Sunday 11/7/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Jeff Alexander

Nov 07 '21, 1:00 PM in 1h
NFL | Browns vs Bengals
Play on: Bengals -2½ -102 at pinnacle

1* NFL - Browns/Bengals FREE PICK on Bengals -2.5
Sunday's Free NFL Pick is on the Cincinnati Bengals as a 2.5-point home favorite against the Cleveland Browns. I just think this line is a product of what the public perceived these two teams to be when the season started.
Even though the Browns have not lived up to expectations and are coming off a bad loss at home to the Steelers, there's just this belief that this team is going to figure it out. I just don't buy it. The NFL has figured out how to stop Baker Mayfield and if you just take away the run game for Cleveland, they really have a hard time moving the ball. I believe Cincinnati can more than hold their own vs the run.
Cincinnati's 5-3, but are coming off a huge upset loss at the Jets as a double-digit favorite. Outside of a big win over Baltimore, this Bengals team hasn't really beat a lot of top notch teams. I just think there's still some hesitation with this team.
I also give this team a pass for their poor showing against the Jets. That was to be expected with Cincinnati off that huge win over Baltimore and having to play their 3rd straight on the road. Really easy for them to kind of just go through the motions against a team they thought they could beat with their "C" game. This line should not be less than a field goal. Bet the Bengals -2.5!

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ASA

Nov 07 '21, 1:00 PM in 1h
NFL | Browns vs Bengals
Play on: UNDER 47 -107

#461/462 ASA FREE PLAY ON Under 47 Points – Cleveland vs Cincinnati, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET - Cincinnati’s defense has been solid all season. They rank 8th in YPP allowed and 6th in scoring defense allowing 20 PPG. They’ve had 1 poor performance and that was last week when they allowed 34 points to the hapless Jets offense. NY had a new QB White which caught the Bengals off guard with no film to prepare. We expect a bounce back effort on Sunday vs a Cleveland offense that has fallen off a cliff. The Browns have scored 17 points or less in 4 of their last 5 games. QB Mayfield has a bad shoulder that will require surgery in the off-season and he ranks just 27th in QBR ahead of 4 rookies, Ben Roethlisberger and Jared Goff. Cleveland needs to run the ball to be successful on offense but they’ve been held to under 100 yards in 2 of their last 3 games and Cincinnati is solid vs the run holding opponents to 96 yards. Defensively the Browns rank 3rd in the NFL holding opponents to 5.1 YPP. They’ve had 2 stinkers in the last month and a half vs Arizona & the LA Chargers but in their other 4 games they’ve allowed 6, 7, 14, and 15 points. This should be a slow paced game with Cleveland ranking 31st and Cincinnati 30th in pace of play. This division battle goes UNDER the total.

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Black Widow

Nov 07 '21, 1:00 PM in 1h
NFL | Vikings vs Ravens
Play on: Vikings +6 -110 at SC Consensus

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Vikings +6 -110

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Matt Fargo

Nov 07 '21, 1:00 PM in 1h
NFL | Texans vs Dolphins
Play on: Texans +6 -110 at William Hill

This is a play on the HOUSTON TEXANS for our Sunday Free Play. Houston has lost seven straight games, all with Davis Mills at quarterback and his 80.2 passer rating says it all and that includes the fourth quarter from last week in garbage time against the Rams. There will be a change at quarterback as Tyrod Taylor will be making the start and while he has had limited action after getting hurt early in the season, it is hard to ignore his 122.9 passer rating where he completed 70.5 percent of his passes for 416 yards, three touchdowns and no interceptions. The Texans offense is ranked No. 31 in the league and No. 32 in scoring and they will be facing a defense that is just as bad. On the other side, the Houston defense is near the bottom in most everything but again, will be facing an offense that is also a bottom feeder. The Dolphins have also lost seven straight games as this season that started with high expectations went in a downward spiral quickly. The offense has scored more than 20 points only twice while the defense has allowed fewer than 26 points only once during the losing streak, giving up an average of 31.0 ppg. If anything, this is a field goal spread with these two teams so we are actually getting value on the Texans with this number. The Texans are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game while the Dolphins are 0-4 ATS in their last four games against teams with a losing record. Here, we play against home favorites averaging between 14 and 18 ppg after a loss by 10 or more points going up against teams allowing 27 or more ppg. This situation is 31-9 ATS (77.5 percent) since 1983. Play (451) Houston Texans

