Wednesday 1/5/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Martin

Jan 05 '22, 7:10 PM in 1h
NBA | 76ers vs Magic
Play on: Magic +9½ -110 at BetVegas

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Orlando Magic +9.5
The Orlando Magic have been impressive in their last two games. They took the Celtics to overtime as 10-point road underdogs and only lost by 4 to the Bulls as 14-point road underdogs. Now they are catching 9.5 points at home to the Philadelphia 76ers. It's a 76ers team that will be without Tyrese Maxey and Shake Milton among others. The 76ers are coming off four straight big wins over the Wizards, Raptors, Nets and Rockets. This looks like their letdown spot tonight. The 76ers are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games as favorites. Philadelphia is 0-7 ATS in its last seven games after scoring more than 125 points last game. Orlando is 4-1 ATS in its last five home meetings with the 76ers. Give me the Magic.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sean Murphy

Jan 05 '22, 7:10 PM in 1h
NBA | 76ers vs Magic
Play on: 76ers -8½ -110 at BetVegas

Wednesday NBA Free play. My selection is on Philadelphia minus the points over Orlando at 7:10 pm et on Wednesday.
This is a pretty obvious letdown spot for the Magic coming off consecutive tight losses against the Celtics and Bulls, on the road no less. Extended stretches of competitive basketball haven't exactly been commonplace for the 7-31 Magic this season. With the 76ers playing some of their best basketball of the season right now, riding a four-game winning streak, going 3-1 ATS over that stretch. Here, we'll note that the Magic are a woeful 21-44 ATS when revenging a road loss against an opponent over the last three seasons, outscored by an average margin of 10.7 points in that situation. The 76ers are just one day removed from their highest scoring performance of the season, putting up 133 points in a rout of the Rockets on Monday. They've held the Magic to 97 points or less in three of their last four meetings. Take Philadelphia.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Teddy Davis

Jan 05 '22, 8:10 PM in 2h
NBA | Thunder vs Wolves
Play on: Thunder +8 -110 at BetVegas

Let's take the Thunder here tonight. I dont like the spot for the T Wolves coming off 3 hard games against the Jazz then two in LA vs Clippers and Lakers. This is a prime let down spot here in this game. Thunder are quietly covering game in fact they are 8-2 ATS their last 10. The T Wolves are just a .500 team at home SU this season. They have no business laying 8 here

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Price

Jan 05 '22, 7:40 PM in 2h
NBA | Warriors vs Mavs
Play on: OVER 214 -110

Dave's Wednesday Free Play:
1* on Warriors/Mavs OVER 214
The Key: The Dallas Mavericks just got Luka Doncic and several others back from COVID. They were an UNDER team without him, but now their totals are too low. The same can be said for the Warriors, who just got Jordan Poole and Andrew Wiggins back and are close to full strength. They should be an OVER team now. The Warriors and their opponents have combined for 217 or more points in 4 of their last 5 contests. The Warriors and Mavericks have combined for 217 or more points in each of their last 12 matchups with the OVER going 10-2 in those 12 matchups. Take the OVER.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Lundin

Jan 05 '22, 8:10 PM in 2h
NBA | Raptors vs Bucks
Play on: Raptors +7½ -110 at BetVegas

Mike Lundin's Raptors vs Bucks NBA Free Pick January 5, 2022
The streaking Toronto Raptors really did a number on the Spurs last night. They won 129-104 to extend their win streak to three games, and I think the Raptors will give the Bucks a scare here Wednesday night.
The Raptors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 0 days rest, and they'll face a Milwaukee team that as reigning champions, more often than not will be overvalued by the betting market.
Raptors are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
Free pick on Toronto Raptors.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lee

Jan 05 '22, 8:30 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Creighton vs Villanova
Play on: Villanova -10½ -110 at BetVegas

