2-5-09

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  • Mr. IWS
    215 Hustler
    • Sep 2006
    • 98648

    2-5-09

    Lee Kostroski
    REASON FOR PICK: PLAY ON 8* Sun Belt Game of the Week - North Texas +5 over South Alabama, Thursday at 8:00 PM EST

    UNT was expected to be one of the best teams in the Sun Belt but disappointed early. The started the conference season with a 1-3 record losing one of those games by 6-points and the other two in overtime. After that they ripped of four straight wins to push themselves near the top of the Sun Belt West. Now they have lost two straight games to the hottest team in the league and the best team in the league.

    That “hottest” team is Troy who beat North Texas one week ago for their 5th straight win. The Trojans then beat Denver last Saturday and they now have won 6 in a row. UNT had a 4-point lead in that game with 4:00 minutes remaining but went scoreless from that point on and lost. The best team in the conference is Western Kentucky and this Mean Green team had the Hilltoppers on the ropes at home on Saturday. UNT led the ENTIRE game including a 10-point margin with just 8:00 minutes remaining. The still led with under 1:00 minute to go but lost by 4. One of their key players, forward Eric Tramiel, whom head coach Johnny Jones calls their “best player” as of late was limited to only 10 minutes in the second half which really hurt the Green. Thus, if it weren’t for a few late collapses this team would have a 6-game winning streak.

    South Alabama hasn’t had much of a home court advantage this year as their record in the Mitchell Center stands at 6-5. In conference play they are just 1-4 SU at home. Two of those losses have come by wide margins as Troy destroyed the Jaguars 94-70 and Middle Tennessee State also dominated in Mobile winning by 15. Their only home win came against New Orleans by just 3 points. The Privateers are just 4-7 in conference play. It was a down to the wire game in which USA led by just 1-point with under 1:00 minute remaining. If they hadn’t held on, this Jaguar team would be sitting at four straight losses. They are not playing well shooting just 39% as a team over their last five games. They are facing a team that is playing well despite their two straight losses. Because of that, we are getting great value with UNT as a dog here. Take the points.
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  • Mr. IWS
    215 Hustler
    • Sep 2006
    • 98648

    #2
    Re: 2-5-09

    Lee Kostroski
    REASON FOR PICK: PLAY ON 8* ESPN Punisher - Wisconsin -3 over Illinois, Thursday at 9:00 PM EST

    The Badgers are in the midst of their first six game losing streak since Bo Ryan took over. However, the streak isn’t as bad as most are making it out to be. Wisconsin actually had a decent chance to win five of those games. The only game they were beaten soundly was @ Purdue back on January 11th. The others were ALL there for the taking. Since that 13-point loss @ Purdue, this team lost two overtime games, a one-point game and a 3-point game. They lost @ Illinois 64-57 however Wisconsin’s Jason Bohannon had a wide open three point attempt with about 25 seconds remaining which would have cut the Illini lead to two points. What caught our eye was the fact that the Badgers were able to keep the game close despite shooting just 35% from the field (Illinois shot 50%) and getting out scored at the free throw line by 9. Those numbers should turn around at home for Wisconsin which bodes well for them on Thursday.

    Illinois was really playing well early in the Big Ten season, however we have seen some chinks in their armor the last few games. After beating Wisconsin in a game they should have won handily based on the stats, this team went to Minnesota and were thoroughly dominated 59-36. Next they faced off at home against Iowa and struggled in that game. The Illini were down at halftime and fought through for an 8-point win against an Iowa team that is still without leading rebounder Cyrus Tate. They are 1-3 SU their last four Big Ten road teams and they travel to Madison to face a desperate Badger squad.

