Sunday 1/23/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 371138

    #1

    Sunday 1/23/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

    NFL
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 371138

    #2
    Aqueduct (1st) Hey Mama, 4-1
    (5th) Closing Deals, 4-1

    Fair Grounds (1st) Aphrodites Revenge, 4-1
    (2nd) Im a Cowboy Too, 7-2

    Golden Gate Fields (2nd) Erotic, 3-1
    (5th) Magical Thought, 3-1

    Gulfstream Park (2nd) Reagan’s Heart, 4-1
    (4th) Hoorayhoorayhooray, 4-1

    Laurel Park (1st) Regina, 3-1
    (2nd) Krug, 7-2

    Oaklawn Park (3rd) Dutch Treat, 3-1
    (5th) Coach Adams, 7-2

    Santa Anita (5th) Nichiren, 7-2
    (7th) That’s Amare, 4-1

    Tampa Bay Downs (3rd) Pharoah Cat, 3-1
    (5th) El Pillo, 9-2

    Turfway Park (1st) Army Scout, 3-1
    (4th) Honest Intentions, 3-1
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 371138

      #3
      Aqueduct Picks: Busanda S. on January 23
      By J.N. Campbell


      Aqueduct Picks - Sunday, January 23, 2022

      Race 1: 3-5-1-2
      Race 2: 4-1-5-3
      Race 3: 4-2-6-5
      Race 4: 6-3-1-2
      Race 5: 2-4-3-6
      Race 6: 4-6-5-2
      Race 7: 3-6-2-8
      Race 8: 3-2-6-1
      Race 9: 8-2-9-3
      **Most Likely Winner: Cadeau De Paix #4 (Race 3)**
      **Best Value: Oxana #6 (Race 4)**

      Most Likely Winner: (Race 3: Cadeau de Paix #4, 2/1):

      Trainer Patrick Reynolds has a strong ALLW Co. runner in his barn that is looking to win for the 1st time since last April. Since coming over to this barn, the mare by Majestic Warrior has had a number of solid performances, but she has not made it to the winner’s circle. Against a field like this one I think it should be possible, if Jose Ortiz can keep her close. Yesterday, the “Golden Rail” made a regular appearance. What we hope for is a “fair track” come Sunday … I digress.

      Wagering Recommendation: $100 Win, #4



      Off-the-Pace Play of the Day: (Race 4: Oxana #6, 5/1):

      This filly by Uptowncharlybrown has not been seen since early December in an OC62.5k sprint in the mud. With Trevor McCarthy aboard, the team went all the way … winning on the engine. Now, the hot jockey gets the call again, and could rise to the occasion. I like this spot, and trainer Tim Hills has some nice wins during the Meet already. I would not underestimate this one … maybe the price will stay around 5/1. One can hope …

      Wagering Recommendation: $100 Bankroll, Graduated Wager WPS #6 ($10-W, $15-P, $75-S)



      Spotlight Race of the Day: (Race 8: Dirt, 1 1/8th, Busanda S. $100k, 3F):

      The “feature” on this Sunday is a “Non-G” race that brings together a good salty group of 6 runners that will be going 10 furlongs on the MT. Out of these 3-yr-old fillies, I am sure Rudy Rodriguez’s Magic Circle #1 will get some play since she was 3rd last time out in the Demoiselle (G2). She is obviously logical, what with Jose Ortiz in the saddle, but I am not sure she is a cinch to win. I actually am much more interested in considering Chad Brown’s entry that is drawn in right next door. Waters of Merom #2 switched from Brad Cox to Brown back in October after running on incredibly at Keeneland in an MC30k event. Brown took her, and entered her at Aqueduct in an OC50k event back on 6 January. The result was impressive, as this filly by Connect won nicely by 3+ lengths. If she can get this distance, with that early speed, it could be a weapon … that is if she can control the pace up front. I raise this point because to the outside, it looks as though Bill Mott’s Rosebug #6 is also fleet of foot. Manny Franco could choose to challenge Dylan Davis, who is piloting Brown’s charge, and that could open the door for a closer. That is why I am moved by the Reid Barn’s Morning Matcha #3. This presser could be hanging around, waiting on the cue to roll from the back of the pack. Kendrick Carmouche is a creative rider, and I like this one’s chances. The daughter of Central Banker has some class behind her (NY Stallion Series BT last time—2nd), so that could come in handy against this group. Here is how I would bet it …

      Wagering Recommendation: $2 Superfecta Wheel, 3 w 1/2/6 w 1/2/6 w 1/2/6
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 371138

        #4
        Oaklawn Park Picks: Edge to Edge a strong pick in January 23
        By J.N. Campbell


        Oaklawn Park Picks - Sunday, January 23, 2022

        Race 1: 5-2-1-7
        Race 2: 4-2-6-9
        Race 3: 10-8-3-2
        Race 4: 7-6-9-3
        Race 5: 4-10-11-2
        Race 6: 4-2-9-3
        Race 7: 9-1-5-2
        Race 8: 1-3-2-6
        Race 9: 3-6-10-4
        **Most Likely Winner: Firewolves #4 (Race 6)**
        **Best Value: Verklempt #4 (Race 2)**

        Most Likely Winner: (Race 6: Firewolves #4, 3/1):

        Trainer Brad Cox has a reputation for strong conditioning, and putting young horses in the proper spots to win. Here is a young filly by Practical Joke, a sire that has already made a name for himself … and then some. I like her chances after she ended up 2nd last time. Getting her debut out of the way is a splendid sign, and I think having Florent Geroux back aboard is a positive. With count ‘em … 5 works to her credit since her last race, she should be able to break her maiden against this MSW Co. going around 6F … Cox knows how to win.

        Wagering Recommendation: $100 Win, #4



        Off-the-Pace Play of the Day: (Race 2: Verklempt #4, 15/1):

        Trainer Paul Holthus is the son and grandson of horsemen, and his experience is one of his greatest assets. He uses only cooked oats, in the old school style, and though he does not have an expansive stable, it is a good one. This is one of his runners that he has entered on Sunday, and I think this filly by Overanalyze will appreciate the class drop after running against tougher in OC50k Co. She is in for a tag here, and that means she could get claimed. Holthus is probably hoping that does not happen, but with a piece of a $32,000 purse, it might be worth it. The best news for bettors … she will be an excellent price come post time. I think jockey Tiago Pereira is waiting to break out at the Meet … he gets the call.

        Wagering Recommendation: $100 Bankroll, Graduated Wager WPS #4 ($10-W, $15-P, $75-S)



        Spotlight Race of the Day: (Race 8: Dirt, 6F, AOC50k, 4+):

        Here is yet another tough OC50k, going 6F at Oaklawn. There are so many tracks in America where this might be a BT/Non-G. In Hot Springs, it is sui generis … “of its own kind.” I would not assume, if I were you, that Steve Asmussen’s Happymac #3 is the winner. Though the colt is by Runhappy, and has experience sprinting, the downside is the layoff … he has not been seen since July … Saratoga. Of course, he will be well-backed, and there is the fact that the last time he was at Oaklawn, he won a MSW93k by 10 lengths … Still, I am willing to take on Joel Rosario and Co., and counter with Chris Hartman’s Edge to Edge #1. I like this colt by Competitive Edge because not only did he win nicely last time in early December at Oaklawn, but he is testing deeper waters. Hartman is a conditioner with good sense and solid numbers. His sprinter already has 4 lifetime starts over this track, and that equates to skill/involvement. Francisco Arrieta, who was on him last time, gets the call once again, and his Meet is progressing well. The speed figs look good, and with a clean break, he might be able to strike the front, or lay 1 to 2 back from that 1-hole … I want to use these 2 aforementioned runners in an ice-cold Exacta. It is time to load up!

