained nicely since while giving the impression that he’ll be able to handle today’s two-turn trip. The barn has had a very slow year, but this colt can run and appears to be capable of significant forward move. Breakfast Ride produced a solid mid-race move while widest of all in that race and kept on reasonably while clearly needing the outing. The J. Sadler barn has excellent stats with the second-time starter angle, so we’re expecting this son of Distorted Humor to be fitter, tighter, and more dangerous. Barossa, the morning line favorite at 3-1, finished a distant third at this distance in his second career outing while earning a vastly improved speed figure. The son of Into Mischief has trained quite well since for B. Baffert, should be prominent throughout and may stick a whole lot better today over a main track that has consistently favored the early pace types.

        Notable Workouts:
        1-Durante (October 2, Santa Anita, 5F, :59h). Grade: B-
        In company with B Dawk (5f, 1:00h), breaking off about a length behind at then going by with authority from the top of the to the wire wile being ridden out, splits of :23.2, :34.4 and :59 flat, doing his best to the end. A bit too high-headed for our liking but has some speed and has room to improve.
        View Workout Video

        6-War At Sea (October 4, Santa Anita, 6f, 1:14.1hg). Grade: B
        In a three horse gate drill with Miss Everything (5f, 1:02hg) and Solitaire (5f, 1:03hg) and was much best while head-and-head with ‘Everything to the top and then responding to urging from the quarter pole home, splits of :24.2, :48.3 and 1:14.1 on our watches, ridden to the wire and responding well enough. Juvenile colt by War Front exits a hot race and seems likely to improve with distance and experience (and probably turf, too).
        View Workout Video

        8-Barossa (October 10, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:00.1h). Grade: B
        In company with Midnight Mammoth (same time) for B. Baffert and was even but noticeably best while breezing through the lane in good style, final half mile in :23 flat and :48.1 from the three furlong pole to the seven furlong pole on our watches. Has an improving pattern but no sure thing to go farther than a mile.
        View Workout Video

        __________________________________________________ ____________________________
        __________________________________________________ ____________________________


        RACE 9: Post: 5:05 PT Grade: B
        Single: 8-Bally’s Charm

        Forecast: The nightcap is a maiden special weight turf miler for state-bred 2-year-olds that has the makings of a chaotic affair. Let’s take a stand with a price horse. Bally’s Charm is a dangerous first-time starter for a barn that doesn’t win often with debut runners but has looked fairly athletic in morning trials and just might be able to run some. The J. Mullins-trained gelding breezed well while easily handling a workmate in a strong training track drill earlier this month and with Arch on the bottom side of his pedigree should be able to handle a distance of ground first time out. The numbers among the known element are considerably below par for the level, so we’ll gamble in the win pool and in rolling exotic play with a fresh face at 6-1 on the morning line.

        Notable Workouts:
        8-Bally’s Charm (October 3, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:01h TT). Grade: B
        Did well in team drill on training track with K P Krypton (5f, 1:01h TT) for J. Mullins, pressing that one outside and then coming away in the closing stages without undue pressure, final quarter mile in a sharp :25.2. California-bred gelding has some talent, seems fit, and should handle any surface and stay a middle distance if asked. Intriguing.
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358349

