Saturday 10/23/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Chris Tudor

SPORTS TUDOR'S FREEPLAY FOR SATURDAY

NCAAF PENN ST.-23 over Illinois

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1.	The Sports Consensus	CFB	Ball St. -3.5	3-1 (+190)	3-0 (+300)
2.	National Sports Service	CFB	Michigan under 51.5	0-3 (-330)	3-1 (+190)
3.	The Spot Player	CFB	Pittsburgh -3.5	3-1 (+195)	2-1 (+90)
4.	Primetime Sports Picks	CFB	Boston College +5	2-2 (-20)	2-2 (-10)
5.	Profit On Sports	CFB	Colorado +8.5>	1-3 (-230)	2-2 (-20)
6.	Insider Sports Report	CFB	Virginia under 65.5	3-1 (+190)	2-2 (-20)
7.	Doc's Picks	CFB	San Diego St. +3	2-2 (-20)	2-3 (-125)
8.	Elite Sports Picks	CFB	Mississippi St. -20	3-2 (+80)	2-4 (-240)
9.	Top Rank Sports Picks	NBA	Miami -4	1-3 (-220)	0-4 (-440)

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Rk	Sports Services	Free Sports Picks	Place A Bet
1.	NSA(The Legend)	CFB – Fresno St -3.5	Line @ Bovada
2.	Gameday Network	CFB – San Diego St over 39	Line @ Bovada
3.	Sports Action 365	CFB –	Line @ BetAnySports
4.	Vegas Line Crushers	MLB – Red Sox +100	Line @ GT Bets
5.	VegasSI.com	MLB – Red Sox over 9	Line @ Bovada
6.	PointSpreadReport.com(SAM CASEY)	NBA – Mavericks +5	Line @ BetAnySports
7.	Winning Big Sports	NBA – Warriors under 228.5	Line @ MyBookie
8.	NSA(Gerry “Big Cat” Andino)	NBA – Celtics +7.5	Line @ Bovada
9.	Lou Panelli	NBA – Hawks +1	Line @ BetAnySports
10.	VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club	MLB – Red Sox +100	Line @ GT Bets
11.	William E. Stockton	MLB – Red Sox over 9	Line @ MyBookie
12.	Vincent Pioli	NBA – Mavericks +5	Line @ Bovada
13.	Steve “Scoop” Kendall	NBA – Warriors under 228.5	Line @ Bovada
14.	SCORE	MLB – Red Sox +100	Line @ GT Bets
15.	Tony Campone	MLB – Red Sox over 9	Line @ BetAnySports
16.	Chicago Sports Group	NBA – Suns +1	Line @ Bovada
17.	Hollywood Sportsline	NBA – Pacers +1.5	Line @ Bovada
18.	VIP Action	NBA – Knicks over 212.5	Line @ GT Bets
19.	South Beach Sports	MLB – Red Sox +100	Line @ Bovada
20.	Las Vegas Sports Commission	MLB – Red Sox over 9	Line @ Bovada
21.	NY Players Club	NBA – Celtics -6.5	Line @ BetAnySports
22.	Fred Callahan	NBA – Nets -3	Line @ Bovada
23.	Las Vegas Private CEO Club	NBA – Bulls -6	Line @ MyBookie
24.	Michigan Sports	MLB – Red Sox over 9	Line @ GT Bets
25.	National Consensus Report	MLB – Red Sox +100	Line @ Bovada

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Woodbine

Woodbine - Race 8	Rolling Double / Exacta / 0.20 Trifecta / 0.20 Superfecta 0.20 Pick 3 (Races 8-9-10)
Claiming $20,000 • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 86 • Purse: $36,900 • Post: 4:30P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 23 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000, IF FOR $19,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $15,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED FOR ALLOWANCES).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * MISS SAVVY: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layof f. QUEEN'S SPEED: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. SAMURAI QUEEN: Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). A BROKEN BREEZE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. I'LL TAKE THE GOLD: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation.
2	MISS SAVVY	15/1	5/1
9	QUEEN'S SPEED	6/1	6/1
6	SAMURAI QUEEN	10/1	8/1
8	A BROKEN BREEZE	3/1	9/1
5	I'LL TAKE THE GOLD	12/1	9/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
2	MISS SAVVY	2	15/1	Front-runner	86	83	82.4	75.4	63.9
3	MAKE NO MISTAKE	3	5/2	Front-runner	85	79	82.0	70.2	56.7
1	BAYOU BELLE	1	4/1	Stalker	82	86	68.3	65.4	58.4
5	I'LL TAKE THE GOLD	5	12/1	Alternator/Stalker	86	83	83.8	65.2	51.7
6	SAMURAI QUEEN	6	10/1	Alternator/Stalker	87	94	60.7	64.5	53.0
4	GRATEFUL PRAISE	4	8/1	Trailer	83	84	69.9	79.3	66.3
10	FIVE DAYS IN MAY	10	2/1	Trailer	84	79	46.2	77.0	62.5
9	QUEEN'S SPEED	9	6/1	Trailer	88	84	44.6	80.6	74.1
8	A BROKEN BREEZE	8	3/1	Alternator/Trailer	87	90	36.0	79.6	73.1
7	WEST PAW	7	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	79	81	86.2	73.3	59.3
11	SILENT RESPECT	11	9/2	Alternator/Non-contender	83	76	54.0	71.2	55.2

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Hawthorne

Hawthorne - Race 5	$1 Exacta / 50 Cent Trifecta / 20 Cent Superfecta 50 Cent Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) / $1 Daily Double
Claiming $5,000 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 65 • Purse: $9,000 • Post: 5:02P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 23 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000 (CLAIMING RACES FOR $4,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ESTIMATING ALLOWANCES).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * CHARLO: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Powe r Rating. I LOVE TO RACE: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. BOSSY SNOW PEA: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surf ace. Jockey/Trainer combination win percentage is at least 30. HOODWINK: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
6	CHARLO	3/1	4/1
7	I LOVE TO RACE	9/5	5/1
1	BOSSY SNOW PEA	9/2	8/1
2	HOODWINK	5/1	10/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
2	HOODWINK	2	5/1	Front-runner	59	48	77.4	46.0	38.0
3	COOKIN ROSES	3	30/1	Front-runner	54	40	64.2	38.6	25.1
1	BOSSY SNOW PEA	1	9/2	Front-runner	56	54	57.7	51.4	42.9
7	I LOVE TO RACE	7	9/5	Alternator/Front-runner	68	69	55.0	47.4	43.9
5	LA GUERRERITA	5	20/1	Stalker	53	40	49.4	45.2	33.2
8	LITTLEBITOFBLUSKYS	8	12/1	Stalker	50	57	45.8	46.2	33.7
6	CHARLO	6	3/1	Alternator/Stalker	64	63	65.2	53.0	48.5
4	SHE'S A BIG STAR	4	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	67	51	60.2	45.6	36.6
9	SOUTHERN ATTACK	9	30/1	Alternator/Non-contender	45	41	46.6	30.0	12.5

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Laurel - Race #6 - Post: 2:21pm - Stakes - 5.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $75,000 Class Rating: 96 Maryland Million Turf Sprint S.

