Sunday 10/17/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Marc Lawrence

Oct 17 '21, 1:00 PM in 12h
NFL | Bengals vs Lions
Play on: Lions +3½ -109 at pinnacle

Play - Detroit Lions (Game 264).
Edges - Lions: 4-0 ATS when coming off a division away game … Bengals: 2-20-1 SU in last twenty-three away games, and 4-9-1 ATS as road favorites versus winless foes … We recommend a 1* play on Detroit. Thank you and good luck as always.

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Rocky Atkinson

Oct 17 '21, 1:00 PM in 12h
NFL | Packers vs Bears
Play on: Packers -6 +103 at pinnacle

Rocketman Sports FREE NFL play Sunday 10-17-21
GREEN BAY @ CHICAGO (1 PM EST)
Play On: GREEN BAY -6


The Green Bay Packers travel to Chicago to take on the Bears on Sunday afternoon. Green Bay comes in with a 4-1 record while Chicago is 3-2 on the season. Green Bay is averaging 247 yards per game passing and 347.6 total yards per game this year. Chicago is averaging only 113.2 passing yards per game and 240 total yards per game this season. After a season opening embarrassing loss to New Orleans, Green Bay is 3-0 their last 3 games overall scoring 27.3 points per game. They are scoring 35 points per game in division play so far this season. Some more trends to look at are Green Bay is 6-1 ATS last 7 games after a SU win. Green Bay is 6-2 ATS last 8 games as a favorite. Chicago is 5-11 ATS last 16 games against a team with a winning record. Chicago is 4-9 ATS last 13 games after an ATS win. Chicago is 3-7 ATS last 10 games against the NFC North. The favorite is 4-1 ATS last 5 meetings overall in this series. Green Bay is 24-6 SU and 22-8 ATS last 30 meetings at Chicago including 2-0 SU and ATS the past 3 years. Green Bay is 20-7 ATS last 27 meetings overall in this series. Aaron Rodgers is 20-5 SU lifetime vs the Bears where he has 55 touchdowns, 10 interceptions and a nice 107.2 passer rating. Chicago offense will be shut down here and Rodgers will have another big day leading the Packers to the win in this one. We'll recommend a small play on Green Bay today! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

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Dennis Macklin

Oct 17 '21, 1:00 PM in 12h
NFL | Chiefs vs Washington Football Team
Play on: OVER 55½ -105

DMack's Free Play for Sunday, October 17, 2021 is on the Chiefs/WFT OVER
The Chiefs were just embarrassed at home by Buffalo and will be in a foul mood here. Still want no part of Kansas City's 1-11-1 run as a favorite so we'll look immediately at the total. KC has lost three of four, giving up 101 points, and committing 11 turnovers since the last time they forced one, themselves. The Chiefs have 18 plays of 20+ yards, they've given up a whopping 28 themselves on defense. The WFT has given up 33.8 ppg. in their L4, all of which went over the total. This will probably be a good one to watch where the first one to 40 wins. Play the OVER.

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Rob Vinciletti

Oct 17 '21, 1:00 PM in 12h
NFL | Packers vs Bears
Play on: Bears +6 -110 at SC Consensus

Sunday card loaded with Executive Level Tier Side, NFC Total of the Year, Sunday night Football, Game 2 LCS and Soccer. Comp Play below
The NFL Comp play for Sunday is on Chicago plus the points at 1:00 eastern. The Bears have covered 14 of 20 as a home dog. The Packers are in a play against System pertaining to teams who have won 4 or more straight and lost on the road prior to that streak. The Packers have failed to cover the last 6 in week 6 of the season. The Bears defense should keep this game close and Fields can get out of the pocket here and make some plays. This should be a good game here. On Sunday we have the NFC Total of the Year, an Executive Level TIER 1 Side, the Sunday night NFL, Game 2 N.L.C.S and Soccer. Jump on and end the week big. For the NFL Comp play. Look for the Bears to get the cover. Rob V- Golden Contender Sports.

