Tuesday 11/16/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 371089

    #1

    Tuesday 11/16/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 371089

    #2
    Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks


    Penn National - Race #4
    #2 Madame Channel She took a decent step forward in that second career start when getting down to this level for the first time, and she's not out of the question here if she can make another move in the right direction from a good spot near the top.
    #1 Sister Sadie She didn't show anything but the briefest of speed in the debut run, but she'll return here with blinkers on while facing a softer group from the fence. Not expecting huge things, but she may not need that to land this.
    #3 Emilia Strong She's a reliable enough type that fits well here, but she is heading into her 31st lifetime start today, so she'll be relegated underneath again for me. Capable, but not for me on principle.
    Race Summary Madame Channel has some upside with just the two lifetime starts, and she may be able to chase the class-dropping rail runner who can flash pace with blinkers on.
    Penn National - Race #6
    #6 Calculated Thinkin He might be able to land a perfect trip here while tracking the pace set by a couple of forward players drawn by the rail, and he brings a string of running lines that would probably make him tough here.
    #5 Venomous State He drops in class for this one, but it's not a major worry after he overachieved a bit off the $8,000 claim. His best stuff would land this, but he might be too short a price with typical running lines that don't tower over these.
    #1 Hey Congrats He'll want to have a go of things from the inside after showing some speed at Fort Erie in recent starts, and he has turned in two really big efforts since losing the Lasix in that last pair. Interesting here, but he'll have some company from the guy drawn just outside him.
    Race Summary Calculated Thinkin and Venomous State might be the right ones in here, but the former may offer a slightly better price on the board while he tries to turn the tables from their August meeting.
    Penn National - Race #8
    #7 Empress Nefertiti She made a mild bid in the last one before flattening out late behind an easy winner, but that type of effort stacks up very nicely with what it might take to win in this spot if she's able to repeat it. Short on excuses, but this is a really bad race.
    #1 Sleepy N Joyful She has a turf route pedigree, so heading around two turns might at least be a move in the right direction for her after seven sprint tries to open the career. Even running lines may transfer well to this trip.
    #4 Meemoo She has had her chances like the top choice, but this might be the class drop that finally gets her home after finishing second in four of her last five tries. Underlay?
    Race Summary Empress Nefertiti gets the slight edge in splitting the top three here, and she may offer the best price of the trio. Sleepy N Joyful has some intrigue while getting around two turns, and it may be worth being two deep here while trying to beat the ML chalk.
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    Comment

    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 371089

      #3
      Frank Carulli's Daily Picks


      Dover Downs - Race #6
      #6 AIR TIME Eventful journey in latest, upset threat in softer spot with a clear trip.
      #1 MY BIG KADILLAC Hit board in 3 of last 6, moves outside in with Callahan.
      #2 SILENT SYMBOL Just missed two back, fading chasing faster pace in latest.
      Race Summary Air Time was off the gate at the start, settled in third, lost several lengths when he broke stride at the quarter pole and rushed up to second on the final turn before fading. He draws outside again but could carry his speed farther on the class drop. Play a 1-2-6 exacta box.
      Northfield Park - Race #1
      #4 JOGGINGTOTHEBANK Drops, moves outside in, can stalk and pounce on inside speed types.
      #5 COMPASS ROSE DC Finished in the money in 23 of his last 45 starts.
      #3 MVP LUKE Couldn't sustain middle move against better on return to Northfield.
      Race Summary With plenty of speed to his inside, Joggingtothebank projects an ideal trip on the class drop with a favorable post switch. The classy 6-year-old figures tough as he seeks win No. 7 this year. Bet on him to win and place.
      Pompano Park - Race #3
      #6 BROADWAY BRUISER At proper level, has seven wins this year, offers value.
      #1 WOW LESTER Hoosier invader has speed and the rail, lacks staying power.
      #8 GERARD Sat golden trip, pulled pocket at top of lane, edged ahead late.
      Race Summary Broadway Bruiser trotted evenly against better in an amateur drivers' race, fits well in this spot and is reunited with driver who last coaxed a win out of him. The price is right to play 6-1, 6-7 and 6-8 exactas.
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      Comment

