Sunday 11/7/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Las Vegas Cris

Event: (465) Atlanta Falcons at (466) New Orleans Saints
Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: November 7, 2021 1PM EST
Play: New Orleans Saints -6.0 (-110)
(Free Plays 68-37 65%* *48-24 L/72 67%) Another Free play winner last week on Carolina +3. This week, we stay in the same division. Atlanta received bad news, Riddley is taking personal time off. This is a real problem for the Atlanta offense, as they just don't have the offensive weapons, and to make matters worse, they face the #2 defense in the NFL. Saints will be without Winston, but they will be just fine against the porous Atlanta defense. Saints -6 is a fine bet this Sunday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kevin Dolan

Event: (465) Atlanta Falcons at (466) New Orleans Saints
Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: November 7, 2021 1PM EST
Play: Atlanta Falcons +6.0 (-110)
Good spot for the Falcons here on Sunday as they travel to take on the Saints here in a big Week 9 divisional matchup.
The Falcons were poor last week against the Carolina Panthers putting up just 13 points and 213 total yards of offense behind a 146 yard effort from Matt Ryan who also threw two interceptions in that game.
That was Ryan's lowest passing yardage of the season to date and the Falcons will look to correct that here on Sunday against a league worst New Orleans passing defense giving up 376 yards per game at “home”.
The Saints come off a big emotional divisional win over the Superbowl champs Tampa Bay last week so this is potentially a huge flat spot for them here ahead of this weekend compounded by the fact of fresh quarterback issues with Jameis Winston now ruled out for the season.
Take the Atlanta Falcons to take advantage of New Orleans' woes here on Sunday with a cover and potential outright win against the Saints.
PLAY: ATLANTA FALCONS +6

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Steve Merril

Event: (463) Las Vegas Raiders at (464) New York Giants
Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: November 7, 2021 1PM EST
Play: New York Giants +3.0 (+105)
-Las Vegas is winning with smoke and mirrors; now dealing with another emotional team issue
-New York is taking a big step-down in class; faced the Chiefs, Rams, and Cowboys recently
-Giants defense gives up 21.3 points per game on 5.2 yards per play at home; good matchup
Play GIANTS (+).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Gold Sheet

Event: (459) Buffalo Bills at (460) Jacksonville Jaguars

Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: November 7, 2021 1PM EST
Play: Buffalo Bills -14.5 (-110)
Jacksonville hasn’t been a double-digit underdog yet this season despite dropping five of its first seven games by 10 or more points, but that is set to change with the Bills coming to town favored by 14. Jaguars fans have to be disheartened at what they saw in Seattle since their team came out of the bye week following the first win of the Urban Meyer era over in London and were blown out by the Geno Smith-led Seahawks 31-7, managing to score late to avoid a shutout. Trevor Lawrence isn’t getting much help outside of RB James Robinson’s steady production, but the second-year running back left Sunday’s contest with a foot injury that will leave his status for this game against Buffalo in doubt. Meanwhile, the Bills defense has impressed in holding the Dolphins to just 11 points, helping overcome a slow start from the Josh Allen-led offense. They shut out the last rookie they faced, Houston’s Davis Mills, and have been an unheralded driving force all season, faltering only against Tennessee on Monday night a few weeks back. With games against the Jags and Jets set for the next few weeks, the focus could be an issue, but the team has largely handled its business against teams they should beat, even covering or coming up with a push in Sunday’s 15-point win over the Dolphins that was tied 3-3 deep into the third quarter. All of Buffalo’s last 12 wins have come by double-digits, the longest such streak since the “Greatest Show on Turf” Rams. Allen now has 57 career passing touchdowns without throwing a pick in the red zone and led the Bills to 20-plus first downs for a 23rd straight game against Miami, setting a team record. If Robinson is unable to join Lawrence in the backfield to take some pressure off the No. 1 pick, there’s no reason to believe the Jaguars will hang within two scores against locked-in Buffalo.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Cokin

Event: (465) Atlanta Falcons at (466) New Orleans Saints
Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: November 7, 2021 1PM EST
Play: Atlanta Falcons +6.0 (-110)
Atlanta is not a particularly good team but this is a good spot for the Falcons to perhaps spring an upset. I can't build a strong case on Atlanta positives, as there really aren't many. But they've managed to hang in well enough to go 3-4 and they've been very competitive since the two ugly losses to start the season. My main factor here is that this looks like a very attractive fade spot on the New Orleans side. They're off a win against the Super Bowl champs that was achieved with a backup QB. I make this a prime letdown spot for the Saints and I expect them to have some trouble with a divisional dog that really needs this game. Falcons plus the points is the play for me.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dwayne Bryant

Event: (465) Atlanta Falcons at (466) New Orleans Saints
Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: November 7, 2021 1PM EST
Play: Total Under 41.5 (-110)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Prez

Event: (453) Denver Broncos at (454) Dallas Cowboys
Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: November 7, 2021 1PM EST
Play: Dallas Cowboys -10.0 (-105)
453 Denver Broncos at 454 Dallas Cowboys -10, 49
The Dallas Cowboys of 2020 found ways to lose. However, the Cowboys of 2021 are contrary to last year, and the return of Dak Prescott behind center make this Dallas squad a difficult out. The Cowboys opened as 9-point favorites, and the sportsbook action has been back and forth between the Broncos and Cowboys this past week.

If you have the aptitude to trust Denver head coach Vic Fangio, then the Broncos receiving a double-digit handicap can only be attractive. The look-ahead line posted the Cowboys as 7.5-point home favorites. The line move is in part due to the return of Prescott. Also, a point of the steamed number, from 7.5 to a now-minus-10, can be credited to Dallas earning a win in Minneapolis last weekend.

