Saturday 10/23/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 372306

    #46
    HORSE RACING - SANTA ANITA : 10/23

    Terry Turrell

    1 My Princess Ellie Big Chick Take Her Temp

    2 Flash Magic Beautiful Gift Park Avenue

    3 DR. TROUTMAN City Rage Ronamo

    4 Ishka Baja Wrrn's Memorable CommasSaveLives

    5 Squared Straight N.K. Rocket Man Master Ryan

    6 Gryffindor Next Revolt Show Business

    7 Nice Ice Hurley Lucky Peridot

    8 Posterize Vander Kelen Camby

    9 Our Little Tiger Flag Salute Allie's Pal
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 372306

      #47
      HORSE RACING - SANTA ANITA : 10/23

      Eddie Wilson

      1 My Princess Ellie Taker Her Temp I'm All the Jedi

      2 Flash Magic Beautiful Gift Park Avenu

      3 Liberal Dr. Troutman City Rage

      4 Wrrn's Memorable Ishka Baja Pretty Saylee

      5 N.K. Rocket Man Master Ryan Count Alexi

      6 Next Revolt Show Business Gryffindor

      7 NICE ICE Hurley White Velvet

      8 Oil Can Knight Posterize Camby

      9 Westward Breeze Squared Shady Allie's Pal
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 372306

        #48
        HORSE RACING - SANTA ANITA : 10/23

        Consensus

        1 MYPRNSSELLIE(20) Take Her Temp (6) I'mAllTheJedi(4)

        2 MYPRNSSELLIE(20) Take Her Temp (6) I'mAllTheJedi(4)

        3 Liberal (15) Dr. Troutman (11) City Rage (6)

        4 Wrrn'sMmrble(16) Ishka Baja (14) Pretty Saylee (3)

        5 N.K. Rocket Man (12) Squared Straight (11) Master Ryan (7)

        6 Next Revolt (14) Show Business (9) Etterbay Ucklay (2)

        7 Nice Ice (13) Clearly Gone (7) White Velvet (6)

        8 Posterize (11) Oil Can Knight (10) Vander Kelen (7)

        9 Squared Shady (7) Westward Breeze (6) Our Little Tiger (6)
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 372306

          #49
          Andrew Mount’s Horse Racing Tips – Saturday October 23rd

          updated 10 hours ago

          on 22 October, 2021

          By Andrew Mount

          Leading racing advisor Andrew Mount is a regular contributor to the Racing Post, Racing Post Weekender, Racing & Football Outlook and the GG.co.uk website. His punditry skills can also be heard on William Hill Radio. Andrew’s stats-based approach to betting finds regular winners and he has several selections on Saturday.

          There’s some fantastic action on Saturday October 23rd and Andrew, who had an 11-1 winner with Baronial Pride at Dundalk yesterday, has unearthed some interesting betting angles at Newbury, Kelso and Chelmsford:
          NEWBURY 2.00
          LIGHT INFANTRY (system – sire Fast Company, soft/heavy going on the Flat)

          Prior to yesterday’s racing had we supported all progeny of Fast Company when they raced on the Flat on soft or heavy going we’d have found 97 winners from 725 bets (13.4% strike-rate) and made a profit of £37.37 to a £1 level stake at SP. Those who finished first or second on their latest outing were 34 from 152 (23.4%) for a profit of £123.63. LIGHT INFANTRY was a hugely impressive winner on his recent debut at Yarmouth and can take the step up in class in his stride.

          Back LIGHT INFANTRY at SBK
          KELSO 3.19
          BIG RIVER (system – sire Milan, first time after a wind operation)

          Milan offspring have a cracking record on their first start back following wind surgery, landing 16 of their 75 races for a huge profit of £124.38 to a £1 level stake at SP. BIG RIVER, whose Kelso record reads 112111B1 (6-8), could be overpriced at around the 7-1 mark. STYLISH MOMENT also qualifies on this system in the 5.35 at Kelso.

          Bet on BIG RIVER at SBK
          KELSO 3.54
          TREASURED COMPANY (system – sire Fast Company, hurdles, good to soft or softer going)

          Previously, I’ve discussed the fine record of sire Fast Company with his progeny on soft or heavy going on the Flat and they also do well over hurdles when the mud’s flying. Since the beginning of 2016, had we backed them on good to soft or going we’d have found 24 winners from 189 bets and made a profit of £21.18 to a £1 level stake at SP. Those who had raced within the past eight weeks returned a profit of +£45.05. TREASURED COMPANY, who won well in the first-time cheekpieces at Sedgefield 17 days ago, can follow up.