Rating:

#8 ROCK THE BOAT (ML=8/1)
#6 SO STREET (ML=3/1)


ROCK THE BOAT - In this race here, this mount has notched the highest speed fig at the distance, so I have to give him the edge. This animal is number one in earnings per race entered. He looks sharp in today's event. SO STREET - Running on the turf today, you should review a horse's class. This one has the top number in the bunch. Have to make this gelding a win candidate; he comes off a sharp race on Oct 2nd. This thoroughbred has increased his speed figures in each of the last 2 races. That kind of progress is worth considering when its time to bet.

Vulnerable Contenders: #9 GRATEFUL BRED (ML=7/5), #5 SKY'S NOT FALLING (ML=5/1),

GRATEFUL BRED - A 'strong performance bounce' is likely to happen for this horse this time around. May rebound next time. SKY'S NOT FALLING - Finished first in his most recent race with a common speed rating. When I look at today's class figure, it would take an improved performance to triumph after that in this bunch.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - ROCK THE BOAT - Last two races this gelding has shown a steady increase in his speed numbers. This magnificent animal is a top contender against these horses today.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Go with #8 ROCK THE BOAT on top if we're getting at least 5/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [6,8]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	[6,8] with [6,8] with [3,4,5,10,11] Total Cost: $10
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	[6,8] with [6,8] with [3,5,11] with [3,4,5,10,11] Total Cost: $24
SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:	[6,8] with [6,8] with [3,4,5,11] with [3,4,5,11] with [3,4,5,11] Total Cost: $48

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Gulfstream 5 Facts | October 18-24, 2021
October 19, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk
Schedule:

Thursday-Sunday

Carryovers:

$66,921 // Rainbow 6 Jackpot ($125,000-guaranteed pool Thursday)

Feature Race(s):

Journeyman Stud Juvenile // 2-year-old routers on Tapeta // Saturday

Khozan Juvenile Fillies Sprint // 2-year-old filly sprinters on dirt // Saturday

Key 1/ST BET Factors (top pick win %, top pick profit/loss):

Lifetime Earnings (35%, +$9.40)

Win % (33%, +$42.20)

Speed Last Race (32%, -$14.20) * top-3 second straight week *

Jockey/Trainer Trends from Betmix:

T: David Fawkes // last week 10: 6-0-2 (60%, $2.00 ROI) // 4-6 with Emisael Jaramillo // 3-3 with favorites

T: Jorge Delgado // last week 7: 3-1-1 (43%, $1.87 ROI) // $4, $8, $14 winners // 2 winners in claiming sprints

T: Kathleen O’Connell // last week 8: 3-1-1 (38%, $0.68 ROI) // all 3 wins 7-5 or less (2 in Tapeta routes)

J: Samy Camacho // last week 19: 6-1-2 (32%, $2.21 ROI) // won for 6 different barns // 5 wins 1-turn dirt races

J: Chantal Sutherland // last week 21: 5-3-2 (24%, $0.80 ROI) // 5: 3-1-0 on favorites, added $14 score // 2-5 Tapeta routes

** ROI reflects return on $1 win bet**

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Laurel Park 5 Facts | October 18-24, 2021
October 19, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk
Schedule:

Thursday-Sunday

Carryovers:

$16,075 // Rainbow 6 Jackpot

Feature Race(s):

Maryland Million Day // 12 stakes // Saturday (special 11:30 am ET post)

Key 1/ST BET Factors (top pick win %, top pick profit/loss):

Last E2 Pace (31%, +$44.40)

Best Speed Last 3 (30%, +$6.20)

Win % (23%, +$44.40) * top-3 second straight week *

Jockey/Trainer Trends from Betmix:

J: Jorge Ruiz // last week 18: 8-1-2 (44%, $2.02 ROI) // $14, $26 wins to go with 3-3 effort on favorites

J: Jevian Toledo // last week 17: 5-2-1 (29%, $2.51 ROI) // includes $32, $33 upsets // 11-35 last 2 weeks

J: Forest Boyce // last week 7: 3-1-0 (43%, $1.76 ROI) // 2-2 with Brittany Russell // $3, $6, $14 wins

T: Dale Capuano // last week 8: 5-1-1 (63%, $3.34 ROI) // 4-5 with jockey Jorge Ruiz // top scores $11, $26

T: Richard Sillaman // last week 2: 2-0-0 (100%, $3.60 ROI) // both maiden claimers at 5-2 odds // 3-4 in October at Laurel

T: Hugh McMahon // last week 10: 2-3-0 (20%, $0.80 ROI) // $6, $9 winners adding 9-1 and 18-1 runners-up

** ROI reflects return on $1 win bet**

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Santa Anita Park Stats | October 18-24, 2021
October 19, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk
Schedule:

Friday-Sunday

Carryovers:

$533,910 // Rainbow 6 Jackpot

Feature Race(s):

$70,000 Lure // turf milers // Saturday

$75,000 Anoakia // 2-year-old filly dirt sprinters // Sunday

Key 1/ST BET Factors (top pick win %, top pick profit/loss):

Jockey 6 Month Win % (31%, +$12.20)

Last Finish (20%, +$12.60)

Win % (20%, +$7.60)

Jockey/Trainer Trends from Betmix:

J: Juan Hernandez // last week 19: 5-3-3 (26%, $1.77 ROI) // 4: 2-0-1 with Doug O’Neill // winners paid $4, $6, $7, $13, $35

J: Tiago Pereira // last week 13: 3-1-1 (23%, $1.19 ROI) // $8, $9, $13 winners + 17-1 runner-up // 2: 1-1-0 with Walther Solis

J: Umberto Rispoli // last week 11: 3-4-1 (27% $0.79 ROI) // $3, $6, $7 winners all on turf

T: Phil D’Amato // last week 8: 2-1-1 (25%, $2.60 ROI) // $3 and $38 winners both in turf sprints

T: Trainer Mike Maker // last week 3: 1-2-0 (33%, $ ROI) // 2-1 winner and 10-1 runner-up with Rispoli // 11: 3-3-1 at meet for barn

** ROI reflects return on $1 win bet**

[Can'tPickAWinner]

AI Picks: Maryland Million Day at Laurel | Sat., Oct. 23

October 22, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk

Saturday’s 12-race Jim McKay Maryland Million bonanza at Laurel Park is the state’s biggest autumn day of racing. Take advantage of a $10 money-back special on win bets in every race Saturday at Laurel if your pick finishes second or third, only the 1/ST BET app and at Xpressbet.