    Wisconsin has had one of the strongest home courts in College Basketball in the Bo Ryan era. In Ryan’s first seven years as the Badger head man, this team lost ONLY three conference games at home. That’s right, just three home losses in conference play in seven years! This year they already have two, as we stated they could easily be undefeated at home this year. One loss was in overtime vs. Minnesota. UW had a 9-point lead with just over 3:00 minutes left in the game and couldn’t hold on as the Gophs hit a 3 at the buzzer to tie it and they won in OT. Their other home loss Wisconsin had a 5-point lead over Purdue with under 4:00 minutes remaining in the game and lost by 1. Purdue was 3 for 3 from behind the arc in the last few minutes of play to seal the win.
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    • Mr. IWS
      215 Hustler
      • Sep 2006
      • 98648

      #3
      Re: 2-5-09

      Lee Kostroski
      REASON FOR PICK: PLAY ON 5* Home Team Hammer - Denver +2 over Middle Tennessee State, Thursday at 9:00 PM EST

      While Denver’s 9-12 overall record or their 4-6 conference mark may not look very impressive, this team is dangerous right now especially at home. This team has been VERY competitive with all of their six conference losses coming by 7 points or less. Actually, five of those six losses have come by 4 points or less and three of them have come in overtime. This team could easily have a winning Sun Belt record. At home they have beaten some of the league’s heavyweights including conference leader Western Kentucky who is 9-2. This team shoots 50% at home where they are 3-1 in conference play with their only loss coming by 2-points in overtime to Arkansas State. It’s always tough for opponents to make the long trip to Denver and play in the higher altitude. This Pioneer team could easily have a winning Sun Belt record.

      MTSU sits at 8-3 overall in the conference and don’t be surprised if they overlook the dangerous Pioneers. That would be a mistake as this Blue Raider team has now lost three straight conference road games including @ New Orleans who stands at just 4-7 on Sun Belt play. MTSU’s defense has really faltered lately allowing 48% to their opponents over the last five games. It’s a bad time to be coming into Denver with question marks on defense as the Pioneers are the top shooting team in league play at 51%. DU has five players in the main rotation that shoot over 48% from the field. They are very tough to defend.

      Denver has been undervalued all year and they continue to be. This team has now covered 10 of their last 11 conference games and they get another one tonight.

      Paid for and Confirmed`
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      • Mr. IWS
        215 Hustler
        • Sep 2006
        • 98648

        #4
        Re: 2-5-09

        Bryan Leonard

        Western Athletic Conference Game of the Year!

        Plays are rated from 2-5s for strength & bankroll %

        4 Fresno State at Hawaii

        Must win game for the Warriors who have dropped six of seven to fall to seventh place in the WAC. It’s important to stay out of the eight and nine seeds because those two squads must play in the dreaded play-in game come conference tourney time. While on paper Hawaii looks to be struggling right now the Warriors are just ending a terrible scheduling streak. Unlike teams on the main land the Warriors must take at least a five hour flight to any first game road site. And they have done a great amount of traveling as of late. After defeating Louisiana Tech at home on January 5th they played at Idaho and Boise State. They returned home to face San Jose State only to go right back on the road at Nevada. They then hosted Utah State before traveling once more to Louisiana Tech and New Mexico State. Now back home and happy to be here for two straight weeks we look for the Warriors to rebound from the recent losses. “Hopefully, this can bring a little sanity back to our lives,” Hawaii head coach Bob Nash said. “Our guys can spend more time in the classroom, sleep in their own beds, and they don’t have to worry about hopping on a plane every couple days.”

        Fresno State sits at 9-13 overall and just 1-6 in conference play. The Bulldogs have dropped six of eight and they own just two road wins all season. They beat Pacific by two points in early December and knocked off Cal Poly in overtime at the end of December. Fresno State is off a home overtime loss to Utah State last Saturday and they host Boise State Monday night.

        Style wise this game features the inside game of the Warriors against the outside game of the Bulldogs. Hawaii takes it to the hole and forces the opposition into foul trouble. Defensively the Warriors are a tall team that makes you beat them from the perimeter. The problem for Fresno State is that playing at this late hour does havoc on the team’s biological clocks, and that’s especially true of a three point oriented team. We saw it last year when Fresno scored just 62 points in a 13 point loss here. That was their lowest scoring regular season output in conference play. The Bulldogs are on a 2-12 straight up road streak and they own just one conference road win the past two seasons. In a win and cover situation we would much rather back the host who has put their hectic schedule on the back burner.