Anyone who believes that Elway and the Broncos think they will be a part of the 2021 postseason bracket has a lot of explaining to do with the Broncos trading Von Miller. Free pick is a play on Prescott, the Cowboys, while laying the double-digit wood.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Gold Sheet

Event: (463) Las Vegas Raiders at (464) New York Giants
Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: November 7, 2021 1PM EST
Play: Las Vegas Raiders -3.0 (-110)
Las Vegas had a bye week to consummate the coaching change from Jon Gruden to Rich Bisaccia, which might not be a noticeable negative if the team can use that same extra time to regain the services of RB Josh Jacobs (chest; probable) and/or TE Darren Waller (ankle/heel strain) from injuries. And they're 2-0 with Bisaccia calling the shots. We’ll see if “Chucky” is as hard to kill as the horror film character when his case gets to court, but regardless of the emails, if the Raiders would’ve wanted him to be the coach going forward, he’d be the coach, and he’s not. The rest factor is an extra plus here with the Giants on a short week coming off a Monday night showcase game at Kansas City, and not a lot the Giants have done this season indicates they can jump up and smack a focused rested division leader such as the Raiders. Las Vegas is 2nd in the league in passing yards per game, and, although admittedly Raider QB Derek Carr had a bit of a lull after his sizzling start, he’s coming off a pretty sharp effort, completing 31 of 34 passes for 323 yards with 2 TDs and an int. in the win against Philadelphia right before the bye (Gruden’s final game). New York hasn’t been great as a home dog over the years, posting a 5-16 mark vs. the points since 2018 getting points at Met-Life and RB Saquon Barkley missed his 3rd straight game at the Chiefs Monday. The Raider defense is tied for 2nd in yards per pass this season, but ranks 26th in yards per rush, so Barkley ‘s injury makes things easier for Raiders. Derek Carr also won't want to cut it as close as his most-recent visit to MetLife, when Vegas needed a deep TD pass to Henry Ruggs in the final seconds last Dec. 5 to narrowly avert a Jets upset bid.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bryan Leonard

Event: (451) Houston Texans at (452) Miami Dolphins
Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: November 7, 2021 1PM EST
Play: Houston Texans +4.5 (-110)
451 Houston at Miami
Too confirmed out.
PLAY HOUSTON

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rob Veno

Event: (459) Buffalo Bills at (460) Jacksonville Jaguars
Sport/League: NFL
Date/Time: November 7, 2021 1PM EST
Play: Total Under 48.5 (-110)
Bills offense is explosive and does matchup that way vs. hole filled Jacksonville defense but potential for letting off of the gas exists here. More important to keeping this game under the total figures to be the Bills defense. Run defense allowing just 4.0 yards per carry which sits them among the nine best and the 606 total rushing yards they've allowed ranks them #3. Sure some of the latter due to opponents in chase mode abandoning the run but that's exactly what Buffalo will aim to do here against Jaguars RB James Robinson. At that point their #1 rated pass defense (182.4 pypga) combined with their pass rush can stifle Jacksonville's point production. Second straight game as 14+ point favorites and a likely third on deck at the N.Y. Jets next week. Anticipate today's contest to be the one of least interest since it's a non-divisional sandwiched in between a pair of AFC East opponents. Expect Bills to get near 31 and call it a day here while Jacksonville exceeding 17 seems unlikely. Hook plays a favorable role in this selection if 48 is the expected ceiling of potential points here. Feel like this will fall more in the 44-45 neighborhood so look here is toward the “Under”.
Recommendation: Buffalo-Jacksonville Under 48.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Adam Trigger

Event: (471) Arizona Cardinals at (472) San Francisco 49ers
Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: November 7, 2021 4PM EST
Play: San Francisco 49ers -190
I'll throw this up here as a free play. I gave this out on a couple of my shows earlier this week when the 49ers were still underdogs. I felt like this was off the board too many places to give this as a BEST BET and by the time it was back up everywhere it was -170 or higher.
Bottom line is I like the 49ers to win here, I can't play this as a BEST BET at the current price but do what you will with this.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Gold Sheet

Event: (575) Houston Rockets at (576) Golden State Warriors
Sport/League: NBA

Date/Time: November 7, 2021 8PM EST
Play: Golden State Warriors -12.5 (-110)
Golden State won and covered all 3 meetings last season, all played after Houston’s housecleaning. Rockets are no stronger this season, and it’s clear the Warriors are, with burgeoning talent Jordan Pool (18 ppg, 46%) and defensive catalyst Gary Payton II (31 pts., 11 reb., 4 steals off bench in last 2 games) augmenting talents of Steph Curry, Draymond Green and Andrew Wiggins. As a result, the Warriors are at the top of the heap (7-1 SU; lead the league in defensive efficiency, holding 4 of their last 5 foes below 100 points). Steve Kerr’s GS team is also starting to cover some numbers (-9½ vs. New Orleans, -12½ vs. OKC) in the last week. Rockets, who are coming off a game in Denver last night and have lost 6 straight and 10 of 12 SU when unrested coming into this season (2-3 L5 vs. points), have also gone 6-1 “over” (although that was before this season’s rules and ref changes). Houston 3-1 as DD road dogs TY, but 2 of those covers came against Laker side that seems ill-equipped to defend right now. Houston 6-2 under and rank last in offensive rating in last 5 games, while Warriors have 7 straight under results.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Wynn

Free Pick: Buffalo/Jacksonville Under 48½ Points

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Jim Feist

Jim Feist's Comp Pick, SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 7, 2021
11/07 10:00 AM PT / 1:00 PM ET

NFL (455) MINNESOTA VIKINGS VS (456) BALTIMORE RAVENS

Take: over

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Razor Sharp

YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR EARLY SUNDAY: MINNESOTA/BALTIMORE OVER the total of 50