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ASA

Oct 17 '21, 1:00 PM in 12h
NFL | Chargers vs Ravens
Play on: Chargers +2½ +101 at pinnacle

#261 ASA NFL FREE PLAY ON LA Chargers +2.5 at Baltimore Ravens, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET - Both teams are coming off big home wins – Chargers beat Browns 47-42, Ravens MNF comeback over the Colts. Much is made of Lamar Jackson and his play this season – but Justin Herbert has the 4th best QBR in the NFL (ahead of Tom Brady) 13 TD’s to 3 INT’s. The Chargers strength offensively is throwing the football with the 3rd best passing offense in the league at 303PYPG. The Ravens pass defense is 29th in the NFL allowing 296PYPG. Two solid offenses but the key difference between these two teams though comes down to defense. Defensively the Chargers have an edge. Overall, the Chargers rank 19th in yards allowed per game at 371 whereas the Ravens give up 390YPG which ranks 24th. On paper those defensive numbers look fairly close however the Chargers have faced three offenses in the top 6 in terms of DVOA or efficiency while Baltimore on the other hand has faced 4 offenses that rank 18th or worse in DVOA and yet they have worse defensive numbers. The Chargers have covered 8 of their last 9 games with 4 straight covers on the road, 3 of which they won outright. Digging deeper the Chargers are 37-17 ATS their last 54 as a road dog. Bet LA Chargers

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Matt Fargo

Oct 17 '21, 1:00 PM in 12h
NFL | Chiefs vs Washington Football Team
Play on: Chiefs -6½ -110 at William Hill

Kansas City is coming off a blowout loss against the Bills Monday night to fall to 2-3 on the season and this could already be a make or break game for the Chiefs. They scored only 20 points which was a season low but that came against the top ranked defense in the NFL. Still, they are ranked No. 4 in total offense and No. 5 in scoring offense and have a great opportunity to get back on track here. Patrick Mahomes has not been the same quarterback we have come accustomed to the last few years and while he has had some spectacular games, he has two games where his passer rating was 70.9 and 81.6. The Washington defense was supposed to carry the team this season but it has been dreadful so far this season as it is ranked No. 27 in total defense and No. 31 in scoring defense. It is 2-3 with the two wins coming against the Giants and Falcons by a combined five points. Chiefs are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game while Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last five games following a straight up loss. Here, we play on Road favorites off an upset loss as a home favorite, with a winning percentage between .250 and .400 playing a team with a losing record. This situation is 30-7 ATS (81.1 percent) since 1983. Play (257) Kansas City Chiefs

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John Martin

Oct 17 '21, 1:00 PM in 12h
NFL | Chargers vs Ravens
Play on: Ravens -3 +100 at pinnacle

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Baltimore Ravens -3
The Los Angeles Chargers are coming off three straight huge wins over the Chiefs, Raiders and Browns. It's going to be hard for them to keep it going against the Baltimore Ravens this weekend. This is a very bad matchup for the Chargers. They are the worst team in the NFL at defending the run, giving up 158 rushing yards per game and 5.6 yards per carry. The Ravens are a run-heavy team that averages 149 rushing yards per game and 4.9 per carry. The Chargers gave up 230 rushing yards to the Browns last week and have allowed 186 or more three times. Los Angeles is 8-20-1 ATS in its last 29 games after scoring more than 30 points last game. Baltimore is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games overall. Give me the Ravens.