        Wagering Recommendation: $2 Exacta Cold, 1 w 3
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 371138

          #5
          DAILY RACING TIPS – SUNDAY JANUARY 23

          Home - Expert Tips - Harry White - DAILY RACING TIPS – SUNDAY JANUARY 23

          Harry White

          Geelong, 23rd January 2022

          Race 1 Selections: 6,8,5,7
          Race 2 Selections: 14,13,8,10
          Race 3 Selections: 15,2,5,11

          Race 4 Selections: 4,9,1,8

          Race 5 Selections: 8,5,7,3
          Race 6 Selections: 1,9,5,7
          Race 7 Selections: 2,1,10,5
          Race 8 Selections: 2,6,1,12

          Best Bet: R2 – 14. Zouvalu

          Best Value: R3 – 15. Sycorax

          Quaddie

          Quaddie 1: 5,7,8

          Quaddie 2: 1,5,6,7,9

          Quaddie 3: 1,2,5,10

          Quaddie 4: 1,2,6

          Play: Early Quaddie: 5,6,7,8/ 13,14/ 2,5,11,15/ 4
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 371138

            #6
            Rocket Picks ��: Gulfstream Park, Oaklawn Park, and Santa Anita for January 23, 2021
            By: Jared Welch

            Let’s round out the weekend today! For the free pick 4, we will head to Oaklawn Park once again! We will also be covering Gulfstream Park and Santa Anita for the paid Rockets, so be sure to check those out. Let’s see if we can get this home today.

            Below is our free Late Pick 4 for Oaklawn Park:

            Oaklawn Park January 23, 2022

            Race 6: Maiden Special Weight

            #4 Firewolves was a solid second on debut last time out, losing to a pretty nice horse. She is squarely the one to beat in this spot today. #2 Campaigning debuts in this spot for Asmussen, who is always dangerous with these types at this meet.

            Race 7: Claiming
            freestar

            #2 Canadian Game was a solid third last time out against much tougher horses. He will be tough in this spot. #5 Knights Cross should run better today as he drops back down in class where he fits much better.

            Race 8: Allowance Optional Claiming

            #3 Happymac runs off of a layoff today, but gets back to the dirt, where he should be very tough to beat. #1 Edge to Edge won at this level impressively last time out over this track, and obviously is a big candidate to do it again.

            Race 9: Maiden Special Weight

            #2 Chesterette was a decent fourth on debut last time out, and should improve off of that effort today. #3 Hot and Sultry was second on debut last time out for trainer Steve Asmussen.

            THE TICKET

            $.50 Pick 4 (Races 6-9) 2,4 / 2,5,6,7 / 1,3 / 1,2,3,5,6 – $40
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 371138

              #7
              Aqueduct Horses in Focus for Sunday, January 23
              Posted on January 22, 2022 by David Aragona

              RACE 5: KOKUTAI (#1)

              Bistrita is probably the horse to beat off her solid runner-up finish on debut. That was not the strongest field for the level but it was the faster of two divisions of that maiden condition on the day. If she improves at all on that initial effort she’s going to be a handful against this field. Though it is somewhat of a concern that she was so dead on the board first time out. For what it’s worth, Jeremiah Englehart is 16 for 81 (20%, $2.28 ROI) with maiden second time starters in dirt sprints at NYRA over the past 5 years. Glittering Prize also makes some sense primarily due to the fact that she possesses early speed. She made the front two back at Belmont but got outrun every step of the way last time after a poor start. She’s getting needed class relief and may be naturally faster than Bistritta, and that could make her dangerous if the rail bias that we saw on Saturday is still in effect. I want to go in a different direction with Kokutai, who comes out of the same race as Bistritta. This filly was off slowly and checked coming out of the starting gate, which put her at the back of the pack early. From there, she did not get the strongest ride from Jose Ortiz, who had trouble riding her as she strode greenly towards the back of the pack. I think there’s more ability here than she showed in her first start and she may get somewhat ignored as she makes her first start off the claim for Greg DiPrima.

              RACE 6: MAKINGCENTS (#7)

              Customerexperience has gotten back into top form recently after some inconsistent efforts through the middle of last year. She’s always done some of her best running at Aqueduct and she made a triumphant return to this venue last time, winning decisively. She was racing outside the entire way on Dec. 19, a day that featured a dead rail, so she was with the track bias. She was also going out for the sharp Rob Atras barn that day. She’s now been claimed by William Morey, who himself has had a strong run so far at Aqueduct. She’s handled the one-mile distance in the past and is the horse to beat, but I wouldn’t want to settle for too short a price. I’m highly skeptical of Charge Account, who could also attract support. If she brings her best form she’s going to be a handful in here, but it’s a little hard to trust her as she drops back in for a tag off the layoff. Kelly Breen is 10 for 81 (12%, $1.20 ROI) off 90 to 180 day layoffs over the past 5 years, so there are some reasons to be skeptical that she can deliver her best race. Bee Bit has some appeal based on her recent dirt form, but Chris Englehart has very poor numbers first off the claim with dirt routers. I want to give a shot to Makingcents on the dropdown. She clearly hasn’t looked like the same horse after her 3-year-old season. However, I thought she showed some signs of life when dropped in for a tag against NY-breds last time. That Dec. 19 race was a strangely run affair where they set a glacial early pace before sprinting home. Notably, this mare was glued to the rail the entire way on a day when all the best running was done on the outside. That effort may be better than it looks, and she figures to be the controlling speed from the inside this time. It’s the last chance for this once classy runner.

              RACE 8: GAMESTONKS (#4)

              Magic Circle is the horse to beat in this Busanda, and she’ll be awfully tough to handle if we’re still dealing with the rail-biased surface that we saw on Saturday. She is the primary speed from the inside, though I suppose Waters of Merom could get an aggressive ride from the two-path. Magic Circle is simply a superior horse, as she comes off a solid third-place effort in the Demoiselle. While I’m not convinced that 1 1/8 miles is her best distance, she did run well enough last time. It’s just mildly concerning that she got so visibly tired in the late stages of that last race, as she was drifting erratically in the final furlong. I’m not way against her, but I also don’t want to take a short price since this may be a field of comparable quality to the Demoiselle. Rosebug looks like a viable alternative based on her last race, in which she dominated a field of maidens, winning under wraps at the end. She’s clearly more of a dirt horse, as she ran quite well on debut against a tough field at Saratoga before graduating in her return to that surface last time. While her dam could handle this kind of trip, she’s produced foals that don’t necessarily want to run this far. I believe she has some quality, but I didn’t want to take a short price on her either. My top pick is Gamestonks. This filly wanted no part of sprinting in her debut, but she’s relished the stretch-out in distance in her last couple of starts. It took her a long time to hit top gear two back, but she was finishing best of all across the wire. Expectations were low considering that she raced for a $20k tag that day, but it seemed like the light bulb went on in that start. This filly was much more professional last time, getting herself into the race earlier before taking over with authority in the stretch. She drew clear to an impressive win, finishing like added ground will be no problem. We know very little about Blofeld as a sire, but the dam’s family is all stamina influences. Brittany Russell sends live runners to New York, and it doesn’t hurt to have Trevor McCarthy in the irons given his recent hot streak.
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 371138

                #8
                Sunday Seoul & Busan: Race-By-Race Preview (January 23)

                There’s racing at both Seoul and Busan on Sunday with 11 races in the capital from 10:45 to 18:00 and 6 on the South Coast from 12:05 to 16:40. All betting locations are open but attendance must be pre-booked through the MyCard app and evidence of up to date vaccination against Covid19 is required. Here are the previews:

                Seoul Race 1: Class 6 (1000M) Allowance / KRW 40 Million

                Three-year-old maidens open proceedings with four of the twelve racing for the very first time. (9) ROAD ACE put in a couple of very solid runs at this distance, including a 2nd place in a fast time back in October. He has since raced poorly at 1300M and 1200M but coming back to the minimum trip today could well see him improve. The likely favourite is (5) CONCORDE SPURT, who ran 3rd on debut at this distance on Christmas Day when slowly away and then running on well. The time wasn’t fast but with a better start today and with some natural improvement, can win this. (6) CUPID SAFE only managed to finish in 7th place on debut in October but it was in a decent time – albeit during a period when the track was racing very fast. She’s had sixteen weeks off since then but every chance of going well from a central gate. (3) WONDERFUL SHADOW and (11) MAGIC GLORY looks the best of the first-timers.
                Selections (9) Road Ace (5) Concorde Spurt (6) Cupid Safe (3) Wonderful Shadow
                Next Best 11, 12
                Fast Start 3, 7, 9, 12

                Seoul Race 2: Class 6 (1200M) Allowance / KRW 40 Million

                A full field of three-year-old maiden fillies. (8) K N OLD QUEEN is the one to beat. After a promising trial, she ran 2nd on debut in a fair time at 1000M on December 26th, having raced prominently throughout. The Park Dae-heung/Moon Se-young combination will attract plenty and she surely jumps the favourite. (7) RISING HAWK also comes up in trip after a placing on debut when 3rd over 1000M on December 11th. She sat in midfield and finished off well and should have come on for that. (12) BURUI KKOT has the fastest time among those who have tackled the distance before. She has improved across three starts so far and was a very good 2nd at this distance on December 26th. She doesn’t draw so well today but should be in the finish again. (4) GREAT JENNY on the other hand, gets a much better draw than she did on debut at this distance on December 18th when she had to settle at the back but ran on strong. She can improve today. (11) WONPYEONG QUEEN, who finished in 4th place ahead of Great Jenny in that race, is another in the hunt.
                Selections (8) K N Old Queen (7) Rising Hawk (12) Burui Kkot (4) Great Jenny
                Next Best 11, 5
                Fast Start 2, 7, 8, 12

                Seoul Race 3: Class 6 (1300M) Allowance / KRW 40 Million

                (4) BYEORAK will be hot favourite here. He has improved across his four starts to date culminating in 2nd place when stepped up to this trip at his most recent start on December 26th, when he settled handy and ran on. Expect similar tactics today and he won’t need much improvement to win this. (11) DUSON DRIVE is the clear second choice. He comes up in trip after three goes at 1000M, the latest of which resulted in a runner-up finish. He ran consistent times and there is not reason the additional trip should be a problem. We’ll really have to take the others on trust. (12) SINJURYU was 3rd at this distance at his latest start and while the time wasn’t quick and he draws wide, that’s enough to get him into the numbers here. (10) CHEONGSAN YEONGUNG had a poor day at the office last time out but has run fast times at shorter and may improve. (3) ONE PUTT generally blows the start but is capable of finishing well.
                Selections (4) Byeorak (11) Duson Drive (12) Sinjuryu (10) Cheongsan Yeongung
                Next Best 3, 9
                Fast Start 2, 10, 11, 12

                Busan Race 1: Class 6 (1000M) Allowance / KRW 40 Million

                Three-year-old maidens in the south-coast opener with eight of them racing for the first time. It will be one of the four with experience who starts as the hot favourite though. (1) GUARDIAN ANGEL was 4th on debut back on November 26th in a good time when settling in midfield and then running on. With any kind of improvement at all, she will be very hard to beat. (10) BRAVO HAMYANG went through two trials and showed improvement in the second of those on Christmas Day, coming home in 2nd place in a fair time. He looks the best of the newcomers. (12) B. K. NEW MOON won her trial on December 18th with a front-running performance. The Take Charge Indy filly draws wide but can also go well in this company first up. Returning to those with experience, (5) ETERNAL ACE and (11) DEER KING both ran fairly on debuts for mid-field finishes, and both can be considered for improvement with top jockeys booked.
                Selections (1) Guardian Angel (10) Bravo Hamyang (12) B. K. New Moon (5) Eternal Ace
                Next Best 11, 3
                Fast Start 1, 5, 10, 12

                Seoul Race 4: Class 6 (1300M) Allowance / KRW 40 Million

                (4) JEONGMUN JJANG returns to action following almost eleven months on the sidelines. Previously he had run well at his distance, and he looked well when almost leading the entire way around in a Christmas Eve trial. He will obviously need this, but he draws well to get on pace and in an open race, has as good a chance as any. (8) V QUEEN has the fastest time among those who have tackled this distance before. She’s only been ordinary in her latest two starts but looks nicely in here to sit behind the speed and then run on. (11) MUNHAK FOREST likes to be on pace so may need some luck given his barrier, but he has a runner-up finish to his name at this distance and can be in the finish again. (1) PEPE RUN and (7) GWACHEON SINSEGYE are among others who can challenge for at least minor money.
                Selections (4) Jeongmun Jjang (8) V Queen (11) Munhak Forest (1) Pepe Run
                Next Best 7, 5
                Fast Start 4, 6, 10, 11

                Busan Race 2: Class 6 (1400M) Allowance / KRW 25 Million

                (10) WILD ADELE has improved across three starts so far, culminating in 3rd place over 1300M at her latest when she led until the furlong pole. She comes up slightly in trip and draws wider, but an apprentice takes some weight off and she can go even closer this time. (4) NAMDO ILDEUNG is thoroughly unspectacular but is generally consistent. She drops back in trip following some recent efforts over a mile including a solid 3rd place last time. She will sit handy here and run on and will probably start as the betting favourite. (3) RAON THE MILLION was 6th behind Namdo Ildeung at their respective latest starts and from a good draw can find a nice position again and finish off well. (2) SILVER LADY has the fastest time among those here who have tried this distance before and while it wasn’t fast, it’s probably enough to bring her into the calculations here. (12) GREEN PAPAGO another in the placing frame.
                Selections (10) Wild Adele (4) Namdo Ildeung (3) Raon The Million (2) Silver Lady
                Next Best 12, 13
                Fast Start 8, 9, 10, 12

                Seoul Race 5: Class 5 (1400M) Handicap / KRW 40 Million

                A big field off fillies and mares and (2) SEONGSIL MONEY gets the nod. She is yet to win in nine attempts but but has eight top-five finishes and comes in following a good 2nd place at this class over 1300M on November 27th. She’s run a decent time at this distance as well and from a nice draw, Moon Se-young can pick his spot and she can win. (6) REMARKABLE ran well back behind Seongsil Money in that November race but has run once since then when 4th over 1300M beating a couple of today’s rivals and she can be in the hunt here. (11) SMART HIGH was a winner at class 6 level two starts back over 1200M before running adequately for 4th on her first try at this class, again over the 1200M, on December 18th. She’ll be on or close to the pace here and a chance. (14) JEONGSANG Z and (5) BLACK ROOKIE among others to consider for places.
                Selections (2) Seongsil Money (6) Remarkable (11) Smart High (14) Jeongsang Z
                Next Best 5, 4
                Fast Start 10, 11, 12, 13

                Busan Race 3: Class 5 (1300M) Handicap / KRW 40 Million

                Wildly competitive race. We’ll go with (14) LIGHT STORY to defy gate fourteen and return to the winner’s circle. He was the all the away winner on debut over 1000M before struggling on return at 1400M. In his latest two, he has seemed to be working back to form though with a close-up 2nd to a stablemate he really should have beaten at his latest on Christmas Eve. Seo Seung-un returns today and he could win. (1) ADELE CHUKBAE made all to get his maiden win at start number five on December 17th over this distance. He draws the inside once more and should measure up in this company. (6) CROWN KING STAR beat three of these on his way to 3rd place at this class over 1200M on Boxing Day, leading for much of the way around. He comes up significantly in the weights but You Hyun-myung climbs aboard and he should be a contender. (10) CAPTAIN YANKEE and (11) UNJU HERO are others in the frame.
                Selections (14) Light Story (1) Adele Chukbae (6) Crown King Star (10) Captain Yankee
                Next Best 11, 2
                Fast Start 3, 8, 9, 10

