Tuesday 1/4/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Mahoning Valley (1st) Annmaria, 3-1
(6th) Itasca, 9-2

Parx Racing (3rd) Quiet Please, 7-2
(7th) American Quality, 3-1

Penn National (6th) Zertz, 7-2
(8th) Wicked Solution, 7-2

Sunland Park (2nd) Franks Dehere, 7-2
(8th) Storm Bayou, 3-1

Turf Paradise (4th) More Honor, 4-1
(7th) Coastline Sermon, 4-1

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SportsLine Projection Model

Texas Bowl: LSU 24, Kansas State 23

Updated 1/3

LSU vs. Kansas State | 01/04 | 8 p.m. ET

Against the Spread

Pick: LSU +7
The Tigers cover 58 percent of simulations

Over-Under

Pick: Under 47.5
The Under hits in 53 percent of simulations

Projected final score: Kansas State 24, LSU 23

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Quick Picks for January 4, 2022

Mahoning Valley Race Course
Race #1- #5 JACKIE MILTON; #1 CHECK SIX; #8 ORBITING THE SKY
Race #2- #3 FIRST CITIZEN; #1 DOUBLE DEEP; #6 LATIN SPICE
Race #3- #7 POMPEY’S RULE; #6 PANAMANIAN TEASER; #2 KING OF THE RING
Race #4- #6 STRAPPING; #9 EAGLES PALACE; #8 OLD MAN MAC
Race #5- #6 SWEETASAHONEYBEE; #10 KLEONA; #3 REYS PINA COLADA
Race #6- #2 FIRSTHAND JUSTICE; #6 TOTELLYOUTHETRUTH; #3 GALACTIC
Race #7- #6 MUTUAL CONFIDENCE; #1 COWBOYS FEATHER; #9 CHACO SPIRIT
Race #8- #1 VICTORY DIVISION; #5 REALLY RED; #6 HOME RUN POWER


Parx Racing
Race #1- #4 DOUBLE DOINK; #1 CENTERFOLD ANGEL; #2 ADHWAA
Race #2- #6 AMERICAN ROMA; #1 SPRING EMPEROR; #5 SIGHT LINE
Race #3- #3 QUIET PLEASE; #7 LONDONDERRY; #9 ABHAILE
Race #4- #4 MAJESTIC SKY; #8 ABOUT THE MULTIPLE; #3 VERRAZANO BRIDGE
Race #5- #4 BROOKLYN MOJO; #7 DAREDEVIL BULL; #2 CUP OF LIFE
Race #6- #2 LI'LBITO'CHARM; #1 LE PETITE PAPILLON; #5 SIZZLING ROMA
Race #7- #11 AMERICAN QUALITY; #8 E T’S DEUCES WILD; #4 MR CLIPBOARD
Race #8- #8 CHARGER; #4 JOHNNY SWISH; #5 THE GREAT GAZOO
Race #9- #7 THUNDERSHOOK; #6 FRIENDLY FELLA; #4 BIG CITY BOB
Race #10- #11 FIRST NAVY ADMIRAL; #4 DIGGERS DIAMOND; #10 LOAD UP MOE


Penn National Race Course
Race #1- #6 RISEN SAVIOR; #3 BUFF AND SHINE; #2 KAZ SWEET HEIST
Race #2- #6 PICTOR; #1 HASHTAG WINNING; #4 JOHNNY OBVIOUS
Race #3- #5 TUXEDO LEMON; #8 PRIDE IN THE BIZ; #1 GRACEYGAB
Race #4- #6 MEEMOO; #3 SLEEPY N JOYFUL; #2 LOLA GIRL
Race #5- #1 DON’T LOSEMYMONEY; #6 TRENDING UP; #5 TUCKERTON BAY
Race #6- #3 STUDIO B; #6 THE SICARII; #7 BROAD STREET BULLY
Race #7- #4 CUCKOO FORCONONUTS; #2 COME AND GET IT; #1 MERINO WOOL
Race #8- #5 JUSTIN TIME; #7 WICKED SOLUTION; #2 MONACO PRINCESS