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Steve Janus

Oct 17 '21, 1:00 PM in 12h
Soccer | Juarez vs UNAM Pumas
Play on: UNAM Pumas +120 at SC Consensus

1* Free Sharp Play on UNAM Pumas +120

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Brandon Lee

Oct 17 '21, 1:00 PM in 12h
NFL | Rams vs Giants
Play on: Rams -9 -103 at pinnacle

FREE PICK: Los Angeles Rams -9
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 265
You aren't going to make a profit long-term betting a lot of big road favorites, but I just can't help myself with the Rams as a mere 9-point favorite at the Giants on Sunday. I just don't know how New York can make a game of it with all the injuries they are dealing with.
There's a good chance starting quarterback Daniel Jones will be cleared to play after leaving last week's game against the Cowboys with a concussion, but he's got a bunch of backups to work with. Giant will be without starting running back Saquon Barkley and one of their top wide outs in Kenny Golladay. They also don't figure to have emerging rookie wideout Kadarius Toney, who left their last game with an ankle injury. Wide outs Darius Slayton and Sterling Shepard are also both questionable to play. Same goes for starting left tackle Andrew Thomas and left guard Ben Bredeson.
How in the world are the Giants going to generate enough offense here to keep pace with Matthew Stafford and that potent Rams offense? Keep in mind New York's defense has regressed a ton from last year. They are giving up 27.8 ppg, 409 ypg and 6.3 yards/play.
Giants are just 8-20 ATS last 28 off a road blowout loss by 21 or more points, while the Rams have covered 21 of their last 30 vs fellow NFC opponents. LA is also 17-5 ATS last 22 on the road vs bad defensive teams that are giving up 27 or more points/game. Give me Rams -9!

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Mike Lundin

Oct 17 '21, 1:00 PM in 12h
NFL | Chiefs vs Washington Football Team
Play on: Washington Football Team +7 -112 at pinnacle

Chiefs vs Football Team Free Pick October 17, 2021
The Chiefs have burned their against the spread backers on the regular for quite some time (3-13 ATS in their last 16 games overall), but now they've also dropped three of their last four straight up. They have the worst scoring defense in the NFL and are coming into the week 31st in total defense allowing 437 yards per game. Washington is also going through a rough patch, but I expect to see a reaction after taking a 33-22 home loss to New Orleans last week. Football Team are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a double-digit loss at home. Chiefs are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 games on grass.
Free pick on Washington.

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Alex Smart

Oct 17 '21, 1:00 PM in 12h
NFL | Chiefs vs Washington Football Team
Play on: Chiefs -6½ -110 at pinnacle

Two teams off of losses. But according to my power rankings and projections the superior advantage resides with Andy Reid and company.
WASHINGTON is 2-10 ATS in home games off a home loss by 10 or more points.
KANSAS CITY is 11-1 ATS in road games after allowing 400 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games.
NFL Road favorites (KANSAS CITY) - off an upset loss as a home favorite, a struggling team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are 30-7 ATS L/38 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.
NFL Underdogs or pick (WASHINGTON) - after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last three games, with a losing record.are 3-22 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 88% conversion rate for bettors.
NFL Road favorites of -160 to -475 vs. the money line (KANSAS CITY) - good passing team - averaging 230 or more passing yards/game, after allowing 7 or more passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 31-1 L/10 seasons for a 97% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at +10.9 which qualify on a ATS line.
Play on Kansas City -
Projected score: KC 34 Washington 20

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Joseph D'Amico

Oct 17 '21, 4:25 PM in 16h
NFL | Cowboys vs Patriots
Play on: Cowboys -3 -120 at pinnacle

