Friday 11/19/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-19-2021, 04:03 PM

Laurel Park 5 Facts | November 16-21, 2021

November 16, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk

Schedule:

Thursday-Sunday

Carryovers:

$5,527 // Rainbow 6 Thursday

Feature Race(s):

No stakes scheduled.

Key 1/ST BET Factors (top pick win %, top pick profit/loss):

Avg. Earnings Track (31%, -$2.20)

Avg. Speed (27%, -$12.40) *top-3 factor 2 straight weeks*

Days Since Last Race (21%, +$28.60)

Jockey/Trainer Trends from Betmix:

T: John ‘Jerry’ Robb // last week 8: 4-0-0 (50%, $4.96 ROI) // wins at $3, $10, $13, $52 // 4 wins with Xavier Perez

T: Brittany Russell // last week 6: 3-1-0 (50%, $2.77 ROI) // wins at $4, $9, $19 // 4: 2-1-0 with maidens

T: Ferris Allen III // last week 8: 2-0-1 (25%, $3.30 ROI) // $48 winner topping // both wins dirt claimers

J: Xavier Perez // last week 12: 5-0-0 (42%, $3.90 ROI) // 4 wins with John ‘Jerry’ Robb // $52 topper

J: Horacio Karamanos // last week 18: 4-1-5 (22%, $1.87 ROI) // $48 winner with Ferris Allen

** ROI reflects return on $1 win bet**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-19-2021, 04:04 PM

Gulfstream 5 Facts | November 16-21, 2021

November 16, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk

Schedule:

Thursday-Sunday

Carryovers:

$405,484 // Rainbow 6 Jackpot ($600,000-guaranteed pool Thursday)

$2,240 // Super High 5

Feature Race(s):

No stakes scheduled.

Key 1/ST BET Factors (top pick win %, top pick profit/loss):

Avg. 2 of 3 Speed (32%, +$6.60)

Win % (26%, - $5.80) *top-3 factor 2 straight weeks*

In The Money (ITM) % (21%, -$37.00) *top-3 factor 3 straight weeks*

Jockey/Trainer Trends from Betmix:

T: Saffie Joseph Jr. // last week 10: 4-2-2 (40%, $1.28 ROI) // wins at $5, $5, $7, $9 // 3 wins dirt sprints

T: Gerald Brooks // last week 8: 3-0-0 (38%, $2.01 ROI) // wins at $7, $9, $15 // 2-2 with Miguel Vasquez

T: Amador Sanchez // last week 6: 2-0-0 (33%, $2.13 ROI) // $11 and $13 winners both with Hector Berrios up

J: Hector Berrios // last week 6: 4-0-0 (67%, $4.17 ROI) // wins at $4, $11, $13, $20 // 3-3 in sprints

J: Samy Camacho // last week 17: 4-1-1 (24%, $1.39 ROI) // wins at $8, $9, $13, $16

** ROI reflects return on $1 win bet**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-19-2021, 04:04 PM

Golden Gate Fields 5 Facts | November 16-21, 2021

November 16, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk

Schedule:

Friday-Sunday

Carryovers:

$19,443 // Rainbow 6 Friday

$5,345 // Super High 5 Friday

Feature Race(s):

$50,000 Oakland Stakes // elder Tapeta sprinters // Saturday

Key 1/ST BET Factors (top pick win %, top pick profit/loss):

Avg. 2 of 3 Speed (32%, -$14.00) *top-3 factor 2 straight weeks*

Last Race Class (29%, -$3.20)

In The Money % (29%, -$22.00)

Jockey/Trainer Trends from Betmix:

T: Reid France // last week 7: 4-1-1 (%, $ ROI) // last 2 weeks 15: 7-3-3

T: Faith Taylor // last week 4: 2-1-1 (50%, $12.40 ROI) // all 4 maiden claimers // $4 and $95 winners, also 15-1 runner-up

T: Armando Ayuso // last week 14: 4-5-0 (29%, $1.20 ROI) // $4, $4, $10, $15 winners // 3 wins Tapeta sprints

J: Pedro Terrero // last week 14: 6-2-3 (43%, $1.36 ROI) // 5: 4-1-0 with favorites, adding pair of $9 wins

J: Adrian Martinez // last week 9: 1-0-4 (11%, $5.29 ROI) // $95 winner, but also 8-1, 10-1, 13-1, 14-1 shots in the money

** ROI reflects return on $1 win bet**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-19-2021, 04:04 PM

Frank Carulli: Stronach 5 Analysis: Friday, November 19, 2021

November 18, 2021 | By Frank Carulli

Fueled by 45-1 winner Shanghai Mist at Golden Gate, one bettor correctly picked all five winners in last week's Stronach 5, taking home $99,519. Will history repeat itself in this Friday's Stronach 5 that spans five races at three tracks in less than an hour? Join the excitement for as little as a $1 wager, or play multiple combinations to increase your chances. Here's an early look at this week's sequence, with an update to follow Saturday after scratches:

LEG A (Laurel Park, 7th race, 3:34 EST): GALE WINDS gained after a bumpy start two back in allowance company but raced evenly in a fast-paced follow-up try on the grass. MUTAKAAMIL plunged to the bottom level and defeated four rivals at 1-to-9 odds for his first win in 20 attempts, now he starts for high-percentage new connections. DREAMING OF CARATS showed good zip in his last two starts, a point magnified in a field that is a combined 5-for-89 on the main track. The connections see something they like in DAPER'S DRINK, a lightly-raced 5-year-old with a 1-23 record this year, so use him at 12-1 off the claim.

LEG B (Gulfstream Park, 8th race, 3:53 EST): GITANA, first or second in 9 of 17 starts, chased odds-on repeater Bramble Berry (8-22, $216k) through a :45.2 half mile on a day when the track played very slow. He bid 3-wide at the top of the stretch but settled for second best in the long sprint. He is today's solo play on the cutback to 6F.