        PLAY HAWAII
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        • Mr. IWS
          215 Hustler
          • Sep 2006
          • 98648

          #5
          Re: 2-5-09

          Marc Lawrence
          14-0 ATS College Hoops Revenge Game Of The Week!
          Play On: Providence + 2.5 Points
          Villanova 94 Providence 91

          Note: The Friars host the Wildcats in a key Big East battle with both teams coming off disparate results. That occurred when Providence dropped a 94-61 decision to top ranked Connecticut last Saturday while Villanova clobbered Cincinnati, 71-50, on Sunday. That sets the table for today's game as the Wildcats enter knowing they are 1-10 ATS in games off a win of 18 or more points when facing an opponent playing with revenge off a loss. On the flip side, the Friars are 8-1 ATS in this series when playing with 3 or more days of rest with revenge, including 5-0 SU and ATS at home. In addition, the underdog is 6-0 ATS in this series. With that, look for Villanova to dip to 0-4 ATS in games after the Bearcats. Providence is our College Basketball Revenge Game of the Week.
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          • Mr. IWS
            215 Hustler
            • Sep 2006
            • 98648

            #6
            Re: 2-5-09

            Young Guns Sports

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            3* Xavier From The Northcoast Line
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            • Mr. IWS
              215 Hustler
              • Sep 2006
              • 98648

              #7
              Re: 2-5-09

              Bob Balfe

              NBA Basketball
              Jazz -3 over Mavs

              NCAA Basketball
              Detroit +11 over Butler
              Charlotte +3 over Rhode Island
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              Comment

              • Mr. IWS
                215 Hustler
                • Sep 2006
                • 98648

                #8
                Re: 2-5-09

                Vegas Sports Experts
                VSE Power Plays

                10* Take Illinois (+3) over Wisconsin (NCAA Power Play)


                -------------------------------------------------------------


                5* Take Philadelphia (-5) over Indiana (NBA Bonus Play)




                Bonus Hoops & NHL Plays are:

                3* Take Oregon State (+5.5) over Arizona (NCAA)

                3* Take Washington (-300) over Los Angeles (NHL)
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                • Mr. IWS
                  215 Hustler
                  • Sep 2006
                  • 98648

                  #9
                  Re: 2-5-09

                  ATS Lock Club
                  6 Wisconsin -3.5
                  6 Portland (NCAA) +10.5
                  5 Troy -3.5
                  4 Oregon St. +5

                  ATS Financial Package
                  4 Xavier -8.5
                  4 Seton Hall -5
                  3 California +1
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                  • Mr. IWS
                    215 Hustler
                    • Sep 2006
                    • 98648

                    #10
                    Re: 2-5-09

                    Kelso BB
                    50 units S Hall
                    10 units Lakers
                    5 units St. Mary's
                    3 units 76'ers
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                    Comment

                    • Mr. IWS
                      215 Hustler
                      • Sep 2006
                      • 98648

                      #11
                      Re: 2-5-09

                      RAS

                      Sides

                      1.5* #752 Riverside +3.5
                      1.0* #753 UCSB +6
                      1.0* #788 N. Colorado Ev
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                      • Mr. IWS
                        215 Hustler
                        • Sep 2006
                        • 98648

                        #12
                        Re: 2-5-09

                        Alatex
                        15* Oregon St
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                        Comment

                        • Mr. IWS
                          215 Hustler
                          • Sep 2006
                          • 98648

                          #13
                          Re: 2-5-09

                          NSA's Selection
                          CBB Washington @ California 10:30 20* Washington Pk
                          CBB Temple @ Xavier 7:00 10* Temple +8.5
                          CBB Rhode Island @ NC Charlotte 7:30 10* Rhode Island -2.5
                          CBB Arizona @ Oregon St 8:30 10* Oregon St +5.5
                          CBB Penn St @ Michigan 7:00 10* Penn St +4.5
                          NBA LA Lakers @ Boston 8:05 10* Boston -5.5
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                          • Mr. IWS
                            215 Hustler
                            • Sep 2006
                            • 98648

                            #14
                            Re: 2-5-09

                            S. Sharp

                            Mid Tenn State (double dime).
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                            Comment

                            • Mr. IWS
                              215 Hustler
                              • Sep 2006
                              • 98648

                              #15
                              Re: 2-5-09

                              KBHOOPS

                              NCAAB
                              5* Rhode Island -3 **POD**
                              5* Michigan -4
                              4* Middle Tennessee -2

                              NBA
                              5* Philly UNDER 215.5 +100
                              5* Dallas OVER 207.5 -115
                              4* Celtics -6.5 -115
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