          #5
          Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks


          Charles Town - Race #6
          #2 My Juba She'll get back around one turn after the failed two-turn try, and she caught a couple of runaway winners in her most recent tries at this trip. Won't need a huge effort to land this.
          #5 Jules Rules Debuter goes for a capable team, and there is almost no serious form signed on in here for this firster to worry about. Expecting her to be competitive, but get a look at her on the track.
          #4 A Blonde Thing She has been mostly one-paced in all five starts, but that has landed her a few underneath pieces, and that appears to be the most likely outcome again tonight with this group.
          Race Summary My Juba and Jules Rules will both get bet, but the rest of these don't bring a whole lot by way of form, but the former has an experience edge and brings a best of nine work to this cutback try.
          Charles Town - Race #7
          #1 Alpine Moon She has enough pace to be in the mix early on, but she can also settle and spy just a bit if the other forward players want to go early. Versatility might serve her well tonight.
          #6 Slingin Sammy B She's another who should be in the mix early on, and her only local try produced a pretty good effort when facing a better group. Underlaid contender.
          #4 Bird Traffic She's a plug-along finisher, but a few of these may be going the wrong way late, so her running style might allow her to come along late for a piece of this.
          Race Summary Alpine Moon might be the right one to post a mild upset here, as she has a bit of tactical ability from the inside, and the price mid be playable enough to give her a chance to handle the chalk.
          Charles Town - Race #8
          #5 Crypto Flag She rolled home late when dropping in for $5,000 for the new barn, and she's a capable contender here if she has a step forward in her in this second start off the bench.
          #1 Cedar Run's Fire Forward player can be in the mix early from the fence, but I think she'll find at least one of these a bit too tough today. Include in the vertical gimmicks.
          #4 Mojo Matters Her running lines make her a threat for top honors, but she is 1-for-16 and has been toiling at this level for quite some time. Wouldn't be a surprise, but she probably won't offer a fair price.
          Race Summary Crypto Flag would be interesting at anything like the 6/1 morning line offering while stepping up to face winners for the first time. This isn't a super deep field -- even for this level -- and she looks pretty competitive if factoring in a bit of potential upside tonight.
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358349

            #6
            Frank Carulli's Daily Picks


            Freehold - Race #1
            #2 MISS POPEYE Holds tactical edge on post switch, four wins this year are more than rest of field.
            #7 PARODY Harrah's invader gets needed class relief, forward position into first turn is the key.
            #5 STAN THE MAN 12yo gets leading driver for return from a five-month layoff.
            Race Summary Miss Popeye chased the odds-on winner and held third two starts ago, then made a brief bid from post 8 in a follow-up try. She can make good use of her speed from post 2 in this spot and her four wins this year tower over the field. Play 2-5 and 2-7 exactas.
            Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #2
            #7 ROWLEN Steady numbers, trouble two back, no match for odds-on three-peater in latest.
            #2 ITSTIMETOGOHOME Steps up in class, seeking third consecutive victory.
            #4 WARRAWEE WHISPER Has speed, good fit at this level, but 2-for-28 overall.
            Race Summary Rowlen has seen enough of Iglare AM, who won three in a row, the latest at 2-to-5 odds. She was blocked the entire stretch when tonight's morning-line favorite, Warrawee Whisper, held her off for second on September 17. She takes on the boys again. Play 7-2 and 7-4 exactas.
            Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #9
            #1 ALL CHEDDAR Sustained first-over rally, couldn't reach winning fave, can return quick claim dividend.
            #5 OKIE FROM MUSKOGEE Ran third from post 8 in 1:51.4 on transition from half-mile tracks.
            #10 RAU RU Good middle move after winning fave slowed the pace, post the concern.
            Race Summary All Cheddar rallied for a win and two seconds in his last four starts at Woodbine-Mohawk Park. He followed the move of the 6-to-5 winner last out and gained ground through a :55.1 back half. Bet on him to win and place.
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358349

