Saturday 10/30/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369858

    #1

    Saturday 10/30/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369858

    #2
    Best Horse Racing Bets for Saturday, October 30, 2021

    By J.W. Paine in Horse Racing
    | October 29, 2021 11:20 am PDT



    I found lots of stakes races at the three tracks I chose for my Saturday picks. Charles Town Races and Golden Gate Fields yielded up a single stakes race each, while Keeneland Race Course had three for our wagering pleasure, including the Grade II Hagyard Fayette Stakes.
    One last thing: Remember to check out the full race-cards for all three tracks at one of our top horseracing wagering sites.
    Good luck!

    My Saturday Picks for Charles Town Races



    We’ll start on the main track with race two, a seven-furlong starter optional claiming run for West Virginia-bred three-year-olds and upward. I’m backing the 6/5 morning-line favorite, Super Garner, ridden by top jockey Arnaldo Bocachica.
    This seven-year-old gelding moneyed 28 of his 43 career starts, winning 18. Even better: He’s presently on an eight-race winning streak, treating the winner’s circles of Laurel Park, Charles Town, Finger Lakes, and Fort Erie like his own personal paddocks.
    Bernard G. Dunham trains Super Garner—unsurprisingly his top earner—for owners Dunham Thoroughbreds and KCMH Racing LLC.

    Race six
    is a 4-1/2 furlong allowance run on the main track for three-year-olds and upward that have never won two races. I’m betting my two dollars on the fourth-favored (at 4/1) Hello Carlo, with Carlos Marrero in the irons.
    This three-year-old gelding shows the most promise in this short field of five, finishing in the money for three of his four career starts, breaking his maiden in September to post his single victory. His brief history shows more consistency in speed figures than his fellow competitors in this run, as well.
    Stacey R. Viands trains Hello Carlo for Mountain View Racing LLC. Viands has put Marrero in the irons for all of Hello Carlo’s races.

    Race seven
    is the Eleanor Casey Memorial Stakes—a $75,000 purse, seven-furlong race for two-year-old West Virginia-bred fillies. This one’s almost a coin-flip, but I have to go with the 8/5 morning-line favorite: The Sky Is Falling, with Arnaldo Bocachica aboard.
    The reason for the coin flip is that the second-favored horse in this race—Fancy Her Up—bested The Sky Is Falling in September’s Rachel’s Turn Stakes (Black Type), only to have the favor returned when The Sky Is Falling won the West Virginia Triple Crown Nutrition Breeders’ Classic Stakes (Black Type) earlier this month, forcing Fancy Her Up to accept a third-place finish.
    For the record: The Sky Is Falling moneyed two of her three career starts, winning two.
    With 30-plus years in the racing business, Jeff C. Runco trains The Sky Is Falling for owner David M. Raim. Bocachica has saddled The Sky Is Falling for all three of her races.

    Saturday’s Picks for Golden Gate Fields



    We’ll start on the turf course for race seven, the Pike Place Dancer Stakes—a $75,000 purse, one mile grass run for two-year-old fillies. I’m buying a win ticket on the second-favored (at 2/1) Code Ribbon, piloted by Frank T. Alvarado.
    This filly finished in the money for all four of her career starts, winning two—her initial maiden attempt back in July, and an allowance race just last month. In this six-horse field, she’s the one with the goods.
    Jacqui Navarre trains Code Ribbon for Michael Pollowitz. Navarre has tapped Alvarado to saddle Code Ribbon for all of her races to-date.
    Let’s move to the all-weather track for race eight, a 5-1/2 furlong allowance optional claiming run for fillies and mares three years old and upward. I’m going with the 9/5 morning-line favorite, Wheal Grace, ridden by veteran jockey William Antongeorgi III.
    This four-year-old filly finished in the money four of her five career starts, winning two. She’s got the statistical lead in this six-horse field.
    Jose Bautista, who’s enjoying the highest-earning year of his career right now—trains Wheal Grade for owners-breeders Edward A. DeNike and Theresa DeNike.
    We’re back on the turf for race nine, a one-mile allowance run for fillies and mares three years old and upward. I’m betting on one of the 5/1 underdogs (there are two in this race)—Buyback, with Pedro M. Terrero aboard.
    This five-year-old mare finished in the money 11 of her thirteen career starts, winning three. Even with that record, she has a slight statistical edge on the 5/2 morning-line favorite in this nine-horse race.
    Ranked among the top 100 in his profession for wins, earnings, or both for the past six years, Blaine D. Wright trains Buyback for owners Tracy Henline and Paula Henline.

    Saturday Picks for Keeneland Race Course



    We’ll start on the main track with race seven, the Bowman Mill Stakes—a $150,000 purse, six-furlong run for two-year-olds. I’m betting my two dollars on the 8/1 sleeper, Roger McQueen, ridden by veteran jockey Adam Beschizza.
    This colt moneyed three of his four career starts, winning two—in July, his second maiden attempt and in August, the Ellis Park Juvenile Stakes (Black Type). That gives him the statistical lead in this eight-horse field. Incidentally, Beschizza was in the irons for that stakes win.
    With more than two decades in the business, Larry Rivelli trains Roger McQueen for owner Carolyn Wilson.
    Let’s go to the turf course for race eight: the Bryan Station Stakes, a $150,000 purse, one-mile grass run for three-year-olds. I’m putting my money down on the third-favored (at 4/1) Like the King, ridden by John R. Velazquez.
    One of this year’s Kentucky Derby contenders, Like the King finished in the money for eight of his ten career starts, winning three, including the Jeff Ruby Steaks (Grade III) back in March.
    So far, he’s moneyed in four of the six stakes races he’s run in his career. He’s faced tougher competition than this 13-horse field.
    Breeders’ Cup veteran Wesley A. Ward trains Like a King for M Racing Group, LLC.
    Race nine is the Hagyard Fayette Stakes (Grade II), a $200,000 purse, 1-1/8 mile race on the main track for three-year-olds and upward. My money’s on one of the second-favored entries (there are two at 3/1) in this race: Code of Honor, with Tyler Gaffalione in the irons.
    This five-year-old has started nothing but stakes races since winning his initial maiden attempt at Saratoga back in 2018. And he’s not posted a speed figure under 100 since 2019. You like? Me like.
    For the record, Cod of Honor finished in the money 13 of his 18 career starts, winning seven. His most recent win was the Philip H. Iselin Stakes (Grade III) at Monmouth Park in August.
    Hall of famer Claude R. McGaughey III trains Code of Honor for owner-breeder W.S. Farish.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369858

      #3
      Keeneland Picks & Late Pick 4 Betting Analysis for October 30

      By J.N. Campbell




      KEENELAND Picks

      30th October 2021






      Closing Day at Keeneland this Saturday has arrived! Just like that ... the October Meet is in the books. We still have one more excellent card to go though ... and it is anchored by the Grade Hagyard Fayette Stakes. Take a look at this .50 Late Pick 4 ticket I have constructed below.





      ---------------------------------------------
      LATE PICK 4 …
      LEG 1: (Race 7: Dirt, 6F, Bowman Mill S., $150k, 2)
      Leading off this 9th Inning is a heck of a race for 2-yr-olds. Finding a winner out of these 8 is not going to be an easy chore.
      I am more than just a little bit interested in Larry Rivelli’s Roger McQueen #1. I know the colt did not have his best fastball in the Iroquois (G3) against the likes of Major General. However, looking over his prior races at Churchill and Ellis Park, we can find some game efforts. Dropping into this spot looks possible, and Adam Beschizza has had a nice Keeneland Meet. I wouldn’t “Single” him though, and going with a pair of favorites is probably judicious.
      Steve Asmussen’s Chattalot #2 and Wesley Ward’s Nakatomi #4 deserve inclusion, and both look more than capable. The former is partly-owned by the Bloom Racing Stable, which speaks to careful investment. Jeff Bloom, the principal, heads an excellent organization, and with Asmussen, you know you are getting a well-prepped starter.
      As for Ward’s runner, this gelding by Firing Line was entered in the Norfolk S. (G2) this past summer at Royal Ascot, and even though he failed to get in the money, his return to the U.S. was acceptable in the Saratoga Special (G2) and in an OC80k. He gets Tyler Gaffalione aboard once again, and that translates to much respect when it comes to the tote. All 3 of these runners that I mentioned comprise a nice line-up.
      Selections: 1/2/4 (3-Deep)

      LEG 2: (Race 8: Turf, 1 Mile, Bryan Station S., $150k, 3)
      The lone turf race on the Haggin is hopefully not going to be moved to the MT. Stay tuned to see the results of that “going stick” decision. Let’s assume that it is going to be wet, and probably when it is all said and done, the conditions will be soft-yielding. When it comes to those that have a positive record when there is more than a little “give” in the ground, look no further than Tyler Gaffalione’s mount, Yes This Time #10. Kelly Breen has this one by Not This Time going in the right direction, and the colt could prove extremely tough if he can “station” himself just off the lead. Gaffalione has now reached “master” status, when it comes to handling routers on the turf. He follows in the footsteps of Castellano, Rosario, and Irad Ortiz. In fact, I am so confident that this is the proper play in this spot that I am willing to take a stand—it’s a “Single.” Solid class, an affinity for “give” in the ground, and a lawn jockey with a record like his, all add up to a score. I probably will not get 3/1, but one can hope.
      Selections: 10 (Single)

      LEG 3: (Race 9: Dirt, 1 1/8th, Hagyard Fayette S. (G2), $200k, 3+)
      The “signature” race of the day, and the final graded stakes race of the October Meet is this one … the Hagyard Fayette. As I mentioned in my “Preview” from a couple of days back, you are going to be hard pressed to find a way around Shug McGaughey’s Code of Honor #7. Infamously part of the 2019 “DQ” Derby, he is headed into his final race before he heads to the Lane’s End breeding shed. Thumbing through his form since that sloppy and odd day in Louisville, one finds some excellent efforts. Though there were few wins over the past few years, he ended up earning in excess of $2.2 million—not too shabby. Though John Velazquez, who regularly rode this one is not present, getting Tyler Gaffalione is a worthy sub. He rode this son of Noble Mission (GB) against Knicks Go at Gulfstream Park in the Pegasus World Cup, and though that was a “taillight” race, that doesn’t mean he does not have his last best run ahead of him.
      I would like to think that a “Single” is in order, but something is tugging at me … long shot. For some major value, you should seriously consider Greg Foley’s Major Fed #9. The Ghostzapper colt might not seem like much since he took on Authentic and Tiz the Law in the 2020 September Kentucky Derby. With all of his efforts since that race coming at Churchill, it is hard to imagine him running anywhere else. I think he happens to be quite talented, and I like the price on the M/L of 12/1. The 4-yr-old’s efforts in his past 2 races look impressive … winning both from off-the-pace. The fractions at each of the calls were pretty honest, and that makes me think that the homebred has blocks to build on. The addition of Ricardo Santana is a “major” plus too. This pair that we have marked for the 3rd Leg of the ticket looks like a nice balance. Let’s move on!
      Selections: 7/9 (2-Deep)

      LEG 4: (Race 10: Dirt, 7F, MSW84k, 2F)
      Coming down to the training title wire, it looks as though Brad Cox and Wesley Ward are neck and neck. They will duke it out in the finale, and maybe when the dust settles, we will have a winner! I want to use both of their entries in this MSW Co. race for freshmen fillies. Cox’s entry is part of Team Godolphin, and just missed in her debut last month at Churchill Downs. Going 6F on the MT under the Twin Spires, Famed #1 lived up to her name and was well-bet. By Uncle Mo, that translates to versatility, and the fact that she is a natural born sprinter. Florent Geroux gets Cox’s call once again.
      As for Ward’s play, he has a speedy 1-turn burner of his own in Halo of Fire #9. The Munnings offspring already has tried Keeneland’s MT earlier in the month, and was not a bad try. Finishing 2nd to Funny Business, she could rebound nicely against another large field. Having Joel Rosario back aboard is a major move, and his aggressive style will be needed, especially if this filly is shuffled back early. The Keeneland MT seems to be promoting those with tactical speed, and with this one’s level of fitness, it could be just the ticket. Speaking of … what a cheap ticket I have put together for this final day at Keeneland! Let’s go get a score to finish things up … Bon Voyage to such a special place, and see you in April …
      Selections: 1/9 (2-Deep)
      -------------------------------------------------------
      .50 LP4 TICKET COST: $9.00
      Closing Day at Keeneland … It’s the final countdown!
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369858

        #4
        Daily Horse Racing Tips – Keeneland – 30th October

        By Spotlight Racing Group

        NAP: Sleepy Eyes Todd (5.16pm – Keeneland Race 9)
        Next Best: Judge N Jury (2.43pm – Belmont Park Race 5)
        Other: Dyn O Mite (4.44pm – Keeneland Race 8)
        Todd can strike late!

