Service Plays Saturday 2/26/22

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Your Daily Capper

NCAAB
Arkansas
Rutgers

NBA
Hawks

(All 1U)

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Sports Bank

500* Wisconsin

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Gianni The Greek

4* Washington
4* UNLV Under
4* Miami Heat
3* Cleveland
3* Memphis

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Spartan

1* New Mexiceo St

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H&H Sports
Back with Final Update by 5:45...

CBB
3* Tennessee -150 [ML]

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Andrew McInnis

3% Montreal Canadiens at Ottawa Senators
Montreal Canadiens +140

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Allen Eastman

7-Unit Play. Take #691 VCU (-6) over Massachusetts (4:30 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 26)
VCU has been one of the top teams in the A-10 all season long. I like them to do it again here. They are 4-1 ATS in their last five games and have won six straight games SU. VCU is 4-1 ATS in this series and the Rams have won four straight road games outright. That includes wins on the road against good teams like Davidson and Dayton. The Rams are 10-2 ATS on the road and 9-2 ATS as a road favorite. VCU is still battling for the regular season championship in the A-10. They will not slip up here. Take the Rams.
3-Unit Play. Take #631 Dayton (-9) over LaSalle (2 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 26)
The Flyers are 5-0 ATS in their last five games and they are 8-0 ATS against teams with a losing record. The favorite is 4-1 ATS in this series and LaSalle is just 4-10 ATS in their last 14 Saturday games. LaSalle is just 2-5 ATS at home and doesn't have a strong home court advantage. Take Dayton.
Allen Eastman

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August Young

6-Unit Play: Take #603 Miami Ohio +12 -110 over Toledo (12:00p.m., Saturday, February 26) Both teams are on opposite ends of the spectrum when it comes to market performance and ATS performance. The Rockets are 11-1 at home, including 7-4 ATS while the RedHawks are just 4-8 on the road including 2-10 ATS. This is creating an optimal buy-low opportunity on Miami Ohio. It's important to note that while Toledo's numbers look good, they have played an incredibly weak strength of schedule ranking #229 in all of college basketball. The Rockets squeaked out a win in the previous matchup back in January as 2-point underdogs, but this is a drastic shift in market perception. Toledo have almost a non-existant home-court advantage and this line has completely overadjusted presenting ample value on the visiting underdogs. Give us the RedHawks all day at this price.


4-Unit Play: Take #613 Over 154 -110 in Furman and The Citadel (1:00p.m., Saturday, February 26) We have historically found most of our edge and value by betting totals in February and March, so we will now be providing our model edge plays which have treated us very well over the past decade. We will not be providing a write up for these plays and will copy this message across all plays that fit our number and model edge.


4-Unit Play: Take #306012 Eastern Kentucky +1 -110 over Bellarmine (1:00p.m., Saturday, February 26) Bellarmine have won five-straight on the road after a 2-7 start and are due a regression against an Eastern Kentucky team that have been a tough out at home for the majority of the season. The Knights have one of the worst three-point shooting defenses in the country, which is where Eastern Kentucky do most their damage ranking in the top-5 when it comes to point distribution from distance. We should also add that this is a revenge spot for the Colonels that came up short, losing by 5 in Bellarmine back in January.


4-Unit Play: Take #306019 Fairleigh Dickinson +13.5 -110 over Long Island (2:00p.m., Saturday, February 26) Ugly, ugly play on one of the worst teams in all of college basketball. However, while we understand how bad the Knights are, we also understand that Long Island rank #245 in adjusted offensive efficiency rating and #207 in adjusted defensive efficiency rating, all while playing a very easy strength of schedule. Fairleigh Dickinson were able to exploit some matchup advantages in the previous matchup, and we think they should be able to do the same here. The recent performance and home/road splits of these teams is overinflating this line. Value on the Knights.


4-Unit Play: Take #670 Under 142.5 -110 in Towson and James Madison (4:00p.m., Saturday, February 26) We have historically found most of our edge and value by betting totals in February and March, so we will now be providing our model edge plays which have treated us very well over the past decade. We will not be providing a write up for these plays and will copy this message across all plays that fit our number and model edge.


