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This Big Ten clash features two teams trending in opposite directions. Michigan State (6-0 SU, 4-1-1 ATS) is undefeated and ranked 10th in the country. The Spartans just waxed Rutgers 31-13, easily covering as 4-point road favorites. Meanwhile, Indiana (2-3 SU, 1-4 ATS) is unranked and just got throttled by Penn State 24-0, failing to cover as 12.5-point road dogs. This line opened with the Spartans listed as a 3.5-point road favorite. Pros and Joes are both on the same page and neither are outsmarting themselves. They've laid the points and steamed Michigan State up from -3.5 to -4.5. Michigan State is outscoring their opponents by an average margin of 37-19. Indiana has been outscored by an average of 28-24. We've also seen some under money show up, dropping the total from 51.5 to 48.5. The forecast calls for mid 50s with 10-15 MPH winds.
Saturday 12 p.m. ET: Texas A&M at Missouri
These SEC rivals are both looking to shoot up in the conference standings with a win. Texas A&M (4-2 SU, 3-3 ATS) just posted an epic 41-38 victory over top-ranked Alabama, winning outright as 18.5-point home underdogs. On the other hand, Missouri (3-3 SU, 0-6 ATS) just edged North Texas 48-35 but failed to cover as 18.5-point home favorites. This line opened with Texas A&M listed as a 9.5-point road favorite. The public is hammering the Aggies after their big win over Alabama. However, despite this lopsided betting we've seen A&M fall from -9.5 to -9, with some books inching down to -8.5. This signals some respected money buying low on Missouri and banking on a letdown spot for A&M. Unranked home dogs vs ranked opponents are 18-10 ATS (64 percent) this season.
Saturday 3:30 p.m. ET: Purdue at Iowa
This Big Ten grudge match is currently the most heavily bet game of the afternoon. Purdue (3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS) started the season 2-0 but has since lost two straight, most recently falling to Minnesota 20-13, losing outright as 2.5-point home favorites. Meanwhile, Iowa (6-0 SU, 5-1 ATS) is undefeated and ranked 2nd in the country. The Hawkeyes just outlasted Penn State 23-20, covering as 2.5-point home favorites. This line opened with Iowa listed as a 12.5-point home favorite. The public is happy to ride the red-hot Hawkeyes and lay the double-digit spread. However, this line has actually dipped from 12.5 to 11.5. This indicates some sharp reverse line movement on road dog Purdue. Unranked conference dogs against ranked opponents are 22-17 ATS (56 percent) this season. Purdue enjoys a rest advantage as they are coming off a bye week while Iowa played last Saturday. The Boilermakers also have value as a double-digit dog with a low total (43).
Doug Kezirian:
Nevada -14 vs Hawaii
Utah State -7 vs UNLV
Michigan State -4.5 vs Indiana
Auburn + 3.5 vs Arkansas
Pittsburgh -4.5 vs Virginia Tech
Joe Fortenbaugh:
Boston College + 3 vs NC State
Ohio + 9.5 vs Buffalo
Georgia vs Kentucky Under 44.5
Wisconsin vs Army Under 39.5
Syracuse + 13.5 vs Clemson
Tyler Fulghum:
Cincinnati -20.5 vs UCF
Texas Tech -16.5 vs Kansas
Texas A&M -8.5 vs Missouri
Greg McElroy:
Vanderbilt + 18 vs South Carolina
Wisconsin -14 vs Army
California + 14.5 vs Oregon
SINGLE PLAYS
Indiana +4.5
Colorado State -10.5
Liberty -32.5
Purdue +11.5
Cincinnati -21.5
Mississippi State +17
La. Tech -6.5
Nevada -14.5
Kansas State +6.5
Texas Tech -17.5
Texas A&M -9
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