Wednesday 10/27/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369858

    #16
    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Ajax Downs



    Ajax Downs - Race 6
    Exactor / Triactor / Pick 3 (Races 6-7-8)
    Maturity • 440 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 84 • Purse: $49,340 • Post: 3:10P
    QUARTER HORSE 440Y, ALEX PICOV MEMORIAL CHAMPIONSHIP S. - FOR NOMINATED THREE YEAR OLDS & UPWARD. 10 HIGHEST MONEY EARNERS PREFERRED. MUST HAVE THREE STARTS IN ONTARIO TO MAINTAIN ELIGIBILITY. FOR FURTHER STAKES RACE DETAILS AND PAYOUT PERCENTAGES, SEE QROOI STAKES BOOK.
    Contenders
    Race Analysis
    P#
    Horse
    Morn
    Line
    Accept
    Odds

    Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * HAD TO BE IVORY: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. SPY FOR THE SENATE: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Sp eed Rating. FIRING RED JESS: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. MARYLAND MAGIC: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation. COUNTRYS COMIN BAC: Horse ranks i n the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
    4
    HAD TO BE IVORY
    8/5
    5/1
    2
    SPY FOR THE SENATE
    2/1
    6/1
    1
    FIRING RED JESS
    9/2
    6/1
    3
    MARYLAND MAGIC
    3/1
    7/1
    5
    COUNTRYS COMIN BAC
    5/2
    7/1

    P#
    Horse (In Running Style Order)
    Post
    Morn
    Line
    Running Style
    Good
    Class
    Good
    Speed
    Early Figure
    Finish Figure
    Platinum
    Figure
    1
    FIRING RED JESS
    1
    9/2
    Fast
    81
    82
    3.3
    0.0
    0.0
    2
    SPY FOR THE SENATE
    2
    2/1
    Average
    84
    80
    4.3
    0.0
    0.0
    3
    MARYLAND MAGIC
    3
    3/1
    Fast
    83
    80
    3.3
    0.0
    0.0
    4
    HAD TO BE IVORY
    4
    8/5
    Fast
    84
    83
    1.5
    0.0
    0.0
    5
    COUNTRYS COMIN BAC
    5
    5/2
    Average
    83
    83
    4.0
    0.0
    0.0
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    Comment

    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369858

      #17
      Today's Best Bet Horse Racing Nation 10/27/2021

      Wednesday’s 6th race from Keeneland is an $86,000 allowance event for three-year-olds and up which have never won two races. They will be dashing six furlongs on the main track (Post Time 3:40 p.m. EDT).

      No. 2 SPEITFUL SAM (3-1) earned vastly improved speed ratings in his last three starts. The early-pressing type was a sharp special weight winner in an off the turf sprint at Ellis Park Aug. 20, and the runner-up was a next-out winner. He stalked outside and finished a close 3rd at Churchill Downs Sept. 16, and this slightly shorter trip probably helps.

      No. 6 Ready To Answer (5-2) is a fresh colt turning back to his winning distance and reuniting with his winning pilot Florent Geroux.

      No. 5 Grandeur (4-1) graduated at this distance on dirt at Delaware Park July 12, and disappointed in his last two starts vs. winners. He cuts back a furlong in his third start after a layoff and Julien Leparoux knows him now.

      No. 7 Name Rejected (3-1) drew outside the other speed and this appears to be his most effective distance. Tyler Gaffalione rode him twice last year and he set the pace and was prominent throughout in both races.

      Wagers:

      #2 to Win

      Exacta 2/5-6-7

      Exacta 5-6-7/2

      Recent Best Bet Winners

      Oct. 2 - Going To Vegas/Luck/Dogtag Trifecta ($38.00)
      Oct. 3 - Mackinnon/Silver Surfer/Picota Trifecta ($100.80)
      Oct. 5 - RESIST THE DEVIL ($9.00)
      Oct. 6 - FAVORABLE OUTCOME ($4.60)
      Oct. 8 - Special Reserve/Aloha West Exacta ($12.60)
      Oct. 16 - Shantisara/Technical Analysis Exacta ($22.40)
      Oct. 18 - Alnaseem/Fate Factor/No Mo Lady Trifecta ($350.00)
      Oct. 26 - My Girl Lexi/Teller To Sing Exacta ($33.20)
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      Comment