4-Unit Play: Take #690 Under 142 -110 in CS Fullerton and UC San Diego (4:00p.m., Saturday, February 26) We have historically found most of our edge and value by betting totals in February and March, so we will now be providing our model edge plays which have treated us very well over the past decade. We will not be providing a write up for these plays and will copy this message across all plays that fit our number and model edge.


4-Unit Play: Take #306059 Over 141 -110 in Morgan State and Delaware State (4:30p.m., Saturday, February 26) We have historically found most of our edge and value by betting totals in February and March, so we will now be providing our model edge plays which have treated us very well over the past decade. We will not be providing a write up for these plays and will copy this message across all plays that fit our number and model edge.


4-Unit Play: Take #703 Over 137 -110 in San Francisco and San Diego (5:00p.m., Saturday, February 26) We have historically found most of our edge and value by betting totals in February and March, so we will now be providing our model edge plays which have treated us very well over the past decade. We will not be providing a write up for these plays and will copy this message across all plays that fit our number and model edge.


5-Unit Play: Take #730 Washington +4 -110 over Washington State (6:00p.m., Saturday, February 26) We will now be adding some undervalued model plays to our list which will not come with detailed analysis. At this point in the season we have enough data points to confidently take some of the biggest mathematical edges which has served us well over the years.

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Doc's Sports

7 Unit Play. Take #616 Detroit -3 over Purdue Fort Wayne (1p.m., Saturday, February 26 ESPN+) Detroit has an impressive 10-6 record at home despite playing 11 of their 16 Horizon League games on the road. They close out the regular season with 4 straight home games and look to make it 4 for 4 with a win today. This was just a two point game when these two teams met earlier this season in Fort Wayne and I expect the Titans to win this game by close to double-digits. Detroit is 10-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 12 games as a home favorite.

3 Unit Play. Take #717 Wisconsin +2.5 over Rutgers (6p.m., Saturday, February 26 BTN) Just do not believe Rutgers is good enough to beat Wisconsin twice in the regular season. The Scarlet Knights have been streaky this season and now they are on a downward trend having lost two straight games but 9 or more points. They play better at home, but they do not warrant being favored against the top team in the conference. The Badgers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games against teams with a winning home record.

3 Unit Play. Take #727 South Carolina +11 over Alabama (6p.m., Saturday, February 26 SECN) We have been fading Alabama during much of the conference season and today will be no different. The Tide are not anywhere near as strong as they were last season. They struggle to shoot it well from the arc as well as rebound efficiently. Carolina will enter having won 4 straight games and are starting to play some of their best basketball of the season. The underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 games between Alabama and South Carolina. The Gamecocks have covered the spread in their last 5 games. Alabama is 1-10 ATS in their last 11 home games.

3 Unit Play. Take Baylor (First Half line) -1.5 over Kansas (8p.m., Saturday, February 26 ESPN) Baylor will have the crowd and they need to jump on Kansas earlier to have a chance a better chance of winning this game.
Best of Luck - Doc's Sports

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Scott Spreitzer

3-Unit Play: Take 646 Oakland -1.5 over Cleveland St. (3 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 26)
Cleveland State is in a very tough spot on Saturday. Today's game marks their 5th straight road that began on February 14 and it's their 4th road game in eight days. You could see some tired legs in the second half in a loss to Detroit last time out and I expect more of the same at Oakland. The Grizzlies won the first meeting 70-65 on the road and I expect them to win their home finale after dropping three straight. I'm backing Oakland on Saturday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.

3-Unit Play: Take 673 Weber St. -8 over No. Arizona (4 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 26)
Weber State has taken a bit of a hit of late in the Big Sky but they're night-and-day better than NAU and in fact, the Lumberjacks should be just what the doctor ordered for Weber to bounce back in a big way. Weber is strong on the offensive end and they get up and down the floor in a quick manner. Meanwhile, NAU has won just three of their last 13. They are horrible at both ends of the floor, ranked in the 300's in several key offense and defensive metrics. Weber won the first meeting 67-44 despite making just 4 of 26 3-pointers. The Wildcats forced 28 turnovers and I won't be shocked if they force a ton again. Weber's strengths include getting after it on the defensive end and forcing miscues, while NAU ranks 314th in offensive turnovers percentage. I'm laying the points with Weber State on Saturday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.