I am proud to announce I have my first NFL TEN DIMES PLAY of the season. The last 4 years my TEN DIMES releases are 11-0. I release only 2-3 a year and over the L4 years, they are 100%. I also have my 23-6-1 VEGAS INSIDER MOVE coming from the SHARPEST players in Vegas. And my coveted 4-1 HIGH ROLLER PLAY, which are normally reserved for my personal clients that can move a minimum of $10,000 a game. Get all my winners this Sunday and have the most-profitable NFL betting day you have ever had.
Sunday’s NFL FREE WINNER: Dallas Cowboys
Game 271.
1:25 pm pst.
Sports fans, there is no possible way Mac Jones and the pedestrian New England offense can keep pace with Dak Prescott and the Dallas “O”. The Patriots are accounting for a mere, 19.2 PPG. They got a win last week against Houston. But some might argue there were some very questionable calls that went their way. Prescott, over the last three outings has tossed 10 TD’s and just one INT. Why you ask? Well guys, the backfield of Elliott and Pollard have teamed up to be quite the tandem of ball-carriers, keeping defenses honest and allowing their QB to open up the passing game. Granted, the Cowboys “D” is a work in progress. But, when your offense is dominating the clock and controlling the tempo, it makes it tough for opposing offenses to get into a rhythm. Not that the Patriots have what it takes to get into that rhythm. After this game, the Dallas schedule gets significantly tougher. They need all the wins they can get right now. Dallas gets another win and cover. Take the Cowboys. Thank you.

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Jesse Schule

Oct 17 '21, 4:25 PM in 16h
NFL | Raiders vs Broncos
Play on: Broncos -3 -120 at linepros

This is a free play on Denver.
After winning three straight to start the season, the Broncos have lost back to back games. They look to get back on track, and a home game against a troubled Raiders team looks like a good spot to do just that. John Gruden is out as head coach, and you have to wonder how the players are going to respond to that. I look back to 2017 when Dererk Carr chose to stand for the National Anthem while many of his teammates chose to kneel. After Carr was sacked four times in a loss to Washington on Monday Night Football, the media started asking if his offensive line was tanking on purpose. One of his offensive linemen was quoted saying: “if he wants to stand alone, he can stand alone on the field.” While most of the players involved in the alleged incident are no longer with the Raiders, a similar situation could arise. "A house divided against itself can not stand" - Abraham Lincoln. The Broncos are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up loss.
GL,
Jesse Schule

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Al Cimaglia: Rosecroft Raceway Pick 4 Analysis

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October 17, 2021 | By Al Cimaglia
Rosecroft Raceway has 13 races set to roll this evening. The feature is carded as Race 11, a Preferred Open Handicap with a $12,000 purse. The 0.50 Pick 4 begins in Race 9, and that sequence will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track

Race 9

5-Tellitlikelynn (5/2)-Steps-up in the 2nd RcR start after taking a picture as an odds-on choice. Best to respect chances of another trip to the winner's circle, was off a month before the last race.
7-Racer Pacer (4-1)-Comes off a big try from the 9-hole last week to finish 3rd. This will be the 3rd start here and has shown the ability to win with an outside post. Should be a player and might get overlooked at the windows.

Race 10

1-Panther's Pinot (9/2)-Drops after racing well and finishing 2nd in its RcR debut. This post draw should help the cause and has the gate speed to be put play in early in the mile. Using and hoping the morning line odds hold up.
2-Better Than Some (4-1)-Comes off a double qualifier at RcR and should relish the company in 1st start here. Hasn't raced since 6-5 but if dialed on high should be a threat. Likes to race near the top of the stack and Moyer can follow that plan.
4-Dance On The Beach (3-1)-Recent form has been dull but was facing Open company. Morand should be able to work an efficient trip and make a well-timed move to get an overdue win. Has hit the board in 24 of 48 RcR starts with 9 wins.

Race 11

1-Volley Ball Beach (4-1)-Couldn't get on the engine from post 7 and lost all chance. This time the rail should take care of that problem. Has the gate speed to be put in play and race near the lead at a fair price.
7-Derby Dog Hanover (8-1)-Took the long way around from post 9 and still cashed the top check. Steps-up but so do 3 others. Should offer a nice price, best to respect and has hit the board in 7 of 9 with 4 wins at RcR.