LEG C (Laurel Park, 8th race, 4:02 EST): POWERFUL ALLY summoned his back class and blazed through the claiming ranks at Parx after a 14-month layoff, winning three times by a combined 12-1/2 lengths and holding second in a long sprint two back. AMEN CORNER packs late kick, should get a lively pace flow and offers good value at 8-1. HIS NAME IS SUE is a model of ultra consistency for a barn that keeps them sharp, but he offers little value, having been dismissed as a prohibitive favorite in 8 of his last 10 starts.

LEG D (Golden Gate, 2nd race, 4:18 EST): Battle of Memphis broke slowly and rallied 4-wide to win off a seven-month layoff, but he has raced exclusively on turf, caught a 3-for-49 rival and is 7-to-5 on the morning line. HARBOR KITTY rallied 4-wide and came up a neck short in his bid for three consecutive photo-finish victories on the Golden Gate main track. FLICFLAT is usable at 8-1 after he rallied for third as the favorite and second in a race dominated by closers the last two times at 6 furlongs.

LEG E (Gulfstream Park, 9th race, 4:23 EST): Good recent form abounds in this route race as 8 of 9 fillies go postward with $44,000-plus in earnings. We'll go six deep in Leg E on the ticket in hopes that it is still alive.

Stronach 5 Ticket
Leg A: 1, 2, 7, 9
Leg B: 5
Leg C: 1, 5
Leg D: 1, 3, 7
Leg E: 2, 4, 5, 7, 8, 9

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-19-2021, 04:05 PM

Best Horse Racing Bets for Friday, November 19, 2021
By J.W. Paine in Horse Racing

Charles Town Races, Del Mar Racing, and Turf Paradise all delivered plenty of underdogs and even a couple of sleepers for my Friday racing picks.

In fact, I only found one wager-worthy morning-line favorite in the nine races I assessed.

Remember that you can check out the entire Friday race-card of each of the three tracks by visiting our recommended online race books.

Good luck!
Friday Picks for Charles Town Races

We’ll start on the main track with race five, a 4-1/2-furlong allowance run for two-year-old’s that have never won two races. My money’s on the second-favored (at 7/2) Golden Hughes, ridden by Arnaldo Bocachica.

This colt finished all five of his career starts in the money, winning his third maiden attempt in August, then finishing second in an allowance race in October. I’m convinced he’s got what it takes to best this eight-horse field.

Anthony Farrior—who’s having the best year of his career—trains Golden Hughes for Conroy Thoroughbreds LLC.

Race six is a 4-1/2-furlong allowance optional claiming race on the main track for fillies and mares three years old and upward. I’m betting my two dollars on the 4/1 underdog, Exact, with veteran jockey J.D. Acosta in the irons.
This three-year-old filly has the best stats in this eight-horse field: Nine money finishes in 14 career starts, four of those wins. More to the point, all four of her wins have been this year.

The morning-line favorite, on the other hand, hasn’t finished in the money once in her six 2021 races.

Michael M. Moore trains Exact for owner Michael R. Day.

Race seven is a 6-1/2-furlong allowance race for West Virginia-bred fillies and mares three years old and upward that have never won two races. I’m backing the 9/5 morning-line favorite, Love to Zoom, with top jockey Jose Montano aboard.

This three-year-old filly moneyed three of her four career starts, winning one—solid stats in comparison to those of the other seven competitors in this race.

Love to Zoom is trained by co-owner Ronney W. Brown for himself and Nicole Brown. Jose Montano has been in the irons for Love to Zoom’s last three races.
Friday’s Picks for Del Mar Racing

Let’s begin on the main track with race two, a one-mile allowance optional claiming race for fillies and mares three years old and upward.

Despite being aggressively campaigned at the graded stakes level, the morning-line favorite’s erratic record doesn’t convince me that she can win this race, so I’m putting my money on the third-favored (at 7/2) Velvet Slippers, piloted by Juan J. Hernandez.

This three-year-old filly finished three of her four career starts in the money, winning her third attempt in the maiden class and following up with a second-place finish in the Dark Mirage Stakes (Black Type) at Los Alamitos in September.

Hall of Famer Bob Baffert trains Velvet Slippers for owner Sarah Kelly.

Let’s move to the turf course for race four, a five-furlong claiming race for three-year-olds and upward. I’m betting both of my dollars on the 5/1 sleeper, Bedrock, with Abel Cedillo in the irons.
This four-year-old gelding has a good statistical record that looks even better in comparison to the rest of this lackluster eight-horse field: Eleven money finishes in 18 career starts, with five wins.

Robert B. Hess, Jr. trains Bedrock for owners David A. Bernsen LLC, Todd Cady, Thomas Kilgore, Jeffrey Lambert, David Medina, and William F. Moore.

We’re back on the main track for race seven, a 6-1/2 furlong allowance optional claiming race for California-bred or sired fillies and mares three years old and upward. I like the second-favored (at 7/2) Kristi’s Tiger, ridden by veteran jockey Mike E. Smith.

This four-year-old filly moneyed eleven of her 16 career starts, winning four—which gives her a better statistical record than that of the morning-line favorite. She’ll do.

With more than four decades in the business, Thomas Ray Bell, II trains Kristi’s Tiger for owners Richard A. Bell and Clark O. Brewster.
My Friday Picks for Turf Paradise

We’ll start on the turf with race two, a five-furlong allowance optional claiming race for fillies and mares three years old and upward. My money’s on the second-favored (at 7/2) My Crafty Gal, with veteran jockey Leslie Mawing aboard.

This six-year-old mare finished 21 of her 32 career starts in the money, winning eleven of them. In 2021, she’s moneyed six out of eight starts, with three wins. Her stats say she can do it. My bankroll says she better.

Twenty-year racing veteran Priscilla Leon trains My Crafty Gal for owner Alberto Flores.

Let’s switch to the main track for race four, a 6-1/2-furlong allowance optional claiming race for three-year-olds and upward. My money’s on the 9/2 underdog Smooth Papa, piloted by jockey Keivan Serrano.
In this six-horse field, this three-year-old gelding is a stand-out with four money finishes in seven career starts, three of those wins, including the Arizona Breeders’ Stakes in March and the Gene Fleming Breeders’ Derby in April.

