Service Plays Sunday 11/7/21

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Point Wise Phones

4- Baltimore
3- Denver, Las Vegas
2- New England, Chicago

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Marc Lawrence Preferred Picks:

Perfect System Club Play of Year....Falcons

Never Lost Double Crush Play....Panthers

100% ATS NFL Sunday Night Special...Titans

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Indian Cowboy NFL

7 LAC -130
5 CAR +3.5
3 GB +7.5
3 CHI +6.5


5-Unit Play. #458. Take Panthers +3.5 Over Patriots (Sunday @ 1:00 pm est)
We are backing the Panthers as home dogs. This is a tough spot for the Pats as they come in off an outright win on the road as +3.5 dogs against the Chargers. Not sure I am comfortable laying points with the Pats on the road as favorites as they likely have a let down here. All signs are pointing to no Darnold out with concussion and in comes PJ Walker which we are fine with. Who did Walker play for? Temple. Who was his coach at Temple? Matt Rhule. These two have chemistry and familiarity with each other. Walker I think actually poses different challenges for the Pats. Belichick said "Walker appears to be more elusive than Darnold, whose status isn't likely to be resolved until the weekend. The New England coach said Walker's arm strength has been evident, even referencing what he has seen by reviewing Carolina's preseason games." So I think we actually get an upgrade at QB for the Panthers with Walker. Add in the fact that news out of camp is that it is quite possible that McCaffrey might go this week which will add another weapon and dynamic for the Panthers and Walker on offense extending drives. CB Gilmour will play against his former team since being cut and traded a few weeks ago to the Panthers and I expect him to be motivated and have an impact on the defensive side. This line opened Pats -2.5 with the public all over them but at -3.5 we have value with the home team here and the points. I would not be surprised to see the Panthers win outright at home but we will take the points. The Patriots are 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS win. Panthers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as an underdog.

3-Unit Play. #469. Take Packers +7.5 Over Chiefs (Sunday @ 4:25 pm est)
We roll with the Packers here as I think this is a big overreaction to the Rogers news being out with Covid. The Chiefs cannot cover against anyone these days and could not cover as -10.5 favorites at home against the Giants so how are they going to cover against the Packers even without Rogers. Jordan Love will make his first start and lets not forget he was drafted in the first round for a reason. He has been with this team for a few years and is learning under Rogers. This is not a new system or team for him and will have all week to prepare. If there is anyone motivated here it's Jordan Love to prove to Packers brass that when his time comes he can and will take over for Rogers and what a better signature win then to do so over the Chiefs. The Packers will likely get Adams back this week who was out last week with Covid. We saw this last week with the Packers when Adams and Lazard were out that there was a big over reaction and they managed to win outright against the Cardinals. Given the state of the Chiefs right now this is simply too many points for them to be laying here against a well oiled machine like the Packers. We will gladly take the points here with the Packers and this over reaction and expect them to hang tough and keep this within a FG type game. Chiefs are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up win. Chiefs are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 games as a favorite.

7-Unit Play. #467. Take Chargers ML (-130) Over Eagles (Sunday @ 4:05 pm est)
We love the Chargers here in this spot. The Chargers were in the drivers seat for the division but now come off back to back losses. They need a win here to keep up with the Raiders for top spot in the division. One question is who are you going to back in this spot Herbert or Hurts. No question we back Herbert in this spot and the weapons he has available. What I dont understand is the sudden love for the Eagles? This line opened Chargers -3 but money has come pouring in on the Eagles which makes no sense. They come off a game where they beat up the Lions who were coming in on a letdown after laying it all out there against the Rams and we were on the Eagles for that game last week. The big question here is how are the Eagles going to stop Herbert and the Chargers. The Eagles gave up 33 points to the Raiders, 28 to the Bucs, 42 to the Chiefs, and 41 against Dallas. Hurts and the Eagels cannot trade points and they will not be able to keep up with the Chargers. The Chargers cannot afford to take this game likely as they need this win and on deck they have the Vikings another non conference opponent so this is not a look ahead spot for them. I trust Herbert and the Chargers more off back to back losses over Hurts and the Eagles. We saw what happened a few weeks ago when the sharps took the Eagles from +3 to -1 against the Raiders and got destroyed. I will gladly take the more talented team here in the Chargers on the ML to just win the game. If you look at the Eagles losses they all came against elite teams in or bound for the playoffs. If you look at their wins they all came against teams .500 or below. They will struggle here again today and we like the Chargers to bounce back.

