Service Plays Wednesday 1/26/22

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Al DeMarco

Top-Rated 15-Dime Release

SMU

[Longslab242]

Al DeMarco

Top-Rated 15-Dime Release

SMU

thank you

[Can'tPickAWinner]

3 Rivers Sports

CBB
3* #740 Notre Dame -5

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Great Lake Sports

CBB
3* #707 Miami +6.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Adam Trigger

Ole Miss +4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doug Upstone
6 Unit Play Take #537 Memphis -4.5 over San Antonio (8:40 p.m. ET, Wednesday, January 26)

After a blistering hot stretch, Memphis was bound to cool off and they have been alternating wins and losses in their last half dozen starts. Tonight will conclude a four-game road trip for the Grizzles, but the good news is they have not played since Sunday and despite some virus issues, they should be refreshed and ready. Memphis is 6-2 SU and ATS with two days off. San Antonio shot a season-high 57.4% in drumming Houston by 30 last night. Having played yesterday and this a third game in four days, the Spurs might be a younger team, but they are facing an equally young squad that is rested and San Antonio is 8-18 ATS at home when playing six or more games in 10 days and 8-25 ATS at home after one or more SU wins. Memphis on the other hand is 13-5 ATS versus teams making 46% or more of their shots and pulls away in the fourth quarter.

Got five straight yesterday, let's make it ix in a row tonight!

Good Luck, Let's Roll,

Doug

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doug Upstone

2 Unit Play. Take #727 Mercer +1 over Samford (8:00 p.m., Wednesday, January 26)
Both teams have 11-8 records, but Mercer is 5-2 in conference play with Samford 1-6. Mercer beat Samford earlier this month at home, but Samford is 1-10 ATS revenging a same season loss the last three seasons.

2 Unit Play. Take #732 Davidson -3.5 over VCU (8:30 p.m., Wednesday, January 26)
This is usually a great matchup in the A-10, featuring a contrast of styles. VCU is known for its defense and Davidson for its shooting ability. However, the Wildcats are better defensively than in the past which explains their 13-4 ATS mark this season. Also, Davidson is 8-0 ATS versus poor foul-drawing teams attempting 18 or fewer free throws a game.

3 Unit Play. Take #748 Seattle U. -2.5 over S. F. Austin (10:00 p.m., Wednesday, January 26)
Seattle has played the best basketball to this point in the WAC and is a perfect 6-0 in conference play which includes four road wins. The Redhawks have a very experienced team that plays well together and they are a perfect 6-0 ATS after playing a road game this season.
Good Luck, Let's Roll,
Doug

[Can'tPickAWinner]

August Young

4-Unit Play: Take #682 Butler +3 -110 over Creighton (6:30p.m., Tuesday, January 25) Sell-high spot on Creighton that have covered five of their last six games, including three-straight ATS. Butler are just 9-10 SU on the season which includes a 5-12 ATS record but it should be noted that they have played a true murderous row. The Bulldogs rank #4 in overall strength of schedule with opposing teams having an average adjusted offensive efficiency rating of 108.3 and an average adjusted defensive efficiency rating of 98.0. While the Bluejays haven't had the easiest go of things either, this will still be a step down in what Butler have been challenged with for the most part. We should also add that Creighton currenlty rank in the top-50 when it comes to adjusted luck rating and believe we will see the best effort of the season from the Bulldogs who are more than live to win this game outright. Stylistically we like the matchup for Butler and we made this true line much closer to a pickem'.


5-Unit Play: Take #730 Seton Hall -5.5 -110 over Marquette (8:30p.m., Tuesday, January 25) This is a game that fits a trend that focuses on recency bias that we watch closely each and every college basketball season. Teams that are only 20% ATS or worse over their last five games vs. an opponent who is 80% or better ATS over their last five games as well as 60% or better SU are an incredible 58.6% ATS for a +13.5% ROI (with an average cover margin of 1.94). There are some other filters that create this trend but we will keep the secret sauce to ourselves for now. Marquette rank #77 in the country when it comes to point distribution scored from three-point range and is a key reason why they have had so much success this season - however - Seton Hall rank as one of the best teams in the nation when it comes to points allowed from the outside with only .268 percent of opponents points coming from three. This will be the toughest perimeter defending team Marquette has faced and we are yet to see how they will react if they are unable to get their usual shots to fall. The Pirates will be extremely motivated after a dissapointing 84-63 home loss to St. John's as 7-point favorites just a few days ago. Value is on Seton Hall.