      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369858

        #18
        Quick Picks for October 27, 2021


        Charles Town Racing
        Race #1- #3 BANNER MAN; #5 MAJESTIC SEAS; #6 LUNAR PRAYER
        Race #2- #7 CASTLE FIVE; #2 FREEDOM IS RINGING; #6 SIR LONGWOOD
        Race #3- #1 GRANDMA SCHNUR; #3 CHOSEN MISS; #6 FORT ZANNA
        Race #4- #5 HARDSCRATCH; #6 MY WAY OR ELSE; #2 WILD CAPPUCINO
        Race #5- #7 PARTLY DANDY; #5 GOIN GANGSTA; #1 NOT FOR GOLD
        Race #6- #3 WARRIOR’S ESTATE; #5 THUNDERINREADYRICK; #7 BEAR’S ESTATE
        Race #7- #5 COMPLETE SURPRISE; #2 LADY MACHO; #3 TAKE ME HOME
        Race #8- #3 NEW SOUTH; #7 YOUREASCOLDASICE; #6 CHAPPIE JAMES


        Delaware Park
        Race #1- #6 COURVOISIER; #5 BOLD MEDICATION; #3 MUGSY MALONE
        Race #2- #1 DEFEND; #2 FORTY STRIPES; #3 AMAZING ALEX
        Race #3- #5 TRUE DAKOTAN; #1 MENELAO; #2 CITIZEN’S FIRE
        Race #4- #1 YOU’RE THE BEST; #6 LETS TAKE IT IZZY; #3 R AVERIE LYNN
        Race #5- #6 EQUAL JUSTICE; #7 TRUE GRACE; #8 LUXERO
        Race #6- #2 ZABRACADABRA; #5 SHACKQUEENKING; #4 MCELMORE AVENUE
        Race #7- #4 SINGLINO; #1 STARBURST; #8 DR. DOYLE
        Race #8- #5 OUTWORKABLE; #9 JACRODRA’S DEVIL; #3 STREETGARA


        Delta Downs
        Race #1- #6 PRIDDIS; #8 ONE TIME AROUND; #2 LEGENDARY GIFT
        Race #2- #10 DONTMESWITHDISCAT; #2 ANGEL ARKIE; #8 TRACK SMART
        Race #3- #9 MORE MEMORIES; #6 HOME VISIT; #8 NICE STAR
        Race #4- #9 B B MOODY; #10 FRIDAY’S BEST; #5 SAPONI
        Race #5- #4 PADDOCK PICK; #6 DEBONNAIRE DUDE; #1 TUNE MY GUITAR
        Race #6- #2 KNIGHT’S HONOR; #4 NOON’S BABYGIRL; #1 RACHIE RACH
        Race #7- #7 MICHAEL’S BAD BOY; #2 THE BIG IRISHMAN; #6 SLOW
        Race #8- #3 JUSTA SWINGING; #9 GETCHA; #4 MR. PAYCHECK
        Race #9- #3 KNOCKALITTLELOUDER; #9 ALTERANA; #4 PICKENS
        Race #10- #6 FREUDIAN SIP; #1 SOUTHPINE GIFT; #5 ETERNAL FORCE


        Evangeline Downs
        Race #1- #4 ETON; #2 MADELYNS BEAUX; #3 ARZON
        Race #2- #5 PAPAS BLUE PANTHER; #2 THUNDERING MOONFLASH; #1 LRH CASH CALL
        Race #3- #2 AJS LOUISIANA FAST; #6 JET BLACK CORONA; #5 BIG DADDYS TEE COS
        Race #4- #2 EL AVIADOY; #4 PK SHEZA FAST CHICK; #1 FIVE SHOTS LATER
        Race #5- #3 ON POINT; #5 WICKED BLUE; #7 TEE ZO
        Race #6- #3 DOCS FAVORITE WAVE; #1 STRIKABILITY; #4 TF PERRY ON FIRE
        Race #7- #8 JRS SHINEY TEE; #6 CARTERS YACHTZ; #1 APOLLITICAL BUG
        Race #8- #7 WILD AS YOU TOO; #5 LIZA FIRST BLOOD; #2 HOT GIRL SUMMER B


        Finger Lakes Racetrack
        Race #1- #5 SAILOR’S TREASURE; #4 STAY HOME MAMA; #1 BELLA BAY
        Race #2- #2 COX’S LEDGE; #6 ANOTHER SHOT; #5 ON MICK’S DAY
        Race #3- #4 CRAZY DELIGHT; #1 DOUBLE DOT; #6 COUPS DE PARTY
        Race #4- #2 BIG CYN; #1 TUXEDO LEMON; #4 CHILLINWITHFRIENDS
        Race #5- #3 PATROL; #1 HARRISON KNOWS; #2 ANYTHING PAZIBLE
        Race #6- #2 BOLDLEE; #4 FED FEVER; #1 CAPE MAY FERRY
        Race #7- #1A EYE’S ON YOU; #1 SMART BROAD; #5 SEAPORT STORM
        Race #8- #6 FREE ENTERPRISE; #2 DR BLARNEY; #3 LADY’S GOLDEN GUY
        Race #9- #1 SAICHIMANA; #9 MIZZYS IMAGE; #7 DELAWARE DESTINY


