Saturday 11/6/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Duane Colucci

Filly and Mare Turf: Del Mar Race No. 7

#4 Rougir (6-1 morning line). “Winner of the Prix de l’Opera is definitely peaking now. This 3-year-old beat last year’s winner of this race in France and still gets 4 pounds vs. her today! Bet 4 to Win and key 4 over 6,7 and 12 in exactas, trifectas and reverse.”


$0.50 all-BC stakes Pick 4 (cost $50)

Race 9: 3,4,6,9,10

Race 10: 1,2,3,4

Race 11: 1,4,5,10,13

Race 12: 5


Mile: Del Mar Race No. 9

#3 Space Blues (3-1 morning line). “This Charles Appleby trainee has been crushing the competition lately, both in France and Britain. Space Blues should enjoy going one more furlong and jockeyWilliam Buick has vast international experience. Looks to like a firm to good course and has carried more weight than today as well. Bet 3 to Win and key 3 over 4 and 6 in exactas, trifectas and reverse.”


Classic: Del Mar Race No. 12

#5 Knicks Go (5-2 morning line). “Knicks Go should be off to the races from the get-go. I don’t believe there will be a hot pace. Joel Rosario should have an easy trip wire to wire. Trainer Brad Cox is holding all the cards. Bet 5 to Win and key 5 over 4,7,8 and 9 in exactas and trifectas.”

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Ed Sehon

All-BC Stakes Pick 3: Del Mar Races Nos. 5-7

$1 Pick 3 (cost $32)

Race 5: 1,3,8,9

Race 6: 1,8

Race 7: 1,6,7,12

Turf Sprint: Del Mar Race No. 5

“Anticipating inflated Breeders’ Cup exotic payoffs, I’m willing to go four deep with #1 Glass Slippers (6-1 morning line), #3 Golden Pal (7-2), #8 Caravel (20-1) and #9 Kimari (6-1) — in an effort to cash pricey ticket. Wager: Exacta box of 1,3,8 and 9.”


Dirt Mile: Del Mar Race No. 6

#8 Eight Rings (10-1 morning line). “Expensive ($520,000) 4-year-old son of Empire Maker turns back to a mile, gets new rider (J.J. Hernandez) and sports three blazing works over seaside oval. While other Bob Baffert-trained BC entries possess higher profiles, this overlooked guy’s poised to explode in stretch. Wager: Win and Place.”

All-BC Stakes Pick 4: Del Mar Races Nos. 9-12

$0.50 all-BC stakes Pick 4 (cost $54)

Race 9: 3,6,10

Race 10: 1,3,8

Race 11: 3,6,13

Race 12: 4,5,6,8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Timothy Black

Nov 06 '21, 3:30 PM in 3h
NCAA-F | Penn State vs Maryland
Play on: Maryland +10½ -110 at Mirage

1* Best Bet on Maryland +10½ -110

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Jesse Schule

Nov 06 '21, 4:00 PM in 3h
NCAA-F | Utah State vs New Mexico State
Play on: New Mexico State +18½ -106 at pinnacle

This is a free play on New Mexico State.
New Mexico State is coming off a 48-34 loss at Hawaii, and they are just 1-7 overall with the one win coming against an FCS team. They have covered the spread in six of their last seven overall however. They are coming off a bye week, giving them two full weeks to rest and prepare for a home game against Utah State. There is no question that Utah State is the better team here, but neither team is very good defensively, and New Mexico State should be able to score their fair share of points. The ome team is 5-2 ATS in their last seven head to head meetings.
GL,
Jesse Schule