FREE PICK: Villanova -10.5
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 629
Most are going to automatically look to take the points with Creighton in this matchup, as they won't be able to get past the fact that these two teams just played on Dec. 17 and Creighton absolutely laid it on the Wildcats in a 79-59 win.
It was about as bad as Villanova could play on both sides of the ball. Not to make excuses, but you have to wonder if there wasn't a bit of letdown for the Wildcats in that game after just playin a huge matchup at Baylor a few days earlier.
Either way, Creighton is going to have Villanova's full attention and this time this young Bluejays team won't be able to rely on the comfort of playing at home in front of their home crowd.
This is also a Wildcats team that tends to win going away. Only 1 of Villanova's 9 wins this season have come by fewer than 13 points.
Another huge factor in this matchup that can't get overlooked is the bad spot for Creighton, who will be playing on just 3 days of rest after a grueling 75-69 double-overtime win at Marquette on Saturday. Give me Villanova -10.5!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hunter Price

Jan 05 '22, 9:00 PM in 3h
NCAA-B | Texas Tech vs Iowa State
Play on: Texas Tech +2½ -110 at Caesars

1* Free Pick on Texas Tech +2½ -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Matt Fargo

Jan 05 '22, 9:00 PM in 3h
NCAA-B | Texas Tech vs Iowa State
Play on: Texas Tech +2½ -105 at pinnacle

This is a play on the TEXAS TECH RED RAIDERS for our Wednesday Free Play. Iowa St. suffered its first loss of the season on Saturday as it lost at home to No. 1 Baylor by five points in a hard fought conference opener. The Cyclones opened the season 12-0 before that defeat and that could be a tough one to recover from. While the final deficit was just five points, Baylor had numerous double-digit leads and the Cyclones never led in the game. Iowa St. is now 9-1 at home and it has definitely been a surprising start for the Cyclones which were picked to finish dead last in the Big 12 after going 0-18 last season in the conference and 2-22 overall and returning just one starter. They have been successful with a strong defense, allowing just 57.7 ppg which is No. 9 in the country. The Cyclones are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite. Texas Tech is off to a 10-2 start with the two losses coming against Gonzaga and Providence and opens conference play tonight. The Red Raiders also play strong defense and this is a tough team to match up against. They are No. 5 in the nation with a 12.4 rebounding margin, are No. 12 with a 20.0 scoring margin, No. 14 in scoring defense by limiting opponents to just 58.2 ppg and are allowing 37.6 percent shooting which is No. 16 in the nation. Texas Tech has won the rebounding battle in all but one game this season and that was that game with Gonzaga as they were outboarded by just one, 37-36. While the AP rankings show Iowa St. being the better team, the Kenpom rankings have Texas Tech at No. 19 and Iowa State at No. 42 which is more reliable than just simple voting in the AP Poll. The Red Raiders are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss. Here, we play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 after allowing 55 points or less in two straight games, with two more starters returning from last year than opponent. This situation is 48-26 ATS (64.9 percent) since 1997. Play (727) Texas Tech Red Raiders

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Timothy Black

Jan 05 '22, 9:00 PM in 3h
NCAA-B | North Carolina vs Notre Dame
Play on: North Carolina -2½ -110 at Mirage

1* Best Bet on North Carolina -2½ -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones

Jan 05 '22, 10:10 PM in 4h
NBA | Heat vs Blazers
Play on: OVER 216 -106

Jack's Free Pick Wednesday: Heat/Blazers OVER 216
The Miami Heat are missing a lot defensively right now without Bam Adebayo and Jimmy Butler. They are short-handed and I think that has hurt them more on defense than it has on offense. The Heat have allowed 110 or more points in five of their last six games overall. They are still getting it done on the offensive end by scoring 108 or more points in six of their last seven games with the OVER going 6-1 during this stretch.
The Portland Trail Blazers are also missing some pieces but it hasn't hurt them too much offensively. They have scored 103 or more points in nine of their last 10 games overall, including 136 against the Hawks last time out. They are one of the worst defensive teams in the NBA, allowing 111 or more points in nine of their last 10 games overall.
The Blazers and their opponents have combined for 225 or more points in each of their last four games overall and an average of 246.5 combined points per game. In fact, eight of their last 10 games have seen 216 or more combined points. Six of Miami's last seven games have seen 221 or more combined points.
Miami is 8-1 OVER in road games with a total of 210 to 219.5 this season. The OVER is 7-1-1 in Heat last nine games vs. a team with a losing record. The OVER is 12-5 in Blazers last 17 games vs. a team with a winning record. The OVER is 5-2 in the last seven meetings. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.