Service Plays Monday 2/7/22

[Can'tPickAWinner]

August Young

7-Unit Play: Take #004 Ottawa Senators -130 over New Jersey Devils (7:05p.m., Monday, February 7) The Devils have lost six-straight, and nine of their last ten games. Usually that would be a buy-low spot, but we are lucky that they are matching up against a Senators team that have only won one of their last three themselves, and four of their last ten. The Devils have struggled all season keeping the puck out of the net. They will still be without Mackenzie Blackwood, Dougie Hamilton and Jack Hughes. This will be the front end of a back-to-back for New Jersey who will be in Montreal tomorrow. Simply put, Ottawa are the better team. They've shown plenty of bright spots, including hanging with the likes of Carolina, Washington and Edmonton. Murray and Forsberg have been solid in net for the most part and the fact NJ will be without Hughes creates a huge hole in the Devils lineup. We love this spot for the Sens as we made this true line closer to -160.


Best of luck - August

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Oskeim

Big 12 GOM Texas + 1.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Worlds Worst Picker CBB
Peabody’s picks
Virginia
Kansas

We take
Duke
Texas

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Executive

250 JMU +4.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

LMM Sports

2 team 6 pt teaser. Jackson St. and Furman.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doug Upstone
2 Unit Play. Take #898 North Dakota State -6.5 over South Dakota (8:00 p.m. ET, Monday, February 7)
This would have been a bigger play, but the spread is going against us, thus, I made it to reflect the current number. South Dakota lost 11 days to N.D. State 74-62 as two-point home underdogs and the bad news on them is they 0-7 ATS revenging a home setback, losing by 12.6 PPG. Additionally, road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like the Coyotes, a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after a combined score of 165 points or more, are 17-54 ATS.
Off another winning day, now on a 62.5% run in college hoops.
Good Luck, Let's Roll,
Doug

[Can'tPickAWinner]

August Young
3-Unit Play: Take #876 Mercer +4.5 -110 over Chattanooga (7:00p.m., Monday, February 7) Immediate revenge spot for Mercer that came up short in Chattanooga just a few days ago. The Bears covered the number in that matchup despite losing the second half by double-digits after the Mocs put up 45 points. Despite Chattanooga's 9-4 record away from home, they have waivered a little going 2-2 SU in their last four road games which includes a 1-3 ATS record. Mercer have been one of the better home teams in the conference with a 9-2 home record covering 55% of those games. We think they are being overlooked in this spot and have all the tools needed to win this game SU.


1-Unit Play: Take #876 Mercer +165 (Moneyline) over Chattanooga (7:00p.m., Monday, February 7) As we mentioned in the above analysis - we think Mercer get this one done outright, therfore we will sprinkle a little something on the ML.


3-Unit Play: Take #885 James Madison +4 -110 over Drexel (7:00p.m., Monday, February 7) James Madison have covered two-straight, including a close over-time loss at Hofstra as 7.5-point underdogs. Prior to these two covers, they lost six in a row ATS and the market has not caught up yet to their recent performances which we have been impressed by. Drexel on the other hand, have covered three of their last four games but showed some concerning chinks in their armor in their last home games losing outright as 15-point favorites to William & Mary who managed to put up 83 points. The Dragons have struggled most of the season against higher paced teams and we expect today to be no different againt the Dukes that rank #57 in all of college basketball in overall adjusted tempo. Value on JMU who we believe win this game SU.


1-Unit Play: Take #885 James Madison +155 (Moneyline) over Drexel (7:00p.m., Monday, February 7) Similar to our Mercer analysis above we will split our position between the spread and Moneyline as we see the Dukes winning this one outright.


4-Unit Play: Take #906 Montana -2 -110 over Southern Utah (9:00p.m., Monday, February 7) This one scares us a little as it feels like the square play of the day from all the tickets we see coming in on Montana but we can't help it. Southern Utah have played the weakest strength of schedule in all of colelge basketball and are still somehow only 6-13 ATS. The Grizzlies are undefeated at home and we don't believe the Thunderbirds are the ones to knock them off. This line indiciates that Southern Utah would be a one-point favorite on neutral court and that's something we can't get behind. Let's go Grizz!


Best of luck - August

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Your Daily Capper

NCAAB

Virginia +12 Buy Half Point
UNC Greensboro -4 Buy Half Point
Kansas Moneyline
SE Missouri State Moneyline

(All 1U)

[BigMoneyMan4]

Ben Burns

Monday NBA Best Bet (10*) > 40-15 ATS Record
Charlotte Hornets +2.5

These teams met on 1/25, at Toronto. Playing at home, the Raptors won and covered. With this evening's rematch being played at Charlotte, I expect the revenge-minded Hornets to return the favor. Yes, the Raptors have played well since the earlier meeting and they're off a big win. Those results have been factored in to the line though as we're now able to get Charlotte as an underdog, as a result. Also, note that Toronto is just 3-8 ATS when off a double-digit win. The Hornets were -2.5 point favorites the last time that they hosted the Raptors. They won by 10. On the season, the Hornets are 14-10 (15-9 ATS) at home, the Raptors are 12-11 on the road. A few recent losses notwithstanding, the Hornets are 17-7 ATS their last 24 against teams with a winning record. The Hornets are also 9-5 ATS off a double-digit loss and 8-4-1 ATS (9-4 SU) after having allowed 105 or fewer points, in their previous game. Expect them to bounce back and cool off the Raptors.

Big Monday 10* Top Gun ($124K Profit)
Northern Colorado -10

I'm playing on NORTHERN COLORADO. These teams just met on Saturday, at Northern Arizona. The Lumberjacks had a great shot at holding serve at home, as they had a 5-point lead at halftime. Ultimately, however, the Bears won by three. Having come that close, only to fall short, stings and will take a toll on the Lumberjacks. They had their opportunity to salvage a split in this 2-game home-and-home series but they failed to capitalize. Now, that opportunity has passed them by. The Bears are the superior team and they're considerably stronger at home. They average 82.2 ppg (48.8% field goals) here. The Lumberjacks, on the other hand, average 62.7 ppg (38.6% field goals) on the road. With an O/U line currently in the high 140s, note that the Lumberjacks are 0-4-1 ATS (0-5 SU) the past five times that they played a road game with an O/U line ranging from 145 to 149.5. The Bears had their wake-up call Saturday. Tonight, they'll deliver a blowout.

Thanks to everyone that posts service plays on here; again, posting what I have out of appreciation. Good luck everybody.
Also, meant to post this earlier but just realized it hadn't posted.

[Davejr81]

GUS AUGUSTINE

TODAY'S PLAY
The Pick: 50 Dime Over Arizona-Arizona State


The Line: At 11:30 am eastern, the line is 142 points

[Davejr81]

KIRBY MAXWELL

TODAY'S PLAY
RATING: 40 Dime


PLAY: Texas Longhorns


LINE: At 11:45 am eastern, the line is +1 1/2 points.