          Back TREASURED COMPANY at SBK
          NEWBURY 5.25
          FROZEN WATERS (system – sire No Nay Never, Tapeta last time out, different surface today)

          Progeny of No Nay Never have a poor record on Tapeta and those who switched from that surface to a different one (i.e. turf, Polytrack or Fibresand) for their next outing have an 11 from 64 record for a profit of £53.08 to a £1 level stake at SP. FROZEN WATERS was reportedly never travelling when trailing home last of seven at Wolverhampton on his Tapeta debut last time and will be happier back on turf. He’s yet to win but has placed in two of his three outings on soft ground and is an each-way price.

          Bet on FROZEN WATERS at SBK
          CHELMSFORD 8.00
          DUBAI VISION (system – Charlie Appleby gelded 3yo newcomers)

          In the past five seasons Charlie Appleby has a 14 from 45 record with his gelded three-year-old newcomers and backing them blind would have returned a profit of £21.11 to a £1 level stake at SP. DUBAI VISION has a useful draw and could be up to making a successful debut.

          Bet DUBAI VISION at SBK
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 372306

            #50
            Al Cimaglia: Woodbine Mohawk Park Early Pick 4 Analysis

            October 23, 2021 | By Al Cimaglia

            Woodbine Mohawk Park has an 11-race program scheduled for this evening. The 0.20 Early Pick 4 begins in Race 4, and that sequence will be my focus.

            Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

            Race 4

            1-Siddhartha (4-1)-Drops, gets much needed post relief, Roy sticks and that's reason enough to use versus this field. Looking for a nice trip and to be in striking range at the top of the lane.
            3-Beachin Lindy (3-1)-Six-year-old doesn't win often but this is the class it could happen. Was used hard off the gate when facing better and that didn't end well. But versus this kind that plan could play out.
            5-Prestige Seelster (9/2)-Was used very hard in a race when claimed and now makes the 1st start for the Moreau barn. Drops to a spot to shine and will respect connections.

            Race 5

            5-Pointomygranson (4-1)-Scored off a perfect trip from the 9-hole and now returns at the same class. MacDonell takes the lines, and he has steered for a win in the past. Looking for a similar trip and best to respect for an encore.
            7-Respect Our Flag (6-1)-Left from post 10 in last and that made it a rough go, despite pacing the back half in 54.1. Will take a swing for a solid price and look for Cullen to be close to the top turning for the wire.
            8-Rockme Rollme (3-1)-Was driven aggressively versus better in the slop to finish 4th. Now drops to a more comfortable level and will look for the same gate speed to be put in play early.

            Race 6

            2-Wheels On Fire (2-1)-Has lost to some tough winners and should relish the class relief. McNair should have the pedal down and could be difficult to collar at a short price.

            Race 7

            1-Snow Shark (3-1)-Cashed a 3rd place check versus tougher, that was on an off-track and hasn't won on a wet surface in 6 tries. This gal is not easy to figure but has tossed hints in the last couple and should get an efficient trip from this post.
            6-Lady Arthur (9/2)-Stepped-up off an impressive 151.2 lifetime mark versus similar and faded on a tiring track which was rated "good". Now returns to a better spot for success and should offer a fair price.

            0.20 Early Pick 4

            1,3,5/5,7,8/2/1,6
            Total Bet=$3.60
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 372306

              #51
              Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Wagering Strategies - Oct. 23, 2021

              October 23, 2021

              Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily “Workout Report, Analysis, and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
              *
              The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.). For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
              *
              *
              Grade Descriptions:
              Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
              Grade B=Solid Play.
              Grade C=Least preferred or pass
              Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play

              __________________________________________________ ____________________________
              RACE 1: Post: 1:00 PT Grade: B-
              Use: 3-Riviera Champ; 8-State of the Union; 10-Roy C

              Forecast: Maiden claiming $50,000) juveniles compete over a mile on grass in the Sunday opener. This is an exercise in educational guessing, as most of the these either haven’t run long, haven’t run on grass, or haven’t run at all. Roy C has the classic two-sprints-and-a-stretch-out pattern combined with the first-time-for-a-tag angle while also making the monumental jockey change to F. Prat. If the son of More Than Ready can run, this would be a good place to show it. The P. Miller-trained gelding has okay numbers and a steady, even style of running so let’s assume he’ll enjoy today’s distance. Riviera Champ has form that looks the same as our top pick. The son of Nyquist shows two sprints vs. straight maidens and today tries two-turns with a class drop that makes him a major contender. The M. McCarthy-trained ridgeling projects to be forward placed, perhaps even on the lead. Price players should consider tossing in State of the Union at 12-1 on the morning line. Bred to run long (Union Rags) and with rising speed figures through three previous starts, the first-time gelding shows a recent sharp half mile work (:47 2/5, second fastest of 66) that signals possible improvement. These are the three we’ll be using in our rolling exotics but if you may decide the race requires additional coverage.

