Sunday 12/12/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd

Dec 12 '21, 1:00 PM

NFL | Raiders vs Chiefs
Play on: Raiders +10 -115 at BetVegas

1* Free Pick on Raiders +10 -115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Timothy Black

Dec 12 '21, 1:00 PM

NFL | Ravens vs Browns
Play on: Ravens +3 -120 at Caesars

1* Best Bet on Ravens +3 -120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cole Faxon

Dec 12 '21, 1:00 PM

NCAA-B | Davidson vs Northeastern
Play on: Davidson -2½ -110 at Mirage

FREE PLAY on Davidson -2½ -110

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Mike Lundin

Dec 12 '21, 1:00 PM

NFL | Seahawks vs Texans
Play on: Texans +9 -115 at linepros

Mike Lundin's Seahawks vs Texans Free Pick December 12, 2021
The Houston Texans are coming off a shutout loss to Indianapolis, which sets up a great value spot to back them here against Seattle.
Underdogs coming off a shutout loss are 24-10-1 ATS since the start of the 2012 season, including a perfect 3-0 ATS this season.
Seattle on the other hand is in a potential flat spot coming off an upset win against the Niners.
Free pick on Houston Texans.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lee

Dec 12 '21, 1:00 PM

NFL | Raiders vs Chiefs
Play on: Raiders +10½ -116 at pinnacle

FREE PICK: Las Vegas Raiders +10.5
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 105
I went against the Chiefs as a double-digit favorite last week against the Broncos and while I ended up losing my bet in a 22-9 KC win, Denver to me was hands down the right side in that game. The Broncos had several golden opportunities to score and if not for a 75-yard pick six we likely get that cover.
It pains me being a Chiefs fan, but the fact of the matter is this KC offense is broken, maybe beyond repair in 2021. I don't know if it's Mahomes or the play calling, they just aren't doing a whole lot right.
I think a big reason this line is what it is, has to do with the Chiefs beating Las Vegas a few weeks back 41-14 with Mahomes throwing for over 400 yards and 5 scores. I don't see that happening again and that's a game that goes a heck of lot different if DeSean Jackson doesn't fumble on that big pass play.
I not only think the Raiders can keep this close enough to cover, but it would not surprise me at all if they won the game outright. Give me Las Vegas +10.5!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sal Michaels

Dec 12 '21, 2:00 PM

NCAA-B | Wofford vs Coastal Carolina
Play on: Wofford -3½ -110 at SC Consensus

Free Play on Wofford -3½ -110

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Bobby Conn

Dec 12 '21, 3:00 PM

NCAA-B | Villanova vs Baylor
Play on: Baylor -3½ -110 at Mirage

1* Free Play on Baylor -3½ -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Williams

Dec 12 '21, 4:05 PM

NFL | Lions vs Broncos
Play on: Lions +11½ -109 at pinnacle

1* on Lions +11½ -109

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Kenny Walker

Dec 12 '21, 4:05 PM

NFL | Giants vs Chargers
Play on: Giants +9½ -110 at Caesars

Free Pick on Giants

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Dave Price

Dec 12 '21, 4:05 PM

NFL | Giants vs Chargers
Play on: Giants +10 -110 at Caesars

Dave's Sunday Free Play:
1* on New York Giants +10
The Key: This is a terrible situation for the Los Angeles Chargers. They are coming off an upset road win over the Cincinnati Bengals in which Joe Burrow dislocated a finger early and wasn't the same after. Now they have an even bigger game on deck against the Kansas City Chiefs on a short week on Thursday. That game will likely decide the division. They will be overlooking the New York Giants, and they may not be healthy enough to cover this number either way. They are going to be without their top 2 receivers in Keenan Allen and Mike Williams due to COVID. Those 2 have combined for 141 receptions, 1,783 yards and 11 TD this season. The Giants will be starting 3rd-stringer Jake Fromm, so expect a run-heavy game plan against one of the worst run defenses in the NFL in the Chargers. They rank 31st in the NFL allowing 141.2 RYPG and 28th in allowing 4.6 YPC. The Giants have an underrated defense that can keep them in this game. They allow just 22.8 PPG while the Chargers give up 26.3 PPG. The Giants are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 road games. The Chargers are 18-40-1 ATS in their last 59 home games and have one of the worst home-field advantages in the NFL. Take New York.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rocky Atkinson

