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5-Unit Play: Take 569 Clippers -5.5 over Kings (10:10 p.m., Wednesday, Dec. 22)
The Clippers haven't had Marcus Morris for a couple games and he's not expected to play tonight but I expect LAC to snap their three game skid. They've lost to Sacramento twice in two meetings in December and I expect the Clippers to be focused. The Kings have several players listed as out or questionable due to Covid protocol and that should make life tough on those who'll suit-up. One of those who's not expected to play is De'Aaron Fox and he combined for 41 points, 11 rebounds, and 10 assists in the two meetings a couple weeks ago. NBA road teams in revenge where the opponent scored at least 100 points are on a 43-16 ATS run, provided the avenging team is coming off two straight outright losses when laying points. The Clippers fit the parameters. I'm laying the points with the Clippers on Wednesday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer
2-Unit Play. Take #721 Southern Illinois (+11) over San Francisco (5 p.m., Wednesday, Dec. 22)
I really like this San Francisco team. But at just 2-8 ATS it is clear that they are a bit overvalued. Southern Illinois has some really nice guards and I think that they can hit enough shots to keep this one competitive deep into the second half.
1-Unit Play. Take #723 Portland (+9.5) over UC-Davis (5 p.m., Wednesday, Dec. 22)
I don't think that UC-Davis is going to shoot 60 percent from the field again like they did in their last game against Pacific. This one is really just about playing that regression with the Aggies than it is any kind of faith in the Pilots.
1-Unit Play. Take #725 Western Carolina (+10.5) over Charlotte (5 p.m., Wednesday, Dec. 22)
I don't know that Charlotte should be favored by this much over anyone. The 49ers haven't exactly been dominating in their wins this year, with three of their six victories coming by two points or less. Western Carolina stinks. But this is a high bar for Charlotte to clear.
1-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 147.5 Murray State at Auburn (6 p.m., Wednesday, Dec. 22)
Auburn has been held below 80 points in back-to-back games. I don't think that's going to happen again. Murray State likes to run and gun as well. And at 10-1 on the season I think that the Racers are going to have Auburn's full attention. This one should be a shootout.
1-Unit Play. Take #746 Georgia (-3.5) over East Tennessee State (7 p.m., Wednesday, Dec. 22)
2-Unit Play. Take #751 Arizona (+2) over Tennessee (7 p.m., Wednesday, Dec. 22)
Arizona already has a great true road win at Illinois. I think that they can do the same thing here against a Volunteers team that hasn't shown me much. Tennessee has some talent. But that hasn't turned into production, as the Vols have flopped in their two biggest games this year, getting bombed by Villanova and losing an ugly game to Texas Tech. This Arizona team remains undervalued so I will go back to them here.
2-Unit Play. Take #774 Washington State (-4) over Boise State (8 p.m., Wednesday, Dec. 22)
I'm still not 100 percent sure what to do with this Washington State team. However, I do know that this Boise State team is not nearly as good on the road as it is at home. That's been a feature of Leon Rice teams for years. Wazzou has been erratic. But they have a nice blend of size and guard play and I think that they are going to be up for this game in Spokane. Boise has won five in a row against weak competition and I don't think they get this one.
7-Unit Play. Take #784 St. Mary's (-6) over Missouri State (10 p.m., Wednesday, Dec. 22)
I love getting St. Mary's off of a loss here. We played that angle with them for a big play on Dec. 11 and they demolished UC-Santa Barbara 80-59. After their first loss of the season, to Wisconsin, they bounced back with a 17-point win. I think they can get another double-digit victory here after their disappointing effort against San Diego State last Friday. As I have said before, I like this Missouri State squad. Gaige Prim is legit and they have some real nice, athletic pieces. However, these guys aren't great on the road. And the Bears have been inconsistent this season with ugly losses to Illinois State, ETSU and SE Missouri State. They haven't proven that they can go on the road and win a game like this. If I think that St. Mary's wins I have to like them to cover and I see them doing just that.
1-Unit Play. Take #788 Northern Iowa (-1.5) over Liberty (3 p.m., Wednesday, Dec. 22)
I still don't know what to do with this Northern Iowa team. They were good enough to win on the road at St. Bonaventure and Marshall - two really, really tough places to play - and they have appeared to get better as the season has moved on. I think that they are better than a Liberty team that doesn't have a Top 150 win yet this year.
1-Unit Play. Take #792 South Florida (+15) over BYU (9:30 p.m., Wednesday, Dec. 22)
Brian Gregory team always stink on offense and are tough on defense. This team has a knack for grinding games down into slogfests and I think that is what they will do here on a neutral site. South Florida lost by just six points to Auburn (58-52) and by 11 to Florida (66-55). I don't think they are going to let BYU pull away in this one.
