Saturday 2/19/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

---

Fair Grounds - Race #10

#5 Miles D	He ran okay with some tough company in last year's Travers Stakes, and he should be able to land a pretty good trip while spying the splits in a race where some of the main players want to run from further off it.
#4 Olympiad	His only stakes try came in Grade I company, and he looks like a decent fit here for a really capable team. Tactical speed should get the first over run on anything from off the pace.
#8 O Besos	He has always done really good work here and was in with some decent groups last year on the Derby trail. He has shown just a touch of versatility in the past, and he's an off the pace threat for a piece.
Race Summary	Thinking one of the more tactical threats will land this, and Miles D looks like a good fit with these from close range. The underneath spots look tricky in a race with a lot of capable finishing types who might be along for a piece.

Fair Grounds - Race #11

#3 Santin	Lightly raced runner will make his 4yo debut here with a couple wins and a really nice Grade I runner-up finish in just three starts. He's a finisher, but he doesn't have to drop all the way out of this early, and he may be an appealing enough price.
#6 Adhamo	Tough to discount anything this barn brings anywhere, but he's probably a bit overbet with these. He has been hit or miss at times, but obviously he has some intrigue for a top team while making his North American debut.
#11 Two Emmys	He couldn't hold late after darting away in the lane with some of these last time out, but he has really been turning in consistent efforts for more than a year now, and he's a danger up top again even from this wide draw.
Race Summary	Santin may yet have some upside with just three starts under his belt, and he ran a good one when trying stakes company for the first time in the Hollywood Derby. Willing to give him a look with these.

Fair Grounds - Race #13

#5 Epicenter	He might have to deal with another forward player or two, but he stayed on well last time out despite setting too quick a pace. His ability to sit just a touch off it also works in his favor if anyone else wants to go. Dangerous today.
#8 Smile Happy	He has been awesome through two starts, but he's the early Derby favorite and does not need to be cranked up for this. Can see him winning on talent alone, but he's a pretty solid bet-against for me today.
#10 Slow Down Andy	He comes out of a nice win at Los Al, and he's quick enough to find a really good spot right up top while drawing wide today. Think something like his last might do the trick.
Race Summary	Tough race here, but Epicenter gets the call off a good run in the first leg of the local derby prep series. Perhaps he gets a more leisurely tempo to deal with while adding some ground today.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

---

Freehold - Race #2

#6 RED DIRT BOOMER	Can handle class hike with duplicate of latest.
#3 DEPENDLEBURY A	Got up for third at 46-1, gets pace to run at.
#4 IDEAL SUSPECT	In good form for high-percentage connections.
Race Summary	Red Dirt Boomer worked to clear to the lead before the half-mile marker, widened when asked, held safe for the win and galloped out strongly. Let's make him today's Best Bet to repeat.

Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #5

#4 SOMETIME SOMEWHERE	Loves to win, did well to hold third behind late-running top pair at this level.
#1 SWEET DEISEL	Solid numbers, moves outside in, gets Filion.
#6 POINTS NORTH	Exits preferred company, won in similar spot three starts ago.
Race Summary	Sometime Somewhere chased and got past the fleet-footed favorite but settled for third after the deep closers passed by. He will need his A-game to try and enhance a 16-57 record. Play 4-1 and 4-6 exactas.

Pocono Downs - Race #1

#6 DREAM OF LUCK	Classy 8yo held well under demanding fractions two back, lures Napolitano.
#2 MARCO BEACH	Front-end tactics failed, Kakaley's choice over the morning-line favorite.
#5 AMERICA'S GUEST	Made last-to-first move at the Meadows, led most of way in two January starts.
Race Summary	Dream of Luck, no factor from post 8 in a fast heat at Miami Valley, could prove best of the out-of-towners with a duplicate of his race two back. He chased the odds-on favorite and held second through a :55.2 back half. Play 6-2 and 6-5 exactas.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

---

Gulfstream Park - Race #2

#3 Beauty Queen	Lost all chance at the start of her last one and had been in good form; late threat.
#4 Pretty Rachel	Excels when she gets to the front end and has a good chance at it today; comes off an easy win.
#6 Chez Paree	Drops back to a more comfortable level and can pick up a lot of pieces late.
Race Summary	Beauty Queen can get a better start and will make a solid run against a fast pace.

Gulfstream Park - Race #5

#5 Danzatale	Beat N2L company last out and has the adjustable running style to make her a threat from any part of the pack.
#6 Keitany	Rallied mildly in her last two and can get going earlier against this group; chance at a price.
#7 Sylvanella	Looms at great danger on the front end and has been on the board in her last five.
Race Summary	Danzatale dug in when challenged last out and can be competitive in this step up in conditions.

Gulfstream Park - Race #7

#3 Frenchmen Street	Won two straight then was mid-pack last time; hasn't been taken seriously, as his wins yielded prices of 10-1 and 12-1 lately. Good finisher much of the time.
#4 City Drifter	Finished well and missed by a nose to Frenchmen Street last time out; is a solid 3 of 8 on synthetic surfaces.
#5 Cuy	Faltered late and wound up third in her first over this strip this year and can improve in her return.
Race Summary	Frenchmen Street has been in mostly good form lately and is game enough to answer the call at this level.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Interstate Racing Tips – February 19th

Home - Featured - Interstate Racing Tips – February 19th

RSN927

RSN Form Analyst Kevin Casey covers all the daily racing tips for the NSW meeting at the Rosehill featuring the Group 2 Hobartville Stakes on Saturday the 19th of February.

Along with our Interstate Racing Tips, you’ll find Greyhound and Harness Tips, plus a full preview of every Victorian meeting, each and every day of the week with RSN927’s Expert Tipsters and race-callers.

Rail Position: True
Track Type: Turf
Track Condition: Soft 6
Weather: Overcast
Penetrometer: 5.42
Kevin Casey Rosehill Tips

Rosehill, 19th February 2022

Race 1 Selections: 6,18,5,1
Race 2 Selections: 3,1,2,4
Race 3 Selections: 2,11,10,9
Race 4 Selections: 6,8,1,3
Race 5 Selections: 7,9,1,6
Race 6 Selections: 11,14,1,13
Race 7 Selections: 1,13,2,11
Race 8 Selections: 1,5,2,4
Race 9 Selections: 4,12,9,7
Race 10 Selections: 3,10,11,6
Best Bet

Race 10 – 3. Dajraan
Value

Race 6 – 11. Ojai
Quaddie

Quaddie 1: 1,2,8,11,13
Quaddie 2: 1
Quaddie 3: 4,7,9,12
Quaddie 4: 3,10,11

SKY Race caller Josh Fleming covers all the daily racing tips for the QLD meeting at the Sunshine Coast on Saturday the 19th of February.

Along with our Interstate Racing Tips, you’ll find Greyhound and Harness Tips, plus a full preview of every Victorian meeting, each and every day of the week with RSN927’s Expert Tipsters and race-callers.

Rail Position: True Entire Course
Track Type: Turf
Track Condition: Good 4
Weather: Fine
Josh Fleming Sunshine Coast Tips

Sunshine Coast, 19th February 2022

Race 1 Selections: 5,3,4,8
Race 2 Selections: 5,3,6,1
Race 3 Selections: 3,2,6,8
Race 4 Selections: 4,10,3,2
Race 5 Selections: 5,3,2,1
Race 6 Selections: 1,4,3,8
Race 7 Selections: 5,7,6,2
Race 8 Selections: 13,3,9,6
Race 9 Selections: 1,13,14,2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Quick Picks for February 19, 2022

Aqueduct Racetrack (NYRA)
Race #1- #2 EUDAIMONIA; #7 BOOM ROASTED; #1 MIDMON
Race #2- #3 UNO; #4 MATTY’S MARAUDER; #7 BLACK IRISH
Race #3- #5 COST BASIS; #2 ANSWER IN; #4 SMOOTH B
Race #4- #7 OH MY BELLE; #8 DINI’S DESTINY; #4 MRS. BANKS
Race #5- #5 TRUE EMPRESS; #7 CELINE THE QUEEN; #8 DARN THAT SONG
Race #6- #5 MAJESTIC TIGER; #7 GHOSTMON; #3 BREAKING STONES
Race #7- #1A BAD GUY; #4 GANDY DANCING; #5 SICILIA MIKE
Race #8- #2 WUDDA U THINK NOW; #4 MY BOY TATE; #5 SOUTH AFRICA
Race #9- #4 SABREEN; #2 MONDEUSE; #8 PHENOMENAL WOMAN