              #7
              Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks


              Remington Park - Race #6
              #6 Number One Dude Top-notch 3-year-old takes a crack at older rivals and comes in off the easiest of wins in the Oklahoma Stallion Stakes; has taken four of five over this strip.
              #1 Absaroka Won both tries this Remington season and most recently won the prep for this; has dropped down to claiming company on several occasions but his best efforts would make him tough to beat.
              #2 Don't Tell Noobody Won the 2020 edition of this race (Classics Cup) and was third in the prep; needs a good pace in front of him and can make a late run.
              Race Summary Number One Dude has won five of eight lifetime starts and can engage when needed; capable of running well vs. older horses.
              Remington Park - Race #7
              #1 Rowdy Rascal Was fourth in two short races at Prairie Meadows prior to moving to Remington and has shown he's much better running longer; was an easy winner last out and finish well vs. these.
              #5 Legionary Was up in time for a maiden win in his first local attempt; can be in the mix throughout.
              #6 Cuatro Madres Beat Rowdy Rascal first time out and didn't work for a month after that appearance; clearly talented and gets top jock in Cabrera.
              Race Summary Rowdy Rascal has improved with distance and his last race was impressive; has the kick to get it done here.
              Remington Park - Race #9
              #11 Quality Rocket Wore down Quarky in the Red Earth Stakes and looks for a repeat in this race; has the speed to overcome his post and can dig in when challenged.
              #4 Quarky Is accomplished at shorter distances and was caught by Quality Rocket late in the Red Earth; will be hard-pressed to get the distance and could be difficult to catch.
              #3 Khola Will be the one to benefit the most if the pace is fast; has won both of his local starts this season with a strong late move.
              Race Summary Quality Rocket finished well last time, has enough speed to stay close and has enough energy to hold off latecomers.
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358349

                #8
                NCAAFB Top 5 ATS :


                KENTUCKY 5-0
                CINCINNATI 4-0

                NEW MEXICO 0-6
                KANSAS 0-5
                MISSOURI 0-5
                SAN JOSE STATE 0-5
                SOUTHERN MISS 0-5
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358349

                  #9
                  F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Fresno

                  Fresno - Race 2
                  $1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta $2 Daily Double $1 Pick 3 (Races 2-3-4)
                  Claiming $4,000 • 1 1/16 Miles • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 88 • Purse: $10,000 • Post: 1:16P
                  FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE AUGUST 1 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000 (MAIDEN, CLAIMING, AND STARTER RACES FOR $3,500 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).
                  Contenders
                  Race Analysis
                  P#
                  Horse
                  Morn
                  Line
                  Accept
                  Odds

                  Race Type: Lone Stalker. OH BE ONE is the Lone Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * OH BE ONE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. SIX POINT RACK: Horse ranks in the top thr ee in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. EARNEST: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/sur face.
                  3
                  OH BE ONE
                  2/1
                  4/1
                  2
                  SIX POINT RACK
                  5/2
                  9/2
                  1
                  EARNEST
                  7/2
                  9/2

                  P#
                  Horse (In Running Style Order)
                  Post
                  Morn
                  Line
                  Running Style
                  Good
                  Class
                  Good
                  Speed
                  Early Figure
                  Finish Figure
                  Platinum
                  Figure
                  1
                  EARNEST
                  1
                  7/2
                  Alternator/Front-runner
                  90
                  88
                  80.3
                  82.2
                  76.2
                  2
                  SIX POINT RACK
                  2
                  5/2
                  Alternator/Front-runner
                  88
                  81
                  76.8
                  79.8
                  76.8
                  3
                  OH BE ONE
                  3
                  2/1
                  Alternator/Stalker
                  88
                  87
                  72.0
                  77.6
                  70.6
                  5
                  UBER STAR
                  5
                  9/2
                  Alternator/Non-contender
                  90
                  86
                  97.8
                  72.8
                  67.3
                  4
                  UPPER ROOM
                  4
                  4/1
                  Alternator/Non-contender
                  91
                  87
                  22.6
                  68.7
                  60.2
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358349

                    #10
                    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Hawthorne



                    Hawthorne - Race 6
                    $1 Exacta / 50 Cent Trifecta / 20 Cent Superfecta 50 Cent Pick 3 (Races 6-7-8) / 50 Cent Pick 4 (Races 6-7-8-9) / $1 Daily Double
                    Claiming $15,000 • 1 Mile • Turf • Ages 3 and up CR: 69 • Purse: $13,000 • Post: 5:30P
                    FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE SEPTEMBER 15 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000 (CLAIMING RACES FOR $12,500 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ESTIMATING ALLOWANCES). IN THE EVENT THAT THIS RACE IS TAKEN OFF THE TURF IT WILL BE CONTESTED AT ONE MILE AND SEVENTY YARDS ON THE MAIN TRACK.
                    Contenders
                    Race Analysis
                    P#
                    Horse
                    Morn
                    Line
                    Accept
                    Odds

