Monday 10/18/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-18-2021, 04:55 AM

Kevin Dolan

Event: (201237) Fiorentina at (201238) Venezia
Sport/League: ISAL

Date/Time: October 18, 2021 2PM EDT
Play: 1H Fiorentina +163
Decent value on Fiorentina on Monday as they take on Venezia on the road.
Rumors of discontent between star striker Dusan Vlahovic and the board continue to persist over recent days but Fiorentina nevertheless should have the quality to start quick in this game and build a lead against Venezia.
No team has scored less goals than Venezia this season and out of their last five goals scored at home, all five came in the 2nd half of games.
‘La Viola’ meanwhile have been notoriously fast starters this season, opening the scoring in all three of their last three victories and scoring in the 1st half in seven of their last eleven games on the road.
Take Fiorentina to be leading at the half at some healthy plus money odds in Monday's standalone matchup against Venezia in the Italian Serie A.
PLAY: 1H FIORENTINA +163

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-18-2021, 04:55 AM

Bryan Leonard

Event: (275) Buffalo Bills at (276) Tennessee Titans
Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: October 18, 2021 8PM EDT
Play: Tennessee Titans +6.0 (-110)
276 Buffalo at Tennessee
Betting on sports is much like investing in the stock market. You want to buy low and sell high. Right now risking money on the Buffalo Bills is certainly buying at a premium. Especially after taking care of the Kansas City Chiefs. But a closer look at the schedule finds every opponent the Bills have faced to be worse than preseason expectations. Facing the likes of Pittsburgh, Miami, Washington, Houston and Kansas City isn't exactly world beaters in 2021.
Tennessee hasn't been overly impressive either, but they have outscored the Bills by a combined 61-43 margin the past three seasons. In their biggest home game of the entire season we expect this contest to be a dogfight. We will gladly take the points with the Titans.
PLAY TENNESSEE

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-18-2021, 04:56 AM

Info Plays

Oct 18 '21, 1:00 PM in 7h
Soccer | Vasalund vs Oster
Play on: Oster -161 at linepros

1* FREE INFO PLAY on Oster -161

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-18-2021, 09:15 AM

Free Winners for Monday, October 18th 2021 from THE LEGEND!
FREE NHL PICKS
Kraken @ Flyers
TIME: 7:00 PM EST
PICK: Bet UNDER 6 @ Bovada

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-18-2021, 09:15 AM

Scott Rickenbach

Oct 18 '21, 3:00 PM in 4h
Soccer | Crystal Palace vs Arsenal
Play on: Crystal Palace +1 -135 at Mirage

Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach EPL Monday Free Pick Crystal Palace +1 goal -135 @ Arsenal @ 3 PM ET - Crystal Palace has a knack for being tough on Arsenal. In fact, Arsenal's 3-1 win in the most recent meeting was the first victory in the last six matches between these two London rivals. That said, the ability to get +1 goal here is a value I will not pass up on with this one. I know Crystal Palace has struggled away from home this season and that Arsenal has been the hotter club of late. However, the hosts in this one have a tendency of overlooking the visitors and then these matches almost always end up tight. The most recent meeting was a rare exception. Also, in 7 matches this season, Arsenal has only one victory by more than a 1-goal margin. As for Crystal Palace, they only have one defeat in last 5 matches. Free Pick CRYSTAL PALACE +1 goal -135

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-18-2021, 09:44 AM

MNF Sharp Action

8:15 p.m. ET: Buffalo Bills at Tennessee Titans

This non-division AFC grudge match features two teams trending in an upward direction. The Bills (4-1 SU, 4-1 ATS) have won four straight and just took down the Chiefs 38-20, winning outright as 3-point road dogs. Meanwhile, the Titans (3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS) have won three of their last four and just dismissed the Jaguars 37-19, easily covering as 4.5-point road favorites.

This line opened with the Bills listed as a 3-point road favorite. The public is more than happy to lay the points with red-hot Buffalo, especially after their dominant win over the Chiefs last week. This lopsided betting steamed Buffalo up from -3 to -6. Some shops are even inching up to -6.5. Road teams that see the line stay the same or move in their favor are 39-25 ATS (61 percent) this season.

The Titans have value as a super contrarian home dog in a heavily bet game. Primetime dogs are 11-6 ATS (65 percent) this season. Conference dogs are 38-26 ATS (59 percent). Mike Vrabel is 13-9 ATS (59 percent) as a dog. Julio Jones is upgraded to probable and expected to play tonight, ending a two-game absence.