8-Unit Play: Take 762 Baylor -1.5 (1st Half) over Kansas (8 p.m., Sat. Feb. 26)
If Baylor is ever going to perform at last year's national championship level, the first half of this game would be the spot. The Bears were clobbered 83-59 by Kansas in the first meeting, a night when Baylor couldn't hit the broadside of a barn and KU couldn't miss, making 64.3% of their 2-pointers and 14 of 18 free throws. Baylor has started to warm-up a bit, winning four of their last five with the lone loss coming at formidable Texas Tech. I don't want to take too much credit away from Kansas but the fact is, they're just 2-3 SU this season against teams rated in KenPom's top-25 including 0-2 SU on the road. Texas and Texas Tech combined to make 57% of their 2-pointers in those two Kansas road losses. Baylor ranks 9th in adjusted offensive efficiency and 15th on the defensive end, and they're outstanding on the offensive glass, 5th best in college baskets. I'm betting Baylor comes out focused and motivated off that ugly 24-point loss on February 5. I'm backing Baylor in the first half on Saturday night. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.

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Strike Point Sports

8-Unit Play. Take #628 Arkansas (-2.5) over Kentucky. (2 p.m., Saturday, February 26).
Very few teams in the country have turned it on lately as the Razorbacks. Arkansas is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite and have been playing like the preseason team we expected with all of the transfers settling in. The only loss Arkansas has suffered in their last 10 games was a heartbreaking 68-67 loss at Alabama. Since the Wildcats are going to be banged up, if Sahvir Wheeler and TyTy Washington even play, the depth that has helped Kentucky spring into national contention will be missing. If the Razorbacks control the pace of play from the outset and don't let Kentucky surge into a lead and gain confidence, the points won't matter here.

4-Unit Play. Take #660 Tennessee (-3) over Auburn. (4 p.m., Saturday, February 26).
The Volunteers are in an obvious play position as they're favored by more than a bucket against one of the best SU and ATS teams in the country. Tennessee is no slouch on their home floor, going undefeated so far and claiming wins over Arizona, Kentucky, and Florida. Since they are still hanging around the SEC regular season title, the Volunteers will need to slay one more giant in front of their home fans to move up the pecking order as they close out February.

2-Unit Play. Take #718 Rutgers (-2.5) over Wisconsin. (6 p.m., Saturday, February 26).
The RAC is one of the hardest gyms in the country to play in and has already claimed Purdue, Michigan, Iowa, Clemson, Michigan State, Ohio State, and Illinois. These wins are the reason Rutgers is still in the mix for a postseason invite to The Big Dance and another impressive win over Wisconsin will give them the season sweep over the 13th ranked team in the country.

4-Unit Play. Take #768 Wyoming (-7) over Nevada. (8 p.m., Saturday, February 26).
Wyoming has been taking care of business in a loaded Mountain West and they are hosting a Nevada team that is too inconsistent to worry about. The Cowboys haven't lost at home this year and the Pack could be without Desmond Cambridge's 17 points per game. Wyoming has its sights set on an at-large berth to the NCAA Tournament and these aren't the types of games you can lose this time of year. Lay the points since the previous matchup was a 77-67 road win for the second place team in the conference.

2-Unit Play. Take #804 Oregon (-4) over USC. (10 p.m., Saturday, February 26).
USC is good defensively but still overrated. The home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings while the favorite is 10-3 ATS. This Oregon team has struggled to remain consistent the integration of new players in new roles, however they still have some qualities that enable them to compete in a strange Pac-12. Like so many of their games this year, we expect a close battle between the Ducks and the Trojans with late execution down the stretch allowing the home team to cover.

1-Unit Play. Take #793 Gonzaga (-10.5) over St. Mary's. (10 p.m., Saturday, February 26).
We said it mid-week and we will say it again - is this the conference game the Zags are going to lose? While we are pretty confident the #1 team in the country will stay undefeated throughout the West Coast Conference, the better question is - will this be the first time in three months they've played a single digit game? We don't think so.
Best of Luck - Strike Point Sports

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Colorado Avalanche vs Vegas Golden Knights OVER 6

Thank you
In Game Trap

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GoodFella

2* Grizzlies $line

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JR Sports
Wizards Under 204

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CleInsiderSports (Late Card)

NBA
Grizzlies ML (-130)
Nets/Bucks O237

CBB
Garner Webb -4
Wofford -9
Baylor -3

NHL
Senators ML (-155)
Flames ML (-150)