Race 12

1-Manaccount (7/2)-Makes the 3rd start at RcR, raced well from the rail and then got stuck with post 9 in last and had no chance. Could be sitting on a big try and should have enough gate speed to come away on the point or in the pocket.
5-Dirt On My Boots (3-1)-Makes the 2nd start in town and drops. Starts in a good slot to find some live cover and that type of trip may work well. Should be better with a start over the track and has hit the board in 14 of 20 at RcR with 6 pictures.

0.50 Pick 4

5,7/1,2,4/1,7/1,5
Total Bet=$12

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Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Wgering Strategies - October 17, 2021

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October 17, 2021
Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily “Workout Report, Analysis, and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.). For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
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Grade Descriptions:
Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred or pass
Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play

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RACE 1: Post: 1:00 PT Grade: B+
Use: 2-Tony Ann; 6-Annaghlasa

Forecast: Tony Ann encountered a bit of trouble when forced to alter course in mid-stretch and wound up a close third in a similar maiden turf sprint for fillies and mares at Del Mar in late August, an effort that earns her the role as the short-priced (6/5 ML) choice in today’s opener. Truthfully, the running line flatters her but unless her European import stable mate is at least better than average for this level (and we think she is), the daughter of Cairo Prince probably graduates at a short price. Annaghlasa gives the barn a powerful one-two punch and a legitimate chance – based strictly on her only start overseas – to spring a mild surprise at 4-1 on the morning line. A respectable fourth of 16 at Gowran Park in early May in a race in which she lacked a clear path when full of run midway, the 3-year-old Irish-bred filly stayed on reasonably well and was subsequently imported. She has trained quite well and should be plenty fit to fire a big shot in her U.S. debut. We’ll include both in our rolling exotics but reserve the main punch for the better-priced Annaghlasa.

Notable Workouts:
2-Tony Ann (October 10, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:02.3h TT). Grade: B-
In blinkers, broke off several lengths in front of She’s So Nice (5f, 1:02h TT) and Gold Dragon Queen (5f, 1:02.1h TT) and received the slowest of the three final times but actually worked fine while crossing the wire first along the rail and doing so without undue pressure, splits of :37.4 and 1:02.3, plenty left late. In good shape has room for further development.
View Workout Video

6-Annaghlasa (October 11, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:01.3h TT). Grade: B
In company inside Gold Phoenix (same time) in training track drill for D’Amato, proving slightly best without being asked, final half mile in :23.4 and :48.4, solid drill. Ran well in only outing last spring in Ireland and appears to have acclimated well. Seems fit, should be live vs. older maidens in her first local appearance.
View Workout Video

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RACE 2: Post: 1:35 PT Grade: B-
Single: 3-Horse Greedy

Forecast: Let’s take a stand in this $10,000 claiming sprint for older horses while trying to beat the first two morning line choices. Alleva (9/5) drops to the bottom after a disappointing run in a starter’s allowance sprint at Los Alamitos last month, but a repeat of his restricted (nw-3) $20,000 win two races back – an effort that produced a career top speed figure - would make him the one to beat. However, the D. O’Neill-trained gelding was able to quickly establish the pace in that race and today he’ll have to cope with Bibleman (2-1), who is drawn outside and is the quicker of the two, though not particular generous under pressure, himself. The way we see it, the race could easily set up nicely for Horse Greedy (7/2), the ex-classer who went stale in the spring and was stopped on. The P. Miller-trained gelding returns showing a bullet six furlong drill at San Luis Rey Downs earlier this month and goes for a stable that has strong stats with layoff runners. The eight-year-old gelding has run well off the bench in the past and does his best work from off the pace, so if the speed caves in, he’ll be in the right spot to produce the last run.

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RACE 3: Post: 1:30 PT Grade: X
Single: 3-Picota

Forecast: Picota performed admirably when third in his U.S. debut in the Zuma Beach S. over this course and distance earlier this month and anything close that effort in this maiden event should be more than good enough. In that race the P. D’Amato-trained colt steadied in traffic early, found room to rally through the lane and finished with interest before galloping out nicely. A bullet three furlong blowout (:36 4/5) over the training track since that race indicates he came out of the race in good order and is ready to step forward. At 6/5 on the morning line the English-bred colt is a logical, short-priced rolling exotic single.