              Notable Workouts:

              Roy C (October 16, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:02.3h TT). Grade: B-
              Broke off two lengths in front of Optimistic Valor (5f, 1:02.1h TT) and finished head-and-head at the wire without really being asked, splits of :38 flat and 1:02.3, moderate final time but a decent work, nonetheless. Should be able to handle a distance of ground based on this drill.
              View Workout Video

              __________________________________________________ ____________________________
              __________________________________________________ ____________________________
              RACE 2: Post: 1:30 PT Grade: X
              Single: 3-California Street

              Forecast: Six furlongs might not be his preferred distance but in his present form this shorter trip probably won’t matter to California Street. He’s being protected in his first-off-the-claim for P. Miller (a powerful 26% with this angle) after earning a stakes-quality speed figure when winning by eight and one-half lengths vs. $20,000 sellers here earlier this month. The concern is his lack of tactical speed, but anything close to his last race, or even the one before that should be more than good enough as the 4/5 morning line favorite. In a race that offers little wagering value, you can use him as a short-priced rolling exotic single or better yet simply pass the race.

              __________________________________________________ ____________________________
              __________________________________________________ ____________________________

              RACE 3: Post: 2:01 PT Grade: B
              Use: 1-Ottawa Fire; 7-Secret Club

              Forecast: We’ll double the third race, a 10-furlong first level allowance turf affair that projects to be run at a crawl for at least the opening half mile. Secret Club has enough tactical speed to find himself in a good stalking position or perhaps even on the front end if his connections so choose. The son of Clubhouse Ride earned a career top speed figure when a closing third in a hot turf miler earlier this month, and while he’s never been a mile and one-quarter there’s no reason he won’t handle this longer distance. F. Prat stays aboard for P. Miller – they’re a whopping 34% as a team – and with two previous wins over the local lawn he seems likely to leave at a shorter price than his morning line of 5/2. As a back-up or a saver, you may want to toss in Ottawa Fire. He’ll be comfortably placed from his good inside draw just off whatever speed might materialize and then have ever chance to offer a threat from the quarter pole home.

              __________________________________________________ ____________________________
              __________________________________________________ ____________________________

              RACE 4: Post: 2:41 PT Grade: B-
              Use: 1-Invictatatus; 2-Mongolian Wind

              Forecast: Invictatatus scored gamely with a good speed figure when facing $16,000 foes at Los Alamitos last month and a similar effort today on the two-level raise will make him dangerous right back. From his rail post the son of Strong Mandate projects to be on the lead or no worse than in a second flight, stalking position, and with a sharp gate-to-wire win on his resume last May the A. Marquez-trained gelding seems certain to be a major player. Mongolian Wind has low percentage connections and is winless in five starts over the Santa Anita main track but he’s the fastest in the race based on speed figures, has a touch of back class, and has run decently in the past off a layoff. He’s a strong threat at this $25,000 claiming level with anything close to his best race. We’ll try to get by using just these two in rolling exotic play with a slight preference on top to Invictatatus

              __________________________________________________ ____________________________
              __________________________________________________ ____________________________

              RACE 5: Post: 3:06 PT Grade: B
              Use: 6-Big Summer; 7-Feeling Grazeful

              Forecast: Big Summer has hit the board in all four career starts, but she’s also been a beaten choice in her last three, so it may be a bit difficult to have full trust in the daughter of Mr. Big even though that on pure numbers she’s a stick out in this extended turf sprint for older state-bred maiden fillies and mares. Feeling Grazeful may be the one to fear most. Second in both of her career starts but away since early June, the daughter of Grazen tries grass for the first time (bred for it) and goes for a barn that has strong stats with layoff runners. The W. Spawr-trained filly is listed at a generous 6-1 on the morning line and is a “must use” in rolling exotic play at anywhere near that price.