Sunland Park
Race #1- #3 GLENDORA MINECAT; #1 JAZZIE DREAM; #5 HUNKY DUNN
Race #2- #3 COURAGE N ORDER; #4 HESA PROSPECTOR; #7 DIABOLICAL RULER
Race #3- #4 COLOR ME GONE; #2 FANTASY SUITE; #3 SEEULATERGATOR
Race #4- #3 GORKY PARK; #7 MCTHANKS; #6 SHARPSHOOTINGEORGE
Race #5- #8 KATE’S WARRIOR; #6 DIAMOND ONTHE TOE; #3 BOTTOMSUPBELLE
Race #6- #4 SUNSCREEN; #7 SKY JUMPER; #1 BIG MAC DADDY
Race #7- #4 SUZY Q; #5 CITYONTHENILE; #1 NOBODY KNOWS WHO
Race #8- #1 STORM BAYOU; #7 DIABOLICAL GATOR; #6 EVACUEE
Race #9- #2 SCOTTY WHO; #5 HAPPY FORTY EIGHT; #3 DOM STRAIT


Turf Paradise
Race #1- #2 BLAME IT ON BREW; #5 MIDNIGHT GARDEN; #1 LILA’S LUCKY LADY
Race #2- #4 ELLE VICTOIRE; #6 SKY’S THE LIMIT; #1 AINTTHATRIGHTUHHUH
Race #3- #1 PRANCE; #5 FORTHELOVEOFLYDIA; #4 B J’S SPIRIT
Race #4- #2 PASSED BY PAUL; #3 MORE HONOR; #4 SPARKLING LUTE
Race #5- #7 LOVE YA MOST; #2 MONGOLIAN EMPIRE; #6 NOUMEA
Race #6- #1 UNDENIABLE PROOF; #8 CAIRO KING; #4 VROYSKY
Race #7- #6 BLANK IT; #2 KENZOU’S RHYTHM; #1 COASTLINE SERMON
Race #8- #8 DON WITH THE WIND; #7 AUDACE; #2 A GEM IS A GEM

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The horse racing tips for Tuesday, January 4, 2022

The Quinté + of Tuesday January 4 is scheduled at the Vincennes racecourse in the discipline of trotting. Find below our predictions for this race as well as our bet of the day and our bet of madness in two other races on the menu of the day.
THE PRONOS OF THE QUINTE OF JANUARY 4
Dimitri Blanleuil

11 Evariste du Bourg (Favorite)

He’s a great horse that caused a stir here on his penultimate attempt. The attraction of the race.

5 Dreamer de Chenu (Outsider)

He has been unhappy several times in a row and he finds a lot in his tracks. Can play second place.
Lionel charbonnier

13 Sweetness of the Oak

Lionel Charbonnier thinks that the 13 Douceur du Chêne should play a very good role in this event.
BET OF THE DAY

Well entered and having triumphed easily in the last place, it promises to be formidable for the victory.
THE MADNESS BET

Delicate but gifted, she seems able to impose herself if she is wise.

Dimitri Blanleuil Journalist RMC Sport

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Best Horse Racing Bets for Tuesday, January 4, 2022
By J.W. Paine in Horse Racing

I went to Mahoning Valley Race Course, Parx Racing, and Turf Paradise for my horseracing picks for the first Tuesday of this new year, and was rewarded with quite a few underdogs with real potential.

Mahoning Valley yielded up the most potentially profitable horses with a couple of fourth-favored picks, and both Parx and Turf Paradise only required me to back one favorite apiece, overing instead a fistful of underdog moneymakers for our wagering entertainment. Talk about starting the new year right!

Don’t forget that you can find the entire race cards for all three tracks with a quick click on our recommended horseracing wagering sites.

Good luck!
My Tuesday Picks for Mahoning Valley Race Course

We start on the main track with race two, a one-mile allowance optional claiming race for three-year-old’s and upward. My money’s on the fourth-favored (at 6/1) Double Deep, ridden by top jockey Angel I. Diaz.