Charles Town Racing
Race #1- #6 SISTER JOANN; #3 CHARITABLE MISS; #5 SISTER SECRET LEE
Race #2- #2 BEACH BANKER; #3 KASHAN; #6 TAQSEEMAAT
Race #3- #6 DUNLUCE CAISSLE; #5 THE DON OF SQUAN; #1 HERCULES HARBOR
Race #4- #1 LADY MACHO; #5 CHINA CAT; #2 MORALITY CLAUSE
Race #5- #8 FLASH OF DAY; #2 BUCKS LODGE; #3 BEING ME
Race #6- #3 MISS WAVE; #6 NAJWA; #4 C V’S CAMPFIRE
Race #7- #5 WINDSOR’S PLAY; #7 YOLO CHARLOTTE; #3 TRIPLE GALA
Race #8- #6 THE BIG K; #4 NATIVE COURAGE; #10 HANDS DOWN


Delta Downs
Race #1- #6 THE KUKRI; #3 COACH HUDSON; #4 MISCHEVIOUS ROBERT
Race #2- #3 OUR AMEN; #1 STREAMER; #1A C. F. SHELAUH
Race #3- #11 MISS EMMA JEAN; #3 YES I’M A LADY; #4 ZIPITY
Race #4- #8 FAMOUS YANKEE; #4 CORN POP; #1 TWO B
Race #5- #6 CABRO TORO; #2 BIG JABOT; #1 HEARTTHROB HALO
Race #6- #1A BIND ME UP; #1 TESUQUE; #6 MEMORY MAGIC
Race #7- #9 SAMS TIME; #8 THATSAFACTJACK; #5 BLACK SWORD
Race #8- #1A COMMANDER SCOTT; #10 HUFFS TAZ A BOO; #1 COCO’S MAN
Race #9- #3 DRIED PEPPER; #7 ROUX GA ROUX; #6 POWERSHOT


Fair Grounds Race Course
Race #1- #6 HONEYSUCKLEDELIGHT; #1 CANADA’S CUSTOMS; #5 ISN’T IT TIME
Race #2- #9 RATHER BE LUCKY; #2 INDIGO MISS; #1 LADY ARSINOE
Race #3- #5 MAZUMA; #7 MORE THAN WORK; #10 ALMANZO
Race #4- #5 VINTAGE VINYL; #3 ART HEIST; #7 EYE DEE KAY
Race #5- #6 EL SOCIO; #7 CARILLO; #11 BLUE LOU BOYLE
Race #6- #1 BOSS’ DIALIN IN; #5 VINCO; #3 STRONG QUALITY
Race #7- #2 JUST MIGHT; #6 TORO STRIKE; #1 COWAN
Race #8- #6 CYBERKNIFE; #1A STRAVA; #5 KUPUNA
Race #9- #3 ABSCOND; #6 ADELAIDE MISS; #1 PASS THE PLATE
Race #10- #5 MILES D; #1 SPRAWL; #7 MIDCOURT
Race #11- #10 LARGENT; #11 TWO EMMYS; #6 ADHAMO
Race #12- #11 HIDDEN CONNECTION; #5 DIVINE HUNTRESS; #9 AWAKE AT MIDNYTE
Race #13- #8 SMILE HAPPY; #1 PAPPACAP; #9 BODOCK


Golden Gate Fields
Race #1- #6 NIGHT PROOF; #1 YOU’RE THE CAUSE; #3 EVEN STEVEN
Race #2- #2 JEDI KNIGHT; #1 ALLEYCAT; #7 DARCEE’S LOVI DOVI
Race #3- #3 LUCK’S ROYAL FLUSH; #4 PAPPY BOYINGTON; #2 EXCEED SPEED LIMIT
Race #4- #2 ACAI; #5 ELGOFRANCO; #4 GRAZEN DEB
Race #5- #5 DON’T TELL HYDEE; #6 HAPPY AT SHADY; #2 HAYDEN’S ANGEL
Race #6- #1 SHERILINDA; #4 BLUE DIVA; #3 CREATIVE ROMANCE
Race #7- #1 LAGATHA; #2 SEEMS LOGICAL; #7 TEN THE SMART WAY
Race #8- #7 I’LL STAND TALLER; #3 IN OUR A; #4 RIDING WITH DINO
Race #9- #2 MINOSO; #3 REGAL BORN; #4 POTENTE ALBA


Gulfstream Park
Race #1- #4 BLUTO’S CANDY; #5 JARDANI; #7 MACHO TIME
Race #2- #4 PRETTY RACHEL; #6 CHEZ PAREE; #2 LUNAR BLAST
Race #3- #8 SHEA D CAPTURE; #4 PORK CHOP; #3 STARTING UP
Race #4- #7 ELLIEREESEASTON; #3 SHEZA SAVAGE; #1 SNACKSTER
Race #5- #7 SYLVANELLA; #3 UPTOWN QUEEN; #4 NO DOWN DAYS
Race #6- #1 BIG INVASION; #6 SOSUA SUMMER; #4 MR. EXTENSION
Race #7- #7 SENOR JOBIM; #5 CUY; #4 CITY DRIFTER
Race #8- #2 SMOKIN BOW; #5 PACO’S PICO; #1 BATTER UP BUD
Race #9- #7 TRACY ANN’S LEGACY; #3 HIT THE WOAH; #6 ZIA’S SONG
Race #10- #4 UHTRED; #5 JEHA; #1 DEVOTED KITTEN
Race #11- #6 DRAIN THE CLOCK; #5 DIAMOND OOPS; #4 MILES AHEAD
Race #12- #9 QUANTUM THEORY; #10 KOOSMAN; #7 MALIBU TIME


Laurel Park
Race #1- #7 MINNETONKA; #3 TORCH CARRIER; #5 FEARLESS LASSIE
Race #2- #2 PASCAL CHANT; #3 SUBJECT TO CHANGE; #4 WHIRLIN CURLIN
Race #3- #10 RHUMJAR; #3 REMEMBERING WILBUR; #2 HOWARD’S ROCK
Race #4- #1 LUNA BELLE; #6 QUALY; #5 BENEATH THE STARS
Race #5- #2 ALOTTAHOPE; #9 CONCLUSIVE; #4 COASTAL MISSION
Race #6- #6 MISS LESLIE; #2 KISS THE GIRL; #7 FROST POINT
Race #7- #1 WORKIN ON A DREAM; #4 GALERIO; #2 FOREWARNED
Race #8- #2 GLASS CEILING; #7 JAKARTA; #1 FILLE D'ESPRIT
Race #9- #2 CORDMAKER; #7 AIR TOKEN; #4 SIR ALFRED JAMES
Race #10- #6 CONGRESS HALL; #2 MY WAY OR ELSE; #4 LIFE IN FLASH


Mahoning Valley Race Course
Race #1- #3 R THREE ANGELS; #6 NEXT GENERATION; #7 ANGEL WINGS
Race #2- #1 HANSENATION; #4 TIGER TRAIL; #1A WEST LEONARD
Race #3- #5 BLACK KETTLE; #1A SHARPIN; #1 LADY VALENTINA
Race #4- #3 ROLLIN ALL THE WAY; #4 ULTRA RAYS; #1 CAT’S RHYTHM
Race #5- #1 GRINS N’ WINS; #5 BLUE LILY; #6 BEAV’S BOO
Race #6- #5 ROUTE ONE; #2 HURRY ON OUT; #7 HAPPILEA
Race #7- #5 FREE SAILIN; #4 STAY THIRSTY AMIGO; #7 BEACH FRONT
Race #8- #1 FORTUNATE GINA; #8 BISCAYNE BAY; #5 MY BELLE MICHELLE


Oaklawn Park
Race #1- #8 BURROW DOWN; #2 KEEN CONTENDER; #1 FAST AND FEMININE
Race #2- #1A TRUE SAINT; #9 AGAVE KID; #1 TIZ SHOWBIZ
Race #3- #6 MAX’S HEART; #4 JACKYS BACK; #5 SLIGHTLY CRAFTY
Race #4- #7 DARREN’S FORTUNE; #1 GAMBLER; #8 ARRIVAL
Race #5- #9 WHISKEY DOUBLE; #8 ESTABLISHED; #4 ATOKA
Race #6- #5 GREAT FACES; #3 WARTIME HERO; #4 ENGLANDER
Race #7- #8 WILDWOOD’S BEAUTY; #1 ALBERTA SUN; #5 BERRY GOOD
Race #8- #6 WARRIOR’S CHARGE; #2 TRIDENT HIT; #3 HUGE BIGLY
Race #9- #5 HAPPY SOUL; #2 VERYLITTLECENTS; #7 PRETTY BIRDIE
Race #10- #8 BANKIT; #2 ANTIGRAVITY; #14 CADDO RIVER