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rk	Sports Services	Free Sports Picks	Place A Bet
1.	NSA(The Legend)	CFB – Duke +21	Line @ Bovada
2.	Gameday Network	CFB – Rutgers over 38	Line @ Bovada
3.	Sports Action 365	CFB – Iowa -12	Line @ BetAnySports
4.	Vegas Line Crushers	CFB – Michigan over 51	Line @ GT Bets
5.	VegasSI.com	CFB – Minnesota -14.5	Line @ Bovada
6.	PointSpreadReport.com(SAM CASEY)	CFB – Florida -20.5	Line @ BetAnySports
7.	Winning Big Sports	CFB – Liberty under 67	Line @ MyBookie
8.	NSA(Gerry “Big Cat” Andino)	CFB – Temple +15.5	Line @ Bovada
9.	Lou Panelli	CFB – Tulane under 58	Line @ BetAnySports
10.	VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club	CFB – Utah St -18.5	Line @ GT Bets
11.	William E. Stockton	CFB – North Texas -5.5	Line @ MyBookie
12.	Vincent Pioli	CFB – SMU -3.5	Line @ Bovada
13.	Steve “Scoop” Kendall	CFB – California -8.5	Line @ Bovada
14.	SCORE	CFB – Boise St over 61	Line @ GT Bets
15.	Tony Campone	CFB – San Diego St -7	Line @ BetAnySports
16.	Chicago Sports Group	CFB – UNLV +1.5	Line @ Bovada
17.	Hollywood Sportsline	CFB – Florida +1.5	Line @ Bovada
18.	VIP Action	CFB – Wyoming over 41.5	Line @ GT Bets
19.	South Beach Sports	CFB – Texas A&M -4.5	Line @ Bovada
20.	Las Vegas Sports Commission	CFB – Kentucky +1	Line @ Bovada
21.	NY Players Club	CFB – SMU under 72	Line @ BetAnySports
22.	Fred Callahan	CFB – Nebraska +14.5	Line @ Bovada
23.	Las Vegas Private CEO Club	CFB – USC +10	Line @ MyBookie
24.	Michigan Sports	CFB – TCU +7	Line @ GT Bets
25.	National Consensus Report	CFB – Tulsa over 56	Line @ Bovada

[Can'tPickAWinner]

2.	National Sports Service	CFB	Oregon -7	3-2 (+80)	5-1 (+390)
3.	Insider Sports Report	CFB	Nevada -10.5	1-4 (-340)	3-0 (+300)
4.	Doc's Picks	CFB	Georgia under 49.5	3-1 (+190)	5-2 (+295)
5.	Elite Sports Picks	NBA	Phoenix -4.5	2-2 (-20)	4-2-1 (+180)
6.	The Sports Consensus	CFB	Baylor -7	3-1-1 (+190)	4-3 (+70)
7.	The Spot Player	CFB	UTEP +11.5	2-2 (-20)	3-3 (-30)
8.	Primetime Sports Picks	CFB	Miami under 63.5	1-3 (-250)	3-3 (-30)
9.	Top Rank Sports Picks	CFB	Hawaii over 45.5	3-2 (+80)	3-3 (-30)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mikey Sports	NBA	DALLAS MAVERICKS ‑4.5	2	2	-20
Top Dog		No pick yet	0	1	-100
Pure Lock	NCAA Football	COASTAL CAROLINA CHANTICLEERS ‑16	0	1	-110
Ace / Sleeper Selections		No pick yet	0	1	-110
Rocketman Sports	NBA	DALLAS MAVERICKS ‑4.5	1	2	-120
5thstreetpicks		No pick yet	0	2	-200
Joe Wiz	NBA	BOSTON CELTICS/DALLAS MAVERICKS o210	1	3	-230
Tommy King Wins	NCAA Football	HOUSTON COUGARS ‑13	1	4	-340
Hottie4Sports	NHL	WASHINGTON CAPITALS ‑1.5 +160	1	3	-370
R and R Totals	NCAA Football	SAN JOSE STATE SPARTANS/NEVADA WOLF PACK u55.5	0	4	-440

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dennis Macklin

Nov 06 '21, 7:00 PM in 6h
NCAA-F | UNLV vs New Mexico
Play on: UNLV +2½ -110 at Mirage

DMack's Free Play for Saturday, November 6, 2021 is on the UNLV Rebels
IF UNLV is going to get it's first win in two years under Arroyo, it had better be here. New Mexico is actually in the better spot (at home, off upset of Wyoming, off bye) but the Lobos just don't bring much to the table other than playing hard. The offense averages just 10 ppg. and 189 yards in conference play while getting outgained 2 to 1. The Rebels were spanked by rival Nevada last week but now that that is out of the way they can concentrate on getting a win to build off of. UNLV is 4-1 L5 as a road dog and the road team is 4-0 SU and ATS L4 in the series. Sometimes you just have to hold your nose. UNLV 30-17.

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Larry Ness

Nov 06 '21, 7:00 PM in 6h
NCAA-F | LSU vs Alabama
Play on: LSU +29 -110 at Mirage