                Seoul Race 6: Class 5 (1200M) Handicap / KRW 40 Million

                This is a good race with ten of the fourteen being fillies or mares. (11) COMPLETE STAR ran a slightly disappointing 5th at her latest start but she has put in some very good efforts at this distance, running consistently good times. She comes down slightly in weight, Moon Se-young climbs aboard, and she can win this. (2) BOOSTER ROCKET has been consistent across her six starts so far including a win at this distance at class 6 level two starts back. She draws nicely and under a light weight can go close. (1) EUNSEONG MARU was a fine winner on debut in a fast time over 1000M when she sat handy and ran on. She comes up in class and in trip today but has a great draw again and can measure up in this company. (3) PRINCESS SOCKS holds the fastest time of any of these and needs to be forgiven her latest effort. (9) JAY TROSS also comes up in class and distance having broken through at start three and is another who should be competitive.
                Selections (11) Complete Star (2) Booster Rocket (1) Eunseong Maru (3) Princess Socks
                Next Best 9, 13
                Fast Start 3, 4, 10, 11

                Busan Race 4: Class 5 (1200M) Handicap / KRW 40 Million

                Fillies and mares only here. (1) MY DESTINY comes in having run a very close 2nd on her latest start at class and distance on December 17th when she sat handy throughout. She may be yet to win in nine starts but she has seven top five finishes and today could well be her day. (4) GLOBAL YEOSIN was an all the way winner on debut over 1000M on December 3rd. She comes up in class and in distance here but has a great draw to potentially lead again and should be in this a long way. (2) FANTASTIC LOVE should be on pace too. Like My Destiny, she hasn’t won but has finished in the top-four in all four starts to date including 2nd to a good winner at her latest start which brings her up in class here. She goes close. (7) ILNYEOM CHEONHA is another up in class. She has won, breaking through at her second attempt on December 19th. She can sit handy and run on here. (6) D’LOVELY QUEEN was 4th behind My Destiny last time out and can aim to match that here.
                Selections (1) My Destiny (4) Global Yeosin (2) Fantastic Love (7) Ilnyeom Cheonha
                Next Best 6, 14
                Fast Start 2, 4, 11, 12

                Seoul Race 7: Class 4 (1200M) Handicap / KRW 75 Million

                Two standouts here. We’ll tentatively side with (5) YEONGGWANGUI MISO. Her latest two outings have been in the Luna Stakes at a mile and the Oaks at 1800M. She ran very well in the first of those, coming late from off the pace to run 4th and while she was 8th in the Oaks, the margins weren’t huge. This looks a much more suitable assignment for her, and she has run great times at this distance. The main danger is (3) K N MAGIC. She won back-to-back races in September and October last year to get rapidly promoted to this level before running a good 3rd over 1400M at the end of November. She likes to come from just off the pace and will be running on strong here. (10) BIG RED comes up in class here but might be worth an each-way chance at odds. She carries a very light weight, and the draw shouldn’t be too problematic. (2) JEONJEONGSAEGUEM and (8) WHITE COMET are the other logical place chances.
                Selections (5) Yeonggwangui Miso (3) K N Magic (10) Big Red (2) Jeonjeongsaguem
                Next Best 8, 6
                Fast Start 5, 7, 9, 10

                Busan Race 5: Class 4 (1600M) Handicap / KRW 60 Million

                (14) KING GOLIATH was an also-ran in the Korean Derby before two near-misses at class and distance back here at Busan. He drops back to the mile today, a distance at which he has run fast times and his running style means the gate, while not ideal, shouldn’t be an over-riding issue. He has plenty of ability and he could win. (11) PURE KING has finished no worse than 4th in eight starts and was a solid 3rd when stepped up to a mile at his latest start. He looks nicely in here and should be in the finish once again. (5) CLEAN SHOT beat three of these on his way to a very good win over 1800M on December 19th when coming from well back in the field. He comes up an extra 2kg in the weights but Lim Sung-sil, who rode him last time, rides him again and at his best, can double-up. King Goliath’s stablemate (7) BUCATINI ran 5th behind Clean Shot last start at 1800M and has run well at a mile before. He has placing claims. So too (9) SNYDER, who broke through when beating King Goliath over 1800M on December 5th, making all. He comes up in the weights but should be on pace again and will be in the finish.
                Selections (14) King Goliath (11) Pure King (5) Clean Shot (7) Bucatini
                Next Best 9, 13
                Fast Start 3, 7, 9, 11

                Seoul Race 8: Class 4 (1400M) Handicap / KRW 60 Million

                After a couple of spins around 1000M to find his feet, (1) CHAMJOEUN CHINGU was stepped up in trip and promptly won back-to-back races in emphatic fashion at 1200M and 1300M, making all both times. That has brought her rapidly up in class and she comes up slightly further in trip, but the manner of those victories (nine-lengths and seven-lengths), coupled with the inside draw and light weight makes her hard to oppose here. (3) JOY BROTHER ran a fast time at class and distance on his latest outing on December 18th when running 2nd and beating plenty of today’s rivals. He has consistently run fast times over 1400M and should be a threat today. (7) ULTRA KING was favourite in that race, ultimately finishing in 5th. The margins weren’t huge though and he can be given another chance here. (11) CHEONBISEONG and (8) LUCKY WORLD are others who can enter the calculations.
                Selections (1) Chamjoeun Chingu (3) Joy Brother (7) Ultra King (11) Cheonbiseong
                Next Best 8, 9
                Fast Start 7, 9, 10, 11

                Busan Race 6: Class 2 (1400M) Handicap / KRW 90 Million

                (4) YEONGUNG LOUIS will be favoured to score here. His breakout came when 3rd behind Eoma Eoma and East Jet in the SBS Sports Sprint in Seoul in October. He then had a hard time from gate fourteen in the Owners’ Cup at a mile back here at Busan although that was quite an unusual race all around and from a good gate, Yeongung Louis is the one to beat. (5) AKER’S DREAM beat several of today’s rivals when winning over 1200M on December 19th, coming from off the pace. He comes up in trip and up a full 4kg in the weights but can go close again. (7) SUCCESS PARTY has been up and down in recent starts but drops back in trip today and might be worth a chance at an each-way price (2) QUEEN OF THE WORLD and (9) SONIC KING IJI were among those beaten by Aker’s Dream in that December 19th race, but both can be competitive here.
                Selections (4) Yeongung Louis (5) Aker’s Dream (7) Success Party (2) Queen Of The World
                Next Best 9, 10
                Fast Start 1, 2, 4, 7

                Seoul Race 9: Class 3 (1400M) Handicap / KRW 75 Million

                (8) SEUNGBUSAis a three-year-old with excellent form. he’s won three times and was a close 3rd in the Listed Nonghyup Chairman’s Cup. Last start when winning by 5 lengths over this distance he led then ran away in the straight. He’s up in class here and down in weight and likely favourite. (1) RAON LIGHT MANregistered a super win last start over 1200M from a wide barrier. He scarcely comes up in the weights and has a lovely draw today. Whilst he hasn’t won at 1400m, he has placed and should be competitive. (4) LUISA is another with good form having won at class and distance and most recently running a good 5th in the Jeju Governor’s Cup, again at today’s trip. She likes to race midfield or handy and should be finishing off strong here. (6) RAON BEAT has consecutive wins at 1700M and 1800M. He is up in class today but down in trip and slightly in weight and can be competitive. (3) MONEY ZIF another in the placing frame.
                Selections (8) Seungbusa (1) Raon Light Man (4) Luisa (6) Raon Beat
                Next Best 3, 5
                Fast Start 1, 4, 8, 9