While the competition will be fierce among this short field of six, this seven-year-old gelding has shown he has what it takes to pose for pictures in the winner’s circle: 35 money finishes in 56 career starts, with 13 wins. His 2021 stats show that he’s only improved with age: eleven money finishes in 16 starts, five of those wins.

Longtime horseracing veteran James R. Jackson trains Double Deep for Premier Stables Unlimited. Jackson has put Diaz in the irons for Double Deep’s last three races, resulting in one third-place finish and two wins.

Race six is a six-furlong allowance run on the dirt track for three-year-old’s and upward. I like the fourth-favored entry (at 5/1) in this race, as well: Galactic, with jockey David J. Haldar aboard.
This six-year-old gelding moneyed 21 of his 38 career starts, winning seven, but 2021 was his best year: Eight money finishes in eleven starts, five of those wins.

Thirty-five-year racing veteran James H. McDonald trains Galactic for owner Ulises Cacho. McDonald has tapped Haldar to saddle Galactic for his most recent three races.

Race seven is a six-furlong allowance race on the dirt track for three-year-old’s that have never won two races. I’m going to agree with the morning-line for this race and bet my two dollars on the 3/1 favorite, Mutual Confidence, piloted by Luis Alberto Batista.

This four-year-old gelding moneyed three of his five career starts, winning one—his initial maiden attempt. He most recently finished in the money twice with second- and third-place finishes in allowance races here at Mahoning Valley.

Cirilo Gorostieta trains Mutual Confidence for owners Westbrook Stables, LLC, Angela Lewis, and Todd Lewis. Gorostieta put Batista aboard Mutual Confidence for his last two runs as well has his maiden victory.
Tuesday Picks for Parx Racing

Let’s start on the main track with race one, a claiming race for fillies and mares four years old and upward that have never won four races. My money’s on the 7/2 second-favored entry, Double Doink, ridden by top jockey Frankie Pennington.

This five-year-old mare has the most encouraging record in this six-horse field: four money finishes in ten career starts, with three of those wins. In 2021, she won three of her six starts.

John C. Servis, who won the 2004 Triple Crown with Smarty Jones, trains Double Doink for Main Line Racing Stable.

Race six is a six-furlong claiming race on the main track for fillies and mares four years old and upward that have not won a race since October 4, 2021 (claiming races for $8,000 or less not considered in eligibility). I’m betting my two dollars on the 5/2 morning-line favorite, Li’lbito’charm, ridden by Dexter Haddock.
This six-year-old mare finished 18 of her 29 career starts in the money, winning eight. Her 2021 record is even more encouraging: Eleven money finishes in 15 starts, six of those wins. In this ten-horse field, she’ll do.

Ralph R. Riviezzo trains Li’lbito’charm for Ylliehus 5 Star. Riviezzo has put Haddock aboard Li’lbito’charm for her last ten races.

Race nine is a seven-furlong starter optional claiming race on the main track for four-year-old’s and upward. I’m buying a win ticket on the third-favored (at 9/2) Souper Fly Over, with top jockey Jaime Rodriguez in the irons.

This eight-year-old gelding finished 25 of his 48 career starts in the money, winning 14. He’s the standout in this eight-horse field.

Harold Wyner trains Souper Fly Over for owners John Fanelli and Longball Stables, LLC.
Tuesday’s Picks for Turf Paradise

We’re on the turf course for race three, a 7-1/2 furlong run for fillies and mares four years old and upward that have never won two races. Looking at this lackluster field of six, I have to like the second-favored entry (at 2/1): BJ’s Spirit, piloted by Alex M. Cruz.

This four-year-old filly moneyed three of her seven career starts, winning one. Not impressive, I agree, but she takes the spotlight in this race.

BJ’s Spirit is trained by owner Andy Mathis.

We’re back on the dirt track for race six, a five-furlong stater optional claiming race for four-year-old’s and upward. I’m betting on the 4/1 second-favored Sombra Negra, ridden by Alex M. Cruz.
This seven-year-old gelding finished in the money 24 of his 38 career starts in the money, winning 14—which gives him a significant statistical lead in this eight-horse field.

Co-owner Justin R. Evans trains Sombra Negra for himself and Randy T. Thompson.