To assist your handicapping, key stakes selections provided by the 1/ST BET app measure each contender against the 10 leading factors for each race. The 1/ST BET app looks at 52 handicapping factors and more than 200,000 past races to determine its AI selections.

You can use the automated handicapping factors, or create your own factor filters to incorporate angles you prefer. Full-card selections can be found in the 1/ST BET app. We’ve included the official track morning line odds with each runner.

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Laurel Park // Race 1 // 11:30 am ET // Maryland Million Turf Starter // 1-1/8 miles (turf)

#7 B Determined (8-5) // 29%W
#8 Goldie’s Boy (8-1) // 17%W
#9 Threethehardway (8-1) // 15%W
#4 Seville Row (15-1) // 9%W

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Laurel Park // Race 6 // 2:21 pm ET // Maryland Million Turf Sprint // 5-1/2 furlongs (turf)

#9 Grateful Bred (7-5) // 29%W
#6 So Street (3-1) // 14%W
#8 Rock the Boat (6-1) // 14%W
#5 Sky’s Not Falling (5-1) // 10%W

//

Laurel Park // Race 7 // 2:54 pm ET // Maryland Million Distaff // 7 furlongs

#2 Hello Beautiful (2-5) // 32%W
#1 Street Lute (6-1) // 19%W
#4 Whispering Pines (8-1) // 13%W
#3 Coconut Cake (20-1) // 12%W

//

Laurel Park // Race 12 // 5:28 pm ET // Maryland Million Turf Distaff Starter // 1-1/8 miles (turf)
#1 Claire’s Darling (4-1) // 30%W
#2 Award Wanted (7-2) // 18%W
#8 Dixie’s Fascinator (8-1) // 16%W
#7 Rapidashqueen (6-1) // 9%W

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Race of the Week: Maryland Million Classic | Saturday, Oct. 23

October 21, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk

$150,000 MARYLAND MILLION CLASSIC AT LAUREL PARK

The Lead:
The first of the state-bred Breeders' Cups of sorts, the Jim McKay Maryland Million will be renewed for the 36th time Saturday at Laurel Park. The 12-race bonanza represents top Maryland-bred competitors and offspring of Maryland Million-eligible stallions. An early first post of 11:30 a.m. ushers in the all-stakes card.

1/ST BET and Xpressbet offer a pair of horseplayer-friendly promotions to celebrate Maryland Million. Enjoy up to a $10 money-back guarantee on all 12 races Saturday if your win bet finishes second or third. Plus, fire at the late pick four for your chance at a $5,000 hit-and-split. If you hit the late pick four, you'll get your parimutuel winnings AND split $5,000 in bonus cash with others who play the wager successfully on the 1/ST BET and Xpressbet platforms. Two winners last Sunday at Santa Anita scored $1,000 each on a $2,000 hit-and-split, for example.

Field Depth:
Maryland Million-eligible horses comprise the main, 8-horse body of the field and Maryland-breds who are not Maryland Million-eligible are placed on the also-eligible list and can only compete if less than 8 Maryland Million-eligible runners can compete. That means those on the also-eligible list will only run if there are scratches in the main body of the 8-horse field. CORDMAKER and McELMORE AVENUE are the first-up from the AE list based on earnings in the past year, and either of them would vie for favoritism if fortunate enough to compete. CORDMAKER would be the only open-company stakes winner in the field. TAPPIN CAT and PRENDIMI have won restricted stakes in Delaware and New Jersey, respectively. AIN'T DA BEER COLD is stakes-placed in open company. There's not a wide class gap between these if CORDMAKER does not compete, so don't be afraid of a class riser in good form.

Pace:
PRENDIMI has set the pace in the last 2 editions of this race, and should have company up front by 3-year-old Maryland Million Classic newbie AIN'T DA BEER COLD, as well as stretch-out sprinters TORCH OR TRUTH, middle distance sort THE POSER and wide-drawn likely favorite TAPPIN CAT. This race sets up for a late-runner, especially over a 1-1/8 miles distance that is farther than most of these have gone, and want to go.

Our Eyes:
TAPPIN CAT drew post 8 and would be widest in the field barring any scratches. That's not a great post for 1-1/8 miles on this circumference track at Laurel, but it wouldn't be a deal-breaker. Nonetheless, with at least 3-4 other speed horses in this race, obviously all to his inside, the onus will be on jockey Jevian Toledo to work out a trip. For a horse who faced only 25 rivals total in his last 6 starts, this will be a much more challenging trip than his last 3 wins that were essentially perfect for his skillset. He was third in this race in 2019, but did not appear a year ago. TAPPIN CAT could win, but you're looking at an underlay price for the challenge at hand.

PRENDIMI nearly stole the 2019 Classic on the front end, finishing second by a half-length. He wasn't as good here in 2020 and his form this year hasn't been quite as good as his past lines. At age 6, this doesn't look like the kind of pace set-up that will allow him any breathers while trying to get over the hump. TORCH OF TRUTH, third here in that '19 Classic and absent in '20, has sprinted in 8 of his last 9 starts. So the move not only back to a route, but all the way to 9 furlongs, is a legitimate concern. The 6-year-old has done most of his best work at Laurel in fairness.

The closers here are DREAM BIG DREAMS and CROUCHELLI. Both have a solid string of strong late finishes. DREAM BIG DREAMS comes in off an open-company allowance win over the track at 1-1/16 miles (2 turns) and is 3: 2-1-0 on the local dirt. Trainer Brittany Russell rocks the percentages annually and this pairing with Feargal Lynch is a great style fit in the saddle. CROUCHELLI has back-to-back wins at Pimlico and Timonium from off the pace, but is only 2-36 lifetime at Laurel. The barn's been solid all year, but the jockey has struggled at the meet and will have to negotiate several decisions from far off the front.

Of course, the X-factor would be the presence of CORDMAKER, who stands out on class and form if able to make the field from the AE list. His pace versatility would help in this race and give him an even greater chance for success.