My free play is on LSU at 7:00 ET.No. 3 Alabama (7-1, 4-1 SEC) was placed No. 2 in Tuesday's initial CFP rankings and will be at home Saturday against the disappointing LSU Tigers (4-4, 2-3 SEC). Much has changed in the last few years between the longtime SEC rivals. Alabama is a four-TD favorite over LSU, which is just two years removed from a national championship season in which Ed Orgeron's Tigers produced one of the greatest single seasons in NCAA history. However, as the teams meet in Tuscaloosa, while Nick Saban is 'chasing' an EIGHTH national championship, Orgeron and LSU have reached an agreement on a buyout with the head coach, effective at the end of the season.
Myles Brennan was the presumed starting QB before sustaining a broken arm before the start of preseason camp and is now the latest player to enter the transfer portal. However, don't blame current QB Max Johnson for LSU's woes this year, as he's thrown for 2,009 yards with 20 TDs and just five INTs. The problem has been an almost non-existent LSU running game. Davis-Pryce ran for 287 of LSU's 321 yards in the Tigers' 49-42 upset of Florida but taking away that performance, LSU has averaged a woeful 82.3 YPG on the ground in its other seven games. The offense has managed to average 30.5 PPG but the defense has allowed 28.8 PPG (85th) on 410.1 YPG (88th). Texas A&M knocked Alabama from the top spot in the polls with a 41-38 upset back on Oct 9 but the third-ranked Crimson Tide rolled past Mississippi State and Tennessee since, before having last Saturday off. However, as noted above, Alabama debuted at No. 2 in the first College Football Playoff ranking of the season this past Tuesday. Freshman QB Bryce Young (70.0% for 2,453 yards with 26 TDs and three INTs is one of the Heisman frontrunners. WRs Metchie (52 catches / 11.6 YPC / 5 TDs) and Williams (35 catches / 20.3 YPC / 6 TDs) are his favorite targets but note that TE Latu may have just 13 receptions but he also has five TD catches. The running game is solid (171.0 YPG), led by Robinson (706 yards / 5.0 YPC / 11 TDs). Alabama ranks second in scoring (45.9 PPG) and its defense allows only 20.6 PPG (30th) on 306.3 YPG (13th).
LSU won its last trip to Tuscaloosa during the school's national championship of 2019 but the Tide got their revenge last season at LSU, winning 55-17, finished with a 650-352 yardage edge (Alabama put up 45 points on 469 yards in the first half of that game of that game). Yes, Alabama has won NINE of the last 10 meetings with LSU, but EIGHT of the games since 2005 have been decided by SEVEN points or less (three went to overtime). One preview I read noted that LSU has already lost by double digits on the road at UCLA, Kentucky and Ole Miss but FAILED to note that the average margin of defeat was 15.3 PPG, almost two TDs less than the current line of this contest.
Let me add that Alabama only led Tennessee just 21-14 at the half in its last game, before pulling away for a 28 point win. One has to believe that the LSU players really want to finish coach Ed Orgeron's final season strong and a season-spoiling upset win over Alabama would be "just what the doctor ordered." I'm NOT sending out an Upset Alert but I am taking the four TDs.
Good luck...Larry

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AJ May

Nov 06 '21, 7:08 PM in 7h
NHL | Wild vs Penguins
Play on: Wild -104 at SC Consensus

Taking the Wild for a Free Pick here...
Minnesota is the top team in the league in generating expected goals at 5 on 5 so far this season, while Pittsburgh is 4th. They're also 5th in high danger scoring chances at 5 on 5, just above the Penguins.
The Wild have been up and down lately, but they generated over 70% of the expected goals and high danger scoring chances multiple times this season. That's insane. They were against the Senators, Canucks, Ducks (2x) and Jets, so not the BEST teams, but it's still impressive. The Penguins have only generated above 60% expected goals once apart from Tampa's hangover game in the opener, and that was against the lowly Blackhawks.
Another thing going for the Wild is that they have scored 9% LESS goals than expected. That tells me that their scoring is more than sustainable. Actually, they should be scoring more when regression to the mean kicks in. I wasn't all that impressed with the Penguins last game against the Flyers although they won, and the previous game they lost against the Devils, so things aren't exactly as high as earlier in October for Pittsburgh.
I think Minnesota will give the Penguins all they can take and cover the puckline for the first time this season.
Good luck!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Black Widow

Nov 06 '21, 7:08 PM in 7h
NHL | Flyers vs Capitals
Play on: Flyers +143 at SC Consensus

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Flyers +143

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Joseph D'Amico

Nov 06 '21, 7:30 PM in 7h
NCAA-F | Clemson vs Louisville
Play on: Louisville +4½ -116 at pinnacle