              __________________________________________________ ____________________________
              __________________________________________________ ____________________________

              RACE 6: Post: 3:37 PT Grade: X
              Single: 1-Big Sweep

              Forecast: Big Sweep is listed as the 6/5 morning line favorite in this first-level allowance sprint for fillies and mares and on paper looks it, though she has failed as the favorite in the last two outings that she left as the public choice. Still, in this six runner field, the daughter of Mr. Big looks clearly best, having a decided edge in speed figures, so if she leaves cleanly from the rail the M. Glatt-trained filly should have no excuses. Still, there is no real wagering value to be found, so you can pass the race while using her as a rolling exotic single or better yet simply sit it out entirely.

              __________________________________________________ ____________________________
              __________________________________________________ ____________________________

              RACE 7: Post: 4:08 PT Grade: X
              Single: 1-Neptune’s Storm

              Forecast: Neptune’s Storm was out of his element in the 10-furlong John Henry Turf Cup-G2 earlier this month but today returns to his favorite distance (a flat mile) while landing the good inside draw so we’re expecting the P. Miller-trained son of Stormy Atlantic to regain his winning edge. Successful four times over the Santa Anita turf course and a winner on five occasions at this one mile trip, he’s reunited with “win rider” F. Prat and should draft into a comfortable pace-prompting position (stalking the likely leader Lambeau) and then have every chance when the pressure is turned on to exert his superiority. However, at 6/5 on the morning line there’s not much we can do other than to use him as a short-priced rolling exotic single.

              __________________________________________________ ____________________________
              __________________________________________________ ____________________________

              RACE 8: Post: 4:52 PT Grade: B
              Use: 2-Divine Armor; 3-Synthesis

              Forecast: Synthesis looks very much like the controlling speed in this first-level allowance main track middle distance affair and given that type of trip the J. Mullins-trained gelding should be pretty tough to catch. A three-time winner over the local main track, the son of First Samurai missed by a head in a starter’s allowance affair at Los Alamitos last time out and after a six week freshening should return to his best form under conditions that are made to order. Divine Armor had the misfortune of chasing a couple of monsters in his last two starts (Laurel River, Ginobili) and was beaten 11 lengths in both starts, though at least hitting the board. This group should be within his range, so we’re expecting the J. Sadler-trained son of Include to be the most dangerous of the late-runners. Both should be included in rolling exotic play with the main punch going to Synthesis.

              Notable Workouts:

              Divine Armor (October 10, Santa Anita, 5f, :59.1h). Grade: B+
              Inside Edgeway (same time) for J. Sadler and stayed with that classy sprinting filly throughout in a sharp style with splits of :35.1 and :59.2. Excellent drill considering the competition and appears primed for a major effort vs. first-level allowance foes.
              View Workout Video

              __________________________________________________ ____________________________
              __________________________________________________ ____________________________

              RACE 9: Post: 5:12 PT Grade: B-
              Use: 5-Shoppingforpharoah; 8-Tonito’s; 12-Urban

              Forecast: Urban finished a respectable fourth in the one mile Juvenile Fillies Turf S. at Del Mar last month, rallying strongly from last to be beaten just two lengths. A similar effort today may be good enough against this maiden field, especially with the switch to F. Prat, though her extreme outside post position in this 12-runner field and her lack of gate speed at this sprint trip makes her task a challenging one. Tonito’s has done some good work in the a.m. for D. O’Neill and acts like a filly with a nice late kick. The daughter of Blame probably won’t show her best stuff until sent long but she could be good enough to make some noise sprinting from off the pace in her debut. Shoppingforpharoah is bred for grass (American Pharoah) and shows a steady series of workouts leading up to her debut. She’s an “X” factor worth including on your ticket at 6-1 on the morning line.

              Notable Workouts:

              Tonito’s (October 9, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:00.2h). Grade: B
              Broke off about three lengths behind Lonely On Top (5f, 1:01h) and rallied nicely through the lane under light coaxing only to finish head-and-head at the wire, splits of :35.2 and 1:00.2 on our watches, solid drill for D. O’Neill. Has some run, might be route type.
              View Workout Video
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 372306

                #52
                Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

                Keeneland - Race #7
                Picks Notes
                #1 Soup and Sandwich He returns off a Derby fade job and cuts back to what seems likely enough to be his best trip. He's quick enough to be up close early, but he can probably tuck in just behind and find a seam.
                #5 Pickin' Time He comes out of some tough spots with company lines that include horses like Jackie's Warrior and Hot Rod Charlie. He has some reliable enough finishing ability when racing around one turn and fits well here.
                #4 He'smyhoneybadger He finished into a quick pace at Churchill last out, but he can probably be a touch more tactical today. Either way, it was nice to see him show some enthusiasm late in a spot where something similar might land him a piece.
                Race Summary Soup and Sandwich will have to fire off a May layoff, but he fits this 7f trip perfectly, and it'd be no surprise to see him land a pocket trip and punch through when asked.