Dec 12 '21, 4:25 PM

NFL | Bills vs Bucs
Play on: Bills +3½ +101 at pinnacle

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Buffalo Bills @ Tampa Bay Bucs (4:25 PM EST)
Play On: Buffalo +3 ½
The Buffalo Bills travel to Tampa Bay to take on the Bucs on Sunday afternoon. Buffalo is 7-5 SU overall this year while Tampa Bay comes in with a 9-3 SU overall record on the season. Tampa Bay is off 30-17 win over Atlanta this past week. Buffalo is off a crazy game on Monday Night football where they lost 14-10 at home to the Patriots. Buffalo offense is averaging 259 yards per game passing and 375.7 total yards per game this year. The Buffalo defense has been very solid allowing only 165.2 passing yards per game and 272.3 total yards per game this season. Buffalo allows only 16.3 points per game overall this year and 14.3 points per game on the road this season. Buffalo is a solid 4-2 SU on the road this year beating opponents by an average of 16.7 points per game.
Let’s take a little deep look at this Bill defense. Buffalo is ranked #1 in the league in total yards allowed this year and they have the #1 pass defense in the league as well. Tampa Bay won’t be able to run the ball as they are one of the worst rushing teams in the league sitting 25th at the moment so they will have to rely on Tom Brady which is a good thing for them but he’s going up against this Bills #1 pass defense. The Bills are also #2 in the league in scoring defense.
Some trends to consider:
Buffalo is 8-2 SU and 9-1 ATS last 3 years in non-conference games including 2-0 SU and ATS this year.
Buffalo is 5-1 ATS last 6 games as an underdog.
Buffalo is 8-2-2 ATS last 12 games as a road underdog.
This also fits an angle I came across last week where we play on a team off an ATS loss (Buffalo) against a team off an ATS win (Tampa Bay). 52-27-1 65.8 %ATS this year not counting this past weeks games.
I like Josh Allen here to get the job done and this Buffalo defense will keep this one close. I wouldn’t be surprised by an outright upset win by Buffalo. We’ll recommend a small play

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Teddy Davis

Dec 12 '21, 4:25 PM

NFL | Bills vs Bucs
Play on: Bills +3½ -110 at William Hill

The betting public will love themselves some Tamps and Brady at home just laying more than a FG. They will really be behind it because of what took place on Monday night with Buffalo. Here is the thing though Tampa has had back to back very lucky covers if you have watched their games. I actually think with all the Bucs injuries in the secondary that Allen will absolutely light them up and throw easily over 300 yards probably closer to 400. When the books have a huge need like this game they generally get it. Bills win outright.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Martin

Dec 12 '21, 4:25 PM

NFL | 49ers vs Bengals
Play on: 49ers -1½ -110 at Caesars

1 Unit FREE PLAY on San Francisco 49ers -1.5
The San Francisco 49ers have saved their season by going 3-1 SU & 3-1 ATS in their last four games overall. But they are coming off a loss to the Seahawks, who are simply their nemesis. They have gotten healthier this week and should take down the Cincinnati Bengals. Several key players on offense and defense that didn't play last week have been upgraded to questionable this week and most will probably suit up. The Bengals have the biggest injury concern with QB Joe Burrow. There's a rumor he broke a couple fingers in his throwing hand, and he was clearly affected by it in their 41-22 loss to the Chargers last week. The Bengals had four turnovers including two interceptions by Burrow. The 49ers have one of the best defenses in the NFL ranking 6th in total defense at 319.4 yards per game allowed. They are 10th in yards per play allowed while the Bengals are 20th. The 49ers are 6th in yards per play on offense while the Bengals are 13th. San Francisco is favored for good reason this week, going 21-7 ATS in its last 28 games off an upset loss as a road favorite. Give me the 49ers.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sean Murphy

Dec 12 '21, 4:25 PM

NFL | 49ers vs Bengals
Play on: UNDER 49 -110

Sunday NFL Free play. My selection is on the 'under' between San Francisco and Cincinnati a 4:25 pm et on Sunday.
We're seeing plenty of support for the 'over' in this game and why not? After all, the 'over' has cashed in two straight and five of the 49ers last seven games overall and two straight and five of the Bengals last six contests. I'll go the contrarian route, though, and back the 'under' on Sunday afternoon. The 49ers got away from their preferred gameplan in last Sunday's loss in Seattle, running the football only 25 times in a 30-23 loss. Prior to last week's game, QB Jimmy Garoppolo had thrown the football just 19, 22 and 26 times in the previous three games. The Bengals have quietly tightened things up in terms of run defense in recent weeks, allowing just 3.7 yards per rush over their last three games, compared to their season average of 4.1 ypr. While the 49ers will give up plenty of pass completions, they've done a nice job of limiting big plays, holding their last four opponents to 256 passing yards or less. Last week, Seattle completed 30 passes for just 181 yards. Expect the Niners to employ a similar gameplan against a Bengals offense that has thrown for 263 yards or less in four straight games. While the Niners have given up 4.4 yards per rush this season, that has come against opponents that average, you guessed it - 4.4 ypr. Take the under.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dustin Hawkins

Dec 12 '21, 7:00 PM in 7h
NCAA-B | Oregon vs Stanford
Play on: UNDER 133½ -110

1 Dimer on Oregon vs Stanford under 133½ -110