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IndianCowboy
Sport: College Basketball
Game: Michigan @ Connecticut Huskies - Saturday February 7, 2009 6:00 pm
Pick: 4 unit(s) ATS: Connecticut Huskies -16.5 (-110) (Play of the Day)
4 Unit Play. #582. Take UCONN -16.5 over Michigan (Saturday @ 6pm est). Let's go 6-0 on the week in College Ball. I know we have hit 4 straight College Dogs Outright, but today we're going to lay the wood on a favorite. I'm not the one to necessarily lay the wood on favorites, in fact, the last time I did was when Illinois crushed Indiana in 5* selection which brought our Big Ten 5* Selections to a perfect lifetime 9-0 and our 5* selections to 30-7 Lifetime as well. UCONN is rolling and I believe Michigan is going to have a let down after their win against Penn State at home. Remember, Michigan is the same team that went on the road to lose by 18 to Purdue, the same team to lose by 18 to Ohio State on the road, the same team to lose by 15 to Penn State and 15 to Illinois. Why in the world can this team not lose by 17 to the #1 team in the country in Uconn? What has Michigan done on the road this year after all? Yes, this team beat Duke - but that was at home. Yes, this team beat NW - but that was at home. On the highway, this team has gotten crushed for the most part. Plus, what was the point total in these road contests? This team put up 49 points at Purdue, 54 points at Ohio State, 58 at Penn State, 58 at Ohio State and 51 points at Illinois. If this team thinks that point total is going to be enough to be competitive or get inside this number today, I think they need to reconsider. UCONN is the type of team that puts up 75+ points at home and there is no reason why they don't want to lay the hammer down on "Michigan" - a school with plenty of name recognition and who has an outside shot at going to the Dance. I look for UCONN, the same team that beat Louisville on the road by 17, Providence at home by 33, Depaul on the road by 21 and Rutgers at home by 21 to get the job done here as they likely win by 20+ when all is said and done. The Wolverines are 0-4 ATS as Underdogs and UCONN is a solid 5-0 ATS on Saturday games and of course, this is a night game so the crowd will be rocking and wanting a show which the #1 team in the land will provide.
2-Unit Play #507 Take Toronto +1 ½ Over Memphis (8 p.m. EST, Saturday)
After having won two straight Memphis showed their true colors again by getting blasted by the Clippers. Now they host a Toronto team that has struggled lately but is a better team overall than Memphis. They have lost five straight but look who they played during that stretch – New Orleans, LA Lakers, Cleveland and Orlando. Not many teams are going to escape that foursome with many wins. However, this Toronto team is as good on the road (10-18) as Memphis is at home (10-18). The Raptors have a strong history in this series and have won the last four and covered the last three meetings.
#616 VCU
This CAA blowout comes with the ideal set. VCU enters off a stunning road loss at NC Wilmington while William & Mary checks in off a huge upset home win over Northeastern!
The Rams have played well in this series against William & Mary posting a solid 13-1 SU and 9-5 ATS record in the last 14 meetings. That includes a December 6th, 2008 road win against the Tribe in which the Black and Gold cruised to a 66-50 victory.
VCU has been at its best at the Alltel Pavilion coming off a straight up loss too. In fact, at home checking in off a blemish and matched up against a conference foe, the Rams are a reliable 25-10-1 ATS. Provided the Black and Gold are running with three days of rest or less and favored in this role, this amazing team trend explodes to a magnificent 20-3 ATS!
Fading William & Mary here shouldn't be a problem for any investor. Coming off a SU and ATS win, the Tribe has struggled something fierce posting a soft 37-56-3 ATS mark including a dismal 22-41-1 ATS record in this role running with three days of rest or less. In addition, when facing a conference opponent that lost straight up as a favorite last, William & Mary has proven to be an easy out notching an ugly 13-28 SU and ATS record.
In the 81-72 loss to UNC Wilmington, VCU shot poorly from behind the arc missing on 20-of-23 attempts. Rest assured, off that embarrassing loss to the Seahawks, the Rams will bounce back nicely here. Take VCU.
Play on Providence at 4:00 ET. All the talk coming into the Big East season surrounded how the conference could conceivably send a record nine teams to the Big Dance. When that discussion surfaced, no one was talking about Providence. However, let?s take a look at the current league standings. The Friars are right in the thick of it as we speak, currently ahead of teams like Notre Dame and Georgetown. They are also 1.5 games in front of today?s opponent, West Virginia. This is a triple revenge game for Providence. The Friars are much better than last year. Last year?s leading scorer Xavier is now the fourth option. PG Curry has been a huge upgrade at that position. The team has been competitive in all league games this year, with the exception of UConn where they were overwhelmed by Thabeet. WVU has no inside presence like that. Their home court edge is also overrated by the linesmakers here. The Mountaineers are just 4-18 ATS at home off BB conference losses. They are just 3-4 ATS in Morgantown this season. Providence is our College Revenge Game of the Year
Stan Sharp
Analysis: Stan is Betting SAN JOSE ST today. Stan notes that Boise St is playing their 3rd straight road and spending the weekend in California is a major distraction as they play Monday night in Fresno. The number is short here due to Boise St.'s recent success. Stan has San Jose St winning this game by 12-15 points. TAKE SAN JOSE ST as TRIPLE DIME CONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR and make them a TRIPLE DIME PLAY.
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