      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 371089

        #4
        Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks


        Remington Park - Race #1
        #3 Pearl Snap Lacked a big kick in the mud last time and should get a better run at it; has plenty of pace to chase.
        #1 Mystical Matilda Was on or near the front end throughout and finished second, less than a length behind; keeps hot-riding Cabrera.
        #7 Smoking Guitar Finished right behind Mystical Matilda last out and can get a good trip just off the pace.
        Race Summary Pearl Snap can get a better run on a fast track this time out and has a good chance to be moving fastest in the stretch.
        Remington Park - Race #5
        #2 Blurred Vision Tired from early efforts but still had enough to hold on for second last out; probably won't be as rushed early this time and she can probably save some for the finish.
        #11 Tasmin Dropped out of much tougher races and will be a lot of play this go-ground; comes off the turf for this and can probably finish well.
        #1 Sweet Smokin Gal Was up in time sprinting last time and gets Cabrera for her first try around two turns.
        Race Summary Blurred Vision can adjust to any pace in this one and should be in good position to make a solid late run; fits well here.
        Remington Park - Race #6
        #3 Tiz Showbiz Comes in off a claiming win but also has had a strong presence in conditioned allowance races such as this; drops back to seven furlongs and can come rolling under Vazquez.
        #5 Runaway Tracy Makes a substantial hike up the class ladder but was a 12-length maiden winner last out; looks like he's figuring it out and could be a surprise here.
        #8 Im the Machine Throttled maidens last out and will be tough if he runs back to that one; has had just two starts and looks like he has an abundance of talent.
        Race Summary Tiz Showbiz is a 10-year-old who has not lost many steps over the years; has a sparkling 7 of 15 record at Remington.
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        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 371089

          #5
          F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Parx Racing

          Parx Racing - Race 10
          Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta
          Claiming $7,500 • 1 Mile 70 yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 86 • Purse: $21,000 • Post: 4:13P
          (PLUS UP TO 40% PABF) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS OR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT ONE MILE OR OVER SINCE OCTOBER 16 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.
          Contenders
          Race Analysis
          P#
          Horse
          Morn
          Line
          Accept
          Odds

          Race Type: Lone Stalker. KOLOHE PRINCE is the Lone Stalker of the race, but has been deemed a non-contender due to a low Platinum Figure or other overall low ratings. * KEY ANGLES * EL SAMURO: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. CALL FITZROY: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. AMERICAN FLEET: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
          13
          EL SAMURO
          5/2
          3/1
          2
          CALL FITZROY
          3/1
          9/2
          16
          AMERICAN FLEET
          6/1
          9/1

          P#
          Horse (In Running Style Order)
          Post
          Morn
          Line
          Running Style
          Good
          Class
          Good
          Speed
          Early Figure
          Finish Figure
          Platinum
          Figure
          3
          MONDAY'S WITH MIKE
          3
          6/1
          Alternator/Front-runner
          78
          74
          82.9
          69.9
          55.9
          16
          AMERICAN FLEET
          16
          6/1
          Alternator/Front-runner
          88
          85
          75.4
          65.8
          60.8
          9
          GOLDEN SPOKE
          9
          5/1
          Alternator/Front-runner
          72
          74
          63.5
          73.0
          54.0
          4
          KOLOHE PRINCE
          4
          4/1
          Stalker
          81
          77
          64.6
          65.2
          50.2
          13
          EL SAMURO
          13
          5/2
          Trailer
          98
          95
          64.4
          90.6
          82.1
          2
          CALL FITZROY
          2
          3/1
          Trailer
          88
          83
          58.2
          83.2
          78.2
          10
          REFI
          10
          6/1
          Trailer
          79
          78
          56.3
          68.1
          50.1
          12
          SOCIAL EQUALITY
          12
          5/1
          Trailer
          77
          79
          53.6
          65.8
          51.8
          15
          SLEW TANG CLAN
          15
          10/1
          Trailer
          82
          80
          48.0
          66.4
          48.9
          8
          MAMAIGOTTHIS
          8
          15/1
          Trailer
          80
          73
          34.0
          68.0
          48.5
          14
          TAINO
          14
          5/1
          Alternator/Trailer
          85
          75
          72.2
          72.2
          56.2
          1
          RITTENHOUSE
          1
          6/1
          Alternator/Non-contender
          61
          73
          71.6
          55.7
          34.2
          6
          ILOVECHARLYBROWN
          6
          6/1
          Alternator/Non-contender
          77
          72
          60.0
          62.0
          41.5
          11
          DR. GRUNSEICH
          11
          20/1
          Alternator/Non-contender
          60
          51
          49.4
          44.2
          15.7
          7
          TIZ VALENTINO DAZE
          7
          20/1
          Alternator/Non-contender
          79
          76
          39.8
          54.2
          33.7
          5
          TEMPTING THE TIGER
          5
          15/1
          Alternator/Non-contender
          73
          75
          37.0
          64.6
          41.6
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 371089