Race eight is a six-furlong claiming race for four-year-old’s and upward that have never won two races. I agree with the morning line: buy a win ticket on the 5/2 favorite, Don With the Wind, with Lindey Wade in the irons.

This four-year-old gelding moneyed five of his nine career starts, winning one. In this nine-horse field, that record puts him in the spotlight.

Longtime horseracing veteran Dan H. Dennison trains Don With the Wind for owner Nancy Betts.

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INTERSTATE RACING TIPS – JANUARY 4TH

RSN927

RSN Form Analyst Shayne Montgomery covers all the daily racing tips for the NSW meeting at Muswellbrook on Tuesday the 4th of January.

Along with our Interstate Racing Tips, you’ll find Greyhound and Harness Tips, plus a full preview of every Victorian meeting, each and every day of the week with RSN927’s Expert Tipsters and race-callers.

Rail Position: True Entire Course
Track Type: Turf
Track Condition: Good 4
Weather: Fine
Penetrometer: 4
Shayne Montgomery Muswellbrook Tips

Muswellbrook, January 4th 2022

Race 1 Selections: 3,2,1,5
Race 2 Selections: 2,10,5,19
Race 3 Selections: 11,7,3,14
Race 4 Selections: 1,8,2,12
Race 5 Selections: 12,7,1,11
Race 6 Selections: 4,5,10,2
Race 7 Selections: 7,3,8,2
Race 8 Selections: 2,5,4,8
Race 9 Selections: 10,4,3,1
Best Bet

Race 9 Number 10 Alicia Roma
Next Best

Race 3 Number 11 Deelosh
Best Value

Race 6 Number 4 Highjacker
Quaddie

Quaddie 1: 2,4,5,10,12
Quaddie 2: 2,3,5,7,8
Quaddie 3: 2,4,5,8,10
Quaddie 4: 10
Play Of The Day

Race 3 Number 11

Race 3 Number 11 Deelosh all up Race 9 Number 10 Alicia Roma

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Today’s Horse Racing Tips – 4th January 2022
By: Racing and Sports

Racing and Sports highlight our standout plays at Australian TAB meetings for January 4.

Australian thoroughbred Tab meetings are today held at Muswellbrook and Stony Creek.

MUSWELLBROOK: RACE 3 @ 1:55 PM

DEELOSH (11) turned in an encouraging run on debut last start, settling well back then winding up nicely to finish fourth over 1150m at Beaumont (Newcastle). Look for another barnstorming finish in this softer maiden; clearly the one they have to beat. MISHKA MAGIC (7) is fitter for two runs this prep, the latest seeing some improvement when fourth at Scone over 1100m. Perfectly drawn and open to further progress. SUPERARGO (3) is a gelding by Super One out of Galileo's Choice on debut. Showed ability in a recent trial win at Wyong. Don't underestimate. ROTHROCK (14) ran a better race last time and is worth including.
SELECTIONS: Expect #11 Deelosh to prove too strong for this lineup.

As a FREE Racing and Sports offer, below is the Muswellbrook Computer Card.

Upload 1

STONY CREEK: RACE 8 @ 5:00 PM

Lots of scratchings here. CADBOLL (2) looks promising. Was a close-up sixth at the Valley on debut then got off the mark before a spell. Sure to have improved and can kick off with a winning return. DOCTOR COTO (3) had little go right last time running ninth at Moe. May well be worth another chance. COMMANDING WITNESS (1) is hard to follow but was a winner this grade two back and gets chance to find best. BOULEVARDIA (8) has been over three years since a win but is trained here, has the inside and has won fresh. Can run a cheeky race.
SELECTIONS: Keen on Cadboll.