                Keeneland - Race #8
                Picks Notes
                #11 Bizzee Channel He has been in with some pretty good groups in recent starts, and he fits well here while dropping out of some graded races. He was up close to a pace that was too fast last time out, and he may be able to bounce back while racing with Lasix again.
                #4 Big Agenda They found a nice spot for him where they are able to protect him, and he has been very tough when racing outside of stakes company. He looks like the one to beat, but I don't think he's far better than the rest of these.
                #1 Hierarchy There are just enough forward players lined up to give this race a mild chance of coming apart late, and this guy should be able to hug the fence and save some ground before launching his rally. Interesting cutback finisher -- would want him on my tickets.
                Race Summary Bizzee Channel needs to avoid getting caught up close to another tough pace, but he may be able to rate just enough thanks to a draw that ensures he won't take a ton of heat from his outside early on.

                Keeneland - Race #9
                Picks Notes
                #13 Obligatory Strong lean here to close the stakes action for the day, as this race looks like it contains a decent bit of pace and several likely middle moves. She's a stout finisher, earning an amazing string of 100, 113, 101, and 108 BRIS Late Pace figures, and the guess is she's rolling late when the early movers start to come back.
                #2 Joy's Rocket I love that she's in a spot like this — stepping up to a Grade I after a dull Kentucky Downs comeback. If you're willing to give her a pass on that one as well as her route tries, her sprint form is actually a bit interesting at a price. Tough draw for her style, though, unless she can tuck in just behind.
                #3 Souper Sensational Tactical type has found her home since cutting back around one turn, and I like that she has held solid form since committing to sprint tries. Big chance.
                Race Summary Obligatory has the right style for a race that might have a quick middle part to it, as she always seems to show up with a big finishing effort and claimed her biggest career score at this trip.
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 372306

                  #53
                  Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

                  Meadowlands - Race #2
                  Picks Notes
                  #2 SEMI TOUGH Giant effort from post 9 in prior Meadowlands start last month.
                  #6 STONE HANOVER Rallied for a win and two seconds while ascending the ranks in his last four starts.
                  #8 GEEZ JOE Rallied into photo-finish view, gets driver upgrade but starts outside.
                  Race Summary Semi Tough set a blistering pace and lost by a nose in 1:48.3 the last time he ran at the Big M a month ago. The $671k earner can control things better with an inner draw in this spot, perhaps sitting a pocket trip behind morning-line favorite Covered Bridge. Play a 2/6,8/ALL trifecta.

                  Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #3
                  Picks Notes
                  #3 ACE BI Likely will be put into play early, can surprise with duplicate of win two back.
                  #2 NEVER MIND N Sandwiched a win between a pair of seconds from post 8 recently.
                  #1 SUPERLATIVE Gets class relief, draws rail, seeks first win this year.
                  Race Summary Ace Bi could revert to aggressive early tactics that led to an easy victory two starts ago against lesser. He's worth a price stab to turn the tables on several rivals who finished ahead of him last week at this level. Play a 3-ALL exacta.

                  Northfield Park - Race #2
                  Picks Notes
                  #4 RACING GLORY In peak form, likely repeater, though last two wins were on sloppy track.
                  #3 PERFECT BELLA Pocketed off the favorite, kicked clear to victory in the same spot.
                  #1 MOLLY McGATOR Hit board in 13 of 21 this year, met repeater in latest, moves outside in.
                  Race Summary Racing Glory kicked into high gear at the 3/4-mile mark two starts ago at Dayton Raceway and finished a clear second to the 2-to-5 favorite. She came to Northfield and demolished the field last week. Can't go beyond her in this spot, so play 4-1 and 4-3 exactas
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 372306

                    #54
                    A.I. Pick of the Week (10/23)

                    By Dave Tuley
                    October 23, 2021 06:45 AM

                    We’ve been tinkering with the Artificial Intelligence programs at 1/ST BET, which gives us more than 50 data points (such as speed, pace, class, jockey, trainer and pedigree stats) for every race based on how you like to handicap.