        Race 9 at Keeneland is the very competitive $200,000 Grade 2 Fayette Stakes which features the likes of Independence Hall, Code Of Honor and King Fury but they all could all be playing for places as the globetrotting Sleepy Eyes Todd comes in here off the back of a very good second in the Charles Town Classic and is very good on his day.
        Miguel Silva’s streetwise son of Paddy O’Prado is ideally suited by coming from off a fast pace at around a mile and an eighth and that is exactly what he will get here as there could be plenty of early speed on from horses in the outside gates and he can just tuck in towards the rear and pick up the pieces late.
        He won a Grade 3 and a Grade 2 in his four-year-old year last season before finishing a very good fourth behind Knicks Go in the Pegasus World Cup on his first start as a five-year-old. A fifth-placed finish in the Saudi Cup behind Mishriff was to follow that effort before disappointing in the Dubai World Cup at Meydan back in March.
        The general feeling is that he could be the type to get better as he gets older and after a four-month break he returned to finish a very good second in the Charles Town Classic just a couple of months ago, so with a big step forward expected from that, he will be one finishing best of all and can win this.



        The verdict is…Win! Danny Gargan’s Judge N Jury is ideally drawn in stall one in the $150,000 Hudson Handicap which is Race 5 at Belmont Park and he can make it back-to-back victories at the course after an impressive win in an Allowance Optional Claimer last time out.
        This very promising three-year-old has won three of his five starts to date with his other two wins coming in Maiden Special Weight and Allowance company at Saratoga and I very much doubt we have seen the best of him yet.
        Two of his last three starts have resulted in authoritative victories and sandwiched in between those was a sixth-placed effort behind the likes of Jackie’s Warrior and Life Is Good in the Grade 1 H. Allen Jerkens Memorial Stakes which came too soon for him.
        He is the kind of horse who is suited to being in amongst horses so being drawn on the rail isn’t a bad thing if his jockey Luis Saez can weave his way through the field then he should take some stopping.
        An explosive performance

        The hotly contested $150,000 Bryan Station Stakes for three-year-olds is Race 8 at Keeneland and there’s plenty of each-way value around here and none more so than in the shape of Dyn O Mite who won his first start at this track last time out and can go well again.
        He’s a colt who has been highly tried by connections with no less than sixteen starts to date but with that comes plenty of experience and he’s managed to notch up three wins and multiple placed efforts and comes into this with every chance of hitting the board considering how well he did in an Allowance race here last time.
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369858

          #5
          Key Races & Bets for Saturday October 30, 2021




          Race 6 at Keeneland – Post Time 3:40 PM

          Mr. Jagermeister, Derby Date and Pyron are the main contenders to win this race.
          Mr. Jagermeister has a very strong career record of 12 wins in 31 dirt races and earnings of over $650K. Yet he opens at 12/1 because he’s been running in Minnesota and Iowa recently. He also gets a low percentage jockey but I’m going to ignore that because the horse is drawn very well with an outside post and has the tactical speed to be first or second early the way he likes it. Mr. Jagermeister has put in two strong half-mile works since his last race on 9/8 and is holding his form so must be given top billing as he opens at much higher odds than the other two listed contenders.
          Derby Date is coupled with Bon Raison as both are owned by Calumet farm but I am not interested in the other so if Derby Date scratches I will not bet the entry. Derby Date ran poorly in a stakes race last month at Churchill and it was such a bad effort I think it can be ignored. He won two in a row prior to that and Rosario taking the call suggests he will run back to one of those two efforts.
          Pyron returned from nine months off four weeks ago and ran second in a fine effort to a stakes winner. He can improve second off the layoff and won a little over a year ago at the one lower allowance condition with a 110 Equibase figure which is tops in the field (Derby Date’s best is 101 and Mr. Jagermeister’s best is 102). Mena rode him for the first time in his most recent start and considering the horse has been first or second in nearly half his 14 races he is a must to use on any exacta tickets we play at the very least.
          Handicapper Picks
          Win bets: Mr. Jagermeister at 3 to 1 or more.
          Derby Date at 7 to 2 or more.

          “IF” both horses are above minimum odds for making a win bet near post time, they can be bet using a “Dutching Tool” like the one which is free and easy to use at Amwager.com. A Dutching tool lets you set the amount you want to bet or the amount you want to win, then based on the odds your bets are proportioned accordingly. Amwager has a great dutching tool available, among many other great features.

          Exactas:
          Box Mr. Jagermeister, Derby Date and Pyron

          Mr. Jagermeister, Derby Date and Pyron over Mr. Jagermeister, Derby Date, Pyron, Much Better and Top Seed

          Mr. Jagermeister, Derby Date, Pyron, Much Better and Top Seed over Mr. Jagermeister, Derby Date and PyronGe up to $500 signup bonus and cashback rewards when you bet with AmWager.













          Bowman Mill Stakes – Race 7 at Keeneland – Post Time 4:12 PM Eastern

          Chattalot and My Prankster are the main win contenders in this race.
          Chattalot is undefeated in two starts, the first in his debut in July at Saratoga in a huge effort after battling head-and-head for the entire length of the stretch, then after two and one-half months off four weeks ago. In that first level allowance race at Churchill Downs, Chattalot relaxed in third in the early stages, had traffic issues in the stretch, the got up to win. The progression to a 100 Equibase figure, tops in the field, already makes him the one to beat and with logical improvement second off the layoff he should win this stakes race for three year olds in his third career start.
          My Prankster won at Saratoga in his debut similar to Chattalot’s win in his debut one week earlier. In that win My Prankster showed a lot of maturity to rally after relaxing in third early. He then ran in the Grade 1 Champagne Stakes and although well regarded by bettors at 7 to 2 odds he could only manage fourth. This race is a much better fit and the 95 figure from his debut bears improving so he’s the other main contender to win.
          Nakatomi and Freelancer finished second and third, respectively, behind Chattalot in their most recent races and have a shot to be part of the trifecta or exacta.

          Handicapper Picks

          Win bets: Chattalot at odds of 3 to 2 or more.
          Exactas:
          Chattalot over Nakatomi, Freelancer and My Prankster
          Chattalot and My Prankster over Chattalot, Nakatomi, My Prankster and Freelancer
          Trifecta:
          Chattalot and My Prankster over Chattalot and My Prankster over Nakatomi and FreelancerGet up to $500 signup bonus and cashback rewards when you bet with AmWager.













          Bryan Station Stakes – Race 8 at Belmont – Post Time 4:44 PM Eastern

          Camp Hope, Yes This Time and Point Me By are the main win contenders.
          Camp Hope comes back for the second time at the Keeneland meeting and there is every reason to have faith trainer Ken McPeek knows the colt is the type to be able to do it as many horses have done over the years successfully. He won on 10/8 at a mile and one-eighth on grass powerfully by five lengths after opening up by six with an eighth of a mile to go and was TOTALLY WRAPPED up by his jockey Hernandez (who rides back) at the end. That was his second “A” race in a row as he missed by a neck after leading late in a very tough race at Kentucky Downs on the turf at a mile and five sixteenths. Not only is the cut back to a mile going to hit him right between the eyes, his last two Equibase Speed Figures of 102 and 103 are the best in the field, with only Point Me By and Yes This Time having broken the 100 threshold recently. He won that last race leading all the way but before that he rallied from fourth and about six lengths back early so no matter the pace scenario Camp Hope should be very tough in this situation. Additionally, those two races came against three year olds and upward and he’s facing only three year olds today.
          Yes This Time finished second in a career-best effort in the Dueling Grounds Derby last time out. Gaffalione was up for the first time and rides back and the 104 figure is as strong as the 103 Camp Hope earned last out. Like Camp Hope, Yes This Time cuts back in distance, from 1 5/16 miles to this one mile trip, which helps sharpen his late kick and gives him a strong shot to earn his seventh career win in his 11th career start.
          Point Me By offers value for the exacta, and for a win bet, not offered by the other two, as he opens at 10/1. He won a turf sprint in his debut in June then in spite of finishing fourth ran huge second time out as he was ninth with an eighth of a mile to go and was fourth and beaten just a length at the end. At a mile in his next start, on 8/14, Point Me By won the Grade 1 Bruce D Stakes (formerly the Secretariat) for three year olds only which is identical to this race. Then he shortened up to six and one-half furlongs for the very tough Franklin Simpson Stakes and had no kick. He will appreciate the stretch out to a mile and rounds out the top contenders here as his Bruce D effort earned a 103 figure.
          Handicapper Picks
          Win bets: Camp Hope to win at odds of 5 to 2 or more.
          Point Me By to win at odds of 7 to 2 or more.
          This is another race where a Dutching tool, like the one which is free at Amwager, really helps. We are likely to have two horses have much different odds near post time so the tool really helps us gain an edge mathematically when wagering on more than one horse to win.
          Note: Yes This Time can be bet to win at odds of 3 to 1 or more but that is his morning line and I doubt he will reach that threshold so we can try to profit from his winning by using him on exacta and trifecta tickets as below.
          Exactas:
          Box Point Me By, Yes This Time and Camp Hope
          Point Me By, Yes This Time and Camp Hope over Point Me By, Yes This Time and Camp Hope, Charles Chrome, Like the King, Scarlett Sky and Dreamer’s Disease.
          Trifecta:
          Point Me By, Yes This Time and Camp Hope over ALL over Point Me By, Yes This Time and Camp Hope, Charles Chrome, Like the King, Scarlett Sky and Dreamer’s Disease. (Played in conjunction with the exactas above covers most of the combinations such that we win if any two of the three main contenders finish first and second, or first and third, for us to win. If they happen to finish first, second and third we win both bets).



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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369858

            #6
            Santa Anita - October 30

            October 29, 2021




            SANTA ANITA TIPS - SATURDAY, OCTOBER 30, 2021
            Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 66% of the time at this track.
            RACE #1 $65,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
            1 1/8 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:30 PM ET
            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
            WIN 6-1 6 Fast Jet Court D Van Dyke
            PLACE 7-2 4 Tapwater J Bravo
            SHOW 6-1 2 Kuora U Rispoli
            WILD CARD 9-5 1 Mucho Unusual F Prat
            ALTERNATE 1 5-1 7 Quiet Secretary T Baze
            ALTERNATE 2 8-1 3 Sassyserb G Franco
            * EXACTA: 6-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX
            * TRIFECTA: 2/4/6 BOX, 1/2/4 BOX
            RACE #2 $10,500 CLAIMING
            6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:00 PM ET
            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
            WIN 4-1 2 Platinum Equity D A Herrera
            PLACE 8-5 4 Smileforme J J Hernandez
            SHOW 12-1 5 Indy Jones T Baze
            WILD CARD 5-1 3 Pelican Way A Centeno
            ALTERNATE 1 7-5 6 Mr. Dougie Fresh F Prat
            ALTERNATE 2 15-1 1 Bam Bam Again G Franco
            * EXACTA: 2-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX, 5-3 BOX
            * TRIFECTA: 2/4/5 BOX, 3/4/5 BOX
            RACE #3 $63,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
            6 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:30 PM ET
            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
            WIN 6-1 2 Another Eddie M Gutierrez
            PLACE 2-1 4 Thrilling U Rispoli
            SHOW 8-1 6 Trouville J J Hernandez
            WILD CARD 5-2 1 Fantail F Prat
            ALTERNATE 1 4-1 7 Maxim Strider J Valdivia Jr.
            ALTERNATE 2 12-1 3 Flipping Fast J Bravo
            * EXACTA: 2-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX
            * TRIFECTA: 2/4/6 BOX, 1/4/6 BOX
            RACE #4 $63,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
            6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:01 PM ET
            BEST BET: #5 PRINCIPE CARLO
            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
            WIN 7-2 5 Principe Carlo G Franco
            PLACE 5-2 1 Letsgetlucky D Van Dyke
            SHOW 4-1 3 Preaching Trainer F Prat
            WILD CARD 5-1 2 First Prez E A Maldonado
            ALTERNATE 1 3-1 6 Nichiren K Frey
            ALTERNATE 2 5-1 4 Squalotoro D A Herrera
            * EXACTA: 5-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX
            * TRIFECTA: 1/3/5 BOX, 1/2/3 BOX
            RACE #5 $63,000 ALLOWANCE
            6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DOWNHILL TURF - POST TIME: 5:35 PM ET
            BEST BET: #6 ELUSIVE TREAT
            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
            WIN 7-2 6 Elusive Treat T Baze
            PLACE 6-1 2 Dominant Soul K J Desormeaux
            SHOW 6-1 13 Go On J J Hernandez
            WILD CARD 3-1 12 Mac Daddy Too F Prat
            ALTERNATE 1 8-1 1 Constitutionaffair J J Hernandez
            ALTERNATE 2 20-1 10 Cherubic Factor G Franco
            * EXACTA: 6-2 BOX, 2-13 BOX, 13-12 BOX
            * TRIFECTA: 2/6/13 BOX, 2/12/13 BOX
            RACE #6 $36,000 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING
            6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:06 PM ET
            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
            WIN 2-1 3 Im the Boss of Me F Prat
            PLACE 6-5 7 Brilliant Cut J J Hernandez
            SHOW 15-1 2 Malibu Hannah D A Herrera
            WILD CARD 4-1 6 Little Miss Ellie K J Desormeaux
            ALTERNATE 1 8-1 5 Double Fantasy E A Maldonado
            ALTERNATE 2 12-1 4 Keep Your Coil T Baze
            * EXACTA: 3-7 BOX, 7-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX
            * TRIFECTA: 2/3/7 BOX, 2/6/7 BOX
            RACE #7 $45,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
            6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:37 PM ET
            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
            WIN 5-2 2 Head Start D Van Dyke
            PLACE 8-1 3 Big Mama Thornton D A Herrera
            SHOW 4-1 1 Beachgrass K J Desormeaux
            WILD CARD 3-1 7 Talkative Gal K Frey
            ALTERNATE 1 5-1 6 Kobe in Motion T Baze
            ALTERNATE 2 8-1 5 Sangre Azul T J Pereira
            * EXACTA: 2-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX, 1-7 BOX
            * TRIFECTA: 1/2/3 BOX, 1/3/7 BOX
            RACE #8 $100,000 STAKES
            1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 7:08 PM ET
            ** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $100,000 MISS AUTUMN STAKES G3
            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
            WIN 12-1 1 Eddies New Dream M Gutierrez
            PLACE 4-1 3 Burgoo Alley U Rispoli
            SHOW 3-1 8 Zero Tolerance F Prat
            WILD CARD 7-2 6 Madone J J Hernandez
            ALTERNATE 1 7-2 7 Spanish Loveaffair A Cedillo
            ALTERNATE 2 5-1 5 Ego Trip V Espinoza
            * EXACTA: 1,3,6,8 Box
            * TRIFECTA: 1,3,6,8 Box
            COMMENTS: EDDIES NEW DREAM won his last in his first grass go, expecting more today. BURGOO ALLEY has four strong efforts after her US debut. ZERO TOLERANCE is a nose away from being undefeated in three starts. MADONE is an all or nothing horse, five wins in nine races, all of them in six at the distance.
            RACE #9 $61,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
            6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:40 PM ET
            BEST BET: #3 MOOSE MITCHELL
            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
            WIN 2-1 3 Moose Mitchell D A Herrera
            PLACE 5-2 1 Creative Peak U Rispoli
            SHOW 12-1 7 Straight Up Lov T Baze
            WILD CARD 4-1 8 Jack Sixpack G Franco
            ALTERNATE 1 8-1 2 Tribal Dancing D Van Dyke
            ALTERNATE 2 20-1 4 Mr Bug Z T J Pereira
            * EXACTA: 3-1 BOX, 1-7 BOX, 7-8 BOX
            * TRIFECTA: 1/3/7 BOX, 1/7/8 BOX
            RACE #10 $45,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
            1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 8:10 PM ET
            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
            WIN 3-1 5 French Franc V Espinoza
            PLACE 6-1 1 Im a Giraffe J Bravo
            SHOW 12-1 9 Macrelletta D A Herrera
            WILD CARD 4-1 10 Set the Tone D Van Dyke
            ALTERNATE 1 5-1 2 Blossoming U Rispoli
            ALTERNATE 2 20-1 4 Charlotte Harbor K J Desormeaux
            * EXACTA: 5-1 BOX, 1-9 BOX, 9-10 BOX
            * TRIFECTA: 1/5/9 BOX, 1/9/10 BOX
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369858