Most Certain Exotics Contender:
DREAM BIG DREAMS is in hot form and hasn't missed an exacta over this track. The sophomore gets 6 pounds from the favorite, who is drawn wide.

Best Longshot Exotics Contender:
AIN'T DA BEER COLD -- named for the famed tag phrase after a Baltimore Orioles or Colts victory by the late, great announcer Chuck Thompson -- has been highly inconsistent in his 9-race career. His only pair of 2-turn races netted a win and second by a nose, both here at Laurel, but his last 2 starts take a lot of handicappers' forgiveness. He'll get Lasix for the first time.

Sending it in ($100 bankroll):
$100 win DREAM BIG DREAMS in the event CORDMAKER does not compete. If CORDMAKER does compete, then shift to $100 exacta CORDMAKER over DREAM BIG DREAMS.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jon White: Two Hall of Famers Top Breeders' Cup Classic Figs

October 20, 2021 | By Jon White

The 2021 Breeders’ Cup at Del Mar is fast approaching. With that in mind, it’s interesting to examine the history of the Beyer Speed Figures for the richest of the 14 Breeders’ Cup races, the $6 million Classic.

Sunday Silence and Ghostzapper share the distinction of having achieved the top Beyer Speed Figure in the 37 editions of the BC Classic. They each registered a 124 Beyer in the 1 1/4-mile event.

One morning years ago at Santa Anita, I asked trainer Charlie Whittingham who was the best horse he ever trained. He told me it was Sunday Silence.

The 1989 edition of the BC Classic was a race for the ages. It featured a showdown for the 1989 Horse of the Year title between Triple Crown combatants Sunday Silence and Easy Goer, two of the best Thoroughbreds to appear on the American racing stage during that decade.

Sunday Silence and Easy Goer finished one-two in all three legs of the Triple Crown. Sunday Silence zigzagged his way down the stretch on a muddy track and won the Kentucky Derby by 2 1/2 lengths. Easy Goer finished second. In an epic renewal of the Preakness Stakes, Sunday Silence eked out a nose victory at the end of a furious stretch battle with Easy Goer, who again had to settle for second. Easy Goer then won the Belmont Stakes by eight dominant lengths to spoil Sunday Silence’s bid for Triple Crown glory. This time it was Sunday Silence who ran second.

The 1989 BC Classic at Gulfstream Park featured a showdown for the Horse of the Year title between Sunday Silence and Easy Goer. In one of the most thrilling Breeders’ Cup races of all time, Sunday Silence prevailed by a neck when able to stave off runner-up Easy Goer in the final strides.

Sunday Silence was indeed elected 1989 Horse of the Year.

Victorious in nine of 14 lifetime starts, Sunday Silence was inducted into the Hall of Fame in 1996. The Kentucky-bred son of Halo ranks No. 26 on my list of the Top 100 Racehorses of the 20th Century to have raced in North America.

One morning years ago at Santa Anita, I asked Hall of Fame trainer Bobby Frankel who was the best horse he ever trained. He told me it was Ghostzapper.

In a sparkling performance, Ghostzapper won the 2004 BC Classic by three lengths at Lone Star Park. Roses in May ran second. Roses in May would go on to take the Group I Dubai World Cup in 2005.

Prior to the 2004 BC Classic, Ghostzapper won that year’s Grade I Woodward by a neck over Saint Liam. Saint Liam would go on to capture the 2005 BC Classic.

Ghostzapper was voted 2004 Horse of the Year.

Victorious in seven of nine career starts, Ghostzapper was inducted into the Hall of Fame in 2012. The Kentucky-bred son of Awesome Again ranks No. 12 on my list of the Top 25 Racehorses of the 21st Century to have raced in North America.

Below are the Beyers for BC Cup Classic winners going back to its inaugural running in 1984, listed in order from the highest to lowest:

124 Sunday Silence (1989)
124 Ghostzapper (2004)
122 Alysheba (1988)
120 Proud Truth (1985)
120 Black Tie Affair (1991)
120 Skip Away (1997)
120 American Pharoah (2015)
120 Arrogate (2016)
119 Pleasantly Perfect (2003)
119 Curlin (2007)
118 Skywalker (1986)
118 Cat Thief (1999)
117 Ferdinand (1987)
117 Cigar (1995)
117 Tiznow (2001)
117 Fort Larned (2012)
117 Gun Runner (2017)
116 Unbridled (1990)
116 Awesome Again (1998)
116 Tiznow (2000)
116 Volponi (2002)
116 Invasor (2006)
115 Concern (1994)
115 Alphabet Soup (1996)
114 A.P. Indy (1992)
114 Arcangues (1993)
113 Wild Again (1984)
113 Bayern (2014)
112 Zenyatta (2009)*
112 Saint Liam (2005)
112 Mucho Macho Man (2005)
111 Blame (2010)
111 Accelerate (2018)
111 Vino Rosso (2019)
111 Authentic (2020)
110 Raven’s Pass (2008)*
104 Drosselmeyer (2011)

*Run on a synthetic surface

BEST BEYERS BY A BC WINNER

Now let’s take a look at the highest Beyer Speed Figures ever record by a Breeders’ Cup winner.

At the top of the list is Precisionist’s 125 Beyer when he won the 1985 BC Sprint at Aqueduct. Chris McCarron rode the handsome 4-year-old colt for owner-breeder Fred W. Hooper and trainer Ross Fenstermaker.

Precisionist’s victory in the 1985 BC Sprint on Nov. 2 was all the more impressive in that he had not raced since June 23.

It’s also mighty impressive, to say the least, that in all the Breeders’ Cup races since 1984, no Breeders’ Cup winner has been able to tie or top Precisionist’s 125 Beyer when he won the Sprint.