                    Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * NOFANSINTHESTANDS: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has t he highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. LOCASH: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. MAGIC SOLUTION: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rat ing. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. ONE FLASHY GIRL: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/su rface.
                    7
                    NOFANSINTHESTANDS
                    4/1
                    9/2
                    5
                    LOCASH
                    5/1
                    6/1
                    9
                    MAGIC SOLUTION
                    3/1
                    6/1
                    8
                    ONE FLASHY GIRL
                    8/1
                    10/1

                    P#
                    Horse (In Running Style Order)
                    Post
                    Morn
                    Line
                    Running Style
                    Good
                    Class
                    Good
                    Speed
                    Early Figure
                    Finish Figure
                    Platinum
                    Figure
                    4
                    THAT'S ALL RIGHT
                    4
                    20/1
                    Front-runner
                    55
                    50
                    62.0
                    32.7
                    20.2
                    9
                    MAGIC SOLUTION
                    9
                    3/1
                    Alternator/Front-runner
                    71
                    66
                    52.0
                    63.4
                    57.9
                    8
                    ONE FLASHY GIRL
                    8
                    8/1
                    Alternator/Front-runner
                    65
                    65
                    25.0
                    58.4
                    49.4
                    3
                    CREAL DREAMER
                    3
                    12/1
                    Stalker
                    57
                    59
                    64.5
                    64.5
                    52.5
                    1
                    BABY GOTTA GO
                    1
                    20/1
                    Alternator/Stalker
                    53
                    59
                    38.9
                    37.0
                    20.5
                    10
                    LEOLINA
                    10
                    12/1
                    Alternator/Stalker
                    64
                    61
                    0.0
                    0.0
                    0.0
                    5
                    LOCASH
                    5
                    5/1
                    Trailer
                    70
                    69
                    52.2
                    60.4
                    49.4
                    6
                    GHAALEB'S DREAMS
                    6
                    8/1
                    Trailer
                    68
                    52
                    49.0
                    49.0
                    38.5
                    7
                    NOFANSINTHESTANDS
                    7
                    4/1
                    Trailer
                    71
                    69
                    8.6
                    65.8
                    59.3
                    2
                    U CAN DO IT
                    2
                    6/1
                    Alternator/Non-contender
                    66
                    62
                    59.2
                    59.2
                    54.2
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                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 358349

                      #11
                      Handicapped by The Walker Group at Remington Park

                      Always check program numbers.
                      Odds shown are morning line odds.




                      Race 2 - Stakes - 8.3f on the Dirt. Purse: $145000 Class Rating: 86

                      OKLAHOMA CLASSICS DISTAFF S. - FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE-YEAR-OLDS AND UPWARD. ACCREDITED OKLAHOMA BREDS. WHICH HAVE NOMINATED TO AND REMAIN ELIGIBLE TO THE OKLAHOMA CLASSICS PROGRAM. $1090 TO PASS THE ENTRY BOX. STARTERS TO PAY $1090 ADDITIONAL. SUPPLEMENTARY NOMINATIONS MAY BE MADE AT TIME OF ENTRY FOR A FEE OF $4,360, WHICH QUALIFIES TO START. WEIGHTS THREE YEAR OLDS, 118.