              #7
              Lone Star Park Tip Sheet - October 30

              October 29, 2021



              LONE STAR PARK TIPS - SATURDAY, OCTOBER 30, 2021
              Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 67% of the time at this track.
              RACE #1 $10,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
              350 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:05 PM ET
              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
              WIN 2-1 3 Sheza Louisiana Blue O Andrade Jr.
              PLACE 6-1 4 Maximum Theory J A Aguilar
              SHOW 7-2 8 Lil Southern Sister F Giles
              WILD CARD 9-2 5 Kj Suzy Q A A Ramos
              ALTERNATE 1 12-1 9 La Chacalosa J L Yoakum
              ALTERNATE 2 20-1 7 Thank U Next B B Candanosa
              * EXACTA: 3-4 BOX, 4-8 BOX, 8-5 BOX
              * TRIFECTA: 3/4/8 BOX, 4/5/8 BOX
              RACE #2 $5,000 CLAIMING
              300 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:33 PM ET
              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
              WIN 3-1 7 Zef Garcia Seis A S Carrillo
              PLACE 2-1 8 Th Dancing Darlene C P Aguilar
              SHOW 12-1 6 I Am Golden Boy C Rosales-Salazar
              WILD CARD 5-2 3 Sweet Lavish Jess E T Vera
              ALTERNATE 1 10-1 1 Dr Serendipity C A Guillen Chacon
              ALTERNATE 2 20-1 2 Mr Rare Bubba O Andrade Jr.
              * EXACTA: 7-8 BOX, 8-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX
              * TRIFECTA: 6/7/8 BOX, 3/6/8 BOX
              RACE #3 $10,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
              550 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 8:01 PM ET
              BEST BET: #1 JB TOO SEXY
              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
              WIN 7-2 1 Jb too Sexy T Thedford
              PLACE 5-2 10 Fly Inseperable A Gonzalez-Munoz
              SHOW 15-1 8 Flyin South J M Gonzales-Corral
              WILD CARD 6-1 11 Romeo Sierra C Garcia
              ALTERNATE 1 8-1 2 El Rey de Luna L L Vivanco
              ALTERNATE 2 20-1 6 B B Got Game E U Mata
              * EXACTA: 1-10 BOX, 10-8 BOX, 8-11 BOX
              * TRIFECTA: 1/8/10 BOX, 8/10/11 BOX
              RACE #4 $5,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
              400 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 8:29 PM ET
              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
              WIN 8-1 8 Lethal Looks J Vega
              PLACE 3-1 12 Glimpse of Billy A Rivera
              SHOW 9-2 5 Bl Ms Bodaciousquick M Lara
              WILD CARD 7-2 2 This Chic Gotta Gun V M Urieta Jr.
              ALTERNATE 1 12-1 11 Cartels Value L L Vivanco
              ALTERNATE 2 20-1 3 Kool Mistress F A Mendez
              * EXACTA: 8-12 BOX, 12-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX
              * TRIFECTA: 5/8/12 BOX, 2/5/12 BOX
              RACE #5 $16,000 MAIDEN
              400 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 8:57 PM ET
              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
              WIN 3-1 8 Favorite Job A Contreras
              PLACE 9-2 10 Rembering Mac C A Guillen Chacon
              SHOW 4-1 11 Lethal Cowboy Jessie J J Olivo
              WILD CARD 6-1 1 High Flying Val J A Alvarez
              ALTERNATE 1 15-1 5 Designed Wonder E U Mata
              ALTERNATE 2 20-1 2 Return to Texas E T Vera
              * EXACTA: 8-10 BOX, 10-11 BOX, 11-1 BOX
              * TRIFECTA: 8/10/11 BOX, 1/10/11 BOX
              RACE #6 $7,500 CLAIMING
              350 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 9:25 PM ET
              BEST BET: #8 SHEZ SERENDIPITY
              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
              WIN 6-1 8 Shez Serendipity C A Guillen Chacon
              PLACE 8-1 9 Teller Ima Fast Man A L Zuniga
              SHOW 15-1 7 Th Drop Tine J J Olivo
              WILD CARD 12-1 1 Jm Valentina E T Vera
              ALTERNATE 1 10-1 11 Wave Shine C Garcia
              ALTERNATE 2 20-1 12 McM What a Episode J Vega
              * EXACTA: 8-9 BOX, 9-7 BOX, 7-1 BOX
              * TRIFECTA: 7/8/9 BOX, 1/7/9 BOX
              RACE #7 $16,800 ALLOWANCE
              250 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 9:53 PM ET
              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
              WIN 4-1 6 Ur El Modelo F T Ramirez
              PLACE 7-2 8 Shez Your Secret L L Vivanco
              SHOW 15-1 7 La Bestia Corona B Candanosa
              WILD CARD 8-1 2 Demografix G Linares
              ALTERNATE 1 12-1 3 Flirt Wagon M Brooks
              ALTERNATE 2 20-1 11 Aj Another Cutiepie E T Vera
              * EXACTA: 6-8 BOX, 8-7 BOX, 7-2 BOX
              * TRIFECTA: 6/7/8 BOX, 2/7/8 BOX
              RACE #8 $16,000 MAIDEN
              250 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 10:21 PM ET
              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
              WIN 7-2 4 One Jenuine Corona V O Andrade Jr.
              PLACE 9-2 9 Certifyed J E Ortiz
              SHOW 5-1 1 Jess Solid R Vega
              WILD CARD 8-1 2 Doublewide Queen R Fierro
              ALTERNATE 1 5-2 6 Miss Never to Late G Garcia
              ALTERNATE 2 20-1 7 Jess Send Me Blazin F T Ramirez
              * EXACTA: 4-9 BOX, 9-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX
              * TRIFECTA: 1/4/9 BOX, 1/2/9 BOX
              RACE #9 $17,600 OPTIONAL CLAIMING
              350 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 10:49 PM ET
              BEST BET: #3 JESS MOLLY BROWN
              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
              WIN 4-1 3 Jess Molly Brown C P Aguilar
              PLACE 3-1 2 Carry the Memories R Garza-Cruz
              SHOW 15-1 9 Fast Flash Gordon F Calderon
              WILD CARD 8-5 8 Wow What a Dynasty A A Ramos
              ALTERNATE 1 6-1 5 One Slick Delight V M Urieta Jr.
              ALTERNATE 2 30-1 7 Stepponit A L Zuniga
              * EXACTA: 3-2 BOX, 2-9 BOX, 9-8 BOX
              * TRIFECTA: 2/3/9 BOX, 2/8/9 BOX
              RACE #10 $19,800 ALLOWANCE
              350 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 11:17 PM ET
              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
              WIN 5-2 8 Allure Me Softly J E Ortiz
              PLACE 9-2 1 The Dancing Pop Pop C P Aguilar
              SHOW 8-1 2 Shesa Ms Perry C A Guillen Chacon
              WILD CARD 6-1 9 Mister Blue Sky T Thedford
              ALTERNATE 1 3-1 7 Lethal White Veil V M Urieta Jr.
              ALTERNATE 2 30-1 5 Peach Fool of Dash F T Ramirez
              * EXACTA: 8-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX, 2-9 BOX
              * TRIFECTA: 1/2/8 BOX, 1/2/9 BOX
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369858

                #8
                Keeneland Tip Sheet - October 30

                October 29, 2021



                KEENELAND TIPS - SATURDAY, OCTOBER 30, 2021
                Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 63% of the time at this track.

                RACE #1
                $10,000 CLAIMING
                1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:00 PM ET
                PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                WIN 7-2 5 Indian Bella C J Lanerie
                PLACE 6-1 6 Our Closure I Ayala
                SHOW 8-1 7 War Eagles Love J Graham
                WILD CARD 4-1 2 Angel of Verdun R Bejarano
                ALTERNATE 1 4-1 8 Social Circle A Martinez
                ALTERNATE 2 30-1 1 Sweet Tassa A Calleja
                * EXACTA: 5-6 BOX, 6-7 BOX, 7-2 BOX
                * TRIFECTA: 5/6/7 BOX, 2/6/7 BOX
                RACE #2 $84,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
                1 1/8 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 1:32 PM ET
                PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                WIN 7-2 3 Pearl Earring J Graham
                PLACE 4-1 9 Freedom Rose J Castellano
                SHOW 4-1 13 Under One Sky J R Leparoux
                WILD CARD 20-1 12 Earley Rose A Beschizza
                ALTERNATE 1 10-1 2 Poronui B J Hernandez Jr.
                ALTERNATE 2 30-1 7 Loftyshipslowsails J R Leparoux
                * EXACTA: 3-9 BOX, 9-13 BOX, 13-12 BOX
                * TRIFECTA: 3/9/13 BOX, 9/12/13 BOX

                RACE #3
                $20,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
                1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:04 PM ET
                BEST BET: #6 LOONSHOT
                PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                WIN 3-1 6 Loonshot B J Hernandez Jr.
                PLACE 5-2 8 Illustrious J R Velazquez
                SHOW 12-1 1 Cachirulo D Cardoso
                WILD CARD 5-1 4 Embodiment T Gaffalione
                ALTERNATE 1 6-1 5 Baja Fog G Corrales
                ALTERNATE 2 8-1 7 Countrified J Graham
                * EXACTA: 6-8 BOX, 8-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX
                * TRIFECTA: 1/6/8 BOX, 1/4/8 BOX

                RACE #4
                $84,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
                7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:36 PM ET
                BEST BET: #1 SURREALIST
                PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                WIN 3-1 1 Surrealist J R Leparoux
                PLACE 5-2 2 Upandcomingstar R Santana Jr.
                SHOW 5-1 3 Kizzy B M Murrill
                WILD CARD 4-1 8 Temper Time J Talamo
                ALTERNATE 1 8-1 4 Dalida B J Hernandez Jr.
                ALTERNATE 2 30-1 6 Queens Table J K Court
                * EXACTA: 1-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX, 3-8 BOX
                * TRIFECTA: 1/2/3 BOX, 2/3/8 BOX
                RACE #5 $86,000 ALLOWANCE
                1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:08 PM ET
                PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                WIN 4-1 5 Yin Yang F Geroux
                PLACE 6-1 6 Decree of Love T Gaffalione
                SHOW 4-1 13 Zing T Gaffalione
                WILD CARD 8-1 11 Roughly a Diamond J R Leparoux
                ALTERNATE 1 6-1 1 Sparkle Blue J R Velazquez
                ALTERNATE 2 20-1 7 Morgs World D Cohen
                * EXACTA: 5-6 BOX, 6-13 BOX, 13-11 BOX
                * TRIFECTA: 5/6/13 BOX, 6/11/13 BOX
                RACE #6 $90,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
                6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:40 PM ET
                PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                WIN 7-2 6 Top Seed B J Hernandez Jr.
                PLACE 6-1 7 Fact Finding D Cohen
                SHOW 12-1 9 Mr. Jagermeister D Cardoso
                WILD CARD 3-1 2 Pyron M Mena
                ALTERNATE 1 5-1 1 Bon Raison A Beschizza
                ALTERNATE 2 15-1 3 Uber Kirk T Canuto
                * EXACTA: 6-7 BOX, 7-9 BOX, 9-2 BOX
                * TRIFECTA: 6/7/9 BOX, 2/7/9 BOX
                RACE #7 $150,000 STAKES
                6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:12 PM ET
                ** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $150,000 BOWMAN MILL STAKES
                PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                WIN 3-1 4 Nakatomi T Gaffalione
                PLACE 5-2 7 My Prankster J R Velazquez
                SHOW 15-1 5 Lucky Shot F Geroux
                WILD CARD 12-1 3 Hope in Him J Castellano
                ALTERNATE 1 4-1 6 Freelancer J Graham
                ALTERNATE 2 3-1 2 Chattalot B J Hernandez Jr.
                * EXACTA: 3,4,5,7 Box
                * TRIFECTA: 4,5,7/3,4,5,7/3,4,6,5,7
                COMMENTS: NAKATOMI is one for one at Keeneland and working well at the Lexington track coming into this spot. MY PRANKSTER won his debut by 10, following it up with fourth in a G1, the step down in class could help. LUCKY SHOT won his last by 4 1/2 lengths and put in a bullet since. HOPE IN HIM won his debut and bombed in round two, some rest and decent works could have him return to debut form.