4-Unit Play: Take #750 Utah State +1.5 -110 over San Diego State (10:30p.m., Tuesday, January 25) Similar to above - this is another game that fits our recency bias trend. Utah State have lost six of their last seven ATS which includes three-straight losses. The Aztecs on the other hand have covered in five of their last six games by an average margin of 9.33 points. There is no doubt that SDSU are overperforming and due some kind of regression. Utah State have one of the best home-court advantages in all of college basketball ranking #20 (worth approximately four-points to the spread). USU have played the tougher strength of schedule and rank in the bottom-20 when it comes to adjusted luck rating. Are we really ready to say that the Aztecs are 6-points better than the Aggies on a neutral court? I don't think so. We believe this line should be a pickem' at worst so we see more than enough value backing Utah State in this position as home underdogs.


Best of luck - August

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vernon Croy

6-Unit Play - #693-694 Wofford/Chattanooga GAME TOTAL OVER 136.5 -110 (Wednesday, January 26, 2022, 7:00 PM)

Take Wofford/Chattanooga GAME TOTAL OVER as my top college basketball pick for Wednesday night. This pick falls into one my top college basketball systems and I expect a high-scoring game here tonight given the way these 2 teams match up against each other. Wofford has averaged 75.4 points per game this season while shooting 47.7% as a team and they have also shot 50.4% as a team over their last 5 games. Wofford has shot 36.6% as a team from beyond the arc this season and 79.3% from the line on the road this season. Chattanooga has averaged 81 points per game at home this season will shooting 49.3% as a team and they have also shot 38.6% as a team from beyond the arc at home this season. Chattanooga has also shot 75.1% from the line overall the season and they have allowed 68.8 points per game over their last 5 games. Play the OVER as we move to 30-15 with my last 45 college basketball plays.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Allen Eastman

7-Unit Play. Take #681 Creighton (-2.5) over Butler (6:30 p.m., Wednesday, Jan. 26)

I will go with the road team in this game. Creighton is coming off back-to-back double-digit wins over St. John's and DePaul. I think they will continue their hot play here. Butler has gotten off to a terrible start to Big East play. They are just 1-6 in their last seven games and have lost four straight. They are just 1-3 ATS during their four-game losing streak. The Bulldogs have lost three straight home games and this team may have to play without starter Jair Bolden again in this one. Creighton has dominated the last four meetings in this series. They are 3-1 SU and their wins have come by an average of nearly 25 points per game. The Bluejays are 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall. Butler is 1-6 ATS as an underdog and 1-4 ATS at home. They are 0-5 ATS as a home underdog. Take Creighton here.

3-Unit Play. Take #699 SMU (-8) over South Florida (7 p.m., Wednesday, Jan. 26)
SMU has been coming on strong. This team is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games. They are coming off back-to-back solid road wins and beat Memphis on the road last week. I think they will do it again here. South Florida has just one win since league play started. They have 11 losses this season and 9 of them have come by 10 points or more. SMU is on a 8-2 ATS run and they are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games. The Mustangs are 7-1 ATS as a favorite. South Florida has no home court advantage. They are just 6-15 ATS in their last 21 home games. Lay the points.
Allen Eastman

[Dough44]

Big Al

NHL - Wash

[Dough44]

Burns

CBB - Drake

[Dough44]

Any Marco CBB 5% ?

Thx

[daddyofdinger]

SmartMoneySports

2U Tennessee -9.5
2U Butler ML +140
2U Georgia Tech +5.5
3U Xavier -8
3U Seton Hall -6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Big Al
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