Smooth Papa is trained by co-owner and longtime racing veteran Kevin Eikleberry for Reunion Racing Stables LLC and himself.

And we’re back on the turf course for race five, a 7-1/2-furlong allowance race for three-year-olds and upward that have never won four races or have never won on turf. I’m buying a win ticket on the 6/1 sleeper Avalon King, ridden by veteran jockey Daniel P. Vergara.

This five-year-old gelding finished in the money for 18 of his 27 career starts, winning seven. His 2021 record is even better: Five wins and five other money finishes in 13 starts. That makes him the star of this eight-horse field.

Longtime racing veteran Debbie O’Brien trains Avalon King for owner Larry O’Brien. She has tapped Vergara to saddle Avalon King for his last five races, resulting in one second-place finish and four visits to the winner’s circle.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-19-2021, 04:08 PM

Today’s Horse Racing Tips – 19th November 2021
By: Racing and Sports Time published 2021-11-19 at 10:55 AM (GMT +11:00)

Australian thoroughbred Tab meetings are today held at Moonee Valley, Orange, Ipswich, Naracoorte and Terang.

MOONEE VALLEY: RACE 4 @ 7:45 PM

BRILLIANT VENTURE (2) has been in career-best form of late with two wins and four placings from his past six outings. Goes well for Thornton who has two wins and three placings from nine steers and has placed over this track and trip. Will be very hard to run down. CHAINS OF HONOUR (1) has been handy in both runs for the new stable and gets 3kg off with the claim. Best form puts him right in this. INTHELAPOFTHEGODS (9) is racing in fine fashion with a win and three seconds from his past four starts. Has to be included. ANGELIC SCENT (8) has only missed the top four once in seven starts and is a must for the multiples. GUNS ABLAZING (3) has a win and a placing from two starts over this course and distance and could sneak into the finish.
SELECTIONS: Brilliant Venture to win.

ORANGE: RACE 6 @ 4:09 PM

DANISH PRINCE (4) was a winner two back before sticking on gamely for fourth at the latest, beaten 1.4L. Is 2/4 in the placings at the distance - including a win. Sure to run well. BLAZING (2) was unlucky not to finish in the minors last time at Hawkesbury, beaten 1.6L. Going in the right direction and can make his presence felt. TOUGH CASE (10) has been going well this time in. Draws to get the gun run and winning jockey is back in the saddle. Top three prospect. HIDDEN ACE (14) put in a good performance two back before going amiss last start. Is 1/1 at the track and is worth some thought.
SELECTIONS: Going with Danish Prince.

IPSWICH: RACE 9 @ 5:40 PM

ATOMIC BOMB (8) does find it hard to win but has racked up nine placings to go alongside his lone win. He is third up here and is up to his best distance. The wet track will be to his advantage and top jockey Robbie Fradd is sticking with him and so are we. GINJA (4) was quite unlucky not to have won last start after losing some ground at the start. He is racing in good heart and again should give a good account of himself. Hard to beat. GOLDSCHLAGER (7) is another that did not get all favours last time out. She is being tested at a longer distance and her racing pattern suggests that it should be right up her alley. A win would come as no surprise. LOBURN LASS (3) has been in great form this season and her only miss came two starts back when being trapped wide. She has a great draw and will make full use of top apprentice Zac Lloyd's 2kg allowance. Watch closely.
SELECTIONS: Value bet of the day Atomic Bomb each way.

NARACOORTE: RACE 4 @ 3:55 PM

THANASI (6) has had one blip in a string of strong efforts. Led placing at Penola the latest bet 4-5. Gets plenty of weight relief at this level and can take the race out with average luck from the sticky gate. RHYTHMATIC (2) is a veteran stablemate busting to win. Found one better in stronger the latest and should get a soft run from the rail. JUSTA JILLAROO (8) is also racing like an early winner. Was lipped out in the Penola second-up and won't have to improve much to be a threat. CRYPTO CURRENCY (3) resumes with the premier hoop booked and owns an Oakbank trial win. Is 2/2 this track and 2/4 fresh and will run along from the low barrier. Keep very safe.
SELECTIONS: Backing Thanasi.

TERANG: RACE 1 @ 12:55 PM

TALLANDOON (5) built on the good debut when just nudged out at Pakenham at the mile. He can control the race again and fitter the extra 250m shouldn't bother. The one to beat. COASTABLE (9) is tracking well despite being thumped the latest by Launch Pad. Covered the others and she should go close. YOUNG LUCAS (7) is running out of chances but has been threatening at Warrnambool and gets another chance. DANDY CLASSIC (10) was better the latest and can't be ruled out over the longer journey.
SELECTIONS: Going with Tallandoon.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-19-2021, 04:08 PM

INTERSTATE RACING TIPS – NOVEMBER 19TH
RSN927

RSN Form Analyst Shayne Montgomery covers all the daily racing tips for the NSW meeting at Orange on Friday the 19th of November.

Along with our Interstate Racing Tips, you’ll find Greyhound and Harness Tips, plus a full preview of every Victorian meeting, each and every day of the week with RSN927’s Expert Tipsters and race-callers.

Rail Position: +3.5m 500m-300m where cutaway rail applies
Track Type: Turf
Track Condition: Heavy 8
Weather: Fine
Shayne Montgomery Orange Tips

Orange, 19th November 2021

Race 1 Selections:1,6,2,4
Race 2 Selections:8,10,2,1
Race 3 Selections: 6,3,9,10
Race 4 Selections:6,5,2,1
Race 5 Selections:7,6,2,1
Race 6 Selections:2,4,7,9
Race 7 Selections:4,3,1,11
Race 8 Selections:3,5,2,9
Best Bet

Race 4 Number 6 Airstrike
Next Best

Race 7 Number 4 De Forerunner
Best Value

Race 2 Number 8 Quest For Honor
Quaddie

Quaddie 1:1,2,6,7
Quaddie 2:2,4,7,9
Quaddie 3:1,3,4,112
Quaddie 4:2,3,5,9
Play Of The Day

Race Race 4 Number 6 Airstrike al up Race 7 Number 4 De Forerunner

RSN Form Analyst Howard Walter covers all the daily racing tips for the QLD meeting at Ipswich on Friday the 19th of November.