                RACE #8
                $150,000 STAKES
                1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:44 PM ET
                ** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $150,000 BRYAN STATION STAKES
                PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                WIN 10-1 9 Scarlett Sky J Rosario
                PLACE 3-1 10 Yes This Time T Gaffalione
                SHOW 10-1 7 Point Me By A Beschizza
                WILD CARD 10-1 3 Charles Chrome J R Leparoux
                ALTERNATE 1 3-1 11 Camp Hope B J Hernandez Jr.
                ALTERNATE 2 4-1 6 Like the King J R Velazquez
                * EXACTA: 3,7,9,10 Box
                * TRIFECTA: 7,9,10/3,7,9,10/3,7,9,10,11

                COMMENTS
                : SCARLETT SKY won his only start at Keeneland and has a win and second in two at the distance. YES THIS TIME has six wins and a second in his first 10 races, three of the wins in four at the distance. POINT ME BY has two winning efforts in four starts. He should be well rested and ready to run a strong race. CHARLES CHROME can close or run up front and has never missed the money in five races.
                RACE #9 $200,000 STAKES
                1 1/8 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:16 PM ET
                ** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $200,000 HAGYARD FAYETTE STAKES G2
                PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                WIN 3-1 1 Sleepy Eyes Todd R Eikleberry
                PLACE 3-1 7 Code of Honor T Gaffalione
                SHOW 5-2 5 Independence Hall J Castellano
                WILD CARD 9-2 6 King Fury B J Hernandez Jr.
                ALTERNATE 1 6-1 4 Night Ops F Geroux
                ALTERNATE 2 12-1 2 Manhattan Up C Landeros
                * EXACTA: 1,5,6,7 Box
                * TRIFECTA: 1,5,7/1,5,6,7/1,4,5,6,7

                COMMENTS
                : SLEEPY EYES TODD ran the top, last race speed figure, a repeat would likely get it done. CODE OF HONOR should be at/near his peal form in the third start off the bench. INDEPENDENCE HALL is always close but not sure where to find the winners circle. KING FURY finished fourth behind ART COLLECTOR, MAXFIELD and DR. POST in his last, none like that here.
                RACE #10 $84,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
                7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:48 PM ET
                BEST BET: #1 FAMED
                PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                WIN 6-5 1 Famed F Geroux
                PLACE 9-2 9 Halo of Fire J Rosario
                SHOW 15-1 6 Bunduki B J Hernandez Jr.
                WILD CARD 12-1 11 Catwings J Graham
                ALTERNATE 1 5-1 8 Gun Slingin R Santana Jr.
                ALTERNATE 2 20-1 7 Cumulonimbus M Mena
                * EXACTA: 1-9 BOX, 9-6 BOX, 6-11 BOX
                * TRIFECTA: 1/6/9 BOX, 6/9/11 BOX
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                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369858

                  #9
                  Indiana Grand Tip Sheet - October 30

                  INDIANA GRAND TIPS - SATURDAY, OCTOBER 30, 2021
                  Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 59% of the time at this track.
                  RACE #1 $36,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
                  6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:05 PM ET
                  BEST BET: #5 AMERICAN NIGHTMARE
                  PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                  WIN 3-1 5 American Nightmare J Riquelme
                  PLACE 10-1 6 Broken Justice J D Ramos
                  SHOW 8-5 1 Indiana Red D L Parker
                  WILD CARD 7-2 2 Singer McGee S Sanjur
                  ALTERNATE 1 3-1 3 Rotary Dial M Pedroza Jr.
                  ALTERNATE 2 30-1 4 Punctuation J McKee
                  * EXACTA: 5-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX
                  * TRIFECTA: 1/5/6 BOX, 1/2/6 BOX
                  RACE #2 $43,000 ALLOWANCE
                  1 MILE 70 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:40 PM ET
                  BEST BET: #5 CAP DE FUEGO
                  PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                  WIN 4-1 5 Cap de Fuego F De La Cruz
                  PLACE 7-2 4 Bluemoon Justice S E Bermudez
                  SHOW 15-1 1 Idea Man R A Prescott
                  WILD CARD 5-2 8 Troubled Justice E Esquivel
                  ALTERNATE 1 6-1 6 Clearing Waivers E E Perez
                  ALTERNATE 2 15-1 3 Forever a Champ S Sanjur
                  * EXACTA: 5-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX, 1-8 BOX
                  * TRIFECTA: 1/4/5 BOX, 1/4/8 BOX
                  RACE #3 $43,000 ALLOWANCE
                  6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:13 PM ET
                  BEST BET: #6 MISS DEPUTY STAR
                  PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                  WIN 1-1 6 Miss Deputy Star A Achard
                  PLACE 4-1 3 Giveusthisday T L Pompell
                  SHOW 6-1 2 C Js Empire D L Parker
                  WILD CARD 20-1 1 Got Spirit J Morales
                  ALTERNATE 1 15-1 7 Cecils Angel J L Castanon
                  ALTERNATE 2 8-1 4 Valsheba J D Ramos
                  * EXACTA: 6-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX
                  * TRIFECTA: 2/3/6 BOX, 1/2/3 BOX
                  RACE #4 $100,000 STAKES
                  6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:47 PM ET
                  ** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $100,000 INDIANA STALLION FILLIES STAKES
                  PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                  WIN 3-5 8 Holy Justice J Riquelme
                  PLACE 6-1 6 Unbridled Victory M Pedroza Jr.
                  SHOW 8-1 2 Compressed Energy F De La Cruz
                  WILD CARD 30-1 3 Flirty Dancer J Morales
                  ALTERNATE 1 20-1 7 Skys Image E Esquivel
                  ALTERNATE 2 10-1 1 Everythings Rosy E E Perez
                  * EXACTA: 2,3,6,8 Box
                  * TRIFECTA: 6,8/2,3,6,8/2,3,6,7,8
                  COMMENTS: HOLY JUSTICE has won three in a row and is just a half length from being undefeated in four. UNBRIDLED VICTORY won her last, breaking her maiden in race two by improving her final time by nearly a second. COMPRESSED ENERGY should be on the gas early for trainer Genarao Garcia who has hit the board in 11 of his last 15 starts. FLIRTY DANCER has been literally all or nothing, winning two and off the board in the other three by at least 13 lengths.
                  RACE #5 $150,000 STAKES
                  1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:19 PM ET
                  ** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $150,000 UNREACHABLE STAKES
                  PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                  WIN 3-5 2 Cash Logistics A Achard
                  PLACE 5-1 5 Stop Hammertime J D Ramos
                  SHOW 6-1 3 Max Express S E Bermudez
                  WILD CARD 15-1 4 Forwhomthebelltoll D L Parker
                  ALTERNATE 1 15-1 6 Expressed J McKee
                  ALTERNATE 2 20-1 7 Uphold J L Castanon
                  * EXACTA: 2/3,4,5,6
                  * TRIFECTA: 2/3,4,5/3,4,5,6
                  COMMENTS: CASH LOGISTICS has six win and two seconds in nine at Indy. STOP HAMMERTIME has seven high quality races in his last 10 starts. MAX EXPRESS tied for the top, last race speed figure and has some of the best late run in the race. FORWHOMTHEBELLTOLL looks like he is on the upswing and could be primed for a top performance.
                  RACE #6 $100,000 STAKES
                  6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:51 PM ET
                  ** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $100,000 CROWN AMBASSADOR STAKES
                  PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                  WIN 2-1 10 Mr Chaos R A Prescott
                  PLACE 6-1 11 Loademupjustice E Esquivel
                  SHOW 20-1 3 Highcotton Justice F De La Cruz
                  WILD CARD 20-1 7 Amicable C A Diaz
                  ALTERNATE 1 6-1 1 Too Bad Justice J D Ramos
                  ALTERNATE 2 9-2 9 Me and Chili M Pedroza Jr.
                  * EXACTA: 3,7,10,11 Box
                  * TRIFECTA: 10,11/3,7,10,11/1,3,7,10,11
                  COMMENTS: MR CHAOS won his debut by 7 lengths, tying for the top, last race speed figure. LOADEMUPJUSTICE has improved in each of his races and should be charging at the end. HIGHCOTTON JUSTICE showed some early pace in sprints, cutting back from a mile and 70 yards could help. AMICABLE the last race does not look so good on paper, but the internal numbers show some improvement.
                  RACE #7 $150,000 STAKES
                  1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:23 PM ET
                  ** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $150,000 LADY FOG HORN STAKES
                  PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                  WIN 8-5 8 Hungarian Princess S E Bermudez
                  PLACE 2-1 7 Fireball Baby M Pedroza Jr.
                  SHOW 8-1 9 Hitthefloorrunning D L Parker
                  WILD CARD 15-1 10 Expect Indy E Esquivel
                  ALTERNATE 1 8-1 4 Diamond Solitaire J McKee
                  ALTERNATE 2 20-1 5 Sleepy Dream O Mojica
                  * EXACTA: 7,8,9,10 Box
                  * TRIFECTA: 7,8,9/7,8,9,10/4,7,8,9,10
                  COMMENTS: HUNGARIAN PRINCESS has finished first (5x) or second (4x) in 10 at Indy. FIREBALL BABY should be at/near peak form in her third start after a layoff. HITTHEFLOORRUNNING has three wins, a second and third in five at Indiana Grand. EXPECT INDY has hit the board in 11 of 14 at the distance.
                  RACE #8 $18,000 MAIDEN
                  330 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:53 PM ET
                  PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                  WIN 4-1 9 Thisqueenisroyal O Macias
                  PLACE 5-2 3 Independent Eagle C G Esqueda
                  SHOW 8-1 4 Lf Toby One S Jackson
                  WILD CARD 7-2 1 My Royal Casino E N Esqueda
                  ALTERNATE 1 15-1 8 Fe Brimms Fortunes J A Beltran
                  ALTERNATE 2 30-1 7 Jettin to Midnight G Vazquez-Gomez
                  * EXACTA: 9-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX
                  * TRIFECTA: 3/4/9 BOX, 1/3/4 BOX
                  RACE #9 $198,200 FUTURITY
                  350 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:24 PM ET
                  PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                  WIN 6-5 5 Mr Michel E N Esqueda
                  PLACE 5-2 6 High Rolling Seize S Jackson
                  SHOW 10-1 1 Stormi Spirits E Diaz
                  WILD CARD 20-1 10 Fe Stone Crusher J A Flores
                  ALTERNATE 1 4-1 2 Botticelli Beach J A Beltran
                  ALTERNATE 2 30-1 7 Our Game Changer G Rodriguez
                  * EXACTA: 5-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX, 1-10 BOX
                  * TRIFECTA: 1/5/6 BOX, 1/6/10 BOX
                  RACE #10 $122,240 STAKES
                  400 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:55 PM ET
                  PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                  WIN 2-5 3 Wrs Moonin Thewagon J D Marquez
                  PLACE 15-1 5 On a New Note O Mojica
                  SHOW 15-1 8 Wrs Famous Molly S Jackson
                  WILD CARD 4-1 9 Jess Over Yonder N Fritz
                  ALTERNATE 1 30-1 12 Dynasty Train J M Ruiz
                  ALTERNATE 2 20-1 4 Rock the Candy Wagon G Rodriguez
                  * EXACTA: 3-5 BOX, 5-8 BOX, 8-9 BOX
                  * TRIFECTA: 3/5/8 BOX, 5/8/9 BOX
                  RACE #11 $119,400 STAKES
                  400 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:26 PM ET
                  PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                  WIN 5-1 2 Wh Imastreakinbeach J M Ruiz
                  PLACE 4-5 8 Stone Lake L D Martinez
                  SHOW 10-1 6 Rock Candy Almighty J A Beltran
                  WILD CARD 12-1 4 Inseperable Blood J A Flores
                  ALTERNATE 1 15-1 9 Dna Dales Lil Zoomer G Rodriguez
                  ALTERNATE 2 30-1 5 Gottasmoochjess N Fritz
                  * EXACTA: 2-8 BOX, 8-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX
                  * TRIFECTA: 2/6/8 BOX, 4/6/8 BOX
                  RACE #12 $108,540 STAKES
                  440 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:55 PM ET
                  PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                  WIN 2-1 1 Wrs Valentino J D Marquez
                  PLACE 5-2 3 Wrs Apolliticalivory G Rodriguez
                  SHOW 8-1 4 Jess a Flyin Beach O Macias
                  WILD CARD 12-1 2 Vegas Corona E N Esqueda
                  ALTERNATE 1 5-1 10 Country Boy 123 L D Martinez
                  ALTERNATE 2 30-1 7 El Aviador E Diaz
                  * EXACTA: 1-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX
                  * TRIFECTA: 1/3/4 BOX, 2/3/4 BOX
                  RACE #13 $146,360 STAKES
                  350 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:25 PM ET
                  PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                  WIN 4-1 6 All Out B R Packer
                  PLACE 3-1 7 Head Patron J A Flores
                  SHOW 8-1 10 Bp Ck Eagle C R Esqueda
                  WILD CARD 7-2 3 El Rubio Corona S R Ramirez
                  ALTERNATE 1 20-1 1 Count Down R D Pina
                  ALTERNATE 2 30-1 2 Mg to Fancy Macho G Vazquez-Gomez
                  * EXACTA: 6-7 BOX, 7-10 BOX, 10-3 BOX
                  * TRIFECTA: 6/7/10 BOX, 3/7/10 BOX
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369858