        Indiana Grand
        Race #1- #6 SPICE IT UP; #5 PABLO’S MINX; #2 MYSTICAL JUSTICE
        Race #2- #3 SASSY SAGEY; #5 EDUCATED GUESS; #4 LAVENDAR LANE
        Race #3- #1 MI ESTRELLA; #6 SHEZ RECKLESS; #3 DELIGHTFUL BREEZE
        Race #4- #7 SACRED KIKI BIRD; #3 CABOT TRAIL; #6 SEMINOLE JUSTICE
        Race #5- #6 MANUELITO; #4 BROOKVILLE DEPUTY; #3 CIELO BLU
        Race #6- #7 MORE APPROVAL; #5 ANNA’S TRIBUTE; #6 EULALIA
        Race #7- #4 GIO’S BABY GIRL; #8 LIL EVIE; #6 MAMALA KAMALA
        Race #8- #5 HEIRLOOM KITTEN; #9 NO SLO MO; #1 MY BARILEY
        Race #9- #7 JESS GIMME A KISS; #8 BP TEMPTMENOT; #1 REGAL EAGLE


        Keeneland Race Course
        Race #1- #3 DIVA BANKER; #1A HOPTOWN HONEY; #5 CABO DORADO
        Race #2- #1 CIRCLE BACK JACK; #15 RUGGS; #7 TESTA
        Race #3- #6 MAJOR FRONTIER; #8 BUGLE OF WAR; #4 ALL BODES WELL
        Race #4- #8 COVE BLUE; #4 CAVE RUN; #2 KITTEN’S MAN
        Race #5- #13 MOUNT KENYA; #6 UNCLE DUKE; #14 FEBRUARY SON
        Race #6- #6 READY TO ANSWER; #5 GRANDEUR; #3 ILLBOOTENGOTTY
        Race #7- #6 THREE FLAMINGOS; #13 PALLAS ATHENE; #1 MORE THAN UNUSUAL
        Race #8- #1 HOWBOUTDEMAPPLES; #7 TRIPLE P; #6 MALIBU MARIE


        Mahoning Valley Race Course
        Race #1- #9 YEUDIEL; #8 TO KALON; #7 NO TIME TO YAWN
        Race #2- #2 CHACO SPIRIT; #5 BREEZY MONEY; #3 SHARKS COVE
        Race #3- #2 DETERMINATOR; #1 CLYDE PARK; #8 CLICKJAB
        Race #4- #7 MANNFORD; #1 CUMBER; #6 SPEEDY MOBILE
        Race #5- #1 INDELIBLE IMAGE; #10 ALWAYS ON THE ROX; #8 STORMY MOON
        Race #6- #5 COOLER; #6 DUKE OF DARKNESS; #8 MASTEROFTHEHOUNDS
        Race #7- #4 HUGH ARE YOU; #6 BEAT THE DEALER; #3 MA MOOS WARRIOR
        Race #8- #9 THREE ILLUSIONS; #1 ORBITING THE SKY; #4 APPEALING JULIA


        Mountaineer Race Track
        Race #1- #7 OUR PETUNIA; #3 COZZENE’S CAT; #6 ENDUROS TIGRESS
        Race #2- #2 ST JOE VIPER; #7 SPIRIT MISSION; #4 GIMMEABREAK
        Race #3- #4 SOTHATSTHEWAYITIS; #5 PUBLICIST; #1 CALENDULA
        Race #4- #6 SO CAUGHT UP IN U; #2 BEAUTIFUL GAME; #4 ARTAVIA
        Race #5- #1 JERRY’S SECRET; #7 SHAENA BUE; #2 EAGLES PALACE
        Race #6- #1 TOWARDS THE LIGHT; #2 TAPITOR; #6 WILL DANCER
        Race #7- #3 LADY VALENTINA; #7 JANET’S MAE; #6 MODERN MUSE
        Race #8- #1 DOODLE TIME; #2 HOLIDAY DANCER; #7 PATHWAY TO VICTORY