Rail Position: +7m Entire Course
Track Type: Turf
Track Condition: Good 4
Weather: Fine
Penetrometer: 4.9
Howard Walter

Ipswich, 19th November 2021

Race 1 Selections:4,8,10,3
Race 2 Selections:3,6,5,1
Race 3 Selections: 4,8,9,6
Race 4 Selections:4,10,14,15
Race 5 Selections:9,5,6,2
Race 6 Selections:7,2,10,9
Race 7 Selections:1,3,9,10
Race 8 Selections:8,9,6,14
Race 9 Selections:4,11,3,8
Best Bet

Race 6 Number 7 Swahili Mai
Best Value

Race 5 Number 9 Norm’s Choice
Quaddie

Quaddie 1:2,7
Quaddie 2:1,3,9,10
Quaddie 3:6,8,9
Quaddie 4:3,4,8,11
Play Of The Day

Win & Place all up Race 5 Number 9 Norm’s Choice into Race 6 Number 7 Swahili Mai

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-19-2021, 04:09 PM

Jeff Siegel's Del Mar Wagering Strategies for Friday, 11/19/21

November 19, 2021

Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily “Workout Report, Analysis, and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.). For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
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Grade Descriptions:
Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred or pass
Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play

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RACE 1: Post: 12:30 PT Grade: B
Single: 3-Map to My Heart

Forecast: Map to My Heart has been away for more than a year but the daughter of Liam’s Map shows a work tab at Los Alamitos that should have her fit enough and based on the ability she displayed over this course and distance as a 2-year-old she appears to have landed in a winnable spot. This maiden special weight turf sprint came up softer than par, so at 3-1 on the morning line let’s go with the B. Koriner-trained filly as a win play and rolling exotic single.

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RACE 2: Post: 1:00 PT Grade: B+
Use: 2-California Kook; 4-Velvet Slippers

Forecast: California Kook was out of her element in the Zenyatta S.-G1 at Santa Anita last month but returns to her favorite dirt surface while dropping back into the first-level allowance ranks so we’re expecting the daughter of Boisterous to regain her winning form. She does her best running from off the pace and should get the patient ride she requires with the switch to U. Rispoli. Velvet Slippers is lightly-raced with rapidly rising Beyer speed figures, continues to impress in the morning, and is a “must use” in rolling exotic play. In a field that should produce a modest early pace, she could inherit the role as the controlling speed and be very tough to catch given that type of trip. Both should be included in rolling exotic play with a very slight edge on top to California Kook.

Notable Workouts:

Velvet Slippers (Nov. 7, Santa Anita, 4f, :48.3h). Grade: B+
Always going the better of the two inside Enbarr (same time) while finishing a long neck in front at the wire without every really being asked, final quarter mile in :24 flat. On the upgrade for B. Baffert and has all of her conditions.
View Workout Video

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RACE 3: Post: 1:30 PT Grade: B
Use: 6-Hay Juan; 7-Tizlightning

Forecast: Tizlightning won at first asking in clever fashion with a solid speed figure at Los Alamitos in September. He returns protected in a starter optional claimer, lands the cozy outside post, and will be tough to beat if he duplicates his maiden performance. Hay Juan is the quickest in the field and will take them as far as he can for new trainer D. O’Neill. The Danzing Candy colt was straight as a string to hang on when beating maiden $50,000 foes over this track and distance in early September and shows a bullet local workout (5f, 1:00h) seven days ago to indicate that further improvement is probable. We’re expecting the winner to be one or the other, so we’ll include both in our rolling exotics with a very slight edge on top to Tizlightning.

Notable Workouts:

Tizlightning (November 13, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:02.3h TT). Grade: B
Easy move, just galloping along looking fine, final three furlongs in a breezing :12.1 and :37.4. Freshened since good maiden claiming debut win and should be quite competitive with starter’s allowance foes.
View Workout Video

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RACE 4: Post: 2:00 PT Grade: B-
Use: 3-Barristan The Bold; 4-Mr Vargas; 7-First Prez

Forecast: We’ll spread the fourth race, a $25,000 claiming turf sprint for older horses. Barristan The Bold made the running but faded late in a similar affair down the Hillside Course at Santa Anita last month in what was a fairly strong race for the level. This shortening in trip should help, and a repeat of his troubled third over this course and distance three runs back probably would be good enough to win. At 4-1 on the morning line, he’s worth a play in the win pool and in the various rolling exotics Mr Vargas finished a good third in an allowance $40,000 optional seller sprinting on this turf course in late August. The layoff is concerning and so is the drop in class, so we have to wonder what kind of condition he’s in. Clearly, on best day he can win against this group but it’s entirely possible he’s seen better days. First Prez has a prior win over the local lawn and could snap to life in his first-off-the claim for J. Mullins. The First Dude gelding projects to enjoy a nice pace-stalking trip outside and then have every chance from the quarter pole home to take control. At 6-1 on the morning line, you have to include him somewhere.

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RACE 5: Post: 2:30 PT Grade: B-
Use: 4-Riviera Champ; 7-Town Boy

Forecast: Town Boy seems fairly solid in this maiden $32,000 claiming sprint for juveniles. Runner-up in his last pair with rising speed figures that are stronger than par for the level, the son of Speightstown returns to the level at which he was claimed, switches to A. Cedillo, and should be on or near the lead throughout from a comfortable outside draw. Riviera Champ, a $50,000 M. Maker claim at Santa Anita, has two-turned on grass in all three of his career starts and today shortens to a sprint, switches to dirt, and reappears in a softer $32,000 affair. If he can run, this would be a good spot to show it. Two very sharp workouts over the local main track since joining this barn are quite encouraging. We’ll give Town Boy top billing but include both in our rolling exotics.