                    #10
                    Belmont Park Tip Sheet - October 30

                    October 29, 2021





                    BELMONT PARK TIPS - SATURDAY, OCTOBER 30, 2021
                    Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 65% of the time at this track.
                    RACE #1 $75,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
                    1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 12:35 PM ET
                    BEST BET: #9 CUPERE
                    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                    WIN 6-1 9 Cupere D Davis
                    PLACE 7-2 3 Pave My Way E Cancel
                    SHOW 3-1 8 Shigeko J Lezcano
                    WILD CARD 4-1 7 Sarahs Splendor M Franco
                    ALTERNATE 1 5-1 2 My Cara Mia Mine J L Samuel
                    ALTERNATE 2 10-1 1 Sals Dream Girl L Saez
                    * EXACTA: 9-3 BOX, 3-8 BOX, 8-7 BOX
                    * TRIFECTA: 3/8/9 BOX, 3/7/8 BOX
                    RACE #2 $40,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
                    1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 1:09 PM ET
                    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                    WIN 4-1 11 Ghostmon J L Samuel
                    PLACE 6-1 9 Wicked Karma K Carmouche
                    SHOW 10-1 3 Out of the Breech L Saez
                    WILD CARD 8-5 1 Noble Journey J A Vargas Jr.
                    ALTERNATE 1 5-2 7 Arrowheart D Davis
                    ALTERNATE 2 30-1 10 Freudian Analyst C Ramos
                    * EXACTA: 11-9 BOX, 9-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX
                    * TRIFECTA: 3/9/11 BOX, 1/3/9 BOX
                    RACE #3 $250,000 STAKES
                    1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:41 PM ET
                    ** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $250,000 SLEEPY HOLLOW STAKES
                    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                    WIN 6-5 2 Overstep I Ortiz Jr.
                    PLACE 7-5 4 Shipsational L Saez
                    SHOW 9-2 3 Who Hoo Thats Me D Davis
                    WILD CARD 10-1 5 Excursionniste J Lezcano
                    ALTERNATE 1 12-1 6 Sterling Hill E Cancel
                    ALTERNATE 2 15-1 1 Sundaeswithsandy M Franco
                    * EXACTA: 2,3,4 Box
                    * TRIFECTA: 2,4/2,3,5/2,3,4,5
                    COMMENTS: OVERSTEP won his debut as the unchallenged $0.75 favorite. SHIPSATIONAL ran the top, last race speed figure. WHO HOO THATS ME won his last start, breaking his maiden in the third try and put in a bullet workout since. EXCURSIONNISTE missed as the chalk in his last, trainer Mark Henning rebounds at 30% with beaten favorites.
                    RACE #4 $75,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
                    6 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:13 PM ET
                    BEST BET: #10 PALACE GOSSIP
                    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                    WIN 1-1 10 Palace Gossip E Cancel
                    PLACE 9-2 4 U Should B Dancing L Saez
                    SHOW 5-2 13 Live in Five I Ortiz Jr.
                    WILD CARD 7-2 12 Sabreen J L Ortiz
                    ALTERNATE 1 5-1 5 Julianas Rose J Lezcano
                    ALTERNATE 2 20-1 6 Steppin Hawk H K Harkie
                    * EXACTA: 10-4 BOX, 4-13 BOX, 13-12 BOX
                    * TRIFECTA: 4/10/13 BOX, 4/12/13 BOX
                    RACE #5 $150,000 STAKES
                    6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:43 PM ET
                    ** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $150,000 HUDSON HANDICAP
                    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                    WIN 3-1 7 Our Last Buck M Franco
                    PLACE 10-1 4 Amundson J L Ortiz
                    SHOW 6-1 5 Jemography D Davis
                    WILD CARD 2-1 8 Ny Traffic I Ortiz Jr.
                    ALTERNATE 1 6-1 3 Foolish Ghost J L Samuel
                    ALTERNATE 2 5-1 1 Judge N Jury L Saez
                    * EXACTA: 4,5,7,8 Box
                    * TRIFECTA: 4,5,7,8/4,5,7/3,4,5,7,8
                    COMMENTS: OUR LAST BUCK has two wins and a second in four at Belmont Park. AMUNDSON has been training well for this spot. JEMOGRAPHY has four seconds in five Belmont appearances, likes hang late. NY TRAFFIC should be a part of the early pace, but with only three wins in 15 races, is likely to be over bet.
                    RACE #6 $150,000 STAKES
                    6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:15 PM ET
                    ** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $150,000 IROQUOIS STAKES
                    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                    WIN 7-5 2 The Important One J Lezcano
                    PLACE 9-5 1 Miss Jimmy D Davis
                    SHOW 3-1 6 Espresso Shot J L Ortiz
                    WILD CARD 6-1 4 Letmetakethiscall K Carmouche
                    ALTERNATE 1 20-1 5 Fight On Lucy B Hernandez
                    ALTERNATE 2 15-1 3 Hannah Dances L E Perez
                    * EXACTA: 1,2,4,6 Box
                    * TRIFECTA: 1,2,4,6 Box
                    COMMENTS: THE IMPORTANT ONE just ran her best race and could be betting the second start after a layoff. MISS JIMMY has nine high quality starts in her last 10 races and rides the 48% winning rail. ESPRESSO SHOT should be at/near peak form in her third start off the bench and a bullet work in her last. LETMETAKETHISCALL loves the distance with five wins in five tries.
                    RACE #7 $250,000 STAKES
                    1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:47 PM ET
                    ** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $250,000 MAID OF THE MIST STAKES
                    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                    WIN 3-1 1 Venti Valentine I Ortiz Jr.
                    PLACE 7-2 5 Sandys Garden M Franco
                    SHOW 12-1 8 Captainsdaughter K Carmouche
                    WILD CARD 8-1 9 Dufresne J Lezcano
                    ALTERNATE 1 4-1 7 Velvet Sister J L Ortiz
                    ALTERNATE 2 30-1 10 Luz J L Samuel
                    * EXACTA: 1,5/1,5,8,9
                    * TRIFECTA: 1,5/1,5,8,9/1,5,7,8,9
                    COMMENTS: VENTI VALENTINE won her debut with a huge rally. SANDYS GARDEN beat a field of seven by 20 lengths in her debut and put in a bullet workout since. CAPTAINSDAUGHTER got fast dirt for the first time in her last and won at Belmont. DUFRESNE is flipping from turf to dirt, a strong angle for trainer Michael Trombetta.
                    RACE #8 $250,000 STAKES
                    1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:21 PM ET
                    ** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $250,000 EMPIRE DISTAFF STAKES
                    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                    WIN 6-1 7 Bank Sting J Rosario
                    PLACE 7-2 10 Trinni Luck M Franco
                    SHOW 9-2 4 Make Mischief I Ortiz Jr.
                    WILD CARD 6-1 8 Maiden Beauty K Carmouche
                    ALTERNATE 1 12-1 9 Byhubbyhellomoney E Cancel
                    ALTERNATE 2 4-1 1 Ice Princess L Saez
                    * EXACTA: 4,7,8,10 Box
                    * TRIFECTA: 4,7,10/4,7,8,10/4,7,8,9,10
                    COMMENTS: BANK STING has won four in a row, including her last at Belmont. TRINNI LUCK has won four of six lifetime, including two at Belmont. MAKE MISCHIEF returns to work after a short rest, winning her last off the bench. MAIDEN BEAUTY ran the top, last race speed figure and her resume says she could be better in her third start after a layoff.
                    RACE #9 $300,000 STAKES
                    1 1/8 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:52 PM ET
                    ** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $300,000 EMPIRE CLASSIC HANDICAP
                    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                    WIN 7-5 5 Americanrevolution L Saez
                    PLACE 8-1 1 Captain Bombastic J Lezcano
                    SHOW 6-1 8 Tiergan I Ortiz Jr.
                    WILD CARD 6-1 2 Three Jokers J L Ortiz
                    ALTERNATE 1 9-2 3 Mr. Buff J Alvarado
                    ALTERNATE 2 10-1 6 Danny California M Franco
                    * EXACTA: 1,2,5,8 Box
                    * TRIFECTA: 1,5,8/1,2,5,8/1,2,3,5,8
                    COMMENTS: AMERICANREVOLUTION has the highest, last race speed number and is dropping in class. CAPTAIN BOMBASTIC has three wins in six races at Belmont, just two in eight elsewhere. TIERGAN has two wins and a second in three at the distance. THREE JOKERS is a head away from winning three of his last four.
                    RACE #10 $80,000 ALLOWANCE
                    7 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:23 PM ET
                    PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                    WIN 5-1 6 Neuro L Saez
                    PLACE 12-1 7 Chrome Dixie J Alvarado
                    SHOW 5-1 3 City Mischief J L Ortiz
                    WILD CARD 3-1 12 War Terminator M Franco
                    ALTERNATE 1 15-1 2 Coragescontender M J Luzzi
                    ALTERNATE 2 50-1 14 Constant Knight W A Garcia
                    * EXACTA: 6-7 BOX, 7-3 BOX, 3-12 BOX
                    * TRIFECTA: 3/6/7 BOX, 3/7/12 BOX
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                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369858

                      #11
                      Keeneland Select Pick of The Day | October 30, 2021

                      October 29, 2021

                      Race 9 at Keeneland | Saturday October 30 | Post Time 5:16 PM Eastern
                      Hagyard Fayette Stakes – Grade 2 | Purse $200,000 | One Mile and One Eighth | Three Year Olds and Upward
                      King Fury (6) is a three year old facing older for the first time in his career but considering this is the fall of his three year old year, where three year olds at the top level for dirt horses do very well, for example in the Breeders’ Cup Classic (coming up next weekend), that is no concern. The colt has had a number of ups-and-downs in his career, having been sidelined from last November until this past April after winning an important stakes race as a two year old nearly one year ago this week. Returning from that long layoff this spring, King Fury won the Lexington Stakes at Keeneland powerfully and was set to run in the Kentucky Derby but was scratched on Derby week due to an elevated white blood cell count suggesting an infection. After getting better King Fury was entered to run in the Preakness yet again was not 100% and missed the race. Having no other options early this summer he was entered on turf and ran 10th, then not yet fully back to his old form finished fifth in the Travers Stakes. Next, a huge turnaround took place in his most recent start on September 25 in the Bourbon Trail Stakes, a non-graded race but one with a strong $275,000 purse and run at a mile and three-sixteenths, so nearly identical to the Hagyard Fayette Stakes. In that race King Fury started fifth of seven and drew off powerfully to win by 13 lengths. There was gas in the tank following that win and considering the effort earned a 109 Equibase Speed Figure, comparable to the 113 figure Sleepy Eyes Todd earned when second in the Charles Town Classic in his most recent race and Code of Honor earned when fourth in the Woodward Stakes in his most recent race, there is little doubt King Fury fits with the best in this field. Better still, as a three year old he hasn’t peaked yet and therefore opening at 9 to 2 is the one to beat and the one to bet (to win).
                      Similarly, Night Ops (4), who starts at 6 to 1 odds, should be considered as well. Although his career record of 6-7-4 in 25 races isn’t a strong in terms of wins as King Fury’s 4-1-0 record in 10 races. In many of those runner-up efforts, Night Ops was second best to horses who might be heavily favored here, such as Breeders’ Cup Classic bound Art Collector in the Alydar Stakes (at this distance) in August, with Art Collector winning the Charles Town Classic in his next start. Night Ops also ran very well at Keeneland in the Ben Ali Stakes, the spring equivalent of the Hagyard Fayette Stakes, where he was beaten just a half-length at the finish after rallying from fourth. Having earned a 108 figure in the Alydar as well as a 109 figure last year in the Cornhusker Stakes at this distance, Night Ops must be considered strongly here as he is likely to be second at the least.
                      Code of Honor (7), Sleepy Eyes Todd (1) and Independence Hall (5) are horses we should respect when considering our wagers in this race, but with starting odds of 3 to 1, 3 to 1 and 5 to 2, considering I feel they have no more probability to win than either King Fury or Night Ops, I can’t endorse a win bet on any of them. Code of Honor won the Grade 2 Iselin Stakes in August at a shorter distance and although second in the Grade 1 Clark Stakes at the distance last November has a career record of 0-1-1in five tries at nine furlongs. Sleepy Eyes Todd won four of eight last year but has a record of 0-1-1 in five races this year and at nine furlongs his record of 1-2-0 in six races is okay but not dominant, particularly considering the only win and one of the second place finishes came at Charles Town, which is a unique seven furlong track so that trip is much different than it is at Keeneland. Independence Hall has a very similar record to Sleepy Eyes Todd, 0-1-2 in five races this year, none in which he threatened to win. His last win came at six and one-half furlongs and his career record at this trip is 0-1-2 in four tries.

