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Vernon Croy
7-Unit Play - #679-680 St. Louis/George Mason GAME TOTAL OVER 136.5-110 (Wednesday, February 2, 2022, 7:00 PM)
Take Saint Louis/George Mason GAME TOTAL OVER as my top college basketball pick for Wednesday night. This pick falls into one of my top college basketball systems and I expect a high scoring game here given the way these two teams match up against each other. Saint Louis has averaged 79.3 points per game this season while shooting 46% as a team and they have also allowed 75.4 points per game on the road this season with opponents shooting 46.4% against them. St. Louis has also shot 37.7% as a team from beyond the arc on the road the season and 80.6% from the line with opponents shooting 35.2% against them from beyond the arc on the road. George Mason has averaged 71.2 points per game at home the season while shooting 48% as a team including 36.4% from beyond the arc at home the season. George Mason has also shot over 50.9% in four of their last five games overall. Play the OVER and make sure you get on my top NBA Play that goes Wednesday night.
Scott Spreitzer
7-Unit Play:Take 563 Grizzlies -3.5 over Knicks (7:40 p.m., Wednesday, Feb. 2)
The Knicks whipped the Kings on Monday but the level of competition goes way up tonight and New York has covered just one of their last eight at home against teams with a winning road record. Memphis has covered 14 of their last 18 road games and should handle a Knicks' team ranked 27th in ppg, 27th in FG percentage, and 25th in FT shooting. Memphis lost last time out in a tough spot but they're on a 4-0 SU/ATS run off their last four losses, winning by an average margin of 12.5 ppg. Memphis enters having won 16 of their last 20 games outright (15-5 ATS). I'm laying the points with the Grizzlies on Wednesday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
4-Unit Play: Take 721 Villanova -4.5 over Marquette (10 p.m., Wednesday, Feb. 2)
Villanova has won nine of their last 10 games with the lone loss coming to Marquette. The Golden Eagles won 57-54 on the strength of a 13-29, 45% night from the 3-point line. In fact, they outscored the Wildcats 39-18 from the arc yet only won by three in a low scoring game. Marquette is a decent shooting team but Villanova is very good at defending the trey and I expect a better outcome tonight. Jay Wright's 'Cats are 6th and 19th in offensive and defensive adjusted efficiency and they're decent when it comes to turnover percentage at both ends of the floor. I'm backing Villanova on Wednesday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
4 Units - #695 Bradley (+4.5) vs Northern Iowa *8 EST
I like the Braves on the road here. They have won 4 straight in conference action and have the vastly better defense, a big edge on the boards, and Northern Iowa is treading water as of late and not playing well. The defense of Bradley is solid and NIU will struggle here. Two teams in different places right now a huge game for Bradley in the conference standings being 1 game out of 2nd place, behind NIU and Mo State. I have Bradley power rated higher in the conference. It took Mo Valley leader Loyola of Chicago OT at home against the Braves to beat them. Live dog here who is 4-0 ATS as a road dog their last 4 road games and 5-1 ATS their last 6 as an underdog overall. The Braves are a feisty bunch.
3 Units - #721 / #722 Marquette / Villanova (UNDER 132.5) *10 EST
With Villanova's tempo / pace being one of the slowest in CBB and the style of defense that Marquette plays, what would you expect here but a low scoring slugfest. Marquette can play half court defense well, and Nova is not a run and gun team and even in transition they pull the ball up and set up the offense, because Nova loves to control the pace of the game, they always have under their heads coach. Nova 5-1 ATS against teams with a winning record their last 6 games and Marquette is 5-0 ATS on Unders their last 5 games, and also 5-0 ATS on Unders as an underdog. Nova's 17th ranked defense and slow pace here is key.
5 Units - #679 St Louis (PK ) vs George Mason *7 EST
Half the outlets are +1 here for St Louis. I am posting a consensus at Pick'em. Take the Billikens of St. Louis tonight over the Patriots of George Mason as our Top CBB play of the week. This St. Louis team has everything an NCAAB Tournament caliber & even Sweet 16 style of team needs in their arsenal in order to make those runs come mid-March. They are extremely fast, and they get foul line to foul line quicker than possibly any team in America.
I've watched a lot of film on George Mason this week to prepare for this pick, and Mason has had a lot of bounces fall their way in terms of winning Basketball games early on this year. That said- they are absolutely starting to get a little bit exposed here as they approach the belly of the beast, middle of the A-10 schedule.
St. Louis has the size, the talent, the depth, the speed, and the shear athleticism that First Year Patriot HC Kim English (to absolutely no fault of his own) simply has not been given the time he needs to build this roster to compete with the upper echelon of Atlantic Ten Program. The Patriots have an incredible win over the Bonnies at home, and all credit to them on that one. They caught Dayton sleep walking as Dayton failed to break the 50 point mark for the first time in 7 years under HC Anthony Grant (and probably even longer than that) they then beat the two worst team in the A-10 in St. Joseph's & Fordham, and barely scraped by those two. And speaking of worst teams in the Atlantic 10- George Washington currently hold that namesake and what just happened? Mason just let GW into their own house and GW came out the front door with their first A-10 win and A-10 road win of their entire season! Meanwhile St. Louis just beat them two weeks ago by 20 plus in DC.
St Louis plays (very what I would call) angry defense- they man you up hard, they bump you off the ball and the block on cuts and screens, they have the luxury of switching on every single solitary ball screen due to their size advantage, and play a very intense old school 1-2-2 full court trap that HC Travis Ford leaned from his times while Tubby Smith was at the helm down in KY of the Big Blue.
St. Louis and their style of play on both ends, no doubt gives this George Mason team serious problems. And don't think for a second that St. Louis doesn't know what is at stake here with a win tonight. For the Billikens- it's very simple mathematics- win tonight and jump five spots in the A-10 Conference Standings, and grab the #2 Strong-hold right behind AP #24 Davidson, and current A-10 #1 seed. St. Louis won't have the best player on the floor playing for them tonight- they will have the three best players on the floor wearing the Blue & White- Yuri Collins, Gibson Jimerson, and Freddie Thatch are the Top 3 players in the building tonight. And they all play for Travis Ford and his meticulous, methodical, and extremely hard working coaching staff.
It's all about the Louie tonight down in Fairfax, VA. Back the Billikens.
7-Unit Play. Take #667 Arkansas (-10) over Georgia (7 p.m., Wednesday, Feb. 2)
Georgia is just 6-15 SU this year and 7-14 ATS. They are the worst team in the SEC. They have won just one of their last 10 games and they are just 2-4 ATS in their last six games. Arkansas is one of the hottest teams in the league. They have won six straight and are 5-1 ATS during this winning streak. The Razorbacks have won their last two road games and should do it again here. Georgia does not have a strong home court advantage. The Bulldogs are just 4-12 ATS in their last 12 home games. Arkansas is 4-1 ATS as a favorite and 5-2 ATS as a road favorite. The favorite is 5-2 ATS in this series. Take Arkansas here.
Allen Eastman
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