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4 Unit Play. Take #101 Over 48.5 in Los Angeles Rams vs Cincinnati Bengals (6:30 p.m., Sunday, February 13 NBC) Both teams have explosive passing games, and expect some points to be scored in this game. The Rams laid an egg on offense last time they made the Super Bowl and expect a much better performance in this game. Both offensives finished in the top 10 in scoring this season. The Bengals have gone over the posted total in 7 of their last 9 games played on turf. Two offensive minded head coaches will allow both teams to score in the twenties has this game goes over the posted total.
7 Unit Play. Take #102 Cincinnati Bengals +4 over Los Angeles Rams (6:30 p.m., Sunday, February 13 NBC) The Bengals have a knack for hanging around in games, and I expect them to take this game down to the wire as well. The Rams have all the pressure on them for this game, as they are playing at home and have a team full of stars. The Bengals have the better quarterback, and if given time to throw the football he will pick apart this Rams secondary. The 49ers had the Rams on the rope and should have won that game if they could have made a play on either side of the football in the fourth quarter (dropped interception and two 3 and outs). The Rams were just 10-9 ATS (1 push) this season, whereas the Bengals are 12-6 (2 pushes) on the season. Take the points as this game, like most of the NFL Playoffs games this season, should go down to the wire.
1 Unit Play. What will be more? USA - Germany Total Men's Hockey goals or Odell Beckham Receptions? Play USA - Germany Total Men's Hockey Goals -140
Beckham had a breakout game last time out against the 49ers in the NFC Championship game, but I do not expect him to repeat that again on Sunday. Olympic Hockey games tend to me played more offensive and this matchup should be no different.
1 Unit Play. Take Cincinnati Bengals (-7.5) +400 over Los Angeles Rams (6:30p.m., Sunday, February 13 NBC) Alternative Point Spread
1 Unit Play. Team with the first charged timeout? Take the Los Angeles Rams -140. The coach of the Rams does not value his timeouts like most coaches do. If he sees something he does not like, it is not afraid to take a timeout early in the game.
1 Unit Play. What will happen first, Bengals score of Bengals punt? Take Bengals score +160.
Best of Luck - Doc's Sports.
The Super Bowl will be played at SoFI Stadium, home of the Rams, although Los Angeles is ironically designated as the "road" team for this game. The Rams (15-5 SU, 10-10 ATS) are coming off a 20-17 win over the 49ers in the NFC Championship game, failing to cover as 3.5-point home favorites. Previously in the postseason, the Rams dominated the Cardinals in the Wild Card round 34-11, easily covering as 3.5-point home favorites and then took down the Bucs 30-27 in the Divisional Round, winning outright as 2.5-point road dogs. Meanwhile, the Bengals (13-7 SU, 13-7 ATS) are coming off a pair of thrilling postseason upsets, shocking the Chiefs 27-24 as 7.5-point dogs in the AFC Championship game and beating the Titans 19-16 in the Divisional round as 4-point road dogs. In the Wild Card round, Cincinnati edged Vegas 26-19, covering as 6-point home favorites.
This line opened with Los Angeles listed as a 3.5-point favorite. Early money has laid the points with the Rams, driving the line up to 4 or even 4.5 at some shops. At BetMGM, the Rams are receiving 58% of bets and 67% of money. Super Bowl teams with line movement in their favor are 11-5 ATS (69%) since 2004. At this point, the Bengals offer value as a contrarian dog with an inflated line in the most heavily bet game of the year. With Super Bowl ticket counts skyrocketing, the public lean toward Los Angeles creates buy-low value to back the unpopular dog.
Joe Burrow is 12-7 ATS (63%) in his career as a dog. The Bengals are 6-3 ATS as a dog this season, including 5-0 ATS when getting three points or more. Super Bowl dogs are 9-5 ATS since 2008. If they're getting 3-points or more, they improve to 8-2 ATS. The Bengals are also in an ideal teaser spot (+4.5 to +10.5), which goes through the key numbers of 3 and 7.