Sam Houston Race Park
Race #1- #5 FIFTEEN LOVE BACK; #2 EYES ON RED; #6 RONALD DALE
Race #2- #2 PINKY RING BLING; #6 CHIEF BRADY; #3 RED WITT AND BLUE
Race #3- #8 SHE'SSKYSTHELIMIT; #2 PYRAMID PRINCESS; #4 SHIRLEY’S TEMPLE
Race #4- #7 IMALUCKYCHARM; #4 JAN’S TURN TO WIN; #6 EAGLE EXPRESS
Race #5- #6 SUNLIT SONG; #8 SINGAPORE FLASH; #4 MOOJAB JR
Race #6- #4 KENAI BOB; #7 MR MONEY BAGS; #2 DIRECT DIAL
Race #7- #7 BOERNE; #11 CORLUNA; #8 SHES OUR FASTEST
Race #8- #12 KLIMCO; #1 TAPITS KASH; #5 BOSQUE
Race #9- #2 JADES GELLY; #8 MIZONEY; #9 SPECIAL TREASURE


Santa Anita Park
Race #1- #4 BROTHERLY LOVE; #3 LA'OCH ALOYSIUS; #5 MISSING MAURICE
Race #2- #6 WALL STREET TRADER; #5 BESAME MUCHO; #4 FRISCO GOLD
Race #3- #6 WHAT A FEELING; #8 CUBAN CRISIS; #5 M IS FOR MAGIC
Race #4- #4 STREET ART; #7 FORT BRIDGER; #5 KING APOLLO
Race #5- #1 INCREASE STAKES; #6 BOLD CHOICE; #3 ROSIE FORECAST
Race #6- #1 KING ROB; #3 MR BUG Z; #4 CEE E OH
Race #7- #1 MORAZ; #2 KEYFLOWER; #10 NEW HEAT
Race #8- #2 SCARY FAST SMILE; #1 ATOMIC DROP; #3 PYEONG CHANG
Race #9- #4 FAST DRAW MUNNINGS; #6 SUMTER; #2 DOITFORANDREW


Sunland Park
Race #1- #4 EB HARDWOOD; #2 HES MISTER DILLON; #7 JESS A HOT BABE
Race #2- #12 WISH BIGG; #10 MS DEFERRED PAYMENT; #9 MONEY FLASHIN
Race #3- #10 KJ SUZY Q; #9 TEXASSIZEDBIZOOMS; #7 VINDICATEUR
Race #4- #4 RALLY UP THE ALLEY; #12 JESS TAKE BABE; #7 DADDYS MONY
Race #5- #5 FAST PRIZE FIVE; #8 TAHITI HOCKS; #1 SB HOLLY WOOD
Race #6- #6 VALIANT STARS; #2 JESS BOTTICELLI; #1 JC STOLYWOOD
Race #7- #5 PREMEDITATED LILY; #1 ALL STEAMED UP; #4 POOFFS CLASSIC
Race #8- #3 DOM WAYNE; #1 B A CHAMPION; #6 SEE YOU AT THE TOP
Race #9- #2 RAP A GIFT; #5 SPICEY SECRET; #4 FI FI D'ORO


Tampa Bay Downs
Race #1- #2 SAN COSTANTINO; #1 BELGRADE; #6 BUBBA DREAMS
Race #2- #4 FIRST LADY DI DA; #10 KIZZY; #7 TWELVE RED ROSES
Race #3- #6 CALL TONY; #2 TAHAWEEL; #7 LADY WOOD
Race #4- #9 AVE FENIX; #2 SIGN AND SEAL; #6 SAFE TRAVELS
Race #5- #1 KING FORCE; #3 SUPER SHOES; #4 ONLYAMATTEROFTIME
Race #6- #1 PRINCESS JAVONCIA; #3 IRISH DREAM GIRL; #7 TAKE TO THE SKIES
Race #7- #4 EMPEROR’S SONG; #6 QUALITY TOO SPARE; #5 LUSCIOUS
Race #8- #7 BEANTOWN BABY; #10 PAYNTDEMBLUESAWAY; #13 AMBASSADOR LUNA
Race #9- #5 BASQUIAT; #7 HPNOTIQ RHYTHM; #11 ELLAS MY LOVE
Race #10- #4 DIAMOND OOPS; #10 BACKTOHISROOTS; #9 BAD BEAT BRIAN


Turfway Park
Race #1- #8 MY ZIP ZIP; #4 AFTER THE WIRE; #9 RICH RELATIONS
Race #2- #1 CHELICHNA; #5 MY TOMMY LEE; #9 DEVILISH TRUTH
Race #3- #10 MOMMY BERTA; #2 ANOTATION; #7 AUNT IRENE
Race #4- #2 UNCAPPED; #4 TALE OF FAME; #5 WAR STROLL
Race #5- #7 CONSTITUTION GAL; #3 DALTON’S LOVE; #10 SPLITSECONDSONNY
Race #6- #4 BIG DREAMING; #7 MR DUMAS; #2 BEATBOX
Race #7- #9 COOL RAGS; #3 COUNTER OFFER; #11 LEBLON
Race #8- #6 UPSIDE DOWN; #8 HOT DAME; #5 MACHISIMA

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Santa Anita Park Selections for February 19, 2022 – Horse Racing Picks

By Kyle E in Horse Racing — Feb 19th, 2022 12:12am PST

Santa Anita Park Selections for February 19, 2022 – Horse Racing Picks

It is Risen Star Day at Fair Grounds on Saturday afternoon. The $400,000 Grade 2 prep event comes with points for the Kentucky Derby. There are some interesting races on the Fair Grounds card on Saturday, with the Risen Star the most important race in the US today.

Industry Leading 9% Cashback!

Along with Fair Grounds Race Course, we’re heading to Santa Anita Park for some horse racing picks. Santa Anita has nine races worth $509,000 in prize money on Saturday. There is one stakes race with the running of the $100,000 Pasadena Stakes.

Head below for our best Santa Anita Park picks on February 19, 2022.
Taking Your Horse Race Betting to the Next Level
Race 2
(1) Gebo
+600 (6/1)
(2) Kimmer
+500 (5/1)
(3) Tap Union
+2000 (20/1)
(4) Frisco Gold
+500 (5/1)
(5) Besame Mucho
+200 (2/1)
(6) Wall Street Trader
+120 (6/5)

Post Time: 1:01 p.m. PST
Distance:5 ½ Furlongs
Purse:$26,000

Race 2 covers 5 ½ furlongs for a $26,000 purse. Look at Besame Mucho and Wall Street Trader as strong contenders in the second event.

Besame Mucho is 8th, 5th through two races in his career. As a rookie, he finished 8th on November 19 for a $27,000 purse as a first-time runner.

There was modest improvement made on February 5 at Santa Anita, finishing 5th in a $26,000 race. He could be open for greater improvement in this outing.

Wall Street Trader is 5th, 7th, 5th in three races. In his most recent attempt, Wall Street Trader finished 5th for $67,000 on January 9.

Solidly down in class after three assignments in much higher grades, expect Wall Street Trader to prefer this class. Flavien Prat should get the $155,000 Wall Street Trader into the winner’s circle.
The Bet
(6) WALL STREET TRADER
+120
Place Bet Now!
Race 4
(1) Con On the Run
+250 (5/2)
(2) Clampette
+500 (5/1)
(3) Town Boy
+800 (8/1)
(4) Street Art
+300 (3/1)
(5) King Apollo
+500 (5/1)
(6) Bright Leaf
+300 (3/1)
(7) Fort Bridger
+1200 (12/1)

Post Time: 2:05 p.m. PST
Distance: 6 Furlongs
Purse:$40,000

Race 4 is a $40,000 event over 6 furlongs on the dirt. Look at Street Art and Con On the Run to do something worth noting in this one.