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RACE 6: Post: 3:00 PT Grade: B
Use: 2-Fly to Mars; 8-Absolute Unit

Forecast: Fly to Mars draws a much better post today and should draft into an ideal stalking, ground-saving position and then have every chance to regain his winning form when the pressure is turned on. The veteran gelding always has run well over Del Mar turf course but has failed as the favorite in each of his last four starts, though not running badly at all. Today looks like his day. Absolute Unit, drops below his claim level in his second start since joining the M. Maker barn, has a prior win over the local turf course and is a strong fit based on his clever win two races back. He looks better on form than his 8-1 morning line, so we’ll toss him in on a few tickets as a back-up or a saver.

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RACE 7: Post: 3:30 PT Grade: B
Single: 4-Delta Wind

Forecast: Not sure what happened to Delta Wind when she flopped badly at 60 cents on the dollar in a similar spot for first-level allowance fillies and mares at Santa Anita last month. She appeared hot and bothered in the post parade and then seemed totally disinterested while earning a Beyer speed figure 26 points lower than her maiden win over the Del Mar main track two runs back. She was very impressive in that 11 length romp while turning in a performance that would bury this group, so let’s give her a chance to make amends and hope she shows up with her best stuff today. At 5/2 on the morning line. she’s a win play and rolling exotic single.

Notable Workouts:

Delta Wind (November 11, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:00.1h). Grade: B+
Appeared to lose focus a bit and was a tad green through the lane but still turned in solid five furlong main track drill without being asked, splits of :23.3, :35.1 and 1:00.1 for J. Sadler. A bit quirky but has plenty of ability and will be tough to beat vs. non-winners of two types if she performs up to potential.
View Workout Video

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RACE 8: Post: 4:00 PT Grade: B-
Use: 5-Bonnie Brae; 10-La Deuxieme Etoile

Forecast: Bonnie Brae was quite unlucky when well-backed (5/2) on the tote and then winding up fourth in her debut sprinting on dirt last month at Santa Anita. She broke slowly, fell far back, then took hold and finished with good energy but too late. Yes, her late kick was race-shape aided and may have flattered her performance, but the daughter of Grazen should benefit greatly from the outside and has the pedigree to handle grass and move up over a distance of ground. A bullet recent five furlong workout (:59 1/5) is another positive factor. La Deuxieme Etoile was overmatched in the Zuma Beach S. last month at Santa Anita but isn’t today and is strictly the one to beat. The D. O’Neill-trained filly adds blinkers for the first time and has previous form over this course and distance at this level that makes her strictly the one to beat.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-19-2021, 04:09 PM

Free Winners for Friday, November 19th 2021 from THE LEGEND!
FREE HORSE PICKS
CHARLES TOWN
RACE #7
TIME: 10:02 PM EST
PICK: BET #4 Creative Splendor 8/1 odds to win @ Bovada

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-19-2021, 04:10 PM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Charles Town - Race #6
Picks Notes
#6 Exact She'll make her local debut here after a decent effort from close range at Parx. She is probably quick enough to keep up at this abbreviated trip, and she might get the right kind of chase-and-take-control trip.
#8 Sweetonthegents She should be able to get a similar trip to the top choice while prompting the pace from the outside, but she doesn't always see out this trip in the final yards. Think she'll settle underneath tonight.
#3 Barbsgray Lion She should be a nice price while stepping up off the easy score with a cheap bunch last time out, and she might be able to hang around for a piece of this.
Race Summary Exact probably gets bet a bit below the 4/1 ML price, but she has a right to be a handful in here after a good sprint effort last time out. Her dirt form has been pretty good despite the fact that she has done most of her work on the lawn.

Charles Town - Race #7
Picks Notes
#1 River Rewards Rvf She steps up off the claim after scoring nicely at the $12,500 level in her debut run. She moves into a capable barn and has the right kind of style to sit a good trip right up near the top with these while stretching out.
#8 Cedars Bulls Eye She's capable of something better than she showed last time out, but I worry she's overbet again in this spot. She's already had a handful of chances at this level and might land another share tonight.
#2 Love to Zoom She has some form that makes her tough, but she doesn't always finish off her races, and she is going to take cash again tonight. Inclined to try and beat her tonight.
Race Summary River Rewards Rvf might offer a fair price while stepping up into allowance company off a fairly cheap maiden claiming win, but she might get the right kind of trip to track the pace on the inside.

Charles Town - Race #8
Picks Notes
#4 Kyle He has a little bit of tactical pace and can adapt to whatever happens out of the gate, and he has only missed the exacta once from seven local tries. Dangerous here, and I'd be happy to sign up at anything like the 5/1 ML price.
#6 G Daddy He'll get bet for a tough barn, and his form with similar in a couple of local starts stacks up really well here. Can't argue with anyone landing here.
#5 Sacco and Vanzetti He has some claim on this one, but he can be a bit bashful when confronted in the stretch of his races, so his best chance comes from blowing this open off the turn.
Race Summary Kyle has some intrigue here from close range, and he's better than what he showed last out at Mountaineer. His local record has been really reliable, and he seems as likely as any of these.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-19-2021, 04:11 PM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Harrah's Philadelphia - Race #1
Picks Notes
#6 DA MAGICIAN Late runner lacked room until stretch, taken to upset.
#4 IM A DIRECTOR N Battling serious recent bout with seconditis, Napolitano's choice of two.
#8 DARK HORSE Doesn't shy from photo-finish camera, has post 8 to contend with.
Race Summary Da Magician was trapped on the rail and lacked running room until the stretch. He finished willingly once free, should get a livlier pace flow against similar rivals today and offers good value. Play 6-4 and 6-8 exactas.

Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #1
Picks Notes
#1 MUSICAL SPELL Controlled slow pace for first win of year, starts for new barn.
#6 SOMBRE Gets needed class relief, last won at a notch above this level.
#4 MEADOWBRANCH NOBLE Some late gain from post 8 on the class drop last week.
Race Summary With several contenders battling a breaking habit, we'll take a longshot stab on Musical Spell, who was claimed out of a win at half-mile Flamboro Downs with an 0-for-22 record this year. The connections liked something about the 10-year-old and he lands in an ideal condition from the rail. Play a 1-4-6 exacta box.

Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #5
Picks Notes
#5 CONTROL HEAVEN Got away easy in repeat score but responded when asked.
#4 TAKE A GAMBLE Upstaged series of in-money finishes with back-to-back series romps.
#6 FLASH CUBE Chased but couldn't stay with Take A Gamble in last pair.
Race Summary Control Heaven controlled the pace through a :59.3 middle half in a slower division of the Fall Harvest Series last week, but he looked good doing it and found another gear when needed. He seeks his third consecutive win in the $52,300 final. Play 5-4 and 5-6 exactas.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-19-2021, 04:12 PM

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Del Mar - Race #2
Picks Notes
#5 Trouville Has a finishing touch on occasion, especially when she gets a lively pace ahead of her; was an easy winner the last time she was on dirt.
#3 Ginja Was third in the Lucky Spell last out and is well placed in this two-turn run; speed makes her dangerous.
#2 California Kook Has had her share of appearances in graded stakes races but has done much better when faced with company similar to what she faces today. Has class and looks like a strong player.
Race Summary Trouville has a good closing move and has a lot of speedsters in front of her today; came on well for fourth on the turf last out and should enjoy the return to the main track.

Del Mar - Race #6
Picks Notes
#1 Dr. Troutman Set a lively pace and wound up third last out; likes to be on the front end and that's where he'll be today. One to catch.
#2 Fly the Mars Forced the issue last time, but his closing second two back would make him very tough here.
#5 French Getaway Has the late move that will make him a player in the closing yards; didn't fire last time but takes a slight drop for this one.
Race Summary Dr. Troutman has speed and the rail and should be able to control this one; can show the energy to hang on.

Del Mar - Race #7
Picks Notes
#2 Kristi's Tiger Held on for second last out and gets Hall of Famer Smith aboard for the sprint; can carve out a good trip.
#4 Delta Wind Ran fourth vs. similar last out after an 11-length maiden win two back; does her best on the front end and will probably give that a go.
#5 Big Summer Last for a maiden win last out and has been on the board in all five of her races; game and a contender.
Race Summary Kristi's Tiger turns back from a mile and is in a good spot to show a decent late run; one to look for in the stretch.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-19-2021, 04:12 PM

Quick Picks for November 19, 2021

Aqueduct Racetrack (NYRA)
Race #1- #6 SPICER; #10 BRISKY FROLIC; #9 HEDY LAMARR
Race #2- #8 EYES ON TARGET; #6 ROMAN EMPIRE; #3 ADARE
Race #3- #13 FIVE ALARM ROBIN; #15 ELECTRIC YOUTH; #3 FUNWHILEITLASTED
Race #4- #3 TWISTED TOM; #5 BLEWITT; #1 PLAYWRIGHT
Race #5- #8 MESSIDOR; #5 TUSCAN QUEEN; #10 SILKY BLUE
Race #6- #10 DEVIL OR ANGEL; #16 CATCHING CUPID; #13 THRILL OF IT
Race #7- #11 MISS INVINCIBLE; #9 SKIMS; #8 SHEER ALICE
Race #8- #8 EUCHARIST; #3 SILVER TOKEN; #11 MATTY’S MARAUDER
Race #9- #4 DOSWELL; #8 SHOOGER RAY TOO; #9 BAKERS BAY
Race #10- #8 MY SUNNY VALENTINE; #7 PEACEBETHEJOURNEY; #4 THISMIGHTBETHEONE

Charles Town Racing
Race #1- #2 MY DREAM GIRL; #3 HOWSAFEAREMYCOLORS; #6 C V’S CAMPFIRE
Race #2- #1 NEEDNOEXPLANATION; #2 IL MIO REGALO; #5 ATRANI
Race #3- #3 DEO FORTE; #2 RRACE DAY WARRIOR; #1 RIDING CLOUD NINE
Race #4- #7 BADGER TOOTH; #5 RAGING WHIRLWIND; #2 ARE YOU HAPPY
Race #5- #4 CAJUN INVASION; #7 BET ON BITZ; #8 WE B SHACKIN
Race #6- #4 COACH RUBE; #8 SWEETONTHEGENTS; #2 CAPTAIN SAM
Race #7- #2 LOVE TO ZOOM; #8 CEDARS BULLS EYE; #4 CREATIVE SPLENDOR
Race #8- #4 KYLE; #7 FLAT RATE; #2 WIDGET FACTORY

Churchill Downs
Race #1- #2 DALIDA; #6 FLOWER MOON; #5 TIZAFEELIN
Race #2- #6 DEVIL’S TOWER; #2 ILLBOOTENGOTTY; #3 SIR GIANNIS
Race #3- #6 FREUDIAN FATE; #4 FEAST; #2 ROB THE RICH
Race #4- #11 LA FLECHA; #8 YOLO SANTIAGO; #1 WILD APPEAL
Race #5- #2 JACK’S ADVANTAGE; #9 MINE MY TIME; #6 SECRETARY AT WAR
Race #6- #5 SOL DORADO; #8 SANTA ELENA; #3 RESTLESS EYES
Race #7- #6 CIRCLE BACK JACK; #12 FAST LANE; #1 MAMZOOJ
Race #8- #1 LEDDY; #6 FLORIDA GATOR; #5 DEMOGORGON
Race #9- #2 MAHONEY ROAD; #1 BON BUENO; #3 CHILENO

Del Mar Racetrack
Race #1- #1 VA VA VOOM; #7 AVENTAPP; #2 VIGILANTIA
Race #2- #2 CALIFORNIA KOOK; #3 GINJA; #4 VELVET SLIPPERS
Race #3- #6 HAY JUAN; #5 IM STILL THIRSTY; #2 BRIGHT LEAF
Race #4- #7 FIRST PREZ; #3 BARRISTAN THE BOLD; #1 PSYCHO DAR
Race #5- #4 RIVIERA CHAMP; #9 MEDINA MAN; #5 BESAME MUCHO
Race #6- #3 VIA EGNATIA; #2 FLY TO MARS; #7 SEEKING REFUGE
Race #7- #4 DELTA WIND; #8 SEPTEMBER SECRET; #1 SATURDAY HEIST
Race #8- #10 LA DEUXIEME ETOILE; #3 CANDY ON TOP; #6 WARREN’S QUEEN BEE

