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5 Georgia Tech -2.5
4 Temple -4.5
4 Northern Iowa -2.5
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3 St. John's +10.5
3 Wisconsin +1.5
5 Georgia Tech -2.5
4 Temple -4.5
4 Northern Iowa -2.5
ATS Financial Package
3 St. John's +10.5
3 Wisconsin +1.5
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Re: 2-8-09
Craig Davis
20 Dime ---- DAYTON
10 Dime ---- PENN STATE
5 Dime ---- PACERS
DAYTON --- This game has the feel of yesterday’s Butler/Wright State contest in so many ways. One team (the road team) is clearly superior with better athletes, a better record, better coaching, etc. Yet for some reason they are only laying a very small number. No matter, I’ll take it. The Fliers, though not recently blowing teams out, have lost just twice all season and continue to find ways to win, even when they don’t play their best basketball. Folks, they won’t need their best basketball this afternoon as it will take a near-perfect game from the 49ers just to stay competitive. NC Charlotte has lost more games than they’ve won at home and are a money burning 5-14-1 ATS on the year.
One might point to Dayton’s 8-10 ATS record as a reason to stay away from this team, but I beg to differ. First off, let’s not forget this is the same Dayton team that handed Marquette its worst loss of the season… an 89-75 setback in December. Secondly, Dayton’s record has recently drawn some double digit lines from Vegas, and though they are winning games, they simply aren’t blowing teams out. Well, we don’t need them to blow Charlotte out today --- we just need an advantage of a couple of buckets. Seriously, that shouldn’t be a problem is they can handle an early run that Charlotte always brings to the table.
The Niners finally seem to have things clicking on offense, but their bench is the thinnest in the A10 because of injuries and the fact their point guard quit the team right before the season started. In their last game, Charlotte had three players log over 31 minutes of action. Compare that to Dayton who will use all 12 guys on an even rotation… talk about fresh bodies!!! This one’s a laugher as Dayton comes to Charlotte and wins by double figures.
PENN STATE --- I haven’t played many Big 10 games this year, but the ones I do play I’ve been all over (Indiana SU over Iowa was my last) the right side. This one has mismatch written all over it and I think we’re getting tremendous line value… for whatever reason. I guess the fact that Penn State had its four-game conference winning streak snapped by Michigan (in a big way) Wednesday night forces Vegas to bring this line to a near pick ‘em. How quickly we forget the Lions’ 4-point win in East Lansing or their 10-point win over Indiana or the fact they beat Michigan (at home) by 15 just a few weeks ago. We live in a society that says “what have you done for me lately”… and the Nits got schooled by 20 in their last outing.
But let’s also not forget that game was on the road, and it’s simply not easy to win away from home in the Big 10 Conference. Penn State is 13-3 at home this season, winning and covering four of their last five in Happy Valley. Wisconsin, on the other hand, simply forgets how to play basketball when they leave Madison as they have a dismal 3-6 road record (including a 1-4 record in their last five). Not only are they losing games SU but they also haven’t been able to find the money, failing to cover in three of their last four roadies. All we need this afternoon is a Penn State SU win and we’ll get the cover. Shouldn’t be too difficult as they pull away in the second half to win, 65-56.
INDIANA PACERS --- While everyone else is trying to figure out if the Cavaliers can remain unbeaten at home vs. the Lakers today, we’re going to take the “easy route” today and give you a much easier, yet not as exciting, pointspread winner on Indiana at Washington. If you were with me Friday night you know I gave you the Nuggets minus the small number vs. the Wizards in an easy 123-104 win for the road team. Today, the Wizards could again be without their major players while attempting to slow down an Indiana team that is in desperate need of another win as they attempt to build on their 107-102 upset win over Orlando Friday night. Before that the Pacers had dropped three straight to the Knicks, TWolves and Sixers despite scoring in triple digits in two of those three.
As I’ve mentioned before, sometimes a play/selection is as much AGAISNT a team as it is FOR the one we are playing. Today, that rings true as I’m not sure I’d play the Wizards against anyone as badly as they’ve been playing, not to mention the injuries they’ve suffered recently. Washington has dropped seven of their last eight SU, burning cash in six of those eight. They aren’t scoring points and they aren’t playing defense so, really, what chance do they have to keep up with the high-powered Pacers offense? In my opinion… none. Take the Pacers for the easy win.Comment
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Re: 2-8-09
Michael Cannon
Sunday's Plays...
25 Dime –
PENN STATE
Take Penn State as the small home chalk this afternoon over Wisconsin.
This is not like the Wisconsin editions of past seasons. The Badgers offense has been erratic all season and it’s due in large part to the graduation of 6-11 center Brian Butch.
Wisconsin hasn’t been able to replace Butch with an inside presence and they’ve struggled to gain any consistency this year.
Penn State has been very good against the number in conference play this year, going 8-3-1 ATS in the last 12 games. The Nittany Lions are also 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 at home.
The Badgers knocked off Illinois 63-50 on Thursday which ended a six-game losing streak. Wisconsin is just 1-5-1 ATS in its last seven.
Take Penn State minus the small number as they grab the home win and cover.
15 Dime –
GEORGIA TECHComment
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Re: 2-8-09
NSA's Selection
CBB St Joe's @ Massachusetts 3:00 20* St Joe's +1.5
CBB Purdue @ Illinois 1:00 10* Purdue +2.5
CBB Creighton @ No Iowa 2:00 10* No Iowa -1.5
CBB Dayton @ NC Charlotte 1:00 10* Dayton -2.5
NBA San Antonio @ Boston 1:00 10* San Antonio +7.5
NBA LA Lakers @ Cleveland 3:30 10* Cleveland -4.5Comment
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Re: 2-8-09
Handicapper: Michael Alexander
Los Angeles Lakers vs. Cleveland Cavaliers (NBA) - 3:30 PM EST Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: -4.5/-103 Cleveland Cavaliers Play Title: Play on Cleveland
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
Rating: 2 Units
CLEVELAND is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) as a home favorite this season.
CLEVELAND is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) after a game committing 8 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=43% over the last 2 seasons.
Handicapper: Michael Alexander
San Antonio Spurs vs. Boston Celtics (NBA) - 1:00 PM EST Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: 7.5/-105 San Antonio Spurs Play Title: Play on San Antonio
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
Rating: 2 Units
BOSTON is 14-30 ATS (-19.0 Units) after scoring 100 points or more 4 straight games since 1996.
BOSTON is 53-78 ATS (-32.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 9-2 straight up on the road against BOSTON since 1996.
Handicapper: Michael Alexander
Charlotte Bobcats vs. Miami Heat (NBA) - 6:05 PM EST Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: 7.5/100 Charlotte Bobcats Play Title: Play on Charlotte
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
Rating: 2 Units
MIAMI is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in home games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 2-16 ATS (-15.6 Units) after playing 2 consecutive games as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.
Handicapper: Michael Alexander
Alabama vs. LSU (NCAAB) - 1:00 PM EST Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: -12.5/-106 LSU Play Title: Play on LSU
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
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Re: 2-8-09
Andrew Powers Guaranteed Selections
Date: Sunday, February 08, 2009
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829 Louisville -10.5 1:30 ESTComment
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