        Parx Racing
        Race #1- #2 AUSTIN WHYLIE; #5 UPTOWN SHOES; #7 WE BE THERE
        Race #2- #5 LA LUISA; #2 TAQSEEMAAT; #7 GOING GOING GONE
        Race #3- #6 MR. TUTTLE; #3 JO JO KATZ; #5 SMOKUM PEACE PIPE
        Race #4- #10 PRINCIPINO; #6 UNIQUE PATH; #4 RAL COPPERHEADROAD
        Race #5- #7 FIRST CITIZEN; #8 ATTA KID; #1 MT SURIBACHI
        Race #6- #5 DIRTY BIRD; #9 COTTON CANDY CUTIE; #3 U KNOW I B LION
        Race #7- #7 XENATOWN; #6 LA LA LUCY; #11 SUPER DUPER FLY
        Race #8- #2 MON CHERIE; #6 REITERATE; #8 SUNDAY INN
        Race #9- #3 UNA LUNA; #4 KINKY SOX; #10 WITCH
        Race #10- #13 MIZSHIPMAN; #8 SPEIGHTSTER’S GOLD; #3 PASATIME


        Penn National Race Course
        Race #1- #1 LIGHTNING ROUND; #2 ZORRITA; #4 MISS JASSER
        Race #2- #2 MAJESTIC GREELEY; #4 IMPERIAL MOON; #3 KEFALIANI
        Race #3- #8 JENNA THE BOSS; #9 JOY’S PRIDE; #10 MAGICALLYDELICIOUS
        Race #4- #1 RAISETONEW HEIGHTS; #5 PRIDE IN THE BIZ; #3 NEARLY MISSED
        Race #5- #5 IYWAAN; #1 HASHTAG WINNING; #3 CATTLE DRIVE
        Race #6- #5 FROST WARRIOR; #7 OUR WEST INDY; #6 CROSS THE MERSEY
        Race #7- #4 BREWING STORM; #3 READTHETRANSCRIPT; #6 SULTANNES CROWN
        Race #8- #1 GET SET; #8 TRADERS LUCK; #7 A T M AWESOME
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        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369858

          #19
          UK VALUE PLAY 10/27/2021
          4:15 Taunton
          Fire Lake 13/26 Tipped (50%) 3 Star Value!

          UK BEST BET 10/27/2021
          4:25 Nottingham
          Mellow Magic 13/24 Tipped (54%)

          USA BEST BET 10/27/2021
          Race 7 Mahoning Valley
          Hugh You Are 2/2 Tipped (100%)
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369858

            #20
            Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



            Parx Racing - Race #10 - Post: 4:54pm - Claiming - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $20,000 Class Rating: 65

            Rating:

            #9 SAME MOON (ML=4/1)


            SAME MOON - The ROI when Silvera and Pino team up is fantastic. Trainer Pino moves this horse down the ladder based on class to face a lower class field. Look for a good performance in here. Pino is giving this one Lasix for the 1st time. Nice move.

            Vulnerable Contenders: #8 SPEIGHTSTER'S GOLD (ML=7/2), #7 BARN QUEEN (ML=9/2), #4 SOUR MASH (ML=5/1),

            SPEIGHTSTER'S GOLD - There's speed, early zip, and more speed in this event. Doesn't seem too promising for this horse. BARN QUEEN - The Equibase speed figures continue to decline, 56/50/45. Not a good signal. When examining today's class rating, she will have to record a much better rating than last time out to vie in this dirt route. SOUR MASH - Didn't close any ground at any point on October 6th. Hard to bet on today at the expected odds. Not probable that the speed figure she earned on Oct 6th will be good enough in this race.

            GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - SAME MOON - This filly will be very focused today. Blinkers will do the trick.





            STRAIGHT WAGERS: Bet on #9 SAME MOON to win if you can get at least 1/1 odds
            EXACTA WAGERS: 9 with 1

            TRIFECTA WAGERS:
            Pass
            SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Skip
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            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369858

              #21
              Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delta Downs

              Always check program numbers.
              Odds shown are morning line odds.




              Race 6 - Claiming - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $24000 Class Rating: 72

              FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000. LOUISIANA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $25,000.