                Seoul Race 10: Class 4 (1700M) Allowance / KRW 60 Million

                Another good race. (10) CUPID BABE has been improving across her recently starts and at her latest overcame gate eleven to beat three of these over class and distance, making all. He comes up in the weights today but can repeat. (2) ACHIM HAMSEONG is a filly with good form and while she is yet to win at further than 1300M, she comes into contention here following a good 4th place over 2000M in the Gyeonggi Governor’s Cup on December 19th. She can come from off the pace and run on strong here. (9) CHEON GUN is worth some thought based on a good 3rd place last start to Cupid Babe and while up 1kg in weight, meats that rival 2kg better than that day. His racing pattern is to settle midfield and run on, so the barrier is not an issue. (4) SINUI YEOLMAE has solid staying form and was a narrow 2nd last start at 1800M and along with (3) MUNHAK LUCKY is another with at least placing chances.
                Selections (10) Cupid Babe (2) Achim Hamseong (9) Cheon Gun (4) Sinui Yeolmae
                Next Best 3, 11
                Fast Start 5, 7, 10, 11

                Seoul Race 11: Class 1 (2000M) Allowance / KRW 110 Million

                (7) HEUNGHAENG JILJU races for the firs time since running 3rd in the President’s Cup in November when he went right back before making up excellent ground late on. He was a class and distance winner three starts back when leading for most of the way around with several of today’s rivals behind him. He is nicely weighted, still looks to be on the way up and this is the kind of race he can win. (3) IRON SOCKS has shown solid staying form with two wins from his latest four including at this class. Last time out he was a close 4th when he led. He tackles this distance for the first time but is nicely drawn today to get an easy lead which will enhance his chances. (4) GEUMA ACME is yet to win in class 1 but in an enormous effort when 2nd in the President’s Cup when settling midfield and running on and that run alone brings him into the calculations here. (2) HEUK JEONSA is a winner of three class 1 distance races but is yet to score at today’s distance. He comes in having run a good 5th in the KRA Cup Classic and can be considered. (12) SHAMROCKER always in the hunt too.
                Selections (7) Heunghaeng Jilju (3) Iron Socks (4) Geuma Acme (2) Heuk Jeonsa
                Next Best 12, 5
                Fast Start 1, 3, 7, 8
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 371138

                  #9
                  Free Winners for Sunday, January 23rd 2022 from THE LEGEND!
                  FREE HORSE PICKS
                  FAIR GROUNDS
                  RACE #7
                  TIME: 5:05 PM EST
                  PICK: BET #3 Shanghai Trick 6/1 odds to win @ Bovada
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 371138

                    #10
                    Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analyis/Workout Commentary for 1/23/22

                    January 23, 2022

                    “What You Need to Know” - Santa Anita
                    By Jeff Siegel, Handicapper & Analyst


                    Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily Santa Anita Handicapping Analysis, Wagering Strategies, Workout Commentary, and True Odds Calculations (“TPC”) identify those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
                    *
                    The “TOC” quantifies the findings of a personal thoroughbred analytics program that contains in its database the results of every race contested at Santa Anita since 2004. More than 75 critical factors in the fields of class, distance, surface, age, and sex have created 227 individual
                    algorithms that are highly specific to the race being handicapped. The result is a probability line that reflects each contender’s true odds based on a pure 100 point takeout.

                    The “TOC” applies its mathematical formula only to non-maiden races and displays a maximum of four runners considered the most likely contenders to win. Also listed is the specific algorithm’s sample size plus the top-rated horse’s win percentage and return on investment (ROI). It is suggested that the player utilize the program’s findings to compare each contender’s “true odds” with the morning line and/or actual wagering odds to identify potential overlays and underlays.

                    Also-eligible runners are not included in any of the calculations until verified as actual starters. When possible, adjustments to the “TOC” will be updated after late scratches.

                    For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.

                    *
                    *
                    Grade Descriptions:
                    Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
                    Grade B=Solid Play.
                    Grade C=Least preferred or pass
                    Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play

                    __________________________________________________ ____________________________
                    RACE 1: Post: 12:30 PT Grade: B
                    Use (in order of preference): 1-Handy Dandy; 4-Barsabas

                    Forecast: Handy Dandy was a respectable third in the Eddie Logan S. over this course and distance last month and gets an easier task today while dropping into a starter optional claimer over the same course and distance. With the switch to F. Prat and from the preferred rail post, the Fury Kapcori gelding seems pretty solid at 8/5 on the morning line. Barsabas, in the frame in six of eight career starts, finished fifth in the aforementioned Eddie Logan, switches to Johnny V., and should draft into a good stalking position. A repeat of his race before last – a game runner-up in the Cecil B. DeMille S. at Del Mar – makes him the one to fear most. These are the two we’ll be using in rolling exotic play with a very slight edge on top to Handy Dandy.


                    __________________________________________________ ____________________________
                    __________________________________________________ ____________________________

                    RACE 2: Post: 1:00 PT Grade: B+
                    Single: 1-Sync

                    Forecast: Sync finished with interest to be a solid runner-up in his debut vs. a softer maiden $20,000 claiming field at Los Alamitos last month; has returned to work well from the gate (see below) and seems very likely produce a forward move in this maiden $50,000 main track miler for 3-year-olds. Despite the raise in class, the son of Unified actually fits very well at this level based on speed figures, so in a five-runner field let’s take a stand and use him in the win pool and in rolling exotic single play and hope to get close to his morning line of 2-1.

                    Notable Workouts:

                    Sync (January 8, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:01.2hg). Grade: B-
                    Easy gate drill for K. Desormeaux while proving clearly best inside Big Bell (4f, :48.3hg) and Basket Case (5f, 1:01.3hg), splits of :24 flat, :35.4, :48.2 and 1:01.2 before coasting to the wire in 1:16 flat, breezing most of the way. Ran pretty well in his debut when facing bottom-rung maiden claimers at Los Alamitos and probably has plenty of room to improve. Definitely a two-turn type.
                    View Workout Video


                    __________________________________________________ ____________________________
                    __________________________________________________ ____________________________

                    RACE 3: Post: 1:34 PT Grade: B-
                    Use (in order of preference): 5-Viazar; 3-Unusual Ride

                    Forecast: Here’s another five-runner affair, this over a mile on grass for starter optional claimers. Viazar has finished a close second in seven of her last eight starts (in between she won a maiden special weight event over this course and distance), so, on the one hand you can state she is genuine and consistent, but you also must be concerned that she doesn’t always reach back for extra when extra is required. She’s a stretch runner without any real tactical speed in a race that projects to be very slowly run early, but at least the veteran mare shouldn’t have any concerns with traffic. Unusual Ride is a “must use,” as well. Lightly-raced with further improvement in her, the daughter of Clubhouse Ride earned a career top speed figure when a closing fourth in a $40,000 claimer at Del Mar in a race that got her eligible this event. She’s reunited with “win rider” J. Hernandez, and while slower on pure figures as Viazar she appears to be heading in the right direction.


                    __________________________________________________ ____________________________
                    __________________________________________________ ____________________________

                    RACE 4: Post: 2:06 PT Grade: B
                    Use (in order of preference: 5-Niff; 4-Sangre Azul

                    Forecast: This race has been reduced to four starters, so there’s really not much we can do with it. Niff was a sharp winner at Hawthorne before being sent to California and the speed figure she earned in that maiden $20,000 sprint makes her faster and better than her three rivals. Drawn comfortably outside, the daughter of Temple City should find herself in an ideal pace-pressing position outside. Sangre Azul is much slower on figures than Niff but is gradually improving and adding Lasix. She lacks tactical speed and will need some help up front to have her best chance from the top of the lane to the wire. Both should be included in rolling exotic play with preference on top to Niff.