Street Art has finished 1st, 4th, 4th, 9th, 3rd in five races. He won as a first-time runner on May 9 in a $61,000 event, but hasn’t returned to the winner’s circle.

In his most recent race, Street Art showed 3rd on January 14 for $40,000. This came after really doing poorly in the $100,000 Eddie Logan Stakes. Far too tough, but is competitive in the current grade.

Con On the Run has been a consistent fixture at Del Mar and Santa Anita. In four outings, she has finished 5th, 3rd, 1st, 2nd.

The $100,000 Jeff Mullins trainee had a winning trip on November 25 for a $36,000 purse. He drew off for a fairly easy win by 4 ½ lengths in that one.

He remained competitive in his next and most recent assignment on January 14. Con On the Run placed 2nd behind Tizlightning after receiving a DQ.

Con On the Run won by a neck, but drifted in the stretch and was ruled to have interfered. If Con On the Run doesn’t drift in that one, it’s likely an easy win in the $40,000 race.

Back at it on Saturday, the No. 1 should go through to the winner’s circle in the same form.
The Bet
(1) CON ON THE RUN
+250
Place Bet Now!
Race 5
(1) Increase Stakes
+400 (4/1)
(2) Sweet Duck
+1500 (15/1)
(3) Rosie Forecast
+600 (6/1)
(4) Roubaix
+800 (8/1)
(5) Circle of Stars
+1200 (12/1)
(6) Bold Choice
+250 (5/2)
(7) Barrister’s Ride
+800 (8/1)
(8) Elegance Code
+1500 (15/1)
(9) Lady Blackbird
+1000 (10/1)
(10) Funny Feline
+500 (5/1)

Post Time: 2:37 p.m. PST
Distance:6 Furlongs
Purse:$67,000

Race 5 is worth $67,000 over 6 furlongs on the turf. This grass race will likely feature Rosie Forecast and Bold Choice in the stretch run.

Rosie Forecast is making her debut and should have a solid chance on these terms. As a first-time runner, Rosie Forecast must be respected at this level.

She is been running well in workouts and has a chance versus a mostly beatable field. Bold Choice is the one participant that should be able to give Rosie Forecast a big fight.

Bold Choice is 5th, 2nd, 6th, 2nd, 2nd in her previous five events. She has placed 2nd in back-to-back events on November 14 at Del Mar and Santa Anita on January 30.

Bold Choice finished 1 length behind Professors’ Pride in a $70,000 race and then behind Unwritten Code by 1 ¼ lengths as the favorite.

This looks like a good opportunity for Bold Choice to go in for a win.
The Bet
(6) BOLD CHOICE
+250

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Fair Grounds and Risen Star Selections for February 19, 2022 – Horse Racing Picks

By Kyle E in Horse Racing — Feb 18th, 2022 9:51pm PST

Fair Grounds and Risen Star Selections for February 19, 2022 – Horse Racing Picks

We have a big day of racing on Saturday, notably for the first 50-20-10-5 race on the Road to the Kentucky Derby. This will occur at Fair Grounds Race Course in New Orleans for the running of the $400,000 Risen Star Stakes (Gr. 2). The winning team gets 50 points towards the Kentucky Derby in May at Churchill Downs.

Industry Leading 9% Cashback!

Fair Grounds has six stakes races led by the Risen Star and $300,000 Rachel Alexandra Stakes (Gr. 2) on Saturday afternoon. The $250,000 Mineshaft Stakes (Gr. 3) is scheduled this afternoon at Fair Grounds as well.

Our first look on Saturday is at Fair Grounds for the Risen Star and the rest of the card. Fair Grounds has a $1,685,000 card on the docket this afternoon. Head below for our best Fair Grounds picks and Risen Star prediction on February 19, 2022.
Taking Your Horse Race Betting to the Next Level
Race 2
(1) Lady Arsinoe
+1000 (10/1)
(2) Indigo Miss
+350 (7/2)
(3) I Am Up
+1200 (12/1)
(4) Royal Flower
+400 (4/1)
(5) Georgetown Road
+1200 (12/1)
(6) Imogene Malvina
+500 (5/1)
(7) Carnelian
+1000 (10/1)
(8) Taleofreadychianti
+600 (6/1)
(9) Rather Be Lucky
+300 (3/1)

Post Time: 12:30 p.m. CST
Distance:6 Furlongs
Purse:$55,000

Race 2 is a 6-furlong event covering 6 furlongs on the dirt. Look for Indigo Miss and Rather Be Lucky to put together big performances in the second race in New Orleans.

Indigo Miss is making her debut on Saturday afternoon and expecting positive results. The $525,000 filly has looked promising in workouts and should carry on well in this one.

Indigo Miss has been timed at 47 and 48 seconds at 4 furlongs, along with a 1:00.80 workout at 5 furlongs on January 28. Based on her form, she should be in contention to open her career.

Rather Be Lucky made her debut on December 22 and looked good. She placed 2nd behind Hazy Command by a head for a $58,000 purse in a productive effort.

The $485,000 filly is keeping up in workouts and is open to improvement in this one. At some quality value, I give Rather Be Lucky an edge over the rookie in Race 2.
The Bet
(9) RATHER BE LUCKY
+300
Place Bet Now!
Race 7 – Colonel Power Stakes
(1) Cowan
+400 (4/1)
(2) Just Might
+140 (7/5)
(3) Seven Scents
+800 (8/1)
(4) Gray Attempt
+800 (8/1)
(5) Pyron
+450 (9/2)
(6) Toro Strike
+500 (5/1)
(7) Strike Me Down
+1500 (15/1)
(8) Inhalation
+2000 (20/1)

Post Time: 2:56 p.m. CST
Distance: 5 ½ Furlongs
Purse:$100,000

The $100,000 Colonel Power Stakes covers 5 ½ furlongs on the turf. Cowan and Just Might should do well in the Colonel Power at Fair Grounds.

Cowan and Just Might are likely the ones to watch in the stretch. After a big run in the $100,000 Duncan F. Kenner on January 22.

Cowan won after Just Might was disqualified after a 2 ¾ length win. Just Might bumped his opponents early on and was dropped to 8th.

It was a fortunate ending for Cowan, who has finished 10th, 1st, 2nd, 6th, 1st in his previous five attempts. In his last true win, Cowan beat Edge to Edge by a neck in a $127,000 allowance race on September 25.

Just Might is looking for revenge after the DQ. He won six of seven attempts before the loss. In his latest race, Just Might defeated Manny Wah by 1 ¼ lengths in the $75,000 Richard R. Scherer Memorial Stakes.

He should be ready for this race and this time beat Cowan without a DQ.
The Bet
(2) JUST MIGHT
+140
Place Bet Now!
Race 13 – Risen Star Stakes
(1) Pappacap
+400 (4/1)
(2) Russian Tank
+5000 (50/1)
(3) Trafalgar
+1000 (10/1)
(4) Tawny Port
+1200 (12/1)
(5) Epicenter
+400 (4/1)
(6) Pioneer of Medina
+1000 (10/1)
(7) Zandon
+450 (9/2)
(8) Smile Happy
+350 (7/2)
(9) Bodock
+1000 (10/1)
(10) Slow Down Andy
+450 (9/2)

Post Time: 5:58 p.m. CST
Distance:1 ⅛ Miles
Purse:$400,000

The $400,000 Risen Star Stakes (Gr. 2) is the feature with 50-20-10-5 points available to the top-4 in this one. It’s a big 50 points that will go towards the Kentucky Derby in May.

Pappacap and Smile Happy should have good runs for the top prize on Saturday in New Orleans. Pappacap gets the inside rail out of the gate and should be involved in the stretch.

The colt has finished 1st, 1st, 4th, 2nd, 2nd, 3rd in his career. He hasn’t won since scoring in the $200,000 Best Pal Stakes (Gr. 2) on August 7.

Pappacap has been running well regardless, though. The colt placed 2nd behind Corniche by 1 ¾ lengths in the $2,000,000 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile in a fantastic go in November.

Despite the loss, there was a lot of promise in that run. He came back to show 3rd in the $200,000 Lecomte Stakes on January 22.

That was discouraging after the work he did in the Breeders’ Cup. Smile Happy will be there at the wire if Pappacap runs like that again.

Smile Happy is two for two for Ken McPeek after a 5 ½ length win for an $84,000 purse, and then he made his arrival known in the $400,000 Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes (Gr. 2) at Churchill Downs.