We've also seen wiseguys target the under, dropping the total from 49.5 to 48.5. This signaled a classic reverse line move to the under as the total fell despite a majority of early bets (53%) taking the over. Super Bowl unders are 3-0 the past three seasons. Unders are 8-4 so far this postseason. When the total falls, the under is 57% over the past decade in the playoffs. The Bengals are 3-0 to the under this postseason. The Rams are 2-1 to the under. Both of these teams rank in the bottom half of the NFL in tempo and plays per game.
(-140)DraftKings 101 LOS vs 102 CIN single-dime bet
Analysis:
U13.5 players with a reception -140 (DK/FD/Kambi)
Shop around because few more shops have this as well. Do not play under 13. Fanduel has the best line on this at -115 but rest of market is -140 and -150, so I went with that number
Rams over 3.5 players rushing attempts-255
J Chase - under 6.5 receptions-150
under 2.5 players to attempt a pass -170
under 13.5 players to have a reception-120
Rams to take the last snap -120
C Kupp - most receiving yards in the game +150
Rams most rushing yards in the game-150
Van Jefferson under 2.5 receptions-120
Under jersey number 23.5 to score first TD
McPherson to kick longest FG over Matt Gay -105
Doug Kezirian:
Rams vs Bengals UNDER 9.5 1st Quarter (-120)
Matt Stafford over 5.5 rush yards (-110)
Matt Stafford over 4.5 rush yards (-135)
Joe Mixon first Bengals player to have reception (+350)
Cooper Kupp over 104.5 receiving yards (-120)
Passing/receiving yards leader exacta: Joe Burrow and Cooper Kupp (4-1)
Rams longest score of the game FG (-130)
Both teams to score 2+ TD YES (-250)
Burrow/Kupp/Akers to be Passing/Receicing/Rushing leaders (10-1)
Joe Fortenbaugh:
Rams-4 vs Bengals
Rams vs Bengals over 48.5
Matt Stafford over 2.5 rush attempts (+100)
Rams more time of possession (-135)
Rams 1st TD Type: ANY OTHER TD (not a pass) (+160)
Tyler Fulghum:
Rams-0.5 vs Bengals 1st quarter (+105)
Joe Burrow over 36.5 pass attempts (+105)
Joe Mixon under 16.5 rush attempts (+110)
Tyler Boyd over 40.5 receiving yards (+100)
Matt Gay first player to score (+375)
Passing/receiving yards leader exacta: Joe Burrow and Cooper Kupp (4-1)
Cam Akers over 16.5 rush attempts (-120)
Rams over 0.5 FG in first quarter (+185)
Anita Marks:
Bengals+4 vs Rams
Joe Burrow over 24.5 passing completions (+105)
Joe Mixon under 63.5 rush yards (-110)
Tee Higgins over 68.5 receiving yards (-115)
Defensive/Special teams TD YES (+230)
Passing/receiving yards leader exacta: Joe Burrow and Tee Higgins (10-1)
First TD scored to be TD Yes or NO: YES (-190)
Matt Stafford over 0.5 INT (-160)
BEngals more sacks than Rams (+310)
Erin Kate Dolan:
Rams vs Bengals under 48.5
Joe Burrow under 11.5 rush yards (-120)
Will there be 3 unanswered scores? NO (+175)
Chris “The Bear” Fallica:
Tee Higgins any time TD (+120)
Leonard Floyd to record a sack YES (+130)
Stanford Steve Coughlin:
Cooper Kupp, Kendall Blanton, Samaje Perine to score TD (28-1)
Successful 2-point conversion: YES (+280)
Brady Quinn:
Joe Burrow MVP (+220)
Todd Fuhrman:
Rams ML-200
1st Half Under 23.5
Bengals 1st scoring play FG (+150
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