Below are all the Beyers of 115 or higher recorded by a winner in the history of the Breeders’ Cup:

125 Precisionist in the 1985 Sprint at Aqueduct

124 Sunday Silence in the 1989 Classic at Gulfstream Park
124 Artax in the 1999 Sprint at Gulfstream Park
124 Ghostzapper in the 2004 Classic at Churchill Downs

122 Alysheba in the 1988 Classic at Churchill Downs

121 Very Subtle* in the 1987 Sprint at Hollywood Park

120 Princess Rooney* in the 1984 Distaff at Hollywood Park
120 Proud Truth in the 1985 Classic at Aqueduct
120 Black Tie Affair in the 1991 Classic at Churchill Downs
120 Skip Away in the 1997 Classic at Hollywood Park
120 Cajun Beat in the 2003 Sprint at Santa Anita Park
120 American Pharoah in the 2015 Classic at Keeneland
120 Arrogate in the 2017 Classic at Santa Anita

119 Miesque* in the 1987 Mile at Hollywood Park
119 Inside Information* in the 1995 Distaff at Belmont Park
119 Squirtle Squirt in the 2001 Sprint at Belmont Park
119 Pleasantly Perfect in the 2003 Classic at Santa Anita Park
119 Corinthian in the 2007 Dirt Mile at Monmouth Park
119 Curlin in the 2007 Classic at Monmouth Park

118 Smile in the 1986 Sprint at Santa Anita Park
118 Skywalker in the 1986 Classic at Santa Anita Park
118 Daylami in the 1999 Turf at Gulfstream Park
118 Cat Thief in the 1999 Classic at Gulfstream Park

117 Miesque* in the 1988 Mile at Churchill Downs
117 Ferdinand in the 1987 Classic at Hollywood Park
117 Cigar in the 1995 Classic at Belmont Park
117 Fantastic Light in the 2001 Turf at Belmont Park
117 Tiznow in the 2001 Classic at Belmont Park
117 Fort Larned in the 2012 Classic at Santa Anita Park
117 Gun Runner in the 2017 Classic at Del Mar

116 Gulch in the 1988 Sprint at Churchill Downs
116 Safely Kept* in the 1990 Sprint at Belmont Park
116 Unbridled in the 1990 Classic at Belmont Park
116 Tiznow in the 2000 Classic at Churchill Downs
116 Volponi in the 2002 Classic at Arlington Park
116 Thor’s Echo in the 2006 Sprint at Churchill Downs
116 Invasor in the 2006 Classic at Churchill Downs
116 Conduit in the 2008 Turf at Santa Anita

115 Theatrical in the 1987 Turf at Hollywood Park
115 Personal Ensign* in the 1988 Distaff at Churchill Downs
115 Bayakoa* in the 1989 Distaff at Gulfstream Park
115 Dancing Spree in the 1989 Sprint at Gulfstream Park
115 Concern in the 1994 Classic at Churchill Downs
115 Pilsudski in the 1996 Turf at Woodbine

*Filly or mare

A 117 TOP BEYER OF 2017 BC WINNERS

Current hot sire Gun Runner was credited with a 117 Beyer Speed Figure when he won the BC Classic at Del Mar in 2017. That ranked as the highest Beyer recorded by a winner at that Breeders’ Cup.

Below are the Beyers for the winners of the 2017 Breeders’ Cup races, listed from the highest to the lowest:

117 Gun Runner (Classic)
111 Roy H (Sprint)
108 Battle of Midway (Dirt Mile)
108 Talismanic (Turf)
107 World Approval (Mile)
104 Wuheida (Filly & Mare Turf)
103 Stormy Liberal (Turf Sprint)
100 Good Magic (Juvenile)
99 Forever Unbridled (Distaff)
94 Bar of Gold (Filly & Mare Sprint)
86 Mendelssohn (Juvenile Turf)
85 Rushing Fall (Juvenile Fillies Turf)
82 Caledonia Road (Juvenile Fillies)

Gun Runner won the 2017 BC Classic by 2 1/4 lengths at Del Mar, but it was no walk in the park. While he was showing the way through the early stages, he had Collected breathing down his neck. On the far turn, Gun Runner and Collected were well clear of the other nine starters.

Coming into the stretch, it appeared that Gun Runner and Collected were going to slug it out all the way to the finish, as Trevor Denman noted during his call of the race when he said, “It looks like we’re in for a classic in the Classic.”

But before Denman could finish that sentence, just as they were approaching the eighth pole, Gun Runner began to put away Collected. Gun Runner increased his advantage to a length with a furlong to go, then gradually increased his lead the rest of the way to win by 2 1/4 lengths in 2:01.29.

Collected had to settle for second. West Coast finished third, 1 1/4 lengths behind Collected. War Story came in fourth. Arrogate and Gunnevera finished in a dead heat for fifth, followed in order by Churchill, Mubtaahij, War Decree, Pavel and Win the Space.

It was Arrogate’s third straight defeat after he had put together a fantastic four-race winning streak. The streak began in the 2016 Travers in which Arrogate smashed Saratoga’s 38-year-old 1 1/4-mile track record by four-fifths of a second.

Next, Arrogate won the 2016 BC Classic with a powerful late surge that carried him to victory over California Chrome at Santa Anita.

Arrogate made it three straight wins in the 2017 Pegasus World Cup at Gulfstream Park, a race in which he broke Gulfstream Park’s track record for 1 1/8 miles.

Arrogate’s triumph in the subsequent 2017 Dubai World Cup was nothing less than sensational. He overcame a horrible start to win going away by 2 1/4 lengths. During Terry Spargo’s call of the race, he said of Arrogate that “we’ve seen the anointing of the Man o’ War of the 21st century.”

However, after the Dubai World Cup, for whatever reason or reasons, the so-called “Man o’War of the 21st century” lost his next three starts -- all on Del Mar’s main track -- before heading off to stud.

Following Arrogate’s sensational victory in Dubai, he lost the Grade II San Diego Handicap by 15 1/4 lengths as a 1-20 favorite on July 22 at Del Mar. He then finished second, a half-length behind Collected, in the Grade I Pacific Classic on Aug. 19 at Del Mar when he was a 3-5 favorite.

Despite Arrogate’s losses in the San Diego and Pacific Classic, he was a slight $2.10 to $1 favorite in the BC Classic. Gun Runner was sent away at $2.40 to $1. But Arrogate could do no better than finish 6 1/4 lengths behind Gunner Runner.

When Gun Runner ran second in the Dubai World Cup, he had been no match for Arrogate. But Gun Runner would not lose again for the rest of the year. He reeled off four consecutive Grade I victories.

In Gun Runner’s first start after his trip to Dubai, he won the Stephen Foster Handicap by seven lengths at Churchill Downs on June 17. That was followed by a 5 1/4-length victory in the Whitney Stakes at Saratoga on Aug. 5. Gun Runner then continued his winning ways on Sept. 2 in Saratoga’s Woodward Stakes, in which he was 10 1/4 lengths in front at the finish in his final start before the BC Classic.

MAN O’ WAR POSTCARD SENT TO KHRC

I came across an interesting story written by Michael Berk that appeared earlier this month on the lex18.com website regarding a 1938 Man o’ War postcard. Berk is a news anchor and reporter for WLEX TV in Lexington, Ky.

According to Berk, Marc Guilfoil received the Man o’ War postcard out of the blue at his office in Lexington, Ky. Guilfoil is the executive director of the Kentucky Horse Racing Commission.