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John Martin

Nov 07 '21, 1:00 PM in 1h
NFL | Patriots vs Panthers
Play on: Panthers +3½ -107 at pinnacle

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Carolina Panthers +3.5
The New England Patriots are getting some love now after a blowout win over the Jets and an upset win over the Chargers. Now they come back as 3.5-point road favorites over the Carolina Panthers this week despite the fact that both of these teams are 4-4 on the season. This line indicates the Patriots would be around a 6-point favorite on a neutral field and it's just too much. Even with PJ Walker getting the start for the Panthers. He has familiarity with Matt Rhule dating back to his time at Temple and is a fine backup. And the Panthers could get Christian McCaffrey back this week. Either way, this Carolina defense is good enough to keep them in this game for four quarters and stay within a field goal and likely pull off the upset. The Panthers give up just 19.9 points and 295.6 yards per game this season. Give me Carolina.

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Brandon Lee

Nov 07 '21, 1:00 PM in 1h
NFL | Patriots vs Panthers
Play on: Patriots -3½ -110 at Caesars

FREE PICK: New England Patriots -3.5
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 457
I will gladly take my chances with the Patriots as a mere 3.5-point road favorite against the Panthers. New England comes into this game playing their best football of the season. They have won 3 of their last 4 to pull even on the season at 4-4. This is also a team that could have a much better record, as they were literally one play away from a win in losses to the Dolphins, Bucs and Cowboys.
Not a shocker to see a Bill Belichick coached team getting better as the season progresses. They also looked to have really found something in rookie quarterback Mac Jones. In Jones first 3 starts he had an ugly 2-3 TD-INT ratio. In his last 5 games he's posted a 7-3 TD-INT ratio.
It's not just the offense. The Pats are very strong on the defensive side of the ball and this couldn't be a better matchup for New Englands defense. The Panthers offense is an absolute mess and I don't care if Christian McCaffrey comes back. Carolina is not going to have an easy time moving the ball with the play they are getting at quarterback. Sam Darnold is questionable to even play and he's probably thinking twice about returning given his horrible history against Belichick's defense. I don't think it will be any better for P.J. Walker, who has completed 3 of 15 pass attempts this season. Give me the Patriots -3.5!

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Timothy Black

Nov 07 '21, 1:00 PM in 1h
NFL | Broncos vs Cowboys
Play on: OVER 49 -110

1* Best Bet on Broncos/Cowboys over 49 -110

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Mike Lundin

Nov 07 '21, 1:00 PM in 1h
NFL | Broncos vs Cowboys
Play on: Broncos +10 -110 at Caesars

Mike's Broncos vs Cowboys Free Pick November 7, 2021
The Dallas Cowboys didn't need quarterback Dak Prescott to defeat Minnesota last week. Prescott is expected to be back from a strained right calf to face Denver here in Week 10, but I think the betting market has made Dallas too big of a favorite in this one. The Cowboys are a perfect 7-0 ATS on the season, which of course is not sustainable, and Denver quarterback Teddy Bridgewater is 19-3 ATS as a road underdog.
Free pick on Denver Broncos.

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Doc's Sports

Nov 07 '21, 1:00 PM in 1h
NFL | Bills vs Jaguars
Play on: Jaguars +15 -110 at William Hill

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #460 Jacksonville Jaguars over Buffalo Bills (1p.m., Sunday, November 7 CBS) This is too many points to be given for a true road game on Sunday afternoon. Buffalo did not look that impressive last week against another week team in Miami and expect them to just win this game by 7-10 points. Jacksonville played well on defense last week at Seattle and if they play like that again they should be able to cover this spread. The last time these two teams met it was a three-point game and they underdog has covered the spread in the last 4 meetings. Buffalo is 3-7 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games played during week 9 of the regular season. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports weekend card featuring football, basketball, hockey, and Breeder Cup Horse Racing on Saturday. Check out our picks packages and save money with a one-week football package and receive all of our plays.