Smile Happy cleared Classic Causeway by 3 ¼ lengths in an impressive display. He was up a half-length going into the stretch and drew clear under urging from Corey Lanerie.

This looks like a big chance for Smile Happy to secure 50 points and Lanerie a ride at his home track in the Kentucky Derby in May.
The Bet
(8) SMILE HAPPY
+350

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Laurel Park 5 Facts | February 15-21, 2022

February 15, 2022 | By Jeremy Plonk

Schedule:

Friday-Monday (President’s Day holiday card)

Carryovers:

$2,701 // Rainbow 6 Jackpot (Friday)

Feature Race(s):

Grade 3 $250,000 General George Stakes // male sprinters // Saturday

Grade 3 $250,000 Barbara Fritchie Stakes // distaff sprinters // Saturday

$100,000 Miracle Wood Stakes // 3-year-old milers // Saturday

$100,000 John B. Campbell Stakes // elder routers // Saturday

$100,000 Nellie More Stakes // elder distaff routers // Saturday

$100,000 Wide Country Stakes // 3-year-old filly sprinters // Saturday

Key 1/ST BET Factors (top pick win %, top pick profit/loss):

Last E1 (Early) Pace (32%, +$6.80)

Speed Last Race (33%, -$13.80)

Best Speed Last 3 (31%, -$5.40)

Jockey/Trainer Trends from Betmix:

T: Jamie Ness // last week 13: 6-0-3 (46%, $2.00 ROI) // winners paid $4, $4, $9, $10, $10, $13 // 4-10 with Jamie Rodriguez

T: Hamilton Smith // last week 5: 3-0-1 (60%, $3.44 ROI) // $3, $15, $15 winners // 2-2 allowance races

T: Mike Trombetta // last week 8: 3-2-1 (38%, $1.95 ROI) // $6, $8, $16 winners + 11-1 runner-up // 3: 2-1-0 with Victor Carrasco

J: Victor Carrasco // last week 16: 6-3-3 (38%, $1.13 ROI) // 3-5 with favorites // 3: 2-1-0 with Mike Trombetta

J: Jean Alvelo // last week 18: 5-2-2 (28%, $1.88 ROI) // 3-5 with favorites, adding $16 and $40 upsets // wins for 5 different barns

** ROI reflects return on $1 win bet**

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Santa Anita Park 5 Facts | February 15-21, 2022

February 15, 2022 | By Jeremy Plonk

1/ST Look: Santa Anita Park 5 Facts | February 15-21, 2022

Schedule:

Friday-Monday (President’s Day holiday card)

Carryovers:

$592,337 // Rainbow 6 Jackpot (Friday)

$37,084 // Super High 5 (Friday)

Feature Race(s):

$100,000 Pasadena Stakes // 3-year-old turf milers // Saturday

Grade 3 $100,000 San Simeon // elder turf sprinters // Sunday

Key 1/ST BET Factors (top pick win %, top pick profit/loss):

Last Purse (28%, +$79.40)

Jockey 6 Month Win % (42%, +$8.40)

Avg. Best 2 of 3 Speed (33%, -$11.20) * top-3 factor second straight week *

Jockey/Trainer Trends from Betmix:

T: Phil D’Amato // last week 9: 3-1-2 (33%, $3.62 ROI) // $5, $20, $39 winners // 8 of 9 starters on turf

T: John Sadler // last week 8: 3-0-3 (38%, $0.79 ROI) // 4: 3-0-1 with favorites // 3: 2-0-1 in claiming races

T: Richard Baltas // last week 16: 4-3-0 (25%, $0.88 ROI) // $5, $5, $7, $10 winners + 11-1 runner-up

J: Flavien Prat // last week 20: 8-4-6 (40%, $1.14 ROI) // 10: 4-1-5 with favorites // 16-40 last 2 weeks

J: Juan Hernandez // last week 18: 4-4-1 (22%, $1.91 ROI) // 2-2 with favorites + $11 and $49 scores

** ROI reflects return on $1 win bet**

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Golden Gate Fields 5 Facts | February 15-21, 2022

February 15, 2022 | By Jeremy Plonk

Schedule:

Friday-Monday (President’s Day holiday live card)

Carryovers:

$80,865 // Rainbow 6 Jackpot (Friday)

Feature Race(s):

$75,000 El Dorado Shooter Stakes // Cal-bred sprinters on Tapeta // Saturday

Key 1/ST BET Factors (top pick win %, top pick profit/loss):

Win % (56%, +$18.80)

Best Speed Distance (37%, +$12.40)

Best Speed Last 3 (36%, +$7.40) * top-3 factor second straight week *

Jockey/Trainer Trends from Betmix:

T: Isidro Tamayo // last week 7: 4-0-1 (57%, $1.37 ROI) // 3-3 with favorites // 2-3 with Evin Roman

T: Jonathan Wong // last week 11: 4-1-0 (36%, $1.14 ROI) // 3-1 or less on all top-2 finishers // 10-27 last 2 weeks

J: Silvio Ruiz // last week 7: 3-2-0 (43%, $2.24 ROI) // $4, $8, $19 winners + an 11-1 runner-up

J: Assael Espinoza // last week 8: 3-0-2 (38%, $0.98 ROI) // 2-2 with favorites

J: Evin Roman // last week 15: 5-3-1 (33%, $0.77 ROI) // 4-4 with favorites, adding 11-1 runner-up

** ROI reflects return on $1 win bet**

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gulfstream 5 Facts | February 15-21, 2022

February 15, 2022 | By Jeremy Plonk

Schedule:

Wednesday-Sunday

Carryovers:

$593,729 // Rainbow 6 Jackpot (Wednesday)

$3,565 // Super High 5 (Wednesday)

Feature Race(s):

$150,000 Gulfstream Park Sprint // elder dirt sprinters // Saturday

Key 1/ST BET Factors (top pick win %, top pick profit/loss):

Avg. Speed Last 3 (43%, +$21.80) * top-3 factor second straight week *

Speed Last Race (40%, +$18.80)

Best Speed Last 3 (39%, +$17.00)

Jockey/Trainer Trends from Betmix:

T: Chad Brown // last week 8: 4-1-1 (50%, $1.60 ROI) // only 2 favorites // also went 3-7 at Tampa last week

T: Eddie Plesa // last week 4: 3-0-0 (75%, $2.18 ROI) // 2-2 with favorites // added $9 turf sprint stakes winner

T: Martin Drexler // last week 5: 3-0-1 (60%, $1.52 ROI) // 2-2 with favorites + a 20-1 longshot third

J: Jose Ortiz // last week 21: 6-3-2 (29%, $2.04 ROI) // won for 6 different barns // only 1 winning favorite

J: Irad Ortiz Jr. // last week 24: 8-2-3 (33%, $1.07 ROI) // won for 8 different barns // 7: 4-1-0 with favorites

** ROI reflects return on $1 win bet**

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jon White: Kentucky Derby Top 10, Plus Risen Star Picks

February 16, 2022 | By Jon White

Classic Causeway, emphatic winner of last Saturday’s Grade III Sam F. Davis Stakes at Tampa Bay Downs, rises to No. 2 on my Kentucky Derby Top 10 this week after being No. 6 last week.

There are no newcomers to the Top 10 this week, unlike last week when four horses debuted on the list.

My Kentucky Derby Top 10 for this week is below:

1. Messier
2. Classic Causeway
3. Emmanuel
4. Smile Happy
5. Early Voting
6. Rattle N Roll
7. White Abarrio
8. Simplification
9. Newgrange
10. Slow Down Andy

Highly respected 1/ST BET analyst and handicapper Jeff Siegel’s “main players” this week in his Triple Crown rankings are: 1. Messier, 2. Emmanuel, 3. Smile Happy, 4. White Abarrio, 5. Rattle N Roll, 6. Classic Causeway, 7. Newgrange, 8. Zozos, 9. Charge It, 10. Early Voting, 11: Forbidden Kingdom, 12. Zandon, 13. Mo Donegal, 14. Major General.

Regardless of what the future holds for Classic Causeway, he demonstrated in the Davis that he is just one darn good colt, which is what I have believed all along.

It appears to me that Classic Causeway has what it takes to succeed in the May 7 Run for the Roses. A Kentucky-bred son of the late Giant’s Causeway, Classic Causeway has talent, tactical speed and a splendid pedigree. That’s quite a nice package of attributes.