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Fat Jack

Carolina
Over Cleveland
Cleveland

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King Creole

NFL Sunday 3*** OVER of the WEEK

Chargers Over

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Tokyo Brandon Baseball

304601) Doosan Bears at (304602) LG Twins
Game: (304601) Doosan Bears at (304602) LG Twins
Date/Time: Nov 7 2021 1:00 AM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 1%
Play: 1H Doosan Bears +120

LG on paper has the SP advantage but career-wise Doosan actually has the better pitcher. They also have a huge lineup advantage. I do not like their bullpen and this looks like a bullpen game for both teams. I like Doosan's lineup to score early here. Take them on the 1st 5 money line for great odds.

(304103) Rakuten Gold. Eagles at (304104) Chiba Lotte Marines
Game: (304103) Rakuten Gold. Eagles at (304104) Chiba Lotte Marines
Date/Time: Nov 6 2021 1:00 AM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 1%
Play: 1H Chiba Lotte Marines +0.5 (-160)

Lotte has the starting pitcher advantage by a hair, and they also have a better lineup. At home in a tense playoff game I think this will be a very low-scoring game and the SP advantage should be able to get us at least a tie in the 1st 5.

(304105) Yomiuri Giants at (304106) Hanshin Tigers
Game: (304105) Yomiuri Giants at (304106) Hanshin Tigers
Date/Time: Nov 6 2021 1:00 AM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 1%
Play: Hanshin Tigers -110

Hanshin SP Takahashi has shut the Giants down in 7 and 9 innings his last two starts. The Giants have a sub-500 record and are living on their name but have little talent to back it up. The Hanshin bullpen is a concern but they should not have to work more than 2 innings here. Sugano for Yomiuri is a great pitcher but has allowed 6 runs to Hanshin his last 3 starts against them and I see this as a 2-0 or 3-1 Hanshin win. Take the Tigers on the money line at home.

(304109) Yomiuri Giants at (304110) Hanshin Tigers
Game: (304109) Yomiuri Giants at (304110) Hanshin Tigers
Date/Time: Nov 7 2021 1:00 AM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 1%
Play: Total Over 5.5 (-105)

This total seems too low to me. My numbers have this at 7.60. One good starter and one shaky starter with two good lineups on paper. Both bullpens are terrible. Yesterday's 4-0 game was low because the bullpens were not needed but I think we will see them rear their ugly heads today. In 22 games this season 13 of these went over 8. Take the Over 5.5.

NPB Japanese Baseball Champion
Game: NPB Japanese Baseball Champion
Date/Time: Nov 27 2021 3:00 AM EST
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 0.5%
Play: Chiba Lotte Marines Win Championship

The Marines have a great bullpen, a great lineup and excellent fielding and base stealing. The rotation is a bit suspect but I believe they have a better than 1/7 chance of winning it all and that makes this a value bet. Bet the Chiba Lotte Marines win the Championship on 11/27 for +600 or better.

NPB Japanese Baseball Champion
Game: NPB Japanese Baseball Champion
Date/Time: Nov 27 2021 3:00 AM EST
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 0.5%
Play: Rakuten Golden Eagles Win Championship

The Eagles have the best bullpen of any team remaining. They also have an excellent rotation, their problem is hitting. I see Rakuten as having a much better chance than 1/9 of winning the championship so this is a value play on anything 800 or better. Bet Rakuten to win it all.

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Tokyo Brandon Basketball

Chanson V-Magic at Eneos Sunflowers
Game: Chanson V-Magic at Eneos Sunflowers
Date/Time: Nov 6 2021 1:30 AM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Eneos Sunflowers -13.0 (-105)

This number is anywhere from 13 to 15. Take it. My numbers have this a 21 point win. All four of my projection models have this 18 or more. 4-0 vs 0-4 but not only that 14 is just far too low of a spread. Take Eneos and lay the points at home.

(301551) Shenzhen at (301552) Sichuan
Game: (301551) Shenzhen at (301552) Sichuan
Date/Time: Nov 6 2021 11:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 2%
Play: Shenzhen -12.5 (-110)

This line is shifting between 12 and 14 so it will probably fall on 13. I would take it. My numbers have this at -16. They just won by 19 the other night and Sichuan has a porous defense that can't stop anyone. Take Shenzhen and lay the points.