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Alex Smart

Nov 07 '21, 1:00 PM in 1h
NFL | Texans vs Dolphins
Play on: OVER 46 -104

Miami owns the No.29th ranked D and 29th ranked scoring D, allowing 29.1 ppg while Houston has recorded even more dismal numbers ranking . N0.31 in scoring D allowing an average of 30.1 ppg . Both these teams come in here on extensive 7 game losing streaks and now Im betting they both come out here spitting bullets, in what Im betting will be a back forth affair that will feature plenty of points. Both teams are off having their butts handed to them by DD, which sets up well for a high scoring game if historical factors remain intact. Note: All NFL games in the L/3 years where both sides are off a Straight up loss of 14 or more points have averaged a combined score of 60.7 points going on the board ( 7 games all overs)
Over is 5-2 in Texans last 7 vs. AFC.Over is 11-5 in Dolphins last 16 games following a straight up loss.
Play OVER

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Dustin Hawkins

Nov 07 '21, 4:05 PM in 4h
NFL | Chargers vs Eagles
Play on: Eagles +1½ -110 at Caesars

1 Dimer on Eagles +1½ -110

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Joseph D'Amico

Nov 07 '21, 4:05 PM in 4h
NFL | Chargers vs Eagles
Play on: Chargers -119 at pinnacle

Ending the week with a HUGE MONEYMAKING SUNDAY is what we are here for. This Sunday, we do just that as I have my 28-7 CONSENSUS WINNER, 7-1 HIGH ROLLER, and my 10-4 BLUE CHIP play. So, let’s finish the week off right…WITH A BIG MONEYMAKING SUNDAY. All you gotta’ do is follow me.
Sunday’s FREE WINNER: Los Angeles Chargers.
Game 467.
1:05 pm pst.
Sports fans don’t ever make the mistake of judging a team solely by their last performance. The Philadelphia Eagles might have decimated the Lions last week, but that’s like being the smartest student in special ed. Don’t get mad Philly fans, but the Eagles are horrible. The Chargers, which started the campaign 4-1 both SU and ATS, have dropped their last two contests. They need the win here. Now folks, that’s not the only reason why they will win and cover this game. The Philly defense has lined up against five decent quarterbacks this season. And guys, they are 0-5 SU and 1-4 ATS in those matchups. With just under 2000 yards passing, approximately a 64% completion rate, and 16/6 on the TD/INT ratio, Justin Herbert is a solid quarterback. By the way, you longtime bettors will understand this. Philadelphia is in serious let down mode here. They got a big lopsided win last week. But it’s a balloon win guys as they faced a garbage team. LA will pop that balloon and win big here. Here’s some against the spread stats for you folks: The Chargers are 4-1 the last five games played on the road, 5-2 the last seven games played as a favorite, and 8-3 the last 11 games played overall. Lay it with LA here. Thank you.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rocky Atkinson

Nov 07 '21, 4:25 PM in 4h
NFL | Packers vs Chiefs
Play on: Chiefs -7 -105 at BetVegas

Rocketman Sports FREE NFL play Sunday 11-7-21
GREEN BAY @ KANSAS CITY (4:25 PM EST)
Play On: Kansas City –7
The Green Bay Packers travel to Kansas City to take on the Chiefs on Sunday afternoon. Green Bay is 7-1 SU overall this year while Kansas City comes in with a 4-4 SU overall record on the season. It’s been a disappointing season for the Chiefs so far but I think it’s time to wake up in big game against the Packers. After getting crushed in their opening game, the Packers have now won 7 straight. However, Green Bay star QB Aaron Rodgers is out now for this game after testing positive for the corona virus. Jordan Love will get the start for the Packers this weekend. Kansas City and Pat Mahomes are putting up big numbers again this year averaging 296.1 passing yards per game and 412.9 total yards per game. Green Bay is allowing 24.6 points per game on the road this year. The Kansas City offense ranks last in the NFL in turnovers this year so that needs to change and I believe it will. The public is still very heavy on the Packers in this game and I’ll gladly take the other side. I think the public is still betting the Packers is because of the poor play of the Chiefs so far this year but I think this is the turning point of their season starting this weekend. This is a HUGE game for Kansas City as they need the win to get above .500 and quieten their critics a little. I’ll recommend a small play Kansas City minus the points on Sunday. Thanks and good luck, Rocky

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Larry Ness

Nov 07 '21, 4:25 PM in 4h
NFL | Packers vs Chiefs
Play on: Chiefs -7 -105 at BetVegas

My free play is on the KC Chiefs at 4:25 ET.
The Green Bay Packers opened their season with a 38-3 loss against the Saints, in a game played in Jacksonville due to Hurricane Ida. Aaron Rodgers threw for just 133 yards in that contest and was picked off twice. It marked the worst loss of his professional career. As for Kansa City, the Chiefs opened at home against the Browns, who were looking for some revenge after losing 22-17 in KC to the Chiefs in last season's Divisional Round. Cleveland led for almost the entire game but in the end, Mahomes rallied the Chiefs for a 33-29 win. Unlike Rodgers, Mahomes threw for 337 yards with three TDs (no INTs), giving him a QB rating of 131.4 (Rodgers' was 36.8 in Week 1).