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RACE 4: Post: 2:35 PT Grade: C+
Use: 4-Yellow Dress; 5-Sweet Soulmate; 7-Righteously

Forecast: Here’s a toughie, a $25,000 claiming sprint restricted to 3-year-old fillies. Sweet Soulmate has rising speed figures and projects as the best of the speed types. She’s won three out of seven career starts – all in gate-to-wire fashion – and if she can make the lead over this speed-favoring track the daughter of Twirling Candy might be able to stick it out. Righteously returns to her proper level and may regain her best form after not being quite up to first-level allowance competition at Los Alamitos in her last two outings. She might be most effective with a patient ride and given that there’s other speed in the field waiting tactics probably should be employed. Yellow Dress, away a couple of months but a solid runner-up at this level last time out at Del Mar, should be running on late and rates a good look if a pace meltdown materializes. These are the three we’ll be using in our rolling exotics but if you feel the need to spread deeper, go right ahead.

Notable Workouts:
5-Sweet Soulmate (October 9, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:01.2h). Grade: B-
Steady work without much pressure, splits of :24.3, :36.3 and 1:01.2, solid drill for this level of filly. Has some improvement in her and looks ready for good effort.
View Workout Video

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RACE 5: Post: 3:06 PT Grade: C+
Use: 2-Ingest; 3-Crossword; 9-Ka’nah

ForecastThis grass grab bag for restricted (nw-2) $25,000 claiming older sprinters looks chaotic with nothing to trust, and no result would be surprising. We’ll try to survive going three-deep but the only safe way to advance is to “buy” the race. Ka’nah was awful at 40 cents on the dollar eight days ago and wound up sixth of seven beaten more than eight lengths, but new trainer D. O’Neill wheels him back quickly and moves him to grass, so there’s a reasonable possibility that the son of Gio Ponti will bounce back with a good effort. The veteran gelding has run well over the local lawn in the past, is assured clear sailing from his outside draw, switches to J. Hernandez, and projects to enjoy an ideal pace-stalking trip in a race without much early speed signed on. O’Neill’s other entrant, Ingest, drops to his lowest level ever and may be able to secure the role as the controlling speed. Given that type of trip over a course he’s won on in the past, the son of Square Eddie could get brave. Crossword is a fit on speed figures but has never had any success on this grass course. The sharp drop in class certainly should help and his runner-up effort two runs back sprinting on turf at Del Mar gives him something of a look.

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RACE 6: Post: 3:48 PT Grade: B-
Use: 2-Burnin Turf; 5-Big Story; 6-Betito

Forecast: Yet another challenging affair, this one for California-bred first-level allowance optional claimers over a mile on the main track. Betito, away for more than two months following a pair of poor performances, could easily snap back over his favorite dirt surface. He’s proven to be a need-the-lead type and probably will be fully committed to the front-end leaving the gate, a logical strategy in a race in which the closers are highly suspect. The son of Heat Shield exits a pair of races in open company and should greatly appreciate this return to the state-bred ranks. Burnin Turf shows a significant edge in the speed figure department, but all five of his career outings have come on turf and there’s no real assurance, at least based on pedigree, that those efforts will be duplicated on dirt. The D. Blacker-trained gelding projects to be close up throughout and have every chance, but his lack of proven form on dirt makes him suspect. Blacker’s other starter, Big Story, isn’t as fast on numbers as Burnin Turf but at least we know he can handle the Santa Anita main track. Freshened since mid-August, the son of Mr. Big stretches out again and seems likely to be forwardly placed throughout. A maiden seven furlong win two runs back was reasonably decent and with just six career starts he should still have plenty of room for improvement.