                    __________________________________________________ ___________________________
                    __________________________________________________ ____________________________

                    RACE 5: Post: 2:36 PT Grade: B-
                    Use (in order of preference): 4-Muay Thai; 8-Nichiren; 6-Sir Flatter

                    Forecast: Be advised that this race will be run on grass, not dirt, as was indicated in the past performances of Daily Racing Form. It’s a restricted (nw-3) $25,000 claiming sprint for older horses and requires a spread in rolling exotic play. Muay Thai, freshened since mid-November, has the route-to-sprint angle that we like and in fact this six furlong trip might really bring out his best. The J. Sadler-trained colt surely will get outrun early, but if the pace is as quick as projected the Irish-bred gelding could produce a winning late bid, especially with the switch to F. Prat. He shows a healthy recent series of workouts on the training track and is dropping to his lowest level ever, so at 3-1 on the morning line he’s the top pick. Nichiren is unproven on grass, but his two previous turf sprints came against tougher competition, so were not quite prepared to concede that he doesn’t like the sod. The M. Glatt-trained gelding should be on or near the lead throughout; however, there is other speed signed on, so we’re not sure if he’ll be able to get a breather along the way. Sir Flatter is listed at 10-1 on the morning line and is worth tossing in somewhere at that price. This will be his first race on grass, but his dirt form has numbers that make him competitive so if he handles the sod, he could easily outrun his price.

                    Notable Workouts:

                    Inch (January 15, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:02.1h TT). Grade: B-
                    In blinkers for new trainer J. Mullins following a $16,000 claim, never really asked much while coming the final quarter mile in :24.4. Disappointed in his last three starts but looked okay here and can be expected to improve some for his new connections.
                    View Workout Video

                    Big Flame (January 9, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:00.2h TT). Grade: B-
                    In blinkers, smooth drill while strictly on his own, final three furlongs in :12 flat and :37 flat for T. Yakteen. Probably has a bit of improvement in him.
                    View Workout Video

                    Muay Thai (January 17, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:02.3h TT). Grade: B-
                    Solo training track drill for J. Sadler, mild coaxing only through the lane, final three furlongs in :12.4 and :37 flat, easy early, plenty left late. Lightly-raced since being imported from England, may be coming around now.
                    View Workout Video

                    Crossword (January 16, Santa Anita, 4f, :48.2h TT). Grade: C+
                    Aggressively ridden through the lane, final three furlongs in :11.4 and :36.3. Looks about the same.
                    View Workout Video


                    __________________________________________________ ____________________________
                    __________________________________________________ ____________________________

                    RACE 6: Post: 3:09 PT Grade: X
                    Single: 1-Snark

                    Forecast: Snark finished a distant second to a stakes-quality maiden in her debut on New Year’s Day and has trained extremely well since. We’re expecting a huge effort from the daughter of Carpe Diem and expect the E. Kruljac-trained sophomore to take control early from the rail and dominate thereafter. At even money on the morning, she’ll be too short to play in the win pool, so we’ll make her a short-priced rolling exotic single but otherwise pass the race.

                    Notable Workouts:

                    Snark (January 14, Santa Anita, 4f, :47.3h TT). Grade: B+
                    Impressive solo training track drill while finishing without need of coaxing and coming home strongly, final three furlongs in :11.2 and :35.1 for E. Kruljac. Chased a very good filly when second in her debut and based on this drill should step forward considerably.
                    View Workout Video

                    Chloe’s Girl (January 16, Santa Anita, 4f, :49.1hg). Grade: B-
                    Easy leaving the gate, was asked midway and wound up slightly second best with Piroli (5f, 1:01.2hg, looked good) for M. McCarthy, splits of :24.2, :35.4 and :47.4 on our watches, much faster than given while in company with a pretty nice maiden 3-year-old colt. Has some run but probably isn’t totally cranked up yet so we’ll probably want to see one first.
                    View Workout Video


                    __________________________________________________ ____________________________
                    __________________________________________________ ____________________________

                    RACE 7: Post: 3:42 PT Grade: B
                    Use (in order of preference): 5-That’s Amare; 6-Kalon

                    Forecast: That’s Amare earned a career top speed figure when beating state-bred first-level allowance foes sprinting on the flat turf course earlier this month and today she’ll tackle open company while switching over the Hillside Course. Never worse than second in four career starts, the Unusual Heat mare likely will settle just off the leaders and then take hold crossing the dirt. There’s wagering value at her morning line of 4-1 if you can get it. Kalon is better than her last effort shows in a race that was transferred from grass to dirt. Back on the lawn today, the J. Sadler-trained mare has the proper second flight, stalking style that is well-suited for this downhill slalom and numbers that make her a major contender. We’ll try to get by using just these two in rolling exotic play with a slight edge on top to That’s Amare.

                    Notable Workouts:

                    Honey Jar (January 16, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:02.4h). Grade: C
                    Caught her from the three furlong pole to the wire in :12 flat and :37.4, ridden pretty good in the final stages but laboring a bit late. Been away since last May, was hoping to see better, probably will need a race based on this drill.
                    View Workout Video

                    Kalon (January 16, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:01hg). Grade: B
                    Broke sharply but was quickly taken in hand and was just cruising in the opening furlong, was never really asked at any stage and looked good while even but best with Rocky Gibraltar (same time, broke slowly, rushed up, mild coaxing only), splits of :25.1, :36.3, :48.3 and 1:02 flat, a full second slower than given but pretty nice nonetheless for J. Sadler. Better than her last race shows, needs grass for her best effort.
                    View Workout Video

                    Carpe Fortuna (January 16, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:00.4h TT). Grade: B-
                    Broke off three lengths behind Lottery Pick (5f, 1:01h TT) while under a nice hold to the top of the lane, then was asked (workmate in hand) but couldn’t close the gap and may have actually been losing ground close home, splits of :24.3, :36.2 and 1:00.3 on our watches. Earned bullet drill status but was hoping for better, perhaps she needs grass.
                    View Workout Video


                    __________________________________________________ ____________________________
                    __________________________________________________ ____________________________

                    RACE 8: Post: 4:13 PT Grade: X
                    Single: 2-Distractedprincess

                    Forecast: Distractedprincess won her debut by 13 lengths, earned a giant number in doing so, and is listed at 1/5 on the morning line to repeat while moving up to the first-level allowance condition and trying two turns. There is no gamble to be found at that price, but it’s hard to imagine her getting beat in a five runner field that should allow Johnny V. to place her wherever he wants. Simply stated, the daughter of Distorted Humor looks like a superior prospect for B. Baffert.


                    __________________________________________________ ____________________________
                    __________________________________________________ ____________________________

                    RACE 9: Post: 4:45 PT Grade: B
                    Use (in order of preference): 3-Lottery Pick; 2-Crosby Beach

                    Forecast: Lottery Pick appeared to flounder when a distant fourth last month in a similar maiden affair that on the morning of the race was transferred from turf to dirt. The son of American Freedom continues to train well, returns to his favorite surface, gets an extra furlong to work with, adds Lasix, and switches to Johnny V. We’re expecting a career top performance today. Crosby Beach exits the same race as Lottery Pick and he, too, should go much better today on grass. From his inside draw, the son of Gormley is likely to be on the lead from the start and if not pressured early could take this field a very long way. Both should be included in your rolling exotics; we’ll have a few extra tickets keying Lottery Pick on top.