            #6
            F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mountaineer Park



            Mountaineer Park - Race 8
            2nd Half Daily Double $2 Exacta $1 Box $1 Trifecta $.50 Box $1 Superfecta $.20 Box $1 Super 5 $.50 Box
            Claiming $4,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 62 • Purse: $7,800 • Post: 9:55P
            FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 16 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000 (W V A BRED RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).
            Contenders
            Race Analysis
            P#
            Horse
            Morn
            Line
            Accept
            Odds

            Race Type: Lone Front-runner. HELLO MY HALO is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * HELLO MY HALO: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). COLLUDE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. ASTROMELIA: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourt h start after a layoff. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
            4
            HELLO MY HALO
            8/1
            3/1
            5
            COLLUDE
            8/5
            5/1
            6
            ASTROMELIA
            6/1
            7/1

            P#
            Horse (In Running Style Order)
            Post
            Morn
            Line
            Running Style
            Good
            Class
            Good
            Speed
            Early Figure
            Finish Figure
            Platinum
            Figure
            4
            HELLO MY HALO
            4
            8/1
            Front-runner
            63
            57
            58.4
            52.0
            44.0
            5
            COLLUDE
            5
            8/5
            Alternator/Stalker
            68
            62
            43.6
            50.8
            48.3
            10
            WILD OATSSE
            10
            12/1
            Trailer
            51
            35
            26.5
            33.1
            20.6
            3
            HELLCAT WARRIOR
            3
            2/1
            Trailer
            63
            56
            20.4
            48.0
            39.0
            6
            ASTROMELIA
            6
            6/1
            Alternator/Trailer
            72
            66
            58.6
            32.8
            23.8
            9
            KARA LOT
            9
            30/1
            Alternator/Trailer
            0
            0
            45.4
            38.6
            25.6
            1
            MONGOLIAN ANGEL
            1
            20/1
            Alternator/Trailer
            43
            37
            14.6
            35.4
            21.4
            2
            LITTLE LIES
            2
            30/1
            Alternator/Non-contender
            59
            47
            41.2
            12.0
            0.0
            7
            SEEKING VIOLET
            7
            10/1
            Alternator/Non-contender
            72
            51
            37.8
            33.2
            26.7
            8
            SHEZA MEAN BROAD
            8
            30/1
            Alternator/Non-contender
            47
            42
            22.2
            24.6
            6.6
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            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 371089

              #7
              Free Winners for Tuesday, November 16th 2021 from THE LEGEND!
              FREE HORSE PICKS
              REMINGTON PARK
              RACE #7
              TIME: 6:18 PM EST
              PICK: BET #3 Old Slot 3/1 odds to win @ Bovada
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 371089

                #8
                Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

                PURCHASE


                Zia Park - Race #10 - Post: 4:03pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $25,500 Class Rating: 77

                Rating:

                #4 SPINNING BLACK (ML=12/1)
                #3 SHORT POCKETS (ML=5/1)
                #8 OUR TIME TO SHINE (ML=8/1)


                SPINNING BLACK - Faced tougher in the last race at Zia Park. Based on class figures, this is a weaker bunch, so I will put this one on my list of contenders. SHORT POCKETS - This mare is in top form right now. Finished third last out and comes back promptly. Three consecutive improved Equibase speed figures (68-70-76) make this horse a solid contender. OUR TIME TO SHINE - This one should make a move at the top of the stretch. Great late pace Have to give this filly a good chance. Ran a solid race last time around the track within the last 30 days. That 82 fig this filly registered in her last event tells me she's a major player in today's event.

                Vulnerable Contenders: #5 DELBERT TOO (ML=5/2), #2 CHUCKIES CHANCE (ML=3/1), #10 DESERT REWARD (ML=6/1),

                DELBERT TOO - If he goes off at the morning line odds of 5/2, I'll have to pass. CHUCKIES CHANCE - The lack of morning drills has to make one concerned despite the good performance in the last affair. The victory on Oct 4th probably isn't good enough to beat these today. DESERT REWARD - Couldn't make up ground at all on Oct 5th. Hard to play this time out at the expected odds. Not likely that the speed fig he recorded on Oct 5th will hold up in this affair.