                      Win Bets: King Fury (6) should be bet at odds of 5 to 2 or higher.
                      I would consider a win bet (for a smaller amount than on King Fury) on Night Ops at 7 to 2 or more.

                      Exactas
                      :

                      King Fury (6) and Night Ops (4) over King Fury (6), Night Ops (4), Code of Honor (7), Sleepy Eyes Todd (1) and Independence Hall (5).
                      Then also I would play the reverse of that exacta, which is: King Fury (6), Night Ops (4), Code of Honor (7), Sleepy Eyes Todd (1) and Independence Hall (5) over King Fury (6) and Night Ops (4).
                      At the $1 minimum, the cost of both sets of exacta wagers is $16, and if King Fury and Night Ops finish first and second we win both bets.





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                      Comment

                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369858

                        #12
                        Saturday’s 8th race from Santa Anita Park is the Grade 3, $100,000 Autumn Miss Stakes for three-year-old fillies traveling one mile on the turf course (Post Time 7:08 p.m. EDT).

                        #8 ZERO TOLERANCE (3-1) fired in all three sprints and overcame trouble to capture the Unzip Me Stakes Oct. 3. Peter Miller’s up-and-coming filly has route influences in her pedigree and Flavien Prat is 2-for-2 with her.

                        #5 Ego Trip (5-1) hit the board in all three outings including a show finish in the Lake Placid (G2). Technical Analysis beat her last time and that one would be heavily favored against this modest group. This might be her preferred trip and the maiden probably fits with these.

                        #6 Madone (7-2) cuts back to her winning trip. She is actually 5-for-5 on firm turf at one mile and she should be rolling late under her winning rider Juan Hernandez.

                        #3 Burgoo Alley (4-1) stretches back out after an even 3rd in the Unzip Me. She fired in a couple of flat mile optional claiming turf events at Del Mar and her winning pilot Umberto Rispoli strings along.

                        #7 Spanish Loveaffair (7-2) exits a sharp win as a 30-1 longshot in the Pebbles Stakes at Belmont Park and that was her third victory at one mile on turf. She figures to chase the pace under Abel Cedillo.

                        Wagers:

                        #8 to win

                        Exacta Box 5-8

                        Trifecta 5-8/3-5-6-7-8/3-5-6-7-8

                        Recent Best Bet Winners

                        Oct. 2 - Going To Vegas/Luck/Dogtag Trifecta ($38.00)
                        Oct. 3 - Mackinnon/Silver Surfer/Picota Trifecta ($100.80)
                        Oct. 5 - RESIST THE DEVIL ($9.00)
                        Oct. 6 - FAVORABLE OUTCOME ($4.60)
                        Oct. 8 - Special Reserve/Aloha West Exacta ($12.60)
                        Oct. 16 - Shantisara/Technical Analysis Exacta ($22.40)
                        Oct. 18 - Alnaseem/Fate Factor/No Mo Lady Trifecta ($350.00)
                        Oct. 26 - My Girl Lexi/Teller To Sing Exacta ($33.20)
                        Oct. 27 - SPEITFUL SAM ($6.20), Exacta ($20.00)
                        Oct. 28 - Big Bobby/Big Brown Shoes/Seven Lilies Trifecta ($457.48)
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                        Comment

                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369858

                          #13
                          Quick Picks for October 30, 2021

                          Belmont Park (NYRA)
                          Race #1- #3 PAVE MY WAY; #4 UNI LOVES A FIGHT; #8 SHIGEKO
                          Race #2- #1 NOBLE JOURNEY; #3 OUT OF THE BREECH; #4 CROSSING VERAZANNO
                          Race #3- #4 SHIPSATIONAL; #2 OVERSTEP; #5 EXCURSIONNISTE
                          Race #4- #13 LIVE IN FIVE; #10 PALACE GOSSIP; #9 SINFULLY SWEET
                          Race #5- #8 NY TRAFFIC; #4 AMUNDSON; #1 JUDGE N JURY
                          Race #6- #2 THE IMPORTANT ONE; #1 MISS JIMMY; #3 HANNAH DANCES
                          Race #7- #6 SUE ELLEN MISHKIN; #9 DUFRESNE; #1 VENTI VALENTINE
                          Race #8- #4 MAKE MISCHIEF; #8 MAIDEN BEAUTY; #7 BANK STING
                          Race #9- #5 AMERICANREVOLUTION; #3 MR. BUFF; #7 SEA FOAM
                          Race #10- #6 NEURO; #5 KING ANGELO; #10 BAR FOURTEEN


                          Charles Town Racing
                          Race #1- #4 BIPARTISAN BROOKE; #2 QUEEN OF KANTHAROS; #3 CALIFORNIA SUZY
                          Race #2- #5 SUPER GARNER; #1 ELLIE’S LIL MAN; #6 OWEN’S WAY
                          Race #3- #6 DEEMED ESSENTIAL; #1 DEW DAT; #3 MAGNOLIA MADAME
                          Race #4- #6 BOUGHT BY DIVA; #2 PULL UP MY SOCKS; #1 LEG UP
                          Race #5- #7 KING NEKIA; #9 PERUVIAN DANCER; #10 MARSAC
                          Race #6- #5 LOOKATLITTLEFERRIS; #4 KUKULKAN; #3 HELLO CARLO
                          Race #7- #6 COUSIN WINNIE; #2 SARAH’S WARRIOR; #7 HESSICA
                          Race #8- #8 CASTLE OF CAYLEE; #6 LONGSTORYLUCY; #4 LADY MADISON


                          Delaware Park
                          Race #1- #4 NATIVE HAWK; #3 JOHN’S PROMISE; #6 THEY SHOT SONNY
                          Race #2- #4 TONKA FLOWER; #3 LAWN BOY; #1 CREEKMORE
                          Race #3- #3 CONNECTING; #2 DONTFORGETTOBLINK; #7 BROADWAY RUCKUS
                          Race #4- #5 HIT THE TICKET; #9 MR. SHORTANDSIMPLE; #6 HOT TO SEEK HER
                          Race #5- #4 QUAD EIGHTS; #2 KATHERN’S JOY; #1 JACK LUVS NOVA
                          Race #6- #7 CAJUN INVASION; #8 STREET FACTS; #4 YO NESSROUNDONKERN
                          Race #7- #1 SEANOW; #5 REDEEM EDDIE; #7 SPITBALL
                          Race #8- #1 CELTIC TREASURE; #5 TAPPING THE GLASS; #4 KRATOS
                          Race #9- #5 MUTAKAAMIL; #2 APPEAL TO RESPOND; #6 HAIR OF THE DOG


                          Delta Downs
                          Race #1- #4 SHARONS'MOONSHADOW; #1 MAIRSILS FIRST; #2 MADISON JOY
                          Race #2- #10 CH BERN; #2 VON DOM; #5 WAR ROGUE
                          Race #3- #3 PAPA JR; #5 BOSTON BENBOW; #2 PRADO’S PRIORITY
                          Race #4- #6 HE’S A LUCKY MAN; #4 SECRET BLARNEY; #8 POPPI IS SMILING
                          Race #5- #5 SASSY EMMA; #1A SIN AND SMOKE; #2 BABY IT’S YOU
                          Race #6- #6 NON BINDING; #5 VERRAZANO ISLAND; #9 STRUMMER
                          Race #7- #9 PRISSY JADEN; #5 EARNESTINE N HAZEL; #2 SWEET BAY
                          Race #8- #11 I’M LOOKING UP; #7 D TWO; #3 FAREWELL TIME
                          Race #9- #7 UNDERPRESSURE; #3 NO PAROLE; #4 IZZY’S BABY BOY
                          Race #10- #9 RUSSIAN ROULETTE; #10 IT'SFIFTYSHADETIME; #3 FOUR PRINCESSES
                          Race #11- #9 MAGICIAN’S HOLIDAY; #4 CREATIVE LETTERS; #1 SING LOUD


                          Evangeline Downs
                          Race #1- #1A WILD BLUE CANDY; #1 SHEZ WILD AS JESS; #3 DOCS SFJ
                          Race #2- #4 A DIRTY DASH; #3 MG BOY TIME; #5 BLUE MOON TIME
                          Race #3- #5 MASONS JET BLACK; #3 NO KEY NEEDED; #7 FREAKIN PATRIOT DASH
                          Race #4- #9 LRH MOJO KAT; #7 DEL QUINTO; #1 CARTERS BAYOU ROSE
                          Race #5- #4 RH ARIANO DREAM; #5 PROFITZ; #9 JESS BLACK PERRY
                          Race #6- #6 SHEZA FREIGHTTRAIN T; #5 EYEONDAPRIZE; #1 LOVE THIS DASH
                          Race #7- #2 MP SIXTY SILKY; #3 YOU BET RHETT; #6 BF BOSSLADY
                          Race #8- #4 SAN LORENZEAUX; #7 BLOOD MONEY; #9 SOFT ON THE FREIGHT


                          Golden Gate Fields
                          Race #1- #4 BABE’S GOT APPEAL; #2 RUN LIKE KONA; #3 CUTETIP
                          Race #2- #4 REVEREND AL; #5 GOLDENEYED; #2 EROTIC
                          Race #3- #1 LET’S REJOYCE; #2 ITALIANO; #4 JEFFNJOHN'STHUNDR
                          Race #4- #5 MANY ROSES; #3 CANYON CREST; #2 STREET BEHAVIOR
                          Race #5- #6 KIND BUT SHE LIES; #3 VALRAVN; #7 BELLIZE
                          Race #6- #6 BRONZE WARRIOR; #1 HYDROGEN; #2 CONQUEST COBRA
                          Race #7- #1 CODE RIBBON; #3 WISHING ON A STAR; #5 IRISH WAHINE
                          Race #8- #2 PIZZAZZ; #5 PRINCESS VIVIAN; #1 WHEAL GRACE
                          Race #9- #1 CLEARLY GONE; #4 SCHERZO; #9 BUYBACK
                          Race #10- #3 ARICKAREE; #1 ALEXANDER’S DREAM; #7 PAY TAVASCO RENT


                          Gulfstream Park
                          Race #1- #5 DOUBLE BLESSING; #3 CREATIVE CHOICE; #4 MUTARAAFEQ
                          Race #2- #1 WELL DEFINED; #4 I’M A G SIX; #6 LEGAL DEAL
                          Race #3- #2 SISTER LOU ANN; #6 CASTLE BORN; #3 QUEEN MACHA
                          Race #4- #2 YOUNG FLINT; #7 JOE BENJAMIN; #4 CALL BROS
                          Race #5- #6 BACKATYA; #9 PALIMONIUM; #8 LOZANO
                          Race #6- #3 LEMIEUX; #2 RUNAWAY BREEZE; #6 BRITTIZ
                          Race #7- #7 ISADORABLE AIDA; #4 FATE OF OPHELIA; #2 MIDNIGHT BELLA
                          Race #8- #2 JUST LEO; #1 MAKE IT BIG; #3 CLAPTON
                          Race #9- #2 PLENUM; #7 JUST PLUNGE; #8 MAN ON THE MOON
                          Race #10- #8 EXAGGERATED MOMENT; #10 SADE PURSE; #9 FUTURE FLAY