The postcard had been sent to the KHRC office by 93-year-old Lowell Joerg.

“Joerg has a retirement hobby that he calls ‘a redistribution of happiness.’ He finds things at antique stores, or wherever he might be, and sends them to people or places he feels will most benefit from having the item,” Berk wrote.

“Too much misery in the world. Might as well make someone happy,” Berk quoted Joerg as saying from his assisted living facility in California.

When Berk came across a 1938 postcard with Man o’ War pictured on the front, Berk felt the need to buy it and send it “home” to Kentucky.

Jeorg was tickled to learn that he had chosen well in terms of where to send the postcard in that “Man o’ War was buried near the Commission’s office,” Berk wrote.

Guilfoil was touched by what Joerg had done.

“It just floored me that somebody would take the time to do something like this,” Guilfoil said.

“Normally, when we get something like this, I think of sending it to the Keeneland Library or the Derby Museum at Churchill Downs,” Guilfoil added. “But this one is staying right here!”

Guilfoil said he will have the postcard and Joerg’s letter framed, then put on display in a prominent place at the KHRC office. Guilfoil and his staff also will be sending Jeorg “a very thoughtful gift” as a gesture of gratitude.

“There’s another part of this story that’ll floor most anyone who continues reading,” Berk wrote.

Appearing with Man o’ War on the postcard is his longtime groom, Will Harbut, who famously called Man o’ War “de mostest hoss that ever wuz.”

Greg Harbut, who currently is a member of the KHRC, is a grandson of Will Harbut.

How great was Man o’ War? He tied or broke world, American or track records at seven different distances: one mile, 1 1/16 miles, 1 1/8 miles, 1 1/4 miles, 1 3/8 miles, 1 1/2 miles and 1 5/8 miles.

Man o’ War ranked No. 1 on BloodHorse’s list of the Top 100 Racehorses of the 20th Century. He also holds the top spot on my list of the Top 100 Racehorses of the 20th Century to have raced in North America.

Below is my list of the Top 100 Racehorses of the 20th Century (in parentheses, when applicable, is where the horse ranked on BloodHorse’s list of the Top 100 Racehorses of the 20th Century):

1. Man o’ War (1)
2. Secretariat* (2)
3. Citation* (3)
4. Kelso (4)
5. Spectacular Bid (10)
6. Native Dancer (7)
7. Dr. Fager (6)
8. Seattle Slew* (9)
9. Count Fleet* (5)
10. Affirmed* (12)
11. Ruffian (35)
12. Swaps (20)
13. Forego (8)
14. Phar Lap (22)
15. Buckpasser (14)
16. Damascus (16)
17. Round Table (17)
18. Seabiscuit (25)
19. War Admiral* (13)
20. Tom Fool (11)
21. Colin (15)
22. John Henry (23)
23. Regret (71)
24. Exterminator (29)
25. Whirlaway* (26)
26. Sunday Silence (31)
27. Cigar (18)
28. Nashua (24)
29. Alydar (27)
30. Easy Goer (34)
31. Alysheba (42)
32. Bold Ruler (19)
33. Personal Ensign (48)
34. All Along (68)
35. Equipoise (21)
36. Gallant Fox* (28)
37. Sysonby (30)
38. Gallant Man (36)
39. Assault* (33)
40. Armed (39)
41. Sir Barton* (49)
42. Northern Dancer (43)
43. Omaha* (61)
44. Ack Ack (44)
45. Discovery (37)
46. Majestic Prince (46)
47. Arts and Letters (67)
48. Stymie (41)
49. Challedon (38)
50. Pan Zareta
51. Noor (69)
52. Busher (40)
53. Gallorette (45)
54. Coaltown (47)
55. Sword Dancer (53)
56. Grey Lag (54)
57. Devil Diver (55)
58. Dahlia (50)
59. Zev (56)
60. Ta Wee (80)
61. Twilight Tear (59)
62. Riva Ridge (57)
63. Native Diver (60)
64. Holy Bull (64)
65. Precisionist
66. Inside Information
67. Shuvee (70)
68. Twenty Grand (52)
69. Skip Away (32)
70. Sham
71. Alsab (65)
72. Lady’s Secret (76)
73. Genuine Risk (91)
74. A.P. Indy
75. Landaluce
76. Silver Charm (63)
77. Susan’s Girl (51)
78. Cicada (62)
79. Go for Wand (72)
80. Slew o’ Gold (58)
81. Bald Eagle (74)
82. Exceller (96)
83. Tim Tam
84. Top Flight (66)
85. Manila
86. Johnstown (73)
87. Lure (85)
88. Princess Rooney
89. Two Lea (77)
90. Gallant Bloom (79)
91. Miesque (82)
92. Eight Thirty (78)
93. Fort Marcy (86)
94. Hoist the Flag
95. Cougar II
96. Gamely (87)
97. Carry Back (83)
98. Ancient Title
99. Bayakoa (95)
100. Formal Gold

*Triple Crown winner

Below is my list of the Top 25 Racehorses of the 21st Century so far:

1. American Pharoah*
2. Zenyatta
3. Justify*
4. Curlin
5. Arrogate
6. Shared Belief
7. California Chrome
8. Rachel Alexandra
9. Barbaro
10. Tiznow
11. Wise Dan
12. Ghostzapper
13. Point Given
14. Invasor
15. Gun Runner
16. Beholder
17. Smarty Jones
18. Azeri
19. Lava Man
20. Goldikova
21. Bernardini
22. Rags to Riches
23. Candy Ride
24. Kona Gold
25. Xtra Heat

*Triple Crown winner

THIS WEEK’S NTRA TOP THOROUGHBRED POLL

Knicks Go again holds the No. 1 spot in the NTRA Top Thoroughbred Poll this week. This is the 11th consecutive week he has held the top spot in the poll.

This week’s Top 10 is listed below:

Rank Points Horse (First-Place Votes)

1. 339 Knicks Go (23)
2. 312 Letruska (6)
3. 299 Essential Quality (7)
4. 158 Jackie’s Warrior
5. 149 Hot Rod Charlie
6. 129 Gamine
7. 125 Medina Spirit
8. 95 Art Collector
9. 83 Max Player
10. 68 Domestic Spending

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Santa Anita Saturday Late Pick 4 Analysis & Selections

October 21, 2021 | By Johnny D



Xpressbet and 1ST BET continue to offer a daily sweetener to account holders who hit Santa Anita’s Late Pick 4 and are registered for a $2,000 bonus. For the most part, these added-money kisses aren’t life-changing scores, you’ll still need to find those in the main arena, but who doesn’t mind a little extra cash?

