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1-Unit Play. Take #606 Villanova (-9.5) over Providence (6:30 p.m., Tuesday, March 1)
This line is begging for action on Providence. But the line is going up. They are the lower-ranked team and they are a monster favorite. It's kind of telling. Villanova went on the road and beat the Friars by five points in the first matchup. Villanova has been known for going nuts on opponents in their home gym. And after a tough loss to Connecticut its last time out, and with a week to prepare for this game, I think the Wildcats are going to be ready to play. Lay the points.
1-Unit Play. Take #622 Eastern Michigan (-4.5) over Western Michigan (7 p.m., Tuesday, March 1)
Both of these teams are awful. But Eastern Michigan has more wins and they have the home court edge. EMU also beat Western Michigan on the road in the first meeting this season. The Broncos are actually coming off a win at Bowling Green on Saturday. They have only won back-to-back games twice. And both times their second win came in OT. In fact, Western Michigan has seven wins on the season. Five of those seven wins have either been against D-II teams or in OT. I don't like laying points when two bad teams play but I think Eastern Michigan will get it done here.
1-Unit Play. Take #628 TCU (+6) over Kansas (8 p.m., Tuesday, March 1)
TCU is coming off a big-time home upset win over Texas Tech over the weekend. Can they do it again? I think that they can. Kansas could be in a letdown spot after a loss at Baylor on Saturday. They don't lose two games in a row very often, but the Jayhawks haven't exactly been crushing it over the last month. Kansas hasn't been great on the road (2-5 ATS) and TCU has been a solid underdog (9-2 ATS). I think the Horned Frogs make this one a game.
2-Unit Play. Take #634 VCU (-4) over St. Bonaventure (8:30 p.m., Tuesday, March 1)
I'm a fan of this St. Bonaventure team. But they are last in the country in bench minutes. They have to be a little worn down from a grinding conference schedule. And I think that VCU's full court press and overall energy is going to get to them in this game. St. Bonaventure hasn't been great on the road this season and the Rams have been outstanding in their home gym. The Bonnies blasted VCU in the first meeting this year, 73-53, and I think VCU will want a little revenge here. The home team has won five straight in this series and the favorite is 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings.
1-Unit Play. Take #638 Michigan (-4.5) over Michigan State (8:30 p.m., Tuesday, March 1)
2-Unit Play. Take #653 Arizona (-4.5) over USC (11 p.m., Tuesday, March 1)
Oregon shot 38.7 percent from the field against USC on Saturday. And the Ducks still had a 69-67 lead with 23 seconds left. It was pretty ridiculous. And the reality is that I don't think that USC is as good as its record indicates. Arizona is coming off its worst game of the year, a 79-63 ambush at Colorado. They have responded to their only two other losses this season with double-digit wins. I think they can do the same thing here.
1-Unit Play. 5-POINT TEASER: Take #606 Villanova (-4.5) over Providence (6:30 p.m.) AND Take #628 TCU (+11) over Kansas (8 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. 5-POINT TEASER: Take #629 Kent State (-3.5) over Northern Illinois (8 p.m.) AND Take #644 Wisconsin (+8) over Purdue (9 p.m.)
8 Unit Play. Take #644 Wisconsin +3 over Purdue (9p.m., Tuesday, March 1 ESPN)
Big 10 Game of the Year Something is not right with Purdue, and I expect Wisconsin to complete this miraculous season and win the Big 10 outright. A win today will all but ensure that happens, as they would just have a home game against Nebraska over the weekend. Purdue has great size, but Zach Edey cannot play many minutes and this team is just not that good at playing defense. Wisconsin has the best player on the floor in Johnny Davis and he will want to make a statement in this game that he is the Big 10 Players of the Year and a lottery pick in the NBA draft come June. Purdue has lost 4 road games in the Big 10 this season and this will be the first time this season the Kohl Center will be rocking with the student section in the game for a full 40 minutes. Wisconsin will enter this game having won 4 straight games (3 of them on the road) and has a remarkable record this season in close games. Wisconsin is finally developing a bench and look for them to complete the regular season as champions on Tuesday. The home team is 6-2 ATS (1 push) in the last 9 games between Purdue and Wisconsin. Purdue is 0-3 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 5 games. Wisconsin is 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games following an ATS win in their previous game.
Best of Luck - Doc's Sports
4-Unit Play: Take #306121 American +115 (Moneyline) over Holy Cross (7:00p.m., Tuesday, March 1) We are getting a cheap price on the Eagles in large part due to their awful 3-15 record away from home. This is a similar situation to our premium selection yesteray with Jackson State. We appreciate American have had a poor season, especially on the road, but Holy Cross rank #348 in adjusted offensive efficiency rating and #325 in ajusted defensive efficieny rating while playing one of the weakest strength of schedules in all of college basketball. American won both meetings early this year while exploiting multiple matchup advantages. It's clear to us that the Eagles are simply the better team and the market hasn't adjusted nearly enough. Holy Cross rank in the bottom-100 when it comes to home-court advantage and we expect yet another win from American here.
4-Unit Play: Take #306123 Bucknell +5.5 -110 over Lafayette (7:00p.m., Tuesday, March 1) Another spot where we are getting value on a team that have struggled on the road this season. The Bison are jst 1-14 away from home, including losing two-straight ATS. These teams have played each other twice this season with both games going to OT. Bucknell covered both times as a 1-point favorite at home, and a 4.5-point underdog on the road. So how are we now getting the highest line yet? There isn't enough seperating these two teams and the value is on the Bison once again.
