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Game: (641) Kentucky at (642) Vanderbilt
Date/Time: Jan 11 2022 7:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Kentucky -8.0 (-110)
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Kentucky HC John Calipari has his team meshing much better than last season’s squad. An injection of quality experienced personnel has brought leadership and helped develop cohesion. Transfers Oscar Tshiebwe & Sahvir Wheeler along with Kellen Grady are anchoring this group in multiple ways. UK is playing well on each side of the floor as evidenced by their +10.6 FG% differential. They’ve scored 83+ points in five of their L6G shooting 54% or better in four of them. Defensively they rank #21 in the nation in Ken Pom’s adjusted efficiency ratings. Conversely, Vanderbilt is only +0.1 in FG% differential shooting just 40.8% from the field while allowing 40.7%. Injuries have hindered the Commodores somewhat and starting PG Rodney Chatman was removed from Saturday’s South Carolina game by HC Jerry Stackhouse who didn’t feel he looked 100%. The matchups here are tough enough for Vandy which figures to have problems on the boards (Kentucky nationally #3 & #8 in off & def rebounding%) and from beyond the arc (Vanderbilt shoots just 30.7% and the UK only allows 29.2%). An extra factor that favors Kentucky heavily is the fact that Vanderbilt University is not allowing students to attend home games so Tuesday’s student section crowd along with the majority of the arena will likely be fans of “Big Blue Nation”. Erasing Vanderbilt’s home-court advantage is significant and so is Kentucky’s talent edge. “Dores straight up 72-70 home loss as 8 point favorites vs. South Carolina (which went 3-17 from 3) shows a lot of vulnerabilities on the floor and in the stands. Expect Kentucky to capitalize on all of them.
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