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Today's Horse Racing Tips: Tuesday January 4th

Stephen Harris
bettingexpert Racing editor

Today’s Racing Tips – January 4th

A low key Tuesday, with three meetings and the only jumps action coming from Hereford. There are four competitive
handicaps on show, and the clear of the course will be hoping for rain to ease the ground as conditions were nearly “good”
earlier in the week. All-weather fans have the polytrack at Lingfield to concentrate on, while there is a twilight meeting at
Newcastle starting at 3pm under the lights.
SELECTION Track Time (UK) Horse ODDS
DAILY NAP Hereford 2:15PM Red Rookie 2.75
VALUE ANGLE Hereford 2:50PM Ivilnoble 10.0

Best odds available as at 4pm January 3rd 2021. Odds may now differ.
Today’s Daily Nap

Red Rookie

Hereford 2:15 pm

Emma Lavelle’s useful winning hurdler shaped well on her chasing debut at Chepstow in November, jumping well in the main but just finding Witness Protection too strong up the straight. He was then cruising along going well when falling at the 8th at Ascot last time out, and can gain compensation at Hereford on Tuesday with conditions to suit.
Today’s Value Angle

Ivilnoble

Hereford 2:50 pm

This exposed handicapper has only won once from 15 runs over fences, but he has fallen dramatically down the weights in the last year and showed last time at Plumpton that he is coming back to his best form. The booking of Ben Ffrench Davies taking off 7lb means he is racing off a flyweight here, and this looks a terrific opening to end a frustrating run of defeats.

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The horse racing tips for Tuesday, January 4, 2022
Posted by: What is Find

The Quinté + on Tuesday January 4 is scheduled at the Vincennes racecourse in the discipline of trotting. Find below our predictions for this race as well as our bet of the day and our bet of madness in two other races on the menu of the day.
THE PRONOS FROM THE QUINTE OF JANUARY 4
Dimitri Blanleuil

11 Evariste du Bourg (Favorite)

He’s a great horse that caused a sensation here on his penultimate attempt. The attraction of the race.

5 Dreamer de Chenu (Outsider)

He has been unhappy several times in a row and he finds a lot in his strings. Can play second place.
Lionel Charbonnier

13 Douceur du Chêne

Lionel Charbonnier thinks that the 13 Douceur du Chêne should play a very good role in this event.
LE BET OF THE DAY

Well entered and having triumphed easily in the last place, it promises to be formidable for the victory.
LE BET DE FOLIE

Delicate but gifted, she seems able to win if she is wise.

Dimitri Blanleuil Journalist RMC Sport

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Robin Goodfellow's Racing Tips: Best bets for Tuesday, January 4
By Sam Turner For The Daily Mail

LINGFIELD

ROBIN GOODFELLOW

12.30 Capla Spirit

1.00 Exceling

1.30 Metal Man

2.00 Thegreyvtrain

2.35 Guitar

3.10 Vespasian

3.40 Juscominpasty

GIMCRACK

12.30 Howzak

1.00 Surrey Territories

1.30 Denable

2.00 Big Time Maybe

2.35 Homemade Andrea (nb)

3.10 Jade Country

3.40 Capricorn Prince

NEWMARKET– 2.00 Porfin (nap); 3.10 Montesecco (nb).


NEWCASTLE

ROBIN GOODFELLOW

3.00 Mukha Magic

3.30 Reset Button

4.00 Tyrrhenian Sea

4.30 Rose Of Lancashire

5.00 Imperial Command

5.30 Birdie Bowers

6.00 Fircombe Hall

6.30 Stay Smart (nap)

GIMCRACK

3.00 Three Platoon

3.30 Selecto

4.00 Tyrrhenian Sea

4.30 Magic Gem

5.00 Star Shield

5.30 Birdie Bowers

6.00 Fircombe Hall

6.30 Stay Smart

NORTHERNER - 3.00 Three Platoon (nb); 6.00 Fircombe Hall (nap).


HEREFORD

ROBIN GOODFELLOW

12.45 Brilliant Present

1.15 Line Of Descent

1.45 Theme Tune (nb)

2.15 Red Rookie

2.50 Family Pot

3.20 Good Look Charm

3.50 Nocte Volatus

GIMCRACK

12.45 Jaytee

1.15 Unfinished Busines

1.45 Mr Washington

2.15 Call Me Lord (nap)

2.50 Ivilnoble

3.20 On Time

3.50 Jobesgreen Lad

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Monday Myths: It's Easier to Handicap Shorter Dirt Sprints

January 3, 2022 | By Jeremy Plonk

Welcome to a continuing handicapping series for our Monday blog space, “Monday Myths.” Each week I’ll use the power of the Betmix database to take common handicapping assumptions and either support or dispel them with data. Betmix data powers the 1/ST BET app and its features like Angler and Birddog give data-minded horseplayers a treasure trove of information in which to query your own curiosities.