                    Notable Workouts:

                    Crosby Beach (January 15, Santa Anita, 4f, :47.2h). Grade: B
                    In blinkers, inside Moraz (same time) for M. McCarthy and was going nicely throughout to prove best by a neck at the wire, final quarter mile in :24.3. Trains well on dirt but form suggests he prefers grass. We’re expecting a much improved next time out.
                    View Workout Video

                    Lottery Pick (January 16, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:01h TT). Grade: B
                    Broke off three lengths in front of Carpe Fortuna (5f, 1:00.4h TT), had that one close some of the gap in the upper stretch but then easily held that one off to be clearly best in the final stages, splits of :2.3, :36.3 and 1:00.3 on our watches, good drill for P. Eurton. Never really got untracked in an off-the-turf maiden race last month but should improve a bunch next time when switched back to the grass.
                    View Workout Video

                    Dancing Rinca (January 8, Santa Anita, 6f, 1:13.4h). Grade: B
                    Solid six furlong solo main track drill for recently-gelded maiden 3-year-old in P. Eurton barn, ridden through the lane following splits of :25.3, :37.3, :49 flat and 1:13.4. Was a beaten choice in his last pair but continue to train fairly well, should be live vs. maidens once again next time out.
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 371138

                      #11
                      Al Cimaglia: Hawthorne Racecourse Late Pick 4 Analysis

                      January 23, 2022 | By Al Cimaglia

                      Hawthorne Racecourse concludes the weekend with a 10-race card. The 0.50 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 7. The sequence has a $15,000 guaranteed pool, and it will be my focus.

                      Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

                      Race 7

                      3-Lousraptor (3-1)-Was bet down to 1/2 in last and won with a confident effort at this class. Has looked good in both Haw starts and should be a main player with a fair trip.
                      7-Magic Night (5/2)-Cashed checks in both local starts versus Open company. Eight-year-old faces younger and should be a player as back class could show.

                      Race 8

                      2-SB Early Edition (15-1)-There isn't much form to read in this race. This mare has raced mostly at fairs and now will trot without hopples. Should be worth a swing at a big price and will look for some additional speed.
                      3-Lous Livia (2-1)-Has 1 win in 19 races at Haw and tries Lasix for the 2nd time. Not loving the morning line price but did bank over $22,000 last year and was the top earner in the field.
                      4-The Black Laser (5/2)-Even effort last week versus better. This is the only dropper in the race and best to respect chances.

                      Race 9

                      6-Bootsy Bombay (6/5)-Won the Plum Peachy at Haw last year and has started her 4-year-old season with 2 dull tries. Drops now and this could be the time for an aggressive steer and should like the company.
                      7-Amazon Princess (4-1)-Tried hard in both local races and could seal the deal with a good steer. Has hit the board in 10 of 22 Stickney starts and should offer a solid price.

                      Race 10

                      1-Sharia (6-1)-Comes off a tough trip in the 1st start here and draws well to have shot at a picture. This is a one move type that will look to get sucked around and shake loose down the lane.
                      4-Zero Net Profit (9/2)-Makes the 2nd start here and tries Lasix for the 2nd time. Has hit the board in 3 of 4 at Haw and has 1 picture. Wilfong should put in play and could cash the biggest check if Lasix provides a boost.
                      6-Dilly Dilly Time (5-1)-This is the 3rd start at Haw this meet and has finished well in both races. Looks like a player and if the pace is lively chances for a picture go up.

                      0.50 Late Pick 4

                      3,7/2,3,4/6,7/1,4,6
                      Total Bet=$18
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 371138

                        #12
                        Jerry Shottenkirk: My Late Pick 4 Ticket Sunday at Gulfstream

                        January 23, 2022 | By Jerry Shottenkirk

                        Gulfstream Park’s Late Pick Four on Sunday features a solid allowance optional claiming race, and it, like the others, will have to tapping into your bag of handicapping tricks. It's not easy, but that risk could bring some healthy rewards.

                        Amusing Antics heads a field of filly and mare sprinters going five furlongs on grass in the ninth. The Bill Mott-trained filly will have to work to get into good position and will have to get tied on late to get past a quick group.

                        The suggested Late Pick 4 ticket amounts to $90, and here’s a look at the chosen gang of performers:


                        7th Race (3:37 p.m. ET, starter allowance)

                        RICHY won a N2L claiming race on synth two back and also won over the all-weather at Arlington. Has mixed it up in some good races and has the tactical speed to garner a good trip from the outset. Rider Edwin Gonzalez is hitting 15 percent and can give this one a good trip like many others he’s piloted.

                        Also on the ticket: ZANNO, DETERMINED FURY, THING, HARD COUNT.


                        8th Race (4:11 p.m. ET, claiming)

                        WOW RUN broke his maiden two races ago on the Tapeta and won with complete authority that day. Gets top rider Luis Saez aboard and has the speed to get where he wants to be, even from the outside.

                        Comes off a dull effort against tough rivals on the main track and will welcome a return to the all-weather surface.

                        Also on the ticket: GONE NUTS, ON JET HEIR, LUCAGO.


                        9th Race (4:42 p.m. ET, allowance optional claiming)

                        AMUSING ANTICS finished 2021 with a sharp closing second in a Keeneland allowance that was her first career turf starts. Mott has her training well for her first since October, and the Super Saver filly has gone a positive direction over the past four races of her young career.

                        Will have plenty of pace in this one and she can show her late run under Junior Alvarado.

                        Also on the ticket: WOW, PHANTOM VISION.


                        10th Race (5:14 p.m. ET, maiden claiming)

                        RISK VS REWARD gave way going long on turf last time and weakened for going long on the all-weather two back.

                        She’s back to a sprint on the main track, and while she was unable to sustain a rally in her first two, she was against better company and should welcome the drop in class.

                        Also on the ticket: BOURBON OVER ICE, MY MAN VITO.


                        Gulfstream Park 50-cent Late Pick 4:
                        7) #1 Zanno, #2 Determined Fury, #3 Thing, #6 Hard Count, #8 Richy.
                        8) #1 Gone Nuts, #4 On Jet Heir, #6 Lucago, #8 Wow Run.
                        9) #7 Wow, #8 Phantom Vision, #10 Amusing Antics.
                        10) #4 Bourbon Over Ice, #5 My Man Vito, #10 Risk Vs Reward.
                        The ticket: 1-2-3-6-8 with 1-4-6-8 with 7-8-10 with 4-5-10 ($90).
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 371138

                          #13
                          Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

                          Fair Grounds - Race #2
                          Picks Notes
                          #2 War Tribute He should be a decent price in here, as he's a bit dicey on class with a string of Louisiana Downs claiming races last summer, but he has some pace to use in a spot where the rest might sit off him a bit. Chance to wire them?
                          #8 Im a Cowboy Too He should appreciate the significant class relief here after failing to stay with stakes company last month. His form and style can be inconsistent, but he still shows up with races that seem competitive here.
                          #1 Henning He started to make up a bit of ground before flattening out off the long layoff last out, and that gives him some upside to take a step forward here in this second start off the bench.
                          Race Summary War Tribute's fresh pace might allow him to have a go for it from a good draw near the inside, and he might offer a decent price with some pretty clear class questions to answer.

                          Fair Grounds - Race #7
                          Picks Notes
                          #5 Zap Motion He showed some chasing pace before giving way in the debut try on the turf, but his pedigree is tilted toward the main track, so there might be a bit of upside here in this second start. Right up on the pace today?
                          #6 Speight'spercomete He'll make his North American debut after five tries in Dubai, and he landed a stakes placing two starts back before failing to threaten in the UAE Derby last time out. Obviously the class drop gives him a real claim on this, but a sprint try is still a bit of a question mark.
                          #3 Shanghai Trick He has turned in some forward works ahead of this debut run, and this is a capable team that is having another nice meet here. Wouldn't be a total surprise at first asking, but get a look at him before post time.
                          Race Summary Zap Motion turned in a modest effort in the turf debut, but he might be a bit better here while getting on the main track. He gets a good gate rider up today, so maybe they can make a break for it early.