                    Last Saturday, we lost with Empress Josephine at Keeneland to fall to 14-for-30 since taking over this feature. Based on a $2 Win bet on the A.I. Pick of the Week, that’s $60 in wagers and payoffs totaling $57.80 for an ROI of $1.93 for every $2 wagered, the first time we’ve slipped below profitability. We need to go back on another winning streak.

                    This week, I ran Saturday’s races at the major tracks through the 1/ST BET programs and came up with our A.I. Pick of the Week:

                    Saturday, Oct. 23

                    Santa Anita No. 7 (7:08 p.m. ET/4:08 p.m. PT)

                    #1 Neptune’s Storm (6-5 ML odds)

                    * Neptune’s Storm ranks 1st in 17 of the 52 factors used by 1/ST BET A.I.

                    * This 5-year-old gelding also ranks 1st in 7 of the “Top 15 Factors” at betmix.com, including best speed at the track, best speed at the distance, best earnings at the track, best turf speed and best turf earnings.

                    * He also has the top trainer/jockey combo with Peter Miller and Flavien Prat.
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 372306

                      #55
                      Mikey Sports NBA DALLAS MAVERICKS ‑3.5 3 2 +80
                      FURBOOKIE No pick yet 2 1 +60
                      XS Sports Picks No pick yet 2 2 +5
                      Vegas Investment Picks No pick yet 1 1 -10
                      NewLevelPicks No pick yet 1 2 -90
                      GreenTreeSports No pick yet 0 1 -110
                      Tommy King Wins NCAA Football PURDUE BOILERMAKERS +4 2 3 -130
                      Tys Terrific Tips NCAA Football TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS +25 2 3 -150
                      Top Shelf Sports Pick No pick yet 0 1 -155
                      Pure Lock NCAA Football KENT STATE GOLDEN FLASHES ‑5 0 2 -220
                      The Money Team Wins Sports No pick yet 1 3 -290
                      Rocketman Sports NCAA Football PITTSBURGH PANTHERS ‑3.5 0 3 -320
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 372306

                        #56
                        Dave Cokin

                        Event: (325) Western Michigan at (326) Toledo
                        Sport/League: CFB
                        Date/Time: October 23, 2021 3PM EDT
                        Play: Toledo +2.5 (-110)
                        Good Saturday battle between two of the better MAC teams. Not a lot to choose between Western Michigan and Toledo but I do see some good reasons to back the home team here. First off, it's major rivalry revenge. Toledo had a ten point lead with less than three minutes to play in last year's meeting and managed to lose on a wild play. Western Michigan ran a fake spike play down four with about 20 seconds left and Toledo was completely fooled. Easy TD pass and game over. Revenge is often overrated, but there's no way the Rockets have forgotten that incredible ending. From a fundamental matchup standpoint, Toedo's offense has kinda sputtered this season but might he a little better here as WMU has a poor defense. The Broncos do have a very potent offense but Toledo is pretty solid defensively. Special teams heavily favor the home team as WMU is very weak in this area. Toledo is only 3-4 but I think they're better than that and I did make them a one point favorite here. So slight value on the betting line, I like the actual ,matchup and there's some legit motivational value on the hosts here. That adds up to a play on Toledo plus the points.
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 372306

                          #57
                          Dwayne Bryant

                          Event: (367) Miami Ohio at (368) Ball State
                          Sport/League: CFB

                          Date/Time: October 23, 2021 3PM EDT
                          Play: Miami Ohio +5.0 (-110)
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 372306

                            #58
                            Ralph Michaels

                            Event: (369) New Mexico at (370) Wyoming
                            Sport/League: CFB

                            Date/Time: October 23, 2021 3PM EDT
                            Play: Wyoming -20.0 (-110)
                            #370 Wyoming -20 New Mexico 3:30 PM
                            Actual 2% play for All-Access customers
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 372306

                              #59
                              Gianni the Greek

                              Event: (409) Nevada at (410) Fresno State

                              Sport/League: CFB

                              Date/Time: October 23, 2021 7PM EDT
                              Play: Total Over 64.0 (-110)
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                              Twitter@cpawsports


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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 372306

                                #60
                                Ralph Michaels

                                Event: (403) Western Kentucky at (404) Florida International
                                Sport/League: CFB

                                Date/Time: October 23, 2021 7PM EDT
                                Play: Western Kentucky -15.0 (-110)
                                #403 Western Kentucky -15 FIU 7 PM ET
                                Actual 2% play for All-Access customers
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