                          Hawthorne Race Course
                          Race #1- #6 STELLA MARIE; #1 WINNING QUALITY; #2 JUKEBOX MONEY
                          Race #2- #3 GO STORMIN GIRL; #6 RUBY Y'ALL; #1 ENCHILADA
                          Race #3- #2 RIPE ATTACK; #1 LONG STATION; #3 BEL BIMBO
                          Race #4- #6 AND WON; #11 FRONTANA; #12 JUST THE FACTS
                          Race #5- #4 SILVERA; #5 PRESENT OF HERO; #6 WATCHIN THE WHEELS
                          Race #6- #2 WAR COLORS; #1 SPLASH CASH; #5 AIKEN TO BE
                          Race #7- #9 DANVILLE; #6 THE GREEN MO'STER; #3 ADMIRAL RETURNS
                          Race #8- #3 HURRICANE HIGHWAY; #6 GOING WITH STYLE; #2 W W SCOUT’S HONOR
                          Race #9- #6 UPBEAT MELODY; #3 SPINSTER ROAD; #9 BEE HAPPY ATTACK


                          Indiana Grand
                          Race #1- #6 BROKEN JUSTICE; #1 INDIANA RED; #5 AMERICAN NIGHTMARE
                          Race #2- #8 TROUBLED JUSTICE; #5 CAP DE FUEGO; #6 CLEARING WAIVERS
                          Race #3- #6 MISS DEPUTY STAR; #5 BROOKVILLE STORM; #7 CECIL’S ANGEL
                          Race #4- #8 HOLY JUSTICE; #5 NO TRUST; #3 FLIRTY DANCER
                          Race #5- #2 CASH LOGISTICS; #5 STOP HAMMERTIME; #3 MAX EXPRESS
                          Race #6- #10 MR CHAOS; #11 LOADEMUPJUSTICE; #1 TOO BAD JUSTICE
                          Race #7- #8 HUNGARIAN PRINCESS; #7 FIREBALL BABY; #4 DIAMOND SOLITAIRE
                          Race #8- #1 MY ROYAL CASINO; #8 FE BRIMMS FORTUNES; #3 INDEPENDENT EAGLE
                          Race #9- #5 MR MICHEL; #6 HIGH ROLLING SEIZE; #3 LEXUS BEACH
                          Race #10- #3 WRS MOONIN THEWAGON; #9 JESS OVER YONDER; #5 ON A NEW NOTE
                          Race #11- #8 STONE LAKE; #6 ROCK CANDY ALMIGHTY; #2 WH IMASTREAKINBEACH
                          Race #12- #1 WRS VALENTINO; #6 TEN SENT; #4 JESS A FLYIN BEACH
                          Race #13- #8 PRIZE KISS; #10 BP CK EAGLE; #3 EL RUBIO CORONA


                          Keeneland Race Course
                          Race #1- #8 SOCIAL CIRCLE; #1 SWEET TASSA; #4 YOU CAN BE MAGIC
                          Race #2- #4 BELLA ASTERN; #1 SIGN AND SEAL; #13 UNDER ONE SKY
                          Race #3- #6 LOONSHOT; #8 ILLUSTRIOUS; #7 COUNTRIFIED
                          Race #4- #2 UPANDCOMINGSTAR; #1 SURREALIST; #3 KIZZY B
                          Race #5- #5 YIN YANG; #10 BHOMA; #4 DIRTY NELLIE
                          Race #6- #2 PYRON; #1A DERBY DATE; #6 TOP SEED
                          Race #7- #2 CHATTALOT; #7 MY PRANKSTER; #1 ROGER MCQUEEN
                          Race #8- #10 YES THIS TIME; #12 DREAMER’S DISEASE; #6 LIKE THE KING
                          Race #9- #5 INDEPENDENCE HALL; #7 CODE OF HONOR; #1 SLEEPY EYES TODD
                          Race #10- #1 FAMED; #9 HALO OF FIRE; #6 BUNDUKI


                          Laurel Park
                          Race #1- #1 MAHKATO; #14 AVENIDA MANANA; #11 OVER TO YOU
                          Race #2- #4 MEXICALI ROSE; #6 FORTES; #3 FOXTROT SEVILLE
                          Race #3- #9 KOBE’S GIRL; #3 MEJORAMIGA; #7 MIZ THE BEST
                          Race #4- #5 TWEET AWAY ROBIN; #1 NANA’S SHOES; #4 JOYFUL NOISE
                          Race #5- #1 HARD FOUGHT; #10 POINT DRIVEN; #5 GOLAZO
                          Race #6- #1 KYMMIES CHARDONNAY; #5 SAFE REEZAN; #6 REDWHITEANDTACOS
                          Race #7- #4 ALGEBRAIC; #1 MAGIC MULE; #7 SOUTHSIDE SWIG
                          Race #8- #4 SCOTTSDALE; #1 ODDS ON; #8 CONFUSION BABY BOY
                          Race #9- #11 INANNA’S QUEST; #6 TRAFFIC SONG; #4 TAYLER’S CHROME
                          Race #10- #3 TIPYOURHATTOTHAT; #6 JACK OF HEARTS; #7 LET US MAKE GOLD


                          Lone Star Park
                          Race #1- #8 LIL SOUTHERN SISTER; #4 MAXIMUM THEORY; #3 SHEZA LOUISIANA BLUE
                          Race #2- #8 TH DANCING DARLENE; #7 ZEF GARCIA SEIS; #4 ALLURING PERRY
                          Race #3- #10 FLY INSEPERABLE; #1 JB TOO SEXY; #7 EYESA RED CAT
                          Race #4- #5 BL MS BODACIOUSQUICK; #12 GLIMPSE OF BILLY; #2 THIS CHIC GOTTA GUN
                          Race #5- #8 FAVORITE JOB; #11 LETHAL COWBOY JESSIE; #10 REMBERING MAC
                          Race #6- #10 HIGH FASHION RETURNS; #9 TELLER IMA FAST MAN; #3 CJ I AINT NO FOOL
                          Race #7- #4 A POLITICAL PASSION; #8 SHEZ YOUR SECRET; #6 UR EL MODELO
                          Race #8- #2 DOUBLEWIDE QUEEN; #6 MISS NEVER TO LATE; #10 APOLLITICAL FOOL
                          Race #9- #8 WOW WHAT A DYNASTY; #4 SEPERATE RAIN; #3 JESS MOLLY BROWN
                          Race #10- #1 THE DANCING POP POP; #8 ALLURE ME SOFTLY; #7 LETHAL WHITE VEIL


                          Mahoning Valley Race Course
                          Race #1- #3 HITE; #1 POWERFUL PHIL; #1A TURBO POWER
                          Race #2- #1 DRUMBEG; #8 CAT’S RHYTHM; #3 STATUS SYMBOL
                          Race #3- #5 RUNLIKEJACKIEO; #1 GLIMMERGLASS; #3 EARLY BLOOMER
                          Race #4- #2 SEEKING THE MONEY; #6 WWINSPIRED; #5 LITTLE LADY POWER
                          Race #5- #2 REANIMATE; #3 HANSENATION; #5 EL MARRO
                          Race #6- #5 SALLY STRONG; #4 DRILLIT; #7 CIRCUS RINGS
                          Race #7- #1 TANTRUM; #7 THEDAYOFTHEGREY; #3 COUNTRY CLUB BOBBY
                          Race #8- #1 CHRISTMAS; #9 CANDLELIGHT HOURS; #10 SQUID
                          Race #9- #9 ALTISSIMO; #12 LIBERATE; #7 MORESTRIDE
                          Race #10- #13 WICKED WARRIOR; #7 FOREWARNED; #3 TO WIN


                          Meadowlands
                          Race #1- #14 MYSTERY BANK; #1 PRICING EXERCISE; #8 NUTZFORBOLTZ
                          Race #2- #6 SEBAGO LAKE; #7 SPICY HONEY; #4 TACTICAL RANGE
                          Race #3- #10 I’M BLAMING YOU; #3 COUCH DREAMS; #11 RED MULE
                          Race #4- #9 DISCRETIONARY MARQ; #11 CALL WIL; #2 FORT FORTITUDE
                          Race #5- #1 LIKE WHAT I SEE; #6 WOLFE ‘N HAWKE; #10 LUCKY LOVER BOY
                          Race #6- #5 PERPETUAL CHANGE; #11 GOTANDA; #12 HEATED BATTLE


                          Santa Anita Park
                          Race #1- #1 MUCHO UNUSUAL; #7 QUIET SECRETARY; #6 FAST JET COURT
                          Race #2- #6 MR. DOUGIE FRESH; #4 SMILEFORME; #5 INDY JONES
                          Race #3- #4 THRILLING; #5 VEGAS PALM; #7 MAXIM STRIDER
                          Race #4- #1 LETSGETLUCKY; #5 PRINCIPE CARLO; #3 PREACHING TRAINER
                          Race #5- #12 MAC DADDY TOO; #7 GREGORY’S PRIDE; #14 VANTASTIC
                          Race #6- #7 BRILLIANT CUT; #3 I’M THE BOSS OF ME; #6 LITTLE MISS ELLIE
                          Race #7- #2 HEAD START; #4 AWESOME TAYLOR; #1 BEACHGRASS
                          Race #8- #6 MADONE; #7 SPANISH LOVEAFFAIR; #8 ZERO TOLERANCE
                          Race #9- #3 MOOSE MITCHELL; #5 GRAZEN IN THE PARK; #1 CREATIVE PEAK
                          Race #10- #9 MACRELLETTA; #5 FRENCH FRANC; #8 K P KRYPTON


                          Will Rogers Downs
                          Race #1- #3 GIORGIS PRIZE; #1 APOLLOS SECOND SIGN; #6 MARIO CAT TALE
                          Race #2- #7 CORONA MOON; #2 CEC MEAN OLE LUCY; #4 IM A DANCIN BANDIT
                          Race #3- #1 PIKE PASS; #7 LION KING; #4 CANDY CARTEL
                          Race #4- #7 ROCKN MISS CALLIE; #5 A CHROME POWER SURGE; #4 HOCKS ON THE MOVE
                          Race #5- #6 SHADI LADY; #2 JESS GOOD ENOUGH; #3 FACING THE FIRE
                          Race #6- #2 STREAKINLILWAGON; #4 BP PRIMETIME; #3 FG JESS DASH
                          Race #7- #4 ONE KOOL DREAMER; #5 CINDYDOESITAGAIN; #6 MH APOLLITICAL SPY
                          Race #8- #7 MY MIDNIGHT CANDY; #2 RED WHITE EAGLE; #5 DYNAMO SNOW
                          Race #9- #2 KOOL AND FABULOUS; #6 HRR DREAMER; #5 LETHAL TIMBER
                          Race #10- #9 LIL KOOL RUNAWAY; #6 JESS DUANES LADY; #8 INSEPERABLE APOLLO
                          Race #11- #4 CORONA RELENTLESS; #2 DASHING OAK; #5 A REGAL IVORY
                          Race #12- #9 FERVANT; #1 SHESA COPY KAT; #4 BV WHISKEY LULLABY


                          Woodbine Racetrack
                          Race #1- #9 MS WICKED; #3 NORTHERN CROSS; #5 ALTERNATIVE VIEW
                          Race #2- #9 ORBALINE; #5 BABY DRIVER; #11 CHALDEA
                          Race #3- #1 IRONSTONE; #2 HEAT MERCHANT; #7 DANCIN IN DA'NILE
                          Race #4- #2 CAPPY; #6 CONFIDENT; #5 FROSTERIA
                          Race #5- #6 SILENT FAREWELL; #5 CITRUS BOY; #4 HOLIDAY HOUSE
                          Race #6- #4 COLLECTIVE FORCE; #2 JUAN PABLO; #13 SEGUIMI
                          Race #7- #9 THERE’S NO JOE; #11 SOUPER WATSON; #3 MASON’S GAMBLE
                          Race #8- #10 FAST FEET; #13 STRONGER TOGETHER; #1 J M R BEST OF TURF
                          Race #9- #7 SKYLERVILLE; #8 MARIE MACKAY; #1 AUBRIETA
                          Race #10- #4 PRICELESS WILL; #7 CANDY OVERLOAD; #2 LAST AMERICAN EXIT
                          Race #11- #6 KITTEN’S SOLUTION; #12 DANI’S VICTORY; #4 DOT’S VISION
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                          Comment

                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369858

                            #14
                            Key Races & Bets for Saturday October 30, 2021

                            Race 6 at Keeneland – Post Time 3:40 PM

                            Mr. Jagermeister, Derby Date and Pyron are the main contenders to win this race.
                            Mr. Jagermeister has a very strong career record of 12 wins in 31 dirt races and earnings of over $650K. Yet he opens at 12/1 because he’s been running in Minnesota and Iowa recently. He also gets a low percentage jockey but I’m going to ignore that because the horse is drawn very well with an outside post and has the tactical speed to be first or second early the way he likes it. Mr. Jagermeister has put in two strong half-mile works since his last race on 9/8 and is holding his form so must be given top billing as he opens at much higher odds than the other two listed contenders.
                            Derby Date is coupled with Bon Raison as both are owned by Calumet farm but I am not interested in the other so if Derby Date scratches I will not bet the entry. Derby Date ran poorly in a stakes race last month at Churchill and it was such a bad effort I think it can be ignored. He won two in a row prior to that and Rosario taking the call suggests he will run back to one of those two efforts.
                            Pyron returned from nine months off four weeks ago and ran second in a fine effort to a stakes winner. He can improve second off the layoff and won a little over a year ago at the one lower allowance condition with a 110 Equibase figure which is tops in the field (Derby Date’s best is 101 and Mr. Jagermeister’s best is 102). Mena rode him for the first time in his most recent start and considering the horse has been first or second in nearly half his 14 races he is a must to use on any exacta tickets we play at the very least.
                            Handicapper Picks
                            Win bets: Mr. Jagermeister at 3 to 1 or more.
                            Derby Date at 7 to 2 or more.