Assumption:

It’s easier to handicap shorter dirt sprints.

Background:

They aren’t the most glamorous races nor at the high-profile tracks, but many handicappers believe that short dirt sprints are the easiest place to find a winner. They’re the bastion of the old expression that the race is won by the fastest horses. Is it easier to identify whose fastest in these races, and does that result in more wins?

Data Points:

I ran the Betmix database for every race in the country from Jan. 1, 2018 through today. I looked at races at 4-1/2 furlongs and shorter, 6 and 7 furlongs, and 1 mile to 1-1/8 miles – essentially dashes, sprints and routes.

//

Favorites won 42% in dirt dashes at 4-1/2 furlongs or less.
Favorites won 39% in dirt sprints at 6 to 7 furlongs.
Favorites won 37% in dirt routes at 1 mile to 1-1/8 miles.

//

The average price winner in dirt dashes at 4-1/2 furlongs was 4.2-1 odds.
The average price winner in dirt sprints at 6 to 7 furlongs was 5.3-1 odds.
The average price winner in dirt routes at 1 mile to 1-1/8 miles was 4.7-1 odds.

//

In claiming races, favorites won 43% in dirt dashes at 4-1/2 furlongs or less.
In claiming races, favorites won 37% in dirt sprints at 6 to 7 furlongs.
In claiming races, favorites won 37% in dirt routes at 1 mile to 1-1/8 miles.

//

In claiming races, the average price winner in dirt dashes at 4-1/2 furlongs was 4.2-1 odds.
In claiming races, the average price winner in dirt sprints at 6 to 7 furlongs was 5.1-1 odds.
In claiming races, the average price winner in dirt routes at 1 mile to 1-1/8 miles was 4.8-1 odds.

Overall Findings:

Dirt dashes had the highest win percentage and the lowest average odds winners, both by decided margins. The favorites won 3-5% more often in dirt dashes vs. dirt sprints and routes. The winners’ average odds in dirt dashes by between a half-point and just over a full point. When it comes to ‘cheap speed’ dirt dash favorites won 6% more readily than other races on the main track. The average price winner also was less among claiming dirt dashes.

Bottom line:

No doubt that the shorter the race, the more clarity in the results on dirt. If you’re barking up the cheap speed tree, than you can also say that the winning favorites in dirt dash claimer is even stronger with a bigger spread than other dirt races. These numbers affirm the assumption dirt dashes are easiest to handicap.

You can go into Betmix and run your own queries for a deeper dive into this theory and any that you can create. For instance, check how the tracks you handicap vary throughout the various distances.

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Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Penn National - Race #1
Picks Notes
#1 Nimitz Class He exits a pretty fast race for the level when chasing an easy winner in the career debut, and he probably doesn't have to come forward too much off that try to handle this group at a playable price. Maybe he shows a bit more pace today?
#6 Risen Savior He finished just in front of the top choice when they met last out, and he was the 5/2 favorite that in his second lifetime start. He makes plenty of sense here, but he may not have quite the same upside as Nimitz Class.
#3 Buff and Shine He'll rise in class of a decent enough debut try for $25,000 when facing four others, but he's going to need better than that if he's going to handle this tougher group.
Race Summary Nimitz Class might be the second choice in here, and he can presumably step forward off a debut in which he was sent to post at 5/1 in a field of 10. Thinking there is enough upside to give him a big chance here.