The two teams meet Week 9 in KC (a rematch of Super Bowl I?), heading in VERY opposite directions. Green Bay has not lost since Week 1, going 7-0 SU & ATS, after taking down Arizona 24-21 in a Week 8 Thursday Night game. Despite WR Adams (52 catches / 14.7 YPC / 3 TDs) being sidelined (COVID protocols). The Packers handed the Cards their first loss of the season (were 7-0 SU & 6-1 ATS). Rodgers has completed 67.1% on the season for 1,894 yards with 19 TDs and three INTs. Doing the math, after throwing two INTs in 28 attempts in Week 1 (without a TD), he's thrown 17 TDs and just one INT in 230 attempts! RB Jones has 463 yards on the ground (4.5 YPC / 3 TDs) plus his 33 catches are second to Adams and he has added four receiving TDs. Fellow RB Dillon has been a nice partner, adding 309 yards on 4.5 YPC. Jones is expected back and TE Tonyon got back last week, catching three passes (he has 18 catches on the season).
Of course, the news came out earlier this week that Rodgers would not play (I think you have all heard the story and the details. Jordan Love will get his first career start.

KC lost THREE of four after that Week 1 win, allowing 33.5 PPG. I'm NOT about to write off Mahomes (66.5% for 2,368 yards with 19 TDs and 10 INTs) but those 10 INTs (in 325 attempts) are just ONE fewer than he threw in the last two seasons, combined (11 picks in 1,072 attempts!). RB Edwards-Helaire started strong (305 yards on 4.7 YPC) but hasn't played since Oct 10 (he's still out). Williams has stepped in at RB (230 yards and four TDs) but is averaging only 3.5 YPC. Hill (64 catches) and TE Kelce remain as dangerous as any WR/TE duo in the league but both are 'just off' this season. The Kansas City defense still remains a big problem, allowing 27.5 PPG (25th) on 391.5 YPG (29th).

KC is 4-4 and not yet out of the race for the AFC West crown (Chiefs have won it the last FIVE seasons) but a home loss here (Chiefs have already lost to the Charges and Bills in Arrowhead), would sure have the team VERY worried. Mahomes has had to step up every week, as his team continues to struggle in almost every other facet. Last week Kansas City committed 12 penalties and two turnovers. That type of play won't get the job done this weekend against the surging Packers. The Chiefs have been torched by middle-of-the-road QBs all season but that could (should) change here against Jordan Love in his first start. Kansas City is desperate for a win, so I expect Mahomes to also be at his best. We now have to lay a TD but I'm backing the Chiefs.

Good luck...Larry

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Vic Duke

Nov 07 '21, 4:25 PM in 4h
NFL | Packers vs Chiefs
Play on: Packers +7½ -120 at pinnacle

Packers/Chiefs 4:25: Significant line move after Rodgers (Covid19) was declared out. I'll still grab the Packers here. Defensively, Packers' DC Joe Barry has done a solid job. Packers limit scoring and in the top tier defending pass and creating turnovers. KC has had trouble finding offensive rhythm this season. Chiefs' offensive line has had trouble protecting Mahomes and now defenses are schematically finding ways to limit the Chiefs' explosive plays. On the other hand, KC's defense is in the bottom tier in most categories including sacks; consequently, KC picked up Melvin Engram from the Steelers to help aid Chris Jones in accumulating more sacks. Packers' offensive line has done a decent job in creating running lanes and protecting Rodgers. Today, Jordan Love will have that solid line along with a near full slate of skill supporting cast: Adams, Lazard, Cobb and a healthy RB Aaron Jones should help the cause. Chiefs continue to struggle as a favorite (4-14 ATS) with the shaky defense. Take the points.