                STRAIGHT WAGERS: Play #4 SPINNING BLACK to win if you can get odds of 9/2 or more
                EXACTA WAGERS: Box [3,4,8]

                TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                Box [3,4,8] Total Cost: $6
                SUPERFECTA WAGERS: [3,4,8] with [3,4,8] with [3,4,5,8,11] with [3,4,5,8,11] Total Cost: $36
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                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 371089

                  #9
                  Greg Peterson's Newsletter Best Bets (11/16)
                  Wright State +18 vs. Purdue
                  Charleston +13 vs. North Carolina
                  Seton Hall +8.5 vs. Michigan
                  North Dakota State/Arizona Over 140
                  Oregon -4 vs. BYU
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                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 371089

                    #10
                    Rk Sports Services Free Sports Picks Place A Bet
                    1. NSA(The Legend) NBA – Spurs +7.5 Line @ Bovada
                    2. Gameday Network NBA – Warriors +3 Line @ Bovada
                    3. Sports Action 365 NBA – Jazz over 216 Line @ BetAnySports
                    4. Vegas Line Crushers CBB – BYU +4.5 Line @ GT Bets
                    5. VegasSI.com CBB – Michigan -8 Line @ Bovada
                    6. PointSpreadReport.com(SAM CASEY) CBB – Santa Clara under 151.5 Line @ BetAnySports
                    7. Winning Big Sports CBB – Villanova -24.5 Line @ MyBookie
                    8. NSA(Gerry “Big Cat” Andino) CBB – Texas- Arlington +2 Line @ Bovada
                    9. Lou Panelli NBA – Spurs over 219.5 Line @ BetAnySports
                    10. VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club NBA – Jazz -9.5 Line @ GT Bets
                    11. William E. Stockton NBA – Warriors +3 Line @ MyBookie
                    12. Vincent Pioli NBA – Jazz over 216 Line @ Bovada
                    13. Steve “Scoop” Kendall CBB – Murray St -5.5 Line @ Bovada
                    14. SCORE CBB – James Madison +3.5 Line @ GT Bets
                    15. Tony Campone CBB – Oklahoma St -16 Line @ BetAnySports
                    16. Chicago Sports Group CBB – Towson -9.5 Line @ Bovada
                    17. Hollywood Sportsline NBA – Spurs +7.5 Line @ Bovada
                    18. VIP Action NBA – Warriors +3 Line @ GT Bets
                    19. South Beach Sports NBA – Jazz over 216 Line @ Bovada
                    20. Las Vegas Sports Commission CBB – Monmouth under 145.5 Line @ Bovada
                    21. NY Players Club CBB – William & Mary +3 Line @ BetAnySports
                    22. Fred Callahan CBB – NC St -25 Line @ Bovada
                    23. Las Vegas Private CEO Club NBA – Warriors +3 Line @ MyBookie
                    24. Michigan Sports NBA – Spurs over 219.5 Line @ GT Bets
                    25. National Consensus Report CBB – Georgetown -13.5 Line @ Bovada
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                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 371089

                      #11
                      1. Elite Sports Picks CFB E. Michigan +5.5 1-0 (+100) 3-0 (+300)
                      2. Profit On Sports NBA Nets under 222 0-1 (-110) 4-2 (+190)
                      3. Top Rank Sports Picks CBB Oregon over 141.5 0-1 (-110) 4-2 (+180)
                      4. National Sports Service CFB Ohio under 57.5 0-1 (-110) 3-2 (+80)
                      5. Primetime Sports Picks 1-0 (+100) 4-3 (+70)
                      6. Insider Sports Report CFB Miami-OH -17 1-0 (+100) 2-3-1 (-130)
                      7. Doc's Picks CFB E. Michigan under 66 0-1 (-110) 3-4 (-140)
                      8. The Sports Consensus CBB St. Louis +10.5 0-1 (-110) 3-4 (-140)
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                      Comment