Penn National - Race #4
Picks Notes
#7 Kastanyas She has never been a serious threat in any of her seven lifetime races, but she is meeting absolutely nothing here, and she has shown a touch of late interest at times -- that makes her interesting enough at a price with a habitual quitter as the chalk here.
#3 Sleepy N Joyful She'll make her 10th start tonight after failing to hold the lead in the lane last time out. The worry is that she tends to give away ground late, and she'll meet stretchout speed to her inside. Capable underlay.
#5 Eskendereya's Gift She has shown nothing through two starts, but they'll add blinkers today, and she isn't going to have to improve by much with the new equipment in order to land an underneath share in a soft spot.
Race Summary Kastanyas stretches out after passing tired horses in her local debut, and maybe she can grind along at one pace late to get the job done if Sleepy N Joyful gets weary in the lane again.

Penn National - Race #6
Picks Notes
#3 Studio B He steps up for this one off the claim, but he's in really sharp form and won at this level before. He should land a perfect pressing trip, and he might offer a price that's just attractive enough.
#1 Flank Speed There isn't a ton of serious early burn signed on in here, and he might be able to have a go of things from the fence. He has done good work from three local tries and might get brave if he doesn't take a bunch of heat out of the gate.
#6 The Sicarii He has been in with some better groups than he is going to find here, but I'm a little concerned that he's not going to get enough pace to set things up for his late rally. Overbet?
Race Summary Studio B seems plenty capable here, and the hope is he'll get a bit overlooked while rising in class in what feels like a pretty decent race for the local level. He has always done really good work here, and he figures to find an ace trip barring early trouble.

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Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Dover Downs - Race #1
Picks Notes
#3 SHAKEITLIKEYAMAKEIT 3yo filly blew past the pace-controlling fave to win at first asking.
#5 TERROMASUE Finished in money in half of starts in 2021, rallied for third in latest.
#6 MAKENA HANOVER Brushed to lead in last pair, notched a win and a second.
Race Summary Shakeittilyamakeit impressed in her debut victory at 7-1 odds. She was unhurried to the far turn and blocked until a rail opening in early stretch. She surged past the 7-5 pace setter, earning a playback today. Bet on her to win and place but don't expect 10-1 price.

Northfield Park - Race #1
Picks Notes
#1 JET J Could turn turn tables on the fave with projected pocket trip.
#5 ROYHILL Carried speed the distance with first-time Lasix.
#4 MARKSMAN HANOVER Draws better post, will be running late.
Race Summary Jet J seized the moment and won when the favorite broke stride two starts back, then chased the favorites and ran third in a faster follow-up race. He's worth a 3-1 shot from the rail in the same company. Play 1-4 and 1-5 exactas.

Northfield Park - Race #12
Picks Notes
#7 SURREAL IDEAL Escaped traffic jam to finish fast-closing second.
#5 SILENT SPLENDOR Won his last six starts as the odds-on favorite.
#1 REAL VISION Hit board in last pair, draws rail, price attached.
Race Summary Surreal Ideal lost momentum when a couple rivals broke stride entering the backstretch and scattered the field. But he recovered strongly and finished full of run for second behind the 1-to-5 favorite. Bet on him to win and place.

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Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Mahoning Valley - Race #2
Picks Notes
#1 Double Deep Won two straight before losing his last one against solid starter allowance company; can dig in against these.
#3 First Citizen Led every jump and did it in quick fashion last out; would be tough to run back to that one.
#5 Little Blaker Goes for his third straight win and has been in may decent races against Ohio-breds but also has defeated open company.
Race Summary Double Deep has taken on a lot of horses that have won many races and can be a strong customer at this level.

Mahoning Valley - Race #6
Picks Notes
#3 Galactic Has shown good speed in sprints, and many of the contenders here are coming out of longer races; could dictate how it develops.
#1 Itasca Drops out of route races and into this sprint and will probably be in a position to make a run.
#5 Astro Jak Ran on for second last out and can be in good position throughout; fits with these.
Race Summary Galactic has a good chance to assume early command and could get away with comfortable fractions.

Mahoning Valley - Race #7
Picks Notes
#7 Breezy Money Held on fairly well for losing an early lead and wound up third last out; slight improvement can get it done for him.
#6 Mutual Confidence Was third last out and second two back and has the speed to be in the hunt from the start.
#5 Hey Sach Was fourth in his last two and can move up in the stretch of this one; could benefit from a lively pace.
Race Summary Breezy Money has been running well and is well spotted here; can dig in when challenged.