For example, last week’s payoffs and bonuses look like this:

Friday, Oct. 15 (Wager Paid $132.50) 83 winners earned an additional $22.47 each
Saturday, Oct. 16 (Wager Paid $217.20) 46 winners earned an additional $43.48 each
Sunday, Oct. 17 (Wager Paid $6,001.55) 2 winners earned an additional $1,000 each

Not bad, not bad at all.

Of course, the real trick is to first hit the wager. And, as you can tell by last Sunday’s numbers, that’s not always an easy road to travel. Nice to know that, if you’re right, there’s an added bonus waiting at the finish.

You know you’re going to play the Late Pick 4 at Santa Anita. Why not register for the $2,000 bonus and collect a little more cash if you’re right? Registration is a snap, do it once and you’re covered for the entire season.

Below is one man’s attempt at guiding account holders toward successful Saturday Santa Anita Late Pick 4 plays. Hopefully, you’ll be able to pluck an informative gem or two from the horse-by-horse analysis. Analysis is designed to permit players to grasp reasoning behind each horse’s pros or cons.

On the sport’s larger scale, Breeders’ Cup looms large just a few weeks from today. You can be certain that Xpressbet experts are burning the midnight oil in anticipation of delivering players a fun and informative edition of the Breeders’ Cup Wagering Guide. Stay tuned for information regarding guide availability online and free from Xpressbet!

Race 6 Santa Anita
Allowance Optional Claiming $50k
Fillies & Mares Three Years Old & Upward
Six Furlongs

#1 Big Sweep won 3 of her first 5 races, including 2 state-bred stakes races. That all was at 2. At 3, she’s been close a couple of times at around this level. She continues to produce fast Beyer Speed Figures and will be a short price in here. She has failed as favorite in 2 of 3 2021 starts and must flee the challenging rail post position going six furlongs at Santa Anita. Perhaps, contemporaries have caught up to her in maturity? The main challenge for anyone attempting to beat her is that she’s just faster than everyone else. She tries, takes money every time, deserves respect and may just be the best of a so-so bunch.

#2 Maxim Strider has been gone a year since finishing sixth in the grassy Surfer Girl at one mile in her second race. She won maiden first out going five furlongs on turf by closing from just off the pace. Trainer Miller is 18% with runners off long layoffs. She will race with Lasix for the first time in her switch to the dirt.

#3 Honor America has been off since Feb when last in the Gr. 3 Las Virgines at one mile at Santa Anita. Before that she broke maiden in her second career start at six furlongs. She has some speed and ought to be in the early mix. Trainer Shelbe Ruis has good stats from limited tries in bringing runners back from layoffs.

#4 Founder’s Day did her best to be a close second last out at Los Alamitos. She finished two lengths in front of #5 Queengol that afternoon. That was her third and best effort for new trainer Bob Hess since coming from Churchill Downs. Was that race a preview of things to come or her very best not likely to be immediately repeated? Victor Espinoza replaces Van Dyke in the irons. The latter moves to #3 Honor America.

#5 Queengol was tried in 3 stakes races out of her first 4 starts and she managed 2 second placings. Off January to August, she’s started 3 times at about this level and hasn’t done a lot. She’s been out finished by #1 Big Sweep in two of those and by #4 Founder’s Day in the other. Interesting that Prat takes over today and he’s 28% for Sadler over a 32-race sample. A second-best of 22 half-mile blowout for this helps the cause.

#6 Full of Grace is a 5-year-old new face on the SoCal circuit. She was claimed last out for $20k at Canterbury. Connections appear to be looking for a suitable spot and offer her up for $50k in here.

Best on Paper: #1
Reaches: #4, #5

Race 7 Santa Anita
Lure Stakes
Three-Year-Olds & Upward
One Mile (Turf)

#1 Neptune’s Storm is a 5-year-old gelding who loves Santa Anita turf (4 for 11) and the distance on the lawn (5 for 11). He’s faced top competition for much of his career and usually run well when facing lower than Gr. 2 company. He comes out of the mile and one-quarter Gr. 2 John Henry Turf Cup where he was close to the early pace and faded. That race was Oct. 2, so he should be fitter for the effort and appreciate the return to his favorite distance and the class drop. He’s the one to beat but we doubt top jock Prat will be able to ‘walk the dog’ on the front end in here. There’s other speed that could make his job difficult. Still, he’s best on paper.

#2 Order and Law is the kind of project trainer Mike Maker does well with—an older horse claimed and trained to win a stakes race… somewhere. This one was taken two back for $80k and pitched in the Gr. 2 City of Hope where he finished last. This is a better spot for the ridgeling, but his front-running style may not comfortably fit this race. He’s just 1 for 9 on SA turf and 2 for 10 at the distance on the lawn. Maker’s a magician with this kind but maybe later.

#3 Shooters Shoot is a 4-year-old gelding who will try turf for the first time and race around two turns for the fifth time. Following back-to-back wins in his first four starts, this guy was 20-1 in the Santa Anita Derby where he set the early pace and faded to a well-beaten fifth. He’s tried a couple of sprint stakes and was second in the Gr. 2 Triple Bend at Santa Anita in May. It appears connections are still trying to figure out what this guy wants to do and a mile on grass is the latest guess.

#4 Lambeau is a 5-year-old who’s made just 8 career starts. Good news is that at that pace he’s not burned out. Bad news is that it means trainer Shirreffs has had a difficult time getting this one to the races for 3 wins. The intact horse will try turf for just the second time. His first out over the lawn was a poor race in his first career start and that can be forgiven. He’s a speedster who ought to heat up the early pace. Lots of guess work as to whether this one can handle the weeds. Probably will make him beat us.

#5 Dubby Dubbie is a 6-year-old who won his last start in August at Del Mar. He went wire-to-wire to take a $40k claiming race off an extended layoff for trainer John Sadler. These are tougher and there is other speed in here. He has been versatile in his career with his last 4 wins coming at 4 different tracks over synthetic and turf courses.

#6 Majestic Eagle is a 6-year-old that has finished second in every other race for 6 starts since last October when he was second in this very race! He’s just 3 for 31, lifetime, 2 for 16 at Santa Anita and 1 for 13 at the distance on turf. On the other hand, he has a very healthy 7 and 5 seconds, respectively, in those categories.

Pace-Challenged Best: #1
Melt Down Special: #6

Race 8 Santa Anita
Allowance Optional Claiming $50k
Three Year Olds & Upward
One Mile & One-Sixteenth

#1 Willy the Cobbler has done his best running at Los Al and Del Mar but has a runner-up finish at Santa Anita. He has little speed in a race without much pace. He was optimistically placed in the Shared Belief Stakes two back and that didn’t go well. He was third at about this level last out but 18 lengths behind the winner after a wide trip.