In this week’s Derby Watch, Daily Racing Form’s Jay Privman called Classic Causeway “the genuine article.”

I know there are those who are skeptical as to whether Classic Causeway can succeed from off the pace. I am not.

The DRF’s Marty McGee is one of the skeptics.

In Derby Watch, McGee said of Classic Causeway: “Scarcely could have been more impressive in seasonal bow; rated kindly, but let’s see him do that from off it.”

Siegel is another post-Davis skeptic, as he wrote of Classic Causeway: “His trainer, Brian Lynch, said after the race what we knew he would [and what 99 percent of all horsemen would say], that is, ‘I do think he will sit in behind [other horses].’

“Well let’s hope so,” Siegel added, “but both of his wins in four career starts were accomplished gate-to-wire, so he still has to prove that he can.”

Look, if Classic Causeway’s demeanor was such that he is a fiery, headstrong individual who throws his head about and fights the rider when trying to be rated, I likewise would wonder if he can win from off the pace. But he is not that type at all.

MADE QUITE A SPLASH IN SPA DEBUT

Classic Causeway won a Saratoga seven-furlong maiden race in front-running fashion by 6 1/2 lengths when unveiled last Sept. 9. He recorded a 90 Beyer, a robust figure for a 2-year-old.

In addition to Classic Causeway possessing that kind of sprint speed, his breeding suggests he can be effective going at least as far as the Kentucky Derby distance of 1 1/4 miles and perhaps even as far as the testing 1 1/2-mile distance of the Belmont Stakes. Indeed, Classic Causeway’s dam, Private World, is a daughter of Thunder Gulch, winner of the 1995 Kentucky Derby and Belmont.

Classic Causeway is one of only three foals from the final crop of Giant’s Causeway (the other two being Giant Game and Monaadah). Giant’s Causeway had the class and stamina to win the Group I Juddmonte International Stakes at 1 5/16 miles in England and Group I Irish Champion Stakes at 1 1/4 miles in Ireland.

In his final career start, Giant’s Causeway came close to winning the Grade I Breeders’ Cup Classic at 1 1/4 miles in 2000, the only start of his career on the dirt. He finished second, a neck behind the ultra-game Tiznow, who returned in 2001 to win a second BC Classic while edging another tough Euro import in Sakhee. All these years later, Tiznow still has the distinction of being the lone two-time BC Classic winner.

After Classic Causeway’s maiden victory, he lost his next two races, though he did run well both times. Both of the defeats came in races won by a Kenny McPeek trainee.

Classic Causeway finished third in Keeneland’s Grade I Breeders’ Futurity at 1 1/16 miles on Oct. 9. But because he had the misfortune to have the outside post in the field of 13, he was sent hard early by jockey Jose Ortiz. Understandably, Classic Causeway paid the price in the lane. He lost by 4 3/4 lengths while finishing third to Rattle N Roll and Double Thunder.

Next, Classic Causeway participated in Churchill Downs’ Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes.

Thoroughbred Daily News’ T.D. Thornton this week did a fine job describing Classic Causeway’s performance in the Kentucky Jockey Club when writing: “After Lynch schooled Classic Causeway to relax while still remaining a pace presence, the colt broke running from post one in the Nov. 27 Grade II Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes and showed he was capable of conceding the lead. Responding effectively in stalk mode [while fourth], he tipped out to the three path on the far turn and was on the move with eventual winner Smile Happy at the head of the lane. Classic Causeway couldn’t match strides with a very impressive undefeated colt at Churchill Downs that day, but he gave Smile Happy a run for his money until the eighth pole and was hardly disgraced in defeat.”

Classic Causeway was freshened after the Kentucky Jockey Club. He made his 2022 debut last Saturday in the 1 1/16-mile Davis, which he won with authority when teaming for the first time with jockey Irad Ortiz Jr.

Lynch made it known beforehand that he was hoping to see Classic Causeway get off to a good start and secure a forward position going into the first turn to avoid possible traffic woes in the field of 12. The intention was not necessarily for Classic Causeway to set the early pace.

With a possibly much longer 1 1/4-mile trip for Classic Causeway on the first Saturday in May in mind, Lynch and Ortiz were not bent on hustling him early and getting his engine revved in the Davis. The goal was for him to relax early. To this end, an ideal scenario would have been for Classic Causeway to break well, then rate off the speedy Little Vic, who had drawn into the Davis field from the also-eligible list due to the defection of Howling Time.

Well, Classic Causeway did more than leave the gate in good order. He blasted away from there. Not surprisingly, Little Vic then quickly engaged Classic Causeway for the early lead. The way I saw it, Ortiz didn’t move his hands much at all during the run to the first turn, seemingly waiting for Little Vic to clear. But Little Vic did not clear.

As Classic Causeway and Little Vic made their way around the first turn while vying head and head for the advantage, Little Vic became rank when being restrained by jockey Paco Lopez. Classic Causeway? He was anything but rank while racing along the rail.

The two colts continued to “spar spiritedly at the head of a closely bunched pack of pursuers” on the backstretch, as Thornton put it. “Classic Causeway ripped through the first quarter of the 1 1/16-mile race in a sprint-like :22.66, then toned down the middle two fractions to a more sensible :24.01 and :24.84, briefly losing the lead for a stride or two at the half-mile chart call. Still confidently handled at the head of the homestretch, he spun out to the three path, with three legitimate win threats hot on his heels.

“One right-handed crack of the crop was enough to elicit an energetic spurt out of Classic Causeway three-sixteenths out, and when the colt drifted out to the five path while still in control, Ortiz gave him several more right-handed reminders upon cresting the furlong grounds, which had the effect of producing a ‘wow!’ gear that punctuated a visually impressive burst to the wire. The winning margin was 3 3/4 geared down lengths in 1:42.80, good for an 88 Beyer Speed Figure.”

Classic Causeway originally was credited with an 87 Beyer, which then was upped to 88.

“The Beyer figure was moderate, but the next seven horses who followed him home all received Beyer figures below what they earned in their prior starts,” Privman wrote. “As a result, I’m going to be wary of this figure, as I think it has the potential to be better than at first glance. Combined with the race flow, I think this might be a far better performance than it will appear on paper.”

Privman’s observation that the next seven horses who followed Classic Causeway home all received a lower Beyer than in their most recent start is a point well taken. Did all seven of those horses regress in the Davis? Probably not.

Adding credence to the notion that an 88 Beyer for Classic Causeway in the Davis still might be a tad lower than it should be, Candyman Rocket won the 2021 renewal in 1:44.33. But despite that much slower clocking than Classic Causeway’s, Candyman Rocket received a 91 Beyer, higher than Classic Causeway’s 88.

Sole Volante took the 2020 Davis in 1:42.60. He received a 96 Beyer.

Well Defined won the 2019 renewal in 1:42.70. He got a 93 Beyer.

The Davis stakes record is 1:42.44 set by Flameway in 2018. His Beyer was a 93.

Privman was spot on when he wrote that the Tampa Bay main track is an “often-tricky surface.” Keeping that in mind, I concede that calculating a speed figure on that surface therefore also sometimes can be a tricky task. But taking into account the final times and Beyers cited above for recent Davis winners, plus the supposed dip in the Beyer department by the next seven horses who followed Classic Causeway home, it seems to me that a 90 Beyer for Classic Causeway’s Davis triumph would be far from out of whack.

Classic Causeway’s fourth quarter individual split in the Davis was :25.31. After his time for one mile of 1:36.82, he unleashed a strong late kick in the last sixteenth despite having gone as fast as he did early.

“Of particular note,” Thornton wrote, “was his in-the-clear final sixteenth in :5.98, the only sub-six-seconds clocking among this season’s [Kentucky] Derby preps at 1 1/16 miles from the Breeders’ Cup onward.”