                          Fair Grounds - Race #8
                          Picks Notes
                          #13 Distractor Factor She's entered as an MTO here, and she can be tough if she's able to run today. She got beat last time out, but her dangerous pace would probably make her tough on the main.
                          #10 Theboyzgalaxy She probably benefits if this race comes over to the main, as her turf form has been spotty, but I liked her last and will hope that it transfers a bit better this time at a solid price.
                          #5 Savvy Shipman She is a reliable finisher, but she tends to settle for underneath pieces, so I'm not sure I'd be too excited to land here at any kind of short price. That said, the form fits for a good barn.
                          Race Summary Distractor Factor can be a handful if this one comes over to the main track, and she can probably turn the tables on Theboyzgalaxy if that happens. Theboyzgalaxy won on the main last out and has rarely turned in good turf efforts, but the price should be right to see if she can hold form.
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 371138

                            #14
                            Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

                            Gulfstream Park - Race #2
                            Picks Notes
                            #7 Midnight Punk Has a stout 14-of-30 record on synthetics and was second at this level last out; tough to catch.
                            #6 Tenacity Zip Woke up with a solid third last out, finishing behind Midnight Punk; can be in close attendance throughout.
                            #8 Red Mule Ran on well for third on the Monmouth turf in September and comes off a four-month hiatus; late threat.
                            Race Summary Midnight Punk is an all-weather specialist and can lead every step of this one.

                            Gulfstream Park - Race #5
                            Picks Notes
                            #2 Mirabell Mei Was mid-pack last out and can make the most of this big class drop; can get into the mix earlier and is a threat to collar the leaders late.
                            #3 Starship Mishka Has kept close in her last five starts, including a win in one of those, and can be a late threat.
                            #7 Sylvanella Ran an even third last out and has been close in her last two under Saez; will get the play and should be out front.
                            Race Summary Mirabell Mei has faced better company and can get a reversal of form on big step down the class ladder.

                            Gulfstream Park - Race #6
                            Picks Notes
                            #6 Ambar Never reached contention in a maiden special on Tapeta and should benefit from the switch to turf and drop to maiden claiming.
                            #8 Only Time Lost by a nose last out and makes her first grass attempt; can be close throughout.
                            #12 Radiant Gem Lost a photo and was claimed last out; makes first for Klesaris in her first drop to maiden claiming.
                            Race Summary Ambar drops out of a tougher race and is likely to improve in her second career start.
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 371138

                              #15
                              Aqueduct Racetrack Selections for January 23, 2022 – Horse Racing Picks

                              By Kyle E in Horse Racing — Jan 23rd, 2022 3:34am PST

                              Aqueduct Racetrack Selections for January 23, 2022 – Horse Racing Picks

                              Off and running on the racetrack with the thoroughbred card in the US on Sunday. If you’re more of an NFL bettor, pretty soon there isn’t going to be any football. Better get used to playing the ponies. That said, I am looking forward to March Madness and the opening of baseball season in the spring.

                              Industry Leading 9% Cashback!

                              The BetOnline racebook has ten racecourses available for wagering on Sunday afternoon. There aren’t any evening cards on the schedule today, with Santa Anita Park and Golden Gate Fields the latest post times.

                              We are now less than a week away from the Pegasus World Cup Invitational at Gulfstream Park. The feature event is a $3,000,000 Grade 1 race, the first big race of the calendar year. As far as today goes, the feature is the $100,000 Busanda Stakes.

                              Aqueduct Racetrack has nine races worth $557,000 in prize money. Head below for our best Aqueduct Racetrack picks on January 23, 2022.
                              Taking Your Horse Race Betting to the Next Level
                              Race 2
                              (1) Little Menace
                              +160 (8/5)
                              (2) Hieroglyphics
                              +2000 (20/1)
                              (3) Striking Speed
                              +2000 (20/1)
                              (4) Zoomer
                              +100 (1/1)
                              (5) Someday Jones
                              +250 (5/2)

                              Post Time: 12:50 p.m. EST
                              Distance:1 Mile
                              Purse:$65,000

                              Race 2 is a mile on the dirt for a $65,000 purse. Look to Little Menace and Zoomer as top contenders to win the second at Aqueduct.

                              Little Menace is 4 for 17 in his career and should compete strongly in this one. He’s finished 7th, 1st, 8th in his previous three attempts.

                              Two races back, Little Menace beat Knight’s Cross by 4 lengths in a $68,000 race. That was a nice go for Little Menace.

                              However, Little Menace went 8th on December 26 in his latest attempt. That was a poor showing in the $100,000 Tenacious Stakes. Back down to $65,000, expect better, though.

                              Zoomer is 8 for 31 in his career and should find this race likable. He’s finished 1st, 4th, 2nd in his last three.

                              Zoomer defeated Amatteroftime by a half-length in a $66,000 race three races back, and then finished 4th for $48,000 on November 16.

                              After that attempt, Zoomer placed 2nd behind Answer In by a neck for $60,000 on December 17. He’s a serious contender, but in a small upset, I like the value better with Little Menace.
                              The Bet
                              (1) LITTLE MEANCE
                              +160
                              Place Bet Now!
                              Race 6
                              (1) Equal Measure
                              +1200 (12/1)
                              (2) Blue Paynt
                              +1200 (12/1)
                              (3) Bee Bit
                              +300 (3/1)
                              (4) Charge Account
                              +250 (5/2)
                              (5) Annika Gold
                              +1000 (10/1)
                              (6) Customerexperience
                              +180 (9/5)
                              (7) Makingcents
                              +600 (6/1)

                              Post Time: 2:48 p.m. EST
                              Distance: 1 Mile
                              Purse:$55,000

                              Race 6 covers a mile on the dirt for a $55,000 purse on Sunday afternoon. The shortlist should include Charge Account and Customerexperience. They are two serious contenders for the top prize in this one.

                              Charge Account is 8 for 24 in her career and should have a fine chance to win this Sunday trip. She has finished 2nd, 1st, 5th, 6th in her previous four outings.

                              Charge Account won three races back in a $42,000 race on July 28. That was a solid performance from Charge Account for a 4 ½ length win.

                              She came back to go 5th in a $100,000 event and then 6th most recently for $100,000 on September 6. Cutting back in grade, look for a good run.

                              Customerexperience is 6 for 18 and looking for her third win in four attempts in this one. She is fresh off a 4 ½ length win in a $50,0000 assignment on December 19.

                              That was a good look from Customerexperience after finishing 4th on October 28 for a $60,000 purse. She was a winner three races ago as well.

                              This looks like a field where Customerexperience should get there at the wire.
                              The Bet
                              (6) CUSTOMEREXPERIENCE
                              +180
                              Place Bet Now!
                              Race 8 – Busanda Stakes
                              (1) Magic Circle
                              +120 (6/5)
                              (2) Waters of Merom
                              +600 (6/1)
                              (3) Morning Matcha
                              +350 (7/2)
                              (4) Gamestonks
                              +800 (8/1)
                              (5) Reigning Chick
                              +1500 (15/1)
                              (6) Rosebug
                              +250 (5/2)

                              Post Time: 3:50 p.m. EST
                              Distance:1 ⅛ Miles
                              Purse:$100,000

                              The $100,000 Busanda Stakes is the biggest stakes race in the US on Sunday afternoon. The Busana goes for 1 ⅛ miles on the dirt covering 1 ⅛ miles.

                              I’d look towards Rosebug and Magic Circle to have a big chance at a winning performance. She has finished 4th, 2nd, 6th, 1st in four races.

                              In her latest attempt, Rosebug beat Diamond Collector by 3 ¾ lengths for an $80,000 purse on December 30. That was a tremendous effort after finishing 6th on December 4 in the same grade.

                              Magic Circle has finished 1st, 4th, 2nd, 3rd in four attempts. As a first-time runner, Magic Circle defeated Love to Run by 4 ¼ lengths for a $100,000 purse on September 5.

                              She returned with an appearance in the $400,000 Frizette Stakes (Gr. 3) a month later. That didn’t go so well, but 4th at that level is acceptable.

                              In her latest race, Magic Circle showed 3rd on December 4 in the $250,000 Demoiselle Stakes (Gr. 2). That was acceptable as well. Down to an ungraded $100,000 assignment, this looks like hers to take down.
                              The Bet
                              (1) MAGIC CIRCLE
                              +120
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