                      RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                      # 8 LADY ORCHID 3/1
                      # 2 SHE'S ALL WOLFE 5/2
                      # 6 OKIE QUEEN 8/1
                      I've got to go with LADY ORCHID. Has run solidly when racing a dirt route race. The speed rating of 85 from her latest race looks solid in here. She has been running solidly and the Equibase Speed Figures are among the most competitive in this field. SHE'S ALL WOLFE - Shows signs of the look of a lucrative play, averaging a solid 80 Equibase Speed Figure which is one of the strongest in this field. Has to be given a chance in this race if only for the quite good Equibase Speed Figure posted in the last race. OKIE QUEEN - Is tough not to look at given the company run in lately. Has respectable front speed and will most likely fare admirably versus this field.
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                      Comment

                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 358349

                        #12
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                        Comment

                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 358349

                          #13
                          Mitchell Newman

                          Friday freebie is Under the total in the Clemson-Syracuse ACC tilt from the Carrier Dome.

                          Here we have a Clemson team that has scored just over 14 points per game in 4 of their 5 games this season and has allowed 13 points or less in 4 of their 5 games this season, as the Under has cashed in 4 of their 5 games this year.

                          Syracuse is 3-3 this season in the Over/Under department, and while they have posted some big points this season, it is hard to imagine their offense gashes the rock-ribbed Clemson defense the way they have gashed losses stop units this year.

                          Series numbers show 4 of the last 5 played between the teams and 6 of the past 8 overall between the ACC rivals have landed Under the total.

                          Take the Under again in this ACC Friday night showdown at the 'Cuse.

                          3* CLEMSON-SYRACUSE UNDER
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 358349

                            #14
                            Jay McNeil

                            Even before the Clemson Tigers were in a down mode - and at 3-2 on the season, they are definitely in a down mode - the Syracuse Orange had been a thorn in their side, as the Orange have played the Tigers pretty tough to say the least.

                            Yes, Clemson has won 5 of the past 6 series meetings, but they are just 2-4 against the spread in those 6 showdowns and the one loss did come at the Carrier Dome where these ACC rivals will square off on Friday.

                            Clemson had last week off to try and figure out a new plan of attack, but they also enter this game will some significant injuries they are trying to play through.

                            Syracuse has dropped their first 2 conference games in heartbreaking fashion, as both setbacks have been by just a field goal - losses at Florida State and at home last weekend in overtime to Wake Forest.

                            The bottom line is this 'Cuse team competes and this year's edition is better than most of the previous Orange teams that were inside of the number versus the Tigers.

                            Clemson's defense has remained very tough to score against, but it is the offense that has not been able to generate enough points to cover imposts and I do not think they will do so again tonight.

                            Take the home dog.

                            2* SYRACUSE
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 358349

                              #15
                              Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



                              Laurel - Race #3 - Post: 1:50pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $31,500 Class Rating: 72

                              Rating:

                              #13 SONG SAVER (ML=4/1)
                              #1 DISCREET DOMINIQUE (ML=8/1)


                              SONG SAVER - This trainer brings horses to the turf ready to win, winning over 20 pct of the time under similar conditions. DISCREET DOMINIQUE - This filly should give a good account of herself in today's event.

                              Vulnerable Contenders: #3 STARTWITHABANG (ML=5/2), #9 I LOVE MAGEL (ML=3/1), #2 ECHO FOXTROT (ML=9/2),

                              STARTWITHABANG - Should have at least hit the board in the last 60 days in a short distance affair to be worth the risk at modest odds in a sprint. I LOVE MAGEL - Don't think this less than sharp equine has what it takes to cross the finish line in first in today's event. ECHO FOXTROT - This filly in all probability won't be close at the finish.


                              STRAIGHT WAGERS: Put your money on #13 SONG SAVER on the nose if you can get odds of 3/1 or more
                              EXACTA WAGERS: Box [1,13]

                              TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                              [1,13] with [1,13] with [2,3,4,5,12] Total Cost: $10
                              SUPERFECTA WAGERS: [1,13] with [1,13] with [2,3,4] with [2,3,4,5,12] Total Cost: $24

                              SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:
                              [1,13] with [1,13] with [2,3,4,12] with [2,3,4,12] with [2,3,4,12] Total Cost: $48
                              ** Some or all wagers above involve entries and assume all parts of entry start the race **
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