                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 371089

                        #12
                        GreenTreeSports NBA SAN ANTONIO SPURS +7.5 0 1 -100
                        Joe Wiz NCAA Basketball SOUTH ALABAMA JAGUARS +21 0 1 -110
                        Mikey Sports NBA SAN ANTONIO SPURS +6.5 0 1 -110
                        R and R Totals NCAA Basketball GEORGE WASHINGTON COLONIALS/CALIFORNIA STATE‑FULLERTON TITANS u145.5 0 1 -110
                        Rocketman Sports NCAA Basketball NEVADA WOLF PACK ‑2 0 1 -110
                        The Money Team Wins Sports NCAA Football TOLEDO ROCKETS ‑220 0 1 -110
                        Ace / Sleeper Selections No pick yet 0 1 -110
                        Mikey Money No pick yet 0 1 -110
                        Vegas Investment Picks No pick yet 0 1 -110
                        Assassin Sports Betting No pick yet 0 1 -175
                        Hottie4Sports NHL CAROLINA HURRICANES ‑1.5 +175 0 1 -180
                        Insider Sports Report NCAA Football WESTERN MICHIGAN BRONCOS/EASTERN MICHIGAN EAGLES u66 0 0 0
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                        Comment

                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 371089

                          #13
                          Vic Duke

                          Nov 16 '21, 7:30 PM in 11m
                          NCAA-F | Western Michigan vs Eastern Michigan
                          Play on: UNDER 66 -109

                          Western Michigan/Eastern Michigan 7:30: Two QBs who can light it up against defenses a step slow. That sums up tonight's matchup. WM's Kaleb Eleby has dangerous weapons in Moore, Hall and Crooms, and a sound run game with RB Sean Tyler who also ran a kickoff back last week. EM struggles to stop the run (195 YPG allowed) in a yielding defense. On the other hand, Cincinnati QB transfer Ben Bryant is mechanically sound and sharp at 69.7% completions and tossed for 300+ yards in 3 of his last 4 games. WM's defense has fallen dramatically over the last month and vulnerable tonight. These teams combined for 95 points last year in Kalamazoo with virtually the same personnel. On Tuesday nights, these teams are a combined 11-2 O/U. Eagles 8-1 O/U off a SU loss. Forget about the cold, inclement weather and high "total", go "over".
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                          Comment

                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 371089

                            #14
                            Frank Sawyer

                            Nov 16 '21, 7:30 PM in 11m
                            NCAA-F | Western Michigan vs Eastern Michigan
                            Play on: OVER 66 -110

                            FRANK’S CUTTING ROOM FLOOR FOR TUESDAY, 11/16:

                            My “Cutting Room Floor” plays are the situations I considered the closest to being worthy of investment but did not make the “final cut” for my official plays today for subscribers. The last play I cut for Tuesday was with Over the Total in the game between the Western Michigan Broncos and the Eastern Michigan Eagles. Western Michigan (6-4) ended their two-game losing streak with their 45-40 upset win against Akron as a 26-point favorite last Tuesday. The Broncos generated 533 yards in that game — and they have played 4 of their last 5 games Over the Total after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. Western Michigan has also played 17 of their last 21 games Over the Total in November. Eastern Michigan (6-4) comes off a 34-26 upset loss to Ohio as a 6-point favorite on Tuesday. The Over is 8-2-1 in the Eagles’ last 11 games after a straight-up loss. The Over is also 5-1-2 in Eastern Michigan’s last 8 games against teams with a winning record. Take the Over. Best of luck — Frank.
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                            Comment

                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 371089

                              #15
                              Brandon Lee

                              Nov 16 '21, 7:30 PM in 11m
                              NCAA-F | Western Michigan vs Eastern Michigan
                              Play on: Eastern Michigan +5½ -103 at pinnacle

                              FREE PICK: Eastern Michigan Eagles +5.5
                              RATING: 30*
                              ROT#: 302
                              I'll take the 5.5-points with Eastern Michigan at home against in-state rival Western Michigan in Tuesday's MACtion. The books have been overvaluing the Broncos quite a bit here of late. Western Michigan has failed to cover each of their last 3 games and have just one cover in their last 6. They have lost 3 times this year as a favorite and last week barely beat Akron at home 45-40 as a 26-point favorite.
                              The numbers just don't add up to this line. The Broncos are scoring 33.0 ppg and giving up 34.8 ppg in their 6 conference games this year. The Eagles are scoring 32.8 ppg and giving up 30.7 ppg. Eastern Michigan has also looked much better against the two common opponents they have played.
                              Another factor here that I think adds some more value to the Eagles, is this is their final home game of the season, which means it will be senior night.
                              Western Michigan is also just 3-12 ATS last 15 as a road favorite of 3.5 to 7 points. Give me Eastern Michigan +5.5!
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