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Game: Brighton at Chelsea
Date/Time: Dec 29 2021 2:30 PM EST
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Total UNDER 2.5 (-110)
England Premier League
Chelsea are allowing just 0.95 xGA per game this year, 2nd best in the league and only two of their last 11 have they allowed more than 1.0. They are also allowing the 3rd fewest shots per game (9.1) and shots on goal (3.3) which drop to 7.9 and 2.9 at home, respectively.
Brighton have played to seven straight Unders. They generate just 1.08 xG on the road with just 9.4 shots per game but their defense has been solid, allowing just 1.25 xGA on 11.9 shots with 3.5 on goal.
TAKE UNDER 2.5 GOALS
Game: Portimonense at Sporting Lisbon
Date/Time: Dec 29 2021 4:00 PM EST
Play Rating: 2%
Play: PARLAY Sporting Lisbon + UNDER 3.5 Goals (-140)
Liga Portugal
Sporting have allowed five goals in 15 matches this year with 13 wins and just two draws. Portimonense have played well themselves but are a clear separation in class from Sporting who qualified for the Champions League knockout rounds ahead of Dortmund. They have won six in a row over Portimonense including each of the last three staying Under 3.5.
Each club has had just five of their 15 matches finish Over 3.5.
PARLAY odds = -140
SPORTING ML (-400) over Portimonense + UNDER 3.5 GOALS (-240)
Game: Benfica at FC Porto
Date/Time: Dec 30 2021 4:00 PM EST
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Total UNDER 2.5 (+105)
Liga Portugal
Two of the most decorated teams in league history and always battling for the title. Porto has allowed eight goals through 15 games this year while Benfica has allowed 12. These teams always play each other tough with the Under coming through in 11 of the last 14 league meetings. No reason to think we won't see another hard fought, low scoring game here.
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