Delta Downs
Race #1- #1A FORESTDUNGONE; #6 GREELEY’S DEALER; #5 KRAFTY BOY
Race #2- #1 DIXIELAND MUSIC; #6 RATHER PRECOCIOUS; #5 STORM THE FIELD
Race #3- #5 SERAPE; #10 MYLIES STAR; #6 WHIMSICAL LADY
Race #4- #8 MISTER K; #3 REPROBATE; #7 PIPES AND DRUMS
Race #5- #9 B B MOODY; #7 ALTERANA; #8 MR. PRODUCTION
Race #6- #7 POUND FOR POUND; #9 UNDERPRESSURE; #1 BISTRAYA
Race #7- #7 MUCH CLASS; #1A DOUBLE BARREL MAN; #1 HUNKA BURNING LOVE
Race #8- #1 SHE A HOT MESS; #8 FOUR PRINCESSES; #3 PUYE TIMING
Race #9- #5 SEA LEVEL; #8 O'BABE; #6 MAMA SAID NO
Race #10- #9 OUR LITTLE GIRL; #10 KUDOS TO YOU; #4 REBEL VISION

Evangeline Downs
Race #1- #1A SHEZ WILD AS JESS; #1 WILD BLUE CANDY; #2 NO BAD DAYS
Race #2- #4 POLITICALLY BLUE; #5 HESA CRAZY STORM; #6 GAMES LEAVING YOU
Race #3- #2 LRH MOJO KAT; #4 TTT COWBOY BOOT; #5 VELLA MAE SPINKS
Race #4- #1 OUR HOT TOPIC; #8 FASTTRAIN B; #2 LOMACHENKO
Race #5- #5 FOREVER CORONA CHICK; #1 ZAXO 13; #3 FABULOUS MAMIE
Race #6- #6 DLJ JESS THRILL ME; #3 CHICKS SPECIAL DOC; #2 FLASH BYE
Race #7- #4 EYE THIS CARTER; #2 BLESSHER SWEET HEART; #1 JJ CORONAS SNOW
Race #8- #5 QUICK JETS; #4 MEZQUITE; #1 WAVING CHICK

Golden Gate Fields
Race #1- #2 IOWA HAWKEYE; #3 TEX HANLEY; #4 BROOKYS TAPIT
Race #2- #3 BATTLE OF MEMPHIS; #2 I’M A COOL DUDE; #1 FLICFLAC
Race #3- #5 TWIRLING DERBY; #2 COJO; #3 THAT’S BIND BABE
Race #4- #5 SIX POINT RACK; #6 CONCUR; #4 KLAY NATION
Race #5- #3 AWHITESPORTSCOAT; #4 SUNSET DRAGUNN; #1 MY FRIEND TONY
Race #6- #1 MADDIE’S MOJITO; #3 MISS GLORIOUS; #2 WHERE’S FRANKIE
Race #7- #2 MISS LADY ANN; #4 PRINCESS VIVIAN; #6 BABE DIDRIKSON
Race #8- #5 BUYBACK; #8 TEN THE SMART WAY; #7 STYLEDOME
Race #9- #5 SEARCHING FOR GOLD; #3 CAPE POINT; #9 AMITY HARBOR

Gulfstream Park
Race #1- #8 NEW YORK’S FINEST; #7 FRENCHMEN STREET; #6 EARTH
Race #2- #4 BIONIC BOTTLE; #1 PIPER; #2 K’S RUNNING FREE
Race #3- #6 FIVE PRIZES; #4 STRAWBERRY POINT; #5 ICE COLD GOLD
Race #4- #3 EQUULEUS; #1 SILVER SPUR; #9 JULIUS THE GREAT
Race #5- #1 SEQUIN LADY; #2 RAPTUROUS; #4 RUNAWAY BREEZE
Race #6- #2 MADAME CLAUDE; #5 MILL LAKE LADY; #4 BLUSHING KEYLEN
Race #7- #7 R NEXT ROLL; #4 BUFF’S IN LOVE; #3 REGAL CHANT
Race #8- #5 GITANA; #1 LIZA STAR; #3 NAUGHTY SHIRLEY
Race #9- #9 ALBA’S STAR; #5 GYPSY WIFE; #7 BRODY’S HONOR

Hawthorne Race Course
Race #1- #1 BRAVO BRAVO; #5 PRINCE OF MAYHEM; #6 POLITO
Race #2- #3 ANDREAS; #4 PACKED HOUSE; #5 FRONTANA
Race #3- #4 SMILING SILAS; #2 CHANGE DIRECTION; #7 W W TRAFALGAR
Race #4- #9 MISS HIGH N MIGHTY; #4 RULER DAENERYS; #5 AH LEAH
Race #5- #8 HER GOLD MINE; #9 BIG LUCK; #1 DARING DAMSEL
Race #6- #1 RIDE RICHIE RIDE; #8 RICHIESGOTSWAGGER; #4 BULLDOG OF BERGEN
Race #7- #5 HURRICANE HIGHWAY; #2 GO FOR SHERRIE; #1 RED FLAG ALERT
Race #8- #10 TALE OF THE NILE; #3 MAXIMUS IMAGE; #8 ROLLS ROYCE DEAL

Laurel Park
Race #1- #14 PERFUME RIVER; #6 PASS IT ON; #1 HOT CHOICE
Race #2- #6 CONGRESS HALL; #5 WILDLY GOOD LOOKIN; #2 SIMMARD SHENANIGAN
Race #3- #7 ALL FOR LOVE; #5 RIDICULOUS; #2 OVER AND THUNDER
Race #4- #5 SHAKE EM LOOSE; #7 DONTFORGETTOBLINK; #2 I’M NOT SLOW
Race #5- #6 EL EQUALIZER; #1 STRIKING IT LUCKY; #2 ARTILLERY
Race #6- #15 ROCK THE BOAT; #13 PRINCE PERE; #10 FLASHINTHENIGHT
Race #7- #6 BOONDOGGLE; #9 DREAMING OF CARATS; #1 GALE WINDS
Race #8- #7 HIS NAME IS SUE; #5 POWERFUL ALLY; #6 MYSTIC TIMES
Race #9- #1 AUCTION KINGDOM; #5 DR RAGS; #2 AXXERATOR