#2 Divine Armor is a 4-year-old with no speed in a pace-less race. He has just 1 win in 9 starts but has 6 other in-the-money finishes. He keeps coming at the end of races and has been third and second, respectively, to runaway winners in his last two races. Count on him to gain another slice of the purse.

#3 Synthesis finished second, beaten just a head Sept. 17, so he’s in acceptable form. He has the best Beyer Speed Figures in the race and also should enjoy a pace advantage. He’s won 3 of 8 races at the distance. He was claimed for $32k by current connections and he’s been cleverly managed. He always is well bet and should be again in this race. He’s the one to beat.

#4 Barbwire is an interesting lightly raced 3-year-old colt from the Richard Baltas barn. He’s got room to improve off a Maiden score in early Sept. Top jock Prat retains the mount and they should be sitting just off pacesetter #3 Synthesis. A bullet best-of-39 five-furlong work at San Luis Rey in :59 1/5 announces that this one is the major threat to the top choice.

#5 Family Biz is a 5-year-old gelding making his first start at Sant Anita. He’s won 6 of 35 races with the majority of his success coming on the New York circuit. Two tries in Cali haven’t produced much.

#6 Jack Sprout has 2 wins and they both came on turf. Even if he handles dirt, he’ll need to go faster than he has before.

#7 Touchdown Brown is a 3-year-old with plenty of stakes experience—6 out of 8 races were for added money, including 4 against fellow Cal-breds. The gelding’s in decent form and won his most recent race—a state-bred Allowance/$20k optional claimer. This is a step up the class ladder but, perhaps, trainer Brian Korner and jockey Kent Desormeaux have found the key to him?

Best Chances: #3, #4
Next: #7

Race 9 Santa Anita
Maiden Special Weight
Fillies Two Years Old
Six Furlongs (Turf)

#1 Silent Beauty did not finish in front of anyone in her first race at five furlongs. She’ll add blinkers and try again with Baze aboard.

#2 Booze Runner improved for trainer Eric Kruljac in her first start for the trainer. She showed good speed and faded going five furlongs. That race should do her some good and Desormeaux replaces Frey in the saddle. Still, she’ll need to make substantial improvement again. Not impossible.

#3 Lonely On Top is a first-time starter by Big Brown for Doug O’Neil. She has a couple of notable five furlong works—3 of them at San Luis Rey and 1 at Santa Anita. O’Neill has 2 runners in the body of the race and one on the Also Eligible list. She deserves some consideration.

#4 Vulin makes a second start for Richard Baltas. She beat just 2 others at 2.80-1 in her first out at one mile on turf. Top jock Prat rode her that day. He moves to #12 Urban for this race and Rispoli will take over. Blinkers go on and that could wake this filly up a bit. She’s worked steadily for this since her disappointing first out. She’s a bit of a guess in here but the money she took in her first start with Prat pings the radar.

#5 Shoppingforpharoah is a first-time starter for Jonathan Wong. She’s a daughter of American Pharoahwith some decent moves for this start. She’s trained at Golden Gate and Santa Anita and the trainer is 23% with first-time starters, most of those stats accumulated at the ‘Gate.

#6 Ayellowroseoftexas makes her second start for trainer Peter Miller and he’s top notch in that situation at 27%. She beat just 1 first out at 28-1. A move to turf could help but she’ll really have to turn it around. Trainer’s stats best endorsement.

#7 English Meadow made a first start at Emerald Downs and now is trained by Alana Greenfield. She would surprise with a strong race.

#8 Tonito’s is one of 2 (3 including Also Eligibles) trained by Doug O’Neill. Like #3 Lonely On Top, this filly shows a few interesting five-furlong workouts. The former has a bit more impressive work tab than the latter but Tonito’s brought $90k as a 2-year-old.

#9 Miss Mattie B switches to turf after a pair of dirt sprints. The daughter of Tonalist will need to improve on grass to threaten and we don’t see it.

#10 Kjos Kid is a first-time starter and one of 2 starters for Richard Baltas. She has an OK series of works but nothing special.

#11 One Arrow is a daughter of Munnings that starts first time for trainer Neil Drysdale, a Hall of Fame member not known for having runners cranked to win first time out.

#12 Urban is the one to beat off a pair of late-running efforts—one at five furlongs and the other at one mile, both on turf. Her last start was in the Juvenile Fillies Turf at Del Mar. Top jock Prat moves to her saddle. That’s important because, from the 12-post position, Prat will need to use all of his skills to get this one successfully rolling from behind. A bullet, best-of-23 five-furlong workout Oct. 17 reinforces this one’s bona fides.

#13 She’s So Shiny must draw into the race. If she does, she’ll add early spice to the mix, based on the speed she’s shown in four previous dirt sprints.

One to Beat: #12
Fillies of Interest: #3, #4, #8

$5.00 Pick 4 ($30)
Race 6: #1,
Race 7: #1, #3, #6
Race 8: #3, #4
Race 9: #12

$.50 Pick 4 ($36)
Race 6: #1, #4, #5
Race 7: #1, #6
Race 8: #3, #4, #7
Race 9: #3, #4, #8, #12

Race On!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

HORSE RACING - SANTA ANITA : 10/23

Bob Mieszerski

1 My Princess Elli Tale Her Temp I'm All the Jedi

2 Beautiful Gift Flash Magic Park Avenie

3 Liberal City Rage Rip City

4 Ishka Baja Wrrn'sMemorable Pretty Saylee

5 N.K. Rockeyt Man Master Ryan Squared Straight

6 Next Revolt Etterbay Ucklay Gryffindor

7 CLEARLY GONE Kittyhawk Lass Nice Ice

8 Vander Kelen Posterize Camby

9 Sircat Nelly Allie's Pal Westward Breeze

[Can'tPickAWinner]

HORSE RACING - SANTA ANITA : 10/23

Art Wilson

1 My Princess Ellie Im All the Jedi Taker Her Temp

2 Flash Magic Park Avenue Beautiful Gift

3 Liberal Dr. Troutman City Rage

4 WRRN'S MEMRBLE Ishka Baja Pretty Saylee

5 Squared Straight Master Ryan Count Alexei

6 Show Business Next Revolt Bodega

7 White Velvet Lucky Peridot Kittyhawk Lass

8 Oil Can Knight Posterize Camby

9 Squared Shady Allie's Pal Our Little Tiger