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RACE 7: Post: 4:19 PT Grade: B
Use: 4-North County Boy; 6-Unbridled Ethos; 7-Whooping Jay

Forecast: Here’s a treat, a rare race carded for the downhill turf course featuring state-bred older sprinters in the California Flag Handicap. Whooping Jay, first off an $80,000 claim by M. Glatt, is a tough and genuine grass sprinter returning in two weeks following a troubled trip sprinting on the flat course when third after lacking room on the turn and then getting clear too late. The son of Square Eddie can be tough on the front end or rallying from mid-pack so new trainer J. Brave can assess the pace flow and choose his strategy. North County Guy always is tough to beat, whether he’s sprinting, routing, or marathoning. The R. Baltas-trained gelding looked quite good winning his last start two-turning at Del Mar with a powerful figure, one that makes him the one to fear most despite this shortening in trip. U. Rispoli will have him settled early and then produce him when the time is right. Unbridled Ethos was a late scratch out of an allowance race here on Oct. 2 and didn’t work back until Oct. 10, so his condition is (or was) a question. But a troubled third (beaten a length) behind our top pick in a race in late August at Del Mar makes him a contender on paper, so we’ll include the J. Mullins-trained gelding on a ticket, at least as a back-up or a saver.

Notable Workouts:
6-Unbridled Ethos (September 26, 5f, 1:00.1h TT). Grade: B
Breezing along in easy fashion, final three furlongs in :12 flat and :36.2 in very nice training track drill. Appears on edge.
View Workout Video

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RACE 8: Post: 4:40 PT Grade: B-
Use: 6-Scream and Shout; 9-Lunatic

Forecast: The P. Miller barn is strong with layoffs, which is why we’re giving Lunatic top billing in this bottom-rung maiden claiming sprint for older fillies and mares. Off the track since February but with a healthy recent series of drills at San Luis Rey Downs, the class dropping daughter of Mshawish removes blinkers, gets a break in the weights with the switch to 7-lb. bug rider D. Herrera, and has back numbers that are good enough to win this modest affair. Scream and Shout probably is the quickest in the field and if she can shake loose early without pressure the T. Yakteen-trained 4-year-old could prove troublesome. She’s a bit suspect in the lane (they all are in here) but over a track that promotes her style the daughter of Blame could get brave. These are the two we’ll be using in rolling exotic play with a slight preference on top to Lunatic.

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RACE 9: Post: 5:12 PT Grade: B
Use: 3-Another Eddie; 5-September Secret; 6-Miss Carousel; 10-Greg’s Diva

Forecast: The Sunday nightcap is a wide-open turf sprint for entry-level allowance fillies and mares that offers several price possibilities. In her first outing since the previous November, September Secret had a nightmarish trip in a similar affair at Del Mar last month and seems certain to run better today with good racing luck. The P. Miller-trained filly was in heavy traffic down the backstretch, was shuffled back and steadied to lose her position, t hen raced in traffic in the upper stretch before finding room inside and coming home strongly to finish sixth, beaten five lengths, and then galloping out in front around the clubhouse. We’re expecting she’ll be fitter and sharper today, so at 6-1 on the morning line daughter of Grazen offers a reasonable gamble. Also listed at 6-1 is Miss Carousel, who was no factor in an all-weather sprint up north last time out but could easily return to top form with return to grass. Most effective as a late-running sprinter, the E. Freedman-trained filly was a good winner of two turf sprints at Del Mar during the summer meeting and is reunited with “win rider” G. Franco. Another Eddie (15-1) is another long shot that might outrun her price. With two wins and a second in three career starts over the Santa Anita turf course, the B. Cecil-trained sophomore has a number back in the spring that makes her dangerous and with some help up front could be heard from late. Greg’s Diva is the quickest in the field and will take them as far as she can. She had a right to need her last outing (her first since November) when worn down late but with the break in the weighs with the switch to bug girl J. Pyfer the daughter of Shackleford may prove an elusive target.