Below are the Beyers for Sam F. Davis winners going back to 1993 (the figures prior to 2021 are listed in the 2021 American Racing Manual, which is now digital only and available for free on The Jockey Club’s website):

2022 Classic Causeway (88)
2021 Candyman Rocket (91)
2020 Sole Volante (96)
2019 Well Defined (93)
2018 Flameway (93)
2017 McCraken (95)
2016 Destin (99)
2015 Ocean Knight (93)
2014 Vinceremos (82)
2013 Falling Sky (92)
2012 Battle Hardened (82)
2011 Brethren (85)
2010 Rule (98)
2009 General Quarters (102)
2008 Fierce Wind (88)
2007 Any Given Saturday (95)
2006 Bluegrass Cat (96)
2005 Andromeda’s Hero (79)
2004 Kaufy Mate (91)
2003 White Buck (86)
2002 Bunk N Ted (81)
2001 Burning Roma (87)
2000 Go Lib Go (88)
1999 San Gennaro (94)
1998 Dabney Carr (86)
1997 Wilt the Tilt (83)
1996 Thundering Storm (75)
1995 Akiba (78)
1994 Parental Pressure (85)
1993 Marco Bay (87)

You will see in the list above that General Quarters’ 102 is the highest Beyer by a Davis winner. Again, as an indication that Classic Causeway’s 88 Beyer Speed Figure perhaps should be higher, his final time was faster than General Quarters’ 1:43.54 when he received a 102 Beyer.

According to Lynch, the plan is for Classic Causeway to make his next start in the Grade II Tampa Bay Derby at 1 1/8 miles on March 12.

Only six horses have won both the Sam F. Davis and Tampa Bay Derby: Phantom Jet (1987), Speedy Cure (1991), Marco Bay (1993), Thundering Storm (1996), Burning Roma (2001) and Destin (2016).

RISEN STAR SELECTIONS

Undefeated Smile Happy, coming off a win in the productive Grade II Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes on Nov. 27, heads a field of 10 entered in Fair Grounds’ Grade II Risen Star Stakes at 1 1/8 miles this Saturday.

I noted last week the stark difference in the subsequent form of the starters in last year’s BC Juvenile and Kentucky Jockey Club.

As of this writing, horses to have run in the BC Juvenile are a combined zero for eight since. Kentucky Jockey Club starters are a combined three for nine since the BC Juvenile, but it’s especially significant that all three of those victories have come in graded stakes races.

After competing in the Kentucky Jockey Club, Call Me Midnight won the Grade III Lecomte Stakes on Jan. 22, White Abarrio took the Grade III Holy Bull Stakes on Feb. 5, then Classic Causeway got the job done in last Saturday’s Sam F. Davis.

Now it’s up to Smile Happy in the Risen Star to become yet another 2022 graded stakes winner to come out of the Kentucky Jockey Club.

Smile Happy is listed as the 5-1 favorite on McGee’s DRF’s Derby Watch odds. Privman wrote that McGee said he would have made Messier the favorite if the Derby Watch had not excluded horses trained by Bob Baffert.

“The Derby Watch list published Wednesday does not include any runners trained by Bob Baffert, who currently is barred from the 2022 Derby in the aftermath of last year’s Derby, in which Medina Spirit finished first but was subsequently found to have traces of a medication [betamethasone] that is legal to use, but not on race day,” Privman explained.

As for McGee’s Derby Watch odds, they are “calculated as though those 20 were in the starting Derby field,” Privman wrote.

While McGee has pegged Smile Happy at 5-1 in a big 20-horse Kentucky Derby field, the Kentucky-bred Runhappy colt is a not-all-that-much-lower 7-2 on the morning line in a considerably smaller 10-horse Risen Star field.

Inasmuch as the undefeated Smile Happy exits the increasingly hyped Kentucky Jockey Club, a race in which he trounced three future graded stakes winners, I can’t see any possible way that his final Risen Star odds will be close to as high as 7-2. I will be surprised if his odds even turn out to be as high as 5-2.

My selections for the Risen Star are below:

1. Smile Happy
2. Zandon
3. Epicenter
4. Pappacap

While I do see Slow Down Andy as a Risen Star contender, I am not picking him 1-2-3-4.

When he won the Grade II Los Alamitos Futurity last time out, Slow Down Andy defeated none other than Messier, who I have ranked No. 1 on my Kentucky Derby Top 10. So why am I not picking Slow Down Andy 1-2-3-4 in the Risen Star? There are two main reasons.

First, Slow Down Andy must deal with the outside post.

And second, I’m taking the position that Messier lost the Los Al Futurity more than Slow Down Andy won it. Behind this supposition is the fact that Messier has lost both of his starts at Los Alamitos, but he’s won his three other races elsewhere by 6 1/2, 3 1/2 and 15 lengths. In other words, for whatever reason or reasons, Messier is beatable at Los Alamitos and unbeatable elsewhere.

BUBBLING UNDER THE TOP 10 (IN ALPHABETICAL ORDER)

Undefeated BC Juvenile winner Corniche had been on my Kentucky Derby Top 10 until last week. Now that it’s mid-February and he still lacks a recorded workout in 2022, I’m also taking him off my “bubbling under the Top 10”this week. That list is below:

Azure Coast
Barber Road
Barese
Belgrade
Blackadder
Call Me Midnight
Charge It
Chasing Time
Comandperformance
Doppelganger
Ethereal Road
Epicenter
Favorite Outlaw
Forbidden Kingdom
Giant Game
In Due Time
Klugman
Major General
Mo Donegal
Morello
Nitrous Channel
Pappacap
Pinehurst
Pioneer of Medina
Rockefeller
Shipsational
Tiz the Bomb
Volcanic
We the People
Zandon
Zozos

SMILE HAPPY RECEIVES FUTURE WAGER RESPECT

While the “all others” option ended up being the 2-1 favorite, Smile Happy was backed down to the lowest price at 8-1 among the 23 individual horses in Pool 3 of Churchill Downs’ Kentucky Derby Future (KDFW), which closed last Sunday.

In the wake of Classic Causeway’s Sam F. Davis victory, he was the second choice among individual horses at 13-1.

In a continuation of the policy that was put in place for KDFW Pool 1 last November, no Baffert trainees were included among the 23 individual horses in Pool 3. This policy stems from the situation mentioned earlier in which Churchill Downs currently is banning Baffert from running any horses in the 2022 Kentucky Derby.

Below are the final odds for Pool 3 of the 2022 KDFW:

2-1 “All Others”
8-1 Smile Happy
13-1 Classic Causeway
14-1 Mo Donegal
15-1 Emmanuel
18-1 Forbidden Kingdom
18-1 White Abarrio
19-1 Early Voting
19-1 Rattle N Roll
21-1 Zandon
23-1 Slow Down Andy
24-1 Epicenter
25-1 Chasing Time
31-1 Pappacap
32-1 Major General
33-1 Commandperformance
37-1 In Due Time
43-1 Simplification
56-1 Call Me Midnight
61-1 God of Love
61-1 Happy Boy Rocket
63-1 Barber Road
72-1 Howling Time
88-1 Make It Big

FRED LAMBERT AND FRISKY ZEUS

The Washington Thoroughbred Breeders and Owners Association recently reported that Fred Lambert passed away on Jan. 18 after suffering a stroke. He was 88.

“Fred grew up around horses, securing his future adult life as a jockey,” the obituary said. “He rode very successfully for more than 30 years at Coeur d’Alene, Playfair, Yakima Meadows and Longacres, as well as at tracks in Arizona, Colorado and Canada.”

I spent the early part of my life going to the races at Coeur d’Alene, Playfair, Yakima Meadow and Longacres. In 1974, I began my racing career as a writer and chart-caller for the Daily Racing Form at Playfair. During the 1960s and 1970s, I saw Lambert ride a zillion times. He was not a star, but rather a rider who plied his trade day in and day out, year after year, without any fanfare, one who truly would have been a good fit in the 2021 movie “Jockey.”

Lambert was Frisky Zeus’ jockey the day in 1970 when one of the most remarkable streaks in the history of racing that very few people are aware of was extended. Lambert also was in the saddle when Frisky Zeus’ streak came to an end in 1971.

Frisky Zeus kicked off his long racing career at the age of 2 in a 4 1/2-furlong maiden race at Longacres in 1961. He finished second.

In Frisky Zeus’ first start in 1962, he ran third in a 4 1/2-furlong allowance race at Yakima Meadows.

And then, in 1963, Frisky Zeus’ extraordinary streak began. He won his first start of the year for the next seven consecutive years!

In Frisky Zeus’ 1963 debut, he was victorious in a 5 1/2-furlong race by 2 1/4 lengths at Portland Meadows. It was a $1,000 claiming race. He paid $6.80 to win.

In 1964, Frisky Zeus again won his first start of the year. He prevailed by a head in a 5 1/2-furlong contest for $1,000 claimers at Portland Meadows. He paid $29.40.