The total opened at 54.5 and has ticked down slightly to 53.5. Primetime overs are 10-6-1 (62 percent) this season. These teams played last season and the Titans won 42-16 in Nashville. Tonight's forecast calls for high 50s with little to no wind, a perfect night for football.

Prop bets to Consider

The Titans rank in the bottom half of the NFL in terms of passing yards allowed (264.5 per game). The Bills have allowed just 392 rushing yards this season, 2nd-best behind the Bucs.

Josh Allen Over 292.5 passing yards

Allen has gone over this number of two of his last three games.

Derrick Henry Under 97.5 rushing yards

TD Anytime scorer

Dawson Knox 140

Knox leads Buffalo with 5 TD receptions. He has scored a touchdown in four straight games.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-18-2021, 09:45 AM

BUFFALO BILLS VS. TENNESSEE TITANS

The Buffalo Bills and the Tennessee Titans will both be trying to pick up a win on Monday when they battle at Nissan Stadium.

Oddsmakers opened the Bills as -3.5-point favorites versus the Titans, while the game's total opened at 53.

Tennessee won its last outing, a 37-19 result against the Jaguars on October 10. The Titans covered in that game as a -4.5-point favorite, while the 56 combined points took the game OVER the total.

Buffalo was a 38-20 winner in its last match on the road against the Chiefs. They covered the +2.5-point spread as underdogs, while the total score of 58 sent OVER bettors to the payout window.

Buffalo:
Team record: 4-1 SU,4-1 ATS
Current Streak: won 4 straight games.
Buffalo is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 games
Buffalo is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games
Buffalo is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road

Tennessee:
Team record: 3-2 SU,3-2 ATS
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Tennessee's last 14 games
Tennessee is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Tennessee is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

Next up:
Buffalo home to Miami Sunday, October 31
Tennessee home to Kansas City Sunday, October 24

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-18-2021, 09:45 AM

BUFFALO (4 - 1) at TENNESSEE (3 - 2) - 10/18/2021, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 132-168 ATS (-52.8 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE is 1-1 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 1-1 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-18-2021, 09:45 AM

BETTING ODDS TRENDS

Tennessee Titans
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Tennessee's last 14 games
Tennessee is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Tennessee is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Tennessee's last 23 games at home
Tennessee is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tennessee's last 6 games when playing Buffalo
Tennessee is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Buffalo

Buffalo Bills
Buffalo is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 games
Buffalo is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games
Buffalo is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Buffalo is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Buffalo's last 11 games on the road
Buffalo is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing Tennessee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing Tennessee
Buffalo is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Tennessee

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-18-2021, 09:46 AM

HOUSTON (99 - 69) at BOSTON (97 - 72) - 8:07 PM
JOSE URQUIDY (R) vs. EDUARDO RODRIGUEZ (L)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 38-32 (-17.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
HOUSTON is 21-34 (-14.3 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 56-61 (-16.9 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 24-29 (-14.0 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 44-51 (-22.0 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 97-72 (+13.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BOSTON is 66-43 (+18.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BOSTON is 62-39 (+16.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
BOSTON is 60-38 (+16.9 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
RODRIGUEZ is 46-21 (+21.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
RODRIGUEZ is 37-15 (+17.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
HOUSTON is 45-15 (+23.5 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 53-36 (+10.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BOSTON is 100-93 (-30.6 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 439-343 (-52.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
BOSTON is 36-53 (-27.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 261-265 (-74.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 6-3 (+3.0 Units) against BOSTON this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.5 Units)
JOSE URQUIDY vs. BOSTON since 1997
URQUIDY is 1-0 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 0.667.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)
EDUARDO RODRIGUEZ vs. HOUSTON since 1997
RODRIGUEZ is 1-3 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 8.52 and a WHIP of 1.894.
His team's record is 3-3 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-4. (-2.6 units)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-18-2021, 09:48 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Fort Erie

Fort Erie - Race 1	WPS, Exactor, Triactor, Daily Double, 20 Cent Superfecta 20 Cent Pick 3 (Races 1-2-3)
Claiming $8,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 81 • Purse: $21,756 • Post: 1:00P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE IN 2021 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000, IF FOR $7,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS. (*PLUS UP TO $540 ONTARIO BRED/ONTARIO SIRED BREEDERS AWARDS).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Dominant Stalker. NISHA is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * NISHA: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rat ing. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. SHOW SOME SKIN: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
4	NISHA	9/5	2/1
2	SHOW SOME SKIN	5/2	4/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
4	NISHA	4	9/5	Alternator/Stalker	95	86	75.8	77.0	72.5
2	SHOW SOME SKIN	2	5/2	Alternator/Stalker	80	76	56.4	71.8	67.8
3	BIG MAMBA	3	5/1	Trailer	82	76	45.0	68.8	63.3
1	TWOMANYSHOTS	1	7/2	Alternator/Non-contender	75	71	52.3	64.6	57.6
5	ROMANTIC BLISS	5	4/1	Alternator/Non-contender	80	62	45.0	59.8	50.8