(301247) Utsunomiya Brex at (301248) Hokkaido
Game: (301247) Utsunomiya Brex at (301248) Hokkaido
Date/Time: Nov 7 2021 1:05 AM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 2%
Play: 1H Utsunomiya Brex Total Over 40.5 (-105)

Brex like to score at the start then let off like they did yesterday. I have them scoring 86 in this game but I think the majority of those will be in the first half as they build a lead. They like to let up in the second half but 20 per quarter seems low for this one. Take Utsunomiya 1H Over 40.5.

(301257) Kyoto at (301258) Alvark
Game: (301257) Kyoto at (301258) Alvark
Date/Time: Nov 7 2021 1:05 AM EST
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 2%
Play: 1H Alvark Total Over 41.5 (-105)

Yesterday Alvark hung 100 on Kyoto and 60+ of those were in the first half. They should have a nice lead at the half and the majority of those points should come at the start. I have Alvark scoring 90 here so 45-48 in the first half is what I expect.

(301261) Shiga at (301262) Chiba
Game: (301261) Shiga at (301262) Chiba
Date/Time: Nov 7 2021 1:05 AM EST
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 1%
Play: Shiga Total Over 78.0 (-105)

Shiga just scored 88 on Chiba yesterday and they average 84 a game. Chiba allows 82 a game. This should be a high-scoring affair and while Shiga will probably get mauled they can put up points. Take the Lake Stars Over 78.

(301251) Diamond Dolphins at (301252) Gunma
Game: (301251) Diamond Dolphins at (301252) Gunma
Date/Time: Nov 7 2021 1:05 AM EST
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 2%
Play: Diamond Dolphins Total Over 86.0 (-105)

The Dolphins scored 92 on Gunma yesterday and they average 88 a game. Gunma allows 90 a game. 86 seems way too low to me. Take the Diamond Dolphins total Over 88 or anything less.

(301255) NeoPhoenix at (301256) Sun Rockers Shibuya
Game: (301255) NeoPhoenix at (301256) Sun Rockers Shibuya
Date/Time: Nov 7 2021 1:05 AM EST
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 1%
Play: Sun Rockers Shibuya Total Under 85.5 (-105)

Yesterday Shibuya just scored 70 and they average 80 per game. NeoPhoenix is a bad team but the defense only allows 82 per game. All in all I think 85 is high so make a small play on the Sun Rockers team total Under 85.5.

Yamagata Wyverns at Bambitious Nara
Game: Yamagata Wyverns at Bambitious Nara
Date/Time: Nov 7 2021 5:00 AM EST
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 2%
Play: Total Over 153.0 (-105)

These two just played a game where the total was 193. Even with the averages mixed in I have this at 164. Take the over here it should go over quite easily. Both teams are terrible though so make a small play.

(301557) Shanghai at (301558) Fujian
Game: (301557) Shanghai at (301558) Fujian
Date/Time: Nov 7 2021 6:35 AM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 2%
Play: Shanghai -16.0 (-115)

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MTI Sports 6 point Teaser

Browns +8.5, Rams -1.5

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Clay Travis-
Here’s my OutKick NFL Six Pack:

Jets +10.5 at Colts
Vikings +6 at Ravens
Falcons +6 at Saints
Cardinals -1 at 49ers
Chargers -2 at Eagles
Titans +7.5 at Rams

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Circa

NFL Week 9 picks

1) SAN FRANCISCO +1 (1,679)
2) L.A. CHARGERS -1.5 (1,646)
3) CINCINNATI -2.5 (1,130)
4) NEW ENGLAND -3.5 (1,112)
5) GREEN BAY +7.5 (1,098)

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Collins NFL Blazin 5
*Ravens -6
*Cowboys -9.5
* Falcons + 6.5
*NY Giants + 3
* San Fran -1

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Jeff Ma- 4-1 last week (25-15 season record)
Jets- L
Saints
Browns
chargers
raiders

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Greg Shaker

3* Cleveland/Cincinnati O46.5
2* Atlanta/NO U43

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Scott Spreitzer

6* Bengals -2.5
3* Broncos +10
3* Ravens Pk with Rams -1.5 6 pt teaser

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Vernon Croy

7* Dallas -10