Frisky Zeus also won his 1965 debut. He posted a 1 3/4-length victory in another 5 1/2-furlong race for $1,000 claimers at Portland Meadows. He paid $9.60.

In 1966, Frisky Zeus did it again. This time I was there to see it. Frisky Zeus won his first race of the year by one length at Yakima Meadows. It was a 4 1/2-furlong starter allowance contest. He paid $3.20.

Guess what? That’s right. In 1967, Frisky Zeus again won his first start of the year. He romped to a six-length win in a five-furlong sprint for $1,000 claimers at Yakima Meadows. He paid $11.90. I was there for that victory, too.

I also was at Yakima Meadows when Frisky Zeus made his first start of 1968 on March 17. By then, his streak had attracted some attention. Because I had become aware of the streak, I told my dad, “The lock of the year is today. Frisky Zeus always wins his first race of the year.”

Now a 9-year-old, Frisky Zeus came through yet again. He won a 4 1/2-furlong race for $1,000 claimers by a comfortable 3 1/2 lengths. He paid $4.30.

In 1969, I kept scouring the Yakima Meadows entries, hoping to see Frisky Zeus’ name for his first race of the year. The wait ended when I saw that he was entered in a 4 1/2-furlong race for $1,000 claimers on March 29.

“It’s time for the lock of the year again,” I told my dad.

Frisky Zeus didn’t let me down. He won by four lengths under Fred Lambert. Frisky Zeus paid $3.70.

The streak finally came to an end in 1970. Now an 11-year-old, Frisky Zeus was sent away as a 3-5 favorite in a 4 1/2-furlong sprint for $1,000 claimers at Yakima Meadows on March 14. Frisky Zeus and Lambert finished second, two lengths behind I.B. King and jockey Robert Howg.

Once again I was in the crowd the day that Frisky Zeus’ streak finally was snapped.

I also was on hand when Frisky Zeus did not win his 1971 debut at the ae of 12. He finished ninth in a 5 1/2-furlong race for $1,500 claimers at Yakima Meadows. His rider? Joe Baze, father of future Hall of Fame jockey Russell Baze.

Washington-bred Frisky Zeus was a son of By Zeus, who won the 1954 San Fernando Stakes at Santa Anita. By Zeus made history later that year by winning the San Juan Capistrano Handicap on Santa Anita’s brand new turf course. The 1954 San Juan Capistrano was the world’s first $100,000 grass race.

After By Zeus was retired to stud, he sired Fur Piece, a half-sister to stakes winners Barbara Jo and Mercy Me.

Fur Piece never raced. But in 1965, Fur Piece foaled a colt by Cold Command (a son of Triple Crown winner War Admiral and grandson of mighty Man o’ War). Gelded as a yearling, that bay son of Cold Command and Fur Piece would go on to break a world record and a number of track records while becoming the most popular Thoroughbred to ever race in the Pacific Northwest. On one occasion, he carried a staggering 134 pounds and came from 20 lengths behind to win a mile race going away by two lengths. His name? Turbulator.

ECLIPSE AWARD PREDICTIONS SCOREBOARD

Regarding my annual Eclipse Award predictions last week, it turned out that I had 15 correct and two wrong.

I predicted Luis Cardenas would be voted outstanding apprentice jockey. I was way off the mark. He finished third in the voting. Alexander Crispin received the Eclipse Award in this category. Yarmarie Correa finished second.

My prediction for outstanding owner was Spendthrift Farm, MyRacehorse Stable, Madaket Stables and Starlight Racing. This ownership partnership finished second in the voting. The award went to Godolphin.

The first year that I made Eclipse Award predictions for Xpressbet.com was for racing that was conducted in 2011. Now including 2021, my Eclipse Award predictions have proven to be correct 91.9% of the time:

2011: 15 correct, 2 wrong
2012: 16 correct, 1 wrong
2013: 16 correct, 1 wrong
2014: 17 correct, 0 wrong
2015: 14 correct, 3 wrong
2016: 16 correct, 1 wrong
2017: 16 correct, 1 wrong
2018: 16 correct, 1 wrong
2019: 15 correct, 2 wrong
2020: 15 correct, 2 wrong
2021: 16 correct, 1 wrong

Total thru 2021: 172 correct, 15 wrong

[Can'tPickAWinner]

AI Picks: Laurel Winter Sprintfest | Saturday, Feb. 19

February 17, 2022 | By Jeremy Plonk

Winter Sprintfest at Laurel Park heats up the track Saturday with 6 stakes races. 1/ST BET and Xpressbet customers can take advantage of up to a $10 money back special on every race on the card. If your win bet finishes 2nd or 3rd, you can get up to $10 refunded in wagering credits.

To assist your handicapping, key stakes selections provided by the 1/ST BET app measure each contender against the 10 leading factors for each race. The 1/ST BET app looks at 52 handicapping factors and more than 200,000 past races to determine its AI selections.

You can use the automated handicapping factors, or create your own factor filters to incorporate angles you prefer. Full-card selections can be found in the 1/ST BET app. We’ve included the official track morning line odds with each runner.

Laurel Park // Race 4 // 2:05 pm ET // $100,000 Wide Country Stakes // 7 furlongs

#1 Luna Belle (6-5) // 32%W
#6 Qualy (15-1) // 18%W
#8 Buff My Boots (6-1) // 16%W
#3 Sandy’s Garden (7-2) // 11%W

//

Laurel Park // Race 5 // 2:38 pm ET // $100,000 Miracle Wood Stakes // 1 mile

#2 Alottahope (4-1) // 32%W
#8 Local Motive (10-1) // 15%W
#9 Conclusive (7-2) // 15%W
#3 Friar Laurence (6-1) // 12%W

//

Laurel Park // Race 6 // 3:11 pm ET // $100,000 Nellie Morse Stakes // 1-1/16 miles

#6 Miss Leslie (8-5) // 31%W
#1 Smooth With a Kick (15-1) // 21%W
#2 Kiss the Girl (5-2) // 15%W
#5 Golden Plume (8-1) // 11%W

//

Laurel Park // Race 7 // 3:41 pm ET // $100,000 John B. Campbell Stakes // 1-1/16 miles

#2 Forewarned (6-1) // 31%W
#3 Gentleman Joe (10-1) // 21%W
#6 Torch of Truth (5-1) // 15%W
#1 Workin on a Dream (8-5) // 11%W

//

Laurel Park // Race 8 // 4:14 pm ET // Grade 3 $250,000 Barbara Fritchie Stakes // 7 furlongs

#7 Jakarta (3-1) // 31%W
#4 Regal Retort (10-1) // 17%W
#2 Glass Ceiling (7-5) // 17%W
#8 Belle of the North (8-1) // 10%W

//

Laurel Park // Race 9 // 4:45 pm ET // Grade 3 $250,000 General George Stakes // 7 furlongs

#2 Cordmaker (7-5) // 31%W
#4 Sir Alfred James (3-1) // 19%W
#3 Shackqueenking (7-2) // 17%W
#7 Air Token (9-2) // 11%W

[Can'tPickAWinner]

AI Picks: Triple Crown Preps | Saturday, Feb. 19, 2022

February 17, 2022 | By Jeremy Plonk

Triple Crown preps continue on two fronts Saturday, Fair Grounds’ Grade 2 $400,000 Risen Star and Laurel Park’s $100,000 Miracle Wood. To assist your handicapping, key stakes selections provided by the 1/ST BET app measure each contender against the 10 leading factors for each race. The 1/ST BET app looks at 52 handicapping factors and more than 200,000 past races to determine its AI selections.

You can use the automated handicapping factors, or create your own factor filters to incorporate angles you prefer. Full-card selections can be found in the 1/ST BET app. We’ve included the official track morning line odds with each runner.

Laurel Park // Race 5 // 2:38 pm ET // $100,000 Miracle Wood Stakes // 1 mile

#2 Alottahope (4-1) // 32%W
#8 Local Motive (10-1) // 15%W
#9 Conclusive (7-2) // 15%W
#3 Friar Laurence (6-1) // 12%W

//

Fair Grounds // Race 13 // 6:58 pm ET // Grade 2 $400,000 Risen Star Stakes // 1-1/8 miles

#8 Smile Happy (7-2) // 30%W
#10 Slow Down Andy (9-2) // 15%W
#4 Tawny Port (12-1) // 11%W
#7 Zandon (9-2) // 10%W