              RECOMMENDED CHOICES
              # 4 NOON'S BABYGIRL 8/1
              # 1A SARAHS HOME 12/1
              # 2 KNIGHT'S HONOR 8/5
              I have to consider NOON'S BABYGIRL for this event and the potential return justifies the very dangerous nature of the long odds. With Stokes controlling the reins on her, this filly will most likely be able to break out early for this event. This conditioner has the top return on investment in this group of horses with entries racing at this distance and surface. This jock and handler team has produced some sharp ROI numbers at this track. SARAHS HOME - Looks solid against this field and will almost certainly be one of the early speedsters. Reliable average speed figs in dirt sprint races make this racer a key contender. KNIGHT'S HONOR - Should best this field here, showing quite good figures of late. The average class fig of 61 makes this one hard to beat.
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369858

                #22
                Handicapped by The Walker Group at Indiana Downs

                Always check program numbers.
                Odds shown are morning line odds.




                Race 4 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $15000 Class Rating: 88

                FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE IN 2021 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES OR THREE YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 27 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500

                RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                # 5 ELLE'SBIGSEACRET 6/1
                # 8 NYOMAN 5/1
                # 1 HIDDEN PROMISE 5/1
                ELLE'SBIGSEACRET has a decent shot to take this race. This gelding has a very good win percent in dirt sprint races. NYOMAN - This pony has some longshot handicapping angles going for him. Has been racing admirably and has among the top speed in the race for today's distance. HIDDEN PROMISE - Boasts formidable Equibase Speed Figures on average overall when put alongside the rest of this group. The average class rating alone makes this one a solid contender.
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                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369858

                  #23
                  Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



                  Delaware Park - Race #4 - Post: 2:45pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $19,000 Class Rating: 79

                  Rating:

                  #3 R AVERIE LYNN (ML=7/2)
                  #2 BABY CLOUD (ML=12/1)
                  #1 YOU'RE THE BEST (ML=4/1)


                  R AVERIE LYNN - Trainer, Bennett, has been deliberate with this filly off the layoff. Look for a solid effort today. I really like that last effort on October 6th at Delaware Park where she finished first. Last two Equibase speed figures (81, 85) were dominant. Anything close to that in this race and this one could win easily. This horse has increased her speed ratings in each of the last 2 races. That kind of progress is worth taking a look at. BABY CLOUD - This filly is in exceptional condition right now. Ran third last time around the track and comes back soon. YOU'RE THE BEST - You always have to be on the patrol for bankroll building jock/handler tandems; we have it right here.

                  Vulnerable Contenders: #6 LETS TAKE IT IZZY (ML=5/2), #4 BOBBIES (ML=6/1), #7 LA DAME (ML=6/1),

                  LETS TAKE IT IZZY - No success for this less than sharp equine in a short distance event over the last 60 days tells me that this filly is in a thorny spot BOBBIES - This filly gave a lackluster effort last time out. LA DAME - Didn't end up on the board on September 17th at Monmouth Park. Followed it up with another lackluster outing. In any race of 6 furlongs, I like to wager on a contender that has been sharp in short distance races lately. The speed figure last out doesn't fit very well in this race when I look at the class rating of today's affair. Mark this thoroughbred as a possibly overvalued contestant.



                  STRAIGHT WAGERS: Putting our cash on #3 R AVERIE LYNN to win. Have to have odds of at least 5/2 or better though
                  EXACTA WAGERS: 3 with [1,2]

                  TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                  Box [1,2,3] Total Cost: $6
                  SUPERFECTA WAGERS: [1,2,3] with [1,2,3] with [1,2,3,6,7] with [1,2,3,6,7] Total Cost: $36
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                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369858

                    #24
                    Mike Wynn

                    Free Pick: Charlotte -6 over Orlando
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                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369858

                      #25
                      Jim Feist

                      Jim Feist's Comp Pick, WEDNESDAY, October 27, 2021
                      10/27 04:40 PM PT / 7:40 PM ET

                      NBA (537) WASHINGTON WIZARDS VS (538) BOSTON CELTICS

                      Take: (538) BOSTON CELTICS
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                      Comment

                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369858

                        #26
                        Razor Sharp

                        YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR WEDNESDAY: WASHINGTON/BOSTON UNDER the total of 227½
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                        Comment

                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369858

                          #27
                          Totals4U

                          Wednesday's Free Selection: Sacramento Kings/Phoenix Suns under 226 1/2
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                          Comment

                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369858

                            #28
                            Roz Wins

                            ROZ FREE Selection WEDESDAY, OCTOBER 27, 2021

                            FREE NBA
                            532. Nets -4.5 (4:40 PT / 7:40 ET)
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                            Comment

                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369858

                              #29
                              Atlantic Sports

                              Wednesday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Dallas Stars - 120
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                              Comment

                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 369858

                                #30
                                #1 Sports

                                Wednesday's Free Play: Los Angeles Clippers - 8
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