4-Unit Play. Take #306079 Texas A&M-CC (+18.5) over Notre Dame (1 p.m., Wednesday, Dec. 22)
The Irish burned us on Monday by blowing out Western Michigan. Are they going to do it again here? I don't think so. I think that the afternoon tip-off is going to take some of their energy away. As is the fact that they are coming off a 30-point blowout win. I think that this team is fat and happy. But they aren't really talented enough to just roll the ball out and blow people out. The Irish struggle on defense and this Corpus Christi team has shown an ability to put points on the board, averaging nearly 80 points per game. I think that A&M-CC can do enough to keep this one competitive.
Carpe diem. Good luck.
COLLEGE BASKETBALL PLAY
7 Unit Play. Take #775 Over 139 Illinois at Missouri (9:00p.m., Wednesday December 22 BTN)
When these two teams do battle in the Braggin' Rights throw out records because we always see a hard-fought game. Last year Mizzou beat the Illini 81-78 and that game flew 'Over' the total and the oddsmakers posted a 141.5 total. Tonight, the total is posted at 139 and I really thought this total was going to be 141-142. The Illini have been 'Over' machines to start the season going 8-3 O/U and the have cashed 7-Straight 'Over' tickets. Mizzou is coming off a big win over Utah 83-75 and they have cashed back-to-back 'Over' tickets and again tonight we will see an up-tempo game and this total flying 'Over'. Illinois is 5-0 O/U as a favorite and the Mizzou Tigers are 10-3 O/U as an underdog on a neutral site game.
3-Unit Play. Take #306083 Towson (+1.5) over Navy. (1 p.m., Wednesday, December 22)
This line suggests an even matchup between two good teams that have improved their programs over the last few years. All of the numbers are similar, SU and ATS. Statistically, both teams have many of the same strengths and weaknesses. As clich as it might be, Navy builds themselves around defense. However, after the Ohio State game, in which Towson showed some real grit for 35 minutes, Buckeyes coach Chris Holtmann said the Tigers are one of the best mid-major teams in the country. We agree and will take the available points in an otherwise balanced affair.
7-Unit Play. Take #306109 Florida Gulf Coast (-5) over Canisius. (7 p.m., Wednesday, December 22) *Note: This play may be found in 'Added games' or 'Extra games'.
The word got out on Florida Gulf Coast a few years ago when they made their dramatic run in the NCAA Tournament. Since then, they have been flying under the radar a bit, no pun intended. They've been pretty solid on the offensive end, making almost 11 3-point field goals per game this season, a small contrast from the 'Dunk City' moniker that made them famous. Senior guard Tavian Dunn-Martin (19.5 ppg, 5.6 apg) does a little bit of everything and controls most of the games for this experienced squad, averaging a 10-point difference in scoring margin on the season. Canisius is coming off a big win over the weekend in a rivalry game against Buffalo. This was more of the younger brother finally landing a shot against the older brother than anything Canisius may have found or does well. The only reason this number may be low is because the Eagles may freeze as soon as they get off the plane. Outside of that, we're confident in the favorite for our biggest play of the day.
2-Unit Play. Take #762 UNDER 165.5 Oral Roberts-South Dakota St (8 p.m., Wednesday, December 22)
We're going against conventional wisdom a bit here. Both teams rank in the top 25 in PPG and 3-pt FG%, with South Dakota State slightly higher in both and playing at home. Both teams scored a bunch of points in their previous game two nights ago and we think that could have some influence on how this game goes. South Dakota State took care of Missouri-Kansas City and Oral Roberts successfully scored 82 points on the road at South Dakota. With teams that both like to play the same way, something has to give. If not, we are in for an entertaining, free-flowing matchup. Our lean is that Oral Roberts and the effervescent Max Abmas will use his experience to force the Jackrabbits into a little slower tempo and keep the game more controlled. Tune in to this one, and take the Under.
Best of Luck - Strike Point Sports
5-Unit Play: Take 569 Clippers -5.5 over Kings (10:10 p.m., Wednesday, Dec. 22)
The Clippers haven't had Marcus Morris for a couple games and he's not expected to play tonight but I expect LAC to snap their three game skid. They've lost to Sacramento twice in two meetings in December and I expect the Clippers to be focused. The Kings have several players listed as out or questionable due to Covid protocol and that should make life tough on those who'll suit-up. One of those who's not expected to play is De'Aaron Fox and he combined for 41 points, 11 rebounds, and 10 assists in the two meetings a couple weeks ago. NBA road teams in revenge where the opponent scored at least 100 points are on a 43-16 ATS run, provided the avenging team is coming off two straight outright losses when laying points. The Clippers fit the parameters. I'm laying the points with the Clippers on Wednesday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer
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