Lone Star Park
Race #1- #5 FOUR HUNDRED PROOF AA; #1A UPTOWN MANONTOP; #3 RB HEADLYGHT
Race #2- #1 A LITTLE DAWN; #4 SPECIAL JOI; #3 ONE FLYING JESS
Race #3- #6 RACEY T L C; #1 DM FIRST TALENT; #3 MISS KITT KAT
Race #4- #3 TEK NI COLOR; #8 CJS ROCKHARD N READY; #1 AGOUTIS SNOWPLOW
Race #5- #9 I AM THE GUY YALL; #10 RUNANWAY FIRST; #8 A ROCKING CHICK
Race #6- #9 FROZZN; #6 CAPI CANDOIT; #1 A RUNWAY
Race #7- #4 GLIMPSE OF BILLY; #6 CARTELS VALUE; #11 EL REY DE LUNA
Race #8- #8 SUMOKEGETSINYOUREYES; #3 FIRST IVORY ROSE; #7 THE UPSYDE
Race #9- #8 CARRIE CARVER; #6 FABULOUS ROYALE; #3 HAPPY CAPI
Race #10- #4 JB SHINER BOK; #1 JUST A PERFECT GRACE; #5 DM ITSGOODTOBEME
Race #11- #5 DASH N LEADER; #2 SHESA OTOOLE YAWLS; #7 RECOGNIZE

Penn National Race Course
Race #1- #3 INSTANT CHAOS; #1 GANDI; #4 SPEED SLOT
Race #2- #4 BABY ICE; #7 HONORABLE LILLY; #5 AWESOME PAL
Race #3- #7 JAYJAYDEE; #5 MIDNIGHT HAULER; #4 AWESOME LAUNCH
Race #4- #1 BOHEMIA BABE; #6 HONESTA; #3 SINISE
Race #5- #7 NIGHTENFORD KAZ; #6 LOVEDISC; #3 BOSSY CAT
Race #6- #1 MARRIEDINSHANGHAI; #2 GET SET; #6 VICTORY ELEMENT
Race #7- #4 FAIRY DUST; #3 JUMPIN JETT; #2 PETES PRIDE
Race #8- #7 BEAU BRIDGE; #5 SCREEN STAR; #4 EXPENSIVE

Turf Paradise
Race #1- #7 ROWDYSVISION; #9 JESS CALL MEH; #8 TOO SASS FOR YOU
Race #2- #6 ASHLEY’S NEW SHOES; #2 ORNAMENTAL IRON; #4 MY CRAFTY GAL
Race #3- #4 GHOSTED GIRL; #2 OUTLAW DAISY; #3 KEBA LUCKY DAY
Race #4- #2 STACKIN SILVER; #5 SNAZZY DRESSER; #6 SMOOTH PAPA
Race #5- #2 BLACK OPS; #5 ZUMURUDEE; #1 MS SALLY
Race #6- #3 SHOTGUN RIDER; #6 PRICE TO PAY; #7 EXETER
Race #7- #5 ISTAIN MAN; #4 HENRY O'HENRY; #3 SIZZLING EVENING
Race #8- #2 UPPER ROOM; #3 GABO’S MACONDO; #7 REAL GLITTER

Woodbine Racetrack
Race #1- #3 LORENA; #4 PRACTICAL GIZMO; #2 JILLI MARIE
Race #2- #6 WHEN WE CONNECT; #5 HEY MICKEY; #1 INCENDIO
Race #3- #8 GUITAR GEORGE; #2 STREET LEGAL; #4 PICCADILLY BEAU
Race #4- #3 BEN LOMOND; #6 KNOPFLER; #8 CHASING VINNY
Race #5- #2 SPIGETINMTZABALLS; #11 YANKEE JOE; #9 WHERESTHEPASSION
Race #6- #3 LIL BIT GANGSTA; #1 GRAND GIZMO; #9 TRINITY GOLD
Race #7- #2 ARTIE’S STORM; #1 SECRET RESERVE; #3 JELGO
Race #8- #3 MISS SAVVY; #10 BRING DA FUDGE; #8 PIQUET

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-19-2021, 04:12 PM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Laurel Park
PURCHASE
Laurel Park - Race 9

EXACTA, TRIFECTA &10 cent SUPERFECTA / $1.00 SUPER HIGH 5

Maiden Claiming $16,000 • 7 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 71 • Purse: $25,000 • Post: 4:30P
(PLUS UP TO 15% MBF) FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000, IF FOR $12,500, ALLOWED 4 LBS.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds

Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * AUCTION KINGDOM: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the t op three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. UNCLE GARY G: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs.
1
AUCTION KINGDOM
2/1

9/5
3
UNCLE GARY G
5/2

5/1

P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
4
BISCOTTO D'ORO
4

20/1
Front-runner
0

0

0.0

0.0

0.0
7
NO MONEY DOWN
7

15/1
Front-runner
0

0

0.0

0.0

0.0
1
AUCTION KINGDOM
1

2/1
Stalker
75

65

25.9

57.7

54.2
3
UNCLE GARY G
3

5/2
Alternator/Stalker
0

0

78.7

49.3

43.3
5
DR RAGS
5

6/1
Alternator/Trailer
0

0

38.4

44.7

36.2
8
SCAREDY CAT
8

12/1
Alternator/Trailer
68

51

33.2

48.3

40.3
2
AXXERATOR
2

5/2
Alternator/Non-contender
67

64

37.0

36.0

31.5
6
SEA KETCH
6

30/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0

0

0.0

0.0

0.0

Friday 11/19/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Friday 11/19/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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