It seems that again this season I make you money just about every Saturday. This Saturday, I don’t just make you money, I MAKE YOU A TON OF MONEY! I have one of the highest-rated and strongest college football cards this season: 27-7 BOOKIE BUSTER, 66-29-1 (69%) TOUCHDOWN PLAY, 9-1 CONSENSUS WINNER, and my BIG 12 GAME OF THE MONTH. I threw away the bones and just served up the meat this Saturday with a card consisting of just BIG GAMES.
Free Saturday Winner: Louisville Cardinals.
Game 330.
4:30 pm pst.
WOWEE! Clemson finally got a cover. Let’s be honest though. There was some luck involved in it. This team is point spread poison riding a 1-8 ATS slide their last nine outings. DJ Uiagalelei isn’t the play-caller the team had anticipated. The Clemson quarterback is a far cry from Trevor Lawrence. He is not a guy that can win a game in the clutch (5 TD’s and 6 INT’s on the season). Last week if it wasn’t for a late Florida State miscue, this team would have scored 24 or less points in six straight games. They can’t score. I know their defense is pretty good. But they are going into Cardinal Stadium to face Malik Cunningham. The guy is a stud. He’s a playmaker. And the offense has a very potent backfield (1570 combined yards rushing from four different ball-carriers). So, every time one of them gets a touch, they are fresh. This also makes it very hard to key on any one running back. That’s enough to control the clock and the tempo, keeping the Tigers defense on the field and wearing them down. Louisville is money at home going 9-4 against the spread the last 13 as host. Take the points here folks. Take the Cardinals. Thank you.

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Jeff Alexander

Nov 06 '21, 7:30 PM in 7h
NCAA-F | Florida vs South Carolina
Play on: South Carolina +20½ -110 at William Hill

1* NCAAF - Florida/S Carolina FREE PICK on South Carolina +20.5
Saturday's Free NCAAF Pick is on the South Carolina Gamecocks as a 20.5-point home dog against the Florida Gators. I just have a hard time seeing this Florida team being all that interested in this game. There's just not much left for this Gators team to play for and they are coming off a game against No. 1 Georgia where they played their hearts out despite it resulting in a 7-34 loss. Florida has no shot at winning the SEC East and I get they still need to more wins to get to 6-6, but this not a program that gets excited about playing in a bottom tier bowl game. I think it's asking a lot for this team in this spot to be laying almost 3 touchdowns. As bad as South Carolina is, they are going to be up for this game, especially with it being a prime time game under the lights. I don't think it's out of the question that the Gamecocks could pull off the upset. Talent doesn't matter if you don't show up to play. Bet South Carolina +20.5!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ross Benjamin

Nov 06 '21, 7:30 PM in 7h
NCAA-F | Oregon vs Washington
Play on: Washington +7 -109 at pinnacle

Oregon @ Washington 7:30 PM ET
Game# 399-400
Play On: Washington +7.0
This line jumped right off the page at me when I first caught glimpse of it. We have Oregon who is ranked #4 in the first college football playoff poll that came out a few days ago, and they’re less than a touchdown favorite versus an opponent in Washington who is only 4-4. However, this game provides some intriguing betting data. Washington is coming off road wins in each of their previous 2 games while allowing just 16 and 13 points in those victories. On the other hand, Oregon has scored 34 and 52 points during their previous 2 games which were both wins.
Any college football home team which has allowed 17 points or fewer in each of their previous 2 games, versus an opponent who scored 31 points or more in each of their last 2 games, resulted in those home teams going 77-23 (77%) straight up since 2016. Best of all, this college football straight up betting angle backs the underdog in this matchup.
Since the start of this season, college football home underdogs of 4.0 to 11.0 that are coming off a win, versus an opponent coming off a win, resulted in those home underdogs going 15-0-2 ATS and 16-1 SU. Bet Washington plus the points.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sean Murphy

Nov 06 '21, 7:30 PM in 7h
NCAA-F | Clemson vs Louisville
Play on: OVER 46 -110

Saturday CFB Free play. My selection is on the 'over' between Clemson and Louisville at 7:30 pm et on Saturday.
We won with the 'over' in Clemson's most recent game but were fortunate to do so thanks to a last second fumble return for a touchdown. Here, I expect this game against Louisville to soar more comfortably 'over' the total. This is certainly a tougher matchup for the Tigers than last week against Florida State. First of all, they're on the road. Second, they're facing a Louisville team that was held to just 13 points last week against a good N.C. State defense but had previously scored 28 points or more in six straight games. I still believe it's only a matter of time before the Clemson offense rounds into form. Maybe it's wishful thinking on my part, but I'm a believer in the talent that Dabo Swinney has on hand. Perhaps last week's 30-point outburst will prove to provide a jumpstart. I like the matchup here against the Louisville defense. The Cardinals have held up alright over the last two weeks but have allowed 28 points or more in three of their last four games overall. This matchup produced 55 total points last year. I simply feel this total is too low. Take the over.