                            “IF” both horses are above minimum odds for making a win bet near post time, they can be bet using a “Dutching Tool” like the one which is free and easy to use at Amwager.com. A Dutching tool lets you set the amount you want to bet or the amount you want to win, then based on the odds your bets are proportioned accordingly. Amwager has a great dutching tool available, among many other great features.

                            Exactas:
                            Box Mr. Jagermeister, Derby Date and Pyron

                            Mr. Jagermeister, Derby Date and Pyron over Mr. Jagermeister, Derby Date, Pyron, Much Better and Top Seed

                            Mr. Jagermeister, Derby Date, Pyron, Much Better and Top Seed over Mr. Jagermeister, Derby Date and PyronGe up to $500 signup bonus and cashback rewards when you bet with AmWager.


                            I’m Ready To Bet Now!

                            Bowman Mill Stakes – Race 7 at Keeneland – Post Time 4:12 PM Eastern

                            Chattalot and My Prankster are the main win contenders in this race.
                            Chattalot is undefeated in two starts, the first in his debut in July at Saratoga in a huge effort after battling head-and-head for the entire length of the stretch, then after two and one-half months off four weeks ago. In that first level allowance race at Churchill Downs, Chattalot relaxed in third in the early stages, had traffic issues in the stretch, the got up to win. The progression to a 100 Equibase figure, tops in the field, already makes him the one to beat and with logical improvement second off the layoff he should win this stakes race for three year olds in his third career start.
                            My Prankster won at Saratoga in his debut similar to Chattalot’s win in his debut one week earlier. In that win My Prankster showed a lot of maturity to rally after relaxing in third early. He then ran in the Grade 1 Champagne Stakes and although well regarded by bettors at 7 to 2 odds he could only manage fourth. This race is a much better fit and the 95 figure from his debut bears improving so he’s the other main contender to win.
                            Nakatomi and Freelancer finished second and third, respectively, behind Chattalot in their most recent races and have a shot to be part of the trifecta or exacta.

                            Handicapper Picks

                            Win bets: Chattalot at odds of 3 to 2 or more.
                            Exactas:
                            Chattalot over Nakatomi, Freelancer and My Prankster
                            Chattalot and My Prankster over Chattalot, Nakatomi, My Prankster and Freelancer
                            Trifecta:
                            Chattalot and My Prankster over Chattalot and My Prankster over Nakatomi and FreelancerGet up to $500 signup bonus and cashback rewards when you bet with AmWager.

                            I’m Ready To Bet Now!


                            Bryan Station Stakes – Race 8 at Belmont – Post Time 4:44 PM Eastern

                            Camp Hope, Yes This Time and Point Me By are the main win contenders.
                            Camp Hope comes back for the second time at the Keeneland meeting and there is every reason to have faith trainer Ken McPeek knows the colt is the type to be able to do it as many horses have done over the years successfully. He won on 10/8 at a mile and one-eighth on grass powerfully by five lengths after opening up by six with an eighth of a mile to go and was TOTALLY WRAPPED up by his jockey Hernandez (who rides back) at the end. That was his second “A” race in a row as he missed by a neck after leading late in a very tough race at Kentucky Downs on the turf at a mile and five sixteenths. Not only is the cut back to a mile going to hit him right between the eyes, his last two Equibase Speed Figures of 102 and 103 are the best in the field, with only Point Me By and Yes This Time having broken the 100 threshold recently. He won that last race leading all the way but before that he rallied from fourth and about six lengths back early so no matter the pace scenario Camp Hope should be very tough in this situation. Additionally, those two races came against three year olds and upward and he’s facing only three year olds today.
                            Yes This Time finished second in a career-best effort in the Dueling Grounds Derby last time out. Gaffalione was up for the first time and rides back and the 104 figure is as strong as the 103 Camp Hope earned last out. Like Camp Hope, Yes This Time cuts back in distance, from 1 5/16 miles to this one mile trip, which helps sharpen his late kick and gives him a strong shot to earn his seventh career win in his 11th career start.
                            Point Me By offers value for the exacta, and for a win bet, not offered by the other two, as he opens at 10/1. He won a turf sprint in his debut in June then in spite of finishing fourth ran huge second time out as he was ninth with an eighth of a mile to go and was fourth and beaten just a length at the end. At a mile in his next start, on 8/14, Point Me By won the Grade 1 Bruce D Stakes (formerly the Secretariat) for three year olds only which is identical to this race. Then he shortened up to six and one-half furlongs for the very tough Franklin Simpson Stakes and had no kick. He will appreciate the stretch out to a mile and rounds out the top contenders here as his Bruce D effort earned a 103 figure.
                            Handicapper Picks
                            Win bets: Camp Hope to win at odds of 5 to 2 or more.
                            Point Me By to win at odds of 7 to 2 or more.
                            This is another race where a Dutching tool, like the one which is free at Amwager, really helps. We are likely to have two horses have much different odds near post time so the tool really helps us gain an edge mathematically when wagering on more than one horse to win.
                            Note: Yes This Time can be bet to win at odds of 3 to 1 or more but that is his morning line and I doubt he will reach that threshold so we can try to profit from his winning by using him on exacta and trifecta tickets as below.
                            Exactas:
                            Box Point Me By, Yes This Time and Camp Hope
                            Point Me By, Yes This Time and Camp Hope over Point Me By, Yes This Time and Camp Hope, Charles Chrome, Like the King, Scarlett Sky and Dreamer’s Disease.
                            Trifecta:
                            Point Me By, Yes This Time and Camp Hope over ALL over Point Me By, Yes This Time and Camp Hope, Charles Chrome, Like the King, Scarlett Sky and Dreamer’s Disease. (Played in conjunction with the exactas above covers most of the combinations such that we win if any two of the three main contenders finish first and second, or first and third, for us to win. If they happen to finish first, second and third we win both bets).
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                            Comment

                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369858

                              #15
                              Santa Anita - October 30

                              October 29, 2021




                              SANTA ANITA TIPS - SATURDAY, OCTOBER 30, 2021
                              Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 66% of the time at this track.
                              RACE #1 $65,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
                              1 1/8 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:30 PM ET

                              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

                              WIN 6-1 6 Fast Jet Court D Van Dyke
                              PLACE 7-2 4 Tapwater J Bravo
                              SHOW 6-1 2 Kuora U Rispoli
                              WILD CARD 9-5 1 Mucho Unusual F Prat
                              ALTERNATE 1 5-1 7 Quiet Secretary T Baze
                              ALTERNATE 2 8-1 3 Sassyserb G Franco

                              * EXACTA: 6-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX
                              * TRIFECTA: 2/4/6 BOX, 1/2/4 BOX

                              RACE #2 $10,500 CLAIMING
                              6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:00 PM ET

                              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

                              WIN 4-1 2 Platinum Equity D A Herrera
                              PLACE 8-5 4 Smileforme J J Hernandez
                              SHOW 12-1 5 Indy Jones T Baze
                              WILD CARD 5-1 3 Pelican Way A Centeno
                              ALTERNATE 1 7-5 6 Mr. Dougie Fresh F Prat
                              ALTERNATE 2 15-1 1 Bam Bam Again G Franco

                              * EXACTA: 2-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX, 5-3 BOX
                              * TRIFECTA: 2/4/5 BOX, 3/4/5 BOX

                              RACE #3 $63,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
                              6 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:30 PM ET

                              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

                              WIN 6-1 2 Another Eddie M Gutierrez
                              PLACE 2-1 4 Thrilling U Rispoli
                              SHOW 8-1 6 Trouville J J Hernandez
                              WILD CARD 5-2 1 Fantail F Prat
                              ALTERNATE 1 4-1 7 Maxim Strider J Valdivia Jr.
                              ALTERNATE 2 12-1 3 Flipping Fast J Bravo

                              * EXACTA: 2-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX
                              * TRIFECTA: 2/4/6 BOX, 1/4/6 BOX

                              RACE #4 $63,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
                              6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:01 PM ET
                              BEST BET: #5 PRINCIPE CARLO

                              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

                              WIN 7-2 5 Principe Carlo G Franco
                              PLACE 5-2 1 Letsgetlucky D Van Dyke
                              SHOW 4-1 3 Preaching Trainer F Prat
                              WILD CARD 5-1 2 First Prez E A Maldonado
                              ALTERNATE 1 3-1 6 Nichiren K Frey
                              ALTERNATE 2 5-1 4 Squalotoro D A Herrera

                              * EXACTA: 5-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX
                              * TRIFECTA: 1/3/5 BOX, 1/2/3 BOX

                              RACE #5 $63,000 ALLOWANCE
                              6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DOWNHILL TURF - POST TIME: 5:35 PM ET
                              BEST BET: #6 ELUSIVE TREAT

                              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

                              WIN 7-2 6 Elusive Treat T Baze
                              PLACE 6-1 2 Dominant Soul K J Desormeaux
                              SHOW 6-1 13 Go On J J Hernandez
                              WILD CARD 3-1 12 Mac Daddy Too F Prat
                              ALTERNATE 1 8-1 1 Constitutionaffair J J Hernandez
                              ALTERNATE 2 20-1 10 Cherubic Factor G Franco

                              * EXACTA: 6-2 BOX, 2-13 BOX, 13-12 BOX
                              * TRIFECTA: 2/6/13 BOX, 2/12/13 BOX

                              RACE #6 $36,000 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING
                              6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:06 PM ET

                              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

                              WIN 2-1 3 Im the Boss of Me F Prat
                              PLACE 6-5 7 Brilliant Cut J J Hernandez
                              SHOW 15-1 2 Malibu Hannah D A Herrera
                              WILD CARD 4-1 6 Little Miss Ellie K J Desormeaux
                              ALTERNATE 1 8-1 5 Double Fantasy E A Maldonado
                              ALTERNATE 2 12-1 4 Keep Your Coil T Baze

                              * EXACTA: 3-7 BOX, 7-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX
                              * TRIFECTA: 2/3/7 BOX, 2/6/7 BOX

                              RACE #7 $45,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
                              6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:37 PM ET

                              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

                              WIN 5-2 2 Head Start D Van Dyke
                              PLACE 8-1 3 Big Mama Thornton D A Herrera
                              SHOW 4-1 1 Beachgrass K J Desormeaux
                              WILD CARD 3-1 7 Talkative Gal K Frey
                              ALTERNATE 1 5-1 6 Kobe in Motion T Baze
                              ALTERNATE 2 8-1 5 Sangre Azul T J Pereira

                              * EXACTA: 2-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX, 1-7 BOX
                              * TRIFECTA: 1/2/3 BOX, 1/3/7 BOX

                              RACE #8 $100,000 STAKES
                              1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 7:08 PM ET
                              ** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $100,000 MISS AUTUMN STAKES G3

                              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

                              WIN 12-1 1 Eddies New Dream M Gutierrez
                              PLACE 4-1 3 Burgoo Alley U Rispoli
                              SHOW 3-1 8 Zero Tolerance F Prat
                              WILD CARD 7-2 6 Madone J J Hernandez
                              ALTERNATE 1 7-2 7 Spanish Loveaffair A Cedillo
                              ALTERNATE 2 5-1 5 Ego Trip V Espinoza

                              * EXACTA: 1,3,6,8 Box
                              * TRIFECTA: 1,3,6,8 Box
                              COMMENTS: EDDIES NEW DREAM won his last in his first grass go, expecting more today. BURGOO ALLEY has four strong efforts after her US debut. ZERO TOLERANCE is a nose away from being undefeated in three starts. MADONE is an all or nothing horse, five wins in nine races, all of them in six at the distance.

                              RACE #9 $61,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
                              6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:40 PM ET
                              BEST BET: #3 MOOSE MITCHELL

                              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

                              WIN 2-1 3 Moose Mitchell D A Herrera
                              PLACE 5-2 1 Creative Peak U Rispoli
                              SHOW 12-1 7 Straight Up Lov T Baze
                              WILD CARD 4-1 8 Jack Sixpack G Franco
                              ALTERNATE 1 8-1 2 Tribal Dancing D Van Dyke
                              ALTERNATE 2 20-1 4 Mr Bug Z T J Pereira

                              * EXACTA: 3-1 BOX, 1-7 BOX, 7-8 BOX
                              * TRIFECTA: 1/3/7 BOX, 1/7/8 BOX

                              RACE #10 $45,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
                              1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 8:10 PM ET

                              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

                              WIN 3-1 5 French Franc V Espinoza
                              PLACE 6-1 1 Im a Giraffe J Bravo
                              SHOW 12-1 9 Macrelletta D A Herrera
                              WILD CARD 4-1 10 Set the Tone D Van Dyke
                              ALTERNATE 1 5-1 2 Blossoming U Rispoli
                              ALTERNATE 2 20-1 4 Charlotte Harbor K J Desormeaux

                              * EXACTA: 5-1 BOX, 1-9 BOX, 9-10 BOX
                              * TRIFECTA: 1/5/9 BOX, 1/9/10 BOX
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