Game: (653) Arizona at (654) USC
Date/Time: Mar 1 2022 11:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Total Under 150.5 (-110)
We’re going back to one of our preferred releases from last month and see no reason to do anything differently for the Arizona-USC rematch. As a quick refresher, the 'Cats won that meeting in Tucson on Feb. 5 by a 72-63 count, which on the surface doesn’t seem particularly remarkable, though the game did feature a big stretch kick from U of A, which rallied from a 59-54 deficit with just seven minutes to play to outscore Troy 18-4 the remainder of the game. Statistically, the note of the game might have been poor 7-for-30 shooting from beyond the arc by SC. But, importantly for our purposes, we thought that total of 150 was far too high three-plus weeks ago...just as we think effectively the same number is too high for the next installment of this Pac-12 showdown at the Galen Center.
With significant length, the Trojans can present problems defensively, and it wasn’t until that late spurt in the first meeting that the Cats hinted at solving the dilemma. Meanwhile, Arizona presents many of the same problems on the stop end with its own size, and these are two of the nation’s top six defenses in FG percentage (the Cats at 4th, allowing only 37.8% from the floor, and Troy 6th at 38.1%).
Boasting plenty of length on the perimeter with wings like 6-6 Benedict Mathurin and 6-7 Dalen Terry, U of A can also disrupt 3-point shooting as was the case in the first meeting, and the one Achilles heel of Andy Enfield’s squad this season. SC probably capable of keeping it closer than at the McKale Center, when hybrid 6-9 PG Drew Peterson (who’s scored 20 ppg across the past five outings) missed 12 of 13 shots.
But once again, the opening total of 150.5 looks too high. Our numbers have this game pegged at 142. Pac-12 games involving USC have only reached 150 in regulation just twice this season.
RV: NBA PLATINUM SUPREME OPEN ENDED 1/1 MOVE- TOTAL
Game: (571) Golden State Warriors at (572) Minnesota Timberwolves
Date/Time: Mar 1 2022 8:10 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4 units
Play: Total Over 232.0 (-110)
NBA PLATINUM SUPREME move on the OVER in the Golden ST at Minnesota game at 8:10 eastern. MOVE ON THE OVER.
RV: CBB
Game: (306121) American at (306122) Holy Cross
Date/Time: Mar 1 2022 7:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 2 units
Play: American +2
In a battle of two teams who have both lost 21 of 30 we will back American here at 7:000 eastern. Both teams are evenly matched. However matchups make series and American has won both meetings this year and the last 6 over Holy Cross. The Crusaders are a lousy 3-11 ats vs teams under .400 at home. With the road tams having covered 4 of the last 5 in the series we will back American here
RV: CBB
Game: (306129) North Alabama at (306130) Fla Gulf Coast
Date/Time: Mar 1 2022 7:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 2 units
Play: Total Over 141.0 (-110)
The Conference Tournament Power Total at 7:00 eastern is on The OVER in the North Alabama vs Florida Gulf Coast round 1 matchup. These two put up 152 in an earlier meeting and 5 of 6 in the series have posted over. Expect another higher scoring game here as Gulf Coast plays fast and is ranked 36th in scoring while sitting at 284 on defense. They are 4 of 5 over off a win and 4 of 4 of late at home. Look for this game to play over.
RV: NCAAB 3 for 7 Tuesday POWER PACK Alert
Game: (657) Robert Morris at (658) Youngstown State
Date/Time: Mar 1 2022 7:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 2 units
Play: Youngstown State -7.0 (-110)
The Round 1 conference tournament knockout play is on Youngstown St at 7:00 eastern. The Penguins were caught flat footed in the first meeting here losing by 7 as a 7 point favorite to Robert Morris. Now they look to exact revenge as they had won the prior 4 meetings. They have covered 6 of 8 at home and 5 of 7 vs teams under .500. Robert Morris is ranked 310th on defense and not much better on offense. Youngstown has covered 6 of 7 when they win as a home favorite. Look for them to get the cover tonight
In a battle of two teams who have both lost 21 of 30 we will back American here at 7:000 eastern. Both teams are evenly matched. However matchups make series and American has won both meetings this year and the last 6 over Holy Cross. The Crusaders are a lousy 3-11 ats vs teams under .400 at home. With the road tams having covered 4 of the last 5 in the series we will back American here
The Conference Tournament Power Total at 7:00 eastern is on The OVER in the North Alabama vs Florida Gulf Coast round 1 matchup. These two put up 152 in an earlier meeting and 5 of 6 in the series have posted over. Expect another higher scoring game here as Gulf Coast plays fast and is ranked 36th in scoring while sitting at 284 on defense. They are 4 of 5 over off a win and 4 of 4 of late at home. Look for this game to play over.
Game: (611) West Virginia at (612) Oklahoma
Date/Time: Mar 1 2022 7:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4 units
Play: Total Over 134.5 (-110)
West Virginia has forgotten how to play defense in the last 5 games - where they've let up over 71 in each game and over 80 in their last 2 games, all against some mediocre offenses. I think that Oklahoma will have some success inside as well as from deep and I like this game going over today in WV.
Game: (643) Purdue at (644) Wisconsin
Date/Time: Mar 1 2022 9:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4 units
Play: Wisconsin +3.0 (-110)
Purdue is a shaky team on the road, losing 2 of their last 3 road games and Wisconsin is the best team by far they're going to have played on the road. I look for Wisconsin to lock down Purdue on defense and get a much respected home win tonight in Madison!
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