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-18-2021, 12:16 PM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Grants Pass

Grants Pass - Race 1	$2 WPS / $1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta $2 Daily Double (Races 1-2) $1 Pick 4 (Races 1-2-3-4)
Allowance • 600 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 80 • Purse: $8,000 • Post: 5:15P
QUARTER HORSE 600Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. (OPEN TO QH'S, TB'S, APP'S AND PT'S WITH QH'S PREFERRED).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * CM ONCE INA BLUEMOON: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. CAPES HOT ROCKET (T): Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
7	CM ONCE INA BLUEMOON	8/5	7/2
4	CAPES HOT ROCKET (T)	6/1	6/1
8	PS BETTIN ON YOU (T)	5/1	10/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	EL MORO PRIETO	1	8/1	Slow	72	68	7.3	0.0	0.0
2	ROMANIAN	2	5/2	Average	79	74	3.8	0.0	0.0
3	WAVE TO GLORY	3	10/1	Average	53	42	4.8	0.0	0.0
5	HES A BUGIN	5	9/2	Slow	79	69	6.3	0.0	0.0
6	BODAVIS	6	8/1	Slow	0	0	6.2	0.0	0.0
7	CM ONCE INA BLUEMOON	7	8/5	Fast	84	82	2.4	0.0	0.0

Unknown Running Style: CAPES HOT ROCKET (T) (6/1) [Jockey: Figueroa Jose Antonio - Trainer: Hurley Dennis], PS BETTIN ON YOU (T) (5/1) [Jockey: Osuna Martin - Trainer: Tate Mary].

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-18-2021, 02:03 PM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Presque Isle Downs - Race #1 - Post: 4:45pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $15,000 Class Rating: 65

Rating:

#7 HUNTIN' THE RUT (ML=8/1)
#4 AMES MISTER (ML=5/2)
#5 SECOND ENCORE (ML=8/1)

HUNTIN' THE RUT - Like the way this gelding's finish positions keep getting better. That's a sure sign of improving form. The jock/trainer tandem of Ayala and Rozantz has a strong ROI together. This racer should go right out to the early lead and may never look back. Could wire the field. The October 11th race at Presque Isle Downs was at a class level of (73). Dropping down in class ranks a significant amount, so he should be in a good spot to take this race. AMES MISTER - Morales comes to ride after getting to know the gelding in the last race. This racer coming off a sharp performance in the last thirty days is a win candidate in my book. A repeat try from any of last three outings, and this one should be in the winner's circle picture. SECOND ENCORE - Smith brings him right back. I suggest you stay with this live gelding. The improved speed ratings over the last three races is strong. Smith drops him in this clash fit and ready to go.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 SEA CAPTAIN (ML=2/1), #1 CENTSOFWANDER (ML=7/2), #6 BUT I DID (ML=6/1),

SEA CAPTAIN - Morning line odds of 2/1 make this entrant a pass by my approach. CENTSOFWANDER - On a downward moving series. Equibase speed figures keep lessening. Didn't hit the board on February 5th at Tampa Bay Downs. Followed it up with another less than stellar outing. BUT I DID - The seventh place finish position in the last affair was not that great.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Play #7 HUNTIN' THE RUT to win if you can get odds of 3/1 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [4,5,7]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [4,5,7] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-18-2021, 02:50 PM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mountaineer Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 8 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $7900 Class Rating: 75

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 18, 2020. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 1 EVERGLIDE DRIVE 15/1
# 4 FLYING FRANK 4/1
# 10 IZAPICKLER 20/1

EVERGLIDE DRIVE has a solid shot to take this race especially at 15/1. With better than average trips to the winner's circle, Yaranga should have this gelding in excellent position to win the outing. Yaranga has one of the best jockey ROI's on the grounds, returning to players +11 percent. Competitive pick to take this race going in a dirt sprint. FLYING FRANK - Will almost certainly compete soundly in the pace contest which bodes well with this field. Has ran solidly in dirt sprint races.

Monday 10/18/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Monday 10/18/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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